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42 pages, 4980 KB  
Article
Socially Grounded IoT Protocol for Reliable Computer Vision in Industrial Applications
by Gokulnath Chidambaram, Shreyanka Subbarayappa and Sai Baba Magapu
Future Internet 2026, 18(2), 69; https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18020069 - 27 Jan 2026
Abstract
The Social Internet of Things (SIoT) enables collaborative service provisioning among interconnected devices by leveraging socially inspired trust relationships. This paper proposes a socially driven SIoT protocol for trust-aware service selection, enabling dynamic friendship formation and ranking among distributed service-providing devices based on [...] Read more.
The Social Internet of Things (SIoT) enables collaborative service provisioning among interconnected devices by leveraging socially inspired trust relationships. This paper proposes a socially driven SIoT protocol for trust-aware service selection, enabling dynamic friendship formation and ranking among distributed service-providing devices based on observed execution behavior. The protocol integrates detection accuracy, round-trip time (RTT), processing time, and device characteristics within a graph-based friendship model and employs PageRank-based scoring to guide service selection. Industrial computer vision workloads are used as a representative testbed to evaluate the proposed SIoT trust-evaluation framework under realistic execution and network constraints. In homogeneous environments with comparable service-provider capabilities, friendship scores consistently favor higher-accuracy detection pipelines, with F1-scores in the range of approximately 0.25–0.28, while latency and processing-time variations remain limited. In heterogeneous environments comprising resource-diverse devices, trust differentiation reflects the combined influence of algorithm accuracy and execution feasibility, resulting in clear service-provider ranking under high-resolution and high-frame-rate workloads. Experimental results further show that reducing available network bandwidth from 100 Mbps to 10 Mbps increases round-trip communication latency by approximately one order of magnitude, while detection accuracy remains largely invariant. The evaluation is conducted on a physical SIoT testbed with three interconnected devices, forming an 11-node, 22-edge logical trust graph, and on synthetic trust graphs with up to 50 service-providing nodes. Across all settings, service-selection decisions remain stable, and PageRank-based friendship scoring is completed in approximately 20 ms, incurring negligible overhead relative to inference and communication latency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Social Internet of Things (SIoT))
24 pages, 1048 KB  
Article
Women’s Perspectives on Factors That Most Impacted Their Sense of Belonging in Undergraduate Active Learning Calculus
by Casey Griffin
Educ. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 194; https://doi.org/10.3390/educsci16020194 - 27 Jan 2026
Abstract
Feeling a low sense of belonging is a key reason for women leaving science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) majors. Calculus is a common dropout point at which women leave their STEM major. In order to support women’s sense of belonging in this [...] Read more.
Feeling a low sense of belonging is a key reason for women leaving science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) majors. Calculus is a common dropout point at which women leave their STEM major. In order to support women’s sense of belonging in this critical course, we need a deeper understanding of what contributes to women’s sense of belonging. In this report, I present a preliminary theoretical framework linking sense of belonging and factors described in the literature as contributors to sense of belonging: social connectedness, perceived competence, and features of the learning environment. I then report on a study in which women were asked to rank order these contributors from most to least impactful on their sense of belonging, and explain their rankings. Based on their rankings and explanations, initial hypothesized links were confirmed and new links emerged, which are summarized in a revised theoretical framework. Results showcase ways the contributors work together rather than separately to support women’s sense of belonging. Further, explanations of rankings highlight the notable and dynamic impact that social connectedness has on sense of belonging and suggest ways instructors can support women’s sense of belonging in Calculus by incorporating opportunities to interact into their pedagogies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Engaging Students to Transform Tertiary Mathematics Education)
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29 pages, 3431 KB  
Article
Evolution Mechanism of Volume Parameters and Gradation Optimization Method for Asphalt Mixtures Based on Dual-Domain Fractal Theory
by Bangyan Hu, Zhendong Qian, Fei Zhang and Yu Zhang
Materials 2026, 19(3), 488; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19030488 - 26 Jan 2026
Abstract
The primary objective of this study is to bridge the gap between descriptive geometry and mechanistic design by establishing a dual-domain fractal framework to analyze the internal architecture of asphalt mixtures. This research quantitatively assesses the sensitivity of volumetric indicators—namely air voids (VV), [...] Read more.
