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Article

The Baker Type-I Model: Theory, Comprehensive Inference, and Empirical Evidence from Complex Reliability and Biomedical Data

1
Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia
2
Faculty of Technology and Development, Zagazig University, Zagazig 44519, Egypt
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Mathematics 2026, 14(9), 1419; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091419
Submission received: 10 March 2026 / Revised: 6 April 2026 / Accepted: 21 April 2026 / Published: 23 April 2026
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applied Probability and Statistics: Theory, Methods, and Applications)

Abstract

Recently, two novel extensions of the Weibull distribution have been introduced through Manly’s exponential transformation, offering a flexible mechanism for modeling skewness, tail behavior, and complex hazard rate structures. In this study, we develop a comprehensive theoretical and inferential framework for one of these models, referred to as the Baker–T1 distribution, to establish it as a mature and practically viable lifetime model for reliability and survival analysis. While the Baker–T1 model exhibits remarkable flexibility in capturing skewness, tail behavior, and complex hazard rate shapes, its statistical properties and practical performance have not yet been systematically investigated. To bridge this gap, we derive a wide range of fundamental distributional characteristics, including reliability measures, hazard and reversed-hazard functions, quantiles, moments, skewness, kurtosis, dispersion indices, and order statistics, establishing the model’s analytical tractability and structural richness. An extensive inferential framework is introduced by implementing eight classical estimation techniques, and their finite-sample behavior is rigorously examined through a large-scale Monte Carlo simulation study under diverse parameter configurations. The practical relevance of the Baker–T1 model is further demonstrated using two genuine datasets from biomedical and engineering domains, where it consistently outperforms thirteen competing lifetime distributions according to likelihood-based and information-theoretic criteria.

1. Introduction

The Weibull distribution is one of the most fundamental and widely used models in reliability theory and lifetime data analysis due to its mathematical simplicity, interpretability, and flexibility in modeling monotone failure rates. Its closed-form expressions for key reliability measures, such as the survival and hazard rate, make it particularly attractive for practical applications in engineering, biomedical sciences, and industrial reliability. Despite these advantages, the classical Weibull model is limited by the restrictive nature of its hazard rate, which can only be monotonic, either strictly increasing or strictly decreasing.
In practice, however, lifetime data frequently display more complex failure mechanisms, including non-monotonic, unimodal, bathtub-shaped, and multi-turning-point hazard rate patterns. These limitations of the standard Weibull distribution have motivated extensive research aimed at developing flexible generalizations capable of capturing richer hazard rate dynamics while retaining the desirable analytical properties of the Weibull framework. Recently, Baker [1] introduced a novel approach for constructing two flexible three-parameter Weibull distributions by applying Manly’s transformation (proposed by Manly [2]) to well-established baseline models. These models, referred to as the Y-Weibull and Z-Weibull distributions, are distinguished by their tail characteristics: one is designed to capture heavier right tails, whereas the other accommodates lighter or more rapidly decaying tails, thereby enhancing flexibility in lifetime and reliability modeling.
Both formulations admit closed-form expressions for the probability density and cumulative distribution functions, which facilitates likelihood-based inference, and they reduce to the standard Weibull model as special cases when the transformation parameter is set to zero.
The central idea of this framework is to enhance distributional flexibility—particularly in terms of skewness, tail behavior, and hazard rate shapes—while preserving analytical tractability. By embedding Manly’s exponential transformation within classical survival distributions, the resulting models are capable of accommodating a wide range of empirical behaviors frequently observed in reliability engineering, actuarial science, biomedical, and survival analysis. Compared with existing generalized survival distributions in the literature, such as exponentiated, transmuted, and Marshall–Olkin-type families, the Baker’s framework offers several notable advantages; see Cressie [3]. First, it provides a unified and transparent mechanism for model construction, avoiding the proliferation of ad hoc parameterizations that often complicate inference. Second, the resulting probability density and hazard functions remain mathematically well-behaved and interpretable, facilitating both theoretical analysis and practical implementation. Third, the additional flexibility introduced by Manly’s transform enables the models to capture complex hazard rate shapes, including increasing, decreasing, bathtub, and unimodal forms, which are not simultaneously attainable under many existing generalizations. For additional details, see, for example, Nwakuya and Nkwocha [4].
From an inferential perspective, the Y- and Z-Weibull distributions proposed by Baker [1] are well suited for likelihood-based estimation and model comparison. The presence of closed-form expressions or rapidly convergent series representations for key quantities, such as moments and survival functions, supports efficient numerical implementation. Consequently, these models provide a valuable alternative to existing flexible survival distributions, offering improved goodness-of-fit without excessive computational or conceptual complexity. In the present study, attention is restricted to the Y-Weibull model, hereafter termed the Baker–T1 distribution, which extends the classical Weibull framework through an additional transformation parameter that regulates skewness and tail behavior. In the following section, the structural characteristics of the Baker–T1 model are presented in more detail.
Although Baker [1] introduced two novel extensions of the Weibull distribution based on Manly’s transformation, the proposed models were primarily presented from a constructional perspective. A detailed investigation of their statistical properties was not fully developed, and several important distributional characteristics, such as higher-order moments, skewness, kurtosis, and inferential behavior, were not examined in sufficient depth. Moreover, the estimation framework was limited, leaving open questions regarding the comparative performance of alternative parametric estimation techniques.
To address this important gap, the present study provides a comprehensive theoretical and inferential treatment of the Baker–T1 distribution. Specifically, we derive a wide range of fundamental properties, including moments, central moments, skewness, kurtosis, and reliability measures. In addition, we develop and implement eight parametric estimation methodologies for the model parameters, allowing for a systematic comparison of their efficiency and robustness. Although recent transformation-based approaches, most notably Baker’s construction via Manly’s transformation, have introduced promising extensions to the Weibull family, these models have so far been explored primarily from a structural or constructional perspective.
A rigorous and unified statistical treatment of their theoretical properties, inferential behavior, and practical performance remains largely absent from the literature. In particular, essential characteristics such as higher-order moments, dispersion measures, order statistics, and comparative efficiency of competing estimation procedures have not been systematically investigated. This gap limits the practical adoption of Baker-type models despite their evident flexibility and analytical appeal. Motivated by this shortcoming, the present study undertakes a comprehensive analysis of the Baker–T1 model, aiming to establish it as a mature and practically implementable lifetime distribution by developing its full probabilistic structure, inferential machinery, and empirical relevance through simulation and real-data applications.
Now, the main original contributions of this work can be summarized as follows:
  • A complete probabilistic characterization of the Baker–T1 distribution is provided, including closed-form expressions or convergent series representations for the quantile function, reliability measures, hazard and reversed-hazard, skewness, kurtosis, and dispersion indices.
  • General expressions for the rth moments are derived and shown to exist for all positive orders.
  • Both analytically and graphically, the Baker–T1 model can generate a wide range of hazard rate shapes, including increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped, and unimodal forms, within a single parametric framework, a feature not attainable by the classical Weibull distribution.
  • Exact closed-form expressions for the densities of order statistics are derived, including the minimum and maximum order statistics, facilitating inference on extremes and reliability-related quantities.
  • Eight classical parametric estimation methods are developed and implemented for the Baker–T1 model, namely maximum likelihood, maximum product of spacings, least squares, weighted least squares, percentile estimation, Cramér–von Mises, Anderson–Darling, and right-tail Anderson–Darling estimation.
  • A comprehensive simulation study is conducted to compare the finite-sample performance of all proposed estimators under diverse parameter configurations and sample sizes, using multiple accuracy criteria and ranking measures.
  • Using two genuine datasets from biomedical and engineering sectors, the Baker–T1 model consistently outperforms thirteen competing lifetime distributions based on nine information-theoretic criteria. This superiority arises from its enhanced flexibility in capturing skewness, tail behavior, and non-monotone hazard rate structures, which competing models fail to accommodate simultaneously. The empirical results confirm that the Baker–T1 distribution provides a more accurate, robust, and interpretable fit across fundamentally different application domains.
The study is organized as follows. Section 2 formally introduces the Baker–T1 distribution. Section 3 presents its fundamental statistical properties. Section 4 describes parameter estimation using eight classical approaches. Section 5 reports a Monte Carlo simulation study. Section 6 illustrates the model’s application to two genuine datasets. Finally, Section 7 concludes with remarks, practical recommendations, and suggestions for future research.

2. The Baker–T1 Model

Baker [1] proposed two distinct three-parameter versions of the Weibull distribution, each characterized by different tail behaviors. This transformation preserves the Weibull distribution as the baseline while inducing additional flexibility in skewness, tail weight, and hazard rate structure. Consequently, the proposed models named Y- and Z-Weibull are capable of capturing numerous failure rates, with one formulation accommodating heavier right tails and the other allowing lighter or more rapidly decaying tails. In this part, we focus on the Baker–T1 lifespan model, which was first mentioned as the Y-Weibull model. Let X be a nonnegative random variable following the Baker–T1 distribution, denoted by X Baker T 1 ( ξ ) , where ξ = ( α , μ , θ ) . Subsequently, the resulting cumulative distribution function (CDF), denoted by F ( · ) , and probability density function (PDF), denoted by f ( · ) , are obtained as follows:
F ( x ; ξ ) = 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ , x > 0 ,
and
f ( x ; ξ ) = α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ ,
where α > 0 governs the time scale, μ > 0 controls the shape, and θ > 0 determines the distributional tail behavior. The Baker–T1 model extends the standard Weibull (Gompertz) distribution, which can be found as a special case by setting θ 0   ( μ = 1 , θ > 0 ) . In Appendix A, additional derivation steps for the Baker–T1 model are provided.
In the present study, attention is restricted to the Y-Weibull model introduced by Baker [1], which is hereafter referred to as the Baker–T1 distribution. This terminology is adopted to explicitly acknowledge Baker’s transformation-based construction while providing a concise label for the specific model variant analyzed in depth in this work. It is important to note that the Baker–T1 distribution is not a new model in the sense of redefining the original formulation, but rather a comprehensive theoretical and inferential development of the Y-Weibull case within Baker’s framework.
It is important to emphasize that a broad class of lifetime distributions in the literature shares a common exponential-type representation of the form F ( x ) = 1 exp { ( x ) } . These models typically differ in the specific functional form assigned to ( x ) , which governs the distribution’s tail behavior and hazard rate structure. Notable examples include:
  • The exponential power distribution (Smith and Bain [5]), where ( x ) = e θ x γ 1 ;
  • The Gompertz distribution (Gompertz [6]), where ( x ) = α ( e θ x 1 ) ;
  • The Chen distribution (Chen [7]), where ( x ) = α ( e x μ 1 ) ;
  • The modified Weibull extension (Xie et al. [8]), where ( x ) = α θ ( e ( x / α ) μ 1 ) ;
  • The Weibull–Weibull family (Bourguignon et al. [9]), where ( x ) = α ( e θ x γ 1 ) μ .
In contrast, the Baker–T1 distribution arises from Manly’s exponential transformation embedded within Baker’s construction framework, leading to the transformation function ( x ) = ( e α θ x 1 ) / θ μ . This formulation introduces a non-trivial interaction among the parameters α , μ , and θ , where the parameter θ simultaneously governs the deformation of the exponential argument and the tail behavior of the distribution. Such a structure differs fundamentally from the aforementioned models and cannot, in general, be reduced to them through simple parameter reparameterization. Moreover, while several existing models achieve flexibility through exponentiation or compounding mechanisms, the Baker–T1 model modifies the argument of the exponential function via a transformation-based approach. This feature yields enhanced adaptability in capturing complex hazard rate shapes, including increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped, and unimodal forms within a unified framework. Therefore, although the Baker–T1 distribution shares a superficial structural similarity with other exponential-type models, it should be regarded as a distinct transformation-based extension characterized by its unique parameter interaction and construction methodology.

