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Authors = Tanja Roje Bonacci

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22 pages, 6938 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology of a Small Catchment: The Krapina River near Kupljenovo
by Ognjen Bonacci, Ana Žaknić-Ćatović, Tanja Roje-Bonacci and Duje Bonacci
Water 2025, 17(9), 1403; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17091403 - 7 May 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 493
Abstract
The aim of this study was to examine variations in the hydrological regime of the Krapina River from 1964 to 2023. The river basin spans 1263 km2 and is characterized by a temperate, humid continental climate with warm summers. Hydrological data from [...] Read more.
The aim of this study was to examine variations in the hydrological regime of the Krapina River from 1964 to 2023. The river basin spans 1263 km2 and is characterized by a temperate, humid continental climate with warm summers. Hydrological data from the Kupljenovo gauging station, which monitors 91.1% of the basin (1150 km2), indicate an average annual discharge of 11.2 m3/s, ranging from 3.25 m3/s to 18.3 m3/s. Over the 60-year study period, the minimum mean daily discharges show a statistically insignificant increasing trend, while the mean annual and maximum annual mean daily discharges exhibit statistically insignificant declines. Annual precipitation averages 1037 mm, varying between 606 mm and 1459 mm, with a non-significant decreasing trend. In contrast, the mean annual air temperatures demonstrate a statistically significant increasing trend, with a pronounced intensification beginning in 1986. The annual runoff coefficients series exhibits a statistically insignificant downward trend, with an average value of 0.293 (range: 0.145–0.399). Application of the New Drought Index (NDI) revealed a marked increase in the frequency of strong and extreme droughts since 2000. Full article
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24 pages, 16030 KiB  
Article
Prominent Increase in Air Temperatures on Two Small Mediterranean Islands, Lastovo and Lošinj, Since 1998 and Its Effect on the Frequency of Extreme Droughts
by Ognjen Bonacci, Ana Žaknić-Ćatović and Tanja Roje-Bonacci
Water 2024, 16(22), 3175; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16223175 - 6 Nov 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1201
Abstract
The article analyzes the development of air temperatures and precipitation on two remote islands in the Adriatic Sea from 1961 to 2023, examining annual and monthly time scales. Lastovo Island is located in the southern Adriatic, and Lošinj Island is situated 277 km [...] Read more.
The article analyzes the development of air temperatures and precipitation on two remote islands in the Adriatic Sea from 1961 to 2023, examining annual and monthly time scales. Lastovo Island is located in the southern Adriatic, and Lošinj Island is situated 277 km north, and both exhibit a sharp rise in air temperatures since 1998, though precipitation series show no significant trends of an increase or decrease. Using the New Drought Index (NDI) method, this study calculated drought intensities for the period 1961–2023. The analyses conducted in this study undoubtedly indicate a rising frequency and intensity of droughts, with severe droughts doubling and extreme droughts increasing fourfold in the recent period (1998–2023) compared to the previous one (1961–1997). The most pronounced increase in severe and extreme droughts occurs specifically from June to August. This trend is likely applicable to many small Mediterranean Islands, which number over 10,000 and have a permanent population of more than 1.6 million people, with numbers significantly rising during the tourist season. The increased water demand for agriculture and daily use, combined with increased drought risk, not only exacerbates the potential for forest fires but also threatens social structures and ecological conditions. This is particularly critical as the combination of drier conditions and increased fire risk poses a significant challenge, endangering natural landscapes and valuable historical sites that are integral to the islands’ identity and heritage. This study’s findings indicate a dangerous trend likely to persist and worsen with continued increases in air temperatures in the Mediterranean region. Full article
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19 pages, 10015 KiB  
Article
Significant Rise in Sava River Water Temperature in the City of Zagreb Identified across Various Time Scales
by Ognjen Bonacci, Ana Žaknić-Ćatović and Tanja Roje-Bonacci
Water 2024, 16(16), 2337; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16162337 - 20 Aug 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2182
Abstract
The study analyzed available data series of the Sava River’s water temperature measured at the Zagreb gauging station. Official data from the Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service (DHMZ) in Zagreb were utilized. Over the 73 years from 1948 to 2020, there are only [...] Read more.
The study analyzed available data series of the Sava River’s water temperature measured at the Zagreb gauging station. Official data from the Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service (DHMZ) in Zagreb were utilized. Over the 73 years from 1948 to 2020, there are only 53 years with complete measurement records. Despite this limiting fact, it was considered important to analyze the behavior of the Sava River’s water temperatures in Zagreb over the past 70 years, during which a significant increase in air temperatures has been observed in the region, particularly in the city of Zagreb. Analyses were conducted on the characteristic (minimum, mean, and maximum) water temperatures over timescales of years, months, and days. The relationship between water temperatures (TW) and air temperatures (TA) measured at the Grič Observatory and the flows (Q) of the Sava River in Zagreb were investigated. A trend of rising water temperatures was observed throughout the entire period from 1948 to 2020, with the intensity significantly increasing in the recent period starting from 1988. The trend of rising air temperatures is the primary driver of the increase in the water temperatures of the Sava River in Zagreb. However, the impact of reduced water flow, especially during the warm season, should not be overlooked. This effect is amplified by the observed trend of decreasing minimum flows of the Sava during the warm season, from June to September. As a result, the most significant rise in water temperatures of the Sava River in Zagreb occurs during prolonged low-water summer periods, particularly in July. A strong trend has been observed in the increasing number of days per year with mean daily water temperatures of the Sava River exceeding 20 °C. This higher water temperature occurs increasingly earlier in the year, lasts longer, and ends later, often extending into September. Full article
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18 pages, 5051 KiB  
Article
The Influence of Reservoirs on Water Temperature in the Downstream Part of an Open Watercourse: A Case Study at Botovo Station on the Drava River
by Ognjen Bonacci, Bojan Đurin, Tanja Roje Bonacci and Duje Bonacci
Water 2022, 14(21), 3534; https://doi.org/10.3390/w14213534 - 3 Nov 2022
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 2793
Abstract
The air temperature trends measured at the central meteorological station Varaždin and the water temperature measured at the Botovo station on the Drava River were analyzed from 1 January 1969 to 31 December 2021. Analyses were performed for three different time scales: year, [...] Read more.
