Search Results (42)

As a pivotal ecological–economic nexus in China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB)’s spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality (HQ) profoundly influences regional sustainable development. This study establishes a tripartite analytical framework integrating remote sensing big data, socioeconomic datasets, and ecological modeling. By coupling the InVEST and PLUS models with Theil–Sen median trend analysis and Mann–Kendall tests, we systematically assessed HQ spatial heterogeneity across the basin during 2000–2020 and projected trends under 2030 scenarios (natural development (S1), cropland protection (S2), and ecological conservation (S3)). Key findings reveal that basin-wide HQ remained stable (0.599–0.606) but exhibited marked spatial disparities, demonstrating a “high-middle reach (0.636–0.649), low upper/lower reach” pattern. Urbanized downstream areas recorded the minimum HQ (0.478–0.515), primarily due to landscape fragmentation from peri-urban expansion and transportation infrastructure. Trend analysis showed that coefficient of variation (CV) values ranged from 0.350 to 2.72 (mean = 0.768), indicating relative stability but significant spatial variability. While 76.98% of areas showed no significant HQ changes, 15.83% experienced declines (3.56% with significant degradation, p < 0.05) concentrated in urban agglomerations (e.g., the Wuhan Metropolitan Area, the Yangtze River Delta). Only 7.18% exhibited an HQ improvement, predominantly in snowmelt-affected Qinghai–Tibet Plateau regions, with merely 0.95% showing a significant enhancement. Multi-scenario projections align with Theil–Sen trends, predicting HQ declines across all scenarios. S3 curbs decline to 0.33% (HQ = 0.597), outperforming S1 (1.07%) and S2 (1.15%). Nevertheless, downstream areas remain high-risk (S3 HQ = 0.476). This study elucidated compound drivers of urbanization, agricultural encroachment, and climate change, proposing a synergistic “zoning regulation–corridor restoration–cross-regional compensation” pathway. These findings provide scientific support for balancing ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yangtze Economic Belt, while offering systematic solutions for the sustainable governance of global mega-basins. Full article

Regional comprehensive transportation infrastructures constitute the fundamental basis for the development of inland urban agglomerations. To elucidate the role of comprehensive transportation in shaping the spatial organization and expansion of urban agglomerations, this study takes the Yangtze River Middle Reaches Urban Agglomeration (YRMRUA) as a case example. It examines the spatial relationships between transportation network layout and spatial expansion patterns using fractal dimension based on traffic accessibility, traffic-weighted linear density, and Pearson correlation analysis. The key findings of this study are as follows: (1) The YRMRUA exhibits a partial fractal growth pattern influenced by transportation development, which indicates that the comprehensive transportation has a significant but limited impact on YRMRUA. (2) There is a moderate correlation between traffic-weighted linear density and spatial expansion intensity within YRMRUA. (3) Specific groups such as the Wuhan–Ezhou–Huanggang–Huangshi group, Changsha–Zhuzhou–Xiangtan group, and Nanchang–Yichun group have formed in areas where transportation development and spatial expansion are at the forefront. (4) Different modes of transportation, including waterway transportation, railway transportation, and road transportation, have varying effects on spatial expansion. The integration of these modes forms the fundamental framework of urban agglomerations. Full article

Green technological innovation is pivotal in advancing the ‘dual carbon’ target and promoting sustainable and low-carbon development. This research examines 17 prefecture-level cities in Hubei Province, employing the Super-SBM model for assessing emissions of carbon efficiency from 2010 to 2020. The kernel density estimation and the Dagum coefficient of Gini are also used to examine the spatio-temporal differentiation and the evolution of these efficiencies. A data panel regression model is utilized to evaluate how green technological innovation impacts carbon emission efficiency in Hubei Province. The research revealed that (1) Hubei Province’s carbon emission efficiency first fluctuated and then increased rapidly, and (2) the overall regional difference in carbon emission efficiency in Hubei Province shows a trend of first decreasing and then gradually increasing. The Wuhan metropolitan area and the Xiang-yang-Shiyan-Suizhou-Shennongjia urban area are quite different; the differentiation within the Yichang-Jingzhou-Jing-Enshi urban agglomeration shows a narrowing trend. (3) The innovation elements of green technology are positively correlated with the effectiveness of carbon emissions; the relationship between economic expansion and population density among the control variables also shows a positive correlation, while the industrial structure and government environmental regulations are negatively correlated. (4) In Hubei Province, there is a temporal lag between green technological innovation and its impact on carbon emission efficiency. Capital investment and technical achievement currently enhance carbon emission efficiency, while human capital positively affects carbon emission efficiency during a second lag period. This article proposes countermeasures and recommendations for R&D capital spending, innovative talent cultivation, and regional differentiation, providing specific references to advance the coordinated growth of the whole Hubei Province and green sustainable development. Full article

