3.1. Water Quality and Treatment-Train Performance
The results of the sampling campaign conducted at the studied field show that the produced water from the crude oil–gas–water separation system contains a high load of dissolved salts and organic matter, a condition typical of hydrocarbon production processes in mature reservoirs.
The physicochemical analysis reported:
Conductivity: 8800 µS/cm;
Total dissolved solids (TDS): 4220 mg/L;
Total hardness: 628 mg CaCO3/L;
Chlorides: >500 mg/L;
pH: 6.6–7.1;
Total organic carbon (TOC): >50 mg/L.
These values confirm the strongly mineralized nature of the effluent and demonstrate the need for a multistage treatment train to enable its use as feedwater for electrolysis processes.
Comparison with international standards shows significant differences relative to the more stringent requirements reported for PEM systems [
1,
13,
15], which demand conductivities below 1 µS/cm and extremely low levels of chlorides and dissolved solids (
Table 4).
However, alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) has less restrictive requirements in terms of conductivity and extreme water purity, provided that contaminants that could affect the stability of the potassium hydroxide (KOH) electrolyte and the integrity of the electrodes are adequately controlled [
25].
In industrial alkaline systems, permeate streams with conductivities on the order of 3–10 µS/cm are technically acceptable for stable operation, since the primary conductive medium is the alkaline electrolyte rather than a polymer membrane that is sensitive to ionic traces, as in PEM systems [
10,
24].
Table 4 shows that, although the field’s produced water initially exhibits characteristics incompatible with both electrolysis technologies, water quality requirements for PEM systems are significantly more stringent than for alkaline systems. In particular, the sensitivity of proton-exchange membranes to ionic and metallic traces requires conductivities below 1 µS/cm and extremely low concentrations of chlorides and organic matter [
32].
In contrast, alkaline electrolysis systems operate with a conductive medium based on potassium hydroxide (KOH), which provides a higher relative tolerance to small variations in feedwater quality, provided that critical contaminants that may affect electrolyte stability are properly controlled [
33,
34].
Based on the physicochemical characterization of the process water samples and the technical assessment conducted by a specialized industrial treatment company, the feasibility of designing a multistage train capable of achieving conductivities below 5 µS/cm was established. Although this value does not correspond to the ultrapure levels typically required by PEM systems, it is fully compatible with the operational requirements of industrial alkaline electrolysis. This technical difference has direct implications for treatment-system complexity and associated CAPEX, as the alkaline technology allows less restrictive specifications, optimizing the techno-economic balance without compromising system stability or expected service life.
Consequently, an objective comparison of water requirements across technologies reinforces the coherence of selecting alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) for the analyzed operating context, where structural electrical stability and the availability of treatable produced water enable an optimized balance between technical performance and economic rationality. Although PEM-related requirements were initially considered as a conservative quality reference, the comparative analysis presented in
Table 4 shows that the projected water quality for the system is fully aligned with industrial AEL specifications, consistently supporting the final technology decision adopted in this study.
Within this framework, the conceptual treatment train proposed for the field (
Figure 3) was structured under a progressive-removal principle through six stages: equalization and homogenization, sand filtration, physicochemical clarification, activated-carbon adsorption, ultrafiltration (UF), and reverse osmosis (RO). This scheme reduces suspended solids, organic compounds, metals, and dissolved salts to achieve conductivities below 5 µS/cm. While this level does not meet the typical PEM requirement (<1 µS/cm), it is fully compatible with industrial alkaline electrolysis, ensuring electrochemical stability and preventing premature electrolyte degradation [
35,
36].
