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Keywords = bus bunching

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35 pages, 7859 KB  
Article
Vehicle Heterogeneity-Aware Cooperative Dynamic Bus Control Based on Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for System–Individual Synergy
by Hailong Zhang, Haidi Wang, Hanxuan Dong, Zehui Ding, Renjie Xiong and Hui Xu
Sustainability 2026, 18(11), 5770; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115770 - 5 Jun 2026
Viewed by 169
Abstract
Under the trend of intelligent transportation and connected vehicles, real-time control plays a vital role in improving bus system efficiency. Existing bus control strategies typically treat buses as homogeneous points and achieve system equilibrium by maintaining consistent headways. However, this simplification overlooks differences [...] Read more.
Under the trend of intelligent transportation and connected vehicles, real-time control plays a vital role in improving bus system efficiency. Existing bus control strategies typically treat buses as homogeneous points and achieve system equilibrium by maintaining consistent headways. However, this simplification overlooks differences in dynamic responses and the evolution of powertrain lifespan arising from vehicle heterogeneity. It converts the sparse constraint problem, which is intended to ensure timely arrival, into a hard constraint on the vehicle trajectory over the entire time horizon, thereby excessively restricting individual optimal evolutionary paths and causing the optimization process to become trapped in a local optimum. To this end, this paper proposes SMATD3, a multi-agent cooperative control algorithm that accounts for vehicle heterogeneity. By adopting a centralized training and decentralized execution paradigm and avoiding the specification of a fixed inter-vehicle spacing target, the algorithm enables each vehicle to adaptively adjust its speed control strategy according to its own dynamic characteristics, thereby achieving the coordinated optimization of system equilibrium and individual objectives. The simulation results indicate that the proposed method can effectively suppress bus tailgating and achieve the coordinated multi-objective optimization of operational stability, passenger travel efficiency, energy consumption, and battery health. From a sustainability perspective, improved headway regularity and service reliability can enhance public transit attractiveness and support mode shift, while smoother energy use and reduced battery degradation lower lifecycle impacts. Full article
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20 pages, 1042 KB  
Article
Evaluating Bus Driver Compliance with Speed Adjustment Commands Under Different Driving Conditions: A Driving Simulator-Based Study
by Weiya Chen, Haochen Wang and Duo Li
Sustainability 2026, 18(6), 2977; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062977 - 18 Mar 2026
Viewed by 389
Abstract
While bus transit plays a critical role in promoting urban transport sustainable development, the phenomenon of bus bunching has brought severe challenges. To alleviate bus bunching, speed control strategies have been widely used to improve the stability of bus headway distribution. However, existing [...] Read more.
While bus transit plays a critical role in promoting urban transport sustainable development, the phenomenon of bus bunching has brought severe challenges. To alleviate bus bunching, speed control strategies have been widely used to improve the stability of bus headway distribution. However, existing research mainly focuses on developing optimized models with more flexible speed adjustments; a critical yet often ignored fundamental assumption behind these models is that all bus drivers can strictly adhere to the speed instructions issued by the bus dispatch center. To further explore how the compliance of bus drivers affects the implementation of speed adjustment instructions, this study designs a driving simulation experiment under different driving conditions. Modeled after a real bus line in Changsha, China, the designed simulator study incorporates three external variables, weather conditions, road conditions and command types, with behavioral data from 48 professional drivers analyzed via linear mixed-effects models. The results have shown that road conditions and command types emerged as main factors affecting compliance patterns. Specifically, congestion reduced average speeds by 5.1 km/h, especially affecting female drivers who showed 15.9% Command Compliance Index (it has been designed to quantify execution efficiency and will be referred to as CCI hereafter) reduction versus 10.6% for males. Compared to high-speed instructions, the execution efficiency of low-speed instructions increased by 12.3%, with drivers exceeding target speeds during 45.69% of sections to balance speed profiles. It is notable that the fog density had a minimal impact on efficiency, with only about 2% difference in efficiency. Despite standardized operational norms minimizing individual behavioral heterogeneity, significant group-level demographic variations persisted. Male drivers consistently maintained higher compliance with speed adjustment commands across all driving conditions; drivers under 40 and over 50 had a 3.3% higher CCI than middle-aged drivers; and prior bus bunching exposure increased compliance by 3.3%. High-CCI bus drivers strategically balanced headway distribution through controlled overspeeding. These findings provide empirical foundations for optimizing speed control strategies based on road sections. This study explores ways to enhance the attractiveness of public transit and promote sustainable development. Full article
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20 pages, 1881 KB  
Article
A Bunch of Gaps: Factors Behind Service Reliability in Chicago’s High-Frequency Transit Network
by Joseph Rodriguez, Haris N. Koutsopoulos and Jinhua Zhao
Smart Cities 2025, 8(5), 141; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050141 - 28 Aug 2025
Viewed by 5120
Abstract
Frequent transit services in urban areas have the potential to increase their accessibility to transit-dependent riders and reduce congestion by attracting new ridership through a modal shift. However, bus services operating in mixed traffic face operational challenges that reduce reliability and hinder their [...] Read more.
