Review and Comparative Study of Decision Support Tools for the Mitigation of Urban Heat Stress
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Review Strategy
2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
3. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
- Analytical Hierarchy Process (SWOT);
- Multi-criteria outranking approach (MCDA and IBVA);
- Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method (EFDM);
- Fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (FDEMATEL);
- Multi-criteria method by linear regression;
- The technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS);
- Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation (SMCE);
- Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process;
- Fuzzy TOPSIS.
4. Decision Support Tools
5. Results and Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Aim of the Study | Method | Step | Limitation | Reference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green roof adaptation in Thailand to mitigate UHI. The relevant factors were identified in qualitative content analysis, structured alongside two dimensions (internal/external and positive/negative factors), and quantitatively assessed. | Analytical hierarchy process based on expert judgments, strength, weakness, opportunities, threats (SWOT) analysis. |
| A limited number of factors considered and lengthy pairwise comparisons. | Tachaya Sangkakool [13] |
Assess the heat stress relative vulnerability of 15 local government areas in metropolitan Sydney. | Multi-criteria outranking approach (build analogy between multi-criteria decision analysis and indicator-based vulnerability assessment (IBVA)). Electric III ranking process. |
| Nonlinearities might not be incorporated in the outranking aggregation process. | Abbas El-Zein [14] |
Investigate the inner-dependencies between the benefits, opportunities, cost, risks for proper adoption of green roof installation. | The enhanced fuzzy Delphi method (EFDM) and fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (FDEMATEL) approaches. |
| Absence of significant relationships among environmental and economic opportunities. | Sanaz Tabatabaee [15] |
Identifying and assessing the critical criteria affecting decision-making for green roof type selection in Kuala Lumpur | An enhanced fuzzy Delphi method (EFDM) was developed for criteria identification. EFDM consists of two rounds: firstly, knowledge acquisition through a semi-structured interview, and secondly, criteria prioritization using a Likert scale questionnaire. |
| If the expert decides to change an answer or decides to add any new information, the first round should be repeated, and the process will be time-consuming. | Amir Mahdiyar [16] |
The study aims to map the UHI of a mid-size city (Rennes, France) and define the relevant land-use factors. The UHI was measured by 22 weather stations in different contexts: urban, suburban, and peri-urban. | Multi-criteria linear regression method used to build a model of the UHI. |
| Limited variables considered, do not provide reasoning and spatial method. | X. Foissard [17] |
Examines major local climate zones (LCZs), with greater coverage area, in the city of Nagpur, India by selecting critical LCZ and mitigation strategies such as greening, cool roof, and cool pavement using ENVI met tool. The study is conducted in three phases. The first stage deals with air temperature and UHI investigation. The second stage covers the issue of identifying criticality using multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) technique. The third stage examines the selection of mitigation strategies, simulation environment, and mitigation priorities. | The technique for order of preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS). |
| Quantitative analysis of urban geometric factors, street orientation, and thermal comfort and socio-economic condition assessments remain a limitation in this study. | Rajashree Kotharkar [18] |
Spatial Multi-Criteria Analysis for Urban Sustainable Built-Up Area Based on UHI in Serang City. | Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation (SMCE) (utilizes software ILWIS (Integrated Land and Water Information System) 3.3 developed by ITC Netherlands). | UHI distribution, geometric correction, data processing, then simulations on SMCE model. | Does not consider the environmental factors (detailed challenges of UHI). | Putra Muhamad Iqbal Januadi [19] |
An exhaustive study proposing a new index aimed at quantifying the hazard of the absolute maximum UHI intensity in urban districts during the summer season by taking all the parameters influencing the phenomenon into account. In addition, for the first time, the influence of each parameter has been quantified. | Results are achieved by exploiting three synergistically related techniques: analytic hierarchy processes to analyze the parameters involved in the UHI phenomenon; a state-of-the-art technique to acquire a large set of data; and an optimization procedure involving a Jackknife resampling approach to calibrate the index by exploiting the effective UHI intensity measured in a total of 41 urban districts and 35 European cities. |
| Based on literature quantitative analysis. | Sangiorgio [3] |
Weighting Criteria and Prioritizing of Heat Stress Indices in Surface Mining. | The viewpoints of occupational health experts and the qualitative Delphi methods were used to extract the most important criteria. Then, the weights of 11 selected criteria were determined by the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process. Finally, the fuzzy TOPSIS technique was applied for choosing the most suitable heat stress index. |
| WBGT overestimates the heat stress. | Asghari [20] |
Tool Name | Users | Climate Change Fields of Actions | Database for UHS | Language | Tool Information | Indicator | Interventions for UHS | Projects | Refs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stadtklimalotse (Urban climate pilot) | Developed for urban planners and policymakers from small and medium-sized towns and cities who need quick and easy access to information. | Energy, health, tourism, water, infrastructure, transportation, green spaces, air quality, agriculture, forestry, heat stress. | Practice guides of 78 adaptation measures are available for resisting heat events, and among all only 3 are about green spaces in open public and private spaces, 330 links to legislative texts, and 61 examples for planning and implementation of heat stress measures. | German | Online toolkit.
