Search Results (90)

This paper highlights the importance of accounting for both the maturity structure of government debt and the composition of fiscal instruments when studying the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model featuring a debt maturity structure and six exogenous fiscal shocks spanning both the expenditure and revenue sides, we show that long-maturity debt systematically weakens the expansionary effects of fiscal policy under dovish monetary policy, particularly in response to increases in government purchases, government investment, and capital income tax cuts, where long-term financing leads to the significant crowding-out of private activity. In contrast, short-term debt financing yields output multipliers that often exceed unity. The maturity structure also alters the relative efficacy of fiscal instruments: while labor income tax cuts produce the largest multipliers under short-term debt, government purchases become more potent under long-term debt financing. We also show that the stark difference between short- and long-term debt becomes muted under a hawkish monetary regime. Our results have important policy implications, suggesting that the maturity composition of public debt should be carefully considered in the design of fiscal policy, particularly in high-debt economies. Full article

The ability of the agriculture sector, which is exposed to climate hazards, to cope with climate challenges and to strive in spite of them, is conceptualized as the resilience of agriculture. In enhancing climate-resilient agriculture, the cash reserve ratio (CRR) is generally perceived to serve two crucial functions: first, encouraging banks to allocate credit to agriculturalists for climate-resilient agricultural practices; second, enhancing agriculturalists’ ability to sustain agricultural output growth in spite of climate crises. In light of this, we conducted an ex post evaluation of the effect of the currently in-use CRR on bank loans to climate-challenged Nigeria’s agriculture sector for climate-resilient agricultural practices. Additionally, this study investigates the CRR’s impact(s) on agricultural output growth amidst climate challenges. Other additional independent variables include monetary policy rate, government capital expenditures on agriculture, and government recurrent expenditures on agriculture, as well as temperature, precipitation, and the renewable energy supply. Using annual data from 1990 to 2022, the results from an autoregressive, distributed lag approach suggest that the standard CRR stipulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria in the present era of climate change cannot entirely sustain climate-resilient agriculture, evident in the present study’s discoveries on its inability to perform its two major functions (credit and growth) in enhancing agricultural resilience. These findings highlight the need for the green differentiation of the CRR to ensure its effective utilization in enhancing climate resilience. Full article

Background: Economic logistics in fire and rescue services is a critical determinant of operational readiness, fiscal sustainability, and resilience to large-scale emergencies. Despite its strategic importance, logistics remains under-researched in Central and Eastern European contexts, where legacy governance structures and EU-funded modernization coexist with systemic inefficiencies. This study focuses on the Slovak Fire and Rescue Service (HaZZ) as a case to explore how economic logistics systems can be restructured for greater performance and value. Objective: The objective of this paper was to evaluate the structure, performance, and reform potential of the logistics system supporting HaZZ, with a focus on procurement efficiency, lifecycle costing, digital integration, and alignment with EU civil protection standards. Methods: A mixed-methods design was applied, comprising the following: (1) Institutional analysis of governance, budgeting, and legal mandates based on semi-structured expert interviews with HaZZ and the Ministry of Interior officers (n = 12); (2) comparative benchmarking with Germany, Austria, the Czech Republic, and the Netherlands; (3) financial analysis of national logistics expenditures (2019–2023) using Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) principles, completed with the visualization of cost trends and procurement price variance through original heat maps and time-series graphs. Results: The key findings are as follows: (1) HaZZ operates a formally centralized but practically fragmented logistics model across 51 district units, lacking national coordination mechanisms and digital infrastructure; (2) Maintenance costs have risen by 42% between 2019 and 2023 despite increasing capital investment due to insufficient lifecycle planning and asset heterogeneity; (3) Price variance for identical equipment categories across regions exceeds 30%, highlighting the inefficiencies in decentralized procurement; (4) Slovakia lacks a national Logistics Information System (LIS), unlike peer countries which have deployed integrated digital platforms (e.g., CELIS in the Czech Republic); (5) Benchmarking reveals high-impact practices in centralized procurement, lifecycle-based contracting, regional logistics hubs, and performance accountability—particularly in Austria and the Netherlands. Impacts: Four high-impact, feasible reforms were proposed: (1) Establishment of a centralized procurement framework; (2) national LIS deployment to unify inventory and asset tracking; (3) adoption of lifecycle-based and performance-based contracting models; (4) development of regional logistics hubs using underutilized infrastructure. This study is among the first to provide an integrated economic and institutional analysis of the Fire and Rescue Service logistics in a post-socialist EU member state. It offers a structured, transferable reform roadmap grounded in comparative evidence and adapted to Slovakia’s hybrid governance model. The research bridges gaps between modernization policy, procurement law, and digital public administration in the context of emergency services. Full article

