3.4.1. Calibration Performance
The calibration models were established separately for the four monitoring sections using the measured data from Cases 1 to 9. Because the 10% loading record of Case 1 was unavailable, this record was excluded rather than reconstructed. Case 1, therefore, contributed nine measured load levels from 20% to 100%, whereas each of Cases 2–9 contributed ten levels from 10% to 100%. Consequently, 89 measured calibration samples were retained for each monitoring section. The response at each loading level was obtained by averaging the three repeated tests described in
Section 3.3.
Each sectional identification model contained an intercept and eight FBG wavelength-response variables. The resulting design matrices had a rank of nine at all four sections, indicating that the available calibration cases were sufficient to estimate the nine regression parameters. The standardized condition numbers were 187.6, 296.5, 448.1, and 620.4 for Sections 1–4, respectively. Thus, none of the models was rank deficient, although the increasing condition number toward the outboard sections indicates progressively stronger correlation among the FBG responses. This trend was associated with the smaller sectional loads and the more similar strain patterns measured near the wing tip.
The calibration results are summarized in
Table 6. For bending moment, the coefficients of determination ranged from 0.9985 to 0.9998, while the RMSE ranged from 0.0105 to 0.0889 kN·m, and the NRMSE ranged from 0.454% to 1.087%. For the shear force, the R
2 ranged from 0.9846 to 0.9982, with RMSE values of 0.0209–0.0802 kN and NRMSE values of 1.213–3.351%. For torque, the R
2 ranged from 0.9961 to 0.9990, the RMSE ranged from 0.0024 to 0.0130 kN·m, and the NRMSE ranged from 0.526% to 1.306%. The maximum normalized calibration errors were 3.290%, 8.707%, and 4.523% for bending moment, shear force, and torque, respectively.
The scatter among the three repeated loading sequences remained small relative to the wavelength variations caused by the applied loads. The representative sample-level wavelength scatter was approximately 1.20 pm, and no progressive offset was observed among the repeated loading–unloading sequences after baseline correction. The repeated measurements were, therefore, averaged before the coefficient estimation, while their standard deviations were retained as indicators of measurement repeatability rather than treated as additional independent regression samples.
Figure 6 compares the reference and FBG-identified loads for all 89 calibration samples. Each row corresponds to one monitoring section, while the three columns represent bending moment, shear force, and torsional moment. The bending-moment results are tightly concentrated around the equality line, with the
R2 values ranging from 0.9985 to 0.9998 and section-level NRMSE values ranging from 0.454% to 1.087%. The torsional-moment results show similarly close agreement, with
R2 values of 0.9961–0.9990 and NRMSE values of 0.526–1.306%. In contrast, the shear-force results exhibit greater scatter, with
R2 values of 0.9846–0.9982 and NRMSE values of 1.213–3.351%. The largest dispersion occurs at Section 1, where the shear-force NRMSE is 3.351%, and the maximum normalized error reaches 8.707%. The best shear-force agreement is obtained at Section 3, where the NRMSE is 1.213%, and the maximum normalized error is 2.981%.
These component-dependent differences are consistent with the corresponding sensing mechanisms. Bending produces relatively large and opposite-sign longitudinal responses on the upper and lower wing surfaces, providing a strong and distinguishable multichannel strain pattern. Torsional moment is reconstructed from the combined responses of multiple shear-sensitive FBGs, and the chordwise variation included in the calibration cases improves its separation from bending. By comparison, shear force produces smaller wavelength variations and strain patterns that are more strongly correlated with the bending- and torsion-related responses. Its identification is, therefore, more sensitive to wavelength noise, baseline drift, local strain-transfer differences, fixture compliance, loading-coordinate uncertainty, and correlations among the FBG channels. The section-to-section variation is not monotonic, indicating that identification accuracy depends on the combined effects of response amplitude and input-channel correlation rather than on spanwise location alone. It should also be emphasized that
Figure 6 describes agreement within the calibration dataset; independent predictive performance is evaluated separately using the completely withheld Cases 10–13 in
Section 3.4.