The primary objective of this study is to bridge the gap between descriptive geometry and mechanistic design by establishing a dual-domain fractal framework to analyze the internal architecture of asphalt mixtures. This research quantitatively assesses the sensitivity of volumetric indicators—namely air voids (VV), voids in mineral aggregate (VMA), and voids filled with asphalt (VFA)—by employing the coarse aggregate fractal dimension (Dc), the fine aggregate fractal dimension (Df), and the coarse-to-fine ratio (k) through Grey Relational Analysis (GRA). The findings demonstrate that whereas Df and k substantially influence macro-volumetric parameters, the mesoscopic void fractal dimension (DV) remains structurally unchanged, indicating that gradation predominantly dictates void volume rather than geometric intricacy. Sensitivity rankings create a prevailing hierarchy: Process Control (Compaction) > Skeleton Regulation (Dc) > Phase Filling (Pb) > Gradation Adjustment (k, Df). Dc is recognized as the principal regulator of VMA, while binder content (Pb) governs VFA. A “Robust Design” methodology is suggested, emphasizing Dc to stabilize the mineral framework and reduce sensitivity to construction variations. A comparative investigation reveals that the optimized gradation (OG) achieves a more stable volumetric condition and enhanced mechanical performance relative to conventional empirical gradations. Specifically, the OG group demonstrated a substantial 112% enhancement in dynamic stability (2617 times/mm compared to 1230 times/mm) and a 75% increase in average film thickness (AFT), while ensuring consistent moisture and low-temperature resistance. In conclusion, this study transforms asphalt mixture design from empirical trial-and-error to a precision-engineered methodology, providing a robust instrument for optimizing the long-term durability of pavements in extreme cold and arid environments. Full article
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25 pages, 7116 KB  
Article
Mitogenomic Insights into the Hampala Barb (Hampala macrolepidota) from Sumatra, Indonesia: Characterization, Phylogenetic Placement, and Genetic Diversity
by Arief Wujdi, Angkasa Putra, Sarifah Aini, Gyurim Bang, Yunji Go, Ah Ran Kim, Soo Rin Lee, Kyoungmi Kang, Hyun-Woo Kim and Shantanu Kundu
Biomolecules 2026, 16(2), 185; https://doi.org/10.3390/biom16020185 - 26 Jan 2026
Abstract
Despite its ecological and economic importance, Hampala macrolepidota (Cyprinidae: Smiliogastrinae) remains taxonomically debated, having undergone historical reclassifications across multiple taxonomic ranks. These challenges highlight the urgent need for integrative genomic analyses to resolve its phylogeny and assess genome-wide diversity, establishing a baseline for [...] Read more.
Despite its ecological and economic importance, Hampala macrolepidota (Cyprinidae: Smiliogastrinae) remains taxonomically debated, having undergone historical reclassifications across multiple taxonomic ranks. These challenges highlight the urgent need for integrative genomic analyses to resolve its phylogeny and assess genome-wide diversity, establishing a baseline for effective management and conservation. In this study, the newly assembled mitogenome of H. macrolepidota from within its native range in Lake Dibawah, West Sumatra, Indonesia, was sequenced. The mitogenome spanned 17,104 bp, encoded 37 genes and a control region, and exhibited a nucleotide composition biased toward adenine and thymine. The protein-coding genes (PCGs) predominantly utilized ATG as the initiation codon and showed a higher proportion of hydrophobic compared to hydrophilic amino acids. The nonsynonymous (Ka) and synonymous (Ks) substitution ratios were below ‘1’, which indicates negative selection on most of the PCGs within Hampala and other Smiliogastrinae species. Mitogenome-wide analysis revealed overall high intraspecific genetic diversity (≥2.7%) in the native Indonesian population compared to mainland populations in Southeast Asia. The Bayesian and maximum-likelihood phylogenetic analyses elucidated matrilineal evolutionary relationships within the subfamily Smiliogastrinae, with the Hampala species forming a monophyletic cluster. The present mitogenome-based phylogenetic topologies also supported the taxonomic placement of several species in the revised classification, which previously were classified under the genera Puntius and Barbus, respectively. Additionally, the