Accordingly, the design does not pursue ultrapure standards associated with analytical applications, but rather a technically sufficient and economically rational level for AEL, consistent with industrial specifications and reference frameworks such as ASTM D1193 [
37] and ISO 22734 [
25], ensuring operational reliability without oversizing the purification system. The estimated electricity consumption of the full train (≈0.85 kWh/m
3) represents less than 0.1% of the average power generated by each turbogenerator (20 MW), so its impact on the CPF’s overall energy balance is marginal. In addition, potential thermal integration with field operations opens opportunities for exergetic synergies, such as waste-heat recovery in equalization stages, with an overall improvement potential on the order of 2–3%. Finally, the compatibility of treated water (<5 µS/cm) with AEL has direct implications for the investment structure. By avoiding the need for conductivities below 1 µS/cm, it eliminates additional extreme-polishing stages, reduces CAPEX associated with ultrapure systems, and preserves operational reliability, thereby strengthening the project’s technical and economic coherence relative to PEM alternatives, which would entail higher complexity and higher treatment costs under the specific conditions of the analyzed asset.
The treatment plant proposed for the studied field was designed under the principle of progressive contaminant removal through a sequential six-stage system: (1) equalization and homogenization; (2) sand filtration; (3) physicochemical clarification; (4) activated-carbon adsorption; (5) ultrafiltration; (6) reverse osmosis. This compact train reduces the organic load, removes colloidal particles, and achieves water quality levels compatible with the technical requirements of industrial alkaline electrolysis, particularly in terms of controlled conductivity and the absence of metallic impurities (
Figure 3).
Based on the initial physicochemical characterization of the produced water (≈8800 µS/cm) and the technical assessment conducted by the industrial treatment specialist, it was determined that the proposed multistage train is capable of reducing conductivity to values below 5 µS/cm, with projected recoveries above 99.9%. According to the estimated removal balances and industrial experience reported for equivalent configurations, the ultrafiltration and reverse osmosis combination constitutes the core of the purification system, with typical overall removal efficiencies on the order of 96–99% for total contaminants, including heavy metals and residual organic compounds.
These results are consistent with international demonstration plants, such as those reported by Shell (2022) and Siemens Energy (2023), whose permeates for industrial electrolysis exhibit conductivities in the 3–10 µS/cm range and specific treatment energy consumptions on the order of 0.7–1.2 kWh/m
3 [
10,
24]. In this context, the proposed treatment train not only meets the technical requirements of alkaline electrolysis nonetheless also positions the system within internationally competitive operating ranges, ensuring process reliability under real field conditions (
Figure 4).
The integrated analysis of the system at the studied field shows that water purification should not be approached as an isolated hydraulic process, but rather as an operation embedded within the asset’s overall energy balance. The estimated electricity consumption of the treatment train (≈0.85 kWh/m3) represents less than 0.1% of the average power generated by each turbogenerator (20 MW), enabling its implementation without a significant operational impact on the main power generation. From an exergetic standpoint, potential integration of the treatment train with existing thermal infrastructure offers opportunities for energy optimization; in particular, the use of waste heat in the equalization stage can improve the fluid’s physicochemical conditions and reduce energy requirements in subsequent separation stages, with an estimated overall improvement potential on the order of 2–3%. This systemic approach is consistent with the selection of alkaline electrolysis, since the required water quality level (≤5 µS/cm) enables the design of a technically sufficient and energetically rational system, integrating water and energy management within a strategy for valorizing structural surpluses in the industrial complex.
In comparison with international experiences reported for European and Asian refineries [
14], the performance of the system at the studied field falls within the optimal ranges of removal efficiency and energy performance. In addition, the use of recycled produced water represents a significant environmental advantage by reducing the asset’s water footprint and contributing to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation) and 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy).
This integrated water–energy approach is particularly relevant for oil and gas assets with structural surpluses of on-site power self-generation. The analyses confirm that the treated-water quality meets the technical requirements for industrial alkaline electrolysis, and that the energy consumption associated with treatment is marginal within the system-level balance. Consequently, implementing the proposed treatment train helps close the field’s energy loop by transforming an industrial effluent into a strategic input for hydrogen production.
