Search Results (93)

This work investigates the coupled Ivancevic option-pricing model, a nonlinear wave alternative to the Black–Scholes model. By utilizing the recently developed Kumar-Malik method, modified Sardar sub-equation method and the generalized Arnous method, the substantial results of this research are the successful derivation of novel exact soliton solutions, including bright, singular, dark, combined dark–bright, singular-periodic, complex solitons, exponential and Jacobi elliptic functions. A detailed analysis of option price wave functions and modulation instability analysis is conducted, with the conditions for valid solutions outlined. Additionally, a mathematical framework is established to capture market price fluctuations. Numerical simulations, illustrated through 2D, 3D and contour graphs, highlight the effects of parameter variations. Our findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the coupled Ivancevic model as a fractional nonlinear wave system, providing valuable insights into stock volatility and returns. This study contributes to creating new option-pricing models, which affect financial market analysis and risk management. Full article

We develop a high-order compact numerical scheme for solving a nonlinear Black–Scholes equation arising in option pricing under transaction costs. By leveraging a Hermite-enhanced Radial Basis Function-Finite Difference (RBF-HFD) method with three-point stencils, we achieve fourth-order spatial accuracy. The fully nonlinear PDE, driven by Gamma-dependent volatility models, is discretized via RBF-HFD in space and integrated using an explicit sixth-order Runge–Kutta scheme. Numerical results confirm the proposed method’s accuracy, stability, and its capability to capture sharp gradient behavior near strike prices. Full article

The present study addresses the European option pricing problem based on the Black–Scholes (B-S) model using a hybrid analytical approach known as the Sawi homotopy perturbation transform scheme (SHPTS). We formulate fractional derivatives in the Caputo sense to effectively capture the memory effects inherent in financial models. The competency and reliability of the SHPTS are demonstrated through two illustrative examples. This method produces a closed-form series solution that converges to the precise solution. We perform convergence and visual analyses to demonstrate the competency and reliability of the proposed scheme. The numerical findings further reveal that the strategy is straightforward to apply and very successful in resolving the fractional form of the B-S problem. Full article

The Black–Scholes model is a fundamental concept in modern financial theory. It is designed to estimate the theoretical value of derivatives, particularly option prices, by considering time and risk factors. In the context of agricultural insurance, this model can be applied to premium determination due to the similar characteristics shared with the option pricing mechanism. The primary challenge in its implementation is determining a fair premium by considering the potential financial losses due to crop failure. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze the determination of rainfall index-based agricultural insurance premiums using the standard and fractional Black–Scholes models. The results showed that a solution to the fractional model could be obtained through the Daftardar-Gejji Laplace method. The premium was subsequently calculated using the Black–Scholes model applied throughout the growing season and paid at the beginning of the season. Meanwhile, the fractional Black–Scholes model incorporated the fractional order parameter to provide greater flexibility in the premium payment mechanism. The novelty of this study was in the application of the fractional Black–Scholes model for agricultural insurance premium determination, with due consideration for the long-term effects to ensure more dynamism and flexibility. The results could serve as a reference for governments, agricultural departments, and insurance companies in designing agricultural insurance programs to mitigate risks caused by rainfall fluctuations. Full article

As China’s voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction mechanism undergoes institutional revitalization, the accurate valuation of carbon assets such as China Certified Emission Reductions (CCERs) becomes increasingly critical for effective climate finance and sustainability-oriented investment. This study proposes an integrated value assessment model for CCERs that combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network-based carbon price forecasting with both the discounted net cash flow method and the Black–Scholes option pricing framework. Applying this model to a wind power project, the study found that the practical value of CCERs, derived from verified emission reductions, significantly exceeds their market option value, underscoring the economic and environmental viability of such projects. By distinguishing between the realized and potential values of carbon credits, this research offers a comprehensive tool for carbon asset valuation that supports corporate carbon management and policy development. The framework contributes to the growing literature on sustainable finance by aligning carbon asset pricing with long-term climate goals and enhancing transparency in carbon markets. Full article