Frequent transit services in urban areas have the potential to increase their accessibility to transit-dependent riders and reduce congestion by attracting new ridership through a modal shift. However, bus services operating in mixed traffic face operational challenges that reduce reliability and hinder their attractiveness. The sources of unreliability can range from local-level conditions, like the road infrastructure, to higher-level decisions, like the service plan. For the effective planning of improvement strategies, both scales of analysis must be considered. This paper uses a novel modeling framework to understand reliability by analyzing the route and segment factors separately. The Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) bus network is used as a case study for the analysis. The data reflect the operational, demand, and urban conditions of 50 high-frequency bus routes. At the route level, we use the coefficient of headway variation as the dependent variable and diverse route characteristics as explanatory variables. The results indicate that the most significant contributors to the variability of headways are variability in schedules and dispatching at terminals. It is also found that driver experience impacts reliability and that east–west routes are more unreliable than north–south routes. At the segment level, we use data from trips involved in bunching and gaps. As the dependent variable, a novel measure is formulated to capture how quickly bunching or gaps are formed. The bunching and gap events are treated as separate regression models. Findings suggest that link and dwell time variability are the most significant contributors to gap and bunching formation. In terms of infrastructure, bus lane segments reduce gap formations, and left turns increase bunching and gap formations. The insights presented can inform improvements in service and transit infrastructure planning to improve transit level of service (LOS) and support the future of sustainable, smart cities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cost-Effective Transportation Planning for Smart Cities)
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24 pages, 6526 KB  
Article
Optimizing Bus Bridging Service Considering Passenger Transfer and Reneging Behavior
by Ziqi Zhang, Xuan Li, Jikang Zhang and Yang Shi
Sustainability 2024, 16(23), 10710; https://doi.org/10.3390/su162310710 - 6 Dec 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 7269
Abstract
This paper addresses the design of bus bridging services in response to urban rail disruption, which plays a critical role in enhancing the resilience and sustainability of urban transportation systems. Specifically, it focuses on unplanned urban rail disruptions that result in temporary closure [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the design of bus bridging services in response to urban rail disruption, which plays a critical role in enhancing the resilience and sustainability of urban transportation systems. Specifically, it focuses on unplanned urban rail disruptions that result in temporary closure of line sections, including transfer stations. Under this “transfer scenario”, a heuristic-rule based method is firstly presented to generate candidate bus bridging routes. Non-parallel bridging routes are introduced to facilitate transfer passengers affected by the disruption. Meanwhile, the bridging stops visited by parallel routes are extended beyond the disrupted section, mitigating passenger congestion and bus bunching at turnover stations. Then, we propose an integrated optimization model that collaboratively addresses bus route selection and vehicle deployment issues. Capturing passenger reneging behavior, the model aims to maximize the number of served passengers with tolerable waiting times and minimize total passenger waiting times. A two-stage genetic algorithm is developed to solve the model, which incorporates a multi-agent simulation method to demonstrate dynamic passenger and bus flow within a time–space network. Finally, a case study is conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods. Sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the impacts of fleet size and route diversity on the overall bridging performance. The results offer valuable insights for transit agencies in designing bus bridging services under transfer scenarios, supporting sustainable urban mobility by promoting efficient public transit solutions that mitigate the social impacts of sudden service disruptions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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20 pages, 1304 KB  
Article
Robust Reinforcement Learning Strategies with Evolving Curriculum for Efficient Bus Operations in Smart Cities
by Yuhan Tang, Ao Qu, Xuan Jiang, Baichuan Mo, Shangqing Cao, Joseph Rodriguez, Haris N Koutsopoulos, Cathy Wu and Jinhua Zhao
Smart Cities 2024, 7(6), 3658-3677; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities7060141 - 29 Nov 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 3174
Abstract
Public transit systems are critical to the quality of urban life, and enhancing their efficiency is essential for building cost-effective and sustainable smart cities. Historically, researchers sought reinforcement learning (RL) applications to mitigate bus bunching issues with holding strategies. Nonetheless, these attempts often [...] Read more.
