Next Article in Journal
Efficacy and Safety of First-Line Everolimus Therapy Alone or in Combination with Octreotide in Gastroenteropancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors. A Hellenic Cooperative Oncology Group (HeCOG) Study
Previous Article in Journal
Commercial Formulation of Chlorpyrifos Alters Neurological Behaviors and Fertility
Open AccessArticle

Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions

by 1,†, 2,3,*,†, 4,† and 5,†
1
School of Mathematical Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
2
Université de Bordeaux, IMB, UMR 5251, F-33400 Talence, France
3
CNRS, IMB, UMR 5251, F-33400 Talence, France
4
Département Tronc Commun, École Polytechnique de Thiés, Thies 21001, Senegal
5
Mathematics Department, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37212, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Biology 2020, 9(3), 50; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology9030050
Received: 4 February 2020 / Revised: 23 February 2020 / Accepted: 28 February 2020 / Published: 8 March 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Theoretical Biology)
We develop a mathematical model to provide epidemic predictions for the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China. We use reported case data up to 31 January 2020 from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission to parameterize the model. From the parameterized model, we identify the number of unreported cases. We then use the model to project the epidemic forward with varying levels of public health interventions. The model predictions emphasize the importance of major public health interventions in controlling COVID-19 epidemics. View Full-Text
Keywords: corona virus; reported and unreported cases; isolation; quarantine; public closings; epidemic mathematical model corona virus; reported and unreported cases; isolation; quarantine; public closings; epidemic mathematical model
Show Figures

Figure 1

MDPI and ACS Style

Liu, Z.; Magal, P.; Seydi, O.; Webb, G. Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions. Biology 2020, 9, 50.

Show more citation formats Show less citations formats
Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Access Map by Country/Region

1
Search more from Scilit
 
Search
Back to TopTop