This study investigates the role of public health expenditure on human capital development in South Africa to promote economic development. Despite extensive public health investments and economic reforms, persistent socioeconomic challenges such as poverty, unemployment, and inequality impede sustainable economic growth. This study uses an autoregressive distributed lag model, a vector error correction model (VECM), quantile regression, and Granger causality analysis to assess the relationship between fiscal health policies and human development. The findings confirm that government health spending significantly enhances human development in the short and long run, while unemployment and population growth exert adverse effects. VECM variance decomposition results indicate that the influence of public health expenditure remains persistent, though diminishing over time, with growing contributions from unemployment. Quantile regression shows the heterogeneous impact of health spending across different levels of economic development, emphasising its greater effectiveness at higher development stages. Causality analysis reveals a unidirectional relationship from public health expenditure to human development; this shows the need for sustained healthcare investment. The study calls for policies combining health spending with economic strategies to boost productivity, reduce inequality, and promote inclusive growth. Strengthening institutional efficiency and ensuring macroeconomic stability are crucial for maximising long-term human capital to promote sustainable development. Full article

The principal objectives of this study were to determine how government spending on human capital, specifically on education and healthcare, impacts Saudi Arabia’s economic growth and its policy implications for sustained economic growth and development. Given the above objectives, this study examined the short-term dynamics and long-term relationships between government spending on human capital, measured by per capita education and healthcare expenditures, and its impact on Saudi Arabia’s economic growth, measured by per capita real GDP, from 1985 to 2021. The Non-linear Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models were used to estimate and examine the relationships. The study concluded that per capita GDP is negatively correlated with per capita government spending on healthcare and positively correlated with per capita spending on education in Saudi Arabia. Per capita GDP is also positively related to exports per capita. The results of the coefficient symmetry test show that per capita spending on healthcare and education causes long-term, asymmetric effects on Saudi Arabia’s per capita GDP, that is, the decline in per capita GDP resulting from a decrease in education spending per capita is larger than the increase in per capita GDP resulting from an increase in education spending per capita. However, the decline in per capita GDP resulting from an increase in healthcare spending per capita is larger than the increase in per capita GDP resulting from a decrease in healthcare spending per capita. The study also found unidirectional causality from per capita spending on healthcare, education, and exports to per capita GDP. Therefore, this study infers that increases in government healthcare spending reduce economic growth, whereas increases in spending on education contribute to it. Saudi Arabia’s economy also experiences export-led economic growth. The results of this study provide the government and policymakers with valuable insights with respect to the efficient allocation of scarce government resources to education and healthcare for sustained economic growth and development. Full article

How to promote the household energy transition (HET) has become an important response to extreme climate change. Our paper examines whether a low-carbon city pilot (LCCP) can promote HET. We empirically use the Staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to explore its mechanisms. The results indicate that the LCCP can substantially promote HET. The primary driving mechanism underlying this transition is enhanced governmental emphasis on carbon emission reduction and elevated public environmental awareness. However, the increased local expenditure on energy conservation and environmental protection does not serve as an effective mechanism. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the LCCP has the most pronounced impact on HET among high-income groups, whereas the effect on low-income groups is relatively minor. Furthermore, the LCCP significantly promotes HET in the eastern region and urban areas, while the central region tends to inhibit it, and the western region and rural areas show no significant effect. The heterogeneity analysis further reveals that the LCCP is effective in Municipalities and Strong-Capital Provinces, where centralized governance and strong political incentives enhance policy implementation. In contrast, the policy shows limited or even negative effects in Non-Municipal Provinces and Non-Strong-Capital Provinces. We provide valuable policy insights for governments to bolster the LCCP implementation to promote HET and achieve carbon neutrality at an earlier stage. Full article