Public transit systems are critical to the quality of urban life, and enhancing their efficiency is essential for building cost-effective and sustainable smart cities. Historically, researchers sought reinforcement learning (RL) applications to mitigate bus bunching issues with holding strategies. Nonetheless, these attempts often led to oversimplifications and misalignment with the goal of reducing the total time passengers spent in the system, resulting in less robust or non-optimal solutions. In this study, we introduce a novel setting where each bus, supervised by an RL agent, can appropriately form aggregated policies from three strategies (holding, skipping station, and turning around to serve the opposite direction). It’s difficult to learn them all together, due to learning complexity, we employ domain knowledge and develop a gradually expanding action space curriculum, enabling agents to learn these strategies incrementally. We incorporate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in our model considering the temporal interrelation among these actions. To address the inherent uncertainties of real-world traffic systems, we impose Domain Randomization (DR) on variables such as passenger demand and bus schedules. We conduct extensive numerical experiments with the integration of synthetic and real-world data to evaluate our model. Our methodology proves effective, enhancing bus schedule reliability and reducing total passenger waiting time by over 15%, thereby improving bus operation efficiency and smoothering operations of buses that align with sustainable goals. This work highlights the potential of robust RL combined with curriculum learning for optimizing public transport in smart cities, offering a scalable solution for real-world multi-agent systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cost-Effective Transportation Planning for Smart Cities)
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18 pages, 3705 KB  
Article
Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Holding Control for Bus Bunching under Stochastic Travel Time and Demand
by Dong Liu, Feng Xiao, Jian Luo and Fan Yang
Sustainability 2023, 15(14), 10947; https://doi.org/10.3390/su151410947 - 12 Jul 2023
Cited by 7 | Viewed by 4156
Abstract
Due to the inherent uncertainties of the bus system, bus bunching remains a challenging problem that degrades bus service reliability and causes passenger dissatisfaction. This paper introduces a novel deep reinforcement learning framework specifically designed to address the bus bunching problem by implementing [...] Read more.
Due to the inherent uncertainties of the bus system, bus bunching remains a challenging problem that degrades bus service reliability and causes passenger dissatisfaction. This paper introduces a novel deep reinforcement learning framework specifically designed to address the bus bunching problem by implementing dynamic holding control in a multi-agent system. We formulate the bus holding problem as a decentralized, partially observable Markov decision process and develop an event-driven simulator to emulate real-world bus operations. An approach based on deep Q-learning with parameter sharing is proposed to train the agents. We conducted extensive experiments to evaluate the proposed framework against multiple baseline strategies. The proposed approach has proven to be adaptable to the uncertainties in bus operations. The results highlight the significant advantages of the deep reinforcement learning framework across various performance metrics, including reduced passenger waiting time, more balanced bus load distribution, decreased occupancy variability, and shorter travel time. The findings demonstrate the potential of the proposed method for practical application in real-world bus systems, offering promising solutions to mitigate bus bunching and enhance overall service quality. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Intelligent Traffic System Control and Optimization)
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19 pages, 286 KB  
Article
Bus Bunching and Bus Bridging: What Can We Learn from Generative AI Tools like ChatGPT?
by Stefan Voß
Sustainability 2023, 15(12), 9625; https://doi.org/10.3390/su15129625 - 15 Jun 2023
Cited by 22 | Viewed by 6645
Abstract
Regarding tools and systems from artificial intelligence (AI), chat-based ones from the area of generative AI have become a major focus regarding media coverage. ChatGPT and occasionally other systems (such as those from Microsoft and Google) are discussed with hundreds if not thousands [...] Read more.
Regarding tools and systems from artificial intelligence (AI), chat-based ones from the area of generative AI have become a major focus regarding media coverage. ChatGPT and occasionally other systems (such as those from Microsoft and Google) are discussed with hundreds if not thousands of academic papers as well as newspaper articles. While various areas have considerably gone into this discussion, transportation and logistics has not yet come that far. In this paper, we explore the use of generative AI tools within this domain. More specifically, we focus on a topic related to sustainable passenger transportation, that is, the handling of disturbances in public transport when it comes to bus bunching and bus bridging. The first of these concepts is related to analyzing situations where we observe two or more buses of the same line following close to each other without being planned deliberately and the second is related to the case where buses are used to replace broken connections in other systems, such as subways. Generative AI tools seem to be able to provide meaningful entries and a lot of food for thought while the academic use may still be classified as limited. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
18 pages, 4339 KB  
Article
An Online Optimal Bus Signal Priority Strategy to Equalise Headway in Real-Time
by Xuehao Zhai, Fangce Guo and Rajesh Krishnan
Information 2023, 14(2), 101; https://doi.org/10.3390/info14020101 - 6 Feb 2023
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3791
Abstract
Bus bunching is a severe problem that affects the service levels of public transport systems. Most of the previous studies in the field of Bus Signal Priority (BSP) and Transit Signal Priority (TSP) focus on reducing a bus delay at signalised intersections and [...] Read more.