The evaluation of ecosystem service value (ESV) is crucial for decision making in regional sustainable development. The close relationship between ecosystem services and land use/cover change (LUCC) is well acknowledged. However, the impact of the mutual transformation among different land use types on the temporal and spatial differences in the ESV is still unclear. To fulfill this gap, this study evaluates the ESV in the Wuhan Urban Agglomerations based on LUCC, taking the spatiotemporal characteristics into consideration. The results show that (1) The land use structure in the Wuhan Urban Agglomerations has undergone great changes from 2012 to 2021, and the area of cultivated land converted to forest land is the largest, which may be related to policies such as returning farmland to forests. (2) The total amount of ESV shows a downward trend, and the spatial distribution of ESV is “low in the west and high in the central and eastern regions”, which may be related to the natural factors in study area. (3) The spatial distribution of ESV in the study area will remain unchanged in the future. However, the transformation among land use types may exacerbate the reduction in the total ESV, which will have an adverse impact on the ecological environment and sustainable development of the region. This study initiates a more comprehensive framework to better reflect the real scenario of ESV, which will hopefully provide a reference for regional sustainable development. Full article

The improvement of overall agricultural efficiency in the city clusters along the middle reaches of the Yangtze River is crucial for promoting stable regional agricultural production and ensuring food security. This study employs the SBM (slack-based measure) model with the unexpected environmental outputoutputs, including agricultural surface pollution and agricultural carbon emissions, and the SFA (stochastic frontier approach) model to investigate the overall agricultural efficiency and its influencing factors in 31 prefecture-level cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomeration from 2008 to 2021. The research findings indicate the following: (1) Without eliminating the impact of environmental variables, the overall agricultural efficiency in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River city clusters shows a rise–fall–stability trend and limited level. The scale of production input is relatively reasonable, but there is inefficiency in the utilization of factor resources. (2) The SFA model reveals that economic development, urbanization construction, industrial structure, and government influence have significant but different impacts on agricultural production factor input. Accelerating economic development is helpful for reducing excessive inputs of agricultural capital, labor, planting area, agricultural film, and irrigation. Increasing the level of urbanization can promote the efficient allocation of planting area and effective irrigation area. The improvement of industrialization level pushes the rational input of planting area and agricultural film, but it may also lead to excessive input of agricultural capital, labor, pesticides, and effective irrigation area. Expanding government influence can restrain the excessive use of pesticides. (3) After eliminating environmental variables, there is a low and slow declining trend of the overall agricultural efficiency over time. Neither production scale efficiency nor pure technical efficiency reached optimal levels; the former one is significantly lower than the latter. In terms of spatial distribution, there exists a “higher in the west and lower in the east” feature, with obvious and expanding regional efficiency differences and high-efficiency areas gradually concentrating in the Wuhan urban circle. In summary, this article puts forward the following suggestions: optimize the structure of the government’s support for agriculture, focusing on the construction of agricultural infrastructure and the support for green production in agriculture; improve the research and development and promotion of green production technology and encourage the establishment of the use of resources and recycling; and absorb the population of farmers who have been transferred to urban areas reasonably and orderly under the adjustment of industrial structure. Full article

Water resource carrying capacity is indispensable for sustainable development, acting as a crucial determinant for harmonizing ecological preservation with socio-economic development. This study centers on Hubei Province, which is an important water conservation area in the Yangtze River Basin and is one of the core water source areas for the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, and evaluates the water resource carrying capacity of the three major urban agglomerations in Hubei Province from 2005 to 2020 based on the four dimensions of water resources, economics, society, and ecology, using the entropy weighting method and the TOPSIS model to construct an evaluation index system. We then employ the kernel density estimation method, ArcGIS visualization, and the Dagum Gini coefficient method to perform a comprehensive analysis of spatial and temporal differences, dynamic evolution, and contribution sources. The results show that (1) the water resource carrying capacity of Hubei Province as a whole increased from a severe overload to overload level during the study period. The water resource carrying capacity of the three major urban agglomerations shows a regional distribution pattern where the Yi-Jing-Jing-En agglomeration’s capacity surpasses that of the Wuhan urban agglomeration, which is bigger than Xiang-Shi-Sui-Shen urban agglomeration. A lower ecological water use rate primarily constrains the enhancement of the carrying capacity of water resources in Hubei Province. (2) The kernel density estimation reveals an increase in the overall water resource carrying capacity across Hubei Province’s three major urban agglomerations during the study period, alongside a pronounced trend towards polarization. (3) While the overall Gini coefficient, indicating an imbalance in water resource carrying capacity in Hubei Province, remains high, it demonstrates a declining trend, suggesting a growing disparity in water resource carrying capacity across the province’s three major urban agglomerations. Hubei Province’s water resource carrying capacity faces challenges of an overall imbalance and localized vulnerability. Strategies should aim to enhance synergy, address these deficiencies directly, and devise targeted measures tailored to the distinct features of various urban clusters. Full article