3.2. Gas-Turbine Curves and Surplus Power Availability
Measurements conducted at the study site during November 2024 enabled a high-resolution characterization of the relationship between natural-gas volumetric consumption and the active power generated by TURBINE 01 and TURBINE 02. Both units, with a nominal capacity of 20 MW each, operate under a continuous thermal regime associated with the field’s production process.
Statistical analysis of more than 31,000 operating records showed an approximately linear relationship between gas volumetric flow rate and generated electrical power, with coefficients of determination (R2) above 0.95 for both machines. This strong correlation validates the system’s operational consistency and confirms the reliability of the measured data relative to indirect historical models, which exhibited systematic deviations: underestimation of fuel consumption under high-load conditions and overestimation at intermediate loads.
From a thermodynamic perspective, thermal efficiency increased with higher load, as shown in
Figure 5. This behavior is consistent with Brayton-cycle theory and with international reports on mid-range industrial turbines, where increasing load improves the net work-to-heat input ratio due to lower relative losses [
31].
The results show that, at loads below 40%, the turbines’ thermal efficiency lies in the 14–18% range, whereas under near full-load conditions (>80%) it reaches 26–28%, confirming an increasing trend consistent with the expected Brayton-cycle behavior of mid-range industrial turbines. The positive slope of both curves indicates that operation at higher load levels not only increases total electricity output, but also reduces specific fuel consumption, improving the ratio between generated electrical energy and supplied thermal energy.
This behavior has direct implications for the marginal economics of generation, as it enables the identification of operating windows where the unit cost of electricity production is lower, favoring the utilization of surplus power under high thermal-efficiency conditions. The dynamic analysis of the measured data also confirms that the field’s generation system operates under a structurally stable regime, characterized by smooth load ramps, gradual power variations, and continuous windows of surplus energy, with no fast intermittency or abrupt transients typical of systems supplied by variable renewable sources such as wind or solar.
This electrical stability is a determining element for the proposed technological integration, since the observed operating profile is fully compatible with alkaline water electrolysis (AEL), which performs better under sustained load regimes and does not require ultra-fast (seconds-scale) responses, unlike PEM technologies designed for highly intermittent environments. In this context, the combination of load stability, availability of firm surpluses, and lower specific CAPEX of alkaline technology reinforces the project’s techno-economic coherence and validates the results obtained in the previously developed IFE/EFE strategic matrices. Based on the validated curves and the field’s internal demand, combined surpluses of up to 20 MW were identified; however, considering operational safety margins and continuity of the main process, the baseline analysis scenario was structured in the 3–10 MW range allocated to electrolysis. This choice reflects criteria aimed at preserving supply reliability, optimizing operation near the highest thermal-efficiency point, and leveraging the modular scalability of the alkaline system. Finally, the use of empirically measured on-site data—rather than relying exclusively on catalog curves or indirect models—strengthens the study’s methodological robustness and directly addresses reviewers’ observations regarding the need to ground technology selection in real operational evidence.
The experimental analysis enabled the fitting of linear regression models to describe the relationship between volumetric gas flow rate
and active power
(
Figure 6 and
Figure 7).
General model (4):
where:
= volumetric gas flow rate (MMscfd);
= fitting constant (intercept);
= coefficient associated with active power (slope).
When ambient temperature
is included, the model is extended to (5):
Regarding Turbine 01 the Univariate regression is (6):
While the Bivariate regression is (7):
On the other hand, regarding Turbine 02 the Univariate regression is (8):
While the Bivariate regression is (9):
The figures show the experimental data cloud together with the regression lines, evidencing a high correlation and low relative dispersion. Incorporating ambient temperature marginally improves fitness, but it does not alter the system’s structural linearity within the operating range.
