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Keywords = dike breaches

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19 pages, 4731 KB  
Article
In Situ Estimation of Breach Outflow Hydrographs from Fluvial Dike Failures: A Methodology Integrating Real-Time Monitoring and Physical Modelling
by Ricardo Jónatas, Sílvia Amaral, Rui Aleixo, João Bilé Serra and Rui M. L. Ferreira
Infrastructures 2025, 10(12), 335; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures10120335 - 5 Dec 2025
Viewed by 308
Abstract
Embankment structures in civil engineering, such as earth dams and fluvial dikes, have a crucial role in society. These structures, often used for water storage and mining tailing containment, are cost-effective due to their reliance on locally sourced materials. While the failure of [...] Read more.
Embankment structures in civil engineering, such as earth dams and fluvial dikes, have a crucial role in society. These structures, often used for water storage and mining tailing containment, are cost-effective due to their reliance on locally sourced materials. While the failure of concrete structures is not so frequent but often lead to severe consequences, embankment structures, particularly fluvial dikes, are more prone to breach and the consequences vary from mild to catastrophic, depending on the proximity to human populations. Worldwide, some fluvial dike failures have resulted in catastrophic outcomes for human lives, the local economy and the environment. This paper aims to develop a methodology to calculate in situ breach outflow hydrographs, resorting to real-time, non-intrusive and friendly access technology. The goal is to provide a practical platform for developing and testing integrated systems applicable to prototype failure cases. An accurate, real-time hydrograph estimation capacity improves risk assessment. The proposed methodology deploys, in a medium-scale experimental facility, common technology and data processing techniques to characterize the evolution of a fluvial dike failure. The morphodynamic and hydrodynamic components influencing the in situ breach outflow hydrograph are assessed by characterizing, in real-time, the breach morphology at the surface and underwater, the surface velocity maps and the corresponding cartesian coordinates. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Preserving Life Through Dams)
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18 pages, 7354 KB  
Article
Experimental Study on the Mechanism of Overtopping Failure and Breach Development in Homogeneous Earth Dams
by Peisheng Yang, Fugang Xu, Xixi Ye, Folin Li, Xiaohua Xu, Yang Wu and Lingyu Ouyang
Water 2025, 17(23), 3352; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17233352 - 23 Nov 2025
Viewed by 681
Abstract
According to statistics, between 1954 and 2021, China experienced 3558 dam failures in reservoirs, with flood overtopping accounting for 51.04% of these incidents. Once an earth-rock dam fails, it not only directly threatens the lives and property of surrounding residents and disrupts normal [...] Read more.
According to statistics, between 1954 and 2021, China experienced 3558 dam failures in reservoirs, with flood overtopping accounting for 51.04% of these incidents. Once an earth-rock dam fails, it not only directly threatens the lives and property of surrounding residents and disrupts normal living order, but also damages infrastructure such as farmland, transportation, and power systems, resulting in enormous economic losses. To investigate the mechanisms of overtopping failure and breach evolution in homogeneous earthen embankments during flood seasons, this study conducted seven sets of laboratory model tests with the Changkai Embankment in Fuzhou City, Jiangxi Province, as a prototype. The tests considered various operational conditions, including different crest widths, embankment heights, channel water depths, and river flow velocities. The test results are as follows: Overtopping failure of earth embankments can be categorised into three distinct stages. The breach formation process can be categorised into three stages: vertical erosion (stage I), breach expansion (stage II) and breach stabilisation (stage III). River water levels and inflow rates were identified as pivotal factors influencing the final morphology of the breach and the flow velocity within it. Conversely, the height of the dike was found to have little influence on the shape of the breach and the flow velocity. The breach width ranges from 6 cm to 12 cm. An increase in water depth, corresponding to a greater difference in water levels on both sides of the river, has been observed to result in a deeper breach and faster widening rate. Elevated water levels have been shown to increase the potential energy of the water, which is subsequently converted into greater kinetic energy during breach formation. This, in turn, increases the flow velocity at the breach. However, a negative correlation has been observed between inflow velocity and flow at the breach. This paper combines the material properties of the embankment to discuss the overtopping failure mechanism and the breach evolution law of homogeneous earth embankments. This provides a basis for preventing and controlling embankment failure disasters. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Disaster Risks and Resilience in Water Conservancy Projects)
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22 pages, 25970 KB  
Article
Experimental Study on Diversion Dike to Mitigate Debris Flow Blocking River Disaster
by Xing Gao, Liang Li, Longyang Pan, Xingguo Yang, Hongwei Zhou, Jian Liu, Mingyang Wang and Peimin Rao
Water 2025, 17(12), 1736; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17121736 - 8 Jun 2025
Viewed by 1303
Abstract
Barrier lakes formed by debris flows blocking rivers can burst rapidly, posing significant threats to downstream areas. Mitigating the risk of barrier lake breaches caused by debris flow blockages is crucial for ensuring safety in affected regions. This study employed physical experiments to [...] Read more.