The assessment of ecological space quality (ESQ) and its spatio-temporal change monitoring are crucial for regional ecological management and sustainable development. However, there are few studies on how to construct a comprehensive ESQ assessment system to reveal the spatial and temporal change patterns of ESQ over a long time series. Therefore, this study constructs an ESQ evaluation model with comprehensive ecological characteristics to quantitatively assess the spatio-temporal dynamics of ESQ from 2001 to 2020 based on policy objectives and public demands, using the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as an example. The results show that, in the past 20 years, the mean value of ESQ in urban agglomeration has decreased (−0.179·year⁻¹), and the overall ESQ is dominated by a good level. The ESQ has shifted from improvement (2001–2010) to deterioration (2010–2020) and shows the spatial distribution characteristics of “high in the periphery and center, low in the interior”. From the trend of change, the degraded area of ESQ is greater than the improved area, and the degraded area of ESQ will increase in the future compared with the trend of 2001–2020. The distribution of ESQ has a significant spatial agglomeration and scale effect. The hot spots of ESQ at the town scale are mainly concentrated in the central part of urban agglomeration and mountainous areas in the periphery. The cold spots are mainly concentrated in the surrounding areas of central cities (Wuhan, Changsha, and Nanchang). The proposed assessment framework can be used to quantify spatial and temporal changes in ESQ and identify potential ecological space management issues, providing basic information for implementing ecological space protection, restoration, and developing adaptive ESQ management measures. The research results are of significant importance for ecosystem restoration and long-term development in the Yangtze River Basin. Full article

The urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River holds a crucial strategic position in China’s economic and social development landscape. Exploring the coordinated development effects within the digital economy and innovation in this area is conducive to promoting the development of the central region of China and the Yangtze River Economic Belt. This paper uses the 28 sample cities in urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as the study sample, and constructs a digital economy indicator system and an urban innovation efficiency indicator system. Based on the coupling coordination degree model, we use kernel density estimation, the Markov chain algorithm, and the Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method to empirically investigate the dynamic trends in coupling coordination development between the digital economy and urban innovation efficiency from 2012 to 2021. The research results reveal an overall upward trend in the digital economy, innovation efficiency, and coupling coordination development stages. However, the upward trend is accompanied by the risk of recession. Moreover, there are significant differences between cities, as highlighted by the differences between Wuhan and other cities. In the light of the findings, it is recommended that government departments take measures, including being alert to the risk of regressive development, developing cities in a realistic manner, and drawing on the experiences of outstanding cities in development. This research can provide new insights and empirical references for government entities to take measures for a more coordinated development of the digital economy and innovation efficiency in the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. Full article

Knowledge-intensive business services (KIBSs) are key links in leading the sustainable development of cities. Studying the spatial pattern and influencing factors of urban KIBSs can help improve the utilization of KIBS resources. Taking the Wuhan metropolitan area as a case study, based on data from industrial and commercial registration enterprises, this study uses the multi-ring buffer zone analysis and kernel density estimation method to analyze the spatial pattern of KIBS, and uses a negative binomial regression model to detect the influencing factors of the spatial pattern of KIBS. The results show that: (1) KIBSs are mainly distributed in the inner suburbs, presenting a multi-center spatial pattern, exhibiting the law of agglomeration along entrepreneurial streets, headquarter bases, science and technology parks, university clusters, business centers, and industrial bases. Obvious differences exist in the spatial patterns of KIBS sub-sectors. (2) Land price, traffic conditions, office space, commercial environment, technology factors, industry diversity, incubation environment, investment environment, manufacturing foundation, agglomeration factors, and policy factors are the main factors affecting the spatial patterns of KIBSs. There are differences in the impact of influencing factors on KIBS sub-sectors. The results can provide a decision-making basis for the rational layout and planning of urban KIBSs in the post-industrial era. Full article

