Search Results (138)

The information on the seasonal variability of the chemical composition of the Arctic rivers is necessary for the proper assessment of the status of river runoff and the influence of anthropogenic and natural factors. Spring freshet is an especially important period for the Arctic rivers with a sharp maximum of water discharge. The Kolyma River is the least studied large river with a basin located solely in the permafrost zone. The change in the concentration of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), major, trace, and rare earth (RE) elements was studied at the peak and waning of the spring freshet of 2024 in the lower reaches of the Kolyma River. The concentration of elements was determined in filtrates <0.45 μm and in suspended solids > 0.45 μm. The content of coarse colloids (0.05–0.45 μm) was estimated by the intensity of dynamic light scattering (DLS). It was shown that the freshet peak is characterized by a minimal specific conductivity, concentration of major cations, and chemical elements migrating mainly in solution (Li, Sr, and Ba). During the freshet decline, the concentration of these elements increases with dynamics depending on the water exchange. The waters from the Kolyma River main stream have a maximal content of coarse colloids and concentration of <0.45 μm forms of hydrolysates (Al, Ti, Fe, Mn, REEs, Zr, Y, Sc, and Th), DOC, P, and heavy metals (Cu, Ni, Cd, and Co) at the freshet peak. A decrease of 8–10 times for hydrolysates and coarse colloids (0.05–0.45 μm) and of 3–6 times for heavy metals was observed at the freshet waning during the first half of June. This indicates a large-scale accumulation of easy soluble forms of hydrolysates, DOC, and heavy metals in the seasonal thawing topsoil layer on the catchment upstream in the previous summer, with a flush out of these elements at the freshet peak of the current year. In the large floodplain watercourse Panteleikha River, the change in concentration of major cations and REEs, Zr, Y, Sc, and Th at the freshet is less accented compared with the Kolyma River main stream due to a slower water exchange. Yet, <0.45 μm forms of Fe, Mn, Co, As, V, and P show an increase of 4–6 times in the Panteleikha River in the second half of June compared with the freshet peak, which indicates an additional input of these elements from the thawing floodplain landscapes and bottom sediments of floodplain watercourses. The concentration of the majority of chemical elements in suspended matter (>0.45 μm) of the Kolyma River is rather stable during the high-water period. The relative stability in the chemical composition of the suspended solids means that the content of the suspension and not its composition is the key to the share of dissolved and suspended forms of chemical elements in the Kolyma River runoff. Full article

The Sverdrup Basin, Arctic Canada, is ideally situated to contain an archive of tectono-magmatic and climatic events that occurred within the wider Arctic region, including the exhumation of the adjacent (northeastern) part of the Canadian-Greenlandic Shield. To test this, a multi-analytical provenance study of Middle Jurassic to Cretaceous sandstones from the eastern Sverdrup Basin was undertaken. Most of the samples analysed were recycled from sedimentary rocks of the Franklinian Basin, with possible additional contributions from the Mesoproterozoic Bylot basins and metasedimentary shield rocks. The amount of high-grade metamorphic detritus in samples from central Ellesmere Island increased from Middle Jurassic times. This is interpreted to reflect exhumation of the area to the southeast/east of the Sverdrup Basin. Exhumation may have its origins in Middle Jurassic extension and uplift along the northwest Sverdrup Basin margin. Rift-flank uplift along the Canadian–West Greenland conjugate margin and lithospheric doming linked with the proximity of the Iceland hotspot and/or the emplacement of the Cretaceous High Arctic Large Igneous Province may have contributed to exhumation subsequently. The southeast-to-northwest thickening of Jurassic to Early Cretaceous strata across the Sverdrup Basin may be a distal effect of exhumation rather than rifting in the Sverdrup or Amerasia basins. Full article