Bus bunching is a severe problem that affects the service levels of public transport systems. Most of the previous studies in the field of Bus Signal Priority (BSP) and Transit Signal Priority (TSP) focus on reducing a bus delay at signalised intersections and ignore the importance of balancing the bus headways. However, since general BSP methods allocate uneven priorities for individual buses, the headways of bus sequences are prioritised or delayed randomly, increasing the likelihood of bus bunching. To address this problem and to improve the reliability of bus services, we propose an online optimisation model to determine the signal duration and splits for each traffic intersection and each signal cycle for bus priority. The proposed model is able to induce the signal timing back to a baseline when the BSP request frequency is low. Using the proposed model, a statistically significant reduction of 10.0% was achieved for bus headway deviation and 6.4% for passenger waiting times. The simulation-based evaluation results also indicate that the proposed model does not affect the efficiency of bus services and other vehicles significantly. Full article
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15 pages, 4880 KB  
Article
Travel Time Reliability Analysis Considering Bus Bunching: A Case Study in Xi’an, China
by Yanan Zhang, Hongke Xu, Qing-Chang Lu and Xiaohui Fan
Sustainability 2022, 14(23), 15583; https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315583 - 23 Nov 2022
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 4252
Abstract
Bus bunching occurring at stops has an unstable impact on bus travel time. In order to evaluate urban bus travel time effectively, the travel time reliability (TTR) addressing bus bunching is analyzed. This paper focuses on the delayed time caused by bus bunching [...] Read more.
Bus bunching occurring at stops has an unstable impact on bus travel time. In order to evaluate urban bus travel time effectively, the travel time reliability (TTR) addressing bus bunching is analyzed. This paper focuses on the delayed time caused by bus bunching in the dwelling process at bus stops and uses the coefficient of variation of time headway to evaluate the degree of bus bunching. Moreover, the travel time deviation (TTD) indicator and travel time on-time accuracy (OTA) model are proposed to evaluate the bus TTR. The proposed model is used to analyze 113 runs of a bus route in Xi’an city, China. Real-time GPS data are used to analyze the operation of each run from the origin to the destination stops. The results show that 74.34% of the runs are delayed. When the value of TTD is higher than |0.1|, 64.2% of runs are delayed with bus bunching. Based on the measuring of OTA in two situations, the value of TTR considering bus bunching is reduced by 20%. In addition, the number of stopping routes at peak periods has a significant impact on the occurrence of bus bunching. The research results would have practical implications for the operation and management of buses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Safety and Sustainability in Future Transportation)
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19 pages, 5679 KB  
Article
Identifying Spatial–Temporal Characteristics and Significant Factors of Bus Bunching Based on an eGA and DT Model
by Min Yan, Binglei Xie and Gangyan Xu
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12(22), 11778; https://doi.org/10.3390/app122211778 - 19 Nov 2022
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2276
Abstract
Bus bunching is a common phenomenon caused by irregular bus headway, which increases the passenger waiting time, makes the passenger capacity uneven, and severely reduces the reliability of bus service. This paper clarified the process of bus bunching formation, analyzed the variation characteristics [...] Read more.