The Liangzi Lake Basin (LLB) is an important ecological buffer for Wuhan’s urban agglomeration. It involves the ecological security of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. Historical land misuse has altered the topography and impacted the ecosystem services value (ESV). Amid urbanization, it is vital to highlight changing land use methods and their effects on ESV valuation, understanding the underlying drivers comprehensively. The research is centered on the LLB as its designated study region, and utilizes remote sensing satellite data spanning from 2000 to 2020. This data is combined with a value equivalence table to quantify ESV. The GeoDetector method is employed to investigate the driving factors behind ESV fluctuations. The findings indicate a substantial shift in land use patterns within the LLB between 2000 and 2020. Notably, arable land decreased by 6.28% and water bodies decreased by 0.92%, while built-up areas expanded by 5.14% and forest land expanded by 2.05%. During this period, the LLB’s ecosystem services value decreased by approximately 2.035 billion yuan. This drop was mainly due to reduced water areas resulting from urbanization, negatively impacting the ecological regulatory services provided by these water bodies. Based on the geoprobe model, possible drivers of changes in ESV in the LLB were identified, with human activity intensity and NDVI detection results being the most obvious. The research emphasized protecting and restoring key ecological areas, like water bodies and forests, to maintain a delicate balance between the environment and socio-economic development. Additionally, they exemplify the effectiveness of ecological policies, including initiatives such as “Returning Farmland to Forest or Pasture” (RFFP), and the prohibition of lake and field reclamation. Full article

Urban spatial elements present agglomeration and dispersion geographic processes in the urban development. Identifying the characteristics of their distribution changes and accurately capturing the evolution of the urban spatial structure is of great significance to urban construction and management. This study takes Wuhan as a case study and focuses on the spatial agglomeration distribution of urban elements. Point of Interest (POI) data from 2017 to 2021 were collected, and the Block2Vec model was employed to extract the comprehensive geographic information from various elements within the traffic analysis zones (TAZs). Subsequently, identification and division were carried out to access the level of urban spatial element agglomeration. Finally, the spatial–temporal evolution characteristics of urban aggregated elements in the Wuhan metropolitan development area over five years were compared and analyzed. The results indicate the following: (1) urban elements present an obvious circle structure in their spatial agglomeration, with distinct differences observed among different element types; (2) from 2017 to 2021, the Wuhan urban development zone experienced obvious expansion in urban space; (3) increased agglomeration of spatial elements mainly occurred in the surrounding areas of the city, while some areas in the city center displayed weaker element agglomeration and a reduction in various service facilities. The results demonstrate that the method used in this study could effectively identify the spatial agglomeration distribution of urban elements, as well as accurately distinguishing regions with distinct development characteristics. This approach could provide robust support for optimizing land use and urban spatial planning. Full article

In the context of global warming, the Wuhan Urban Agglomeration is actively responding to China’s carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals and striving to achieve a reduction in carbon sources and an increase in carbon sinks. Therefore, it is critical to investigate carbon emissions from land use. This study uses the carbon emission coefficient method to calculate carbon emissions from land use in the Wuhan Urban Agglomeration, analyzes its temporal and spatial changes and differences in urban structure, and couples with the Markov–PLUS model to simulate and predict the carbon emissions of four scenarios of land use in 2035. The research found the following: (1) during the Wuhan “1+8” City Circle stage, carbon sources and emissions increased steadily, with average annual growth rates of 1.92% and 1.99%, respectively. Carbon sinks remained stable and then decreased, with an average annual growth rate of −0.46%. (2) During the Wuhan Metropolitan Area stage—except for 2020 and 2021, which were affected by COVID-19—carbon sources, sinks, and emissions continued to grow in general, and the average annual growth rates increased to 4.46%, 1.58%, and 4.51%, respectively. (3) In terms of urban structure differences, Wuhan is a high-carbon optimization zone; Xianning, Huangshi, and Huanggang are ecological protection zones; other cities, such as Ezhou, Xiaogan, and Xiantao are comprehensive optimization zones; and there is no low-carbon development zone. (4) The multi-scenario simulation results show that carbon sources and emissions are the highest under the economic development scenario, with values of 100.2952 and 9858.83 million tons, respectively, followed by cropland protection, natural development, and low-carbon development scenarios. Under low-carbon development, carbon sinks were the highest, with values of 1.9709 million tons, followed by natural development, economic development, and cropland protection scenarios. The research results are conducive to the formulation of carbon peak and neutrality goals as well as low-carbon development plans for the Wuhan Urban Agglomeration. Full article

