Search Results (322)

Xi’an, China, has a complex geological environment, with geological hazards seriously hindering urban development and safety. This study analyzed the conditions leading to disaster formation and screened 12 evaluation factors (e.g., slope and slope direction) using Spearman’s correlation. Furthermore, it also introduced an innovative combined weighting method, integrating subjective weights from the hierarchical analysis method and objective weights from the entropy method, as well as an information value model for susceptibility assessment. The main results are as follows: (1) There are 787 hazard points—landslides/collapses are concentrated in loess areas and Qinling foothills, while subsidence/fissures are concentrated in plains. (2) The combined weighting method effectively overcame the limitations of single methods. (3) Validation using hazard density and ROC curves showed that the combined weighting information value model achieved the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.872). (4) The model was applied to classify the disaster susceptibility of Xi’an into high (12.31%), medium (18.68%), low (7.88%), and non-susceptible (61.14%) zones. The results are consistent with the actual distribution of disasters, thus providing a scientific basis for disaster prevention. Full article

Structural collapses caused by accidents or disasters could create unexpected radiation shielding, resulting in sharp gradients within the radiation field. Traditional radiation mapping methods often fail to accurately capture these complex variations, making the rapid and precise localization of radiation sources a significant challenge in emergency response scenarios. To address this issue, based on standard Gaussian process regression (GPR) models that primarily utilize a single Gaussian kernel to reflect the inverse-square law in free space, a novel multi-kernel Gaussian process regression (MK-GPR) model is proposed for high-fidelity radiation mapping in environments with physical obstructions. MK-GPR integrates two additional kernel functions with adaptive weighting: one models the attenuation characteristics of intervening materials, and the other captures the energy-dependent penetration behavior of radiation. To validate the model, gamma-ray distributions in complex, shielded environments were simulated using GEometry ANd Tracking 4 (Geant4). Compared with conventional methods, including linear interpolation, nearest-neighbor interpolation, and standard GPR, MK-GPR demonstrated substantial improvements in key evaluation metrics, such as MSE, RMSE, and MAE. Notably, the coefficient of determination (R²) increased to 0.937. For practical deployment, the optimized MK-GPR model was deployed to an RK-3588 edge computing platform and integrated into a mobile robot equipped with a NaI(Tl) detector. Field experiments confirmed the system’s ability to accurately map radiation fields and localize gamma sources. When combined with SLAM, the system achieved localization errors of 10 cm for single sources and 15 cm for dual sources. These results highlight the potential of the proposed approach as an effective and deployable solution for radiation source investigation in post-disaster environments. Full article

Urban subsurface pipeline bursts can induce catastrophic cascading effects, including ground collapse, infrastructure failure, and socioeconomic losses. However, stratum responses during the erosion cavity expansion phase and corresponding disaster mitigation strategies have rarely been researched. In this study, a numerical model validated through experimental tests was employed to investigate the effects of internal water pressures, burial depths, and different geotextile-based disaster mitigation strategies. It was revealed that a burial depth-dependent critical internal water pressure governed the erosion cavity expansion, and a predictive equation was derived based on the limit equilibrium theory. Higher internal water pressure accelerated the erosion cavity expansion and amplified the stratum stress within a range of twice the diameter D. Increased burial depth $d$ reduced peak ground heave but linearly expanded the heave zone range, concurrently elevating the overall stratum stress level and generating larger stress reduction zones (i.e., when $d/D$ = 3.0, the range of the stress reduction zone was 8.0D). All geotextile layout configurations exhibited different disaster mitigation effects (the peak ground heave was reduced by at least 15%). The semi-circular closely fitted configuration (SCCF) optimally restricted the expansion of the erosion cavity, reduced the stratum displacement (i.e., 39% reduction in the peak ground heave), and avoided stress concentration. Comprehensive analysis indicated that SCCF was suited for low-pressure pipelines in deformation-sensitive stratum and semi-circular configuration (SC) was suitable for deformation-insensitive pipeline sections. These findings provide actionable insights for tailoring mitigation strategies to specific operational risks. Full article