The planktonic pteropod Limacina helicina is increasingly studied as a bioindicator of climate-driven changes in polar marine ecosystems. Although broadly distributed across the Arctic Basin and the North Pacific, its population structure and dispersal pathways remain poorly understood, especially in the Siberian Arctic. We analyzed mitochondrial COI sequences from populations sampled in the Barents, Kara, Laptev, East Siberian, and White Seas, as well as adjacent Pacific regions. Three major haplogroups (H1, H2, H3) were identified with distinct spatial patterns. H1 is widespread, occurring across the Pacific and most Arctic seas except the White Sea. H2 is confined to the western Arctic shelves (Barents–Kara–Laptev), and H3 is unique to the White Sea. We found a pronounced genetic discontinuity corresponding to hydrographic barriers, particularly the strong freshwater inflow from the Lena River, which restricts eastward dispersal of H2 from the Laptev to the East Siberian Sea. These patterns suggest postglacial expansions from geographically separated populations that survived the Last Glacial Maximum in isolated marine regions. The White Sea population is highly isolated and genetically distinct. Our results highlight how both glacial history and modern oceanography shape Arctic plankton diversity and define biogeographic boundaries in a rapidly changing climate. Full article

Ice wedges, which are ubiquitous in permafrost areas, play a significant role in the evolution of permafrost landscapes, influencing the topography and hydrology of these regions. In this paper, we combine a detailed multi-generational, interdisciplinary, and international literature review along with our own field experiences to explore the development of low-centered ice-wedge polygons and their orthogonal networks. Low-centered polygons, a type of ice-wedge polygonal ground characterized by elevated rims and lowered wet central basins, are critical indicators of permafrost conditions. The formation of these features has been subject to numerous inconsistencies and debates since their initial description in the 1800s. The development of elevated rims is attributed to different processes, such as soil bulging due to ice-wedge growth, differential frost heave, and the accumulation of vegetation and peat. The transition of low-centered polygons to flat-centered, driven by processes like peat accumulation, aggradational ice formation, and frost heave in polygon centers, has been generally overlooked. Low-centered polygons occur in deltas, on floodplains, and in drained-lake basins. There, they are often arranged in orthogonal networks that comprise a complex system. The prevailing explanation of their formation does not match with several field studies that practically remain unnoticed or ignored. By analyzing controversial subjects, such as the degradational or aggradational nature of low-centered polygons and the formation of orthogonal ice-wedge networks, this paper aims to clarify misconceptions and present a cohesive overview of lowland terrain ice-wedge dynamics. The findings emphasize the critical role of ice wedges in shaping Arctic permafrost landscapes and their vulnerability to ongoing climatic and landscape changes. Full article

The Yana–Kolyma collision orogen, Eastern Siberia, is one of world-class gold economic belts, where large gold deposits are localized, mainly in the Upper Paleozoic and Lower Mesozoic clastic rocks. Dike-hosted orogenic gold deposits are found and to a lesser extent studied, but they are important for understanding the structural control of mineralization within the framework of the orogen. Orogenic gold deposits of the Vyun ore field are hosted in Kimmeridgian–Titonian mafic, intermediate and felsic dikes, but they have no genetic connection with dikes. The late formation of deposits led to the fact that previously reactivated polydeformed structures were subsequently mineralized. The study of the structural control of mineralization is also complicated by superimposed late tectonic events. Based on the analysis of collected field materials, this paper presents the results of the study of deformation structures of the Vyun ore field within the framework of the Mesozoic evolution history throughout the geological time of the eastern convergent margin of the Siberian Craton. Four stages of deformations are identified. The pre-mineralization deformations and metamorphic and magmatic events share a common NE-SW shortening (D1 phase), which is related to the subduction of the Oymyakon oceanic slab and collision of the Kolyma–Omolon superterrane from the eastern margin of the Siberian Craton. This first stage is characterized by the superposition of several tectonic events under conditions of compression and progressive deformations (D1/1 and D1/2). Ore mineralization was formed at the end of compression in the same stress field (D1/2). Its structural control is determined by reactivation of older dikes and faults. Dikes are areas of heterogeneous stress and heterogeneous strain, being favorable for the concentration of ore fluids. The metallogenic time of formation of the gold mineralization is synchronous with the tectonic event, which likely reflects the final stages of the Kolyma–Omolon microcontinent–Siberian Craton collision of the Valanginian during crustal thickening. The main impulse of the Au mineralization D1/2 phase coincided with a slowdown in convergence. The post-mineralization tectonic regime was related to the Aptian–Late Cretaceous tectonic transition from compression to transpression. Transpressional tectonics were determined accordingly by W-E (D2 phase) and N-S (D3 phase) stress fields caused by several accretion events in the Cretaceous on the northern and eastern margins of Siberia. D4 phase extensional structures were caused by the opening of the Eurasian Oceanic basin in the Arctic in the Paleocene. The obtained results have a first-order impact on the understanding of the structural control of orogenic gold deposits and their relationship to the evolution of the host orogen. The new findings improve the tectonic knowledge of an area of interest for ore deposit exploration targeting orogenic gold deposits in Phanerozoic terranes of craton margins. Full article

