Local-Scale Assessment of Urban Resilience and the Role of Nature-Based Solutions and Stormwater Modelling
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Urban Resilience
1.2. Relevance of NBSs for Resilience
1.3. City and Local Scales
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Overall Approach
- Step 1: tailor the RAF to local scale and climate action pillars;
- Step 2: define the initial and improved situations;
- Step 3: develop and apply the stormwater system model in SWMM;
- Step 4: apply the tailored RAF to the initial and improved situations;
- Step 5: improve assessment at the local scale: identifying contributions to ESG criteria and estimating specific ecosystem services;
- Step 6: estimate ecosystem services at the city scale.
2.2. Case Study
2.3. Resilience Assessment
2.4. Stormwater Drainage Modelling
- Sub-catchments: Drainage basins, some with LID controls (vegetated swales or bioretention cells to represent flower and tree beds). Each one links to a rain gauge, for rain event representation, allowing for simulation of runoff to downstream nodes or other basins. SWMM computes subsequent hydrologic processes (infiltration, evapotranspiration, surface accumulation, and flow conveyance).
- Nodes: Junctions and outfall, including normal (with surface exchange allowed) and sealed manholes (auxiliary nodes when connections occur at intermediate sewer sections, with overflow restrained by high internal pressure thresholds).
- Links: Conduits between nodes to compute sewer hydraulics. Variables such as manhole depths were estimated when registry data was missing.
- Streets and inlets: Route surface runoff to conduits and simulate surcharge or bypass. Specific basins were associated to streets, the runoff of which is captured by inlets to the conduits or bypasses it to the streets if inlet capacity is exceeded. Different street cross-sections were defined.
3. Results
3.1. Resilience Assessment Metrics for Local Scale
3.2. Stormwater Drainage and NBS Models
3.2.1. Definition of Modelling Situations
- Naturalized rugby and tennis fields, enhancing infiltration capacity and storage.
- Forestated derelict western area, increasing pervious surface, interception and evapotranspiration.
- Partially forestated lower western area, improving infiltration and reducing surface runoff.
- Collected water in existing large planters as shallow storage zones for temporary retention and delayed discharge.
- Added linear tree beds above spectator stands and in the parking lot, providing distributed infiltration and increased surface roughness.
- Rehabilitated permeable pavement above spectator stands, modelled by increased pervious area and adjusted Green–Ampt parameters, for restored infiltration performance.
3.2.2. Model Development and Results
3.3. Resilience Assessment of the Case Study
- The Alvalade neighbourhood had already started its path for resilience some time ago; further advancement demands substantially greater effort to generate perceptible change; on the contrary, for locations in early resilience stages, even small efforts can lead to visible improvement.
- Many planned measures are designed for the facility scale; they can have clear effects locally, which tend to fade when viewed across the whole neighbourhood.
3.4. Improved Assessment at the Local Scale—ESG and Ecosystems Services
3.5. Contribution to the Resilience Assessment Related to Ecosystem Services at the City Scale
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| B-WaterSmart | European H2020 project, accelerating the transformation to water-smart economies and societies in coastal Europe and beyond |
| CC | Climate Change |
| CML | Lisbon Municipality (acronym in Portuguese) |
| CRSM | São Miguel Rugby Club (acronym in Portuguese) |
| ES | Ecosystem Service |
| ESG | Environmental, Social, and Governance criteria for sustainability |
| GHG | Greenhouse Gas |
| ICARIA | European HE project, Improving ClimAte Resilience of crItical Assets |
| NBS | Nature Based Solution |
| RAF | Resilience Assessment Framework |
| RESCCUE | European H2020 project, RESilience to cope with Climate Change in Urban arEas |
| SWMM | Storm Water Management Model, EPA |
| UP2030 | European HE project, Urban Planning and Design Ready for 2030 |
| UWWTD | European Directive on Urban Wastewater Treatment |
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| Measure | Actions |
|---|---|
| Increase water and energy efficiency |
|
| Improve climate resilience |
|
| Adopt a circular mindset |
|
| Promote soft mobility |
|
| Engage stakeholders with climate neutrality |
|
| Implement sustainable events |
|
| Event | Date | Duration | Return Period (Years) | Total Precipitation (mm) | Maximum Precipitation Intensity (mm/h) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | 7 December 2022 00:00–8 December 2022 23:50 | 47 h 50 min | 100 | 58.9 | 73.8 |