investigation of partial mitochondrial COI and Cytb genes further elucidated the population genetic structure of H. macrolepidota across Southeast and East Asia. The observed genetic divergence (0–4.2% in COI and 0–4.5% in Cytb), together with well-resolved phylogenetic clustering and the presence of both shared and distinct haplotypes among Indonesian samples, provides strong evidence for long-term population isolation and local adaptation. These patterns are most plausibly driven by historical hydrological dynamics, paleo-drainage connectivity, and persistent geographic barriers that have structured population divergence over time. In addition, this study emphasizes the need to generate mitogenomes of seven additional Hampala species from Southeast Asia to better understand their evolutionary patterns. Further, broader sampling of wild H. macrolepidota populations across their biogeographical range will be essential to strengthen understanding of their genetic diversity and guide effective conservation strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Genomics in Biodiversity Conservation (Vertebrates and Invertebrates))
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38 pages, 6300 KB  
Article
Fused Unbalanced Gromov–Wasserstein-Based Network Distributional Resilience Analysis for Critical Infrastructure Assessment
by Iman Seyedi, Antonio Candelieri and Francesco Archetti
Mathematics 2026, 14(3), 417; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030417 - 25 Jan 2026
Viewed by 45
Abstract
Identifying critical infrastructure in transportation networks requires metrics that can capture both the topological structure and how demand is redistributed during disruptions. Conventional graph-theoretic approaches fail to jointly quantify these vulnerabilities. This study presents a computational framework for edge-criticality assessment based on the [...] Read more.
Identifying critical infrastructure in transportation networks requires metrics that can capture both the topological structure and how demand is redistributed during disruptions. Conventional graph-theoretic approaches fail to jointly quantify these vulnerabilities. This study presents a computational framework for edge-criticality assessment based on the Fused Unbalanced Gromov–Wasserstein (FUGW) distance, incorporating both structural similarity and demand characteristics of network nodes in an optimal transport tool. The three hyperparameters that influence FUGW accuracy—fusion weight, entropic regularization, and marginal penalties—were tuned using Bayesian optimization. This ensures the rankings remain accurate, stable, and reproducible under temporal variability and demand shifts. We apply the framework to a benchmark transportation network evaluated across four diurnal periods, capturing dynamic congestion and shifting demand patterns. Systematic variation in the fusion parameter shows seven consistently critical edges whose rankings remain stable across analytical configurations. It can be concluded from the results that monotonic scaling with increasing feature emphasis, strong cross-hyperparameter correlation, and low temporal variability confirm the robustness of the inferred criticality hierarchy. These edges represent both structural bridges and demand concentration points, offering α indicators of network vulnerability. These findings demonstrate that FUGW provides a solid and scalable method of assessing transportation vulnerabilities. It helps support clear decisions on maintenance planning, redundancy, and resilience investments. Full article
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22 pages, 3757 KB  
Article
Ensemble Machine Learning for Operational Water Quality Monitoring Using Weighted Model Fusion for pH Forecasting
by Wenwen Chen, Yinzi Shao, Zhicheng Xu, Zhou Bing, Shuhe Cui, Zhenxiang Dai, Shuai Yin, Yuewen Gao and Lili Liu
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1200; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031200 - 24 Jan 2026
Viewed by 93
Abstract
Water quality monitoring faces increasing challenges due to accelerating industrialization and urbanization, demanding accurate, real-time, and reliable prediction technologies. This study presents a novel ensemble learning framework integrating Gaussian Process Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Random Forest algorithms for high-precision water quality pH [...] Read more.
