1. Introduction
Multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) is a selective model used for evaluation of many complex decisions [
1,
2]. The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (Fuzzy-AHP), based on AHP under fuzzy environment, is one of the most robust and flexible MCDM tools in the evaluation procedure [
2,
3]. In 1980, a simple AHP method was introduced based on a ratio scale [
2,
4,
5]. The method was commonly applied in previous studies with advantages such as its simple and flexible model with a wide range of usages [
6,
7]. The disadvantages of the AHP method include the uncertainty and ambiguity in expressing opinions, as the method depends on the decision maker’s knowledge and experiences during the decision-making process. Moreover, among other factors, the AHP method does not contain feedback loops [
8].
The fuzzy set was first developed by Zadeh in 1965 [
5] and combined with Saaty’s priority theory to reduce human ambiguity [
9,
10]. Later, the Fuzzy-AHP was further developed in order to overcome the uncertainty and ambiguity of criteria weights in deterministic and inflexible classifications [
11]. Using the Fuzzy-AHP can provide a fuzzy number—interval judgment values rather than fixed or exact values [
2]. This approach reduces uncertainty in assigned relative weight. As a result, the Fuzzy-AHP has been successfully used in many actual decision situation making such as energy alternatives selection [
12,
13], supplier selection [
14], environmental sustainability evaluation [
7], and water quality assessment [
15,
16,
17]. Baghapour et al. [
15] conducted the Fuzzy-AHP with fuzzy ordered weighted averaging (FOWA) for developing of the groundwater quality index (GWQI). They further revealed that it could effectively calculate weights of groundwater quality parameters. Deng et al. [
18] used fuzzy number scales with pair-wise comparisons for solving decision problems involving qualitative data very effectively in Australia. Two of the fuzzy pair-wise comparisons and FOWA were used for different water resource assessments, such as prioritizing the restoration strategies for Lake Urmia, Iran to avoid shrinkage [
17], evaporation estimation [
19,
20], water consumption prediction [
21], rainfall-runoff forecasting and modelling [
22,
23,
24], and evaluation of groundwater pollution using GWQI [
25].
To assess water quality, various multivariate statistical analyses were successfully applied in many previous studies, such as groundwater modelling using the principal component analysis (PCA) technique [
26,
27,
28]. However, PCA can only reduce the dimensionality of large data sets based on the variation of variables in the new coordinate axis and the modelling approach required detailed data [
28,
29]. Whereas, the powerful water quality index (WQI) tool can be used to summarize a huge number of parameters into a single index [
30]. The WQI method was first developed by Horton in 1965 [
31] by using ten parameters of water quality. It has since been widely applied in Asian countries [
32]. In 1970, Brown et al. [
33] introduced a new WQI which is similar to the index of Horton. Later, many modifications were made for WQI such as the weight arithmetic water quality index (WAWQI), National Sanitation Foundation water quality index (NSFWQI), Oregon water quality index (GWQI), and WQI
al for aquatic life recommended by Mekong River Commission (MRC) [
32,
34,
35].
Many studies used the top-down approach, in which the fixed weight of groundwater quality is used to calculate the GWQI. For example, Asadi et al. [
36] and Maheswaran et al. [
37] used the weight of groundwater quality of WHO to calculate the GWQI in the Hyderabad and Salem districts of India. There are many water quality parameters that contribute to groundwater pollution in the study area, each with its own important value. In this study, we used the bottom-up approach at the local level in terms of weighted values of water quality parameters to find out the locally important groundwater parameters in An Giang province of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD). The Fuzzy-AHP technique, a systematic method, is an effective tool to weigh multiple parameters in classifying the clear groundwater quality based on GWQI. This study focused on estimating the groundwater WQI (GWQI) by using Fuzzy-AHP to assess groundwater quality in An Giang. The Fuzzy-AHP approach was used due to its computational effectiveness in weighted values of water quality selection and its ability to reduce uncertainty from experts’ opinions [
38,
39]. The pair-wise comparison with triangular fuzzy numbers, along with the weighted arithmetic index methods were used to calculate the GWQI. Inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation was used to display variation in spatial and temporal parameters which was applied in many studies [
28,
40,
41]. Clear understanding about groundwater quality changes in time and space is very essential in the VMD and An Giang.
