Predictive Model of Community Disaster Resilience Across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP Composite Index and Spatial Patterns
Abstract
1. Introduction
Literary Review
2. Methods
2.1. Sample
2.1.1. Sample of Population
2.1.2. Sample of Local Communities
2.2. Study Area
2.3. Questionnaire
2.4. Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Results of Descriptive Statistical Analyses
3.1.1. Perception of the Implementation of Preventive Measures and Perceived Disaster Resilience
3.1.2. Social Structure
3.1.3. Social Capital
3.1.4. Social Mechanisms
3.1.5. Social Equality and Diversity
3.1.6. Social Beliefs
3.2. Results of Inferential Statistical Analyses
3.2.1. Correlational Analyses of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors with the Perception of Preventive Measures and Community Disaster Resilience
Pearson Correlation Between Age (In Years) and the Perception of Preventive Measures and Community Disaster Resilience
t-Test Analysis of the Associations of Gender, Fear, and Type of Housing with the Perception of Preventive Measures and Community Disaster Resilience
ANOVA Analysis of the Associations of Education, Marital and Employment Status, and Income with the Perception of Preventive Measures and Community Disaster Resilience
3.2.2. Correlational Analyses of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors with the Perception of Social Structure, Social Capital, Social Mechanisms, Social Equity and Diversity, and Social Beliefs
Pearson Correlation Between Age and the Perception of Social Structure, Social Capital, Social Mechanisms, Social Equity and Diversity, and Social Beliefs
t-test Analysis of the Associations of Gender, Fear, and Volunteering with the Perception of Social Structure, Social Capital, Social Mechanisms, Social Equity and Diversity, and Social Beliefs
ANOVA Analysis of the Associations of Education, Marital and Employment Status, Housing Conditions, and Income with the Perception of Social Structure, Social Capital, Social Mechanisms, Social Equity and Diversity, and Social Beliefs
3.3. Results of Predictor Analyses Using a Regression Model
3.4. Principal Component Structure of the Resilience Domains
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Detailed Principal Component Loadings for the Resilience Domains
| Item | Component 1 |
|---|---|
| Cooperation with relevant organizations and institutions in developing preventive measures | 0.880 |
| Quality of local risk assessment and protection/rescue planning | 0.854 |
| Municipal funding for protection and rescue | 0.853 |
| Availability of protection and rescue resources | 0.853 |
| Expertise of municipal leadership regarding disasters | 0.853 |
| Quality of regulations and documents for disaster management | 0.826 |
| Access to health, education, and social assistance during disasters | 0.809 |
| Development of disaster response services | 0.723 |
| Item | Component 1 |
|---|---|
| Cooperation with other municipalities, organizations, and enterprises | 0.856 |
| Economic cooperation among social groups | 0.833 |
| Local initiatives for disaster preparedness involving different groups | 0.815 |
| Inclusion of different social groups in decision-making and planning | 0.814 |
| Cooperation between the municipality and state authorities | 0.807 |
| Social connectedness of residents | 0.765 |
| Participation in volunteering and community projects | 0.757 |
| Mutual trust and support among residents | 0.757 |
| Strength of family ties and personal relations | 0.664 |
| Item | Component 1 | Component 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Community preparedness for disasters | 0.848 | <0.30 |
| Flexibility and adaptability of the local community | 0.832 | <0.30 |
| Protection of critical infrastructure | 0.829 | <0.30 |
| Learning from previous disasters | 0.797 | <0.30 |
| Insurance against disasters | 0.770 | −0.334 |
| Faith and optimism in local coping capacity | 0.761 | <0.30 |
| Risk awareness among residents | 0.739 | <0.30 |
| Education and training for emergencies | 0.646 | <0.30 |
| Personal and collective responsibility for resilience and safety | 0.644 | 0.309 |
| Understanding and respect for cultural diversity | 0.521 | 0.356 |
| Household preparedness | 0.443 | 0.346 |
| Availability of public energy supply | 0.434 | 0.410 |
| Distance from major urban centers and successful disaster response | <0.30 | 0.734 |
| Item | Component 1 |
|---|---|
| Programs and plans for vulnerable groups | 0.847 |
| Social assistance available to different groups during disasters | 0.842 |
| Trust in social institutions and services during disasters | 0.812 |
| Availability of evacuation transport adapted to diverse needs | 0.717 |
| Openness and adaptability of communication strategies for linguistic/cultural communities | 0.659 |
| Community readiness to address social injustice | 0.608 |
| Inclusion of different social groups in planning and decision-making | 0.594 |
| Availability of larger accommodation capacities | 0.571 |
| Measures for protection and promotion of minority rights | 0.562 |
| Access to resources and services without discrimination | 0.411 |
| Item | Component 1 |
|---|---|
| Importance of cultural and religious values in community life | 0.818 |
| Respect for and preservation of local customs and traditions | 0.816 |
| Respect for traditional community norms and values | 0.814 |
| Openness to dialogue and understanding between different cultural and religious groups | 0.786 |
| Activity of religious institutions in preparedness and emergencies | 0.600 |
| Municipality’s participation in religious rituals | 0.559 |
| Personal participation in local cultural activities | 0.551 |
| Development of a culture of resilience | 0.526 |
| Influence of religious leaders and institutions on decision-making | 0.499 |
| Influence of tradition and culture on understanding disasters | 0.391 |
| Availability and quality of communication means | 0.380 |
Appendix B. Survey Instrument
Appendix B.1. General Information
Appendix B.2. Assessment of Implemented Preventive Measures and Perceived Societal Resilience
Social Structure
| Type of Disaster | Implemented Preventive Measures | Perceived Societal Resilience to Disasters |
|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes (geological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Landslides (geological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Floods (hydrological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Droughts (hydrological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Snowstorms (meteorological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Storms and hail (meteorological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Extreme temperatures (climatic) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Fires (climatic) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Pandemics and epidemics (biological) | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Technological accidents | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Environmental pollution | 1 2 3 4 5 | 1 2 3 4 5 |
Appendix B.3. Assessment of Resilience Dimensions
Appendix B.3.1. Social Structure
| Statement | Rating |
|---|---|