Water quality monitoring faces increasing challenges due to accelerating industrialization and urbanization, demanding accurate, real-time, and reliable prediction technologies. This study presents a novel ensemble learning framework integrating Gaussian Process Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Random Forest algorithms for high-precision water quality pH prediction. The research utilized a comprehensive spatiotemporal dataset, comprising 11 water quality parameters from 37 monitoring stations across Georgia, USA, spanning 705 days from January 2016 to January 2018. The ensemble model employed a dynamic weight allocation strategy based on cross-validation error performance, assigning optimal weights of 34.27% to Random Forest, 33.26% to Support Vector Regression, and 32.47% to Gaussian Process Regression. The integrated approach achieved superior predictive performance, with a mean absolute error of 0.0062 and coefficient of determination of 0.8533, outperforming individual base learners across multiple evaluation metrics. Statistical significance testing using Wilcoxon signed-rank tests with a Bonferroni correction confirmed that the ensemble significantly outperforms all individual models (p < 0.001). Comparison with state-of-the-art models (LightGBM, XGBoost, TabNet) demonstrated competitive or superior ensemble performance. Comprehensive ablation experiments revealed that Random Forest removal causes the largest performance degradation (+4.43% MAE increase). Feature importance analysis revealed the dissolved oxygen maximum and conductance mean as the most influential predictors, contributing 22.1% and 17.5%, respectively. Cross-validation results demonstrated robust model stability with a mean absolute error of 0.0053 ± 0.0002, while bootstrap confidence intervals confirmed narrow uncertainty bounds of 0.0060 to 0.0066. Spatiotemporal analysis identified station-specific performance variations ranging from 0.0036 to 0.0150 MAE. High-error stations (12, 29, 33) were analyzed to distinguish characteristics, including higher pH variability and potential upstream pollution influences. An integrated software platform was developed featuring intuitive interface, real-time prediction, and comprehensive visualization tools for environmental monitoring applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
17 pages, 3585 KB  
Article
Frontal Theta Oscillations in Perceptual Decision-Making Reflect Cognitive Control and Confidence
by Rashmi Parajuli, Eleanor Flynn and Mukesh Dhamala
Brain Sci. 2026, 16(2), 123; https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16020123 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 103
Abstract
Background: Perceptual decision-making requires transforming sensory inputs into goal-directed actions under uncertainty. Neural oscillations in the theta band (3–7 Hz), particularly within frontal regions, have been implicated in cognitive control and decision confidence. However, whether changes in theta oscillations reflect greater effort during [...] Read more.
Background: Perceptual decision-making requires transforming sensory inputs into goal-directed actions under uncertainty. Neural oscillations in the theta band (3–7 Hz), particularly within frontal regions, have been implicated in cognitive control and decision confidence. However, whether changes in theta oscillations reflect greater effort during ambiguous decisions or more efficient control during clear conditions remains debated, and theta’s relationship to stimulus clarity is incompletely understood. Purpose: This study’s purpose was to examine how task difficulty modulates theta activity and how theta dynamics evolve across the decision-making process using two complementary analytical approaches. Methods: Electroencephalography (EEG) data were acquired from 26 healthy adults performing a face/house categorization task with images containing three levels of scrambled phase and Gaussian noise: clear (0%), moderate (40%), and high (55%). Theta dynamics were assessed from current source density (CSD) time courses of event-related potentials (ERPs) and single-trials. Statistical comparisons used Wilcoxon signed-rank tests with false discovery rate (FDR) correction for multiple comparisons. Results: Frontal theta power was greater for clear than noisy face stimuli (corrected p < 0.001), suggesting that theta activity reflects cognitive control effectiveness and decision confidence rather than processing difficulty. Connectivity decomposition revealed that frontoparietal theta coupling was modulated by stimulus clarity through both phase-locked (evoked: corrected p = 0.0085, dz = −0.61) and ongoing (induced: corrected p = 0.049, dz = −0.36) synchronization, with phase-locked coordination dominating the effect and showing opposite directionality to the induced components. Conclusions: Theta oscillations support perceptual decision-making through stimulus clarity modulation of both phase-locked and ongoing synchronization, with evoked component dominating. These findings underscore the importance of methodological choices in EEG-based connectivity research, as different analytical approaches capture different aspects of the same neural dynamics. The pattern of stronger theta activity for clear stimuli is consistent with neural processes related to decision confidence, though confidence was not measured behaviorally. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Cognitive, Social and Affective Neuroscience)
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21 pages, 5177 KB  
Article
Identification of FDA-Approved Drugs as Potential Inhibitors of WEE2: Structure-Based Virtual Screening and Molecular Dynamics with Perspectives for Machine Learning-Assisted Prioritization
by Shahid Ali, Abdelbaset Mohamed Elasbali, Wael Alzahrani, Taj Mohammad, Md. Imtaiyaz Hassan and Teng Zhou
Life 2026, 16(2), 185; https://doi.org/10.3390/life16020185 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 244
Abstract
Wee1-like protein kinase 2 (WEE2) is an oocyte-specific kinase that regulates meiotic arrest and fertilization. Its largely restricted expression in female germ cells and absence in somatic tissues make it a highly selective target for reproductive health interventions. Despite its central role in [...] Read more.