Loess deposits in China, covering extensive regions, exhibit distinctive physical and mechanical characteristics, including collapsibility and reduced mechanical strength. These properties contribute to heightened susceptibility to slope-related geological hazards, such as landslides and collapses, in these areas. The widespread distribution and challenging prevention of these geological disasters have emerged as significant impediments to both public safety and economic development in China. Moreover, geological disaster data originates from diverse sources and exists in substantial fragmented, decentralized, and unstructured formats, including textual records and graphical representations. These datasets exhibit complex structures and heterogeneous formats yet suffer from inadequate organization and storage due to the absence of unified descriptive standards. The lack of systematic categorization and standardized representation significantly hinders effective data integration and knowledge extraction across different sources. To address these challenges, this study proposes a novel loess slope stability assessment method employing a dendrogram neural network (GNN-TreeNet) integrated with knowledge graph technology. The methodology progresses through three phases: (1) construction of a multi-domain knowledge graph integrating a large number of loess slopes with historical disaster records, instability factor relationships, and empirical parameter correlations; (2) generation of expressive node embeddings capturing inherent connections via graph neural networks; (3) development and training of the GNN-TreeNet architecture that leverages the graph’s enhanced representation capacity for stability evaluation. This structured framework enables cross-disciplinary data synthesis and interpretable slope stability analysis through a systematic integration of geological, geographical, and empirical knowledge components. Full article

This paper examines Amitav Ghosh’s Gun Island through a Hindu eco-spiritual framework to explore how ancient cosmological concepts illuminate contemporary environmental crises. Building upon the legend of Bonduki Sadagar and Manasa Devi, Ghosh narrates the rupture of sacred human–nature relationships in both colonial and postcolonial contexts. This study employs a tripartite conceptual lens of karma, dharma, and ecosystem drawn from Hindu philosophy to analyze how the novel frames environmental degradation, human moral failure, and ecological interconnectedness. Karma, as the law of cause and effect, is used to depict the consequences of human exploitation through natural disasters, climate migration, and the collapse of ecosystems. Dharma emerges as a principle advocating ecological responsibility and symbiosis between humans and nonhuman life. This paper argues that Ghosh tactfully intertwines Hindu metaphysics with contemporary ecological science to critique capitalist modernity’s environmental violence. The novel’s depiction of floods, the sinking of Venice, and the global refugee crisis dramatizes karmic consequences, while its evocation of myth–science convergence offers a vision of sacred interdependence. Ultimately, this paper concludes that Gun Island provides an urgent eco-spiritual model for reimagining planetary ethics and responding to the Anthropocene through humility, relationality, and spiritual responsibility. Full article

The increasing number of natural and man-made disasters registered at the global level is causing a significant amount of damage. This represents one of the main sustainability challenges at the global level. The collapse of the Twin Towers, Hurricane Katrina, and the nuclear accident at the Fukushima power plant are some of the most representative disaster events that occurred at the beginning of the third millennium. These relevant disasters need an enhanced level of preparedness to reduce the gaps between the plan and its implementation. Among these actions, training and exercises play a relevant role because they increase the capability of planners, managers, and the people involved. By focusing on the exposure risk component, the general objective of the research is to obtain quantitative evaluations of the exercise’s contribution to risk reduction through evacuation. The paper aims to analyze serious games using a set of methods and models that simulate an urban risk reduction plan. In particular, the paper proposes a transparent framework that merges transport risk analysis (TRA) and transport system models (TSMs), developing serious game activities with the support of emerging information and communication technologies (e-ICT). Transparency is possible through the explicitation of reproducible analytical formulations and linked parameters. The core framework of serious games is constituted by a set of models that reproduce the effects of players’ choices, including planned actions of decisionmakers and travel users’ choices. The framework constitutes the prototype of a digital platform in a “non-stressful” context aimed at providing more insights about the effects of planned actions. The proposed framework is characterized by transparency, a feature that allows other analysts and planners to reproduce each risk scenario, by applying TRA and relative effects simulations in territorial contexts by means of TSMs and parameters updated by e-ICT. A basic experimentation is performed by using a game, presenting the main results of a prototype test based on a reproducible exercise. The prototype experiment demonstrates the efficacy of increasing preparedness levels and reducing exposure by designing and implementing a serious game. The paper’s methodology and results are useful for policymakers, emergency managers, and the community for increasing the preparedness level. Full article