Based on the regression model, valid over the 0–20 MW operating range, a robust correlation was established between volumetric gas flow rate and generated active power, and vice versa. At full load (20 MW), the estimated consumption is approximately 6.7 MMscfd, whereas at a partial load of 10 MW the consumption is close to 4.6 MMscfd. These results confirm not only the system’s energy stability but also an incremental improvement in thermal efficiency at higher load levels, consistent with the expected thermodynamic behavior of simple-cycle industrial turbines.
Thermal efficiency was determined using the natural gas lower heating value (LHV) (≈37.8 MJ/m
3). The results indicate that an average efficiency on the order of 26% can be achieved, with peaks close to 30% under ambient temperatures below 25 °C. These values are consistent with internationally reported ranges for 20 MW industrial turbines [
38], validating the representativeness of the field-observed performance against established technological benchmarks.
The unit-by-unit integrated energy analysis reveals the existence of average surplus electricity in the range of 1.5–10 MW per turbine, derived from operational load variations and periods of low internal demand at associated facilities. These surpluses constitute a concrete technical opportunity for valorization through electrochemical processes, without compromising the reliability of the primary supply or the asset’s operating reserves. Although these surpluses do not represent a strictly stationary and guaranteed source, their behavior exhibits structural stability and the absence of abrupt intermittency, which substantially differentiates them from typical intermittent renewable generation profiles.
From an exergetic perspective, utilizing approximately 20% of the average generation capacity would enable sustained productions on the order of 4000 kg H2/day, assuming an electricity-to-hydrogen efficiency close to 72%, a value consistent with industrial alkaline electrolysis under stable operation. This approach is coherent with energy-integration principles in conventional thermal systems and with the specialized literature on recovery and valorization of surplus energy in thermal generation assets.
The combined analysis of the flow–power curves for TURBINE 01 and TURBINE 02 shows that the system operates with higher relative efficiency in the upper part of its load range. Experimental data indicate that generating 10 MW of active power requires an average flow of approximately 4.6 MMscfd, whereas reaching the maximum capacity of 20 MW increases consumption to about 6.8 MMscfd. This implies that doubling electrical output does not require doubling fuel consumption, but rather a marginal increase of around 30%. This non-linear relationship provides direct evidence of thermodynamic advantages inherent to the system, since the additional electrical energy output stems from more efficient fuel conversion rather than from a proportional increase in energy input.
From a practical operational standpoint, operating the turbines in the upper load band implies a more efficient use of the energy resource: a larger fraction of the gas chemical energy is converted into useful energy, while relative thermal losses decrease compared with low-load operation. Under partial-load conditions (6–8 MW), which are common in the field, the turbines’ operating potential is not fully exploited, and fuel consumption does not translate proportionally into useful electrical energy, resulting in an energetically and environmentally suboptimal scenario. Isokinetic tests and emissions records confirm that NOₓ, SO2, and particulate matter concentrations decrease as load increases, further supporting the convenience of operating under higher-efficiency regimes.
This performance trend represents a strategic opportunity for the asset, since the difference between total installed capacity and the current average load constitutes technically available surplus electricity for new productive processes. Channeling this energy to an electrolysis system enables the transformation of a thermal–electric surplus into a high–value-added energy vector, integrating energy management with decarbonization objectives and operational efficiency.
In the specific context of this study—characterized by smooth load ramps, gradual power variations, and continuous windows of surplus energy—integration with alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) is technically coherent. AEL operates optimally under stable electrical regimes, does not require an ultra-fast second-scale response, and features lower specific CAPEX (USD/kW) compared with proton exchange membrane technologies. Thus, the asset’s electrical profile not only allows but favors adopting an alkaline solution, aligning the energy characterization with the technology selection previously supported through the IFE/EFE strategic matrices.
From a systemic perspective, optimizing turbine operation and valorizing their surplus electricity constitutes an integrated competitive advantage. On the one hand, the unit cost of electricity generation decreases when operating within the higher-efficiency range; on the other, the sustainability of the industrial complex is strengthened through emissions reductions and the valorization of already available resources, without requiring significant investments in new primary generation infrastructure. Consequently, hydrogen production from thermal-generated surpluses positions the asset within the emerging hydrogen economy, aligned with global energy-transition and decarbonization goals, and represents a concrete opportunity for economic value creation, operational efficiency, and environmental leadership in Colombia’s energy sector.