Dust emissions significantly impact the radiation balance, ecosystems, human health, and global climate change through long-range transport. However, their spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms in East Asia remain poorly understood. This study integrates multi-source reanalysis and remote sensing data (1980–2023) to analyze dust emissions across East Asian source regions using statistical methods and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretability. The results show significant spatial and seasonal variations, with peak emissions occurring in spring (March–May). The Taklamakan Desert (S4) accounts for 38.1% of total emissions and is the largest source region. Meteorological factors are the main drivers (49.4–68.8% contribution), while climate indices contribute the least (2.9–8.0%). Wind speed is the most critical factor driving dust emissions, showing a significant positive correlation and interacting with 850 hPa geopotential height and boundary layer height. The driving factors of dust emissions vary across regions. In Mongolia (S1), dust emissions are mainly influenced by wind speed and atmospheric circulation, while in S4, near-surface meteorological conditions play a dominant role. In the Tsaidam Basin and Kumutage Desert (S5), as well as the Badain Jaran, Tengger, and Ulan Buh Deserts (S6), dust emissions are primarily driven by wind speed and boundary layer height, with atmospheric circulation also playing a certain role. Relative humidity shows a significant negative correlation with dust emissions in S5 and S6, while snowmelt and soil temperature have significant impacts on S4 and S5. The negative phases of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation enhance cold air activity and wind speed, significantly promoting dust emissions in S1 and S6. This study quantifies the mechanisms of dust emissions in East Asia and offers scientific support for improving climate models and developing disaster mitigation strategies. Full article

Under conditions of increasing anthropogenic load, aquatic ecosystems all over the world are undergoing a transformation, expressed in the growth of eutrophication, the overgrowing of water bodies with higher vegetation of macrophytes, cyanobacterial bloom, and the increased concentrations of different pollutants in these objects. In the region of Eastern Siberia that we studied, located in the middle reaches of the Lena River basin, there is the city of Yakutsk—the largest city in the world built in a permafrost region. Within the city and its surroundings, there are many small lakes (less than 1 km² in area) which over the past decades have been subject to varying degrees of pressure associated with human activity (nutrients and organic matter loads, urban landscape transformation). This study is the first to combine the metabolomic profiling of Potamogeton perfoliatus with microalgal bioindication to assess anthropogenic impacts in permafrost urban lakes, providing a novel framework for monitoring ecological resilience in extreme environments. We studied four lakes with varying degrees of anthropogenic pressure. Using a comprehensive assessment of the bioindicator properties of planktonic microalgae and the chemical parameters of water using statistical methods and principal component analysis (PCA), the lakes most susceptible to anthropogenic pressure were identified. Concentrations of pollutant elements in the tissues of the submerged macrophyte aquatic plant Potamogeton perfoliatus L., which inhabits all the lakes we studied, were estimated. Data on the content of pollutant elements in aquatic vegetation and the results of metabolomic analysis made it possible to identify the main sources of anthropogenic impact in the urbanized permafrost area. The pollution of water bodies with some key pollutants leads to Potamogeton perfoliatus’s metabolites decreasing, such as sucrose, monosaccharides (arabinose, mannose, fructose, glucose, galactose), organic acids (glyceric acid, malic acid, erythronic acid, fumaric acid, succinic acid, citric acid), fatty acids (linoleic and linolenic acids), myo-inositol, 4-coumaric acid, caffeic acid, rosmarinic acid, shikimic acid, and catechollactate, caused by pollution which may decrease the photosynthetic activity and worsen the sustainability of water ecosystems. Linkage was established between the accumulation of pollutants in plant tissues, the trophic status of the lake, and the percentage of eutrophic microalgae, which can be used in monitoring the anthropogenic load in the permafrost zone. Knowledge of the composition and concentration of secondary metabolites produced by macrophytes in permafrost lakes can be useful in organizing water resource management in terms of reducing the level of cyanobacterial blooms due to allelochemical compounds secreted by macrophytes. This new work makes possible the evaluation of the permafrost-zone small-lake anthropogenic load in the frame of a changing climate and the growing attention of the industry to Arctic resources. Full article

