Systematic Review of Safety of MF59-Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
- Protocol and Registration
- Eligibility CriteriaThe review focused on the following PICO question:
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- Patients (P): Adults aged ≥60 years, including hospitalized, community-dwelling, and institutionalized (e.g., long-term care and nursing home) individuals, with or without comorbidities
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- Intervention (I): Trivalent (TIV) or quadrivalent (QIV) MF59-adjuvanted influenza vaccine
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- Comparator (C):
- −
- Primary comparator: Standard-dose influenza vaccine
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- Secondary comparator: High dose influenza vaccine (HD) or other formulations
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- Outcomes (O):
- −
- Safety: Adverse events of any type and serious adverse events, as defined in primary studies. This systematic review does not include continuous outcome analysis.
- Inclusion criteria
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- Study design: RCTs and observational studies; the rationale for, including both RCTs and observational studies was due to their complementary roles in safety assessment (controlled conditions versus real-world detection of rare events).
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- Population: Adults ≥ 60 years, including high-risk groups (hospitalized, community-dwelling, and institutionalized)
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- Intervention: MF59-adjuvanted influenza vaccines (TIV or QIV)
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- Comparator: Non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines or no vaccination
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- Outcomes: Safety outcomes as defined above
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- Language: No restriction
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- Publication period: From vaccine availability to November 2024
- Exclusion criteria
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- Studies not reporting outcomes of interest
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- Non-human studies
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- Editorials, letters, commentaries, case reports, and narrative reviews
- Literature Search
- ○
- Electronic searchA search was conducted in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR), Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (DARE), PubMed, LILACS, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EMBASE, and the online database ClinicalTrials.gov. The identification of primary studies was complemented with a specific search in the PubMed database. All searches covered the period from the vaccine availability dates until November 2024, with no restrictions on publication date and status. Search strategy: (“adjuvants vaccine”[Supplementary Concept] OR “adjuvants vaccine”[All Fields] OR “vaccine adjuvant”[All Fields] OR “adjuvants, vaccine”[MeSH Terms] OR (“adjuvants”[All Fields] AND “vaccine”[All Fields]) OR “vaccine adjuvants”[All Fields] OR (“vaccine”[All Fields] AND “adjuvant”[All Fields])) AND (“influenza, human”[MeSH Terms] OR (“influenza”[All Fields] AND “human”[All Fields]) OR “human influenza”[All Fields] OR “flu”[All Fields]) AND (“adult”[MeSH Terms] OR “adult”[All Fields] OR “adults”[All Fields] OR “adult s”[All Fields]).
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- Other search sourcesTo ensure the identification of articles that may not have been detected by the search strategy or are not available in the included databases, the following sources of information were included:
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- RCTs included in other relevant systematic reviews, identified through a manual review.
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- Manual review of references from included studies.
- Study Selection
- Data ExtractionData extraction was performed independently by two reviewers (HV and MM) using standardized forms. Extracted information included:
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- Study characteristics (author, year, country, and design)
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- Participant demographics (age, sex, and comorbidities)
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- Intervention and comparator details
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- Reported outcomes, with a focus on safety for this manuscript: adverse events of any type and serious adverse events, according to definitions in primary studies.
Discrepancies were resolved by discussion or consulting a third reviewer (AB). Data were entered into pre-designed spreadsheets for analysis.
- Publication Bias
- Risk of Bias/Quality AssessmentTwo reviewers independently assessed the risk of bias of the included studies using validated tools.
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- RCTs: Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 (RoB 2) tool [17]. The five domains of bias considered in this tool were bias due to the randomization process, bias due to deviations from intended interventions, bias due to missing outcome data, bias in outcome measurement, and bias in selection of the reported result.
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- Observational studies: We evaluated methodological quality and risk of bias using the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool [18]. This framework assesses bias in seven domains. The domains assessed by this tool were: confounding factors, classification of interventions, participant selection, study selection, outcome measurement, deviations from planned interventions, missing data, and selection of reported outcomes. Two reviewers independently conducted the assessments. Any disagreement was resolved by consensus, moderated by a third reviewer. Each domain was rated as having low, moderate, serious, or critical risk of bias according to the ROBINS-I criteria. Although risk of bias was assessed at the study level, the certainty of evidence for each outcome was not formally evaluated using the GRADE approach.
Results are summarized in tables within the manuscript.
- Data Synthesis
- Effect measures
- Heterogeneity assessment
- Subgroup analysis
3. Results
3.1. Search Results
3.2. Description of Included Studies
3.3. Results of Publication Bias Assessment
3.4. Risk of Bias Assessment
3.5. Safety Results
3.5.1. Systemic Effects
- Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS)When we analyzed the data on GBS, we found no significant differences in the risk of developing this syndrome related to the use of adjuvanted vaccines. Of the 2 observational studies that reported on this outcome, one compared the unadjuvanted vaccine, and the other compared both the unadjuvanted and high dose vaccines.