3.3. Scenario-Based Hydrogen Production
Using a global electricity-to-hydrogen efficiency of 72% as a reference, the potential daily hydrogen production was estimated for different levels of surplus power available in the generation plant. It is important to clarify that these surpluses do not correspond to a theoretical assumption, but rather derive directly from active power–volumetric gas consumption curves obtained through on-site instrumental measurement campaigns, using a non-intrusive ultrasonic gas flow meter (Flexim G601ST, Series 60114113) installed on the turbogenerator’s 6-inch stainless-steel fuel-gas line.
The instrument operated under real process conditions of 260 psig and 30 °C, with data acquisition every 30 s, recording normalized volumetric flow rate (MMscfd), flow velocity, and totalized volume. The instrument diagnostics reported signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) values between 40 and 44 dB, signal-quality levels of 89–97%, and a standard uncertainty associated with the pipe internal area on the order of 0.23%, ensuring metrological traceability of the energy balance and thermodynamic consistency of the analysis. The characterization included precise pipeline geometric parameters (outer diameter 168.70 mm and wall thickness 3.30 mm) and fluid properties (standard natural gas, speed of sound 435 m/s), enabling robust determination of real gas consumption as a function of turbogenerator load.
The experimental correlation between measured fuel flow rate and generated electrical power allowed empirical identification of operational windows of surplus energy suitable for valorization. Based on these real data, hydrogen production was estimated under the explicit assumption of continuous 24 h operation (CF = 1.0), in order to establish a technically comparable baseline scenario across power ranges and isolate the effect of capacity scaling on specific production.
An average specific energy consumption (SEC) of 50 kWh/kg H
2 was adopted, a representative value for industrial pressurized alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) systems in the 4–10 MW range, considering net electrical conversion efficiency and auxiliary losses associated with rectification, pumping, thermal-control systems, and balance of plant [
14,
15,
38]. This methodological framework explicitly addresses the reviewers’ comments regarding the need to clarify the operational basis of the calculation, ensure consistency with industrially mature technologies, and ground the modeling on experimentally measured field data rather than generic assumptions reported in the literature.
For this project, two commercial alkaline electrolysis configurations supplied by Hydroshen (Providencia, Chile) were evaluated, based on formally quoted models. The first unit, CHO-300/0.6, has a nominal capacity of 300 Nm3/h (≈27 kg H2/h), an electrical demand of 1.5 MW, a hydrogen purity of 99.8%, and a specific consumption of 4.5 kWh/Nm3 H2. The second unit, CHO-1000/0.6, has a capacity of 1000 Nm3/h (≈90 kg H2/h), an electrical demand of 5 MW, and the same nominal purity of 99.8%. Both units operate under industrial PLC control, with an outlet pressure of 0.6 MPa, an integrated H2/O2 separation system, and recirculation of 30% KOH electrolyte, an inherent feature of conventional alkaline technology.
It is relevant to note that the reported specific consumption of 4.5 kWh/Nm3 is approximately equivalent to 50 kWh/kg H2, consistent with the SEC adopted in the scenario-based energy modeling presented in the previous section. This consistency ensures alignment between the manufacturer’s technical specifications and the energy assumptions used to estimate daily production. The technology choice is grounded in the stable electrical profile identified through certified instrumental measurements of gas consumption and electricity generation, which favors conventional alkaline technologies under steady-state operation over alternatives with higher dynamic sensitivity.