The Ocean Colour Thematic Assembly Centre (OCTAC) of the Copernicus Marine Service delivers state-of-the-art Ocean Colour core products for both global oceans and European seas, derived from multiple satellite missions. Since 2015, the OCTAC has provided global and regional high-level merged products that offer value-added information not directly available from space agencies. This is achieved by integrating observations from various missions, resulting in homogenized, inter-calibrated datasets with broader spatial coverage than single-sensor data streams. OCTAC enhanced continuously the basin-level accuracy of essential ocean variables (EOVs) across the global ocean and European regional seas, including the Atlantic, Arctic, Baltic, Mediterranean, and Black seas. From 2019 onwards, new EOVs have been introduced, focusing on phytoplankton functional groups, community structure, and primary production. This paper provides an overview of the evolution of the OCTAC catalogue from 2015 to date, evaluates the accuracy of global and regional products, and outlines plans for future product development. Full article

The Arctic region, including vast shelf zones, has enormous resource and transport potential and is currently key to Russia’s strategic development. This region is promising and attractive for the intensification of global economic activity. When developing this region, it is very important to avoid emergency situations that could result in numerous negative environmental and socio-economic consequences. Therefore, when designing and constructing critical infrastructure facilities in the Arctic, it is necessary to conduct high-quality studies of potential geohazards. This paper reviews and summarizes the scattered information on the main geohazards in the Russian sector of the Arctic Ocean, such as earthquakes, underwater landslides, tsunamis, and focused fluid discharges (gas seeps), and discusses patterns of their spatial distribution and possible relationships with the geodynamic setting of the Arctic region. The study revealed that the main patterns of the mutual distribution of the main geohazards of the Russian sector of the Arctic seas are determined by both the modern geodynamic situation in the region and the history of the geodynamic evolution of the Arctic, namely the formation of the spreading axis and deep-sea basins of the Arctic Ocean. The high probability of the influence of seismotectonic activity on the state of subsea permafrost and massive methane release is emphasized. This review contributes toward better understanding and progress in the zoning of seismic and other geological hazards in the vast Arctic seas of Russia. Full article

Supraglacial melt-lakes form and evolve along the western edge of the Greenland Ice Sheet and have proven to play a significant role in ice sheet surface hydrology and mass balance. Prior methods to quantify melt-lake volume have relied upon Landsat-8 optical imagery, available at 30 m spatial resolution but with temporal resolution limited by satellite overpass times and cloud cover. We propose two novel methods to quantify the volume of meltwater stored in these lakes, including a high-resolution surface DEM (ArcticDEM) and an ablation model using daily averaged automated weather station data. We compare our methods to the depth-reflectance method for five supraglacial melt-lakes during the 2021 summer melt season. We find agreement between the depth-reflectance and DEM lake infilling methods, within +/−15% for most cases, but our ablation model underproduces by 0.5–2 orders of magnitude the volumetric melt needed to match our other methods, and with a significant lag in meltwater onset for routing into the lake basin. Further information regarding energy balance parameters, including insolation and liquid precipitation amounts, is needed for adequate ablation modelling. Despite the differences in melt-lake volume estimates, our approach in combining remote sensing and meteorological methods provides a framework for analysis of seasonal melt-lake evolution at significantly higher spatial and temporal scales, to understand the drivers of meltwater production and its influence on the spatial distribution and extent of meltwater volume stored on the ice sheet surface. Full article