3. Distribution Characteristics

This section outlines key properties of the Baker–T1 distribution, including its reliability, hazard, moments, order statistics, and related characteristics.

3.1. Reliability Metrics

The reliability function (RF), denoted by R ( · ) = 1 F ( · ) , of the Baker–T1 model evaluated at a time t, where 0 < t < , is expressed as follows:
R ( t ; ξ ) = exp e α θ t 1 θ μ , α , μ , θ > 0 .
The HRF (symbolized as h ( · ) = f ( · ) / R ( · ) ) of the Baker–T1 model (at 0 < t < ) is
h t ; ξ = α μ e α θ x 1 θ e α θ x 1 μ 1 , α , μ , θ > 0 .
The reversed-HRF (say, h ( · ) = f ( · ) / F ( · ) ) of the Baker–T1 model (at 0 < t < ) is
h t ; ξ = α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ , α , μ , θ > 0 .
Depending on the parameter values of Baker T 1 ( ξ ) , each subplot in Figure 1 displays five density (failure rate) curves. It reveals that:
  • Figure 1a illustrates the Baker–T1 density shapes under different parameter settings, highlighting its considerable shape flexibility, which can be symmetric or highly skewed, unimodal with varying peak locations, or strongly right-tailed. Some parameter combinations produce sharply peaked densities with rapid decay. In contrast, others yield flatter or more spread-out shapes, demonstrating the model’s ability to adapt to diverse data patterns commonly observed in lifetime and reliability studies.
  • Figure 1b presents the Baker–T1 failure rate shapes and exhibits a wide range of behaviors, including constant, increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped, and upside-down bathtub-shaped forms. In particular, the presence of bathtub-shaped and non-monotone hazards is notable, as such patterns are frequently encountered in reliability and survival analysis but cannot be captured by the classical Weibull model in a single formulation.
As a result, the Baker–T1 distribution’s capacity to accommodate diverse hazard rate structures highlights its suitability as a robust and versatile alternative to classical Weibull-type models for analyzing complex lifetime data. Moreover, this variability demonstrates that the additional parameter introduced through the Manly method plays a substantive role in regulating skewness and tail behavior beyond the flexibility of the standard Weibull distribution.

3.2. Quantile and Quartiles

The quantile function of the Baker–T1 distribution constitutes a particularly tractable and valuable feature of the model. By invoking the inverse transform theorem, the quantile function is obtained by inverting the cumulative distribution function F ( x ) given in (1). Specifically, the Baker–T1 quantile is defined by solving for x in terms of the probability level p, yielding
Q ( p ) = 1 α θ log 1 + θ log ( 1 p ) 1 / μ .
An additional advantage of the Baker–T1 model is that its quantile function (6) admits a closed-form expression, which substantially simplifies numerical implementation and reduces computational cost in subsequent analyses. The first three quartiles of the Baker–T1 distribution can be simply developed directly from (6) by setting p ( = 1 4 , 2 4 , 3 4 ) .

3.3. Moments

Moments are fundamental descriptors in statistics, capturing essential aspects of a probability distribution such as its location, variability, asymmetry, and tail behavior. They provide valuable insight into the distribution’s shape and dispersion, facilitating effective model interpretation, comparative analysis, and statistical inference.
Theorem 1.
If X follows the Baker–T1(ξ) model, then the r-th moment (for r = 1 , 2 , ) of X, denoted by M r , is given by
M r = E [ X r ] = 1 α r j 1 = 1 j r = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + + j r r θ j 1 + + j r r j 1 j r Γ 1 + j 1 + + j r μ .
Proof. 
See Appendix B.  □
By setting r = 1 and 2 in (7), the first and second moments of X are obtained, respectively, as:
M 1 = 1 α j = 1 ( 1 ) j + 1 j Γ 1 + j μ ,
and
M 2 = 1 α 2 j 1 = 1 j 2 = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + j 2 j 1 j 2 θ j 1 + j 2 2 Γ 1 + j 1 + j 2 μ .
Hence, from Equations (8) and (9), the variance of X is therefore
Var ( X ) = M 2 M 1 2 .
Since ln ( 1 + θ t 1 / μ ) grows at a logarithmic rate as t and the exponential term e t ensures integrability, the integral in (7) converges for all r > 0 . Consequently, although all positive-order moments of the Baker–T1 distribution exist, the rth moment generally has no closed-form expression and must be evaluated numerically.
In particular, by choosing parameter values α { 0.5 , 1.0 , 1.5 } , θ { 0.5 , 1.5 } , and μ { 0.1 , 0.5 , 1.5 , 2.0 , 2.5 } , Table 1 presents the corresponding mean ( M ), variance ( V ), index of dispersion ( ID ), coefficient of variation ( CV ), skewness ( S ), and kurtosis ( K ) for the Baker–T1 distribution. These selected parameter combinations are considered as representative examples to illustrate the behavior of the statistical measures, without any loss of generality.
From Table 1, the following key observations can be drawn:
  • Mean ( M ): Increases moderately with α ; higher μ slightly reduces extreme mean values.
  • Variance ( Var ( X ) ): Larger for smaller μ ; decreases as θ increases, indicating more concentrated distributions.
  • Index of Dispersion ( ID ): Always above 1, confirming over-dispersion; strongly influenced by μ , with smaller μ producing higher ID.
  • Coefficient of variation ( CV ): Declines with increasing θ and α , reflecting reduced relative variability; lower for higher μ .
  • Skewness ( S ): Positive in all cases; very high for μ = 0.5 (heavy right tail), decreases toward symmetry as μ or θ increase.
  • Kurtosis ( K ): Excessive for small μ , indicating heavy tails; stabilizes near mesokurtic range for larger μ and higher θ .
Overall, Table 1 reveals that the Baker–T1 distribution is a highly flexible family capable of modeling a wide range of dispersion and tail behaviors. The parameter μ plays a dominant role in controlling tail thickness and asymmetry, while θ and α fine-tune scale and variability. These properties make the model particularly attractive for applications involving heterogeneous data with varying degrees of skewness and over-dispersion.
A comprehensive visual assessment depicted in Figure 2 illustrates the distributional characteristics of the Baker–T1 model through three-dimensional surface plots of key summary measures based on different configurations of α and μ when θ = 1 . These surfaces provide an illustration of how changes in the model parameters influence location, scale, and shape properties of the Baker–T1 distribution. The plots show that the distributional measures are highly sensitive to changes in α and μ . Smaller α and α values lead to higher variability, skewness, and heavy tails, while larger α stabilizes the distribution and reduces relative variability. Overall, the Baker–T1 model can represent a wide range of distributional shapes, from dispersed and skewed to more symmetric and stable forms.
Let X follow the Baker–T1 distribution; differentiating the logarithm of the PDF (2) with respect to x and equating the result to zero yields the mode as follows:
1 + ( μ 1 ) y y 1 μ y y 1 θ μ 1 = 0 , y > 1 ,
where y = e α θ x .
It is clear that Equation (11) has no closed-form solution for general μ and θ and must therefore be solved numerically. For μ > 1 , the density f ( x ) is unimodal. As x 0 + , the density increases from zero, while as x , the term exp 1 θ ( e α θ x 1 ) μ dominates and forces f ( x ) 0 . Consequently, the derivative of the log-density changes sign exactly once, ensuring the existence of a unique interior mode. When 0 < μ 1 , the density is monotonically decreasing, and the mode occurs at the boundary x m = 0 .

3.4. Order Statistics

Order statistics offer valuable information about the underlying data structure by facilitating the estimation of quantiles, extreme values, and reliability-related measures in statistical analyses. Let X 1 , X 2 , , X n be a random sample from the Baker–T1 distribution, then the PDF of the kth order statistic X k : n is given by
f k : n ( x ; ξ ) = C k F ( x ; ξ ) k 1 R ( x ; ξ ) n k f ( x ; ξ ) , x > 0 ,
where C k = n ! ( k 1 ) ! ( n k ) ! .
Substituting (2) and (1) into (12), we obtain
f k : n ( x ; ξ ) = α μ e α θ x A μ 1 1 exp A ( x ; ξ ) k 1 exp ( n k + 1 ) A ( x ; ξ ) ,
where A ( x ; ξ ) = e α θ x 1 θ μ .
Applying the following binomial expansion
( 1 z ) k 1 = j = 0 k 1 ( 1 ) j k 1 j z j , | z | < 1 ,
we obtain, upon setting z = exp [ A ( x ; ξ ) ] ,
1 exp [ A ( x ; ξ ) ] k 1 = j = 0 k 1 ( 1 ) j k 1 j exp [ j A ( x ; ξ ) ] .
Substituting (15) into (12) yields the density of the kth Baker–T1 order statistic as follows:
f k : n ( x ; ξ ) = C k α μ e α θ x A μ 1 j = 0 k 1 ( 1 ) j k 1 j exp [ ( n k + 1 + j ) A ( x ; ξ ) ] .
The respective minimum and maximum order statistics, by setting k = 1 and n into (16), yield:
f 1 : n ( x ) = n α μ e α θ x A ( x ; ξ ) μ 1 exp n A ( x ; ξ ) μ , x > 0 .
and
f n : n ( x ) = n α μ e α θ x A ( x ; ξ ) μ 1 j = 0 n 1 ( 1 ) j n 1 j exp ( j + 1 ) A ( x ; ξ ) μ x > 0 .
It is worth mentioning that the expression (16) shows that the kth order statistic density is a finite linear combination of Baker–T1-type kernels with modified exponential weights, which is particularly useful for numerical integration and for deriving further properties of the order statistics. In particular, the minimum order statistic preserves the Baker–T1-type form with the exponential term scaled by the sample size n, whereas the maximum order statistic is represented as a finite alternating sum of Baker–T1-type kernels. These closed-form representations facilitate the study of extreme-value behavior and allow efficient numerical evaluation of tail-related reliability and survival measures.