- MF59-adjuvanted influenza vaccine vs. all other non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines.
- Altogether 3 observational studies were analyzed with a total of 6,473,205 subjects in the MF59-adjuvanted influenza vaccine experimental cohort and 17,479,234 subjects in the control cohort (non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines). The overall risk ratio was 1.01 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.64–1.6 (Figure 2).
- 2.
- Encephalitis
- 3.
- Other systemic effects
- MyalgiaIn myalgia/muscle pain outcome, a difference was observed between those who received the adjuvanted vaccine, with a small increased risk (RR 1.35, 95% CI 1.02–1.78), versus any other type of vaccine (Figure 4), and RR 1.67 (95% CI 1.06–2.61) versus non-adjuvanted trivalent or tetravalent SD vaccines, corresponding to an absolute risk difference of approximately 3.7%, resulting in an estimated number needed to harm (NNH) of 27, depending on baseline risk assumptions. This indicates that one additional adverse event would be expected for every 27 individuals vaccinated with the MF59-adjuvanted vaccine compared to the SD vaccine. (Figure 5).
- FatigueIn fatigue outcome, a difference was observed between those who received the adjuvanted vaccine, with an increased risk (RR 1.45, 95% CI 1.16–1.80), versus any other type of vaccine (Figure 6). No significant differences were observed when the adjuvanted vaccine was compared with SD non-adjuvanted vaccines (RR 1.34, 95% CI 0.95–1.89). However, when compared with the high dose vaccine, a higher risk of fatigue was observed (RR 1.44, 95% CI 1.06–1.96). For fatigue, the increased relative risk corresponded to an absolute risk difference of approximately 4–5%, resulting in an estimated number needed to harm (NNH) of approximately 20–25, depending on baseline risk assumptions. (Figure 7).
3.5.2. Local Effects
3.6. Subgroup Analysis
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| aTIV | adjuvant trivalent influenza vaccine |
| TIV | trivalent influenza vaccine |
| QIV | quadrivalent influenza vaccine |
| TIVHD | trivalent influenza vaccine high dose |
| RHC | recombinant hemagglutinin vaccine |
| IDTIV | intradermal trivalent influenza vaccine |
| HD | High dose |
| SD | standard dose |
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| Autor and Publication Year | Study Design | Country | Intervention | Comparator | Risk of Bias | Funding Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldo, V., 2012 [23] | RCT | Italy | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | High | University and Novartis |
| Cowling, B.J., 2020 [24] | RCT | Hong Kong | aTIV 1 | QIV 3, TIVHD 4, RHC 5 | Low | Government |
| De Donato, S., 2019 [25] | RCT | Italy | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | Moderate | Government and Novartis |
| Frey, S.E., 2014 [26] | RCT | Colombia, Panama, Filipinas, USA | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | Low | Novartis |
| Gasparini, R., 2001 [27] | RCT | Italy | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | Moderate | No declared |
| Li, R., 2008 [28] | RCT | China | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | Moderate | Novartis |
| Perez-Vilar, S., 2019 [29] | Observational study, multilayered approach to active safety surveillance | USA | aTIV 1 | HD 2, QIV 3 | Low | Government |
| Pillsbury, A.J., 2020 [30] | Cohort study of self-reported survey data | Australia | aTIV 1 | TIVHD 4, QIV 3 | Low | Government |
| Scheifele, D.W., 2013 [31] | RCT | Canada | aTIV 1 | TIV 2, IDTIV 6 | Low | Novartis, Sanofi, and government |
| Schmader, K.E., 2021 [32] | RCT | USA | aTIV 1 | TIVHD 4 | Low | Government and University |
| Shi, X.C., 2024 [34] | Self-controlled case series design | USA | aTIV 1 | any available vaccine HD 7, SD 8 | Moderate | Government |
| Sindoni, D., 2009 [35] | RCT | Italy | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | High | No declared |
| Squarcione, S., 2003 [12] | RCT | Italy | aTIV 1 | TIV 2 | Moderate | Aventis, Pasteur, and MSD |
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Manzotti, M.E.; Bengolea, A.; Vazquez, H. Systematic Review of Safety of MF59-Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults. Vaccines 2026, 14, 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14040360
Manzotti ME, Bengolea A, Vazquez H. Systematic Review of Safety of MF59-Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults. Vaccines. 2026; 14(4):360. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14040360
Chicago/Turabian StyleManzotti, Matias Edgardo, Agustin Bengolea, and Hebe Vazquez. 2026. "Systematic Review of Safety of MF59-Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults" Vaccines 14, no. 4: 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14040360
APA StyleManzotti, M. E., Bengolea, A., & Vazquez, H. (2026). Systematic Review of Safety of MF59-Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults. Vaccines, 14(4), 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14040360