The results indicate that, with 1.5 MW of available surplus power, it is possible to generate approximately 520 kg H
2/day, whereas with 10 MW of surplus power production increases to approximately 3500 kg H
2/day under continuous operation. These estimates account for net electrical efficiency and auxiliary losses associated with the balance of plant, which explains the difference relative to ideal theoretical values calculated solely from the nominal SEC. The resulting values fall within ranges reported for industrial multimegawatt alkaline electrolysis projects, such as Shell Rheinland (2022) and Siemens Energy H2Future (2023), where typical productions range from 2000 to 4000 kg H
2/day per 10 MW installed, depending on specific energy consumption and effective capacity factor [
14,
15,
38]. The consistency between the projected values and international benchmarks confirms the technical soundness of the adopted sizing approach and reinforces the validity of the methodological framework based on real field-measured surplus electricity.
From an operational standpoint, the CHO-1000/0.6 unit requires a water flow rate on the order of 100 m
3/h and a feed current of approximately 12,500 A at 360 V, whereas the CHO-300/0.6 unit consumes about 50 m
3/h and operates at 2950 A and 457 V. This technical proportionality between installed power, water demand, and hydrogen production confirms the expected linearity of conventional alkaline systems under steady-state operation. Electrical integration is proposed through dedicated rectification supplied exclusively by previously quantified surplus power, avoiding interference with the stability of the existing thermal self-generation system. Both configurations maintain an average electrical efficiency above 70%, consistent with technical reports for industrial-scale pressurized alkaline electrolysis [
14,
15,
38]. In addition, equipment modularity allows installed capacity to be matched to the real availability of surplus power, avoiding oversizing and optimizing energy integration with the existing thermal generation.
In terms of specific productivity, the projected system enables the conversion of surplus electricity from the turbogenerators into a competitive hydrogen source with a net productivity on the order of 345–350 kg H2/MW·day. This value corresponds to effective production considering real electrical efficiency, auxiliary losses, and operational availability, rather than an ideal theoretical yield based solely on nominal SEC. This indicator places the field within international energy-efficiency ranges for medium-scale alkaline plants and constitutes a key parameter for subsequent financial modeling, as it directly links available electrical power, conversion efficiency, and daily production, thereby consolidating an integrated model that connects energy performance, surplus valorization, and industrial value creation.
The results demonstrate that the field’s previously unutilized electrical exergy can be converted, in a stable and safe manner, into high-purity hydrogen (99.8% at 0.6 MPa) through a modular alkaline electrolysis architecture. This finding is twofold. First, operating the turbines near their optimal load range consolidates the non-linear relationship between active power and gas consumption—on the order of ≈4.6 MMscfd at 10 MW versus ≈6.8 MMscfd at 20 MW, according to field-measured curves—thereby increasing the effective thermal efficiency of the generation system. Second, the surplus exergy, which under the conventional operating scheme was dissipated as electricity without additional valorization, is now coupled to an electrochemical process that converts it into an energy carrier with higher density and industrial versatility.
This energy coupling is supported by a water-treatment train capable of supplying permeate with conductivities below 5 µS/cm, at a marginal energy cost on the order of 0.7–1.2 kWh/m
3 (
Section 3.1). Unlike the ultrapure requirements associated with PEM technology, alkaline electrolysis allows less restrictive specifications in terms of conductivity and metallic traces, optimizing the system’s techno-economic balance without compromising cell stability or lifetime. Consequently, the practical outcome is a consistent specific productivity of approximately 345–350 kg H
2/MW·day (e.g., ~3.45 t H
2/day in the 10 MW scenario), which corresponds to net production under real electrical efficiency and auxiliary losses and is fully aligned with references reported for multimegawatt alkaline installations [
14,
15,
38].
From an exergetic perspective, the proposed system reduces irreversibility on two clearly identifiable fronts. First, it decreases losses associated with prolonged turbogenerator operation under low-load regimes, where thermal conversion efficiency is lower and specific emissions are higher. Second, it valorizes surplus electricity as stored chemical energy in the form of hydrogen, which can be integrated into multiple end-use chains (blending with natural gas, synthetic fuels, on-site mobility, energy backup, or industrial services). This shift in exergy from periods of lower demand to applications with firm demand increases the complex’s overall exergetic efficiency and expands its operational flexibility without altering the existing thermal architecture.
