Search Results (30)

This study investigates the long-run and short-run relationships between capital market development, foreign direct investment, trade openness, and real GDP per capita in Romania over 2003–2024, employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach, complemented by lag-augmented VAR Granger-causality analysis and a comprehensive set of diagnostic and stability tests. The bounds tests strongly reject the null of no cointegration, confirming a long-run relationship that remains robust under finite-sample critical values. The causality analysis demonstrates a supply-leading mechanism from the equity market to real economic activity, while economic growth in turn Granger-causes both market liquidity and trade openness, pointing to demand-following dynamics for these channels. The analysis shows that foreign direct investment, market liquidity, and trade openness exert positive and significant short-run effects; yet their long-run coefficients are negative, significantly for FDI (foreign direct investments), capturing an asymmetry between immediate output gains and durable structural contribution that is characteristic of emerging European economies. The error-correction term is positive, demonstrating that real GDP (gross domestic product) per capita does not adjust back toward the long-run relationship in the conventional sense, but, instead, it behaves as a forcing variable that leads the financial and trade channels rather than being led by them. All in all, the findings describe an economy with functional short-run transmission channels, but limited long-run structural anchoring, with direct relevance for Sustainable Development Goals 8 and 17 and Romania’s ongoing OECD accession. Full article

This study investigates the effects of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adoption on foreign investment in the Japanese equity market. Previous research suggests that a positive relationship between IFRS adoption and foreign investment typically emerges when a country meets specific conditions, such as a strong regulatory environment or credible improvements in reporting uniformity. We contribute to this literature by re-examining the effects of voluntary IFRS adoption on the foreign shareholding ratio of Japanese companies from 2010 to 2023. Our analysis explicitly controls for the impact of reduced cross-shareholdings and increased share buybacks—structural factors likely to affect the capacity for foreign ownership. Using a difference-in-differences approach combined with propensity score matching to mitigate endogeneity, we compare 168 voluntary IFRS adopters against a control group of non-adopters. Unlike previous studies that reported no significant relationship in Japan—largely attributable to different denominator constructions for foreign shareholding ratios or shorter observation periods—our approach demonstrates that IFRS adoption significantly increases foreign investment over an extended horizon. Full article

Sub-Saharan African health systems face critical funding challenges due to declining foreign aid, mounting debt and increasing disease burdens. Traditional financing mechanisms have proven inadequate, necessitating the exploration of innovative domestic revenue mobilization (DRM) strategies. This paper contributes to the health economics literature by examining the use of innovative tax models as DRM strategies for sustainable health financing in Sub-Saharan Africa, using the fiscal space for health framework. This narrative review synthesizes peer-reviewed articles, policy documents, and grey literature published between 2010 and 2025. The review identifies four promising innovative models: health taxes (tobacco, alcohol, sugar-sweetened beverages), environmental levies (pollution, carbon, plastic), digital taxation (digital services taxes, mobile money taxes, Value Added Tax (VAT) on digital services) and resource extraction taxes. The evidence demonstrates significant revenue generation potential while achieving public health and environmental co-benefits. However, critical implementation challenges persist: weak administrative capacity, poor governance quality, equity concerns and extensive informality and economic diversity. The paper recommends strengthening tax administration through digital infrastructure investment and capacity building, implementing progressive tax design with targeted exemptions, enhancing transparency and linking tax revenue to health service delivery, and tailoring reforms to country-specific contexts while learning from regional experience. Full article

This study examines how market leadership in Indian equities has structurally shifted away from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) toward domestic institutional investors (DIIs) and mutual funds (MFs), and it evaluates the systemic risks created by this rebalancing. Using monthly transaction data from April 2007 to January 2026, we analyze evolving investment patterns among FIIs, DIIs, and MFs by employing trend analysis, Pearson’s and Spearman’s correlation analyses, phase decomposition, stationarity tests, Granger causality analysis, ARIMA modelling, and GARCH volatility estimation. Since 2021, FIIs have recorded cumulative net outflows exceeding ₹8.68 lakh crore (US$95.36 billion), while DIIs mainly led by mutual funds financed largely through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) have made net purchases of over ₹19.37 lakh crore (US$212.67 billion), effectively absorbing FII selling and helping to maintain elevated index levels. The trend continues with SENSEX having remained above 80,000 points through 2025 despite persistent FII disengagement. The DII share of total market purchases rose from approximately 39% in 2017 to over 54% by January 2026, documenting a structural shift in market composition. The results show that DII flows have stayed positively and significantly correlated with SENSEX, with FII flows being significantly negatively correlated. Granger causality tests suggest market-responsive rather than market-driving behavior by domestic institutions. Drawing upon Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis and behavioral finance frameworks, we interpret that prolonged domestic absorption of FII exists where direct fundamental evidence is unavailable. The Minsky-type fragility interpretation is offered as a structured hypothesis for future empirical investigation. The findings carry important implications for retail investors, fund managers, and regulators. Full article