| - | Green spaces | Bundesinstituts für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung (BBSR)—under different projects. (Germany) | [34] |
WBGT decision support tool | High school athletes adjust practice schedules based on heat threat through the week | Heat stress |
| English | Online tool
| WBGT | - | Collaboration between the State Climate Office of North Carolina, the SE Regional Climate Center, and the Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments | [35] |
California Heat Assessment Tool (CHAT) | Target practitioners group includes local government such as urban planners, policy makers, public health associations and agencies. | Long-term public health impacts of extreme heat. | Meteorological dataset (minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum vapor pressure deficit (vpdmin), and maximum vapor pressure deficit (vpdmax)) for the years 1984–2013 were obtained from the PRISM Climate Group, and data were extracted at a daily time-step and at a resolution of 4 km. Analyzed historical medical and meteorological data and set a threshold for prediction mapping of heat health events (HHEs). Heat vulnerability data, solutions, publications are available. | English | Decision support user-friendly web tool.
| Projected heat events, heat vulnerability, social vulnerability (% of outdoor workers, poverty, no health safety diploma, no vehicle access), health events (rate of asthma and cardiovascular diseases) environment (P concentration, ozone exceedance, UHI delta, % of tree canopy). | - | Four twenty-seven conducted UNA (California heat tool project) | [36,37] |
Right place—right tree | For city officials as well as residents who are interested in expanding or maintaining Boston’s urban forest. | Informs decision-making for planting new trees for UHI mitigation. |
| English | Decision-making online tool for Boston only.
| Summer morning land surface temperature, and heat vulnerability index. | Trees (33 species) | Supported by the BU URBAN Program, funded by a National Science Foundation Research Traineeship (NRT) grant to Boston University (DGE 1735087). | [38,39] |
Nature-based solution selection tool | Urban planners, municipalities | Challenges city is facing:Heat waves, biodiversity, flooding, public health and wellbeing, water quality, urban renewal, air quality and green space provision. |
| English |
| - | 18 green interventions and cool pavements | A toolkit developed under the project of URBAN Green Up funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 program. Eight cities were involved in this project, including 3 European cities: Valladolid (Spain), Liverpool (UK), and Izmir (Turkey). | [40] |
Adapting to the urban heat | Local government | Urban heat mitigation | Potential energy savings maps and thermal images of locations with and without interventions are presented to indicate benefits. | English | DST in a detailed document.
