Search Results (75)

Despite the rapid adoption of green buildings as a sustainable development strategy, robust, data-driven approaches for assessing and predicting project risks remain limited. This study proposes an innovative hybrid framework combining the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP), multilayer perceptron neural networks (MLPNNs), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) to quantify and forecast the impact of critical risks on green buildings’ performance. Drawing on structured input from 30 domain experts in Shenzhen, China, ten risk categories were identified and prioritized, with economic, market, and functional risks emerging as the most influential. Using these expert-derived weights, an MLP was trained to predict the effects of the top five risks on four core performance metrics—cost, time, quality, and scope. PSO was applied to optimize the model’s architecture and hyperparameters, improving its predictive accuracy. The optimized framework achieved RMSE values ranging from 0.06 to 0.09 and R² values of up to 0.95 across all outputs, demonstrating strong predictive capability. These results substantiate the framework’s effectiveness in generating actionable, quantitative risk predictions under uncertainty. Full article

Indonesia faces significant challenges in meeting food security targets due to rapid agricultural land loss, with approximately 1.22 million hectares of rice fields converted between 1990 and 2022. Therefore, this study developed a prediction model for the loss of rice fields by 2030, incorporating land productivity attributes, specifically rice cropping intensity/RCI, using geospatial technology—a novel method with a resolution of approximately 10 m for quantifying ecosystem service (ES) impacts. Land use/land cover data from Landsat images (2013, 2020, 2024) were classified using the Random Forest algorithm on Google Earth Engine. The prediction model was developed using a Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network and Markov Cellular Automata (MLP-NN Markov-CA) algorithms. Additionally, time series Sentinel-1A satellite imagery was processed using K-means and a hierarchical clustering analysis to map rice fields and their RCI. The validation process confirmed high model robustness, with an MLP-NN Markov-CA accuracy and Kappa coefficient of 83.90% and 0.91, respectively. The present study, which was conducted in Indramayu Regency (West Java), predicted that 1602.73 hectares of paddy fields would be lost within 2020–2030, specifically 980.54 hectares (61.18%) and 622.19 hectares (38.82%) with 2 RCI and 1 RCI, respectively. This land conversion directly threatens ES, resulting in a projected loss of 83,697.95 tons of rice production, which indicates a critical degradation of service provisioning. The findings provide actionable insights for land use planning to reduce agricultural land conversion while outlining the urgency of safeguarding ES values. The adopted method is applicable to regions with similar characteristics. Full article

Accurate prediction of the dynamic compressive strength of brittle engineering materials is of significant theoretical and engineering importance for underground engineering design, safety assessment, and dynamic hazard prevention. To enhance prediction accuracy and model interpretability, this study proposes a novel framework integrating stacking ensemble learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) for dynamic strength prediction. Leveraging multidimensional input variables, including static strength, strain rate, P-wave velocity, bulk density, and specimen geometry parameters, we constructed six machine learning regression models: K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), LightGBM, XGBoost, and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN). Through comparative performance evaluation, optimal base models were selected for stacking ensemble training. Results demonstrate that the proposed stacking model outperforms individual models in prediction accuracy, stability, and generalization capability. Further SHAP-based interpretability analysis reveals that strain rate dominates the prediction outcomes, with its SHAP values exhibiting a characteristic nonlinear response trend. Additionally, structural and mechanical variables such as static strength, P-wave velocity, and bulk density demonstrate significant positive contributions to model outputs. This framework provides a robust tool for intelligent prediction and mechanistic interpretation of the dynamic strength of brittle materials. Full article

Bacteriological water quality monitoring is of utmost importance for safeguarding public health against waterborne diseases. Traditional methods such as membrane filtration (MF), multiple tube fermentation (MTF), and enzyme-based assays are effective in detecting fecal contamination indicators, but their time-consuming nature and reliance on specialized equipment and personnel pose significant limitations. This paper introduces a novel, portable, and cost-effective UV-LED/RGB water quality sensor that overcomes these challenges. The system is composed of a multi-well self-loading microfluidic device for sample-preparation-free analysis, RGB sensors for data acquisition, UV-LEDs for excitation, and a portable incubation system. Commercially available defined substrate technology, most probable number (MPN) analysis, and machine learning (ML) are combined for the real-time monitoring of bacteria colony-forming units (CFU) in a water sample. Fluorescence signals from individual wells are captured by the RGB sensors and analyzed using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms, which can quickly determine if individual wells will be positive or negative by the end of a 24 h period. The novel combination of ML and MPN analysis was shown to predict in 30 min the bacterial concentration of a water sample with a minimum prediction accuracy of 84%. Full article