In the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD), people rely both on surface and groundwater resources not only for irrigation and aquaculture, but also for daily domestic usage. However, the poor surface water quality with high concentrations of nutrients in secondary canals was found in An Giang [
29]. The reason is the release of untreated agricultural runoff from rice intensification inside the full-dike protected area in An Giang [
29]; as these pose serious health risks if the water is consumed without adequate treatment [
42,
43]. Therefore, groundwater sources serve as one of the main supplies for domestic water use, and partly for irrigation, due to surface water quality often exceeding the permission of the Vietnamese standards for domestic water supply in An Giang in recent years [
44]. However, a few studies on groundwater quality assessment were conducted, such as Thu et al. [
45] who investigated sources of As contamination in the groundwater in An Phu of An Giang province; Anh and Giao [
46] evaluated the impact of water quality on the health risks in An Giang province, especially with regard to As concentration. To the best of our knowledge, there are no holistic studies that evaluate groundwater quality in the context of agricultural intensification and its evolution process using the GWQI using the fuzzy number in An Giang. Therefore, in this study, we clarify whether rice intensification has an effect on groundwater quality or not. The findings of this study can provide the status of groundwater quality at a spatiotemporal scale, which would be useful for decision-makers to design timely management plans for water resources and thus minimize any further adverse effect on human’s health.
2. Study Area
An Giang province encompasses an area of about 3406 km
2 with a total population of about 2 million people in 2017. The province is located in the upper region of the VMD, which is comprised of a dense river network system (
Figure 1). The wet season starts from May to November, and the dry season occurs during December through April (
Figure 2). The mean annual rainfall is about 1400 mm, of which 90% occurs during the wet season. An Giang province is part of the agricultural intensification region of the VMD, where the water regime is mainly under human control through sluice gates, canals, and dike systems [
47,
48,
49]. The land use/land cover (LULC) map of An Giang shows the percentage of various LULC classes in 2018 with a triple, double, and single rice crop, and other classes that cover 46.6%, 24.7%, 7.3%, and 21.4%, respectively [
50]. The highly irrigated triple and double rice crops occur inside the dike system using surface water, which has negative impacts on surface and groundwater quality especially in the full-dike system [
29,
46]. Consequently, the health of two million people in An Giang may be at risk [
45,
46]. Moreover, the single rice cropping was dominant in the region that is far away from the main river with less of a river network system. The single rice cropping area also includes cultivation of rainfed rice in the wet season and vegetables in the dry season using groundwater. River discharge data show a decreasing trend in the wet season and a slightly increasing trend in the dry season from 2009 to 2017 (
Figure 1).
An Giang province belongs to the Southern part of Vietnam with five main aquifers, namely, the Upper Pleistocene aquifer (qp
3), Middle-Upper Pleistocene aquifer (qp
2-3), Lower Pleistocene aquifer (qp1), Medium Pliocene aquifer (n
22), and Lower Pliocene aquifer (n
21) [
51]. The groundwater was mostly extracted from the Pleistocene and Holocene aquifers since deposited outcrop on the surface was found, which is supplied for domestic and irrigation purposes [
52]. In 2014, the total number of existing groundwater wells was 4746, which included 233 unused/discontinued wells. Out of 4513 wells, there were 553 wells used for irrigation and 3960 wells for the domestic water supply [
53,
54,
55].