| P2 | 29 October 2010 00:00–30 October 2010 02:10 | 26 h 10 min | 50 | 30.9 | 41.4 |
| P3 | 13 October 2014 00:00–14 October 2014 02:30 | 26 h 30 min | 20 | 23.8 | 75.6 |
| P4 | 26 November 2014 00:00–27 November 2014 01:30 | 25 h 30 min | 10 | 16.5 | 49.2 |
| P5 | 6 April 2020 00:00–7 April 2020 07:00 | 31 h 00 min | <2 | 20.20 | 32.4 |
| Perspective | Model A: Initial Situation | Model B: Improved Situation with NBSs |
|---|---|---|
| Unit effectiveness | Storage capacity (%) | NBS Storage capacity (%) |
| Volume retention (%) | NBS Volume retention (%) | |
| CRSM stormwater drainage performance | Variation in surcharged nodes (%) | |
| Variation in flooded volume (%) | ||
| Variation in surcharged pipes (%) | ||
| Av. Brasil public sewer performance | Reduction in output flow peak | |
| Reduction in output flow volume | ||
| Resilience Metrics | Scale | Alignments | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UP2030 | ESG | ES | ||
| Co-ordination with other government bodies | N | R | - | - |
| Multi-stakeholder collaboration | F, N | J | G, S | - |
| Collaboration mechanisms | F, N | J | G, S | - |
| Status when addressing contribution to climate change | N | C | - | - |
| Design solutions that increase resilience | N | R | - | - |
| Implemented design solutions to increase resilience | F, N | R | E | - |
| Mitigation of perceived social detrimental effects of natural areas | N | J | - | - |
| Use of design solutions to improve the resilience of the area | F, N | R, C | E | - |
| Other contributions to city resilience | F, N | R | E | - |
| Infrastructural measures to address CC mitigation and adaptation | F, N | R, C | E | - |
| Infrastructural measures to address CC mitigation and adaptation of natural areas | F, N | R, C | E | - |
| Integration with other neighbouring natural areas | F, N | R, J | E | - |
| Natural areas’ autonomy from other services according to CC scenarios | F, N | R | - | - |
| Availability of green and blue infrastructures in the location per inhabitant | N | R, C | - | - |
| Ecosystem services | F, N | R, J, C | E | - |
| Natural areas’ alignment with ecosystem services | F, N | R, J, C | E | - |
| Health and well-being co-benefits | F, N | J | S | - |
| Biodiversity enhancement | F, N | R | E | - |
| Undesired species | F, N | R | E | - |
| Aesthetical and recreational importance | F, N | J | S | - |
| Regeneration of abandoned areas | F, N | J | E | - |
| Land slide and erosion prevention | F, N | R | E | - |
| Temperature reduction for local climate regulation | F, N | R, J | E | Y |
| Air quality improvement | F, N | R, J | E | Y |
| Carbon sequestration and storage | F, N | C | E | Y |
| Groundwater recharge | F, N | R | E | - |
| Estimated infiltration enhancement | F, N | R | E | Y |
| Estimated water retention enhancement | F, N | R | E | Y |
| Estimated evapotranspiration improvement | F, N | R | E | Y |
| Water uses | F, N | R | E | - |
| Water sources | F, N | R | E | - |
| Water reuse | F, N | R | E | - |
| Collected stormwater uses | F, N | R | E | - |
| Rainwater use | F, N | R | E | - |
| Rainwater uses | F, N | R | E | - |
| Stormwater management | F, N | R | E | - |
| Variation in drinking water consumption | F, N | R | E | - |
| Flooding incidents—rainfall-related | F, N | R | E | - |
| Alternative energy sources | F, N | C | E | - |
| Energy sources | F, N | C, R | E | - |
| Renewable energy production | F, N | R, C | E | Y |
| Public transport spatial coverage | N | J | - | - |
| Public transport daily coverage | N | J | - | - |
| Alternative mobility | N | J, C | - | - |
| Location mobility solutions | N | J, C, R | - | - |
| Modal split for location road based solutions | N | R, J | - | - |
| Waste separation | F, N | R | E | - |
| NBS | Model A: Initial Situation | Model B: Improved Situation with NBSs |
|---|---|---|
| Naturalization of rugby and tennis fields, with potential for collecting infiltrated volumes | %Imperv set to 80% for both rugby and tennis fields. | %Imperv modified to 10% to simulate naturalization |
| Forestation of derelict western area | %Imperv set to 90% and 80% of the area (unpaved ground) | %Imperv adjusted to 20% for both cases, LID type “storage with trees” incorporated, covering 100% of the area |
| Partial forestation of lower western area | %Imperv set to 90% in the lower western area | %Imperv adjusted to 20%, LID type “storage with trees” incorporated, covering half the area |
| Collection of water in existing large planters | No water collection considered | Water collection considered |
| Implementation of linear tree beds above the spectator stands | %Imperv set to 80% in the area | %Imperv adjusted to 20%, LID type “storage with trees” incorporated, covering 100% of the area |
| Implementation of linear tree beds in the parking lot | Only the pre-existing tree-covered area was considered, occupying a small fraction of the area | LID type “storage with trees” incorporated, covering a more significant area of the parking lot |