Water pipeline leak detection in a fast and accurate way is of much importance for water utility companies and the general public. At present, the rapid development of remote sensing and computer technologies makes it possible to detect water pipeline leaks on a large scale efficiently and timely. The leakage will cause an increase in the water content and dielectric constant of the soil around the pipeline, so it is feasible to determine the leakage site by measuring the subsurface soil relative dielectric constant (SSRDC). In this paper, we combine the SAOCOM-1A L-band synthetic-aperture radar (SAR) and the ground-penetrating radar (GPR) data to develop regression models that predict the SSRDC values. The model features are selected with the Boruta wrapper algorithm based on the SAOCOM-1A images after pre-processing, and the SSRDC values at sampling locations within the research area are calculated with the reflected wave method based on the GPR data. We evaluate multiple linear regression (MLR), random forest (RF), and multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) models for their ability to predict the SSRDC values using the selected features. The experimental results show that the MLPNN model ($R^2$ = 0.705, RMSE = 1.936, MAE = 1.664) can better estimate the SSRDC values. Further, in the main urban area of Tianjin, China, which has a large water pipeline system, the SSDRC values of the area are obtained with the best model, and the locations where the predicted SSDRC values exceeded a certain threshold were considered potential leak locations. The empirical results indicate an encouraging potential of the proposed method to locate the pipeline leaks. This will provide a new avenue for the monitoring and treatment of water pipeline leaks. Full article

Highly accurate positioning of industrial robots is crucial to performing industrial operations with high quality. This paper presents a mechanical modification to an industrial robot aiming at enhancing the system actuation resolution, thereby enhancing its positional accuracy. The industrial robot under consideration is a six-degrees of freedom (DoF) robot with revolute joints. By integrating a linear stage, a prismatic joint is introduced to the robot’s end effector, reconfiguring it into a 7 DoF system with more precise step size capabilities. To improve the positional accuracy of the overall system, a closed-loop control structure is chosen. Positional feedback is provided using an industrial laser tracker. Initially, a multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) is used to identify the forward kinematics (FK) of the overall 6RP robotic system. The FK of the industrial robot using the pretrained MLPNN is then used online to compute the real-time sensitivity of positional error to changes in the joint angle values of the industrial robot and displacements of the prismatic joint. Different trajectories are used to test the accuracy of the proposed positioning algorithm. From the implementation results obtained using the proposed control structure, it is observed that the accuracy of the industrial robot improves significantly. Statistical results for five different points selected from the ISO 9283 trajectory over 30 times of measurements show an 82% improvement for the measurements using the proposed approach as compared to the original industrial robot controller. Full article

As the global energy landscape evolves towards sustainability, the extensive usage of fossil fuels in electricity generation is progressively diminishing, while the contribution of renewable energy sources is steadily increasing. In this evolving scenario, the importance of load forecasting cannot be overstated in optimizing energy management and ensuring the efficient operation of industrial plants regardless of their scale. By accurately anticipating energy demand, industrial facilities can enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and facilitate the adoption of renewable energy technologies in the power grid. Recent studies have emphasized the pervasive utilization of machine learning-based algorithms in the field of electric load forecasting for industrial plants. Their capacity to analyze intricate patterns and enhance prediction accuracy renders them a favored option for enhancing energy management and operational efficiency. The present analysis revolves around the creation of short-term electric load forecasting models for a large industrial plant operating in Adana, Turkey. The integration of calendar, meteorological, and lagging electrical variables, along with machine learning-based algorithms, is employed to boost forecasting accuracy and optimize energy utilization. The ultimate objective of the present study is to conduct a thoroughgoing and detailed analysis of the statistical performance of the models and associated error metrics. The metrics employed include the R² and MAPE values. Full article