Barrier lakes formed by debris flows blocking rivers can burst rapidly, posing significant threats to downstream areas. Mitigating the risk of barrier lake breaches caused by debris flow blockages is crucial for ensuring safety in affected regions. This study employed physical experiments to investigate the influence of connection angles between the main flume and the tributary flume, as well as the installation of diversion dikes, on the morphological characteristics of debris flow deposits and the resulting barrier lake breach behavior. The findings reveal that when the debris flow enters the main flume at an intersection angle of 60°, compared to vertical entry (90°), the deposit’s height and volume are significantly reduced, while its length is increased. However, with the installation of a diversion dike, the height, volume, and length of the deposits are minimized, achieving the smallest values observed. Specifically, compared to vertical entry and a 60° connection angle without a diversion dike, the deposit volume decreased by 31.54~56.26%, height by 10.81~34.75%, and length by 2.33~25.05%. Post-breach observations indicate that the installation of a diversion dike results in the widest breach, the smallest peak flow, and the earliest occurrence of the peak flow. These findings demonstrate that diversion dikes effectively mitigate the barrier lake breach disaster caused by debris flow by altering the deposit morphology. The results provide valuable insights for the prevention and management of debris flow-induced river blockages and associated disasters in mountainous regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrogeology)
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22 pages, 5757 KB  
Article
Uncertainty Analysis of Overflow Due to Sea Dike Failure During Typhoon Events
by Wei-Che Huang, Wen-Cheng Liu and Hong-Ming Liu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(3), 573; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13030573 - 14 Mar 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1181
Abstract
Taiwan is frequently affected by typhoons, which cause storm surges and wave impacts that damage sea dikes, resulting in overflow and subsequent flooding. Therefore, it is essential to analyze the damage to sea dikes caused by storm surges and wave impacts, leading to [...] Read more.