4. Methods of Estimation

Evaluating and contrasting estimation techniques is crucial for determining which procedures yield the most reliable and efficient parameter estimates from a statistical standpoint. In this section, eight well-established classical estimation methods are applied to derive point estimates of the Baker–T1 model parameters α , μ , and θ . Specifically, the maximum likelihood and maximum product of spacings methods are likelihood-based approaches. The least-squares and weighted least-squares methods rely on minimizing the discrepancy between empirical and theoretical distribution functions. The percentile method provides a quantile-based alternative that is easy to implement and less sensitive to certain model assumptions. In addition, the Cramér–von Mises, Anderson–Darling, and right-tail Anderson–Darling methods are minimum distance estimators that differ in how they weight deviations between empirical and fitted distributions. Collectively, these methods offer a comprehensive framework for evaluating estimation performance from multiple theoretical and practical perspectives. For detailed treatments of these estimation methodologies, the reader is referred to Hassan and Alharbi [10], Shafiq et al. [11], Alqasem et al. [12], and Alotaibi et al. [13], among others.

4.1. Maximum Likelihood

The maximum likelihood technique is among the most commonly employed methods in statistical inference, owing to its simplicity and intuitive formulation. In addition, MLEs enjoy a number of attractive theoretical properties (see, e.g., Rohde [14]). Let x = ( x 1 , x 2 , , x n ) denote a random sample.
From (2), the log-likelihood function (log-LF), L ( x | ξ ) = i = 1 n log f ( x ; ξ ) , for the Baker–T1 distribution parameters is:
L ( x | ξ ) = n θ α x ¯ + log ( α μ ) ( μ 1 ) log ( θ ) + ( μ 1 ) i = 1 n log ψ i θ μ i = 1 n ψ i μ ,
where ψ i = e θ α x i 1 .
The MLEs ξ ^ M L E of ξ can be obtained by solving the following system of score equations:
n α + θ i = 1 n x i + θ ( μ 1 ) i = 1 n φ i ψ i 1 μ θ μ i = 1 n ψ i μ 1 ( ξ ^ M L E = ξ ) = 0 ,
n μ + θ 1 i = 1 n log ψ i θ μ i = 1 n ψ i μ log ψ i log ( θ ) ( ξ ^ M L E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
α n x ¯ ( μ 1 ) n θ α i = 1 n φ i ψ i 1 μ θ μ + 1 i = 1 n ψ i μ 1 α θ φ i ψ i ( ξ ^ M L E = ξ ) = 0 ,
respectively, where φ i = x i e α θ x i (for i = 1 , 2 , , n ). Since Equations (20)–(22) cannot be expressed explicitly, numerical optimization methods are required. For this purpose, we recommend using optimization iterative procedures, such as Newton–Raphson or BFGS, via the maxLik package v1.5-2.2 (Henningsen and Toomet [15]) to obtain ξ ^ M L E .

4.2. Maximum Product of Spacings

The maximum product of spacings (MPS) approach is commonly viewed as a strong competitor to the maximum likelihood method in statistical inference. Estimators obtained via MPS (MPSEs) share many of the favorable theoretical characteristics associated with MLEs. In line with Cheng and Amin [16], the objective function to be maximized is defined as the natural logarithm of the MPS criterion. Specifically, let x 1 < x 2 < < x n denote the order statistics of a random sample of size n drawn from the underlying population.
From (1), the log-MPS, P ( x | ξ ) i = 1 n + 1 log F ( x i ; ξ ) F ( x i 1 ; ξ ) , for the Baker–T1 distribution parameters is:
P ( x | ξ ) = i = 1 n + 1 log i ( ξ ) ,
where i ( ξ ) = exp exp ( α θ x i 1 ) 1 θ μ exp exp ( α θ x i ) 1 θ μ .
The MPSEs ξ ^ M P S E of ξ , can be obtained by simultaneously solving the following three non-linear equations:
i = 1 n + 1 μ A i μ 1 x i e α θ x i exp ( A i μ ) μ A i 1 μ 1 x i 1 e α θ x i 1 exp ( A i 1 μ ) exp ( A i 1 μ ) exp ( A i μ ) ( ξ ^ M P S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
i = 1 n + 1 exp ( A i μ ) A i μ log A i exp ( A i 1 μ ) A i 1 μ log A i 1 exp ( A i 1 μ ) exp ( A i μ ) ( ξ ^ M P S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
i = 1 n + 1 μ A i μ 1 Δ i exp ( A i μ ) μ A i 1 μ 1 Δ i 1 exp ( A i 1 μ ) exp ( A i 1 μ ) exp ( A i μ ) ( ξ ^ M P S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
respectively, where A i = 1 θ e α θ x i 1 and Δ i = α θ x i e α θ x i e α θ x i 1 θ 2 (for i = 0 , 1 , , n + 1 ). Just like in the MLEs’ scenario, we recommend using the maxLik package (Henningsen and Toomet [15]) to obtain the MPSEs ξ ^ M P S E ( ζ ^ M P S E ) of ξ ( ζ ).

4.3. Least-Squares and Weighted Least-Squares

This subsection is devoted to the least-squares estimation (LSE) and weighted least-squares estimation (WLSE) procedures for the Baker–T1 distribution. These methods aim to minimize the sum of squared deviations between the theoretical cumulative distribution function and its empirical counterpart. Let x 1 < x 2 < < x n denote the ordered observations of a random sample; it is well established that
E [ F x i ; ξ ] = i n + 1 and V [ F x i ; ξ ] = i ( n + 1 i ) ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) .
From (1), the LSE (say, ξ ^ L S E ) and WLSE (say, ξ ^ W L S E ) of ξ can be acquired by minimizing the next two quantities with respect to ξ :
L S ξ x = i = 1 n 1 e A i μ E [ F x i ; ξ ] 2
and
W S ξ x = i = 1 n 1 V [ F x i ; ξ ] 1 e A i μ E [ F x i ; ξ ] 2 .
Thus, the ξ ^ L S E and ξ ^ W L S E expressions of ξ can be solved simultaneously using the following three equations:
i = 1 n τ i 1 e A i μ E [ F x i ; ξ ] C 1 ( ξ ^ L S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
i = 1 n τ i 1 e A i μ E [ F x i ; ξ ] C 2 ( ξ ^ L S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
i = 1 n τ i 1 e A i μ E [ F x i ; ξ ] C 3 ( ξ ^ L S E = ξ ) = 0 ,
where τ i = 1 (for LSE) and 1 / V [ F x i ; ξ ] (for WLSE),
C 1 = μ A i μ 1 x i e α θ x i exp ( A i μ ) ,
C 2 = exp ( A i μ ) A i μ log A i ,
and
C 3 = μ A i μ 1 Δ i exp ( A i μ ) .

4.4. Percentile

Owing to the availability of an explicit quantile function, the underlying distribution lends itself naturally to percentile-based estimation of its unknown parameters. This approach seeks to minimize the sum of squared discrepancies between the theoretical percentiles of the distribution and their empirical counterparts.
For the Baker–T1 model, from (6), the percentile estimators (PCEs) of α , μ , and θ , denoted by ξ ^ P C E , are obtained by minimizing the following function:
P ξ x = i = 1 n x i Q ( p i ) 2 ,
where p i = i n + 1 and Q ( p i ) = 1 α θ log 1 + θ log ( 1 p i ) 1 μ .
The PCEs ξ ^ P C E can be obtained by solving the next equations simultaneously
i = 1 n x i Q ( p i ) G 1 ( ξ ^ P C E = ξ ) = 0 ,
i = 1 n x i Q ( p i ) G 2 ( ξ ^ P C E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
i = 1 n x i Q ( p i ) G 3 ( ξ ^ P C E = ξ ) = 0 ,
where ϱ i = [ log ( 1 p i ) ] 1 / μ
G 1 = 2 α 2 θ log ( 1 + θ ϱ i ) ,   G 2 = 2 ϱ i log log ( 1 p i ) α μ 2 1 + θ ϱ i , and G 3 = 2 α θ ϱ i 1 + θ ϱ i 1 θ log ( 1 + θ ϱ i ) .

4.5. Cramér–Von Mises

The Cramér–von Mises (CvM) estimation method provides a minimum-distance approach for parameter estimation by minimizing the discrepancy between the empirical distribution function and the corresponding theoretical distribution, making it a robust and widely used alternative in distributional inference. From (1), the CvM estimators (CvMEs) for α , μ , and θ of the Baker–T1 distribution, denoted by ξ ^ C v M E , can be obtained by minimizing
C R ( ξ | x ) = 1 12 n + i = 1 n F ( x i ; ξ ) ς i 2 ,
with respect to α , μ , and θ , where ς i = 2 i 1 2 n .
The CvMEs ξ ^ C v M E of ξ can be obtained by solving the following three non-linear equations:
i = 1 n F ( x i ; ξ ) ς i K 1 ( ξ ^ C v M E = ξ ) = 0 ,
i = 1 n F ( x i ; ξ ) ς i K 2 ( ξ ^ C v M E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
i = 1 n F ( x i ; ξ ) ς i K 3 ( ξ ^ C v M E = ξ ) = 0 ,
where
K 1 = 1 6 n μ A i μ 1 x i e α θ x i exp ( A i μ ) ,
K 2 = 1 6 n A i μ log A i exp ( A i μ ) ,
and
K 3 = 1 6 n μ A i μ 1 α x i θ e α θ x i ( e α θ x i 1 ) θ 2 exp ( A i μ ) .