The industrial transfer of heavy industries such as non-metallic mineral manufacturing, metal smelting and manufacturing from the eastern coast of China to the central region is beneficial to the economic development of the central region on the one hand, but increases carbon emissions in the central region on the other hand. In February 2022, the National Development and Reform Commission approved the “14th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River”. This indicates that the urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River is an important region for implementing green development in the central area. The spatial and temporal evolution of carbon emissions and influencing factors in this region are the foundation for achieving carbon peaking and the carbon neutrality goal. This paper calculates the total carbon emissions of the cities in the urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and uses models such as spatial autocorrelation, geographically weighted regression, and Geodetector to explore the spatial–temporal pattern of carbon emissions. The results show the following: (1) The total carbon emissions of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomeration showed fluctuations during 2010–2020, and the carbon emission reduction effect is unstable. Additionally, the carbon emissions of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River city cluster show obvious spatial variability, but the high carbon emission area is always concentrated in Wuhan, and this remains unchanged. (2) In 2010, 2014 and 2017, population size was the most important factor affecting carbon emission divergence, and in terms of interaction, the interaction between energy intensity and GDP and urbanization is the reason for the increasing carbon emissions. (3) The influence of population size on carbon emissions decreases from north to south, the influence of energy intensity on carbon emissions shows a spread from the most influential region in the northwest to the centre and then to the northeast, and the GDP per capita has little influence on the difference of carbon emissions spatial distribution. Full article

Coordination between regional economic development and carbon pressure is essential for sustainable regional development. However, existing research on carbon pressure and studies on the relationship between economic growth and carbon pressure needs to be more comprehensive. This study analyzes the decoupling impact of economic growth and carbon pressure in different regions of urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River by revealing the evolution of the geographical and temporal characteristics of carbon pressure from 2000 to 2020. We investigate the drivers of carbon pressure in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomeration using the LMDI index decomposition model. The results show that (1) the carbon pressure in the urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and its three sub-city agglomerations shows a declining tendency at the beginning and later exhibits an increasing tendency; (2) from 2000 to 2020, the carbon pressure of the majority of cities increased, with Wuhan and Ezhou in the high carbon pressure area and Ji’an, Fuzhou, and Shangrao in the carbon sink surplus area; (3) the rate of decoupling climbs from 45% to 96% over time, then declines to 67%, and reaches 90% by 2020; and (4) the most prominent influence on carbon pressure in the 31 cities is energy consumption, followed by economic expansion. The research in this paper is beneficial for cities to explore solutions to coordinate economic development and carbon pressure despite the constraints of imposed by the two. Full article

Urban agglomerations are the main form of China’s future promotion of new urbanization development. Nevertheless, their accelerated expansion and development are increasingly threatening the security of regional ecosystems. The identification and optimization of ecological safety patterns (ESPs) is the fundamental spatial way to guarantee the ecological safety of urban circles and realize the sustainable development of the socio-economic and ecological environment. Nevertheless, from the perspective of urban green, low-carbon, and ecological restoration, regional safety evaluation still lacks a complete framework integrating ecological elements and social and natural indicators. Moreover, the evaluation method of ESPs also has a lack of judgment on the long-term change dynamics of regional landscape ecological risks and ecosystem service values. Thus, we proposed a new regional ecological security evaluation system based on ecosystem service value (ESV) and landscape ecological risk (LER), using the Wuhan urban agglomeration (WUA) as the research object. This study analyzed LER and ESV’s spatial and temporal changes over nearly 40 years from 1980 to 2020. LER and LSV were used as ecological elements combined with natural and human-social elements to jointly model the resistance surface of the landscape pattern. Applying the minimum cumulative resistance model (MCR), we identified green ecological corridors, constructed the ESPs of WUA, and proposed optimization measures. Our results show that: (1) The proportion of higher- and high-ecological-risk areas in WUA has decreased from 19.30% to 13.51% over the past 40 years. Over time, a “low–high–low” hierarchical distribution characteristic centered on Wuhan city was gradually formed in the east, south, and north; the total value of ecosystem services increased from CNY1110.998 billion to CNY1160.698 billion. The ESV was higher in the northeastern, southern, and central parts of the area. (2) This study selected 30 ecological source areas with a total area of about 14,374 km² and constructed and identified 24 ecological corridors and 42 ecological nodes, forming a multi-level ecological network optimization pattern with intertwined points, lines, and surfaces, increasing the connectivity of the ecological network and improving the ecological security level of the study area to a large extent, which is of great significance to promote the ecological priority and green-rise strategy of WUA and the high-quality development path of the green ecological shelter. Full article