Wee1-like protein kinase 2 (WEE2) is an oocyte-specific kinase that regulates meiotic arrest and fertilization. Its largely restricted expression in female germ cells and absence in somatic tissues make it a highly selective target for reproductive health interventions. Despite its central role in human fertility, no clinically approved WEE2 modulator is available. In this study, we employed an integrated in silico approach that combines structure-based virtual screening, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, and MM-PBSA free-energy calculations to identify repurposed drug candidates with potential WEE2 inhibitory activity. Screening of ~3800 DrugBank compounds against the WEE2 catalytic domain yielded ten high-affinity hits, from which Midostaurin and Nilotinib emerged as the most mechanistically relevant based on kinase-targeting properties and pharmacological profiles. Docking analyses revealed strong binding affinities (−11.5 and −11.3 kcal/mol) and interaction fingerprints highly similar to the reference inhibitor MK1775, including key contacts with hinge-region residues Val220, Tyr291, and Cys292. All-atom MD simulations for 300 ns demonstrated that both compounds induce stable protein–ligand complexes with minimal conformational drift, decreased residual flexibility, preserved compactness, and stable intramolecular hydrogen-bond networks. Principal component and free-energy landscape analyses further indicate restricted conformational sampling of WEE2 upon ligand binding, supporting ligand-induced stabilization of the catalytic domain. MM-PBSA calculations confirmed favorable binding free energies for Midostaurin (−18.78 ± 2.23 kJ/mol) and Nilotinib (−17.47 ± 2.95 kJ/mol), exceeding that of MK1775. To increase the translational prioritization of candidate hits, we place our structure-based pipeline in the context of modern machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL)-enabled virtual screening workflows. ML/DL rescoring and graph-based molecular property predictors can rapidly re-rank docking hits and estimate absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity (ADMET) liabilities before in vitro evaluation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Role of Machine and Deep Learning in Drug Screening)
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36 pages, 13674 KB  
Article
A Reference-Point Guided Multi-Objective Crested Porcupine Optimizer for Global Optimization and UAV Path Planning
by Zelei Shi and Chengpeng Li
Mathematics 2026, 14(2), 380; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14020380 - 22 Jan 2026
Viewed by 19
Abstract
Balancing convergence accuracy and population diversity remains a fundamental challenge in multi-objective optimization, particularly for complex and constrained engineering problems. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel Multi-Objective Crested Porcupine Optimizer (MOCPO), inspired by the hierarchical defensive behaviors of crested porcupines. [...] Read more.
Balancing convergence accuracy and population diversity remains a fundamental challenge in multi-objective optimization, particularly for complex and constrained engineering problems. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel Multi-Objective Crested Porcupine Optimizer (MOCPO), inspired by the hierarchical defensive behaviors of crested porcupines. The proposed algorithm integrates four biologically motivated defense strategies—vision, hearing, scent diffusion, and physical attack—into a unified optimization framework, where global exploration and local exploitation are dynamically coordinated. To effectively extend the original optimizer to multi-objective scenarios, MOCPO incorporates a reference-point guided external archiving mechanism to preserve a well-distributed set of non-dominated solutions, along with an environmental selection strategy that adaptively partitions the objective space and enhances solution quality. Furthermore, a multi-level leadership mechanism based on Euclidean distance is introduced to provide region-specific guidance, enabling precise and uniform coverage of the Pareto front. The performance of MOCPO is comprehensively evaluated on 18 benchmark problems from the WFG and CF test suites. Experimental results demonstrate that