Since the emergence of the Black–Scholes model (BSM) in the early 1970s, models for the pricing of financial options have been developed and evolved with mathematical tools that provide greater efficiency and accuracy in the valuation of these assets. In this research, we have used the generalized conformable derivatives associated with seven obtained conformable models with a closed-form solution that is similar to the traditional Black and Scholes. In addition, an empirical analysis was carried out to test the models with Mexican options contracts listed in 2023. Six foreign options were also tested, in particular three London options and three US options. With this sample, in addition to applying the seven generalized conformable models, we compared the results with the Heston model. We obtained much better results with the conformable models. Similarly, we decided to apply the seven conformable models to the data of the Morales et al. article, and we again determined that the conformable models greatly outperform the approximation of the Black, Scholes (BS), and Merton model with time-varying parameters and the basic Khalil conformable equation. In addition to the base sample, it was decided to test the strength of the seven generalized conformable models on 10 stock options that were out-sampled. In addition to the MSE results, for the sample of six options whose shares were traded in the London and New York stock markets, we tested the positivity and stability of the results. We plotted the values of the option contracts obtained by applying each of the seven generalized conformable models, the values of the contracts obtained by applying the traditional Heston model, and the market value of the contracts. Full article

This paper explores the application of deep neural networks (DNNs) as an alternative to the traditional Black–Scholes model for predicting European put option prices. Using synthetic datasets generated under the Black–Scholes framework, the proposed DNN achieved strong predictive performance, with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0021 and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.9533. This study highlights the scalability and adaptability of DNNs to complex financial systems, offering potential applications in real-time risk management and the pricing of exotic derivatives. While synthetic datasets provide a controlled environment, this study acknowledges the challenges of extending the model to real-world financial data, paving the way for future research to address these limitations. Full article

The pursuit of sustainable development in the implementation of EU energy policy concerns, among other things, the area of trading greenhouse gas emission allowances. The increasing price volatility in the European Union Allowances (EUA) market necessitates the implementation of hedging strategies to minimize the impact of price risk on the operational performance of European enterprises. An intriguing research goal (both in terms of cognitive and practical applications) was to compare the effectiveness of hedging strategies for purchasing EUA in three scenarios: (1) without hedging; (2) hedging based on an unconditional instrument; and (3) hedging based on a conditional instrument. The analysis was conducted on a theoretical-comparative variant and on the example of an entity operating in the real economy. The research objectives were supported by the following methods: 1. Data collection, which included a review of the literature on hedging EUA purchases in the context of connections with financial risk management theories and corporate responsibility, as well as connections with EU ETS policy regulations. 2. Data processing, which involved a quantitative analysis of data mainly from the ICE Endex exchange and its historical quotations (2016–September 2024), including the determination of option pricing using the Black–Scholes model. 3. Expert judgment was used to justify the time frames adopted for the research. The findings revealed that the use of hedging in EUA purchases was effective and led to a reduction in the overall cost of acquisition throughout the analyzed period. The effectiveness of hedging based on an unconditional instrument, such as a futures contract, was higher than that of hedging based on a conditional instrument, such as an option. The results obtained provide a good basis for continuing research on the effectiveness of EUA hedging in extreme scenarios and in conditions of increased volatility. This research approach is justified by the upcoming dismantling of climate initiatives starting in 2025, related to the USA’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. Full article

The combination of stochastic derivative pricing models and downside risk measures often leads to the paradox (risk, return) = (−infinity, +infinity) in a portfolio choice problem. The construction of a portfolio of derivatives with high expected returns and very negative downside risk (henceforth “golden strategy”) has only been studied if all the involved derivatives have the same underlying asset. This paper also considers multi-asset derivatives, gives practical methods to build multi-asset golden strategies for both the expected shortfall and the expectile risk measure, and shows that the use of multi-asset options makes the performance of the obtained golden strategy more efficient. Practical rules are given under the Black–Scholes–Merton multi-dimensional pricing model. Full article

Classic options can no longer meet the diversified needs of investors; thus, it is of great significance to construct and price new options for enriching the financial market. This paper proposes a new option pricing model that integrates the logarithmic investment strategy with the classic Black–Scholes theory. Specifically, this paper focus on put options, introducing a threshold-based strategy whereby investors sell stocks when prices fall to a certain value. This approach mitigates losses from adverse price movements, enhancing risk management capabilities. After deriving an analytical solution, we utilized mathematical software to visualize the factors influencing new option prices in three-dimensional space. The findings suggest that the pricing of these new options is influenced not only by standard factors such as the underlying asset price, volatility, risk-free rate of interest, and time to expiration, but also by investment strategy parameters such as the investment strategy index, investment sensitivity, and holding ratios. Most importantly, the pricing of new put options is generally lower than that of classic options, with numerical simulations demonstrating that under optimal parameters the new options can achieve similar hedging effectiveness at approximately three-quarters the cost of standard options. These findings highlight the potential of logarithmic investment strategies as effective tools for risk management in volatile markets. To validate our theoretical model, numerical simulations using data from Shanghai 50 ETF options were used to confirm its accuracy, aligning well with theoretical predictions. The new option model proposed in this paper contributes to enhancing the efficiency of resource allocation in capital markets at a macro level, while at a micro level, it helps investors to apply investment strategies more flexibly and reduce decision-making errors. Full article