Renovation of buildings has become a major area of development for the construction industry. In the building construction sector, generating a precise and trustworthy cost estimate before building begins is the greatest challenge. Emphasizing the value of using ANN models to forecast the total cost of a building renovation project is the ultimate objective. As a result, building firms may be able to avoid financial losses as long as there is as little discrepancy between projected and actual costs for remodeling works in progress. To address the gap in the research, Greek contractors specializing in building renovations provided a sizable dataset of real project cost data. To build cost prediction ANNs, the collected data had to be organized, assessed, and appropriately encoded. The network was developed, trained, and tested using IBM SPSS Statistics software 28.0.0.0. The dependent variable is the final cost. The independent variables are initial cost, estimated completion time, actual completion time, delay time, initial and final demolition-drainage costs, cost of expenses, initial and final plumbing costs, initial and final heating costs, initial and final electrical costs, initial and final masonry costs, initial and final construction costs of plasterboard construction, initial and final cost of bathrooms, initial and final cost of flooring, initial and final cost of frames, initial and final cost of doors, initial and final cost of paint, and initial and final cost of kitchen construction. The first procedure that was employed was the radial basis function (RBF). The efficiency of the RBFNN model was evaluated and analyzed during training and testing, with up to 6% sum of squares error and nearly 0% relative error in the training sample, which accounted for roughly 70% of the total sample. The second procedure implemented was the method called the multi-layer perceptron (MLP). The efficiency of the MLPNN model was assessed and examined during training and testing; the training sample, which made up around 70% of the overall sample, had a relative error of 0–7% and a sum of squares error ranging from 1% to 5%, confirming specifically the efficacy of RBFNN in calculating the overall cost of renovations. Full article

Accurate prediction of lake surface water temperature (LSWT) is essential for understanding the impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystems and for guiding environmental management strategies. Predictions of LSWT for two prominent lakes in northern China, Qinghai Lake and Hulun Lake, under various future climate scenarios, were conducted in the present study. Utilizing historical hydrometeorological data and MODIS satellite observations (MOD11A2), we employed three advanced machine learning models—Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN)—to predict monthly average LSWT across three future climate scenarios (ssp119, ssp245, ssp585) from CMIP6 projections. Through the comparison of training and validation results of the three models across both lake regions, the RF model demonstrated the highest accuracy, with a mean MAE of 0.348 °C and an RMSE of 0.611 °C, making it the most optimal and suitable model for this purpose. With this model, the predicted LSWT for both lakes reveals a significant warming trend in the future, particularly under the high-emission scenario (ssp585). The rate of increase is most pronounced under ssp585, with Hulun Lake showing a rise of 0.55 °C per decade (R² = 0.72) and Qinghai Lake 0.32 °C per decade (R² = 0.85), surpassing trends observed under ssp119 and ssp245. These results underscore the vulnerability of lake ecosystems to future climate change and provide essential insights for proactive climate adaptation and environmental management. Full article

Governments and energy providers all over the world are moving towards the use of renewable energy sources. Solar photovoltaic (PV) energy is one of the providers’ favourite options because it is comparatively cheaper, clean, available, abundant, and comparatively maintenance-free. Although the PV energy source has many benefits, its output power is dependent on continuously changing weather and environmental factors, so there is a need to forecast the PV output power. Many techniques have been employed to predict the PV output power. This work focuses on the short-term forecast horizon of PV output power. Multilayer perception (MLP), convolutional neural networks (CNN), and k-nearest neighbour (kNN) neural networks have been used singly or in a hybrid (with other algorithms) to forecast solar PV power or global solar irradiance with success. The performances of these three algorithms have been compared with other algorithms singly or in a hybrid (with other methods) but not with themselves. This study aims to compare the predictive performance of a number of neural network algorithms in solar PV energy yield forecasting under different weather conditions and showcase their robustness in making predictions in this regard. The performance of MLPNN, CNN, and kNN are compared using solar PV (hourly) data for Grahamstown, Eastern Cape, South Africa. The choice of location is part of the study parameters to provide insight into renewable energy power integration in specific areas in South Africa that may be prone to extreme weather conditions. Our data does not have lots of missing data and many data spikes. The kNN algorithm was found to have an RMSE value of 4.95%, an MAE value of 2.74% at its worst performance, an RMSE value of 1.49%, and an MAE value of 0.85% at its best performance. It outperformed the others by a good margin, and kNN could serve as a fast, easy, and accurate tool for forecasting solar PV output power. Considering the performance of the kNN algorithm across the different seasons, this study shows that kNN is a reliable and robust algorithm for forecasting solar PV output power. Full article