The advancement of digital technologies has become a transformative driver of economic development. Digitalisation is central to the global economy, enhances productivity, drives innovation, and promotes inclusive growth. Despite this potential, South Africa faces persistent challenges such as skills shortages, unemployment, poverty, and socioeconomic inequality. This study investigates the role of digitalisation in advancing economic complexity, human capital development, and gross national income in South Africa. A digitalisation index, constructed through Principal Component Analysis, ARDL models, and Granger causality analysis, provides insights into the short- and long-term impacts and causal relationship. The findings reveal that digitalisation and education significantly enhance human capital development in the long run, with digital infrastructure also driving immediate gains. For the gross national income model, digitalisation and education pose short-term pressures due to development expenditures, while institutional quality plays an important role in sustaining income. Economic complexity benefits positively from digitalisation over the long term, though short-term impacts stress the role of governance quality and infrastructure. Causality analysis further shows the interconnectedness of these variables, with digitalisation advancing economic complexity and human capital driving national income, reinforcing digitalisation. The results call for policies that align short-term developmental priorities with long-term sustainability. Investments in digital infrastructure, accessible education, and institutional frameworks are critical for building a skilled labour force while enhancing economic complexity and maintaining financial stability. Full article

The development of animal husbandry directly affects climate change and the ecological environment. This study aims to explore the relationship between carbon emissions from animal husbandry and economic growth in Inner Mongolia and to provide theoretical and countermeasure support for sustainable development. Based on the environmental Kuznets theory, the present situation of animal husbandry and economic growth in this region is analyzed. By analyzing slaughter and storage data for cow, sheep, hog, and poultry from 2000 to 2022, we calculated carbon emissions using the IPCC coefficient method. The environmental Kuznets curve is used to control variables such as human capital, government intervention, openness, technological innovation, and environmental protection expenditure. The findings show that carbon emissions from cows and sheep have risen significantly over the past 23 years, while the hog industry has remained stable. Both the number of poultry farms and their carbon emissions have declined. Economic growth is one reason for the increase in carbon emissions, while government intervention and openness have had mixed results. To ensure sustainable development, Inner Mongolia should strengthen government supervision, increase investment in environmental protection, expand opening-up, improve rural education, and promote low-carbon growth. Full article

The roles of finance are well stipulated in the various indicators of the sustainable development goals (SDGS). However, the extant literature still finds conflicting outcomes of the finance-led growth. Hence, this study redirects empirical evidence by unbundling the effects of financial development on sustainable economic growth into aggregated and disaggregated, focusing on seven robust indicators (financial development index, financial institution index, depth, and access, and financial market index, depth, and access) in selected African countries from 1995 to 2021. Similarly, the intervening roles of government expenditure, digital economy, domestic investment, human capital, macroeconomic volatility, and trade openness are evaluated based on advanced estimators. Findings show that the seven indices of financial development drive sustainable economic growth in Africa both in the long and short runs. Similarly, government expenditure, digital economy, and human capital promote sustainable economic growth both in the short- and long-term periods. The driving effects of domestic investment are only noticeable in the long run. Conversely, trade openness and macroeconomic instability are noted to be growth-deterring. Policy insights that support sustainable economic growth in Africa emanate from the outcomes. Full article

The demand for information technology expertise has grown rapidly in the last few decades, signaling firms’ commitment to integrating IT into core business strategies. Understanding the conditions under which firms appoint a chief information officer (CIO) can provide valuable insights into the evolving role of IT in corporate governance. This study addresses a crucial gap in the literature by exploring the determinants of a firm’s decision to hire a CIO at the top management level. The study identifies several factors that influence a firm’s decision to appoint a CIO, including the firm’s size, its level of innovation, and its prior performance. The study examines these assertions by comparing the characteristics of firms that appoint a CIO at the top management level with those of similar firms in their industries that do not have a CIO position prior to the appointment. A logistic regression model that considers CIO firms and their matched firms indicates that firms that have larger capital expenditures, higher market value, or have experienced loss are more likely to hire a new CIO. Our study provides empirical evidence on why certain firms prioritize IT leadership at the executive level. Full article

Background/Objectives: The impact of government health spending and external debt on maternal mortality has been the subject of ongoing theoretical and empirical discussions. However, this relationship has remained controversial with no perspective on the moderating role of external debt on the government’s health expenditure and maternal mortality link. This study examines the moderating effect of external debt on the government’s health expenditure and maternal mortality relation using data from 13 Southern African economies spanning from 2000 to 2022. Methods: We employed the augmented mean group, the dynamic common correlation effect mean group, and the Driscoll–Kraay and Granger causality techniques to attain the study’s objective. Results: The outcome revealed that government health expenditure and external debt reduce maternal mortality in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Equally, the magnitude of government health spending is moderated by external debt. The results revealed a bidirectional relation amidst maternal mortality and government health expenditure, and maternal mortality and external debt. Conclusions: The study recommends that policymakers within the SADC zone should avoid austerity measures and encourage expansionary measures in terms of spending, and the contraction of debt for capital investment in the health sector. This will enhance the delivery of health services within the zone and equally reduce the rate of maternal mortality that is still a major health concern within the sub-region. Full article