3. Data and Methodology
Groundwater quality data of eight wells were collected from 2009 to 2018 in the wet and dry seasons from the Department of Natural Resources and Environment of An Giang (DONRE) (
Figure 1). The depth of G6 and G8 wells (deep well), which ranged from 80–300 m below ground level, lie in the Pleistocene aquifer. Whereas, depth of G1, G2, G3, G4, G5, and G7 wells (shallow wells), which are exploited at the average depth of 50 m, lie in the Holocene aquifer. Furthermore, wells G5 and G6 were exploited mainly for industrial zones, while the other six wells’ supply was used for domestic uses and irrigation. Six groundwater quality parameters: As, NO
3, NH
4+, CaCO
3, total Fe, and pH were analyzed in March and September each year using standard methodology [
56].
Figure 3 shows the process to determine the relative weight for each groundwater quality parameter in order to calculate the GWQI. We conducted Fuzzy-AHP, which was developed to weight criteria in decision-making by using the output of the experts’ opinions. The weighted value was assigned by pair-wise comparison for each of the six groundwater quality parameters, including As, NO
3, pH, NH
4+, CaCO
3, and total Fe. Twenty experts were clustered in 4 groups and the experts in each group compared the parameters by pair-wise variables comparison using fuzzy triangular number scales and four scenarios of pair-wise were obtained. The Fuzzy-AHP process of weighting was accomplished in four steps and GWQI was then calculated [
16]. We used inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation to display the results of the GWQI.
3.1. The Fuzzy- AHP with Pair-Wise Comparison Approach
To achieve relative weights of groundwater quality parameters in the Fuzzy-AHP, the process was divided into four steps, namely: hierarchy construction development, pair-wise comparisons represented by fuzzy numbers, the fuzzy triangular number calculation, and normalized weights of parameters establishment.
3.1.1. Step 1: Hierarchy Construction Development
We conducted the hierarchy structure composed of three levels (
Figure 4). The first level was the overall objective to determine the quantification of the potential of groundwater resources; the second level was the comparison of water quality parameters. We used a fuzzy triangular number scale which was transferred from linguistic terms corresponding to Saaty’s scale (1980) in
Table 1 through pair-wise comparison matrices [
4,
57]. The higher weighting of a parameter shows high importance of that parameter. Finally, the groundwater quality was assessed based on five classes of GQWI.
3.1.2. Step 2: The Pair-Wise Comparisons Represented by Fuzzy Numbers
Decision making was based on the opinions of five experts in each group (professors in universities, government experts, nongovernment experts, and water supply companies) [
15]. The fuzzy triangular number scales were used to compare between two parameters and find out the more important parameter. The parameters were compared by transferring them from linguistic terms to fuzzy number (
Table 1). The pair-wise contribution matrix is expressed in Equation (Equation (1)). The sensitivity assessment was conducted to reduce the uncertainty of the experts’ opinions by comparison of parameters’ weights in four scenarios based on mean values and standard deviation (SD). The lowest SD in the weight change was selected as the optimal relative weight.
where,
: Fuzzy triangle number, tilde (
): the triangular number;
represents the
kth decision maker’s preference of
ith criterion over
jth criterion;
is the average decision-maker.
3.1.3. Step 3: Determine the Fuzzy Triangular Number
The geometric mean technique for computing the weights (
Wi) was extended to the fuzzy positive reciprocal matrices [
58] and comparison values of each parameter were calculated as shown in Equation (2).
where,
i = 1, 2, … n;
: triangular values; later, replacing the fuzzy triangular number by (-1) power of summation vector and finally making it in increasing order.
3.1.4. Step 4: The Normalized Weights of Criteria
The normalized weight (
Ni) was estimated by the corresponding normalized row mean (Equation (3)).
where,
; in which
;
is non-fuzzy number
i,
is the fuzzy weight of criterion
i;
is reverse vector.
3.2. Groundwater Quality Index (GWQI)
The estimation of the GWQI was based on parameter weighting. A weighted value was used by using pair-wise comparison to each other and this assigned weighted value played a major role in the calculation of the index value.