This paper examines the influence of Monetary Policy Transparency on Foreign Equity Portfolio Allocation by addressing the informational frictions that shape cross-border investment in Financial Markets. Building on recent developments in central bank communication, we construct a multidimensional measure of Monetary Policy Transparency that extends traditional frameworks by incorporating Accounting Information Transparency and Financial Stability Transparency. This enhanced index provides a more comprehensive representation of the informational environment faced by foreign investors. Using a panel of developed and emerging economies over a twenty-year period, the empirical analysis combines OLS and system GMM estimations to account for endogeneity, dynamic effects, and unobserved heterogeneity. The results indicate that higher levels of Monetary Policy Transparency significantly increase the attractiveness of domestic equity markets to foreign investors, with heterogeneous effects across country groups linked to differences in institutional credibility and financial integration. Overall, the findings highlight multidimensional transparency as a key determinant of Foreign Equity Portfolio Allocation, underscoring the strategic importance of Accounting Information Transparency and Financial Stability Transparency in shaping foreign equity portfolio allocation. Full article

This paper compares national hydrogen (H₂) infrastructure plans in Canada, the United States (the USA), Singapore, and Sri Lanka, four countries with varying geographic and economic outlooks but shared targets for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. It examines how each country approaches hydrogen production, pipeline infrastructure, policy incentives, and international collaboration. Canada focuses on large-scale hydrogen production utilizing natural resources and retrofitted natural gas pipelines supplemented by carbon capture technology. The USA promotes regional hydrogen hubs with federal investment and intersectoral collaboration. Singapore suggests an innovation-based, import-dominant strategy featuring hydrogen-compatible infrastructure in a land-constrained region. Sri Lanka maintains an import-facilitated, pilot-scale model facilitated by donor funding and foreign collaboration. This study identifies common challenges such as hydrogen embrittlement, leakages, and infrastructure scalability, as well as fundamental differences based on local conditions. Based on these findings, strategic frameworks are proposed, including scalability, adaptability, partnership, policy architecture, digitalization, and equity. The findings highlight the importance of localized hydrogen solutions, supported by strong international cooperation and international partnerships. Full article

This study investigates the intricate relationships among CO₂ emissions, income inequality, the Economic Complexity Index (ECI), foreign direct investment (FDI), the Human Development Index (HDI), and the economic growth across countries. Three distinct models are developed: the first examines their effects on economic growth, the second analyzes their impact on income inequality, and the third explores their influence on CO₂ emissions. Advanced econometric methods, including Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), are employed to ensure robust and reliable results. The findings indicate that income inequality impedes economic growth, whereas economic growth and greater economic complexity help reduce inequality. While FDI significantly boosts GDP growth, it also widens the income disparities and intensifies environmental degradation, raising questions about the sustainability and quality of foreign investments. In contrast, human development emerges as a vital driver of economic growth and a critical factor in reducing CO₂ emissions, highlighting the value of investing in education, healthcare, and living standards to achieve sustainable development. These insights underscore the necessity for carefully designed policies that harmonize economic progress, social equity, and environmental sustainability. Full article

The aim of this study is to examine the association between the capital flows of foreign institutional investors (FIIs) in the equity derivatives market in India and the implied volatility of options. Previous studies on FIIs and realized volatility in the equity market provide the basis for this study. Covering a period of ten years (2012–2021), this study established the importance of FII capital flows in explaining the implied volatility of options. The Granger causality test confirms the unidirectional flow of causality between FII and implied volatility (VIX) in the Indian stock market. The vector autoregression model developed in the study confirms the dynamic relationship between implied volatility and the investment behavior of foreign institutional investors (FIIs). The outcome of this study will help options traders to understand the mispricing of options because of FII’s buying pressure on implied volatility. The results will also help policymakers understand how institutional investors influence option pricing so that appropriate decisions can be made. Full article