4.6. Anderson–Darling and RT Anderson–Darling

The Anderson–Darling (AD) and right-tail AD (RTAD) estimation methods constitute weighted minimum-distance approaches that emphasize tail behavior by assigning greater importance to discrepancies between the empirical and theoretical distribution functions in the tail regions, thereby yielding efficient parameter estimates for distributions with pronounced tail characteristics.
From (1) and (3), the AD estimators (ADEs) for ξ of the Baker–T1 distribution, denoted by ξ ^ A D E , can be obtained by minimizing
A D ( ξ | x ) = n 1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) log F ( x i ; ξ ) + log R ( x n i + 1 ; ξ )
with respect to α , μ , and θ .
The ADEs ξ ^ A D E of ξ can be obtained by solving the following three non-linear equations:
1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) μ A i μ 1 x i e α θ x i A i μ F ( x i ; ξ ) μ A n i + 1 μ 1 x n i + 1 e α θ x n i + 1 ( ξ ^ A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) A i μ log A i e A i μ F ( x i ; ξ ) A n i + 1 μ log A n i + 1 ( ξ ^ A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
μ θ 2 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) N i e A i μ F ( x i ; ξ ) N n i + 1 ( ξ ^ A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
where N i = A i μ 1 α x i e α θ x i ( e α θ x i 1 ) e A i μ .
From (1) and (3), the RTAD estimators (RTADEs) for ξ of the Baker–T1 distribution, denoted by ξ ^ R T A D E , can be obtained by minimizing
R T A D ( ξ | x ) = n 2 2 i = 1 n F ( x i ; ξ ) i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) log R ( x n i + 1 ; ξ )
with respect to α , μ , and θ .
The RTADEs ξ ^ R T A D E of ξ can be obtained by solving the following system of non-linear equations:
2 μ i = 1 n ε i μ i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) ε n i + 1 F ( x n i + 1 ; ξ ) ( ξ ^ R T A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
2 i = 1 n κ i i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) κ n i + 1 F ( x n i + 1 ; ξ ) ( ξ ^ R T A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
and
2 μ θ 2 i = 1 n ϵ i B i μ 1 e B i μ μ θ 2 i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) ϵ n i + 1 B n i + 1 μ 1 e B n i + 1 μ F ( x n i + 1 ; ξ ) ( ξ ^ R T A D E = ξ ) = 0 ,
respectively, where
ε i = x i B i μ 1 e B i μ e α θ x i , κ i = B i μ log ( B i ) e B i μ , and ϵ i = α x i θ e α θ x i ( e α θ x i 1 ) .

5. Simulation Study

This section employs a Monte Carlo simulation study to assess the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators under a variety of controlled settings. For each experimental configuration, 5000 independent samples are generated with sample sizes n { 20 , 50 , 100 , 150 , 200 } . The simulated data are drawn from the Baker T 1 ( ξ ) distribution using different combinations of the model parameters in order to represent a broad range of distributional behaviors. Specifically, two values are considered for each unknown parameter, namely α { 0.2 , 1.2 } , μ { 0.5 , 1.5 } , and θ { 0.8 , 1.8 } , which are arranged into the following five parameter groups for ξ :
  • Group-1: ( 0.2 , 0.5 , 0.8 ) ;
  • Group-2: ( 1.2 , 1.5 , 1.8 ) ;
  • Group-3: ( 1.2 , 0.5 , 0.8 ) ;
  • Group-4: ( 0.2 , 1.5 , 0.8 ) ;
  • Group-5: ( 0.2 , 0.5 , 1.8 ) .
The selected parameter configurations are intended to ensure a thorough assessment of estimator performance across a diverse set of plausible conditions, encompassing both symmetric and asymmetric distributions as well as light- and heavy-tailed behaviors. All numerical computations were implemented in the R software environment (version 4.2.2). The parameter values of ξ for Group-i ( i = 1 , 2 , , 5 ) were chosen to represent a wide spectrum of distributional shapes associated with the Baker–T1 model. Specifically, smaller values of ξ correspond to highly skewed and heavy-tailed distributions, whereas larger values lead to more symmetric and lighter-tailed forms. Consequently, the simulation design facilitates the evaluation of estimator accuracy and robustness under both extreme and moderate settings. It should be noted that the initial values of ξ were set equal to their true parameter values to ensure stable convergence of the optimization algorithms while enabling a fair comparison of the intrinsic performance of the competing estimators. This choice is justified within simulation frameworks, where the true parameter values are known in advance (see Alotaibi et al. [13]), but it should not be applicable in practical applications. Alternatively, moment-based or percentage-based configuration can be used, in addition to improving network search, to assign appropriate starting points for each parameter.
Let ξ ^ 1 , ξ ^ 2 , , ξ ^ N denote the estimates of a parameter ξ obtained from N Monte Carlo replications. The estimation accuracy is evaluated using the mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute bias (MAB), and relative absolute bias (RAB), defined respectively as MSE ( ξ ^ ) = N 1 i = 1 N ( ξ ^ i ξ ) 2 , MAB ( ξ ^ ) = N 1 i = 1 N | ξ ^ i ξ | , and RAB ( ξ ^ ) = N 1 i = 1 N | ( ξ ^ i ξ ) / ξ | . For each parameter and performance criterion, estimation methods are ranked in ascending order, with rank one indicating the best performance; this rank is referred to as the order rank (OR). The total rank (TR) of a given method is obtained by summing its ORs across all parameters (see Table 2, Table 3, Table 4, Table 5 and Table 6). To summarize performance over five different parameter settings, the mean TR (MTR) and mean OR (MOR) are computed as the averages of the corresponding TRs and ORs across all scenarios, respectively, with smaller values indicating superior overall efficiency; see Table 7.
The simulation outcomes reported in Table 2, Table 3, Table 4, Table 5 and Table 6 consistently indicate that estimator accuracy improves as the sample size n increases, thereby supporting the consistency of all considered estimators. Among the competing methods, the ML and MPS procedures repeatedly yield more precise and stable estimates relative to the remaining approaches. The results listed in Table 7 reveal that the ML method exhibits superior performance in most settings, followed closely by the MPS and AD methods. Based on average ranking performance, the estimation techniques can be ordered from most to least efficient as follows: ML, MPS, AD, RTAD, WLS, PC, LS, and CvM. These conclusions are fully consistent with the detailed results presented in Table 2, Table 3, Table 4, Table 5 and Table 6. As an illustrative example, Figure 3 depicts the simulation results for Group-1, including the MSE, MAB, and RAB values associated with the parameters α , μ , and θ . The fitted curves corresponding to each estimation method further corroborate the numerical findings reported in Table 2. Overall, the ML method is recommended for practical applications involving the Baker–T1 distribution, with the MPS approach representing a robust and effective alternative in situations where ML estimation is impractical or computationally demanding. It is worth noticing here that the ML and MPS methods generally achieve faster convergence with average run-times of approximately 0.35 and 0.75 s/replication and require fewer iterations compared to others. These findings highlight the reliability and robustness of likelihood-based approaches, particularly ML and MPS, in achieving efficient parameter estimation for the Baker–T1 distribution across varying sample sizes.