| The quality of the organization and structure of your municipality for disaster response | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Access to basic services such as healthcare, education, and social assistance during disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The quality of regulations and documents related to disaster management | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The existence and quality of risk assessments and protection-and-rescue plans in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of budget allocation in your municipality for protection, rescue, and disaster management | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The availability of resources in your municipality for protection and rescue | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of cooperation between your municipality and relevant organizations and institutions in developing preventive measures | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of development of disaster response services in your municipality, such as police, firefighters, civil protection, and similar services | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of expertise of the leadership in your municipality regarding disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
Appendix B.3.2. Social Capital
| Statement | Rating |
|---|---|
| The level of mutual trust and support among people in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of social connectedness among people (associations, groups, etc.) in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of participation of people in voluntary activities and projects in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of cooperation between your municipality and state authorities | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which different social groups are involved in decision-making and planning during disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The existence of local initiatives for disaster preparedness involving different population groups in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The existence and strength of economic cooperation among different social groups in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of cooperation between your municipality and other municipalities, organizations, and companies in relation to disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The strength of family ties and personal relationships among people in your municipality during emergencies and disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
Appendix B.3.3. Social Mechanisms
| Statement | Rating |
|---|---|
| The level of education and training of people in your municipality for emergencies and disaster situations | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of understanding and respect for cultural diversity among people in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of personal and collective responsibility for resilience and safety among people in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The degree of preparedness of your municipality as a community for disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of preparedness of your household for disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The degree of availability of public energy supply (electricity, gas, fuel, heating) | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of public information in your municipality aimed at increasing awareness of the need for disaster preparedness | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of protection of critical infrastructure from disasters in your municipality (energy, transport, healthcare, communications, etc.) | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which people in your municipality are aware of disaster risks | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The ability for rapid evacuation and the availability of shelters in your municipality during disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The ability to make rapid decisions in critical situations without bureaucratic complications in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which the distance of your municipality from large cities (Belgrade, Niš, Novi Sad, and Kragujevac) affects successful disaster response | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of faith and optimism in the ability of your municipality to cope with disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of flexibility and adaptability of the local community in coping with disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which the local community is ready to learn from previous disasters in order to respond better to future disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of quality of the early warning and notification system in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The degree of insurance coverage against disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
Appendix B.3.4. Social Equity and Diversity
| Statement | Rating |
|---|---|
| The availability of larger accommodation capacities in your municipality in the event of disasters (hotels, larger schools, halls, hospitals, etc.) | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of your savings and access to credit relative to your income | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The existence of measures for the protection and promotion of the rights of minority groups in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Access to resources and services without discrimination in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The readiness of the community to address social injustice in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of access to key resources in your municipality, such as water and food (large stores, etc.) | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Access to medical services and emergency interventions in your municipality regardless of your social status | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The degree of social assistance available to different groups during disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The existence of programs and plans for the specific needs of vulnerable groups such as older persons and persons with disabilities in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The availability of transportation for evacuation that meets different human needs and activities in your municipality, such as roads and railways | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The openness and adaptability of communication strategies for different linguistic and cultural communities in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The involvement of different social groups in planning, implementing measures, and decision-making related to disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Trust in the work of social institutions and services during disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
Appendix B.3.5. Social Beliefs
| Statement | Rating |
|---|---|
