Safety-Oriented Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Vehicles: A Systematic Review

Ensuring safety in autonomous vehicles (AVs) requires predictive control methods that can handle dynamic constraints, uncertain interactions, and real-time decision making. This review examines safety-oriented model predictive control (MPC) for AVs using a PRISMA-guided screening process. From 363 records published between January 2015 and March 2026, 101 peer-reviewed studies were selected for qualitative synthesis. The literature is organized into three domains: collision avoidance and risk mitigation, trajectory tracking and path following, and intersection and coordination tasks. Across these domains, MPC has evolved from nominal tracking and geometric avoidance toward risk-aware, robust, hierarchical, and learning-enhanced formulations. Unlike broader reviews on autonomous driving control, this review focuses specifically on safety-oriented MPC and compares the reviewed literature in terms of safety mechanisms, uncertainty treatment, validation practice, computational feasibility, and deployment limitations. The review shows that MPC remains one of the most versatile frameworks for AV safety, but the evidence base is weakened by heavy reliance on simulation, inconsistent safety metrics, limited validation under uncertainty, and uneven treatment of computational feasibility. The most promising directions are hybrid architectures that combine model-based safety guarantees with uncertainty-aware prediction, learning-assisted adaptation, and scalable coordination mechanisms.