6. Real-World Applications

This section presents two illustrative applications—one drawn from engineering and the other from a clinical setting—to showcase the practical effectiveness of the proposed inferential procedures and to emphasize the flexibility of the Baker–T1 model in modeling diverse real-world phenomena. The considered applications are described below.
  • Application 1: Reliability studies frequently rely on data describing the number of shocks experienced by a component prior to failure, as such information is critical for assessing failure dynamics under repeated loading conditions. Murthy et al. [17] emphasize that shock-count data are instrumental in modeling lifetime variability and in formulating stochastic degradation models driven by cumulative damage mechanisms. In this setting, the dataset presented in Table 8, which contains twenty recorded shock-to-failure observations, provides a meaningful empirical foundation for analyzing the reliability behavior of systems operating in random shock environments; see Cordeiro et al. [18] and Elshahhat and Seyam [19] for a detailed description.
  • Application 2: Blood cancer, commonly referred to as leukemia, affects the blood-forming tissues and can be fatal if not appropriately treated, making its investigation essential for improving clinical outcomes. Analyzing survival and time-to-event data in this context contributes to a better understanding of disease progression and supports the development of reliable statistical models for prognostic evaluation in hematologic oncology. In this application, Table 8 reports the survival times (in years) of 40 leukemia patients treated at a Ministry of Health hospital in Saudi Arabia. This dataset was provided by Imran [20] and later reanalyzed by Klakattawi [21].
Firstly, before fitting the proposed Baker–T1 model, Table 9 provides a detailed descriptive summary of the datasets considered in Applications 1 and 2, including the mean, mode, quartiles ( Q i , i = 1 , 2 , 3 ), standard deviation (SD), and skewness. The reported statistics indicate that:
  • Application 1: The data show low central tendency with small variability, indicating consistently lower values and a slightly left-skewed distribution, suggesting most observations cluster around the mean with few lower-end extremes.
  • Application 2: The data exhibit a higher mean and greater dispersion, reflecting more variability in outcomes, while the slight negative skewness suggests a longer tail toward lower values despite generally higher measurements.
The slight negative skewness observed in both applications is visually confirmed by the violin plots (see Figure 4a), which show greater density toward higher values with thinner lower tails, consistent with the summarized skewness measures in Table 9. For clarification, in Application 1, the Baker–T1 distribution reflects an IFR pattern as evidenced by the TTT plot (see Figure 4b), indicating aging behavior where the risk of failure grows over time and aligns with systems showing gradual wear-out rather than early instability. As shown in Figure 4b, for Application 2, the TTT plot likewise confirms an IFR structure, and the fitted Baker–T1 parameters suggest heavier tails, highlighting increasing risk with time alongside non-negligible probabilities of extreme performance outcomes relevant to reliability margin assessment. These combined graphical and experimental results confirm the suitability of the Baker–T1 distribution for modeling data with increasing failure rates and slight asymmetry particularly.
To assess the adequacy of the proposed Baker–T1 distribution for the complete datasets analyzed in Applications 1 and 2, its performance was benchmarked against nine competing lifetime models possessing flexible and unbounded hazard rate forms (see Table 10). Model evaluation was carried out using eight commonly adopted goodness-of-fit and information-based criteria: (i) the negative log-likelihood ( LL ), (ii) Akaike Information Criterion ( AI ), (iii) Bayesian Information Criterion ( BI ), (iv) Consistent Akaike Information Criterion ( CAI ), (v) Hannan–Quinn Information Criterion ( HQI ), (vi) Anderson–Darling statistic ( AD ), (vii) Cramér–von Mises statistic ( CvM ), and (viii) the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic ( KS ) together with its associated p -value.
The ML estimates of the model parameters ( α , μ , θ ) along with their corresponding standard errors (SEs) alongside the corresponding numerical values of criteria (i)–(viii) were obtained using the AdequacyModel package v2.0.0 (Marinho et al. [22]) and are reported in Table 11. All parameters were initialized using admissible starting values consistent with their theoretical domains; see, for example, Mariel et al. [23]. According to the adopted selection rules, models yielding smaller values of LL , AI , BI , CAI , HQI , AD , CvM , and KS , together with larger p -values, are preferred. The results summarized in Table 11 clearly indicate that the corresponding fitted values for the criteria (i)–(viii) of the Baker–T1 model are the lowest compared to other competitors. Subsequently, the Baker–T1 model provides the best overall fit among all competing distributions listed in Table 10.
Table 10. Thirteen competitive models of the Baker–T1 distribution.
Table 10. Thirteen competitive models of the Baker–T1 distribution.
ModelSymbolAuthor (s)
New Extended WeibullNEW ( α , μ , θ ) Peng and Yan [24]
Alpha Power WeibullAPW ( α , μ , θ ) Nassar et al. [25]
Power Generalized WeibullPGW ( α , μ , θ ) Bagdonavicius and Nikulin [26]
Exponentiated WeibullEW ( α , μ , θ ) Mudholkar and Srivastava [27]
Weibull ExponentialWE ( α , μ , θ ) Oguntunde et al. [28]
Harris Extended ExponentialHEE ( α , μ , θ ) Pinho et al. [29]
Very Flexible WeibullVFW ( μ , θ ) Ahmad and Hussain [30]
Alpha Power ExponentialAPE ( μ , θ ) Mahdavi and Kundu [31]
Birnbaum SaundersBS ( μ , θ ) Birnbaum and Saunders [32]
Nadarajah HaghighiNH ( μ , θ ) Nadarajah and Haghighi [33]
Generalized ExponentialGE ( μ , θ ) Gupta and Kundu [34]
GammaG ( μ , θ ) Johnson et al. [35]
WeibullW ( μ , θ ) Weibull [36]
To facilitate the numerical optimization of the Baker–T1 model parameters α , μ , and θ for the two empirical datasets considered in Applications 1 and 2, the contour plots of the log-likelihood function are illustrated in Figure 5. These plots show that the selected initial values, indicated by the red points, lie in close proximity to the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates reported in Table 11. Furthermore, the contours provide evidence that the MLEs of α , μ , and θ not only exist but are also unique.
Figure 6 presents a comprehensive graphical comparison between the Baker–T1 model and its competing distributions for the datasets examined in Applications 1 and 2, using four complementary diagnostic panels: (i) probability–probability (PP) plots, (ii) quantile–quantile (QQ) plots, (iii) fitted reliability functions (RFs), and (iv) fitted probability density functions (PDFs). The graphical evidence in Figure 6a–c is consistent with the numerical findings reported in Table 11, demonstrating that the Baker–T1 model yields fitted values that closely track the empirical data in both applications. Moreover, Figure 6d reveals that the estimated Baker–T1 densities exhibit right-skewed and strictly right-skewed shapes for Applications 1 and 2, respectively.
In summary, although several competing models listed in Table 11 provide satisfactory fits to the proposed two real-world datasets, the Baker–T1 distribution demonstrates clear overall superiority when assessed using multiple complementary criteria. Specifically, it consistently yields the smallest values for all information-based measures while simultaneously producing the largest p -value, reflecting an optimal trade-off between model fit and parsimony. In addition, the graphical diagnostics presented in Figure 6 indicate a closer concordance between the empirical distributions and their theoretical counterparts under the Baker–T1 model. Beyond these empirical results, the Baker–T1 distribution offers a notable theoretical advantage: unlike many unit distributions, it is capable of accommodating decreasing, increasing, bathtub-shaped, and inverted bathtub-shaped hazard rate functions with considerable flexibility.
Overall, the empirical findings from both application domains provide compelling evidence that the Baker–T1 distribution is not merely an alternative, but a strictly superior modeling choice relative to the 13 competing lifetime distributions considered. Its dominance across two fundamentally different real-world datasets confirms its robustness, adaptability, and broad applicability, thereby establishing the Baker–T1 model as a powerful and reliable tool for lifetime and reliability analysis in both biomedical and engineering contexts.

7. Conclusions

This paper develops a comprehensive and rigorous treatment of the Baker–T1 distribution, a recently proposed transformation-based extension of the Weibull model derived via Manly’s exponential transformation. By developing its full probabilistic structure, the work elevates the Baker–T1 model from a constructional concept to a fully operational statistical tool for lifetime and reliability analysis. Fundamental distributional properties—including reliability measures, hazard and reversed-hazard functions, quantiles, moments, dispersion indices, skewness, kurtosis, and order statistics—were derived and examined in detail, revealing a high degree of analytical tractability alongside substantial modeling flexibility.
A key finding of this study is the ability of the Baker–T1 distribution to accommodate a wide range of density and hazard rate shapes, including monotone, bathtub-shaped, and unimodal forms, within a single parametric framework. This flexibility enables the model to capture complex failure mechanisms and heterogeneous aging behaviors that are commonly observed in real-world data but are not adequately represented by classical Weibull or many of its existing generalizations.
From an inferential perspective, an extensive estimation framework was developed by implementing eight classical parametric estimation methods. A large-scale Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrated that all estimators exhibit consistency, with estimation accuracy improving as the sample size increases. Among the competing approaches, maximum likelihood and maximum product of spacings estimators consistently provided superior finite-sample performance, confirming their suitability for practical implementation. The empirical analyses based on genuine biomedical and engineering datasets further validated the practical relevance of the Baker–T1 model, where it consistently outperformed thirteen competing lifetime distributions according to likelihood-based and information-theoretic criteria. These results collectively establish the Baker–T1 distribution as a robust, flexible, and empirically superior alternative for modeling complex lifetime data.

7.1. Practical Recommendations

Based on the theoretical developments, simulation evidence, and real-data applications presented in this study, several practical recommendations can be made. First, the Baker–T1 distribution is strongly recommended for applications involving non-monotone hazard structures, heavy-tailed behavior, or pronounced skewness, particularly in biomedical survival analysis and engineering reliability studies. Second, for parameter estimation, the maximum likelihood method should be regarded as the primary choice due to its overall efficiency and stability, with the maximum product of spacings method serving as a reliable alternative in situations involving small samples or numerical challenges. Third, the availability of a closed-form quantile function makes the Baker–T1 model especially attractive for simulation-based studies, percentile estimation, and risk assessment applications. Finally, practitioners are encouraged to consider the Baker–T1 distribution as a competitive benchmark when conducting model comparison studies involving Weibull-type or transformation-based lifetime models.

7.2. Future Directions

Although this study provides a comprehensive foundation for the Baker–T1 distribution, several promising avenues for future research remain open. One natural extension is the development of Bayesian inference procedures for the Baker–T1 model, including prior sensitivity analysis and hierarchical formulations for complex data structures. Another important direction involves extending the Baker–T1 framework to accommodate censored, truncated, or progressively censored data, which frequently arise in reliability testing and medical follow-up studies.
In addition, while both real datasets analyzed exhibit mild to moderate skewness, future work may extend the analysis to more heavily skewed data to further assess the flexibility of the proposed Baker–T1 model.
Further research may also explore regression and accelerated failure-time versions of the Baker–T1 model, allowing covariate information to be incorporated into the scale or shape parameters. Multivariate extensions and dependence modeling using copula-based constructions represent another fruitful area for investigation. Finally, comparative studies involving additional real datasets and alternative goodness-of-fit measures could further strengthen the empirical evidence supporting the Baker–T1 model and broaden its adoption across diverse applied domains.

Author Contributions

Methodology, O.A.A. and A.E.; Funding acquisition, O.A.A.; Software, A.E.; Validation, A.E.; Resources, O.A.A.; Supervision O.A.A.; Writing—original draft, O.A.A. and A.E.; Writing—review and editing, O.A.A. and A.E. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The authors extend their appreciation to the Deanship of Scientific Research and Libraries in Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University for funding this research work through the Supporting Publication in Top-Impact Journals Initiative (SPTIF-2026).

Data Availability Statement

The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Appendix A. Derivation of Baker–T1 Model

Proof. 
Let Y be a random variable following a unit-scale Weibull distribution with RF
R Y ( y ) = exp ( y μ ) , y > 0 , μ > 0 .
Consider the exponential-type transformation (by Manly [2])
y ( x ) = e α θ x 1 θ , x > 0 , α > 0 , θ > 0 .
Since α > 0 , the function y ( x ) is strictly increasing in x for any θ > 0 . Therefore, for x > 0 , we have
R X ( x ) = P ( X > x ) = P Y > y ( x ) .
By substituting the RF of Y, it follows that
R X ( x ) = R Y y ( x ) = exp y ( x ) μ .
Replacing y ( x ) by its explicit form yields the Baker–T1’s RF
R X ( x ) = exp e α θ x 1 θ μ , x > 0 ,
where α > 0 , μ > 0 , and θ > 0 . Then, the corresponding CDF of X yields
F ( x ) = 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ , x > 0 , α , μ , θ > 0 .
Differentiating the CDF with respect to x yields the corresponding PDF. Define
F ( x ) = 1 exp A ( x ) ,
and hence
f ( x ) = A ( x ) exp A ( x ) ,
where
A ( x ) = e α θ x 1 θ μ .
Then
A ( x ) = α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 .
Substituting into the expression for f ( x ) yields
f ( x ) = α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ , x > 0 , α , μ , θ > 0 .
This completes the proof. For more details, see Baker [1].  □