This study focuses on the monitoring and early warning of landslide hazards induced by blasting caving in the Shizhuyuan polymetallic mine. A 30-channel microseismic monitoring system was deployed to capture the spatiotemporal characteristics of rock mass fracturing during a large-scale directional stratified blasting operation (419 tons) conducted on 21 June 2012. A total of 85 microseismic events were recorded, revealing two distinct zones of intense rock failure: Zone I (below 630 m elevation, P1–P3, C6–C8) and Zone II (above 630 m elevation, P4–P5, C1–C6). The upper slope collapse occurred within 5 min post-blasting, as documented by real-time monitoring and video recordings. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to 54 microseismic events in Zone II to determine the kinematic characteristics of the slip surface, yielding a dip direction of 324.6° and a dip angle of 73.2°. Complementary moment tensor analysis further revealed that shear failure dominated the slope instability, with pronounced shear fracturing observed in the 645–700 m height range. This study innovatively integrates spatial microseismic event distribution with geomechanical mechanisms, elucidating the dynamic evolution of blasting-induced landslides. The proposed methodology provides a novel approach for monitoring and forecasting slope instability triggered by underground mining, offering significant implications for disaster prevention in similar mining contexts. Full article

Globally, ecosystems are affected by climate change, human activities, and natural disasters, which impact ecosystem quality and stability. Vegetation plays a crucial role in ecosystem material cycle and energy transformation, making it important to monitor its resilience under disturbance stress. The Critical Slowing Down (CSD) indicates that as ecosystems near collapse, the autocorrelation of lag temporal increases and resilience decreases. We used the lag Temporal Autocorrelation (TAC) of long-term remote sensing Leaf Area Index (LAI) to monitor vegetation resilience in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA). The Disturbance Event Model (DEM) was used to validate the CSD. The results showed the following: (1) The eastern TGRA exhibited high and increasing vegetation resilience, while most areas showed a decline. (2) Among the various vegetation types, forests demonstrated higher resilience than other vegetation types. (3) Precipitation, temperature, and soil moisture significantly influenced vegetation resilience dynamics within the TGRA. (4) For model accuracy, the CSD’s results were consistent with the DEM, confirming its applicability in the TGRA. Overall, the CSD when applied to long-term remote sensing data, provided valuable quantitative indicators for vegetation resilience. Furthermore, more CSD-based indicators are needed to analyze vegetation resilience dynamics and better understand the biological processes determining vegetation degradation and restoration. Full article

Simulating potential glacier collapses can provide crucial support for local disaster prevention and mitigation efforts. The Xiaomagou Glacier in the Amnye Machen Mountains, Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau, has experienced five collapses in the past two decades. Field investigation and remote sensing observations indicate that the topography and bedrock characteristics of the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier, which is 3.5 km south of the Xiaomagou Glacier, are similar to those of the Xiaomagou Glacier. More importantly, the mass movement of the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier since 2018 closely resembles that of the Xiaomagou Glacier exhibited before its previous collapses. Therefore, in the context of rising temperatures, it is possible that the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier will collapse in the near future. Based on remote sensing imagery and the glacier’s surface elevation changes, we reconstructed the 2004 collapse process of the Xiaomagou Glacier via numerical simulation. The key parameters of the mass flow model were optimized based on the actual deposition area of the 2004 collapse. The model with optimized parameters was then used to simulate the potential Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier collapse. Two collapse scenarios were set for the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier. In Scenario 1, the lower half of the tongue detaches; in Scenario 2, the whole tongue detaches. Simulation results show that, in Scenario 1, the maximum mass flow depth is 72 m, the maximum mass flow speed is 51.6 m/s, and the deposition area is 5.40 × 10⁶ km²; in Scenario 2, the maximum mass flow depth is 75 m, the maximum mass flow speed is 59.7 m/s, and the deposition area is 6.32 × 10⁶ km². In both scenarios, the deposition area is much larger than that of the Xiaomagou Glacier 2004 collapse, which had a deposition area of 2.21 × 10⁶ km². The simulation results suggest that the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier collapse could devastate the pastures and township roads lying in front of the glacier, seriously affecting local transportation and livestock farming; furthermore, it may deposit in the Qinglong River, forming a large, dammed lake. At present, the Qushi’an No. 22 Glacier remains in an unstable state. It is crucial to strengthen monitoring of its surface morphology, flow speed, and elevation. Full article