| The availability and quality of communication means in your municipality (internet, telephone, radio communication, etc.) | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of development of a culture of disaster resilience in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The importance of cultural and religious values in the life of your community in the municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Openness to dialogue and understanding between different cultural and religious groups in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Your participation in traditional and religious rituals that strengthen collective identity in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| Respect for traditional social norms and the values of the community in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of your personal participation in local activities and community events in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of respect for and preservation of local customs and traditions during and after disasters in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which your municipality participates in religious rituals | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The level of influence of religious leaders and religious institutions on decision-making in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The degree of activity of religious institutions in disaster preparedness and emergency situations in your municipality | 1 2 3 4 5 |
| The extent to which tradition and culture influence your understanding of disasters | 1 2 3 4 5 |
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| Variables | Category | n | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Place of residence | Belgrade | 94 | 7.8 |
| Boljevac | 40 | 3.3 | |
| Brus | 48 | 4.0 | |
| Čačak | 31 | 2.6 | |
| Ćuprija | 41 | 3.4 | |
| Kovin | 38 | 3.2 | |
| Kraljevo | 76 | 6.3 | |
| Kruševac | 39 | 3.3 | |
| Leskovac | 48 | 4.0 | |
| Niš | 41 | 3.4 | |
| Novi Pazar | 73 | 6.1 | |
| Novi Sad | 37 | 3.1 | |
| Prijepolje | 71 | 5.9 | |
| Prokuplje | 67 | 5.6 | |
| Šabac | 34 | 2.8 | |
| Smederevo | 39 | 3.3 | |
| Sombor | 47 | 3.9 | |
| Stara Pazova | 36 | 3.0 | |
| Svrljig | 120 | 10.0 | |
| Užice | 48 | 4.0 | |
| Vranje | 56 | 4.7 | |
| Zrenjanin | 37 | 3.1 | |
| Gender | Male | 638 | 53.2 |
| Female | 562 | 46.8 | |
| Age (years) | 18–28 | 197 | 16.4 |
| 29–38 | 417 | 34.8 | |
| 39–48 | 390 | 32.5 | |
| 49–58 | 114 | 9.5 | |
| ≥59 | 82 | 6.8 | |
| Education | Elementary school | 49 | 4.1 |
| High school | 600 | 50.0 | |
| Undergraduate (Bachelor’s) degree | 352 | 29.3 | |
| Master’s degree | 164 | 13.7 | |
| Doctoral degree | 35 | 2.9 | |
| Marital status | Divorced | 64 | 5.3 |
| Single | 278 | 23.2 | |
| Married or cohabiting | 717 | 59.8 | |
| In a relationship | 115 | 9.6 | |
| Widow/Widower | 26 | 2.2 | |
| Employment status | Unemployed | 188 | 15.7 |
| I earn income in another way | 28 | 2.3 | |
| Retired | 71 | 5.9 | |
| Employed | 913 | 76.1 | |
| Type of employment | Public sector | 434 | 36.2 |
| Unemployed | 237 | 19.8 | |
| Private sector | 529 | 44.1 | |
| Type of housing unit | Other | 7 | 0.6 |
| House | 768 | 64.0 | |
| Apartment | 425 | 35.4 | |
| Income (per household member) | Below average (<EUR 930) | 789 | 65.8 |
| Average (≈EUR 930) | 249 | 20.8 | |
| Above average (>EUR 930) | 162 | 13.5 | |
| Volunteering | Yes | 572 | 47.7 |
| No | 628 | 52.3 | |
| Building age | ≤20 years | 175 | 14.6 |
| 21–40 years | 211 | 17.6 | |
| 41–60 years | 591 | 49.3 | |
| 61–80 years | 145 | 12.1 | |
| ≥81 years | 78 | 6.5 | |
| Household size | 1 member | 82 | 6.8 |
| 2 members | 170 | 14.2 | |
| 3–4 members | 660 | 55.0 | |
| 5 members | 182 | 15.2 | |
| 6+ members | 106 | 8.8 |
| Disaster Type | Implemented Preventive Measures (Mean, SD) | Perceived Societal Resilience to Disasters |
|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes (geological) | 2.06 (0.984) | 2.22 (0.994) |
| Landslides (geological) | 1.94 (0.942) | 2.13 (0.963) |
| Floods (hydrological) | 2.15 (1.107) | 2.08 (1.033) |
| Droughts (hydrological) | 1.87 (1.057) | 1.98 (1.014) |
| Snowstorms (meteorological) | 2.06 (0.971) | 2.30 (1.009) |
| Storms and hail (meteorological) | 2.24 (1.059) | 2.28 (1.035) |
| Extreme temperatures (climatic) | 2.03 (1.036) | 2.20 (1.020) |
| Pandemics and epidemics (biological) | 2.32 (1.109) | 2.26 (1.063) |
| Technological accidents | 2.02 (1.040) | 2.04 (0.992) |
| Environmental pollution | 1.81 (1.072) | 1.91 (1.059) |
| Attitudes | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|
| Quality of the municipality’s organization and structure for disaster response | 2.04 | 0.999 |
| Access to healthcare, education, and social assistance during disasters | 2.34 | 1.057 |
| Quality of regulations and documents for disaster management | 2.14 | 1.006 |
| Quality of risk assessment, protection, and rescue plans | 2.13 | 1.034 |
| Level of budget allocations for protection and rescue | 1.84 | 0.984 |
| Availability of resources for protection and rescue | 2.09 | 0.997 |
| Municipal cooperation with relevant organizations | 2.21 | 1.029 |
| Development of disaster response services (police, firefighters, civil protection) | 2.64 | 1.120 |
| Expertise of municipal leadership regarding disasters | 2.02 | 1.056 |
| Attitudes | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|
| Level of mutual trust and support in the municipality | 2.43 | 1.146 |
| Level of social connectedness (associations, groups, etc.) | 2.56 | 1.094 |
| Participation in volunteer activities and projects | 2.56 | 1.210 |
| Cooperation between the municipality and state authorities | 2.43 | 1.077 |
| Involvement of diverse social groups in decision-making and planning | 2.08 | 1.047 |
| Existence of local initiatives for disaster preparedness | 2.02 | 1.009 |
| Economic cooperation among different population groups | 2.17 | 0.957 |
| Municipal cooperation with other municipalities and organizations | 2.33 | 1.043 |
| Strength of family ties and personal relationships in emergencies | 3.05 | 1.154 |
| Variable | Mean | Std. Deviation |
|---|---|---|
| The level of education and training of people in your municipality for emergencies and disaster situations | 2.44 | 1.076 |
| The level of understanding and respect for cultural diversity among people in your municipality | 2.78 | 1.149 |
| Level of personal and collective responsibility for resilience and safety among people in your municipality | 2.55 | 1.027 |
| The degree of preparedness of your municipality as a community for disasters | 2.19 | 0.977 |
| The level of preparedness of your household for disasters | 2.74 | 1.023 |
| Availability of public supply of energy sources (electricity, gas, fuel, firewood) | 2.98 | 1.162 |
| How aware are people in your municipality of disaster risks | 2.32 | 1.081 |
| Level of public information in your municipality aimed at raising awareness of the need for disaster preparedness | 2.15 | 1.097 |
| Level of protection of critical infrastructure from disasters in your municipality (energy, transport, healthcare, communications, etc.) | 2.25 | 1.016 |
| Capacity for rapid evacuation and availability of shelters in your municipality during disasters | 2.12 | 1.061 |
| Ability to make rapid decisions in critical situations without bureaucracy in your municipality | 2.08 | 1.073 |