Listed companies have long faced difficulties in both their global investment strategies and corporate governance improvement, while they are supposed to pay more attention to their sustainable development performance. The complex linkages between these three make the choice of corporate strategy a challenge for public companies. Given the economic downturn in the post-pandemic era, the challenges for listed companies are likely to be even more acute. How companies weigh the relationships between these three and how to ensure the implementation of a global investment strategy that effectively meets sustainable development are pressing challenges. Using a sample of Chinese listed companies during 2010–2018, this paper empirically examines the relationship between corporate sustainable development performance, global investment reflected by outward foreign direct investment (OFDI), and corporate governance reflected by equity incentives with econometric tools. We show the positive effects of OFDI on corporate sustainable development performance and discover the crowding-out effect of equity incentives, which challenges the view of equity motivation. These findings are robust. We further explore the heterogeneities in terms of industries and regions. We finally provide some useful implications on how to coordinate the global investment and internal equity incentives to improve corporate sustainable development performance. Full article

Since the going-global approach of Chinese enterprises has accelerated, the host country’s foreign direct investments (FDI) restrictiveness index has dramatically influenced the upgrading of China’s trade structure. This study investigates the relationship between the host country’s FDI restrictiveness index and the export sophistication of the home country. Using two-way fixed-impact models and firm-based microcosmic data, it verifies the impacts of reverse technology spillover (RTS) by the intermediary model. The empirical outcomes illustrate that the host country’s FDI restrictiveness index significantly inhibits the export sophistication of the home country. In particular, overseas equity restrictions, selection and endorsement requirements, and additional operational limitations hold more substantial influence. However, the limits on key foreign experts have promoted the export sophistication of the home country. Seemingly, host countries’ FDI restrictiveness has inhibited export sophistication in the textile industry and the processing of the resource industry but promoted the same in the mechanical and electronic industries. Likewise, the host country’s FDI restrictiveness impacts the export sophistication of the home nation through resource allocation. Manufacturing enterprises increased export sophistication by guiding resource allocation, and export trade models were changed from the previous quantitative competition to quality competition. Full article

The price-to-rent (PtR) ratio is one of the most commonly used indicators to assess housing market conditions by policy makers and real estate practitioners. It is often employed as an economic barometer to detect whether a housing bubble exists and determine whether the property market has become unaffordable relative to historical trends. Despite a plethora of research studies on the PtR ratio in the housing literature, relatively little is known about its long-term dynamics with macroeconomic and financial determinants. By utilising time series data on the Hong Kong residential property market, this study examines the cointegration and causal relationships between a wide spectrum of macroeconomic indicators and the PtR ratios of housing segments of different tiers which comprise different socioeconomic groups of homebuyers and investors. The results point towards market compartmentalisation, in the sense that the PtR ratios of the housing submarkets respond to changes in macroeconomic fundamentals in a differential manner. For instance, the PtR ratios of housing segments with a greater proportion of owner-occupiers are statistically less y correlated with investment-related macroeconomic attributes, such as foreign direct investment and equity market performance. On the other hand, the pricing of large-sized housing units in prime locations, generally favoured by investors from mainland China, are found to be Granger-caused by the exchange rate of the Chinese Yuan to the Hong Kong dollar. Full article

This paper attempted to apply an EVT-based pairwise copula method for modelling risk interaction between foreign exchange rates and equity indices of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and to model the dependence structure of the underlying assets with some selected listed stock indices. We filtered the return residuals using the stochastic volatility and GJR-GARCH (1,1) models with different distributions, and we selected the best-fitted model in the GARCH framework. We applied the peaks-over-threshold (POT) method to the filtered residuals to fit it by the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD), and we used the vine copula to model the co-movement between foreign exchange rates and equity indices and value at risk (VaR) for risk quantification. We used three exchange rates (USD, GDP, and EUR) against the South African rand (ZAR) and six industry indices (banking, life insurance, non-life insurance, leisure, telecommunications, and mining). Our empirical findings show that the GJR-GARCH with Student’s t-distribution, combined with a regular (R)-vine copula, outperforms the alternatives models. Dependence structure analysis reveals a strong co-dependency between the stock from the financial industry and foreign exchange rates. The results also show that VaR-based R-vine copula outperforms the model compared to VaR-based D-vine and C-vine before the COVID-19 outbreak, while the D-vine copula produced appears to be the most suitable risk model specification for quantifying risk during the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, VaR-based R-vine copula is suitable for risk quantification, while GJR-GARCH with Student’s t-distribution produces better results in the GARCH framework. Further, we find that equity indices and foreign exchange rates exhibit higher tail risk contagion during the COVID-19 pandemic, with the non-life-insurance and telecommunications sectors appearing to be the investor’s safe haven among the listed sectors of the JSE. Our results will help South African investors seek risk-adjusted returns to substantially reduce the hedging cost of potential loss due to the misspecification of a risk model and make an investment decision during the global health crisis. Full article