Table 2 shows that the limited threshold of quality values based on the National Technical Regulation on Groundwater Quality of Vietnam (standard number 09-MT:2015/BTNMT) [
59], and this was used to calculate the quality rating scale. Due to the considered parameters having different units and ranges of values, all parameters had to be turned into sub-indices expressed on a single scale. Thus, we calculated based on the following: Relative weight (
Wrj), quality rating scale (
qi), and GWQI.
3.2.1. Relative Weight Calculation ()
where,
Wrj: the relative weight for the
nth parameters and
;
wj: the weight of each parameter, a number between 0 to 1;
n: number of parameters.
3.2.2. The Quality Rating Scale Calculation ()
where,
qj: the quality rating scale for the
nth variable;
cmj: the concentration of each parameter in each sample (mg/L),
csj groundwater threshold values were specified by [
59] for each parameter (mg/L).
3.2.3. Groundwater Quality Index Calculation
In this study, we calculated the GWQI based on the weighted arithmetic index method recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) using Equation (6). The weighted arithmetic index method can be used with different parameters. It is flexible for assessment and management of water quality because it was applied in many previous studies [
16,
60,
61], Groundwater quality was classified based on rating values of GWQI in
Table 3.
where, GWQI: Groundwater quality index, a number between 0 to 300 units was divided into the five grade scales as shown in
Table 3.
5. Discussion
The groundwater sources serve as the main supply for domestic use, and partially for irrigation purposes in areas with less river networks. Understanding groundwater quality can serve policymakers to protect and effectively manage the limited water resources available in the region.
For this study, the Fuzzy-AHP considered As and total iron as the most important factors that affect the GWQI, with a weighted parameter of approximately
wi = 0.258. Temporal variation of GWQI suggests that the trend of groundwater quality at eight wells improved from 2009 to 2018 due to less sediment deposition and effective environmental management policies in An Giang. The construction of hydropower plants in the upper Mekong River basin caused a decrease in river discharge and sediment deposition in the study area [
48,
65]. Ngoc et al. [
65] predicted the reduction of sediment at Tan Chau station in the future due to the expansion of hydropower plants. Arsenic contaminant is often found as a result of natural conditions and human activities in Asian countries [
66]. Geogenically, As concentration in groundwater is found in young Quaternary deltaic and alluvial sediments and As concentration also related to sediment concentration [
66,
67]. Moreover, Chuan et al. [
67] found the high relationship between sediment and As concentration in China.
Figure 10 shows the decreasing trend of suspended solids in surface water from 2005 to 2017 at Long Xuyen station in An Giang. This result was consistent with the reduction of As concentration in the wet season. Besides the water resources, regulation related to water and environmental protection was effectively implemented in An Giang. The decision 1566/QĐ-UBND of “Environmental Protection Planning of An Giang Province up to 2020”, which was issued in 2011 limits the use of chemical fertilizers in agricultural activities, and requires waste treatment systems for raising livestock, poultry and aquatic products basing on national standards and environmental sanitation.
The quality of groundwater greatly improved from 2014 to 2018 as compared to 2009 to 2013. In 2009, four out of eight wells were identified as “bad water” quality to “unsuitable water for drinking” during wet season. In 2013, 75% and 50% of wells achieved “good water” to “excellent water” levels in the dry season and wet season, respectively. In 2018, water quality of six wells in the dry season and seven wells in the wet season achieved “good water” to “excellent water” quality (accounting for 66% in the dry season and 100% in the wet season). However, groundwater quality at well G
4 at Cho Moi district was considered mostly “unsuitable water for drinking” from 2009 to 2014 and became “good water” in the wet season in 2018. The shallow wells such as G
1, G
2, G
3, and G
4, which achieved a “bad water” quality with high As concentration, lie between the Mekong and Bassac Rivers, which have huge amounts of sediment deposition in monsoon season. This result agrees with other studies by Hoang et al. [
64] and Vongphuthone et al. [
63]. Arsenic deposition might be caused by huge amounts of sediment deposition during the monsoon season [
64,
66,
67]. The An Giang government recommends treating As in groundwater taken from Holocene and the Upper Pleistocene aquifers before using, especially in the An Phu, Phu Tan, and Cho Moi districts.