3.4.2. Interpolation-Oriented Ground Verification
After the calibration coefficients had been fixed, Cases 10 and 11 were used for independent ground verification. These cases employed asymmetric chordwise mass distributions that differed from those used in the principal symmetric calibration cases. However, the bending moments, shear forces, and torques at all four monitoring sections remained within the load ranges covered by Cases 1–9. Cases 10 and 11 were, therefore, treated as interpolation-oriented verification cases rather than additional calibration cases. None of their measurements were used for sensor selection, coefficient estimation, or model adjustment.
As summarized in
Table 7, the bending-moment RMSE values for Cases 10–11 ranged from 0.0141 to 0.1463 kN·m across the four sections, corresponding to NRMSE values of 0.518–1.788%. The shear-force RMSE ranged from 0.0206 to 0.1754 kN, with NRMSE values of 1.398–7.327%. For torque, the RMSE ranged from 0.0020 to 0.0213 kN·m and the NRMSE ranged from 0.439% to 1.926%. The results show that the models retained approximately their calibration-level performance for bending moment and torque when applied to previously unseen load combinations within the calibrated domain.
The largest interpolation-oriented verification error occurred in the Section 1 shear-force result. Its maximum absolute error was approximately 0.323 kN, corresponding to 13.494% of the Section 1 shear-force calibration range. In comparison, the maximum normalized errors for bending moment and torque were 2.741% and 4.368%, respectively. The relatively large shear-force error was concentrated at individual loading levels and did not appear as a persistent systematic offset throughout the complete loading sequences.
The RMSE values in
Table 7 are expressed in physical units. The NRMSE and maximum normalized errors were calculated using the corresponding load ranges covered by calibration Cases 1–9 rather than the smaller ranges of the individual verification cases. This common normalization allows for the interpolation-oriented and limited-extrapolation results to be compared directly.
Figure 7 compares the reference and FBG-identified loads for all independent verification samples. The results from Cases 10 to 11 and Cases 12 to 13 are displayed using different symbols. For Cases 10–11, most bending-moment and torque points remained close to the equality line, whereas greater dispersion was observed in the shear-force results, particularly at Section 1.
3.4.3. Limited-Extrapolation Assessment
Cases 12 and 13 were used to examine the behavior of the fixed identification models near and moderately beyond the calibrated load domain. Compared with the maximum loads in Cases 1–9, the full-load bending moments in Cases 12–13 exceeded the corresponding calibration maxima by approximately 18.5%, 12.0%, 6.1%, and 2.1% at Sections 1–4, respectively. The shear forces exceeded the corresponding calibration maxima by approximately 19.2%, 30.0%, 16.6%, and 6.7%. In contrast, the positive and negative torques of Cases 12–13 remained within the torque ranges represented in the calibration dataset. Consequently, Cases 12–13 constituted limited extrapolation for bending moment and shear force but remained predominantly interpolative for torque.
The bending-moment RMSE values for Cases 12–13 ranged from 0.0167 to 0.1717 kN·m, with NRMSE values of 0.422–2.098%. The shear-force RMSE ranged from 0.0329 to 0.1717 kN, corresponding to NRMSE values of 2.232–7.174%. The torque RMSE ranged from 0.0070 to 0.0229 kN·m, with NRMSE values of 0.932–2.938%. The largest normalized error was again associated with the Section 1 shear force and reached 13.222%, equivalent to approximately 0.317 kN when expressed in physical units.
No monotonic increase in the identification error was observed from the interpolation-oriented Cases 10–11 to the limited-extrapolation Cases 12–13. For example, the bending-moment NRMSE increased at Sections 1, 2, and 4 but decreased from 0.550% to 0.422% at Section 3. The shear-force NRMSE decreased from 7.327% to 7.174% at Section 1, from 3.459% to 3.023% at Section 2, and from 4.234% to 2.471% at Section 3 but increased from 1.398% to 2.232% at Section 4. The torsional-moment NRMSE decreased at Section 2 but increased at Sections 1, 3, and 4. These component- and section-dependent trends show that exceeding the calibration range of an individual load component did not, by itself, determine the identification error.