Taiwan is frequently affected by typhoons, which cause storm surges and wave impacts that damage sea dikes, resulting in overflow and subsequent flooding. Therefore, it is essential to analyze the damage to sea dikes caused by storm surges and wave impacts, leading to overflow, for effective coastal protection. This study employs the ADCIRC model coupled with the SWAN model to simulate storm surges and waves around Taiwan and develops a sea dike failure model that incorporates mechanisms for impact damage, run-up damage, and overflow calculation. To ensure model accuracy, three historical typhoon events were used for calibration and validation of the ADCIRC+SWAN model. The results show that the ADCIRC coupled with SWAN model can effectively simulate storm surges and waves during typhoons. Typhoon Soulik (2013) was simulated to examine a breach in the Tamsui Youchekou sea dike in northern Taiwan, and an uncertainty analysis was conducted using the Monte Carlo method and Bayesian theorem. The results indicate that when the compressive strength of the sea dike is reduced to 5% of its original strength, impact and run-up damage occur, leading to overflow. In the case of impact damage, the overflow volume due to the breach falls within a 95% confidence interval of 0.16 × 106 m3 to 130 × 106 m3. For run-up damage, the 95% confidence interval for the overflow volume ranges from 0.16 × 106 m3 to 639 × 106 m3. The ADCIRC+SWAN model is used to simulate storm surge and waves, incorporating impact damage and run-up damage mechanisms to represent concrete sea dike failure. This approach effectively models dike failure and calculates the resulting overflow. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Storm Tide and Wave Simulations and Assessment)
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21 pages, 12616 KB  
Article
Numerical Simulations Using iRIC Nays2DH for Sediment Transport Behaviors in Dam Breach Tests
by Zheng-Yi Feng, Zhi-You Chen and Su-Chin Chen
Water 2024, 16(22), 3205; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16223205 - 8 Nov 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2848
Abstract
After the breach of a landslide dam, the sediment in the breach opening will be carried downstream by the breach flood. The river channel will also be eroded by the flood, resulting in bed load transport. Three large-scale dam breach tests were conducted [...] Read more.
After the breach of a landslide dam, the sediment in the breach opening will be carried downstream by the breach flood. The river channel will also be eroded by the flood, resulting in bed load transport. Three large-scale dam breach tests were conducted to investigate the sediment transport behavior after a dam breach. The topography data of the creek channel were measured before and after the dam breach tests to understand the sediment transport behavior. The sediment transport simulations of the dam breach tests were conducted using the iRIC Nays2DH software. The simulations focused on three types of test setups: the single dam, single dam with a spur dike, and double dam models. The terrain (DEM) for the numerical model input was designated based on the LiDAR results, and a flow hydrograph during the dam breach tests was applied. The accuracy of the simulations was assessed using the “coverage index” and “mean absolute percentage error”. A numerical parametrical study was performed to find the major parameters that influenced the simulations. The results showed that the dynamic behavior of water flow and sediment during the dam breach processes were effectively captured by the iRIC Nays2DH simulation, but with limitations. The average flow velocity of the flood in the single dam case was the fastest among the three types of dam breaches. Due to the contraction of the creek channel caused by the spur dike, severe erosion occurred locally, and the flow rate increased in the narrowed section. Water impoundment between the two dams after the first dam breach and the consequent breach of the second dam were also well-simulated for the double dam breach. The findings and simulations in this study help explain dam breaches better and can guide researchers working on sediment transport during dam-breach floods. Full article
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19 pages, 11199 KB  
Article
Predicting Flood Inundation after a Dike Breach Using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Network
by Leon S. Besseling, Anouk Bomers and Suzanne J. M. H. Hulscher
Hydrology 2024, 11(9), 152; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11090152 - 12 Sep 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4013
Abstract
Hydrodynamic models are often used to obtain insights into potential dike breaches, because dike breaches can have severe consequences. However, their high computational cost makes them unsuitable for real-time flood forecasting. Machine learning models are a promising alternative, as they offer reasonable accuracy [...] Read more.
Hydrodynamic models are often used to obtain insights into potential dike breaches, because dike breaches can have severe consequences. However, their high computational cost makes them unsuitable for real-time flood forecasting. Machine learning models are a promising alternative, as they offer reasonable accuracy at a significant reduction in computation time. In this study, we explore the effectiveness of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network in fast flood modelling for a dike breach in the Netherlands, using training data from a 1D–2D hydrodynamic model. The LSTM uses the outflow hydrograph of the dike breach as input and produces water depths on all grid cells in the hinterland for all time steps as output. The results show that the LSTM accurately reflects the behaviour of overland flow: from fast rising and high water depths near the breach to slowly rising and lower water depths further away. The water depth prediction is very accurate (MAE = 0.045 m, RMSE = 0.13 m), and the inundation extent closely matches that of the hydrodynamic model throughout the flood event (Critical Success Index = 94%). We conclude that machine learning techniques are suitable for fast modelling of the complex dynamics of dike breach floods. Full article
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18 pages, 3655 KB  
Article
The Hydraulic and Boundary Characteristics of a Dike Breach Based on Cluster Analysis
by Mingxiao Liu, Yaru Luo, Chi Qiao, Zezhong Wang, Hongfu Ma and Dongpo Sun
Water 2023, 15(16), 2908; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15162908 - 11 Aug 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1895
Abstract
It is important to determine the hydraulic boundary eigenvalues of typical embankment breaches before carrying out research on their occurrence mechanisms and assessing their repair technology. However, it is difficult to obtain the hydraulic boundary conditions of the typical levee breaches accurately with [...] Read more.