Bus bunching is a common phenomenon caused by irregular bus headway, which increases the passenger waiting time, makes the passenger capacity uneven, and severely reduces the reliability of bus service. This paper clarified the process of bus bunching formation, analyzed the variation characteristics of bus bunching in a single day, in different types of periods, and at different bus stops, then concluded twelve potential factors. A hybrid model integrating a genetic algorithm with elitist preservation strategy (eGA) and decision tree (DT) was proposed. The eGA part constructs the model framework and transforms the factor identification into a problem of selecting the fittest individual from the population, while the DT part evaluates the fitness. Model verification and comparison were conducted based on real automatic vehicle location (AVL) data in Shenzhen, China. The results showed that the proposed eGA–DT model outperformed other frequently used single DT and extra tree (ET) models with at least a 20% reduction in MAE under different bus routes, periods, and bus stops. Six factors, including the sequence of the bus stop, the headway and dwell time at the previous bus stop, the travel time between bus stops, etc., were identified to have a significant effect on bus bunching, which is of great value for feature selection to improve the accuracy and efficiency of bus bunching prediction and real-time bus dispatching. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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18 pages, 3651 KB  
Article
A Real-Time Control Strategy for Bus Operation to Alleviate Bus Bunching
by Yunqiang Xue, Meng Zhong, Luowei Xue, Haokai Tu, Caifeng Tan, Qifang Kong and Hongzhi Guan
Sustainability 2022, 14(13), 7870; https://doi.org/10.3390/su14137870 - 28 Jun 2022
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 4303
Abstract
In order to alleviate bus bunching and improve the balance and punctuality rate of bus operation, a single-line real-time control strategy based on Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) was proposed. The strategy took three measures: controlling the cruising speed, dwell time, and the bus [...] Read more.
In order to alleviate bus bunching and improve the balance and punctuality rate of bus operation, a single-line real-time control strategy based on Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) was proposed. The strategy took three measures: controlling the cruising speed, dwell time, and the bus load rate to improve the stability of bus operations and to ensure its running speed. At the same time, the proposed strategy was compared with the literature on the traditional single-point control strategy based on timetable (S1 for short) and the multi-point control strategy based on time headway (S2 for short). Finally, the No. 245 bus line in Nanchang City, China, was selected as a case. It was modeled and simulated by Python programming software, and the control effects of the three control strategies were analyzed. Compared with the uncontrolled bus operations, the simulation results show that: under the control of S1, the bus operation stability is improved, but the bus operation efficiency is reduced; under the control of S2, the problem of S1 operation efficiency reduction can be solved, and the operation stability can be improved at the same time to achieve the effect of preventing bunching. For the real-time control strategy (S3 for short), the average bus travel time is the smallest, the distance between the buses is maintained the best, and the running stability is also the best, which avoids the bus bunching to the greatest extent. Among them, the average travel time is reduced by about 34% compared with the second strategy. This study provides a theoretical basis and strategy reference for bus operators to ensure balanced bus operation. Full article
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38 pages, 4909 KB  
Article
Non-Dominated Sorting Manta Ray Foraging Optimization for Multi-Objective Optimal Power Flow with Wind/Solar/Small- Hydro Energy Sources
by Fatima Daqaq, Salah Kamel, Mohammed Ouassaid, Rachid Ellaia and Ahmed M. Agwa
Fractal Fract. 2022, 6(4), 194; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract6040194 - 31 Mar 2022
Cited by 20 | Viewed by 4649
Abstract
This present study describes a novel manta ray foraging optimization approach based non-dominated sorting strategy, namely (NSMRFO), for solving the multi-objective optimization problems (MOPs). The proposed powerful optimizer can efficiently achieve good convergence and distribution in both the search and objective spaces. In [...] Read more.
This present study describes a novel manta ray foraging optimization approach based non-dominated sorting strategy, namely (NSMRFO), for solving the multi-objective optimization problems (MOPs). The proposed powerful optimizer can efficiently achieve good convergence and distribution in both the search and objective spaces. In the NSMRFO algorithm, the elitist non-dominated sorting mechanism is followed. Afterwards, a crowding distance with a non-dominated ranking method is integrated for the purpose of archiving the Pareto front and improving the optimal solutions coverage. To judge the NSMRFO performances, a bunch of test functions are carried out including classical unconstrained and constrained functions, a recent benchmark suite known as the completions on evolutionary computation 2020 (CEC2020) that contains twenty-four multimodal optimization problems (MMOPs), some engineering design problems, and also the modified real-world issue known as IEEE 30-bus optimal power flow involving the wind/solar/small-hydro power generations. Comparison findings with multimodal multi-objective evolutionary algorithms (MMMOEAs) and other existing multi-objective approaches with respect to performance indicators reveal the NSMRFO ability to balance between the coverage and convergence towards the true Pareto front (PF) and Pareto optimal sets (PSs). Thus, the competing algorithms fail in providing better solutions while the proposed NSMRFO optimizer is able to attain almost all the Pareto optimal solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Optimization and Nonlinear Analysis)
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20 pages, 2360 KB  
Article
An Integrated Bus Holding and Speed Adjusting Strategy Considering Passenger’s Waiting Time Perceptions
by Weiya Chen, Hengpeng Zhang, Chunxiao Chen and Xiaofan Wei
Sustainability 2021, 13(10), 5529; https://doi.org/10.3390/su13105529 - 15 May 2021
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 3012
Abstract
To solve the problems of bus bunching and large gaps, this study combines bus holding and speed adjusting to alleviate them respectively considering the characteristics of passenger’s perceived waiting time. The difference between passenger’s perceived waiting time at stops and actual time is [...] Read more.