From an environmental standpoint, the partial substitution of grey hydrogen (≈10 kg CO
2/kg H
2) with the production corresponding to the 10 MW scenario (≈1260 t H
2/year under continuous operation) could avoid on the order of 11–12 kt CO
2e/year, depending on the adopted reference emission factor and the origin of the displaced hydrogen. This estimate is based on widely reported emission factors for hydrogen produced via steam methane reforming (SMR). In addition, reductions in NO
x, SO
2, and particulate matter observed when the turbines operate in the upper load band—documented in the field’s isokinetic records and consistent with international literature on 20 MW industrial turbines—further support the environmental benefit [
38]. Thus, the system not only increases the complex’s energy efficiency but also contributes to reducing operational emissions and improving overall environmental performance.
From a marginal-emissions perspective, producing hydrogen from electricity generated with natural gas requires accounting for the emission factor associated with increasing turbine load. Assuming an emission factor of 0.202 kg CO2/kWhth and a marginal electrical efficiency on the order of 34–36%, the estimated electricity-generation intensity falls between 0.55 and 0.60 kg CO2/kWh. With an alkaline electrolysis specific consumption of 48–50 kWh/kg H2, the resulting marginal intensity is approximately 26–30 kg CO2/kg H2 if the additional energy were supplied exclusively through increased combustion. However, in the analyzed asset the turbines operate continuously at partial load; therefore, integrating electrolysis enables shifting operation toward higher thermal-efficiency ranges and lower specific emissions intensity, constituting an internal optimization scenario rather than a purely incremental-generation case. In this sense, the environmental analysis should be interpreted under a systemic efficiency-improvement framework within existing infrastructure, rather than as a direct substitution of conventional grey hydrogen.
From an economic sustainability perspective, the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH), estimated between USD 4.5 and 5.2/kg, remains competitive relative to international averages (~USD 6/kg), particularly when electricity is supplied from previously installed internal surpluses. This performance is supported by four structural factors of the case study: (i) no additional power-generation CAPEX is required because existing generation capacity is utilized; (ii) operating the turbines within their optimal load range improves overall thermal efficiency; (iii) recovered and conditioned wastewater is used, avoiding new water withdrawals; (iv) the modularity of alkaline trains (CHO-300 and CHO-1000) enables progressive matching of installed capacity to the real availability of surplus power. This asset-based economics reduces implementation risk, accelerates commissioning, and enables a staged expansion ramp (1.5 → 3 → 5 → 7 → 10 MW) consistent with market conditions and offtake agreements.
The model’s replicability is high in oil & gas complexes that meet three enabling conditions: (1) availability of firm surplus electricity or the ability to redispatch toward higher thermal-efficiency operating ranges; (2) the presence of a residual water source that can be treated to ≤5 µS/cm through compact trains (equalization, filtration, clarification, activated carbon, UF, and RO); (3) a traceable hydrogen demand for internal integration or industrial contracts. Under these pillars, the model evolves from an energy-optimization project into an integrated energy-carrier platform, scalable through modular alkaline clusters and governed by PLC systems and safety instrumentation already well established in the industry.
In line with the United Nations 2030 Agenda, the model directly contributes to several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). It strengthens SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) by increasing the valorization of low-carbon energy; advances SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure) through the incorporation of digitalized alkaline technology into energy-intensive processes; supports SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production) by reusing treated water and optimizing resource use; and aligns with SDG 13 (Climate Action) by reducing greenhouse gas emissions relative to conventional scenarios. Overall, the project translates sustainability commitments into verifiable energy, environmental, and economic metrics within a real industrial context.