The air temperature trends measured at the central meteorological station Varaždin and the water temperature measured at the Botovo station on the Drava River were analyzed from 1 January 1969 to 31 December 2021. Analyses were performed for three different time scales: year, month, and day. Mann–Kendall testing statistically determined the significant trends over the analyzed period and found increasing air and water temperatures. From 1975 to 1989, three reservoirs of different volumes and water surface areas were built. The Botovo water measuring station is 11 km from the third largest reservoir and 28 km from the mouth. Applying the day-to-day (DTD) method, we determined that the variations in the daily air temperatures are significantly higher than the simultaneous variations in the daily water temperatures. Also, the rise in water temperatures at the downstream water measuring station Botovo was influenced by the construction of reservoirs. The commissioning of the second reservoir in 1982 caused a significant rise in water temperature at the Botovo station. Trends in water temperature increase during all months of the year were statistically significant, while air temperature trends were statistically significant during the warm parts of the year. Full article
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19 pages, 5555 KiB  
Article
Analyses of Climate Variations at Four Meteorological Stations on Remote Islands in the Croatian Part of the Adriatic Sea
by Ognjen Bonacci, Matko Patekar, Marco Pola and Tanja Roje-Bonacci
Atmosphere 2020, 11(10), 1044; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11101044 - 30 Sep 2020
Cited by 22 | Viewed by 3366
Abstract
The Mediterranean region is one of the regions in the world that is most vulnerable to the impact of imminent climate change. In particular, climate change has an adverse effect on both the ecosystem and socioeconomic system, influencing water availability for both human [...] Read more.
The Mediterranean region is one of the regions in the world that is most vulnerable to the impact of imminent climate change. In particular, climate change has an adverse effect on both the ecosystem and socioeconomic system, influencing water availability for both human and environmental purposes. The most endangered water resources are along the coasts and on islands since they have relatively small volumes and are intensively exploited. We analyzed the time series of air temperature and precipitation measured at four meteorological stations (Komiža, Palagruža, Lastovo, and Biševo) located on small islands in the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea in this study. The investigated time series extend from the 1950s to the present, being contemporaneous for approximately 50 years. Despite possessing discontinuity, they can be considered as representative for assessing climate change and variability in the scattered environment of the Croatian islands. The results showed increasing trends in the annual air temperature, while the annual cumulative precipitation did not show significant variations. In addition, the analyses of the monthly air temperature showed that statistically significant increasing trends occurred from April to August, suggesting a more severe impact during these months. These results are in accordance with regional and local studies and climate models. Although the climate variability during the analyzed period can be considered as moderate, the impact on water resources could be severe due to the combined effect of the increase in air temperature during warm periods and the intensive exploitation for tourism purposes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change and Blue Economy in Islands)
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18 pages, 7280 KiB  
Article
An Intermittent Karst River: The Case of the Čikola River (Dinaric Karst, Croatia)
by Ognjen Bonacci, Josip Terzić, Tanja Roje-Bonacci and Tihomir Frangen
Water 2019, 11(11), 2415; https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112415 - 17 Nov 2019
Cited by 15 | Viewed by 5395
Abstract
Intermittent and ephemeral streams (IRES) are responsible for transporting about half of the water on Earth’s surface. Their hydrological behavior is different in various landscapes. IRES are found more often in karst terrains than in any other regions, as a consequence of strong [...] Read more.
Intermittent and ephemeral streams (IRES) are responsible for transporting about half of the water on Earth’s surface. Their hydrological behavior is different in various landscapes. IRES are found more often in karst terrains than in any other regions, as a consequence of strong and direct interaction between groundwater and surface water. This paper presents a hydrogeological and hydrological analysis of the intermittent Čikola River and Spring catchment, which is located in deeply karstified and developed parts of the Dinaric karst in Croatia. Hydrological calculations determined that the catchment area covers approximately 300 km2 and very probably changes in accordance with rapid variations in groundwater level. The karst spring of the Čikola River is a cave, extracted for a public water supply with four drilled extraction wells. The results of the interrelated hydrological and hydrogeological analysis show interesting phenomena from an intermittent karst spring (cave) and its catchment, flowing downstream through a karst polje with several smaller confluences, then entering a karst canyon (where the river sinks during certain periods), and ending in an estuary before contributing to the larger Krka River. The research presented was based on water balance calculations, climatic and hydrological time series analyses, spring pumping tests, and thorough hydrogeological interpretation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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