It is important to determine the hydraulic boundary eigenvalues of typical embankment breaches before carrying out research on their occurrence mechanisms and assessing their repair technology. However, it is difficult to obtain the hydraulic boundary conditions of the typical levee breaches accurately with minor or incomplete measured data due to the complexity and instability of the levee breach. Based on more than 100 groups of domestic and foreign test data of embankment/earth dam failures, the correlation between the hydraulic boundary eigenvalues of a breach was established based on the cluster analysis approach. Additionally, the missing values were imputed after correlating and fitting. Meanwhile, the hydraulic boundary parameters and the related equations of a generalized typical breach were obtained through the statistical analysis of the probability density of the dimensionless eigenvalues of the breach. The analysis showed that the width of the breach mainly ranges in 20~100 m, while the water head of the breach is 4~12 m, and the velocity of the breach is 2~8 m/s. The distribution probabilities of all them are about 64~71%. The probability density of the width-to-depth ratio and the Froude number of the breach are both subject to normal distribution characteristics. The distribution frequency of the width-to-depth ratio of 3~8 is approximately 55%, and the Froude number of 0.4~0.8 is approximately 60%. These methods and findings might provide valuable support for the statistical research of the boundary and hydraulic characteristics of the breach, and the closure technology of breach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Natural Hazards and Disaster Risks Reduction)
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17 pages, 1258 KB  
Review
Research Progress of Dike Leak Rescue Technology
by Guoqing Yu and Chenchen Li
Water 2023, 15(5), 903; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15050903 - 26 Feb 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 4497
Abstract
Leaks refer to seepage holes running through a dike body or foundation, the formation of which may pose dire threats to dike safety and cause dike breaching due to a large flow rate and strong scouring force. Once the water inlet of a [...] Read more.
Leaks refer to seepage holes running through a dike body or foundation, the formation of which may pose dire threats to dike safety and cause dike breaching due to a large flow rate and strong scouring force. Once the water inlet of a leak is detected, sealing and rescue measures should be taken in accordance with the principle of “inlet plugging and outlet anti-filtration”. The key is the quick filling and stability of the plugging materials. Herein, the rescue technology of dike leaks is systematically laid out; the formation causes and development mechanism of the leaks are analyzed; the dike leak detection, plugging, and sealing technology is summarized; and the future research direction is clarified. Existing plugging technology and equipment are complicated and time-consuming. Hence, plugging methods should be innovated and improved to effectively improve the efficiency and success rate of emergency rescues. A new concept of “grade-by-grade plugging and sealing” is correspondingly proposed for dike leaks, changing leak rescues from “single-level plugging and sealing at the leak inlet” to “grade-by-grade plugging and sealing at the portal and inside the leak”. A tandem closed space is formed in the leak. The hydrodynamic pressure is changed from the independent bearing of the portal to the gradual bearing of the plugging materials at the portal and inside the leak. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Erosion and Sediment Transport)
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19 pages, 5911 KB  
Article
Uncertainty Assessment of Flood Hazard Due to Levee Breaching
by Cédric Goeury, Vito Bacchi, Fabrice Zaoui, Sophie Bacchi, Sara Pavan and Kamal El kadi Abderrezzak
Water 2022, 14(23), 3815; https://doi.org/10.3390/w14233815 - 23 Nov 2022
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 4179
Abstract
Water resource management and flood forecasting are crucial societal and financial stakes requiring reliable predictions of flow parameters (depth, velocity), the accuracy of which is often limited by uncertainties in hydrodynamic numerical models. In this study, we assess the effect of two uncertainty [...] Read more.
