Clinical and Economic Value of Rapid Microbiological Diagnostics in Bloodstream Infections: A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review with Emphasis on PCR and MALDI-TOF
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Global Burden of Bloodstream Infections (BSIs)
1.2. Limitations of Traditional Microbiological Diagnostics (Time-to-Result Delays)
1.3. Emergence of Rapid Microbiological Identification (e.g., PCR, MALDI-TOF, Multiplex Panels)
1.4. Rationale for Economic Evaluation: Improving Clinical Outcomes and Reducing Costs
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Search Strategy
2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.3. Screening and Data Extraction
2.4. Appraisal of Included Studies
- Justification of study perspective and comparators;
- Appropriateness and transparency of analytical framework or model structure;
- Time horizon and discounting assumptions;
- Sources and relevance of cost and outcome data;
- Handling of uncertainty (deterministic and/or probabilistic sensitivity analyses);
- Consideration of antimicrobial stewardship and contextual health system factors;
- Validation or calibration of models, where applicable;
- Overall reporting quality and clarity.
- Given the narrative design, no formal scoring or exclusion based on quality thresholds was applied. Instead, methodological strengths and limitations were considered during synthesis and are reflected in the interpretation of results.
2.5. Evidence Synthesis
3. Results
| Determinant | Direction of Effect on Value | Evidence Synthesis (Results-Level) | Key References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnostic modality (PCR panels, MALDI-TOF, rapid AST) | Positive, modality-dependent | All major rapid modalities demonstrate potential economic value relative to conventional workflows when embedded in optimized systems | [1,6,14] |
| Reduction in time to targeted therapy | Strong positive | Earlier organism identification and susceptibility information consistently underpins downstream clinical and economic benefits | [2,3,17] |
| Integration with antimicrobial stewardship | Critical positive modifier | Stewardship determines whether diagnostic gains translate into therapeutic optimization and resource savings | [1,19,20] |
| Laboratory workflow and operating hours | Context-dependent | Limited laboratory availability attenuates the time-to-result advantage and reduces economic benefit | [21,22] |
| Disease severity/ICU case mix | Amplifying | Greater economic value observed in severe sepsis and high-acuity populations due to higher avoidable costs | [23,24] |
| Baseline antimicrobial resistance prevalence | Amplifying | Higher resistance increases value of early optimization and avoidance of inappropriate therapy | [2,25] |
| Test cost and reimbursement context | Constraining | High assay costs or lack of reimbursement reduce probability of cost-effectiveness despite clinical benefit | [6,26] |
| Health system resources (LMIC settings) | Variable/limiting | Infrastructure and stewardship capacity constrain economic value despite potential clinical benefit | [27,28] |
3.1. Indicators of Performance: Time-to-Identification, Sensitivity, Specificity
3.2. Economic Evidence and Evaluation Approaches
4. Discussion
4.1. Diagnostic Modalities and Comparative Performance (PCR Panels vs. MALDI-TOF vs. Combined Workflows)
4.2. Role of Antimicrobial Stewardship Integration (ASPs)
4.3. Contextual Factors and Healthcare Settings: High-Income vs. Resource-Limited Contexts
4.4. Direct vs. Indirect Costs Considered
4.5. Determinants of Clinical and Economic Outcomes
4.6. Implementation Barriers and Contextual Factors
4.7. Laboratory Workflow Integration
4.8. ASP Capacity and Multidisciplinary Coordination
4.9. Clinical Adoption Challenges and Training Requirements
4.10. Health System Heterogeneity (Reimbursement, Pricing, Regional Priorities)
4.11. Policy and Practice Implications
4.11.1. Decision-Making Perspectives (Payer, Hospital, Societal)
4.11.2. Value-Based Diagnostics
4.12. Recommendations for Wider Adoption
4.13. Integration into National Antimicrobial Resistance Strategies
4.14. Limitations of the Current Evidence Base
4.15. Future Research Directions
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AMR | Antimicrobial resistance |
| ASP | Antimicrobial stewardship program |
| AST | Antimicrobial susceptibility testing |
| BC | Blood culture |