| Level of faith and optimism in your municipality’s and community’s ability to cope with disasters | 2.34 | 1.088 |
| The extent to which the distance of your municipality from major cities (Belgrade, Niš, Novi Sad, and Kragujevac) affects successful coping with disasters | 2.99 | 1.33 |
| Level of flexibility and adaptability of the local community to cope with disasters | 2.43 | 1.011 |
| How ready is the local community to learn from past disasters to respond better in the future | 2.32 | 1.094 |
| Quality level of the early warning and public notification system in your municipality | 2.11 | 1.097 |
| Level of insurance coverage against disasters in your municipality | 2.21 | 1.066 |
| Variable | Mean | Std. Deviation |
|---|---|---|
| Availability of large-capacity accommodation facilities in your municipality in case of a disaster | 2.46 | 1.113 |
| Level of personal savings and access to credit relative to your income | 2.4 | 1.134 |
| Access to resources and services without discrimination in your municipality | 2.47 | 1.145 |
| Existence of measures to protect and promote the rights of minority groups in your municipality | 2.55 | 1.151 |
| Community readiness to address social injustice in your municipality | 2.21 | 1.107 |
| Availability of key resources in your municipality, such as water and food | 3.07 | 1.234 |
| Access to medical services and emergency interventions in your municipality, regardless of social status | 2.68 | 1.194 |
| The extent of social assistance available to different groups during disasters in your municipality | 2.42 | 1.078 |
| Existence of programs and plans addressing the specific needs of vulnerable groups (e.g., older adults, persons with disabilities) | 2.28 | 1.045 |
| Availability of evacuation transportation that meets the diverse needs of people in your municipality | 2.47 | 1.072 |
| Openness and adaptability of communication strategies for different linguistic and cultural communities | 2.52 | 1.09 |
| Involvement of diverse social groups in planning, implementing measures, and decision-making processes | 2.13 | 1.049 |
| Trust in the work of social institutions and services during disasters in your municipality | 2.17 | 1.039 |
| Availability and quality of communication tools in your municipality (internet, telephone, radio links) | 3.19 | 1.223 |
| Variable | Mean | Std. Deviation |
|---|---|---|
| Level of development of a disaster resilience culture in your municipality | 2.39 | 1.021 |
| The importance of cultural and religious values in the life of your community in the municipality | 2.83 | 1.111 |
| Openness to dialogue and understanding between different cultural and religious groups in your municipality | 2.77 | 1.114 |
| Your participation in traditional and religious rituals that strengthen collective identity in your municipality | 2.76 | 1.184 |
| Respect for traditional community norms and values in your municipality | 2.98 | 1.123 |
| Level of personal participation in local cultural activities and community events in your municipality | 2.64 | 1.09 |
| Level of respect for and preservation of local customs and traditions during and after disasters in your municipality | 2.74 | 1.11 |
| Influence of religious leaders and religious institutions on decision-making in your municipality | 2.35 | 1.087 |
| Level of activity of religious institutions in disaster preparedness and emergencies in your municipality | 2.45 | 1.099 |
| Extent of your municipality’s participation in religious ceremonies | 2.6 | 1.073 |
| To what extent do tradition and culture influence your understanding of what disasters are | 3.0 | 1.211 |
| Age (Years) | Earthquakes | Landslides | Floods | Droughts | Snowstorms | Storms and Hail | High Temperatures | Epidemics and Pandemics | Technological Accidents | Environmental Pollution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 1.00 | ||||||||||
| Earthquakes | −0.10 ** | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Landslides | −0.09 ** | 0.73 ** | 1.00 | ||||||||
| Floods | −0.06 * | 0.50 ** | 0.60 ** | 1.00 | |||||||
| Droughts | −0.04 | 0.50 ** | 0.57 ** | 0.67 ** | 1.00 | ||||||
| Snowstorms | −0.09 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.52 ** | 0.61 ** | 1.00 | |||||
| Storms and hail | −0.10 ** | 0.56 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.53 ** | 0.56 ** | 0.69 ** | 1.00 | ||||
| High temperatures | −0.07 * | 0.54 ** | 0.58 ** | 0.57 ** | 0.68 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.69 ** | 1.00 | |||
| Epidemics and pandemics | −0.14 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.60 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.68 ** | 0.63 ** | 1.00 | ||
| Technological accidents | −0.07 * | 0.57 ** | 0.56 ** | 0.55 ** | 0.60 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.69 ** | 1.00 | |
| Environmental pollution | −0.10 ** | 0.49 ** | 0.49 ** | 0.56 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.45 ** | 0.52 ** | 0.60 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.71 ** | 1.00 |
| Age (Years) | Earthquakes | Landslides | Floods | Droughts | Snowstorms | Storms and Hail | High Temperatures | Epidemics and Pandemics | Technological Accidents | Environmental Pollution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 1.00 | ||||||||||
| Earthquakes | −0.13 ** | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Landslides | −0.13 ** | 0.76 ** | 1.00 | ||||||||
| Floods | −0.03 | 0.57 ** | 0.65 ** | 1.00 | |||||||
| Droughts | −0.03 | 0.52 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.72 ** | 1.00 | ||||||
| Snowstorms | −0.08 ** | 0.67 ** | 0.70 ** | 0.60 ** | 0.63 ** | 1.00 | |||||
| Storms and hail | −0.09 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.66 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.76 ** | 1.00 | ||||
| High temperatures | −0.11 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.70 ** | 0.69 ** | 0.75 ** | 1.00 | |||
| Epidemics and pandemics | −0.06 | 0.64 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.59 ** | 0.66 ** | 0.70 ** | 0.64 ** | 1.00 | ||
| Technological accidents | −0.04 | 0.66 ** | 0.69 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.67 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.71 ** | 1.00 | |
| Environmental pollution | −0.09 ** | 0.58 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.63 ** | 0.64 ** | 0.56 ** | 0.61 ** | 0.62 ** | 0.65 ** | 0.74 ** | 1.00 |
| Disaster Category | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Male M (SD) | Female M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 1.426 | 0.105 | 0.917 | 1198 | 2.06 (0.99) | 2.06 (0.98) |
| Landslides | 0.658 | 1.361 | 0.174 | 1198 | 1.98 (0.96) | 1.90 (0.92) |
| Floods | 2.729 | 1.934 | 0.053 | 1198 | 2.20 (1.11) | 2.08 (1.10) |
| Droughts | 1.662 | −0.219 | 0.827 | 1198 | 1.86 (1.09) | 1.88 (1.02) |
| Snowstorms | 3.137 | 1.196 | 0.232 | 1198 | 2.10 (0.94) | 2.03 (1.00) |
| Storms and hail | 0.224 | 1.195 | 0.232 | 1198 | 2.27 (1.06) | 2.20 (1.06) |
| High temperatures | 2.456 | 2.507 | 0.012 * | 1198 | 2.10 (1.06) | 1.95 (1.01) |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 0.016 | 1.383 | 0.167 | 1198 | 2.36 (1.11) | 2.27 (1.10) |
| Technological accidents | 0.409 | 1.766 | 0.078 | 1198 | 2.07 (1.03) | 1.96 (1.05) |