Water resource management and flood forecasting are crucial societal and financial stakes requiring reliable predictions of flow parameters (depth, velocity), the accuracy of which is often limited by uncertainties in hydrodynamic numerical models. In this study, we assess the effect of two uncertainty sources, namely breach characteristics induced by overtopping and the roughness coefficient, on water elevations and inundation extent. A two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic solver was applied in a Monte Carlo integration framework to a reach of the Loire river (France) including about 300 physical parameters. Inundation hazard maps for different flood scenarios allowed for the highlighting of the impact of the breach development chronology. Special attention was paid to proposing a relevant sensitivity analysis to examine the factors influencing the depth and extent of flooding. The spatial analysis of the vulnerability area induced by a levee breach width exhibits that, with increasing the flood discharge, the rise of the parameter influence is accompanied by a more localized spatial effect. This argues for a local analysis to allow a clear understanding of the flood hazard. The physical interpretation, highlighted by a global sensitivity analysis, showed the dependence of the flood simulation on the main factors studied, i.e., the roughness coefficients and the characteristics of the breaches. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Numerical Simulations and Modelling of Extreme Flood Events)
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17 pages, 3416 KB  
Article
Predicting Outflow Hydrographs of Potential Dike Breaches in a Bifurcating River System Using NARX Neural Networks
by Anouk Bomers
Hydrology 2021, 8(2), 87; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology8020087 - 3 Jun 2021
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 4243
Abstract
Early flood forecasting systems can mitigate flood damage during extreme events. Typically, the effects of flood events in terms of inundation depths and extents are computed using detailed hydraulic models. However, a major drawback of these models is the computational time, which is [...] Read more.
Early flood forecasting systems can mitigate flood damage during extreme events. Typically, the effects of flood events in terms of inundation depths and extents are computed using detailed hydraulic models. However, a major drawback of these models is the computational time, which is generally in the order of hours to days for large river basins. Gaining insight in the outflow hydrographs in case of dike breaches is especially important to estimate inundation extents. In this study, NARX neural networks that were capable of predicting outflow hydrographs of multiple dike breaches accurately were developed. The timing of the dike failures and the cumulative outflow volumes were accurately predicted. These findings show that neural networks—specifically, NARX networks that are capable of predicting flood time series—have the potential to be used within a flood early warning system in the future. Full article
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17 pages, 3094 KB  
Article
Levee Breaching: A New Extension to the LISFLOOD-FP Model
by Iuliia Shustikova, Jeffrey C. Neal, Alessio Domeneghetti, Paul D. Bates, Sergiy Vorogushyn and Attilio Castellarin
Water 2020, 12(4), 942; https://doi.org/10.3390/w12040942 - 26 Mar 2020
Cited by 25 | Viewed by 6024
Abstract
Levee failures due to floods often cause considerable economic damage and life losses in inundated dike-protected areas, and significantly change flood hazard upstream and downstream the breach location during the event. We present a new extension for the LISFLOOD-FP hydrodynamic model which allows [...] Read more.
