Search Results (195)

This paper examines the changing role of emissions trading systems (ETSs) within the macro-financial framework of energy markets, emphasizing price dynamics and systemic spillovers. Utilizing monthly data from seven ETS jurisdictions spanning January 2021 to December 2024 (N = 287 observations after log transformation and first differencing), which includes four auction-based markets (United States, Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea), two secondary markets (China, New Zealand), and a government-set fixed-price scheme (Germany), this research estimates a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) employing a Common Correlated Effects (CCE) model and augments it with machine learning analysis utilizing XGBoost and explainable AI methodologies. The PVAR-CEE reveals numerous unexpected findings related to carbon markets: ETS returns exhibit persistence with an autoregressive coefficient of −0.137 after a four-month lag, while increasing inflation results in rising ETS after the same period. Furthermore, ETSs generate spillover effects in the real economy, as elevated ETSs today forecast a 0.125-point reduction in unemployment one month later and a 0.0173 increase in inflation after two months. Impulse response analysis indicates that exogenous shocks, including Brent oil prices, policy uncertainty, and financial volatility, are swiftly assimilated by ETS pricing, with effects dissipating completely within three to eight months. XGBoost models ascertain that policy uncertainty and Brent oil prices are the most significant predictors of one-month-ahead ETSs, whereas ESG factors are relevant only beyond certain thresholds and in conditions of low policy uncertainty. These findings establish ETS markets as dynamic transmitters of macroeconomic signals, influencing energy management, labor changes, and sustainable finance under carbon pricing frameworks. Full article

With the support of the dual-carbon strategy and related policies, China’s offshore wind power has experienced rapid development. However, constrained by the inherent intermittency and volatility of wind power, large-scale expansion poses significant challenges to grid integration and exacerbates government fiscal burdens. To address these critical issues, this paper proposes a multi-market coupling trading model integrating energy storage-equipped offshore wind power into electricity–carbon–green certificate markets for large-scale grid networks. Firstly, a day-ahead electricity market optimization model that incorporates energy storage is established to maximize power revenue by coordinating offshore wind power generation, thermal power dispatch, and energy storage charging/discharging strategies. Subsequently, carbon market and green certificate market optimization models are developed to quantify Chinese Certified Emission Reduction (CCER) volume, carbon quotas, carbon emissions, market revenues, green certificate quantities, pricing mechanisms, and associated economic benefits. To validate the model’s effectiveness, a gradient ascent-optimized game-theoretic model and a double auction mechanism are introduced as benchmark comparisons. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model increases market revenues by 17.13% and 36.18%, respectively, compared to the two benchmark models. It not only improves wind power penetration and comprehensive profitability but also effectively alleviates government subsidy pressures through coordinated carbon–green certificate trading mechanisms. Full article

With the proposal of China’s “dual carbon” goal, the carbon market has become a vital tool for controlling carbon emissions. This study constructs a system dynamics model encompassing carbon trading, the economy, energy, population, and the environment, and conducts simulation analysis against the backdrop of China’s national carbon market’s implementation. The results indicate that the implementation of China’s national carbon market significantly promotes carbon emissions reduction, albeit at the cost of some economic development in the short term. However, the suppressive effect of the carbon market on carbon emissions is stronger than its negative impact on economic growth. The effects of carbon reduction strengthen with increases in carbon price, quota auction, CCER price, penalty severity, and the quota reduction rate and weaken with a higher CCER offset ratio. A moderate reduction in the tightening quota reduction rate is more conducive to achieving coordinated development across the multiple objectives of carbon reduction, economic development, and energy structure. Under the constraints of multiple objectives involving carbon reduction, economic development, and energy structure, the reasonable range for carbon prices is between CNY 77.9 and CNY 118.9 per ton, with the maximum quota auction of 23.4%. Additionally, the reasonable range for the quota reduction rates is between 0.84% and 2.18%, with the penalty severity set at 7. Full article