| Environmental pollution | 0.114 | 0.192 | 0.848 | 1198 | 1.82 (1.07) | 1.81 (1.07) |
| Disaster Category | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Fear M (SD) | No Fear: M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 0.204 | −1.509 | 0.131 | 1198 | 2.01 (1.03) | 2.10 (0.95) |
| Landslides | 0.612 | −1.754 | 0.080 | 1198 | 1.89 (0.94) | 1.99 (0.94) |
| Floods | 0.101 | 0.406 | 0.685 | 1198 | 2.16 (1.11) | 2.13 (1.11) |
| Droughts | 4.514 | 1.757 | 0.079 | 1198 | 1.93 (1.03) | 1.82 (1.08) |
| Snowstorms | 0.150 | −2.618 | 0.009 * | 1198 | 1.98 (0.98) | 2.13 (0.96) |
| Storms and hail | 0.821 | −2.840 | 0.005 * | 1198 | 2.14 (1.11) | 2.32 (1.02) |
| High temperatures | 0.301 | −1.719 | 0.086 | 1198 | 1.97 (1.02) | 2.08 (1.04) |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 4.352 | −1.007 | 0.314 | 1198 | 2.28 (1.16) | 2.34 (1.07) |
| Technological accidents | 1.696 | −1.058 | 0.290 | 1198 | 1.98 (1.07) | 2.05 (1.01) |
| Environmental pollution | 3.512 | 1.369 | 0.171 | 1198 | 1.86 (1.10) | 1.78 (1.05) |
| Disaster Category | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Volunteers M (SD) | Non-Volunteers M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 9.126 | −3.086 | 0.002 * | 1198 | 1.97 (0.94) | 2.14 (1.02) |
| Landslides | 0.001 | −1.632 | 0.103 | 1198 | 1.90 (0.92) | 1.99 (0.96) |
| Floods | 0.368 | 1.127 | 0.260 | 1198 | 2.18 (1.13) | 2.11 (1.09) |
| Droughts | 2.796 | −1.241 | 0.215 | 1198 | 1.83 (1.02) | 1.90 (1.09) |
| Snowstorms | 13.214 | −3.632 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 1.96 (0.90) | 2.16 (1.02) |
| Storms and hail | 4.482 | −1.873 | 0.061 | 1198 | 2.18 (1.03) | 2.29 (1.09) |
| High temperatures | 2.722 | −2.242 | 0.025 * | 1198 | 1.96 (0.99) | 2.10 (1.07) |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 2.395 | −3.333 | 0.001 ** | 1198 | 2.20 (1.09) | 2.42 (1.12) |
| Technological accidents | 0.276 | −1.999 | 0.046 * | 1198 | 1.96 (1.03) | 2.08 (1.05) |
| Environmental pollution | 0.105 | −1.495 | 0.135 | 1198 | 1.77 (1.07) | 1.86 (1.08) |
| Disaster Category | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Male M (SD) | Female M (SD) | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 3.220 | 0.001 * | 1198 | 2.31 (1.00) | 2.12 (0.98) | +0.19 |
| Landslides | 2.028 | 0.043 * | 1198 | 2.18 (0.95) | 2.07 (0.97) | +0.11 |
| Floods | 2.410 | 0.016 * | 1198 | 2.15 (1.05) | 2.00 (1.00) | +0.15 |
| Droughts | 0.362 | 0.717 | 1198 | 1.99 (1.02) | 1.97 (1.00) | +0.02 |
| Snowstorms | 3.848 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.40 (1.02) | 2.18 (0.98) | +0.22 |
| Storms and hail | 1.643 | 0.101 | 1198 | 2.33 (1.03) | 2.23 (1.04) | +0.10 |
| High temperatures | 1.808 | 0.071 | 1198 | 2.25 (1.05) | 2.14 (0.99) | +0.11 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 1.856 | 0.064 | 1198 | 2.32 (1.06) | 2.20 (1.07) | +0.12 |
| Technological accidents | 2.228 | 0.026 * | 1198 | 2.10 (0.99) | 1.97 (0.99) | +0.13 |
| Environmental pollution | 0.460 | 0.646 | 1198 | 1.92 (1.05) | 1.90 (1.07) | +0.02 |
| Disaster Category | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Fear M (SD) | No Fear M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 4.447 | −6.093 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.02 (0.97) | 2.37 (0.99) |
| Landslides | 1.57 | −4.56 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 1.98 (0.96) | 2.24 (0.96) |
| Floods | 0.831 | −1.231 | 0.219 | 1198 | 2.04 (1.02) | 2.11 (1.04) |
| Droughts | 0.968 | −0.875 | 0.382 | 1198 | 1.95 (0.97) | 2.00 (1.05) |
| Snowstorms | 2.189 | −6.464 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.09 (0.98) | 2.46 (1.01) |
| Storms and hail | 5.946 | −6.254 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.07 (1.00) | 2.44 (1.03) |
| High temperatures | 5.964 | −3.962 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.07 (0.98) | 2.30 (1.04) |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 1.9 | −3.961 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.12 (1.09) | 2.37 (1.03) |
| Technological accidents | 0.186 | −3.107 | 0.002 * | 1198 | 1.93 (0.98) | 2.11 (1.00) |
| Environmental pollution | 0.037 | −1.371 | 0.171 | 1198 | 1.86 (1.03) | 1.95 (1.08) |
| Disaster Category | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Volunteers M (SD) | Non-Volunteers M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | 8.500 | −1.765 | 0.078 | 1198 | 2.17 (0.97) | 2.27 (1.01) |
| Landslides | 2.161 | −1.500 | 0.134 | 1198 | 2.08 (0.96) | 2.17 (0.96) |
| Floods | 0.538 | 0.964 | 0.335 | 1198 | 2.11 (1.03) | 2.05 (1.04) |
| Droughts | 0.428 | 1.133 | 0.257 | 1198 | 2.01 (1.02) | 1.95 (1.01) |
| Snowstorms | 1.621 | −2.393 | 0.017 * | 1198 | 2.22 (0.99) | 2.36 (1.02) |
| Storms and hail | 3.207 | −2.359 | 0.018 * | 1198 | 2.21 (1.01) | 2.35 (1.06) |
| High temperatures | 0.745 | 0.064 | 0.949 | 1198 | 2.20 (1.04) | 2.20 (1.00) |
| Epidemics and pandemics | 0.929 | −1.997 | 0.046 * | 1198 | 2.20 (1.05) | 2.32 (1.07) |
| Technological accidents | 1.910 | −1.545 | 0.123 | 1198 | 1.99 (0.98) | 2.08 (1.01) |
| Environmental pollution | 0.236 | −1.175 | 0.240 | 1198 | 1.87 (1.06) | 1.94 (1.06) |
| Hazards | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (3, 1196) | 2.864 | 0.036 * |
| Landslides | (3, 1196) | 0.567 | 0.637 |
| Floods | (3, 1196) | 0.989 | 0.397 |
| Droughts | (3, 1196) | 1.971 | 0.117 |
| Snowstorms | (3, 1196) | 0.245 | 0.865 |
| Storms and hail | (3, 1196) | 1.186 | 0.314 |
| High temperatures | (3, 1196) | 1.180 | 0.316 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (3, 1196) | 0.578 | 0.629 |
| Technological accidents | (3, 1196) | 2.087 | 0.100 |
| Environmental pollution | (3, 1196) | 4.081 | 0.007 * |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (4, 1195) | 3.574 | 0.007 * |
| Landslides | (4, 1195) | 2.939 | 0.020 * |
| Floods | (4, 1195) | 4.741 | 0.001 ** |
| Droughts | (4, 1195) | 4.089 | 0.003 * |
| Snowstorms | (4, 1195) | 2.563 | 0.037 * |
| Storms and hail | (4, 1195) | 3.916 | 0.004 * |
| High temperatures | (4, 1195) | 2.224 | 0.064 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (4, 1195) | 6.984 | 0.000 ** |
| Technological accidents | (4, 1195) | 3.345 | 0.010 ** |