Levee failures due to floods often cause considerable economic damage and life losses in inundated dike-protected areas, and significantly change flood hazard upstream and downstream the breach location during the event. We present a new extension for the LISFLOOD-FP hydrodynamic model which allows levee breaching along embankments in fully two-dimensional (2D) mode. Our extension allows for breach simulations in 2D structured grid hydrodynamic models at different scales and for different hydraulic loads in a computationally efficient manner. A series of tests performed on synthetic and historic events of different scale and magnitude show that the breaching module is numerically stable and reliable. We simulated breaches on synthetic terrain using unsteady flow as an upstream boundary condition and compared the outcomes with an identical setup of a full-momentum 2D solver. The synthetic tests showed that differences in the maximum flow through the breach between the two models were less than 1%, while for a small-scale flood event on the Secchia River (Italy), it was underestimated by 7% compared to a reference study. A large scale extreme event simulation on the Po River (Italy) resulted in 83% accuracy (critical success index). Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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13 pages, 3725 KB  
Article
Large Scale Flood Hazard Analysis by Including Defence Failures on the Dutch River System
by Alex Curran, Karin M. de Bruijn, Wouter Jan Klerk and Matthijs Kok
Water 2019, 11(8), 1732; https://doi.org/10.3390/w11081732 - 20 Aug 2019
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 4777
Abstract
To make informed flood risk management (FRM) decisions in large protected river systems, flood risk and hazard analyses should include the potential for dike breaching. ‘Load interdependency’ analyses attempt to include the system-wide effects of dike breaching while accounting for the uncertainty of [...] Read more.
To make informed flood risk management (FRM) decisions in large protected river systems, flood risk and hazard analyses should include the potential for dike breaching. ‘Load interdependency’ analyses attempt to include the system-wide effects of dike breaching while accounting for the uncertainty of both river loads and dike fragility. The intensive stochastic computation required for these analyses often precludes the use of complex hydraulic models, but simpler models may miss spatial inundation interactions such as flows that ‘cascade’ between compartmentalised regions and overland flows that ‘shortcut’ between river branches. The potential for these interactions in the Netherlands has previously been identified, and so a schematisation of the Dutch floodplain and protection system is here developed for use in a load interdependency analysis. The approach allows for the spatial distribution of hazard to be quantified under various scenarios and return periods. The results demonstrate the importance of including spatial inundation interactions on hazard estimation at three specific locations, and for the system in general. The modelling approach can be used at a local scale to focus flood-risk analysis and management on the relevant causes of inundation, and at a system-wide scale to estimate the overall impact of large-scale measures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Flood Risk Analysis and Management from a System's Approach)
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22 pages, 9451 KB  
Article
Sediment Transport into the Swinomish Navigation Channel, Puget Sound—Habitat Restoration versus Navigation Maintenance Needs
by Tarang Khangaonkar, Adi Nugraha, Steve Hinton, David Michalsen and Scott Brown
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2017, 5(2), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse5020019 - 21 Apr 2017
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 7444
Abstract
The 11 mile (1.6 km) Swinomish Federal Navigation Channel provides a safe and short passage to fishing and recreational craft in and out of Northern Puget Sound by connecting Skagit and Padilla Bays, US State abbrev., USA. A network of dikes and jetties [...] Read more.