Slightly over fifty years ago, the Black–Scholes option pricing model revolutionized investing by enabling a shift from linear to non-linear payoff structures. Myron Scholes later published two papers documenting the performance of passive option strategies that outperformed the underlying index on a risk–return basis. The options market has evolved considerably over the last fifty years from an open outcry trading structure with options being single-listed to a high-frequency computer-based market. This paper re-evaluates the trilogy of foundational studies to determine whether passive-option-enhanced portfolios still produce superior performance in the current high-frequency options market environment. Full article

This paper addresses the valuation of European options, which involves the complex and unpredictable dynamics of fractal market fluctuations. These are modeled using the $\alpha$-order time-fractional Black–Scholes equation, where the Caputo fractional derivative is applied with the parameter $\alpha$ ranging from 0 to 1. We introduce a novel, high-order numerical scheme specifically crafted to efficiently tackle the time-fractional Black–Scholes equation. The spatial discretization is handled by a tailored finite point scheme that leverages exponential basis functions, complemented by an L1-discretization technique for temporal progression. We have conducted a thorough investigation into the stability and convergence of our approach, confirming its unconditional stability and fourth-order spatial accuracy, along with $(2-\alpha )$-order temporal accuracy. To substantiate our theoretical results and showcase the precision of our method, we present numerical examples that include solutions with known exact values. We then apply our methodology to price three types of European options within the framework of the time-fractional Black–Scholes model: (i) a European double barrier knock-out call option; (ii) a standard European call option; and (iii) a European put option. These case studies not only enhance our comprehension of the fractional derivative’s order on option pricing but also stimulate discussion on how different model parameters affect option values within the fractional framework. Full article

This paper explores a numerical method for European and American option pricing under time fractional jump-diffusion model in Caputo scene. The pricing problem for European options is formulated using a time fractional partial integro-differential equation, whereas the pricing of American options is described by a linear complementarity problem. For European option, we present nonuniform discretization along time and the radial basis function (RBF) method for spatial discretization. The stability and convergence analysis of the discrete scheme are carried out in the case of European options. For American option, the operator splitting method is adopted which split linear complementary problem into two simple equations. The numerical results confirm the accuracy of the proposed method. Full article

We present a unified, market-complete model that integrates both Bachelier and Black–Scholes–Merton frameworks for asset pricing. The model allows for the study, within a unified framework, of asset pricing in a natural world that experiences the possibility of negative security prices or riskless rates. Unlike the classical Black–Scholes–Merton, we show that option pricing in the unified model differs depending on whether the replicating, self-financing portfolio uses riskless bonds or a single riskless bank account. We derive option price formulas and extend our analysis to the term structure of interest rates by deriving the pricing of zero-coupon bonds, forward contracts, and futures contracts. We identify a necessary condition for the unified model to support a perpetual derivative. Discrete binomial pricing under the unified model is also developed. In every scenario analyzed, we show that the unified model simplifies to the standard Black–Scholes–Merton pricing under specific limits and provides pricing in the Bachelier model limit. We note that the Bachelier limit within the unified model allows for positive riskless rates. The unified model prompts us to speculate on the possibility of a mixed multiplicative and additive deflator model for risk-neutral option pricing. Full article

In financial computation, Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) have emerged as a transformative technology, particularly in the domain of option pricing. This study presents the impact of Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) on computational methods in finance, with an emphasis on option pricing. Our review examined 99 selected studies from an initial pool of 131, revealing how FPGAs substantially enhance both the speed and energy efficiency of various financial models, particularly Black–Scholes and Monte Carlo simulations. Notably, the performance gains—ranging from 270- to 5400-times faster than conventional CPU implementations—are highly dependent on the specific option pricing model employed. These findings illustrate FPGAs’ capability to efficiently process complex financial computations while consuming less energy. Despite these benefits, this paper highlights persistent challenges in FPGA design optimization and programming complexity. This study not only emphasises the potential of FPGAs to further innovate financial computing but also outlines the critical areas for future research to overcome existing barriers and fully leverage FPGA technology in future financial applications. Full article