Financial institutions should prioritize the adoption of comprehensive Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance (ESG) disclosure policies to improve their market reputation and decrease capital expenditures. The current study’s research objective is to investigate the impact of both inside and outside executives on the successive adoption of ESG strategies, based on the sustainable leadership theoretical framework and the bottom-up corporate governance theory. Data for the current study were obtained from the Refinitiv Eikon database and analyzed through using the entropy weight and TOPSIS techniques. The research suggests that including fully autonomous board members has the potential to improve the transparency of firms’ ESG criteria. This result was derived from an analysis of data pertaining to the behavior of CEOs and non-executives at the company level in Fiscal Year (FY) 2023. The verification of the soundness and dependability of this finding has been carried out by scrutinizing the problem of endogeneity and diverse techniques of data representation. Furthermore, our study has disproven the idea that having CEOs on the board of directors may significantly improve the ESG performance of financial institutions. Consequently, the research proposes that adopting a strict policy of board independence has the capacity to alleviate the environmental, social, and governance repercussions that arise from the control of internal executives, namely CEOs. Full article

This study aims to analyse how financial ratios such as the independence ratio, effectiveness ratio, efficiency ratio, fiscal decentralisation ratio, dependency ratio, and compatibility ratio affect economic growth, directly or indirectly, through capital expenditure as a mediating factor. This research used a quantitative approach; purposive sampling was conducted, and path analysis was applied to explore the relationships between variables. The results show that self-reliance, effectiveness, efficiency, fiscal decentralisation, dependency, and capital expenditure significantly affect economic growth. The independence and effectiveness ratios have a positive impact, indicating that improvements in these variables directly foster economic growth. However, the efficiency and fiscal decentralisation ratios have a negative effect, suggesting that increases in these variables may reduce economic growth. Indirectly, through capital expenditure, the independence, effectiveness, dependency, and compatibility ratios significantly affect economic growth, with the independence ratio being the most dominant. Conversely, the fiscal decentralisation and efficiency ratios did not show significant indirect effects, indicating that capital expenditure is not an effective mediator for these variables. These findings provide insights into how local financial management strategies can influence regional development, offering key policy recommendations for Banten’s local government. Full article

South Africa’s economic growth has been slow since the 1980s due to inefficiencies in the manufacturing, mining and quarrying, ICT, electricity, gas, and water sectors. This article uses the theoretical framework and growth rates to identify key reasons for this slowdown. Key issues include inefficiencies within the gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) and inadequate infrastructure, primarily due to government behavior. This article used secondary data to perform the desktop analysis. To promote economic growth, the South African government and allied stakeholders should consider increasing investments in public infrastructure and financing research and development. This article argues that economic growth is driven by government expenditure, easy access to financing, and technological advancements. To promote economic growth, a comprehensive approach is needed, including tax breaks, loan guarantees, and pro-business legislation. Full article

This study investigates the influence of government effectiveness, health expenditure, and sustainable development goals (SDGs) on life expectancy in Pakistan. To accomplish this, a systematic analysis was conducted on time series data spanning from 2000 to 2020. Cointegration analysis was utilized to evaluate the long-term integration of all variables, while a comprehensive causality test was performed to investigate the short-term links among government effectiveness, health expenditure, SDGs, and life expectancy. The findings of the Johansen Cointegration test definitively confirmed the presence of long-term cointegration among all variables. In addition, the results of the Granger causality test show that there is a one-way causal relationship between government performance, health spending, and SDGs to life expectancy in the short term. The validation of both enduring and immediate connections among these factors emphasizes the crucial significance of healthcare services in Pakistan. Therefore, it is important to push for more healthcare investments and increased national budget allocations by the Pakistani government. Prioritizing the allocation of resources towards healthcare, bolstering the efficiency of the administration, and attaining SDG targets are all crucial for enhancing life expectancy in Pakistan. The study’s results also carry significant policy implications, underscoring the necessity of strategically implementing health expenditure and SDG targets to enhance human capital and population well-being, as demonstrated by the increased life expectancy. Full article