The presence of green areas in urbanized cities is crucial to reduce the negative impacts of urbanization. However, these areas can influence the signal quality of IoT devices that use wireless communication, such as LoRa technology. Vegetation attenuates electromagnetic waves, interfering with the data transmission between IoT devices, resulting in the need for signal propagation modeling, which considers the effect of vegetation on its propagation. In this context, this research was conducted at the Federal University of Pará, using measurements in a wooded environment composed of the Pau-Mulato species, typical of the Amazon. Two machine learning-based propagation models, GRNN and MLPNN, were developed to consider the effect of Amazonian trees on propagation, analyzing different factors, such as the transmitter’s height relative to the trunk, the beginning of foliage, and the middle of the tree canopy, as well as the LoRa spreading factor (SF) 12, and the co-polarization of the transmitter and receiver antennas. The proposed models demonstrated higher accuracy, achieving values of root mean square error (RMSE) of $3.86$ dB and standard deviation (SD) of $3.8614$ dB, respectively, compared to existing empirical models like CI, FI, Early ITU-R, COST235, Weissberger, and FITU-R. The significance of this study lies in its potential to boost wireless communications in wooded environments. Furthermore, this research contributes to enhancing more efficient and robust LoRa networks for applications in agriculture, environmental monitoring, and smart urban infrastructure. Full article

This study addresses the challenge of utilizing incomplete long-term discharge data when using gridded precipitation datasets and data-driven modeling in Iran’s Karkheh basin. The Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN), a rainfall-runoff (R-R) model, was applied, leveraging precipitation data from the Asian Precipitation—Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Toward Evaluation (APHRODITE), Global Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC), and Climatic Research Unit (CRU). The MLPNN was trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm and optimized with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II). Input data were pre-processed through principal component analysis (PCA) and singular value decomposition (SVD). This study explored two scenarios: Scenario 1 (S1) used in situ data for calibration and gridded dataset data for testing, while Scenario 2 (S2) involved separate calibrations and tests for each dataset. The findings reveal that APHRODITE outperformed in S1, with all datasets showing improved results in S2. The best results were achieved with hybrid applications of the S2-PCA-NSGA-II for APHRODITE and S2-SVD-NSGA-II for GPCC and CRU. This study concludes that gridded precipitation datasets, when properly calibrated, significantly enhance runoff simulation accuracy, highlighting the importance of bias correction in rainfall-runoff modeling. It is important to emphasize that this modeling approach may not be suitable in situations where a catchment is undergoing significant changes, whether due to development interventions or the impacts of anthropogenic climate change. This limitation highlights the need for dynamic modeling approaches that can adapt to changing catchment conditions. Full article

As an environmentally responsible alternative to conventional concrete, geopolymer concrete recycles previously used resources to prepare the cementitious component of the product. The challenging issue with employing geopolymer concrete in the building business is the absence of a standard mix design. According to the chemical composition of its components, this work proposes a thorough system or framework for estimating the compressive strength of fly ash-based geopolymer concrete (FAGC). It could be possible to construct a system for predicting the compressive strength of FAGC using soft computing methods, thereby avoiding the requirement for time-consuming and expensive experimental tests. A complete database of 162 compressive strength datasets was gathered from the research papers that were published between the years 2000 and 2020 and prepared to develop proposed models. To address the relationships between inputs and output variables, long short-term memory networks were deployed. Notably, the proposed model was examined using several soft computing methods. The modeling process incorporated 17 variables that affect the CSFAG, such as percentage of SiO₂ (SiO₂), percentage of Na₂O (Na₂O), percentage of CaO (CaO), percentage of Al₂O₃ (Al₂O₃), percentage of Fe₂O₃ (Fe₂O₃), fly ash (FA), coarse aggregate (CAgg), fine aggregate (FAgg), Sodium Hydroxide solution (SH), Sodium Silicate solution (SS), extra water (EW), superplasticizer (SP), SH concentration, percentage of SiO₂ in SS, percentage of Na₂O in SS, curing time, curing temperature that the proposed model was examined to several soft computing methods such as multi-layer perception neural network (MLPNN), Bayesian regularized neural network (BRNN), generalized feed-forward neural networks (GFNN), support vector regression (SVR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and LSTM. Three main innovations of this study are using the LSTM model for predicting FAGC, optimizing the LSTM model by a new evolutionary algorithm called the marine predators algorithm (MPA), and considering the six new inputs in the modeling process, such as aggregate to total mass ratio, fine aggregate to total aggregate mass ratio, FASiO₂:Al₂O₃ molar ratio, FA SiO₂:Fe₂O₃ molar ratio, AA Na₂O:SiO₂ molar ratio, and the sum of SiO₂, Al₂O₃, and Fe₂O₃ percent in FA. The performance capacity of LSTM-MPA was evaluated with other artificial intelligence models. The results indicate that the R² and RMSE values for the proposed LSTM-MPA model were as follows: MLPNN (R² = 0.896, RMSE = 3.745), BRNN (R² = 0.931, RMSE = 2.785), GFFNN (R² = 0.926, RMSE = 2.926), SVR-L (R² = 0.921, RMSE = 3.017), SVR-P (R² = 0.920, RMSE = 3.291), SVR-S (R² = 0.934, RMSE = 2.823), SVR-RBF (R² = 0.916, RMSE = 3.114), DT (R² = 0.934, RMSE = 2.711), RF (R² = 0.938, RMSE = 2.892), LSTM (R² = 0.9725, RMSE = 1.7816), LSTM-MPA (R² = 0.9940, RMSE = 0.8332), and LSTM-PSO (R² = 0.9804, RMSE = 1.5221). Therefore, the proposed LSTM-MPA model can be employed as a reliable and accurate model for predicting CSFAG. Noteworthy, the results demonstrated the significance and influence of fly ash and sodium silicate solution chemical compositions on the compressive strength of FAGC. These variables could adequately present variations in the best mix designs discovered in earlier investigations. The suggested approach may also save time and money by accurately estimating the compressive strength of FAGC with low calcium content. Full article