| Rehabilitation of permeable pavement west to the spectator stands | %Imperv set to 80% in the area | %Imperv modified to 50% |
| Resilience Metrics | CRSM Facility * | Alvalade Neighbourhood * | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Situation | Improved Situation | Initial Situation | Improved Situation | |
| Co-ordination with other government bodies | - | - | P | P |
| Multi-stakeholder collaboration | A | A | A | A |
| Collaboration mechanisms | I | P | A | A |
| Status when addressing contribution to climate change | - | - | P | P |
| Design solutions that increase resilience | - | - | A | A |
| Implemented design solutions to increase resilience | I | P | I | I |
| Mitigation of perceived social detrimental effects of natural areas | - | - | A | A |
| Use of design solutions to improve the resilience of the area | P | A | A | A |
| Other contributions to city resilience | A | A | A | A |
| Infrastructural measures to address CC mitigation and adaptation | I0 | A | A | A |
| Infrastructural measures to address CC mitigation and adaptation of natural areas | I | P | A | A |
| Integration with other neighbouring natural areas | - | I | P | P |
| Natural areas’ autonomy from other services according to CC scenarios | I0 | P | P | P |
| Availability of green and blue infrastructures in the location, per inhabitant | - | - | A | A |
| Ecosystem services | I0 | A | P | A |
| Natural areas’ alignment with ecosystem services | I0 | P | P | P |
| Health and well-being co-benefits | A | A | A | A |
| Biodiversity enhancement | P | P | A | A |
| Undesired species | P | P | P | P |
| Aesthetical and recreational importance | I | P | P | P |
| Regeneration of abandoned areas | P | A | I | I |
| Land slide and erosion prevention | - | - | I | I |
| Temperature reduction for local climate regulation | I0 | I | I | I |
| Air quality improvement | I0 | A | P | P |
| Carbon sequestration and storage | I0 | P | P | P |
| Groundwater recharge | I0 | A | A | A |
| Estimated infiltration enhancement | I0 | P | I | I |
| Estimated water retention enhancement | I0 | A | I | I |
| Estimated evapotranspiration improvement | I0 | P | I | I |
| Water uses | I0 | I | I0 | I |
| Water sources | I0 | A | I | A |
| Water reuse | I0 | I | I0 | I |
| Collected stormwater uses | I0 | P | I0 | I |
| Rainwater use | I0 | P | I0 | I |
| Rainwater uses | I0 | A | I0 | I |
| Stormwater management | I0 | A | P | P |
| Variation in drinking water consumption | - | - | I | I |
| Flooding incidents—rainfall-related | A | A | I | I |
| Alternative energy sources | A | A | A | A |
| Energy sources | A | A | A | A |
| Renewable energy production | I0 | I | I | I |
| Public transport spatial coverage | - | - | A | A |
| Public transport daily coverage | - | - | P | P |
| Alternative mobility | - | - | P | P |
| Location mobility solutions | - | - | A | A |
| Modal split for location road-based solutions | - | - | A | A |
| Waste separation | P | A | A | A |
| Resilience Metrics | Lisbon’s Neighbourhoods (Examples) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajuda | Misericordia | Olivais | |
| High green area, Lisbon’s largest park, silty sands and clays | Old town, densely urbanized; few, small, scattered green areas | Several green corridors; large trees; clayey soils | |
| Temperature reduction for local climate regulation | A | I | P |
| Air quality improvement | A | I | P |
| Carbon sequestration and storage | A | I0 | P |
| Estimated infiltration enhancement | P | I0 | I0 |
| Estimated water retention enhancement | P | I0 | I |
| Estimated evapotranspiration improvement | P | I0 | I |
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Share and Cite
Brito, R.S.; Cardoso, M.A.; Jorge, C.; Almeida, M.d.C.; Teixeira, P.; Telhado, M.J. Local-Scale Assessment of Urban Resilience and the Role of Nature-Based Solutions and Stormwater Modelling. Urban Sci. 2026, 10, 198. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040198
Brito RS, Cardoso MA, Jorge C, Almeida MdC, Teixeira P, Telhado MJ. Local-Scale Assessment of Urban Resilience and the Role of Nature-Based Solutions and Stormwater Modelling. Urban Science. 2026; 10(4):198. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040198
Chicago/Turabian StyleBrito, Rita Salgado, Maria Adriana Cardoso, Catarina Jorge, Maria do Céu Almeida, Pedro Teixeira, and Maria João Telhado. 2026. "Local-Scale Assessment of Urban Resilience and the Role of Nature-Based Solutions and Stormwater Modelling" Urban Science 10, no. 4: 198. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040198
APA StyleBrito, R. S., Cardoso, M. A., Jorge, C., Almeida, M. d. C., Teixeira, P., & Telhado, M. J. (2026). Local-Scale Assessment of Urban Resilience and the Role of Nature-Based Solutions and Stormwater Modelling. Urban Science, 10(4), 198. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040198