The rapid development of underground engineering contributes significantly to achieving China’s “dual carbon” strategic goals. However, during the construction and operation phases, this engineering project faces diverse risks and challenges related to disasters. Consequently, enhancing the evaluation capability for underground engineering resilience is imperative. Based on the characteristics of resilience evaluation and enhancement in underground engineering, this study defines the concept and objectives of resilience evaluation for underground space engineering and analyzes corresponding enhancement methods. By considering aspects such as the magnitude of collapse disaster risk in underground engineering, its vulnerability, resistance capacity, adaptability to disasters, recovery ability, and economic feasibility, a comprehensive index system for evaluating the resilience of collapse disaster risks in underground engineering has been established. This research suggests that disaster risk management should shift from passive to active prevention. Through resilience evaluation case applications, it is possible to improve the design objectives of underground engineering towards “structural recoverability”, “ease of damage repair”, and “controllable consequences after a disaster”. The integration of intelligent static assessment models based on artificial intelligence algorithms can effectively enhance the accuracy of resilience evaluations. Furthermore, dynamic assessments using multiple data fusion techniques combined with numerical simulations represent promising directions for improving the overall resilience of underground engineering. Full article

Rockfalls on railways are considered a natural disaster under the topic of landslides. It is an event that varies regionally due to landforms and climate. In addition to traffic density, the Karabük–Yenice railway line also passes through mountainous areas, river crossings, and experiences heavy seasonal rainfall. These conditions necessitate the implementation of proactive measures to mitigate risks such as rockfalls, tree collapses, landslides, and other geohazards that threaten the railway line. Undetected environmental events pose a significant threat to railway operational safety. The study aims to provide early detection of environmental phenomena using vibrations emitted through fiber optic cables. This study presents a real-time hazard detection system that integrates Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) with a hybrid ensemble learning model. Using fiber optic cables and the Luna OBR-4600 interrogator, the system captures environmental vibrations along a 6 km railway corridor in Karabük, Türkiye. CatBoosting, Support Vector Machine (SVM), LightGBM, Decision Tree, XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting Classifier (GBC) algorithms were used to detect the incoming signals. However, the Voting Classifier hybrid model was developed using SVM, RF, XGBoost, and GBC algorithms. The signaling system on the railway line provides critical information for safety by detecting environmental factors. Major natural disasters such as rockfalls, tree falls, and landslides cause high-intensity vibrations due to environmental factors, and these vibrations can be detected through fiber cables. In this study, a hybrid model was developed with the Voting Classifier method to accurately detect and classify vibrations. The model leverages an ensemble of classification algorithms to accurately categorize various environmental disturbances. The system has proven its effectiveness under real-world conditions by successfully detecting environmental events such as rockfalls, landslides, and falling trees with 98% success for Precision, Recall, F1 score, and accuracy. Full article

As humans continue to develop the undersea engineering ecosystem of systems, the consequences of catastrophic events must continue to be investigated and understood. Almost every undersea pressure vessel, from pipelines to sensors to unmanned vehicles, has the potential to experience a catastrophic collapse, known as an implosion. This collapse can be caused by hydrostatic pressure or any combination of external loadings from natural disasters to pressure waves imparted by other implosion or explosion events. During an implosion, high-magnitude pressure waves can be emitted, which can cause adverse effects on surrounding structures, marine life, or even people. The imploding structure, known as an implodable volume, can be in a free-field or confined environment. Confined implosion is characterized by a surrounding structure that significantly affects the flow of fluid around the implodable volume. Often, the confining structure is cylindrical, with one closed end and one open end. This work seeks to understand the effect of fluid flow restriction on the physics of implosion inside a confining tube. To do so, a comprehensive experimental study is conducted using a unique experimental facility. Thin-walled aluminum cylinders are collapsed inside a confining tube within a large pressure vessel. High-speed photography and 3D Digital Image Correlation are used to gather structural displacement and velocities during the event while an array of dynamic pressure sensors capture the pressure data inside the confining tube. The results of this work show that by changing the size of the open end, referred to as the flow area ratio, there can be a significant effect on the structural deformations and implosion severity. It also reveals that only certain configurations of holes at the open end of the tube play a role in the dynamic pressure pulse measured at the closed end of the tube. By understanding the consequences of an implosion, designers can make decisions about where these pressure vessels should be in relation to other pressure vessels, critical infrastructure, marine life, or people. In the same way that engineers design for earthquakes and analyze the impact their structures have on the environment around them, contributors to the undersea engineering ecosystem should design with implosion in mind. Full article