| Environmental pollution | (4, 1195) | 7.580 | 0.000 ** |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 2.847 | 0.058 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 1.738 | 0.176 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 4.353 | 0.013 * |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 1.416 | 0.243 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 0.673 | 0.510 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 1.685 | 0.186 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 0.072 | 0.930 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 1.868 | 0.155 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 0.032 | 0.968 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 4.398 | 0.013 * |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 2.219 | 0.109 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 0.231 | 0.794 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 0.627 | 0.534 |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 1.966 | 0.141 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 1.665 | 0.190 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 0.886 | 0.412 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 6.499 | 0.002 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 1.353 | 0.259 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 1.035 | 0.356 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 1.462 | 0.232 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 0.919 | 0.399 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 2.110 | 0.122 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 15.486 | 0.000 |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 4.832 | 0.008 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 0.446 | 0.640 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 0.904 | 0.405 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 3.171 | 0.042 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 3.183 | 0.042 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 1.790 | 0.167 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 3.629 | 0.027 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (3, 1196) | 2.594 | 0.051 |
| Landslides | (3, 1196) | 2.774 | 0.040 |
| Floods | (3, 1196) | 0.849 | 0.467 |
| Droughts | (3, 1196) | 2.221 | 0.084 |
| Snowstorms | (3, 1196) | 1.713 | 0.163 |
| Storms and hail | (3, 1196) | 3.310 | 0.020 |
| High temperatures | (3, 1196) | 1.037 | 0.375 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (3, 1196) | 0.984 | 0.399 |
| Technological accidents | (3, 1196) | 2.942 | 0.032 |
| Environmental pollution | (3, 1196) | 4.578 | 0.003 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (4, 1195) | 3.629 | 0.006 |
| Landslides | (4, 1195) | 3.029 | 0.017 |
| Floods | (4, 1195) | 2.633 | 0.033 |
| Droughts | (4, 1195) | 2.895 | 0.021 |
| Snowstorms | (4, 1195) | 1.375 | 0.241 |
| Storms and hail | (4, 1195) | 1.787 | 0.129 |
| High temperatures | (4, 1195) | 2.243 | 0.062 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (4, 1195) | 1.753 | 0.136 |
| Technological accidents | (4, 1195) | 2.360 | 0.052 |
| Environmental pollution | (4, 1195) | 3.779 | 0.005 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 5.031 | 0.007 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 1.548 | 0.213 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 1.300 | 0.273 |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 2.421 | 0.089 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 0.111 | 0.895 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 0.729 | 0.483 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 3.773 | 0.023 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 0.481 | 0.618 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 0.034 | 0.966 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 9.388 | 0.000 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 0.037 | 0.964 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 0.115 | 0.891 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 6.231 | 0.002 |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 12.200 | 0.000 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 0.259 | 0.772 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 0.881 | 0.415 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 10.911 | 0.000 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 1.795 | 0.167 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 0.183 | 0.833 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 3.862 | 0.021 |
| Hazard | df | F | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | (2, 1197) | 1.388 | 0.250 |
| Landslides | (2, 1197) | 2.975 | 0.051 |
| Floods | (2, 1197) | 18.026 | 0.000 |
| Droughts | (2, 1197) | 15.264 | 0.000 |
| Snowstorms | (2, 1197) | 4.778 | 0.009 |
| Storms and hail | (2, 1197) | 4.477 | 0.012 |
| High temperatures | (2, 1197) | 11.154 | 0.000 |
| Epidemics and pandemics | (2, 1197) | 5.012 | 0.007 |
| Technological accidents | (2, 1197) | 2.481 | 0.084 |
| Environmental pollution | (2, 1197) | 9.454 | 0.000 |
| Variables | Age | |
|---|---|---|
| The quality of the organization and structures of your municipality for disaster response | r | −0.035 |
| p | 0.227 | |
| What is access to healthcare, education, and social assistance like during disasters in your municipality | r | −0.027 |
| p | 0.343 | |
| What is the quality of regulations and documents in disaster management like | r | −0.043 |
| p | 0.134 | |
| Whether risk assessment, protection, and rescue plans exist in your municipality, and what their quality is like | r | −0.035 |
| p | 0.221 | |
| What is the level of budget allocation in your municipality for protection, rescue, and disaster response? | r | 0.015 |
| p | 0.600 | |
| What is the level of availability of resources in your municipality for protection and rescue, like | r | −0.054 |
| p | 0.063 | |
| What is the level of cooperation of your municipality with relevant organizations and institutions for the development of preventive measures, like | r | −0.022 |
| p | 0.438 | |
| What is the level of development of disaster response services in your municipality, such as the police, firefighters, civil protection, and similar services | r | −0.076 ** |
| p | 0.009 | |
| What is the level of expertise of the leadership in your municipality regarding disasters? | r | −0.024 |
| p | 0.407 | |
| What is the level of mutual trust and support among people in your municipality like | r | −0.056 |
| p | 0.053 | |
| What is the level of social connectedness among people (associations, groups, etc.) in your municipality like | r | −0.156 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| What is the level of people’s participation in voluntary (volunteering) activities and projects in your municipality like | r | −0.147 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| What is the level of cooperation between your municipality and state authorities like | r | −0.085 ** |
| p | 0.003 | |
| How many different social groups are included in decision–making and planning during disasters in your municipality | r | −0.062 * |
| p | 0.033 | |
| The existence of local disaster preparedness initiatives with the participation of different population groups in your municipality | r | −0.099 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The existence and strength of economic cooperation among different population groups in your municipality | r | −0.166 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of cooperation of your municipality with other municipalities, organizations, and companies when it comes to disasters | r | −0.094 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The strength of family ties and personal relationships among people in your municipality in various emergencies and disasters | r | −0.166 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of education and training of people in your municipality for emergencies and disaster situations | r | −0.152 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of understanding and respect for cultural diversity among people in your municipality | r | −0.158 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of personal and collective responsibility for resilience and safety among people in your municipality | r | −0.156 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of preparedness of your municipality as a community for disasters | r | −0.121 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of preparedness of your household for disasters | r | −0.126 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The degree of availability of public energy supply (electricity, gas, fuel, firewood) | r | −0.060 * |