This study examines the associations between linearly scored phenotypic traits and auction sales prices of young event horses in Ireland, aiming to identify key traits influencing market value. Data from 307 horses sold at public auctions (2022–2023) were analysed using regression analysis, binary optimisation, and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Regression identified Head–neck Connection, Quality of Legs, Walk length of Stride, and Scope as highly significant predictors of sales price (p < 0.001), with Length of Croup, Trot Elasticity, Trot Balance, and Take-off Direction also significant (p < 0.05). Optimised regression reduced the number of relevant traits from 37 to 8, streamlining evaluation. PCA highlighted eight principal traits, including Scope, Elasticity, and Canter Impulsion, explaining 61.19% of variance in the first four components. These results demonstrate that specific conformation, movement, and athleticism traits significantly affect auction outcomes. The findings provide actionable insights for breeders and stakeholders, suggesting that targeted selection for high-impact traits could accelerate genetic progress and improve market returns. Furthermore, these traits could underpin the development of economic or buyer indices to enhance valuation accuracy and transparency, with potential application across equestrian disciplines to align breeding objectives with market demands. Full article

Distribution transformers serve as critical nodes in smart grids, and management of their recycling plays a vital role in the full life-cycle management for electrical equipment. However, the traditional manual dismantling methods often exhibit a low metal recovery efficiency and high levels of hazardous substance residue. To facilitate green, cost-effective, and fine-grained recycling of distribution transformers, this study proposes a fine-grained dismantling decision-making system based on a knowledge graph subgraph comparison and multimodal fusion perception. First, a standardized dismantling process is designed to achieve refined transformer decomposition. Second, a comprehensive set of multi-dimensional evaluation metrics is established to assess the effectiveness of various recycling strategies for different transformers. Finally, through the integration of multimodal perception with knowledge graph technology, the system achieves automated sequencing of the dismantling operations. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method attains 99% accuracy in identifying recyclable transformers and 97% accuracy in auction-based pricing. The residual oil rate in dismantled transformers is reduced to below 1%, while the metal recovery efficiency increases by 40%. Furthermore, the environmental sustainability and economic value are improved by 23% and 40%, respectively. This approach significantly enhances the recycling value and environmental safety of distribution transformers, providing effective technical support for smart grid development and environmental protection. Full article

UAV-assisted mobile edge computing combines the flexibility of UAVs with the computing power of MEC to provide low-latency, high-performance computing solutions for a wide range of application scenarios. However, due to the highly dynamic and heterogeneous nature of the UAV environment, the optimal allocation of resources and system reliability still face significant challenges. This paper proposes a two-stage optimization (DSO) algorithm for UAV-assisted MEC, combining Stackelberg game theory and auction mechanisms to optimize resource allocation among servers, UAVs, and users. The first stage uses a Stackelberg game to allocate resources between servers and UAVs, while the second stage employs an auction algorithm for UAV-user resource pricing. Blockchain smart contracts automate task management, ensuring transparency and reliability. The experimental results show that compared with the traditional single-stage optimization algorithm (SSO), the equal allocation algorithm (EAA) and the dynamic resource pricing algorithm (DRP), the DSO algorithm proposed in this paper has significant advantages by improving resource utilization by 7–10%, reducing task latency by 3–5%, and lowering energy consumption by 4–8%, making it highly effective for dynamic UAV environments. Full article

The transition towards renewable energy has increased the importance of virtual power plants (VPPs) in integrating distributed energy resources (DERs). However, questions remain regarding the most appropriate auction mechanisms (pay-as-bid (PAB) versus pay-as-clear (PAC)) and imbalance penalty structures, which significantly influence VPP bidding strategies and market operations. This study employs a three-stage stochastic programming model to evaluate VPP bidding behaviors under these auction mechanisms while also considering the effects of imbalance penalty structures. By simulating various market scenarios, the results reveal that PAC markets offer higher VPP revenues due to settlement at the market-clearing price; they also exhibit greater volatility and elevated imbalance penalties. For instance, power deviations in PAC markets were 52.60% higher than in PAB markets under specific penalty structures, and imbalance penalty cost ranges differed by up to 82.32%. In contrast, PAB markets foster stable, stepwise bidding strategies that minimize imbalance penalties and improve renewable energy utilization, particularly during high- and moderate-generation periods. The findings emphasize the advantages of the PAB mechanism in electricity markets with substantial renewable energy integration, providing significant insights for the design of auction mechanisms that facilitate reliable and sustainable market operations. Full article