In recent years, the global development community has been emphasizing blended finance approaches for economic development without taking into consideration practical implications of the Lucas Paradox, or the observation that capital does not flow from rich to poor countries. To prevent misuse of official development funds as catalysts for private flows, it is crucial to consider the direction of blended finance approaches in light of the Lucas Paradox. To fill this important gap in the literature, this paper investigates determinants of capital flows in recipient countries where a blended finance strategy is applied in light of the Lucas Paradox, with a focus on foreign direct investment and portfolio equity investment. For the analysis, this paper utilizes a cross-sectional sample of 157 countries between 2002 and 2018, including ODA recipients and OECD DAC members, by conducting a regression analysis based on the ordinary least squares (OLS). Our findings suggest that the Lucas Paradox strongly exists in all recipient countries that can utilize ODA as a catalyst, which is the core of the blended finance strategy. Institutional quality, human capital and asymmetric information improvement appear to mitigate the Lucas Paradox, although the paradox does not disappear entirely. In addition, total ODA, institutional and human capital appear to be determinants of the paradox in the multiple regression model. Full article

Although household savings in Japan are among the highest in the world, investment in risky assets is still very low. This study examines whether financial literacy explains the lack of investment in risky assets in Japan. We use data from the Preference Parameter Study, a nationwide survey in Japan that has been conducted by Osaka University. We use investment in stocks, investment trusts, futures/options, Japanese government bonds, government bonds of foreign countries, and foreign currency deposits as a proxy for investment in risky assets. Our results show that investment in risky assets is higher among financially literate people. Moreover, financial literacy has a significantly positive association with investment in risky assets even after controlling the demographic, socio-economic, and psychological factors. We check the robustness of the association between financial literacy and investment in risky assets by segregating investment in risky assets into investment in equity securities and investment in bonds and foreign currencies. Financial literacy is found to be associated with both investment in equity securities and investment in bonds and foreign currencies. Our results are also robust in terms of the endogeneity issue. The results imply that investment in risky assets in financial markets could be increased by introducing financial literacy programs at a mass level. Full article

This paper conducts an analytical study on the urban-rural coordinated development (URCD) in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRDUA), and uses data from 2000–2015 of 27 central cities to study the spatial and temporal evolution patterns of URCD and to discover the influencing factors and driving forces behind it through PCA, ESDA and spatial regression models. It reveals that URCD of the YRDUA shows an obvious club convergence phenomenon during the research duration. The regions with high-level URCD gather mainly in the central part of the urban agglomeration, while the remaining regions mostly have low-level URCD, reflecting the regional aggregation phenomenon of spatial divergence. At the same time, we split URCD into efficiency and equity: urban-rural efficient development (URED) also exhibits similar spatiotemporal evolution patterns, but the patterns of urban-rural balanced development (URBD) show some variability. Finally, by analyzing the driving forces in major years during 2000–2015, it can be concluded that: (i) In recent years, influencing factors such as government financial input and consumption no longer play the main driving role. (ii) Influencing factors such as industrialization degree, fixed asset investment and foreign investment even limit URCD in some years. The above results also show that the government should redesign at the system level to give full play to the contributing factors depending on the actual state of development in different regions and promote the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. The results of this study show that the idea of measuring URCD from two dimensions of efficiency and equity is practical and feasible, and the spatial econometric model can reveal the spatial distribution heterogeneity and time evolution characteristics of regional development, which can provide useful insights for urban-rural integration development of other countries and regions. Full article