| p | 0.037 | |
| How aware are people in your municipality of disaster risks | r | −0.107 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of information in your municipality aimed at raising awareness of the need for disaster preparedness | r | −0.118 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of protection of critical infrastructure from disasters in your municipality (energy, transport, healthcare, communications, etc.) | r | −0.127 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The ability for rapid evacuation and the availability of shelters in your municipality during disasters | r | −0.170 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The ability to make quick decisions in critical situations without bureaucracy in your municipality | r | −0.126 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| What is the level of belief and optimism in the ability of your municipality and community to cope with disasters like | r | −0.145 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| How much does the distance of your municipality from major cities (Belgrade, Niš, Novi Sad, and Kragujevac) affect successful disaster response | r | −0.106 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| What is the level of flexibility and adaptability of the local community to cope with disasters like | r | −0.161 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| How ready is the local community to learn from previous disasters in order to respond better to disasters in the future | r | −0.132 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of quality of the early warning and notification system in your municipality | r | −0.023 |
| p | 0.424 | |
| The degree of insurance coverage provided by insurance companies against disasters in your municipality | r | −0.118 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The availability of larger accommodation capacities in your municipality in case of a disaster (hotels, larger schools, halls, hospitals, and similar) | r | −0.085 ** |
| p | 0.003 | |
| The level of your savings and access to credit relative to your income | r | −0.088 ** |
| p | 0.002 | |
| Access to resources and services without discrimination in your municipality | r | −0.083 ** |
| p | 0.004 | |
| The existence of measures to protect and promote the rights of minority groups in your municipality | r | −0.065 * |
| p | 0.024 | |
| The readiness of the community to address social injustice in your municipality | r | −0.099 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The level of availability of key resources in your municipality, such as water and food (large stores and similar) | r | −0.034 |
| p | 0.238 | |
| Access to medical services and emergency interventions in your municipality, regardless of your social status | r | −0.026 |
| p | 0.374 | |
| The degree of social assistance available to different groups during disasters in your municipality | r | −0.059 * |
| p | 0.042 | |
| The existence of programs and plans for the specific needs of certain vulnerable groups, such as older people and persons with disabilities, and similar in your municipality | r | −0.078 ** |
| p | 0.007 | |
| The availability of transport for evacuation that meets different people’s needs and activities in your municipality, such as roads and railways | r | −0.065 * |
| p | 0.025 | |
| The openness and adaptation of communication strategies for different linguistic and cultural communities in your municipality | r | −0.063 * |
| p | 0.029 | |
| The involvement of different social groups in planning and implementing measures and in the decision–making process related to disasters in your municipality | r | −0.039 |
| p | 0.173 | |
| Trust in the work of social institutions and services during disasters in your municipality | r | −0.098 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The availability and quality of communication means in your municipality (internet, telephone, radio links, and similar) | r | −0.068 * |
| p | 0.019 | |
| The level of development of a disaster resilience culture in your municipality | r | −0.099 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The level of importance of cultural and religious values in the life of your community in the municipality | r | −0.127 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The openness to dialogue and understanding between different cultural and religious groups in your municipality | r | −0.097 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| Your participation in traditional and religious rituals that strengthen collective identity in your municipality | r | −0.127 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| Respect for traditional social norms and values of the community in your municipality | r | −0.125 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of personal participation in local cultural activities and joint community events in your municipality | r | −0.147 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of respect for and preservation of local customs and traditions during and after disasters in your municipality | r | −0.185 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| The level of influence of religious leaders and religious institutions on decision–making in your municipality | r | −0.100 ** |
| p | 0.001 | |
| The degree of activity of religious institutions in disaster and emergency preparedness in your municipality | r | −0.172 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| How much does your municipality take part in religious rituals | r | −0.117 ** |
| p | 0.000 | |
| How much tradition and culture influence your understanding of what disasters are | r | −0.053 |
| p | 0.066 | |
| Variable | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Male M (SD) | Female M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | 0.241 | 2.245 | 0.025 * | 1198 | 2.21 (0.86) | 2.10 (0.84) |
| Social capital | 0.601 | 1.707 | 0.088 | 1198 | 2.44 (0.84) | 2.36 (0.85) |
| Social mechanisms | 1.348 | 1.922 | 0.055 | 1198 | 2.45 (0.76) | 2.37 (0.81) |
| Social equity | 5.054 | 1.852 | 0.064 | 1198 | 2.49 (0.82) | 2.40 (0.88) |
| Social beliefs | 4.597 | 1.469 | 0.142 | 1198 | 2.76 (0.80) | 2.69 (0.86) |
| Variable | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Fear M (SD) | No Fear M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | 2.878 | −4.119 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.05 (0.81) | 2.25 (0.88) |
| Social capital | 0.246 | −4.177 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.29 (0.84) | 2.49 (0.84) |
| Social mechanisms | 3.766 | −6.551 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.25 (0.80) | 2.54 (0.76) |
| Social equity | 1.848 | −6.737 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.26 (0.85) | 2.59 (0.82) |