Spectrum auctions in international mobile telecommunications (IMT) are a representative method for selling the right to transmit signals within a specific band of electromagnetic waves to communication service providers (CSPs); it is important to design a fair spectrum auction that can benefit both government and auction bidders. The government should reduce the burden of maintenance costs by setting a reasonable initial price and selling it to bidders at the highest price they can afford. However, due to the complex auction rules and decision-making process, not many studies has been conducted on how to select an appropriate initial price for the auction. This study aims at introducing a novel simulation modeling approach to develop a spectrum auction policy for international mobile telecommunications (IMT) using agent-based simulation (ABS), which involves three telecommunications service provider types (i.e., the Aggressive bidder, the Moderate bidder, and the Conservative bidder) and the auction environment of IMT in South Korea. In particular, the proposed approach adopts the exponential utility theory to model the behavior of auction bidders and identify the optimal initial bid price. The devised ABS model is calibrated to the IMT spectrum auction conducted in 2018 in South Korea, and the best initial pricing policy identified (i.e., $85.24 million per spectrum block) regarding a sustainable market environment for existing service providers (i.e., 10 blocks for the Aggressive bidder, 10 blocks for the Moderate bidder, and 8 blocks for the Conservative bidder). The proposed approach will be beneficial to both government agencies and auction bidders under fair competition in the IMT market. Full article

While tradable green certificates (TGCs) and carbon emission trading (CET) play key roles in achieving peak carbon and carbon neutrality, the coupling effects between these two policies on the medium- and long-term electricity market and the spot market are still uncertain. In this study, we firstly construct a multi-scale market trading framework to sort out the information transfer of four markets. Secondly, we establish a multi-scale market system dynamics-coupled trading model with five sub-modules, including the medium- and long-term power markets, the spot market, and the carbon market. Subsequently, we adjust the policy parameters (carbon quota benchmark price, carbon quota auction ratio, and renewable energy quota ratio) and set up five policy scenarios to compare and analyze the impacts of the CET and TGC mechanisms on the power market and carbon emission reduction when they act alone or in synergy, in order to provide a theoretical basis for the adjustment of strategies of market entities and the setting of parameters. The results show that CET can increase spot electricity prices and promote renewable energy to enter the spot market, while TGCs can promote a high proportion of renewable energy consumption but lower spot electricity prices for a long time. The coordinated implementation of the CET and TGC mechanisms can improve the power market’s adaptability to high renewable energy penetration, but it may also result in policy redundancy. Full article

Predicting art auction results presents a unique challenge due to the complexity and variability of factors influencing artwork prices. This study explores a range of machine learning architectures designed to forecast auction outcomes using tabular data, including historical auction records, artwork characteristics, artist profiles, and market indicators. We evaluate traditional models such as LinearModel, K-Nearest Neighbors, DecisionTree, RandomForest, XGBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM, MLP, VIME, ModelTree, DeepGBM, DeepFM, and SAINT. By comparing the performance of these models on a dataset comprising extensive auction results, we provide insights into their relative effectiveness across different scenarios. Additionally, we address the interpretability of models, which is crucial for understanding the influence of various features on predictions. The results suggest that while some models perform better than others, no single approach offers consistently high accuracy across all cases. This study provides guidance for auction houses, art investors, and market analysts in refining predictive approaches, identifying key challenges, and understanding where further improvements are needed for more accurate data-driven decisions in the art market. Full article

This paper aims to develop an optimisation-based price bid generation mechanism for the sellers and buyers in a double-auction-aided peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading market. With consumers being prosumers through the continuous adoption of distributed energy resources, P2P energy trading models offer a paradigm shift in energy market operation. Thus, it is essential to develop market models and mechanisms that can maximise the incentives for participation in the P2P energy market. In this sense, the proposed approach focuses on maximising profit at the sellers, as well as maximising cost savings at the buyers. The bids generated from the proposed approach are integrated with three different market clearing mechanisms, and the corresponding market clearing prices are compared. A numerical analysis is performed on a real-life dataset from Ausgrid to demonstrate the bids generated from sellers/buyers, as well as the associated market clearing prices throughout different months of the year. It can be observed that the market clearing prices are lower when the solar generation is higher. The statistical analysis demonstrates that all three market clearing mechanisms can achieve a consistent market clearing price within a range of 5 cents/kWh for 50% of the time when trading takes place. Full article