MOCPO consistently outperforms several state-of-the-art multi-objective algorithms, including MOPSO and NSGA-III, in terms of IGD, GD, HV, and Spread metrics, achieving the best overall ranking in Friedman statistical tests. Notably, the proposed algorithm exhibits strong robustness on discontinuous, multimodal, and constrained Pareto fronts. In addition, MOCPO is applied to UAV path planning in four complex terrain scenarios constructed from real digital elevation data. The results show that MOCPO generates shorter, smoother, and more stable flight paths while effectively balancing route length, threat avoidance, flight altitude, and trajectory smoothness. These findings confirm the effectiveness, robustness, and practical applicability of MOCPO for solving complex real-world multi-objective optimization problems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithms)
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26 pages, 2989 KB  
Article
Effects of Licorice Stem and Leaf Semi-Dry Silage Instead of Alfalfa Hay on In Vitro Rumen Fermentation Characteristics and Dynamic Changes of Rumen Microbial Community in Holstein Cows
by Limin Tang, Haonan Liu, Qifeng Gao, Yuliang Sun, Xinyu Xu, Wenghao Li, Dong Lu, Lingfeng Kong, Shudong Liu and Tao Jiang
Vet. Sci. 2026, 13(1), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/vetsci13010108 - 22 Jan 2026
Viewed by 34
Abstract
This experiment aimed to investigate the effects of replacing alfalfa hay with Glycyrrhiza stem and leaf silage (moisture content: 45%) on rumen in vitro fermentation parameters, nutrient digestibility, and dynamic changes of microbial community composition. In vitro fermentation was conducted with 0% (control [...] Read more.
This experiment aimed to investigate the effects of replacing alfalfa hay with Glycyrrhiza stem and leaf silage (moisture content: 45%) on rumen in vitro fermentation parameters, nutrient digestibility, and dynamic changes of microbial community composition. In vitro fermentation was conducted with 0% (control group G0A100), 50% (G50A50), and 100% (G100A0) alfalfa hay replaced by semi-dry silage of Glycyrrhiza stems and leaves with 45% moisture content for 72 h. Cumulative gas production (GP), fermentation parameters, microbial community composition at different time points, and post-fermentation nutrient digestibility were determined, with comprehensive evaluation by principal component analysis (PCA) and gray relational analysis (GRA). Results showed that GP of G50A50 and G100A0 was significantly higher than G0A100 at 3 h (p < 0.05), and that of G50A50 was significantly higher than the other two groups at 24 h (p < 0.05). pH of G50A50 was significantly lower than the other two groups at 3 h (p < 0.05). In vitro dry matter digestibility (IVDMD) at 24 h and 72 h, in vitro neutral detergent fiber digestibility (IVNDFD) at 12 h, and in vitro acid detergent fiber digestibility (IVADFD) at 12, 24 and 72 h of G0A100 and G50A50 were significantly higher than G100A0 (p < 0.05). PCA comprehensive scores ranked as G0A100 (0.170) > G50A50 (0.141) > G100A0 (−0.311). GRA comprehensive scores ranked as G50A50 (0.792) > G0A100 (0.756) > G100A0 (0.681). LEfSe analysis indicated distinct microbial biomarkers at 72 h, and KEGG functional profiles were highly consistent among groups. Under the experimental conditions, 50% Glycyrrhiza stem and leaf silage is recommended to replace alfalfa hay in dairy cow diets. Full article
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24 pages, 3691 KB  
Article
Research on the Complex Network Structure and Spatiotemporal Evolution of Interprovincial Virtual Water Flows in China
by Qing Song, Hongyan Chen and Chuanming Yang
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 1090; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18021090 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 81
Abstract
Water resources constitute a foundational strategic resource, and the efficiency of their spatial allocation profoundly impacts national sustainable development. This study integrates multi-regional input–output modeling, complex network analysis, and exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis methods to systematically examine the patterns, network structures, and spatiotemporal [...] Read more.