| Social beliefs | 10.529 | −5.992 | 0.000 ** | 1198 | 2.56 (0.86) | 2.85 (0.79) |
| Variable | F | t | Sig. (2-Tailed) | df | Volunteers M (SD) | Non–Volunteers: M (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | 3.430 | −0.324 | 0.746 | 1198 | 2.15 (0.83) | 2.17 (0.88) |
| Social capital | 3.417 | 1.805 | 0.071 | 1198 | 2.45 (0.81) | 2.36 (0.88) |
| Social mechanisms | 3.664 | −1.129 | 0.259 | 1198 | 2.39 (0.74) | 2.44 (0.83) |
| Social equity | 2.405 | −0.282 | 0.778 | 1198 | 2.44 (0.82) | 2.46 (0.87) |
| Social beliefs | 1.862 | 2.071 | 0.039 * | 1198 | 2.78 (0.80) | 2.68 (0.86) |
| Dimension | df (Between, Within) | F | Sig. (p) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | (3, 1196) | 0.221 | 0.882 |
| Social capital | (3, 1196) | 0.361 | 0.781 |
| Social mechanisms | (3, 1196) | 1.802 | 0.145 |
| Social equity | (3, 1196) | 0.694 | 0.556 |
| Social beliefs | (3, 1196) | 0.186 | 0.906 |
| Dimension | df | F | Sig. (p) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | (4, 1195) | 2.517 | 0.040 |
| Social capital | (4, 1195) | 5.638 | <0.001 |
| Social mechanisms | (4, 1195) | 4.167 | 0.002 |
| Social equity | (4, 1195) | 1.863 | 0.115 |
| Social beliefs | (4, 1195) | 4.312 | 0.002 |
| Dimension | df | F | Sig. (p) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | (2, 1197) | 0.230 | 0.795 |
| Social capital | (2, 1197) | 2.969 | 0.052 |
| Social mechanisms | (2, 1197) | 3.311 | 0.037 |
| Social equity | (2, 1197) | 0.353 | 0.702 |
| Social beliefs | (2, 1197) | 6.517 | 0.002 |
| Dimension | df | F | Sig. (p) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | (2, 1197) | 4.713 | 0.009 |
| Social capital | (2, 1197) | 8.964 | <0.001 |
| Social mechanisms | (2, 1197) | 1.837 | 0.160 |
| Social equity | (2, 1197) | 2.746 | 0.065 |
| Social beliefs | (2, 1197) | 4.152 | 0.016 |
| Dimension | df (Between, Within) | F | Sig. (p) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | (2, 1197) | 15.025 | <0.001 |
| Social capital | (2, 1197) | 22.600 | <0.001 |
| Social mechanisms | (2, 1197) | 12.123 | <0.001 |
| Social equity | (2, 1197) | 49.307 | <0.001 |
| Social beliefs | (2, 1197) | 14.785 | <0.001 |
| Predictor Variables | Preventive Measures | Perceived Resilience | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | SE | β | B | SE | β | |
| Gender | 0.040 | 0.052 | 0.023 | 0.065 | 0.052 | 0.039 |
| Age (years) | 0.369 | 0.067 | 0.163 ** | 0.166 | 0.067 | 0.073 * |
| Education | −0.043 | 0.051 | −0.024 | −0.121 | 0.051 | −0.068 * |
| Marital status | −0.222 | 0.106 | −0.059 * | −0.064 | 0.106 | −0.017 ** |
| Employment | 0.308 | 0.051 | 0.176 ** | 0.175 | 0.051 | 0.100 ** |
| Income | −0.085 | 0.052 | −0.048 | −0.192 | 0.052 | −0.109 ** |
| Fear | −0.026 | 0.050 | −0.015 | −0.199 | 0.051 | −0.117 * |
| Volunteering | −0.122 | 0.048 | −0.073 * | −0.072 | 0.048 | −0.043 |
| Employment status | 0.010 | 0.052 | 0.006 | 0.043 | 0.052 | 0.024 |
| Housing conditions | 0.052 | 0.050 | 0.031 | −0.090 | 0.050 | −0.053 |
| Social Structure | Social Capital | Social Mechanisms | Social Equity | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor Variables | B | SE | β | B | SE | β | B | SE | β | B | SE | β |
| Gender | 0.046 | 0.051 | 0.027 | 0.055 | 0.051 | 0.032 | −0.002 | 0.048 | −0.001 | −0.006 | 0.050 | −0.003 |
| Age (years) | 0.364 | 0.067 | 0.158 ** | 0.409 | 0.066 | 0.179 ** | 0.351 | 0.062 | 0.165 ** | 0.264 | 0.065 | 0.115 ** |
| Education | −0.073 | 0.051 | −0.040 | −0.037 | 0.050 | −0.021 | −0.114 | 0.047 | −0.068 * | −0.075 | 0.049 | −0.042 |
| Marital status | −0.035 | 0.105 | −0.009 | −0.054 | 0.104 | −0.014 | −0.108 | 0.097 | −0.031 | −0.047 | 0.102 | −0.012 |
| Employment | 0.416 | 0.051 | 0.233 ** | 0.282 | 0.050 | 0.160 ** | 0.216 | 0.047 | 0.132 ** | 0.307 | 0.049 | 0.174 ** |
| Income | −0.244 | 0.051 | −0.135 ** | −0.279 | 0.051 | −0.156 ** | −0.184 | 0.047 | −0.111 ** | −0.457 | 0.050 | −0.255 ** |
| Fear | −0.191 | 0.050 | −0.110 ** | −0.181 | 0.050 | −0.106 ** | −0.282 | 0.046 | −0.178 ** | −0.307 | 0.049 | −0.179 ** |
| Volunteering | −0.034 | 0.048 | −0.020 | 0.061 | 0.047 | 0.036 | −0.056 | 0.044 | −0.036 | −0.056 | 0.046 | −0.033 |
| Employment status | 0.117 | 0.051 | 0.064 * | 0.023 | 0.051 | 0.013 | −0.009 | 0.047 | −0.005 | 0.088 | 0.050 | 0.049 |
| Housing conditions | −0.056 | 0.050 | −0.033 | −0.120 | 0.049 | −0.071 | −0.010 | 0.046 | −0.006 | −0.064 | 0.048 | −0.038 |
| Resilience Domain | No. of Items | KMO | Bartlett’s Test χ2 (df) | Components Retained | Variance Explained (%) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social structure | 8 | 0.928 | 7299.9 (28) ** | 1 | 69.31 | Institutional preparedness and response capacity |
| Social capital | 9 | 0.924 | 6969.63(36) ** | 1 | 61.96 | Community connectedness and cooperation |
| Social mechanisms | 17 | 0.957 | 12,853.6 (136) ** | 2 | 61.07 | Preparedness/adaptive capacity; spatial-operational constraints |
| Social equity and diversity | 13 | 0.950 | 10,670.4 (78) ** | 1 | 59.02 | Inclusive access and social support capacity |
| Social beliefs | 12 | 0.932 | 8702.8 (66) ** | 1 | 55.78 | Cultural-normative resilience orientation |
| Item | Component 1: Preparedness and Adaptive Capacity | Component 2: Spatial-Operational Constraints |
|---|---|---|
| Community preparedness for disasters | 0.848 | <0.30 |
| Flexibility and adaptability of the local community | 0.832 | <0.30 |
| Protection of critical infrastructure | 0.829 | <0.30 |
| Learning from previous disasters | 0.797 | <0.30 |
| Insurance against disasters | 0.770 | −0.334 |
| Faith and optimism in local coping capacity | 0.761 | <0.30 |
| Risk awareness among residents | 0.739 | <0.30 |
| Education and training for emergencies | 0.646 | <0.30 |
| Personal and collective responsibility for resilience and safety | 0.644 | 0.309 |
| Understanding and respect for cultural diversity | 0.521 | 0.356 |
| Household preparedness | 0.443 | 0.346 |
| Availability of public energy supply | 0.434 | 0.410 |
| Distance from major urban centers and successful disaster response | <0.30 | 0.734 |
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Share and Cite
Cvetković, V.M.; Milenković, D.; Bašić, J.; Lukić, T.; Renner, R. Predictive Model of Community Disaster Resilience Across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP Composite Index and Spatial Patterns. Safety 2026, 12, 59. https://doi.org/10.3390/safety12030059
Cvetković VM, Milenković D, Bašić J, Lukić T, Renner R. Predictive Model of Community Disaster Resilience Across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP Composite Index and Spatial Patterns. Safety. 2026; 12(3):59. https://doi.org/10.3390/safety12030059
Chicago/Turabian StyleCvetković, Vladimir M., Dalibor Milenković, Jasmina Bašić, Tin Lukić, and Renate Renner. 2026. "Predictive Model of Community Disaster Resilience Across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP Composite Index and Spatial Patterns" Safety 12, no. 3: 59. https://doi.org/10.3390/safety12030059
APA StyleCvetković, V. M., Milenković, D., Bašić, J., Lukić, T., & Renner, R. (2026). Predictive Model of Community Disaster Resilience Across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP Composite Index and Spatial Patterns. Safety, 12(3), 59. https://doi.org/10.3390/safety12030059