The transportation system has a big impact on daily lifestyle and it is essential to energy transition and decarbonization initiatives. Stabilizing the grid and incorporating sustainable energy sources require technologies like the Internet of Energy (IoE) and Internet of Vehicles (IoV). Electric vehicles (EVs) are essential for cutting emissions and reliance on fossil fuels. According to research on flexible charging methods, allowing EVs to trade electricity can maximize travel distances and efficiently reduce traffic. In order to improve grid efficiency and vehicle coordination, this study suggests an ideal method for energy trading in the Internet of Vehicles (IoV) in which EVs bid for electricity and Road Side Units (RSUs) act as buyers. The Taylor Social Optimization Algorithm (TSOA) is employed for this auction process, focusing on energy and pricing to select the best Charging Station (CS). The TSOA integrates the Taylor series and Social Optimization Algorithm (SOA) to facilitate flow redirection post-trading, evaluating each RSU’s redirection factor to identify overloaded or underloaded CSs. The Flow-DNET model determines redirection policies for overloaded CSs. The TSOA + Flow-DNET approach achieved a pricing improvement of 0.816% and a redirection success rate of 0.918, demonstrating its effectiveness in optimizing electricity trading and flow management within the IoV framework. Full article

With The integration of renewable energy sources into smart grids and electric vehicle (EV) charger-sharing networks is essential for achieving the goal of environmental sustainability. However, the uneven distribution of distributed energy trading among EVs, fixed charging stations (FCSs), and mobile charging stations (MCSs) introduces challenges such as inadequate supply at FCSs and prolonged latencies at MCSs. In this paper, we propose a multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL)-based auction algorithm for energy trading that effectively balances charger supply with energy demand in distributed EV charging markets, while also reducing total charging latency. Specifically, this involves a MADRL-based hierarchical auction that dynamically adapts to real-time conditions, optimizing the balance of supply and demand. During energy trading, each EV, acting as a learning agent, can refine its bidding strategy to participate in various local energy trading markets, thus enhancing both individual utility and global social welfare. Furthermore, we design a cross-chain scheme to securely record and verify transaction results of energy trading in decentralized EV charger-sharing networks to ensure integrity and transparency. Finally, experimental results show that the proposed algorithm significantly outperforms both the second-price and double auctions in increasing global social welfare and reducing total charging latency. Full article

The land price reflects the supply and demand relationship in the land market and plays an important role in regulating land use. Improving land auction rules is of great significance for avoiding abnormal fluctuations in the land market and promoting the sustainable use of land resources. To regulate the abnormal fluctuations in the state-owned land use rights’ auction prices, Chinese local governments have implemented a “sealed one-time bidding, average price wins” rule. However, limited theoretical and empirical research that assesses its policy impact exists. This study examines the policy motivations behind this rule, constructing three game models; namely, static complete information, static incomplete information, and multiperiod repeated games. By deducing bidding strategies and equilibrium results, hypotheses are formulated. A baseline difference-in-differences (DID) and a dynamic policy effect model are designed, and the Python crawler is used to obtain 1182 microland auction samples in Suzhou. This study evaluates the impact of the one-time bidding rule on the starting prices, transaction prices, and premium rates. The empirical results underwent multiple robustness tests, eliminating potential endogeneity issues and biases. The results show that while the policy is effective in restraining the premium rate, indicating the bidding intensity in single-land auctions, it proves challenging to curb the long-term rise in land prices through continuous bidding auctions. Moreover, the policy may stimulate local governments to increase auction starting prices. Full article

Food evaluation is a topic central to consumer research and food marketing. However, there is little consensus regarding how consumers combine sensory stimuli, product information, and visual impressions to shape their evaluation. Moreover, the bulk of research relies on studies based on questionnaires and declarative responses, raising questions about subliminal processes and their hierarchy in an evaluation process. To address this gap in the literature, we conducted a study with more than 400 participants in Morocco and Tunisia and investigated how factors such as flavor/taste, product information, and packaging design in a variety of olive oils influence visual attention and are reflected in willingness to pay (WTP). We implemented incentivization through an auction to reduce the hypothetical bias in stated WTP values. The results revealed that, compared to tasting the oils, the provision of cognitive information led to an increase in consumers’ WTP. However, a drastic increase in WTP occurred when the consumers were exposed to package designs, overshadowing the formerly dominant effects of product attributes. These findings support theories suggesting a visual perceptual processing advantage due to the picture superiority effect–a picture says a thousand words. Further, it underlines the importance of graphic design in food marketing. The findings have ramifications for food marketing, product development, and pricing strategies. Full article