| Benefits and co-benefits analysis. | Cool roofs, green roofs, cool pavements, and urban forestry. | Published by Georgetown climate center—A leading resource for state and federal policy (America). | [41] |
Urban adaptation support tool | Decision-makers, urban practitioners and municipalities | Climate change; heat waves, flooding, water scarcity, ice and snow, drought. | Step by step provides: links of Climate-ADAPT case studies of concrete examples from multiple European cities, guidance and tools relevant to local adaptation action, publications, reports and other Climate-ADAPT database resources, relevant EU-funded projects, Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy resources. | English | This tool is based on the adaptation policy cycle, assists cities with making climate strategy and offers valuable support in detailed guidelines and database through adaptation plans | - | Green spaces | Published and updated under European project | [42] |
Microclimate and Urban Heat Island Mitigation Decision-Support Tool | Government municipalities, urban planners, and urban policymakers | Thermal comfort and vulnerability, UHI due to climate change | Fact sheets and publications and case studies are available. | English |
| UTCI | Vegetation, shading, water bodies, building coatings | Tool developed under the project named RP2023 was carried out by UNSW Sydney and Swinburne University in collaboration with government and industry partners. | [43] |
Climate Resilient city toolbox | Urban planners, landscape architects | Heat stress, pluvial water safety, pluvial floods, and drought. |
| Dutch |
| PET °C | 10 green and 7 blue interventions in different ways and 1 albedo. | The tool is developed by the cooperation of the following Dutch (Netherlands) partners: Deltares enabling delta life, Wageningen University and Research, Atelier Groen Blauw, TNO, Bosch Slabbers, Tauw and Hogeschool van Amsterdam. | [44,45] |
Extreme Heat Map tool | Urban planners, local government, community | Climate vulnerability assessment | Tool based on:
| English |
| Land surface temperature. | Tree shades (Coniferous and Deciduous tree canopy and shrub wetlands). | Developed under Metropolitan Council local planning assistance (Minneapolis) | [46] |
Groen Tool | City planners, planters, builders, designers, analysts, maintainers, etc. | Heat stress, air quality, water management, biodiversity, sound, CO2 absorption, and recreation and proximity. |
| Dutch |
| UH impact °C, average radiation temperature °C | Different green measures and their combinations. | The city commissioned VITO and Ghent University to develop this tool. (Belgium) | [47] |
Decision Support System (DSS) | Urban planners, decision-makers and users who are interested in mitigating urban heat. | UHI mitigation |
| English |
| Change in annual mean temperature and surface temperature, heatwave frequency. |
| Tool developed by UHI. The project was implemented through the Central Europe Programme co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund. | [48,49] |
Evaluation Criteria/ Tools | Stadtklimalotse [34] | WBGT Decision Support Tool [35] | CHAT [37] | Right Place—Right Tree [38] | NBS Selection Tool [40] | Adapting to the Urban Heat [41] | Urban Adaptation Support Tool [42] | Microclimate and Urban Heat Island Mitigation Decision-Support Tool [43] | Climate Resilient City Toolbox [44] | Extreme Heat Map Tool [46] | Groen Tool [47] | Decision Support System (DSS) [49] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expert assistance | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | − | + | + |
Social culture and other factors | − | − | + | + | + | − | − | − | + | − | - | + |
Adaptive capacity | − | + | + | + | + | − | − | + | + | − | + | + |
Good integration | − | − | + | + | − | − | − | + | + | − | + | + |
Input requirements | − | − | − | − | + | − | − | + | + | − | + | + |
Political and administrative support | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | − | − | + | + | more or less |
Quick assessment of interventions | − | − | − | + | + | − | − | + | + | + | + | + |
GUI and visualization | − | + | + | + | − | − | − | + | + | + | + | + |
Vegetation | + | − | − | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | + | + |
Other interventions | − | − | − | − | + | + | + | + | + | − | − | + |
Cost analysis | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | + | − | − | + |
Spatial | − | + | + | + | − | − | − | + | + | + | + | + |
Heat stress indicator | − | + | + | + | − | − | − | + | + | + | + | + |
User-friendly | + | + | + | + | + | − | − | + | + | + | + | + |
Uncertainty assessment | − | − | + | + | + | − | − | − | + | − | − | + |
Recommendation priority |
Color Codes | Explanation |
---|---|
Covers all criteria (Highly recommendable) | |
Covers 14/15 criteria (Highly recommendable) | |
Covers 12/15 criteria (Strongly recommendable) | |
Covers 11/15 criteria (Strongly recommendable) | |
Covers 10/15 criteria (Recommendable) | |
Covers 7/15 criteria (Slightly not recommendable) | |
Covers 4/15 criteria (Not recommendable) |
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Qureshi, A.M.; Rachid, A. Review and Comparative Study of Decision Support Tools for the Mitigation of Urban Heat Stress. Climate 2021, 9, 102. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9060102
Qureshi AM, Rachid A. Review and Comparative Study of Decision Support Tools for the Mitigation of Urban Heat Stress. Climate. 2021; 9(6):102. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9060102
Chicago/Turabian StyleQureshi, Aiman Mazhar, and Ahmed Rachid. 2021. "Review and Comparative Study of Decision Support Tools for the Mitigation of Urban Heat Stress" Climate 9, no. 6: 102. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9060102
APA StyleQureshi, A. M., & Rachid, A. (2021). Review and Comparative Study of Decision Support Tools for the Mitigation of Urban Heat Stress. Climate, 9(6), 102. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9060102