The Arctic river basins, among the most sensitive regions to climate warming, are experiencing rapid temperature rise and permafrost thawing that profoundly affect their hydrological and hydrochemical systems. However, our understanding of chemical export from Arctic basins to oceans remains limited due to scarce data, particularly in permafrost-dominated regions. This study examines the spatiotemporal variations and seasonal dynamics of major ions (Na⁺, K⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻) and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations across three river basins with varying permafrost extents: the Severnaya Dvina (2006–2008, 2012–2014), the Pechora (2016–2019) and the Taz Rivers (2016–2020). All the data were sourced from published Chemical Geological researches and were taken from Mendeley and PANGAEA datasets. Our results showed that DOC concentrations ranged from 1.75 to 26.40 mg/L, with the Severnaya Dvina River exhibiting the highest levels of DOC concentrations, alongside significantly elevated ion concentrations compared to the other two basins. A positive correlation was observed between DOC concentrations and river discharge, with peaks during the spring flood and summer baseflow due to leaching processes. The Severnaya Dvina and Pechora Rivers exhibited the highest DOC values during the spring flood, reaching 26.40 mg/L and 8.07 mg/L, respectively. In contrast, the Taz River had the highest runoff during the spring flood season, but the DOC concentration reached its highest value of 11.69 mg/L in the summer. Specifically, a 1% increase in river discharge corresponded to a 1.25% rise in DOC concentrations in the Severnaya Dvina River and a 1.04% increase in the Pechora River, while there was no significant correlation between runoff and DOC concentrations in the Taz River. Major ion concentrations demonstrated a negative correlation with river discharge, remaining relatively high during winter low-flow period. A robust power-law relationship between river discharge and concentration of DOC and major ions was observed, with distinct variations across the three river basins depending on permafrost extent. The Pechora and Taz Rivers, characterized by extensive permafrost, exhibited increasing trends in river discharge and DOC concentrations, accompanied by decreasing major ion concentrations, whereas the non-permafrost-dominated Severnaya Dvina River basin showed the opposite pattern. The Taz River, with the most extensive permafrost, also displayed a delayed DOC peak and more complex seasonal ion concentration patterns. These findings highlight the importance of varying permafrost extents and their implications for water quality and environmental protection in these vulnerable regions. Full article

Based on the WAVEWATCH III wave model, China’s National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center has developed an operational global ocean wave forecasting system that covers the Arctic region. In this study, in situ buoy observations and satellite remote sensing data were used to perform a detailed evaluation of the system’s forecasting results for 2022, with a focus on China’s offshore and global ocean waters, so as to comprehensively understand the model’s forecasting performance. The study results showed the following: In China’s coastal waters, the model had a high forecasting accuracy for significant wave heights. The model tended to underestimate the significant wave heights in autumn and winter and overestimate them in spring and summer. In addition, the model slightly underestimated low (below 1 m) wave heights, while overestimating them in other ranges. In terms of spatial distribution, negative deviations and high scatter indexes were observed in the forecasting of significant wave heights in semi-enclosed sea areas such as the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and Beibu Gulf, with the largest negative deviation occurring near Liaodong Bay of the Bohai Sea (−0.18 m). There was a slight positive deviation (0.01 m) in the East China Sea, while the South China Sea exhibited a more significant positive deviation (0.17 m). The model showed a trend of underestimation for the forecasting of the mean wave period in China’s coastal waters. In the global oceanic waters, the forecasting results of the model were found to have obvious positive deviations for most regions, with negative deviations mainly occurring on the east coast and in relatively closed basins. There were latitude differences in the forecasting deviations of the model: specifically, the most significant positive deviations occurred in the Southern Ocean, with smaller positive deviations toward the north, while a slight negative deviation was observed in the Arctic waters. Overall, the global wave model has high reliability and can meet the current operational forecasting needs. In the future, the accuracy and performance of ocean wave forecasting can be further improved by adjusting the parameterization scheme, replacing the wind fields with more accurate ones, adopting spherical multiple-cell grids, and data assimilation. Full article