To solve the problems of bus bunching and large gaps, this study combines bus holding and speed adjusting to alleviate them respectively considering the characteristics of passenger’s perceived waiting time. The difference between passenger’s perceived waiting time at stops and actual time is described quantitatively through the expected waiting time of passengers. Bus holding based on a threshold method is implemented at any stops for bunching buses, and speed adjusting based on a Markovian decision model is implemented at limited stops for lagging buses. Simulations based on real data of a bus route show that the integrated control strategy is able to improve the service reliability and to decrease passengers’ perceived waiting time at stops. Several insights have been uncovered through performance analysis: (1) The increase of holding control strength results in improvement of the headway regularity, and leads to a greater perceived waiting time though; (2) Compared to traveling freely, suitable speed guidance will not slow down the average cruising speed in the trip; (3) The scale of passenger demand and through passengers are the two key factors influencing whether a stop should be selected as a speed-adjusting control point. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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15 pages, 415 KB  
Article
Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
by Erlend Sandø Kiel and Gerd Hovin Kjølle
Appl. Sci. 2021, 11(1), 182; https://doi.org/10.3390/app11010182 - 27 Dec 2020
Cited by 7 | Viewed by 3214
Abstract
Extreme weather is known to cause failure bunching in electrical transmission systems. However, protection systems can also contribute to the worsening of the system state through various failure modes—spontaneous, missing or unwanted operation. The latter two types of failures only occur when an [...] Read more.
Extreme weather is known to cause failure bunching in electrical transmission systems. However, protection systems can also contribute to the worsening of the system state through various failure modes—spontaneous, missing or unwanted operation. The latter two types of failures only occur when an initial failure has happened, and thus are more likely to happen when the probability of failure of transmission lines is high, such as in an extreme weather scenario. This causes an exacerbation of failure bunching effects, increasing the risk of blackouts, or High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events. This paper describes a method to model transmission line failure rates, considering both protection system reliability and extreme weather exposure. A case study is presented using the IEEE 24 bus Reliability Test System (RTS) test system. The case study, using both an approximate method as well as a time-series approach to calculate reliability indices, demonstrates both a compact generalization of including protection system failures in reliability analysis, as well as the interaction between weather exposure and protection system failures and its impact on power system reliability indices. The results show that the inclusion of protection system failures can have a large impact on the estimated occurrence of higher order contingencies for adjacent lines, especially for lines with correlated weather exposure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Probabilistic Methods for Power System Resilience Assessment)
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13 pages, 3202 KB  
Article
Two-Way Cooperative Priority Control of Bus Transit with Stop Capacity Constraint
by Qian Gao, Shuyang Zhang, Guojun Chen and Yuchuan Du
Sustainability 2020, 12(4), 1405; https://doi.org/10.3390/su12041405 - 14 Feb 2020
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 3185
Abstract
Signal priority control and speed guidance are effective ways to reduce the delay of buses at intersections. Previous work generally focused on the optimization strategy at the intersection area, without simultaneously considering the influence on adjacent downstream bus stops. This probably leads to [...] Read more.
Signal priority control and speed guidance are effective ways to reduce the delay of buses at intersections. Previous work generally focused on the optimization strategy at the intersection area, without simultaneously considering the influence on adjacent downstream bus stops. This probably leads to the size of the passed bus platoon exceeding the capacity of berths and queuing, which in turn causes additional delay to the overall bus travel time. Focusing on this problem, this paper proposes a two-way cooperative control strategy that constrains the size of the upstream platoon. Besides this, to avoid bus bunching, no more than two buses from the same route can be admitted in the same platoon. Based on these principles, we modeled how to make buses pass without stopping by simultaneously considering the signal control and speed guidance. Finally, the effectiveness was validated by simulation in Verkehr in Städten Simulation (VISSIM, German for “Traffic in cities—simulation”), a microscopic traffic simulator. The results show that compared to the existing methods, which only use signal control, the cooperative strategy reduces the total delay at the intersection and the downstream stop. It alleviates the queuing phenomenon at the downstream bus stop greatly, and the bus arrivals tend to be more uniform, which helps improve the reliability and sustainability of bus services. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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