The 11 mile (1.6 km) Swinomish Federal Navigation Channel provides a safe and short passage to fishing and recreational craft in and out of Northern Puget Sound by connecting Skagit and Padilla Bays, US State abbrev., USA. A network of dikes and jetties were constructed through the Swinomish corridor between 1893 and 1936 to improve navigation functionality. Over the years, these river training dikes and jetties designed to minimize sedimentation in the channel have deteriorated, resulting in reduced protection of the channel. The need to repair or modify dikes/jetties for channel maintenance, however, may conflict with salmon habitat restoration goals aimed at improving access, connectivity and brackish water habitat. Several restoration projects have been proposed in the Skagit delta involving breaching, lowering, or removal of dikes. To assess relative merits of the available alternatives, a hydrodynamic model of the Skagit River estuary was developed using the Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM). In this paper, we present the refinement and calibration of the model using oceanographic data collected from the years 2006 and 2009 with a focus on the sediment and brackish water transport from the river and Skagit Bay tide flats to the Swinomish Channel. The model was applied to assess the feasibility of achieving the desired dual outcome of (a) reducing sedimentation and shoaling in the Swinomish Channel and (b) providing a direct migration pathway and improved conveyance of freshwater into the Swinomish Channel. The potential reduction in shoaling through site-specific structure repairs is evaluated. Similarly, the potential to significantly improve of brackish water habitat through dike breach restoration actions using the McGlinn Causeway project example, along with its impacts on sediment deposition in the Swinomish Navigation Channel, is examined. Full article
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18 pages, 1894 KB  
Article
Experiments and Numerical Simulations of Dike Erosion due to a Wave Impact
by Stefania Evangelista
Water 2015, 7(10), 5831-5848; https://doi.org/10.3390/w7105831 - 23 Oct 2015
Cited by 27 | Viewed by 8056
Abstract
Dike erosion is a crucial issue in coastal and fluvial flood risk management. These defense structures appear vulnerable to extreme hydrological events, whose potential occurrence risk seems to be recently increased due to climate change. Their design and reinforcement is, however, a complex [...] Read more.
Dike erosion is a crucial issue in coastal and fluvial flood risk management. These defense structures appear vulnerable to extreme hydrological events, whose potential occurrence risk seems to be recently increased due to climate change. Their design and reinforcement is, however, a complex task, and although numerical models are very powerful nowadays, real processes cannot be accurately predicted; therefore, physical models constitute a useful tool to investigate different features under controlled conditions. This paper presents some laboratory experimental results of erosion of a sand dike produced by the impact of a dam break wave. Experiments have been conducted in the Water Engineering Laboratory at the University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Italy, in a rectangular channel: here, the sudden opening of a gate forming the reservoir generates the wave impacting the dike, made in turn of two different, almost uniform sands. The physical evidence proves that the erosion process is strongly unsteady and significantly different from a gradual overtopping and highlights the importance of apparent cohesion for the fine sand dike. The experimental results have also been compared against the ones obtained through the numerical integration of a two-phase model, which shows the reasonable predictive capability of the temporal free surface and dike profile evolution. Full article
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33 pages, 9597 KB  
Article
A Climate Change Adaptation Planning Process for Low-Lying, Communities Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise
by Sara Barron, Glenis Canete, Jeff Carmichael, David Flanders, Ellen Pond, Stephen Sheppard and Kristi Tatebe
Sustainability 2012, 4(9), 2176-2208; https://doi.org/10.3390/su4092176 - 11 Sep 2012
Cited by 32 | Viewed by 13331
Abstract
While the province of British Columbia (BC), Canada, provides guidelines for flood risk management, it is local governments’ responsibility to delineate their own flood vulnerability, assess their risk, and integrate these with planning policies to implement adaptive action. However, barriers such as the [...] Read more.
While the province of British Columbia (BC), Canada, provides guidelines for flood risk management, it is local governments’ responsibility to delineate their own flood vulnerability, assess their risk, and integrate these with planning policies to implement adaptive action. However, barriers such as the lack of locally specific data and public perceptions about adaptation options mean that local governments must address the need for adaptation planning within a context of scientific uncertainty, while building public support for difficult choices on flood-related climate policy and action. This research demonstrates a process to model, visualize and evaluate potential flood impacts and adaptation options for the community of Delta, in Metro Vancouver, across economic, social and environmental perspectives. Visualizations in 2D and 3D, based on hydrological modeling of breach events for existing dike infrastructure, future sea level rise and storm surges, are generated collaboratively, together with future adaptation scenarios assessed against quantitative and qualitative indicators. This ‘visioning package’ is being used with staff and a citizens’ Working Group to assess the performance, policy implications and social acceptability of the adaptation strategies. Recommendations based on the experience of the initiative are provided that can facilitate sustainable future adaptation actions and decision-making in Delta and other jurisdictions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Adaptation or Extinction)
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