The relationship between GWQI and agricultural intensification was not very clear. For example, high GWQI together with high As concentration was found in the Northeast and Southeast regions of An Giang province. However, the Southwestern side of An Giang province, including Thoai Son, and Chau Phu districts located on the left bank of the Bassac River, had slightly higher GWQI but lower As concentration. These regions mentioned above were not using groundwater for irrigation while a triple rice cropping model was mostly cultivated, which means excessive use of fertilizers caused water quality deterioration. On the other hand, only the regions near mountainous areas such as Tri Ton and Tinh Bien districts, where single rice cropping was often applied, extracted groundwater for irrigation. Furthermore, we detected the high values of GWQI links with high As concentration, where single and double rice crops were cultivated. In a nutshell, high As contamination in groundwater was found in agricultural land which used shallow groundwater for irrigation. Here, both the redox aquifer condition and use of phosphate-rich fertilizers lead to As enrichment in the groundwater. Here, microbial colony strongly absorb both As and phosphate while catalyzing reductive dissolution of iron-oxyhydroxide under the reducing condition. On the other hand, with excessive groundwater extraction, aquifer environment becomes oxidative in nature and microbial colonies start decomposing while releasing both As and phosphate. The other potential theory is with the application of phosphate-rich fertilizers, which enhance the competitive exchange of phosphate with As [
62]. Findings from Thu et al. [
45] supported high As concentration in wells in the Northeast and Southeast regions of An Giang province that are mainly concentrated in the riverside areas with depths of 15–36 m.
The groundwater quality improved in An Giang from 2009 to 2018 mainly due to the effective management of water resources by the An Giang government. Due to the high groundwater pollution observed during mid-2000, policymakers ordered the locals not to use 1460 unused wells during 2005–2009 because these wells were not covered and thus pollution sources may leach to the aquifer, especially in the wet season with deep water levels and inundation. There was effective implementation of decisions, which were issued by An Giang government, such as 69/2010/QD-UBND (in article 8 of chapter 3) and an updated decision version 38/2015/QD-UBND that specified protection of the quality of groundwater by filling unused wells. The government decided to fill the unused wells to prevent mixing of the pollutants from agricultural activities and human waste with the groundwater. Based on the preliminary data in An Giang, in 2017, less than 300 unused wells needed to be continuously filled.
The use of fuzzy logic seems to be the clearest innovation in the last decade, and its use is appropriate for an accurate GWQI. This approach allows for evaluating the impact of each variable on the final index of the quality of the water. However, it remains to establish weighting factors for specific water use. These weighting factors must be locally determined. Also, the weighting partly affects the final index obtained and can change significantly when changing the expert’s awareness and perspective. Therefore, the sensitivity assessment was conducted to reduce the uncertainty by comparison of parameters’ weights in four scenarios based on mean values and SD. The lowest SD in the weight change was selected as the optimal relative weight. However, the disadvantage of pair-wise comparison is the need to repeat calculations as it follows the same step as the pair-wise comparison of each water quality parameters.
Although As concentration in An Giang was under the permissible limits of the National technical regulation on groundwater quality (0.05 mg/L) since 2014, it still exceeds the WHO permissible limit of 0.01 mg/L [
50]. There is insufficient evidence to conclude whether agricultural activity affects aquifer. However, we detected a high level of As in regions practicing agricultural production with the extraction of groundwater for irrigation. Many types of setup time reduction problems can be solved by using multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) techniques such as Fuzzy-AHP, but they must be utilized according to the suitability of the problem in order to develop the best decision.