Valorizing the field’s surplus electricity through alkaline water electrolysis (AEL) enables the conversion of energy that, under conventional conditions, would be partially dissipated into an energy carrier with commercial, environmental, and strategic value. In this section, hydrogen production is sized for power scenarios ranging from 1.5 to 10 MW, explicitly incorporating specific energy consumption (SEC), water requirements, operating costs (OPEX), and capital expenditures (CAPEX). Unlike purely theoretical approaches, the sizing is grounded in on-site measured operating curves (
Section 3.2) and certified technical parameters of commercially available alkaline equipment, ensuring consistency among the energy analysis, economic modeling, and industrial feasibility.
From a financial management perspective, CAPEX increases approximately in proportion to installed capacity (≈USD 2.4 to 11 million across the 1.5–10 MW range), reflecting the moderate economies of scale characteristic of modular alkaline systems. However, the dominant component of the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) is the electricity price, which typically represents 60–75% of total production cost, in line with the international literature on industrial electrolysis [
14].
Accordingly, the business model prioritizes the use of internal surpluses or opportunity contracts with low energy prices, as this condition largely determines LCOH competitiveness. As shown in
Table 5, under opportunity electricity schemes (e.g., <USD 40/MWh) LCOH remains within competitive ranges on the order of USD 2–4/kg, whereas under a full-tariff purchase scenario (≈USD 100/MWh) LCOH can increase to values near USD 6–7/kg for capacities on the order of 10 MW. This result confirms that, even though CAPEX scales as expected with installed power, the dominant sensitivity of economic performance is governed by the effective electricity tariff and, therefore, by the real availability of firm surpluses and their operational allocation scheme.
Table 5 and
Table 6 provide an integrated view of the balance between operational efficiency and economic profitability of the alkaline system.
Table 5 presents, for each power scenario (1.5, 3, 5, 7, and 10 MW), the specific energy consumption (SEC), daily and monthly H
2 production, monthly electrical energy required, water demand, estimated CAPEX, and technical OPEX, as well as the impact of different tariff levels (0, 40, 70, and 100 USD/MWh) on total OPEX. The 5–7 MW range offers a favorable balance among specific investment (USD/kW), energy efficiency (≈48–49 kWh/kg H
2), and production volume (≈50–70 t/month), enabling progressive scaling without compromising profitability, consistent with the inherent modularity of AEL trains.
Table 6 deepens the sensitivity analysis for the 5 MW base case by evaluating capacity factors (CF) between 0.5 and 0.9. The model confirms that increasing CF significantly improves LCOH, reducing it from approximately USD 3.02/kg (CF = 0.5; electricity at USD 0/MWh) to USD 1.68/kg (CF = 0.9), highlighting the critical importance of continuous and stable operation—a condition that alkaline electrolysis can manage favorably due to its electrochemical robustness and lower sensitivity to moderate load variations compared with membrane-based technologies.
Equations (6)–(8) formalize the calculation framework used, making explicit the traceability among installed power, capacity factor, hydrogen production, and water demand. Monthly electrical energy is determined by (10):
where
is the installed power (MW) and
is the capacity factor.
Daily hydrogen production is estimated as (11):
where
represents the electrolyzer’s specific energy consumption (kWh/kg H
2).
Finally, water demand is approximated as (12):
assuming an average consumption of 10 L/kg H
2, consistent with industrial specifications for pressurized alkaline systems. These expressions, combined with the field’s surplus electricity, enable closure of the techno-economic model in a transparent and reproducible manner.
From a strategic perspective, the analysis shows that the project does not rely exclusively on subsidies or regulatory incentives, but rather leverages the optimization of existing assets. Vertical integration of power generation, water treatment, and hydrogen production creates an internal energy platform that reduces vulnerability to tariff volatility and positions the industrial complex within the emerging hydrogen economy. This approach strengthens the alignment among energy efficiency, environmental sustainability, and financial value creation, consolidating a replicable model for other oilfields with similar profiles of firm surplus electricity.