Energy consumption forecasting plays an important role in energy management, conservation, and optimization in manufacturing companies. Aiming at the tin smelting process with multiple types of energy consumption and a strong coupling with energy consumption, the traditional prediction model cannot be applied to the multi-output problem. Moreover, the data collection frequency of different processes is inconsistent, resulting in few effective data samples and strong nonlinearity. In this paper, we propose a multi-kernel multi-output support vector regression model optimized based on a differential evolutionary algorithm for the prediction of multiple types of energy consumption in tin smelting. Redundant feature variables are eliminated using the distance correlation coefficient method, multi-kernel learning is introduced to improve the multi-output support vector regression model, and a differential evolutionary algorithm is used to optimize the model hyperparameters. The validity and superiority of the model was verified using the energy consumption data of a non-ferrous metal producer in Southwest China. The experimental results show that the proposed model outperformed multi-output Gaussian process regression (MGPR) and a multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) in terms of measurement capability. Finally, this paper uses a grey correlation analysis model to discuss the influencing factors on the integrated energy consumption of the tin smelting process and gives corresponding energy-saving suggestions. Full article

Conventional treatment methods such as chlorination and ozonation have been proven not to be effective in eliminating and degrading contaminants such as Bisphenol A (BPA) from wastewater. Hence, the degradation of BPA using a photocatalytic reactor has received a lot of attention recently. In this study, a model-based approach using a multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) coupled with back-propagation, as well as support vector machine regression coupled with cubic kernel function (CSVMR) and Gaussian process regression (EQGPR) coupled with exponential quadratic kernel function, were employed to model the relationship between the textural properties such as pore volume (V_p), pore diameter (V_d), crystallite size, and specific surface area (S_BET) of erbium- and iron-modified TiO₂ photocatalysts in degrading BPA. Parametric analysis revealed that effective degradation of the Bisphenol up to 90% could be achieved using photocatalysts having textural properties of 150 m²/g, 8 nm, 7 nm, and 0.36 cm³/g for S_BET, crystallite size, particle diameter, and pore volume, respectively. Fifteen architectures of the MPLNN models were tested to determine the best in terms of predictability of BPA degradation. The performance of each of the MLPNN models was measured using the coefficient of determination (R²) and root mean squared errors (RMSE). The MLPNN architecture comprised of 4 input layers, 14 hidden neurons, and 3 output layers displayed the best performance with R² of 0.902 and 0.996 for training and testing. The 4-14-3 MLPNN robustly predicted the BPA degradation with an R² of 0.921 and RMSE of 4.02, which is an indication that a nonlinear relationship exists between the textural properties of the modified TiO₂ and the degradation of the BPA. The CSVRM did not show impressive performance as indicated by the R² of 0.397. Therefore, appropriately modifying the textural properties of the TiO₂ will significantly influence the BPA degradability. Full article