Appendix B. Moments

Proof. 
The general expression for the rth non-central moment of the Baker–T1 distribution, denoted by M r , is given by
M r = 0 x r f ( x ; ξ ) d x , r > 0 .
Substituting the Baker–T1 PDF (2) gives
M r = 0 x r α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 exp e α θ x 1 θ μ d x .
Consider the transformation
A = e α θ x 1 θ μ .
It follows immediately that
e α θ x = 1 + θ A 1 / μ , x = 1 α θ ln 1 + θ A 1 / μ .
Differentiating (A14) with respect to x yields
d A = α μ e α θ x e α θ x 1 θ μ 1 d x ,
which implies that
f ( x ; ξ ) d x = e A d A .
Hence, the random variable A follows a standard exponential distribution with pdf g ( t ) = e t for t > 0 . Using this transformation, the rth moment of X can be written as
E ( X r ) = 0 x r f ( x ; ξ ) d x = 0 1 α θ ln 1 + θ t 1 / μ r e t d t .
Therefore, the rth moment is given by
E ( X r ) = 1 ( α θ ) r 0 ln 1 + θ t 1 / μ r e t d t , r > 0 .
Using the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm,
ln ( 1 + θ y ) = j = 1 ( 1 ) j + 1 ( θ y ) j j , | θ y | < 1 ,
and raising it to the r-th power yields
[ ln ( 1 + θ y ) ] r = j 1 = 1 j r = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + + j r r j 1 j r θ j 1 + + j r y j 1 + + j r .
Substituting this expansion into the moment integral and interchanging summation and integration (justified by absolute convergence), we obtain
E [ X r ] = μ ( α θ ) r j 1 = 1 j r = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + + j r r j 1 j r θ j 1 + + j r 0 y μ 1 + j 1 + + j r e y μ d y .
Using the generalized gamma integral
0 y a 1 e y μ d y = 1 μ Γ a μ , a > 0 ,
with a = μ + j 1 + + j r , we arrive at
E [ X r ] = 1 α r j 1 = 1 j r = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + + j r r j 1 j r θ j 1 + + j r r Γ 1 + j 1 + + j r μ .
This completes the proof.  □
Remark A1.
For r = 1 , the above expression reduces to
E [ X ] = 1 α j = 1 ( 1 ) j + 1 j Γ 1 + j μ ,
while for r = 2 , it yields a double-series representation such as
E [ X 2 ] = 1 α 2 j 1 = 1 j 2 = 1 ( 1 ) j 1 + j 2 j 1 j 2 θ j 1 + j 2 2 Γ 1 + j 1 + j 2 μ .