Water resources constitute a foundational strategic resource, and the efficiency of their spatial allocation profoundly impacts national sustainable development. This study integrates multi-regional input–output modeling, complex network analysis, and exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis methods to systematically examine the patterns, network structures, and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of virtual water flows across 30 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2023. Findings reveal the following: Virtual water flows underwent a three-stage evolution—“expansion–convergence–stabilization”—forming a “core–periphery” structure spatially: eastern coastal and North China urban clusters as input hubs, while East–Northeast–Northwest China served as primary output regions; The virtual water flow network progressively tightened and segmented, evidenced by increased network density, shorter average path lengths, and enhanced clustering coefficients and transitivity. PageRank analysis reveals significant Matthew effects and structural lock-in within the network; LISA time paths indicate stable spatial structures in most provinces, yet dynamic characteristics are prominent in node provinces like Guangdong and Jiangsu. Spatiotemporal transition analysis further demonstrates high overall system resilience (Type0 transitions accounting for 47%), while abrupt transitions in provinces like Hebei and Liaoning are closely associated with national strategies and industrial restructuring. This study provides theoretical and empirical support for establishing a coordinated allocation mechanism between physical and virtual water resources and formulating differentiated regional water governance policies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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39 pages, 6278 KB  
Article
Towards Generative Interest-Rate Modeling: Neural Perturbations Within the Libor Market Model
by Anna Knezevic
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2026, 19(1), 82; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19010082 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 116
Abstract
This study proposes a neural-augmented Libor Market Model (LMM) for swaption surface calibration that enhances expressive power while maintaining the interpretability, arbitrage-free structure, and numerical stability of the classical framework. Classical LMM parametrizations, based on exponential decay volatility functions and static correlation kernels, [...] Read more.
This study proposes a neural-augmented Libor Market Model (LMM) for swaption surface calibration that enhances expressive power while maintaining the interpretability, arbitrage-free structure, and numerical stability of the classical framework. Classical LMM parametrizations, based on exponential decay volatility functions and static correlation kernels, are known to perform poorly in sparsely quoted and long-tenor regions of swaption volatility cubes. Machine learning–based diffusion models offer flexibility but often lack transparency, stability, and measure-consistent dynamics. To reconcile these requirements, the present approach embeds a compact neural network within the volatility and correlation layers of the LMM, constrained by structural diagnostics, low-rank correlation construction, and HJM-consistent drift. Empirical tests across major currencies (EUR, GBP, USD) and multiple quarterly datasets from 2024 to 2025 show that the neural-augmented LMM consistently outperforms the classical model. Improvements of approximately 7–10% in implied volatility RMSE and 10–15% in PV RMSE are observed across all datasets, with no deterioration in any region of the surface. These results reflect the model’s ability to represent cross-tenor dependencies and surface curvature beyond the reach of classical parametrizations, while remaining economically interpretable and numerically tractable. The findings support hybrid model designs in quantitative finance, where small neural components complement robust analytical structures. The approach aligns with ongoing industry efforts to integrate machine learning into regulatory-compliant pricing models and provides a pathway for future generative LMM variants that retain an arbitrage-free diffusion structure while learning data-driven volatility geometry. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Quantitative Finance in the Era of Big Data and AI)
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41 pages, 5074 KB  
Article
Advanced Characterization of Asphalt Concrete Mixtures Towards Implementation of MEPDG in the UAE
by Soughah Al-Samahi, Waleed Zeiada, Ghazi G. Al-Khateeb, Anas Cherkaoui and Helal Ezzat
Infrastructures 2026, 11(1), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures11010033 - 20 Jan 2026
Viewed by 245
Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive material characterization program to develop the database inputs required for implementing the Mechanistic–Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Five asphalt concrete (AC) mixtures were evaluated, including two conventional penetration-grade binders (PEN 40/50 and [...] Read more.