The observed differences can be explained by the combined effects of the loading distribution and the multichannel sensing mechanism. Changing the chordwise mass distribution shifts the chordwise position of the resultant load and, therefore, changes the relative combination of bending moment, shear force, and torsional moment. It also produces a different multichannel wavelength-response pattern. Because an individual FBG may respond to more than one sectional-load component, the three loads are reconstructed from correlated multichannel inputs rather than from mutually independent sensor responses. Thus, even when an individual load component remains within its calibration range, the complete combination of load components and FBG responses may be less well represented by the calibration cases. Bending produces comparatively large and opposite-sign longitudinal responses on the upper and lower wing surfaces, whereas shear produces smaller wavelength variations and responses that are more strongly correlated with bending- and torsion-related patterns. Shear-force identification is, therefore, more sensitive to measurement noise, baseline drift, local strain-transfer differences, and correlations among the FBG inputs. This interpretation is consistent with the comparatively large shear-force errors and with the standardized condition numbers, which increase from 187.6 at Section 1 to 620.4 at Section 4. However, because the signal-to-noise ratio was not independently quantified for each FBG channel, the present results do not establish a separate quantitative relationship between channel-level signal-to-noise ratio and load-identification error.
Considering all four independent verification cases, the maximum section-level NRMSE values were 1.949% for bending moment, 7.251% for shear force, and 2.484% for torque. The corresponding comparison between Cases 10–11 and Cases 12–13 is presented in
Figure 8. The limited extrapolation did not produce a consistent increase in the bending-moment or shear-force errors at all sections. The relatively large verification errors remained concentrated in the shear-force results, whereas the bending-moment errors remained below 2.10% in both verification groups.
The results indicate that the multichannel FBG models were comparatively robust for bending-moment and torsional-moment reconstruction and remained usable under the limited bending- and shear-force extrapolation represented by Cases 12 and 13. Nevertheless, these results should not be interpreted as evidence of unrestricted extrapolation capability. Additional calibration cases and independent verification cases serve different purposes. An additional calibration case is included in the model-fitting dataset and, therefore, contributes to the re-estimation of the regression coefficients and expansion of the calibrated load domain. By contrast, an independent verification case is completely excluded from sensor selection and coefficient estimation through to model adjustment and is used only to evaluate the predictive performance of the fixed model. If the fixed model is to be assessed outside the present calibration domain without coefficient adjustment, new out-of-domain loading cases should be reserved exclusively for independent verification. If the intended application domain is to be expanded to higher load levels, different chordwise loading positions, or new load combinations, those conditions should first be incorporated as additional calibration cases, after which the refitted model should be evaluated using a separate set of independent verification cases.
The differences among the three load components can be explained by their sensing mechanisms and signal amplitudes. Bending produced comparatively large and opposite-sign longitudinal responses on the upper and lower wing surfaces, providing the regression model with a strong and distinguishable response pattern. Torque was reconstructed from the combined responses of several shear-sensitive channels, and the asymmetric loading cases improved its separation from bending. Shear force produced smaller wavelength variations and was more strongly correlated with bending- and torsion-related responses. Its identification was, therefore, more sensitive to wavelength noise, baseline drift, sensor-bonding differences, fixture compliance, uncertainties in loading-point coordinates, and correlations among the FBG channels.
The increasing condition numbers toward the outboard sections further indicate stronger correlations among the wavelength inputs. However, because the absolute loads at the outboard sections were smaller, relatively small physical errors could appear as comparatively large normalized errors. The present ground-verification results, therefore, support quantitative use within the calibrated load domain and cautious use under the limited extrapolation covered by Cases 12 and 13, rather than unrestricted application outside the tested domain.