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Figure 1. Several shapes of the Baker–T1 model.
Figure 1. Several shapes of the Baker–T1 model.
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Figure 2. Distributional shapes of the Baker–T1 model.
Figure 2. Distributional shapes of the Baker–T1 model.
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Figure 3. Estimation diagrams of α , μ , and θ from Group-1.
Figure 3. Estimation diagrams of α , μ , and θ from Group-1.
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Figure 4. Violin/TTT diagrams for the Baker–T1 model from two real datasets.
Figure 4. Violin/TTT diagrams for the Baker–T1 model from two real datasets.
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Figure 5. Contour maps of Baker–T1 parameters from two real datasets.
Figure 5. Contour maps of Baker–T1 parameters from two real datasets.
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Figure 6. Fitting diagrams of the Baker–T1 and its competitor models from two real datasets.
Figure 6. Fitting diagrams of the Baker–T1 and its competitor models from two real datasets.
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Table 1. Statistics of the Baker–T1 distribution.
Table 1. Statistics of the Baker–T1 distribution.
α   θ μ 0.51.5
M V ID CV S K M V ID CV S K
0.50.12.91622.497.7111.6262.94414.3160.1750.0550.3151.3432.0585.835
0.51.8295.2832.8891.2571.7696.1650.2030.0620.3061.2291.7714.758
1.01.3742.3511.7111.1161.3864.5040.2360.0690.2911.1121.4403.772
1.50.1800.0600.3351.3662.1775.8590.2620.0720.2761.0271.1663.148
2.50.2100.0670.3181.2311.9254.8690.2720.0660.2410.9400.8832.755
1.00.10.1850.0640.3441.3632.3265.9570.3070.0640.2100.8271.3513.415
0.50.2050.0670.3261.2612.2095.4130.3470.0660.1900.7400.9502.766
1.00.2330.0700.3021.1392.0664.8090.3630.0610.1690.6820.6232.463
1.50.2630.0730.2761.0251.9224.2790.3410.0490.1450.6510.5122.508
2.50.3290.0740.2240.8241.6113.3990.2790.0280.0990.5960.3462.410
1.50.10.1770.0700.3971.4972.3475.8670.4050.0590.1470.6020.9232.685
0.50.2050.0750.3661.3352.1995.1560.4300.0550.1270.5440.4682.388
1.00.2460.0790.3221.1452.0304.4170.3960.0400.1020.5090.2912.477
1.50.2920.0800.2750.9701.8753.8200.3490.0280.0790.4750.1692.450
2.50.3990.0720.1820.6741.5542.9420.2870.0150.0530.430−0.0122.417
Table 2. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-1.
Table 2. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-1.
nMetricPar.MLEMPSELSEWLSEPCSCvMEADERTADE
20MSE α 0.00510.01040.01260.01270.01030.01150.01380.0092
μ 0.00810.01130.01020.01760.02480.01870.01340.0135
θ 0.47810.99080.58130.64050.62140.64050.64050.5082
MAB α 0.07210.11170.10850.10960.09830.10540.11480.0942
μ 0.08710.10530.10020.13260.15680.13370.11340.1165
θ 0.69120.74240.76250.61210.78860.93280.88670.7133
RAB α 0.35910.50740.54060.54470.48830.52650.56980.4682
μ 0.17410.20930.20020.26460.31280.26770.22540.2325
θ 0.86430.87540.95370.72510.98580.88950.78420.8916
TR→ 12 40 38 45 51 53 50 32
OR→ 1 4 3 5 7 8 6 2
50MSE α 0.00460.00330.00580.00440.00320.00570.00210.0045
μ 0.00320.00440.00770.00330.01980.00650.00210.0066
θ 0.25830.23420.37370.30040.32350.45380.15810.3596
MAB α 0.06360.05530.07380.05940.05320.07270.04810.0605
μ 0.05320.06640.08270.05730.13780.07550.04810.0756
θ 0.50830.48320.61170.54840.56850.67380.39710.5996
RAB α 0.31660.27730.36780.29640.26720.36270.23910.3025
μ 0.10720.13140.16470.11330.27480.15150.09610.1516
θ 0.63530.60420.76370.68540.71050.84180.49610.7496
TR→ 33 27 66 33 45 60 9 51
OR→ 3.5 2 8 3.5 5 7 1 6
100MSE α 0.00370.00110.00250.00220.00250.00380.00230.0023
μ 0.00220.00340.00350.00110.00980.00360.00230.0047
θ 0.12850.08110.16260.10120.16670.32280.12540.1123
MAB α 0.05070.03810.04550.04020.04560.05080.04230.0424
μ 0.04520.05140.05250.03710.09680.05960.04830.0607
θ 0.35850.28510.40360.31820.40770.56880.35340.3353
RAB α 0.25070.18910.22450.19820.22460.25280.21030.2104
μ 0.09120.10240.10350.07310.19180.11860.09730.1207
θ 0.44750.35610.50460.39820.50970.71080.44140.4193
TR→ 42 18 48 15 62 66 30 41
OR→ 5 2 6 1 7 8 3 4
150MSE α 0.00110.00270.00250.00260.00120.00280.00140.0013
μ 0.00130.00120.00250.00260.00580.00110.00240.0027
θ 0.05910.07520.16480.13870.10240.13860.10350.0923
MAB α 0.02710.04270.03950.04060.03220.04380.03340.0333
μ 0.03930.03520.04150.04360.06880.03210.04040.0457
θ 0.24310.27320.40580.37270.32040.37160.32050.3033
RAB α 0.13710.21070.19750.19960.16020.21680.16640.1653
μ 0.07730.07020.08350.08660.13680.06410.08040.0897
θ 0.30410.34220.50680.46570.39940.46460.40050.3793
TR→ 15 33 54 57 42 45 39 39
OR→ 1 2 7 8 5 6 3.5 3.5
200MSE α 0.00110.00120.00150.00180.00160.00170.00140.0013
μ 0.00110.00120.00160.00140.00580.00130.00150.0027
θ 0.04910.05220.08580.07040.07350.07560.07970.0613
MAB α 0.02610.02620.03250.03680.03460.03470.03140.0283
μ 0.02710.03120.03860.03240.06880.03130.03350.0427
θ 0.22110.22920.29180.26540.27050.27360.28170.2483
RAB α 0.12810.13220.16250.17980.16860.17070.15340.1383
μ 0.05410.06220.07760.06440.13680.06230.06550.0837
θ 0.27610.28620.36480.33140.33850.34260.35270.3103
TR→ 9 18 57 48 57 48 48 39
OR→ 1 2 7.5 5 7.5 5 5 3
Table 3. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-2.
Table 3. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-2.
nMetricPar.MLEMPSELSEWLSEPCSCvMEADERTADE
20MSE α 0.54110.71421.08770.88440.82931.11681.05660.9345
μ 0.21010.27530.27520.41580.27740.40170.29450.3006
θ 1.44031.44951.44541.45971.46481.44961.43921.4251
MAB α 0.73510.84521.04370.94040.91131.05681.02860.9665
μ 0.45810.52530.52420.64480.52640.63470.54250.5486
θ 1.22231.25281.23161.24371.20321.22951.22841.1941
RAB α 0.40910.46920.57970.52240.50630.58780.57160.5375
μ 0.30510.35030.34920.42980.35140.42270.36250.3656
θ 1.11421.15241.12431.11311.18771.18161.19481.1625
TR→ 14 32 40 51 38 62 47 40
OR→ 1 1 2.5 4 1 3 2 1
50MSE α 0.32920.27410.79970.42540.46550.84680.33730.5336
μ 0.09830.07920.20670.13250.10740.22780.07310.1596
θ 1.05530.85911.44051.44051.15941.44050.98521.4405
MAB α 0.57420.52310.89470.65140.68250.91980.58030.7306
μ 0.31330.28020.45470.36350.32740.47680.26910.3996
θ 1.02730.92711.15251.22581.07641.18570.99221.1766
RAB α 0.31920.29110.49670.36240.37950.51180.32230.4066
μ 0.20930.18720.30370.24250.21840.31780.17910.2666
θ 0.85610.97251.07660.94240.89721.12180.92731.0877
TR→ 22 16 58 44 37 68 19 54
OR→ 3 1 5 3 2 3 1 1
100MSE α 0.23350.12010.27260.13220.18530.42980.19140.2867
μ 0.07140.06630.10570.04210.09050.09360.05320.1318
θ 0.79040.61321.10270.40710.79651.44080.71730.9366
MAB α 0.48250.34610.52160.36320.42930.65580.43740.5357
μ 0.26640.25730.32470.20510.29950.30660.23120.3618
θ 0.88940.78321.05070.63810.89251.20080.84630.9676
RAB α 0.26850.19210.29060.20220.23830.36480.24340.2977
μ 0.17740.17130.21670.13710.20050.20460.15420.2418
θ 0.74140.65220.87570.53210.74350.99080.70530.8066
TR→ 39 18 60 12 39 66 27 63
OR→ 4.5 2 4 1 2 3 1 1
150MSE α 0.08710.10720.23670.18950.11230.30580.17140.1906
μ 0.03920.02010.07270.06360.04430.05740.05750.0738
θ 0.40530.32711.13180.51340.33720.82670.53050.6546
MAB α 0.29510.32720.48670.43550.33430.55280.41440.4366
μ 0.19820.14310.26870.25060.20930.23840.23850.2708
θ 0.63730.57211.06480.71640.58020.90970.72850.8096
RAB α 0.16410.18220.27070.24250.18630.30780.23040.2426
μ 0.13220.09510.17970.16760.13930.15940.15950.1808
θ 0.53030.47610.88680.59740.48420.75770.60750.6746
TR→ 18 12 66 45 24 57 42 60
OR→ 2 1 6 3 1 2 1 1
200MSE α 0.07410.08420.17370.11440.08830.19380.11550.1516
μ 0.02220.02110.05060.03240.02830.05770.03550.0728
θ 0.26720.31130.62970.43240.25810.63980.47650.6166
MAB α 0.27210.28920.41670.33840.29630.44080.34050.3896
μ 0.14720.14610.22560.17840.16630.24070.18750.2678
θ 0.51720.55830.79370.65740.50810.79980.69050.7856
RAB α 0.15110.16120.23170.18840.16430.24480.18950.2166
μ 0.09820.09710.15060.11940.11130.16070.12550.1788
θ 0.43020.46530.66170.54840.42310.66680.57550.6546
TR→ 15 18 60 36 21 69 45 60
OR→ 1 1 4.5 2 1 3 1 1
Table 4. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-3.
Table 4. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-3.
nMetricPar.MLEMPSELSEWLSEPCSCvMEADERTADE
20MSE α 0.18310.39140.42060.42770.34330.39850.49380.3152
μ 0.00710.01130.01020.01760.02680.01970.01340.0135
θ 0.43110.49820.58140.64050.64050.64050.64050.5083
MAB α 0.42810.62540.64860.65370.58530.63150.70280.5612
μ 0.08410.10530.10020.13260.16080.13770.11640.1165
θ 0.65610.70520.76240.83280.81050.82470.81860.7133
RAB α 0.35710.52140.54060.54470.48830.52650.58580.4682
μ 0.16810.20930.20020.26460.32080.27470.23240.2325
θ 0.82010.88220.95370.98880.95260.91240.92950.8913
TR→ 9 27 39 60 49 52 52 30
OR→ 1 2 4 8 5 6.5 6.5 3
50MSE α 0.14460.11730.19480.13140.10320.18970.08610.1315
μ 0.00320.00440.00770.00430.02080.00650.00310.0066
θ 0.24730.22920.37370.30040.32350.45380.16610.3596
MAB α 0.37960.34230.44080.36240.32120.43570.29310.3635
μ 0.05520.06640.08170.06030.14080.07550.05010.0756
θ 0.49730.47920.61170.54840.56850.67380.40810.5996
RAB α 0.31660.28530.36780.30140.26720.36270.24410.3025
μ 0.11020.13140.16270.12030.28180.15150.10010.1516
θ 0.62230.59820.76370.68540.71050.84180.51010.7496
TR→ 33 27 66 33 45 60 9 51
OR→ 3.5 2 8 3.5 5 7 1 6
100MSE α 0.07260.05110.07250.06320.07370.09180.06430.0704
μ 0.00220.00340.00350.00110.01080.00360.00230.0047
θ 0.10920.08310.16660.11030.17570.32380.13050.1174
MAB α 0.26960.22610.26850.25120.27070.30280.25330.2654
μ 0.04520.05140.05250.03710.10280.05960.04930.0617
θ 0.33020.28910.40760.33230.41870.56880.36150.3424
RAB α 0.22460.18810.22450.20920.22570.25280.21130.2214
μ 0.08920.10240.10550.07310.20480.11860.09930.1227
θ 0.41320.36110.50960.41430.52370.71080.45150.4274
TR→ 30 18 48 18 66 66 33 45
OR→ 3 1.5 6 1.5 7.5 7.5 4 5
150MSE α 0.02710.06460.05640.06980.03720.06870.05650.0453
μ 0.00120.00110.00240.00260.00580.00120.00250.0027
θ 0.05810.07520.16480.16370.11040.14760.11250.1053
MAB α 0.16510.25460.23640.26280.19220.26170.23750.2113
μ 0.03820.03510.04240.04460.06980.03830.04350.0467
θ 0.24110.27420.40580.40370.33240.38360.33450.3243
RAB α 0.13710.21160.19740.21880.16020.21770.19750.1763
μ 0.07520.07010.08540.08960.13780.07530.08650.0927
θ 0.30110.34320.50680.50470.41540.47960.41850.4053
TR→ 12 27 48 63 42 47 45 39
OR→ 1 2 7 8 4 6 5 3
200MSE α 0.02310.02420.03950.05780.04260.04970.03740.0283
μ 0.00110.00120.00160.00140.00580.00130.00150.0027
θ 0.04710.05320.08970.08350.07540.09580.08960.0643
MAB α 0.15110.15520.19750.23980.20460.22270.19240.1673
μ 0.02710.03220.03860.03440.06880.03430.03550.0427
θ 0.21810.22920.29970.28950.27340.30880.29860.2533
RAB α 0.12510.12920.16450.19980.17060.18570.16040.1393
μ 0.05410.06420.07760.06840.13780.06730.07150.0847
θ 0.27210.28720.37470.36150.34240.38580.37360.3163
TR→ 9 18 54 51 54 54 45 39
OR→ 1 2 7 5 7 7 4 3
Table 5. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-4.
Table 5. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-4.
nMetricPar.MLEMPSELSEWLSEPCSCvMEADERTADE
20MSE α 0.00630.00410.00840.00870.00620.00850.00880.0086
μ 0.21540.17210.20230.35180.18820.32070.23050.2476