This study presents a comprehensive material characterization program to develop the database inputs required for implementing the Mechanistic–Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Five asphalt concrete (AC) mixtures were evaluated, including two conventional penetration-grade binders (PEN 40/50 and PEN 60/70) and three SBS-modified binders (PG70E–0, PG76E–10, and PG82E–22). The experimental program followed AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design requirements and included asphalt binder testing (penetration, softening point, rotational viscosity, DSR, and BBR) and AC mixture testing (dynamic modulus, flow number, axial fatigue, and indirect tensile strength). The results showed that SBS-modified binders and mixtures, particularly PG70E–10 and PG82E–22, exhibited improved rheological behavior, reduced permanent deformation, and enhanced fatigue resistance, while PG76E–10 demonstrated intermediate performance, highlighting the influence of polymer formulation and mixture structure. Pavement ME simulations indicated that Level 1 material inputs preserved laboratory-observed performance trends, resulting in lower predicted rutting, fatigue cracking, and International Roughness Index (IRI). In contrast, Level 3 inputs masked material-specific behavior and, in some cases, altered mixture performance rankings. These findings emphasize the necessity of mixture-level testing and Level 1 inputs for reliable mechanistic–empirical pavement design under UAE climatic and traffic conditions. Full article
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27 pages, 6513 KB  
Article
A Validated Framework for Regional Sea-Level Risk on U.S. Coasts: Coupling Satellite Altimetry with Unsupervised Time-Series Clustering and Socioeconomic Exposure
by Swarnabha Roy, Cristhian Roman-Vicharra, Hailiang Hu, Souryendu Das, Zhewen Hu and Stavros Kalafatis
Geomatics 2026, 6(1), 5; https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics6010005 - 19 Jan 2026
Viewed by 112
Abstract
This study presents a validated framework to quantify regional sea-level risk on U.S. coasts by (i) extracting trends and seasonality from satellite altimetry (ADT, GMSL), (ii) learning regional dynamical regimes via PCA-embedded KMeans on gridded ADT time series, and (iii) coupling these regimes [...] Read more.
This study presents a validated framework to quantify regional sea-level risk on U.S. coasts by (i) extracting trends and seasonality from satellite altimetry (ADT, GMSL), (ii) learning regional dynamical regimes via PCA-embedded KMeans on gridded ADT time series, and (iii) coupling these regimes with socioeconomic exposure (population, income, ocean-sector employment/GDP) and wetland submersion scoring. Relative to linear and ARIMA/SARIMA baselines, a sinusoid+trend fit and an LSTM forecaster reduce out-of-sample error (MAE/RMSE) across the North Atlantic, North Pacific, and Gulf of Mexico. The clustering separates high-variability coastal segments, and an interpretable submersion score integrates elevation quantiles and land cover to produce ranked adaptation priorities. Overall, the framework converts heterogeneous physical signals into decision-ready coastal risk tiers to support targeted defenses, zoning, and conservation planning. Full article
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Article
Advanced Consumer Behaviour Analysis: Integrating Eye Tracking, Machine Learning, and Facial Recognition
by José Augusto Rodrigues, António Vieira de Castro and Martín Llamas-Nistal
J. Eye Mov. Res. 2026, 19(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/jemr19010009 - 19 Jan 2026
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Abstract
This study presents DeepVisionAnalytics, an integrated framework that combines eye tracking, OpenCV-based computer vision (CV), and machine learning (ML) to support objective analysis of consumer behaviour in visually driven tasks. Unlike conventional self-reported surveys, which are prone to cognitive bias, recall errors, and [...] Read more.
This study presents DeepVisionAnalytics, an integrated framework that combines eye tracking, OpenCV-based computer vision (CV), and machine learning (ML) to support objective analysis of consumer behaviour in visually driven tasks. Unlike conventional self-reported surveys, which are prone to cognitive bias, recall errors, and social desirability effects, the proposed approach relies on direct behavioural measurements of visual attention. The system captures gaze distribution and fixation dynamics during interaction with products or interfaces. It uses AOI-level eye tracking metrics as the sole behavioural signal to infer candidate choice under constrained experimental conditions. In parallel, OpenCV and ML perform facial analysis to estimate demographic attributes (age, gender, and ethnicity). These attributes are collected independently and linked post hoc to gaze-derived outcomes. Demographics are not used as predictive features for choice inference. Instead, they are used as contextual metadata to support stratified, segment-level interpretation. Empirical results show that gaze-based inference closely reproduces observed choice distributions in short-horizon, visually driven tasks. Demographic estimates enable meaningful post hoc segmentation without affecting the decision mechanism. Together, these results show that multimodal integration can move beyond descriptive heatmaps. The platform produces reproducible decision-support artefacts, including AOI rankings, heatmaps, and segment-level summaries, grounded in objective behavioural data. By separating the decision signal (gaze) from contextual descriptors (demographics), this work contributes a reusable end-to-end platform for marketing and UX research. It supports choice inference under constrained conditions and segment-level interpretation without demographic priors in the decision mechanism. Full article
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