Accurately forecasting emergency material demand during the initial stages of disaster response is challenging due to communication disruptions and data scarcity. This study proposes a hybrid model integrating regression analysis and intelligent analysis to estimate casualties and predict emergency supply needs indirectly. A case study of five earthquake-affected villages validates the model, using building collapse rates and population data to calculate casualties and determine the demand for essential supplies, including food, water, medicine, and tents. The findings demonstrate that the proposed approach effectively addresses the “black box” condition by utilizing correction factors for population density, disaster preparedness, and emergency response capacity, providing a structured framework for rapid and accurate demand forecasting in disaster scenarios. Full article

The prevention and control of disasters in underground mines is a key task to ensure sustainable mining production and the development of society. The disaster chain brings cascading and clustering characteristics to disasters and leads to the expansion of their impacts and losses. It brings great difficulties to disaster prevention and control. This paper focuses on the disaster chain of a non-coal underground mine. It analyzes disaster events triggered by artificial mining activities based on a literature review, expert investigation, and field research. Subsequently, it constructs a complex network model of disaster chains containing 44 disaster nodes and 136 connecting edges. Then it performed a quantitative analysis of the complex network model, and studied complex network model parameters including degree, number of subnets, intermediate centrality, node importance, average path length, edge betweenness, connectivity, and edge vulnerability. On that basis, this paper reveals that the top five key nodes of the disaster chain are surface subsidence (H4), industrial site destruction (H7), well flooding (H21), equipment damage (H8), and living area damage (H11). It also reveals that the top five key edges of the disaster chain are mine water inrush (H6)→well flooding (H21), surface subsidence (H4)→industrial site destruction (H7), underground space failure (H3)→industrial site destruction (H7), gob collapse (H2)→surface subsidence (H4), and gob collapse (H2)→landslide (H5). Finally, this paper proposes specific chain-breaking disaster mitigation measures. Implementing these actions can play a pivotal role in mitigating the impact of mine disasters, preserving lives, and sustaining regional prosperity. Full article

Post-earthquake fires (PEFs) represent a complex, cascading hazard in which seismic damage creates ignition conditions that can overwhelm urban infrastructure and severely compromise structural integrity. Despite growing scholarly attention, the literature on PEFs remains fragmented across disciplines, lacking a consolidated understanding of structural vulnerabilities, urban-scale impacts, and response strategies. This study presents a systematic and thematic synthesis of 54 peer-reviewed articles, identified through a PRISMA-guided screening of 151 publications from the Web of Science Core Collection. By combining bibliometric mapping with thematic clustering, the review categorizes research into key methodological domains, including finite element modeling, experimental testing, probabilistic risk analysis, multi-hazard frameworks, urban simulation, and policy approaches. The findings reveal a dominant focus on structural fire resistance, particularly of seismically damaged concrete and steel systems, while highlighting emerging trends in sensor-based fire detection, AI integration, and urban resilience planning. However, critical research gaps persist in multi-hazard modeling, firefighting under partial collapse, behavioral responses, and the integration of spatial, infrastructural, and institutional factors. This study proposes an interdisciplinary research agenda that connects engineering, urban design, and disaster governance to inform adaptive, smart-city-based strategies for mitigating fire risks in seismic zones. This work contributes a comprehensive roadmap for advancing post-earthquake fire resilience in the built environment. Full article