θ 0.64010.64010.64010.67980.64010.64010.64010.6401
MAB α 0.07930.06610.08740.09070.07620.08850.09280.0896
μ 0.46340.41410.45030.59380.43320.56670.47950.4976
θ 0.80010.80010.80010.82480.80010.80010.80010.8001
RAB α 0.39430.33110.43540.45070.37820.43850.46180.4456
μ 0.30940.27610.30030.39580.28920.37770.31950.3316
θ 1.14241.09921.25281.03011.24261.12531.19251.2517
TR→ 27 10 31 62 20 41 46 45
OR→ 3 1 4 8 2 5 7 6
50MSE α 0.00310.00340.00670.00330.00450.00780.00320.0056
μ 0.06620.07430.17580.08140.09350.16770.05410.1166
θ 0.47610.61640.64050.64050.60630.64050.50020.6405
MAB α 0.05110.05740.07670.05530.06450.08180.05420.0696
μ 0.25720.27330.41880.28440.30550.40970.23310.3416
θ 0.69010.78540.80050.80050.77830.80050.70720.8005
RAB α 0.25610.28340.37970.27530.32050.40380.27120.3446
μ 0.17220.18230.27980.18940.20350.27370.15510.2276
θ 0.86210.98141.02570.98750.97331.00860.88421.1248
TR→ 12 33 62 36 39 61 15 54
OR→ 1 3 8 4 5 7 2 6
100MSE α 0.00110.00260.00370.00120.00240.00480.00230.0025
μ 0.06240.06030.08870.03510.06850.08060.03920.1068
θ 0.31720.38540.49070.22710.42750.64080.34530.4856
MAB α 0.03510.04760.05170.03620.04640.06180.04230.0475
μ 0.24940.24630.29670.18810.26150.28360.19820.3268
θ 0.56320.62040.70070.47610.65450.80080.58730.6966
RAB α 0.17610.23760.25570.17920.22940.30480.20930.2345
μ 0.16640.16430.19770.12610.17450.18860.13220.2178
θ 0.70420.77540.87570.59510.81750.96980.73330.8716
TR→ 21 39 63 12 42 66 24 57
OR→ 2 4 7 1 5 8 3 6
150MSE α 0.00130.00110.00270.00240.00120.00380.00250.0026
μ 0.02110.03130.05160.04840.03020.05170.04950.0698
θ 0.17020.21630.57180.24340.15710.44570.31350.3726
MAB α 0.03530.02910.04870.04040.03120.05280.04050.0416
μ 0.14410.17630.22560.22040.17420.22570.22250.2638
θ 0.41220.46530.75580.49340.39610.66770.55950.6106
RAB α 0.17430.14310.23970.19840.15720.25880.20150.2056
μ 0.09610.11730.15060.14740.11620.15070.14850.1758
θ 0.51620.58130.94480.61740.49510.83470.69950.7626
TR→ 18 21 63 36 15 66 45 60
OR→ 2 3 7 4 1 8 5 6
200MSE α 0.00120.00130.00270.00140.00110.00280.00150.0016
μ 0.01910.01920.04860.02130.02540.04870.03150.0558
θ 0.14930.12920.34480.19040.11210.33570.26950.3156
MAB α 0.02620.02630.04170.03040.02410.04280.03450.0356
μ 0.13610.13820.22060.14430.15840.22070.17650.2358
θ 0.38630.35920.58680.43640.33510.57970.51950.5616
RAB α 0.13020.13230.20370.15140.12210.21080.17250.1766
μ 0.09110.09220.14760.09630.10540.14770.11750.1568
θ 0.48230.44920.73380.54540.41910.72470.64850.7016
TR→ 18 21 63 33 18 66 45 60
OR→ 1.5 3 7 4 1.5 8 5 6
Table 6. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-5.
Table 6. Estimates (1st Col.) and ranks (2nd Col.) of ξ from Group-5.
nMetricPar.MLEMPSELSEWLSEPCSCvMEADERTADE
20MSE α 0.00610.01530.01870.01540.01760.01550.01880.0112
μ 0.01010.01430.01220.02160.03580.02170.01640.0195
θ 1.59312.28322.42752.91362.36433.12683.04872.3654
MAB α 0.07710.12130.13470.12450.13060.12440.13580.1042
μ 0.09710.11730.10920.14360.18680.14470.12640.1385
θ 1.26111.51121.55851.70761.53831.76881.74671.5384
RAB α 0.38310.60630.67170.62250.64960.62140.67580.5182
μ 0.19510.23530.21820.28660.37280.28870.25240.2755
θ 0.70110.83920.86550.94860.85430.98280.97070.8544
TR→ 9 24 42 50 51 58 57 33
OR→ 1 2 4 5 6 8 7 3
50MSE α 0.00440.00430.00770.00410.00550.00880.00420.0066
μ 0.00320.00540.00970.00430.01580.00760.00310.0065
θ 1.03821.07731.69071.08041.57451.59660.72111.7268
MAB α 0.06540.06330.08470.05910.07350.09180.06120.0786
μ 0.05820.07040.09770.06230.12180.08560.05210.0795
θ 1.01921.03831.30071.03941.25451.26360.84911.3148
RAB α 0.32640.31530.42170.29610.36350.45680.30420.3886
μ 0.11620.13940.19570.12330.24380.17060.10410.1585
θ 0.56620.57730.72270.57740.69750.70260.47210.7308
TR→ 24 30 63 24 54 60 12 57
OR→ 2.5 4 8 2.5 5 7 1 6
100MSE α 0.00350.00210.00360.00230.00480.00370.00340.0022
μ 0.00220.00450.00340.00210.01080.00460.00330.0057
θ 0.51830.49220.80060.43011.20471.26080.67150.6094
MAB α 0.05350.03910.05660.04830.06080.05670.05240.0472
μ 0.04820.05950.05440.04310.10280.06460.05430.0707
θ 0.71930.70220.89560.65611.09771.12280.81950.7804
RAB α 0.26750.19710.28060.24130.29880.28270.26140.2342
μ 0.09720.11950.10940.08610.20480.12860.10830.1407
θ 0.40030.39020.49760.36410.61070.62480.45550.4344
TR→ 30 24 48 15 69 63 36 39
OR→ 3 2 6 1 8 7 4 5
150MSE α 0.00110.00250.00270.00260.00230.00380.00240.0022
μ 0.00110.00250.00240.00260.00580.00230.00220.0037
θ 0.25110.43840.98280.47150.41120.66170.41330.6166
MAB α 0.03010.04550.05070.04760.04030.05180.04440.0402
μ 0.03810.04250.04240.04460.07180.04130.04120.0547
θ 0.50110.66240.99180.68650.64120.81370.64230.7856
RAB α 0.15210.22450.24970.23560.20130.25680.21840.1992
μ 0.07510.08450.08340.08960.14380.08330.08220.1097
θ 0.27910.36840.55180.38150.35620.45270.35730.4366
TR→ 9 42 57 51 39 54 27 45
OR→ 1 4 8 6 3 7 2 5
200MSE α 0.00110.00120.00250.00260.00270.00280.00140.0013
μ 0.00110.00150.00260.00140.00480.00130.00120.0037
θ 0.18310.28130.41760.27320.50980.45570.36040.3705
MAB α 0.02710.03120.03950.04060.04170.04680.03640.0343
μ 0.02910.03650.04260.03640.06280.03530.03420.0517
θ 0.42810.53030.64560.52220.71380.67570.60040.6085
RAB α 0.13410.15620.19350.20060.20370.22980.18040.1713
μ 0.05910.07250.08360.07140.12380.07130.06820.1027
θ 0.23810.29530.35960.29020.39680.37570.33440.3385
TR→ 9 30 51 36 69 54 30 45
OR→ 1 2.5 6 4 8 7 2.5 5
Table 7. The MTRs and MORs of ξ from Group- i , i = 1 , 2 , , 5 .
Table 7. The MTRs and MORs of ξ from Group- i , i = 1 , 2 , , 5 .
GroupnMLMPSLSWLSPCCvMADRTAD
Group-1201.04.03.05.07.08.06.02.0
503.52.08.03.55.07.01.06.0
1005.02.06.01.07.08.03.04.0
1501.02.07.08.05.06.03.53.5
2001.02.07.55.07.55.05.03.0
Group-2201.01.02.54.01.03.02.01.0
503.01.05.03.02.03.01.01.0
1004.52.04.01.02.03.01.01.0
1502.01.06.03.01.02.01.01.0
2001.01.04.52.01.03.01.01.0
Group-3201.02.04.08.05.06.56.53.0
503.52.08.03.55.07.01.06.0
1003.01.56.01.57.57.54.05.0
1501.02.07.08.04.06.05.03.0
2001.02.07.05.07.07.04.03.0
Group-4203.01.04.08.02.05.07.06.0
501.03.08.04.05.07.02.06.0
1002.04.07.01.05.08.03.06.0
1502.03.07.04.01.08.05.06.0
2001.53.07.04.01.58.05.06.0
Group-5201.02.04.05.06.08.07.03.0
502.54.08.02.55.07.01.06.0
1003.02.06.01.08.07.04.05.0
1501.04.08.06.03.07.02.05.0
2001.02.56.04.08.07.02.55.0
MTR→ 2.022.246.024.044.466.163.343.90
MOR→ 12756834
Table 8. Data points for petroleum reservoirs (top) and mechanical components (bottom).
Table 8. Data points for petroleum reservoirs (top) and mechanical components (bottom).
Application 1: Shocks
0.20.30.60.60.70.90.91.01.01.1
1.21.21.21.31.31.31.51.61.61.8
Application 2: Leukemia
0.3150.4960.6161.1451.2081.2631.4142.0252.0362.162
2.2112.3702.5322.6932.8052.9102.9123.1923.2633.348
3.3483.4273.4993.5343.7513.7673.8583.9864.0494.244
4.3234.3814.3924.3974.6474.7534.9294.9735.0745.381
Table 9. Summary for the analyzed real datasets.
Table 9. Summary for the analyzed real datasets.
ApplicationMeanMode Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 SDSkew.
11.06501.20000.85001.15001.30000.4283−0.3589
23.14073.34802.19883.34804.26381.3589−0.4167
Table 11. Summary fit for the Baker–T1 and its competitor models.
Table 11. Summary fit for the Baker–T1 and its competitor models.
Model α μ θ LL AI BI CAI HQI AD CvM KS
Est. SE Est. SE Est. SE Distance p-Value
Application 1
Baker–T10.21060.35501.25680.91978.672623.72610.07026.14027.64029.12726.7230.19700.03130.11410.9570
NEW0.28640.40863.17940.78050.43810.246610.91627.83129.33130.81828.4140.30500.04860.12960.8903
APW10.9382.22532.01250.16880.01050.004411.26728.53430.03431.52129.1170.32520.05170.14950.7624
PGW0.03350.07042.22800.439213.43827.58710.19526.39027.89029.37826.9730.24010.03870.14520.9562
EW0.63530.08570.24950.24877.62546.108810.10426.25527.76729.26626.8430.22630.03700.12450.9157
WE0.06460.10141.24320.91291.85711.940810.15026.34827.86029.35926.9350.19760.03180.11480.9547
HEE0.31250.36179.05808.604883.95680.34410.33026.66028.16029.64727.2430.20270.03150.11570.9546
VFW--2.51330.82960.46160.210810.33426.88827.65729.15927.3120.34750.05740.12450.9160
APE--55.59847.8481.89980.290614.26032.52033.22634.51132.9090.61910.09970.22400.2683
BS--0.57450.09070.91080.112215.56835.13635.84237.12835.5251.25980.20680.24170.1930
NH--24.24227.1060.02850.032416.33936.67837.38438.67037.0670.44910.07170.32100.0324
GE--4.84031.82202.07060.412813.87531.75032.45633.74232.1390.90600.14660.19220.4507
G--4.50911.37644.23391.367113.01530.03030.73632.02130.4190.75880.12200.17550.5691
W--2.81290.52400.60930.167211.10826.21627.99929.33627.6690.38410.06120.13860.8373
Application 2
Baker–T10.03990.02540.95130.234620.70518.83765.73137.46138.12142.52139.290.14910.01850.06270.9975
NEW0.46780.41122.74290.41560.02720.018269.11144.22144.88149.28146.050.62750.09410.10740.7450
APW28.2544.35831.71200.32360.23300.111366.74139.49139.20144.42139.650.65960.09980.10110.8077
PGW0.00620.00482.05470.29378.40547.065066.87139.74140.41144.81141.570.36090.05210.09090.8953
EW0.20250.00740.14610.024411.1660.044066.04137.54138.21142.56139.290.15110.01980.06550.9954
WE0.05140.03580.88960.46630.90350.579966.16138.81139.48143.92140.660.15350.01920.06420.9967
HEE0.36870.15682.31970.828049.08430.11767.09140.19140.86145.26142.020.31930.04410.07580.9755
VFW--3.47231.09450.00680.011367.68139.36139.68142.74140.580.36980.06050.28980.0024
APE--76.62657.3190.65440.072973.35150.70151.02154.08151.921.17790.18760.15380.3005
BS--0.70550.07882.48330.259880.58165.17165.49168.55166.392.63800.45170.22080.0405
NH--28.57025.6560.00810.007376.43156.85157.18160.23158.070.81410.12570.27050.0057
GE--3.51900.87570.61420.091074.96153.92154.25157.30155.151.70010.27990.16120.2495
G--3.46480.74051.10320.253773.55151.10151.42154.48152.321.48500.24140.15820.2693
W--2.49840.33520.04320.021369.56143.12143.44146.49144.340.77340.11880.11850.6284
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Alqasem, O.A.; Elshahhat, A. The Baker Type-I Model: Theory, Comprehensive Inference, and Empirical Evidence from Complex Reliability and Biomedical Data. Mathematics 2026, 14, 1419. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091419

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Alqasem OA, Elshahhat A. The Baker Type-I Model: Theory, Comprehensive Inference, and Empirical Evidence from Complex Reliability and Biomedical Data. Mathematics. 2026; 14(9):1419. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091419

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Alqasem, Ohud A., and Ahmed Elshahhat. 2026. "The Baker Type-I Model: Theory, Comprehensive Inference, and Empirical Evidence from Complex Reliability and Biomedical Data" Mathematics 14, no. 9: 1419. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091419

APA Style

Alqasem, O. A., & Elshahhat, A. (2026). The Baker Type-I Model: Theory, Comprehensive Inference, and Empirical Evidence from Complex Reliability and Biomedical Data. Mathematics, 14(9), 1419. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091419

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