The modern Arctic is characterized by a decreased ice cover and significant interannual variability. However, the reaction of the High Arctic ecosystem to such changes is still being determined. This study tested the hypothesis that the key drivers of changes in phytoplankton are the position and intensity of Atlantic water (AW) flow. The research was conducted in August 2017 in the northern part of the Barents Sea and in August 2020 in the Nansen Basin. In 2017, the Nansen Basin was ice covered; in 2020, the Nansen Basin had open water up to 83° N. A comparative analysis of phytoplankton composition, dominant species, abundance, and biomass at the boundary of the ice and open water in the marginal ice zone (MIZ) as well as in the open water was carried out. The total biomass of the phytoplankton in the photic layer of MIZ is one and a half orders of magnitude greater than in open water. In 2017, the maximum abundance and biomass of phytoplankton in the MIZ were formed by cold-water diatoms Thalassiosira spp. (T. gravida, T. rotula, T. hyalina, T. nordenskioeldii), associated with first-year ice. They were confined to the northern shelf of the Barents Sea. The large diatom Porosira glacialis grew intensively in the MIZ of the Nansen Basin under the influence of Atlantic waters. A seasonal thermocline, above which the concentrations of silicon and nitrogen were close to zero, and deep maxima of phytoplankton abundance and biomass were recorded in the open water. Atlantic species—haptophyte Phaeocystis pouchettii and large diatom Eucampia groenlandica—formed these maxima. P. pouchettii were observed in the Nansen Basin in the Atlantic water (AW) flow (2020); E. groenlandica demonstrated a high biomass (4848 mg m⁻³, 179.5 mg C m⁻³) in the Franz Victoria trench (2017). Such high biomass of this species in the northern Barents Sea shelf has not been observed before. The variability of the phytoplankton composition and biomass in the Franz Victoria trench and in the Nansen Basin is related to the intensity of the AW, which comes from the Frame Strait as the Atlantic Water Boundary Current. Full article

There are meteorological situations when huge amounts of Saharan dust are transported from Africa to Europe. These natural dust events may have a significant impact on particulate matter concentrations at monitoring sites. This phenomenon affects mainly the countries in Southern Europe; however, some strong advections can bring Saharan dust to higher latitudes too. The number of Saharan dust events in the Carpathian Basin is believed to increase due to the changing patterns in the atmospheric circulation over the Northern Hemisphere’s mid-latitudes. The jet stream becomes more meandering if the temperature difference between the Arctic areas and the lower latitudes decreases. This favours the northward transport of the North African dust. The European regulation makes it possible to subtract the concentration of Saharan-originated aerosol from the measured PM₁₀ concentration. This manuscript describes the methodology used by the HungaroMet to calculate the amount of natural dust contributing to measured PM₁₀ concentrations. Full article

In recent years, extreme climate events have shown to be occurring more frequently. As a highly populated area in central China, the Jialing River Basin (JRB) should be more deeply explored for its patterns and associations with climatic factors. In this study, based on the daily precipitation and atmospheric temperature datasets from 29 meteorological stations in JRB and its vicinity from 1960 to 2020, 10 extreme indices (6 extreme precipitation indices and 4 extreme temperature indices) were calculated. The spatial and temporal variations of extreme precipitation and atmospheric temperature were analyzed using Mann–Kendall analysis, to explore the correlation between the atmospheric circulation patterns and extreme indices from linear and nonlinear perspectives via Pearson correlation analysis and wavelet coherence analysis (WTC), respectively. Results revealed that among the six selected extreme precipitation indices, the Continuous Dry Days (CDD) and Continuous Wetness Days (CWD) showed a decreasing trend, and the extreme precipitation tended to be shorter in calendar time, while the other four extreme precipitation indices showed an increasing trend, and the intensity of precipitation and rainfall in the JRB were frequent. As for the four extreme temperature indices, except for TN10p, which showed a significant decreasing trend, the other three indices showed a significant increasing trend, and the number of low-temperature days in JRB decreased significantly, the duration of high temperature increased, and the basin was warming continuously. Spatially, the spatial variation of extreme precipitation indices is more obvious, with decreasing stations mostly located in the western and northern regions, and increasing stations mostly located in the southern and northeastern regions, which makes the precipitation more regionalized. Linearly, most of the stations in the extreme atmospheric temperature index, except TN10p, show an increasing trend and the significance is more obvious. Except for the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), other atmospheric circulation patterns have linear correlations with the extreme indices, and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) has the strongest significance with the CDD. Nonlinearly, NINO3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and SOI are not the main circulation patterns dominating the changes of TN90p, and average daily precipitation intensity (SDII), maximum daily precipitation amount (RX1day), and maximum precipitation in 5 days (Rx5day) were most clearly associated with atmospheric circulation patterns. This also confirms that atmospheric circulation patterns and climate tend not to have a single linear relationship, but are governed by more complex response mechanisms. This study aims to help the relevant decision-making authorities to cope with the more frequent extreme climate events in JRB, and also provides a reference for predicting flood, drought and waterlogging risks. Full article