| BCID | Blood Culture Identification |
| BIA | Budget impact analysis |
| BSI | Bloodstream infection |
| CEA | Cost-effectiveness analysis |
| CHEERS | Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards |
| CUA | Cost–utility analysis |
| dRAST | Direct Rapid Antimicrobial Susceptibility Test |
| DNA | Deoxyribonucleic acid |
| FLAT MS | Fast Lipid Analysis Technique Mass Spectrometry |
| ICER | Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio |
| ICU | Intensive care unit |
| ID | Identification |
| IDSA | Infectious Diseases Society of America |
| LAMP | Loop-mediated isothermal amplification |
| LMIC | Low- and middle-income country |
| LOS | Length of stay |
| MALDI-TOF | Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight |
| MEDLINE | Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online |
| PCR | Polymerase chain reaction |
| PRISMA | Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses |
| QALY | Quality-adjusted life year |
| RDT | Rapid diagnostic test |
| RNA | Ribonucleic acid |
| SHEA | Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America |
| T2MR | T2 Magnetic Resonance |
Appendix A
Appendix A.1. Database Search Strategies
| Database | Search Strategy |
|---|---|
| PubMed (MEDLINE) with MeSH | (“bloodstream infections” [MeSH Terms] OR “sepsis” [MeSH Terms] OR “bacteremia” [MeSH Terms] OR “bloodstream infection” [tiab] OR “bacteremia” [tiab] OR “bacteraemia” [tiab]) AND (“diagnostic techniques and procedures” [MeSH Terms] OR “microbiological techniques” [MeSH Terms] OR “mass spectrometry” [MeSH Terms] OR “nucleic acid amplification techniques” [MeSH Terms] OR “rapid diagnostic” [tiab] OR “rapid identification” [tiab] OR “MALDI-TOF” [tiab] OR “multiplex PCR” [tiab] OR “rapid AST” [tiab]) AND (“cost-benefit analysis” [MeSH Terms] OR “economics” [MeSH Terms] OR “healthcare costs” [MeSH Terms] OR “economic evaluation” [tiab] OR “cost-effectiveness” [tiab] OR “cost-benefit” [tiab] OR “cost-utility” [tiab] OR “budget impact” [tiab] OR “healthcare costs” [tiab]) |
| Scopus | TITLE-ABS-KEY (“bloodstream infection” OR bacteremia OR bacteraemia) AND TITLE-ABS-KEY (“rapid diagnostic” OR “rapid identification” OR “MALDI-TOF” OR “multiplex PCR” OR “rapid AST”) AND TITLE-ABS-KEY (“economic evaluation” OR “cost-effectiveness” OR “cost-benefit” OR “cost-utility” OR “budget impact” OR “healthcare costs”) |
| Web of Science | TS = (“bloodstream infection” OR bacteremia OR bacteraemia) AND TS = (“rapid diagnostic” OR “rapid identification” OR “MALDI-TOF” OR “multiplex PCR” OR “rapid AST”) AND TS = (“economic evaluation” OR “cost-effectiveness” OR “cost-benefit” OR “cost-utility” OR “budget impact” OR “healthcare costs”) |
| EconLit | AB(“bloodstream infection” OR bacteremia OR bacteraemia) AND AB(“rapid diagnostic” OR “MALDI-TOF” OR “multiplex PCR”) AND AB(“economic evaluation” OR “cost-effectiveness” OR “budget impact”) |
| Google Scholar | “bloodstream infection” “rapid diagnostics” “economic evaluation” |
| Additional filters for all databases: | |
| Language: | English |
| Timespan: | Last 15 years |
| Categories: | “Health Policy & Services,” “Microbiology,” “Medical Laboratory Technology,” “Pharmacoeconomics & Health Economics” |
Appendix A.2. PRISMA 2020 Checklist
| Section and Topic | Item # | Checklist Item | Location Where Item is Reported |
| TITLE | |||
| Title | 1 | Identify the report as a systematic review. | N/A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review |
| ABSTRACT | |||
| Abstract | 2 | See the PRISMA 2020 for Abstracts checklist. | p. 1 |
| INTRODUCTION | |||
| Rationale | 3 | Describe the rationale for the review in the context of existing knowledge. | Introduction, Section 1.4; p. 3 |
| Objectives | 4 | Provide an explicit statement of the objective(s) or question(s) the review addresses. | Introduction, Section 1.4; p. 4 |
| METHODS | |||
| Eligibility criteria | 5 | Specify the inclusion and exclusion criteria for the review and how studies were grouped for the syntheses. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.2.; p. 5 |
| Information sources | 6 | Specify all databases, registers, websites, organizations, reference lists and other sources searched or consulted to identify studies. Specify the date when each source was last searched or consulted. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.1.; p. 6 |
| Search strategy | 7 | Present the full search strategies for all databases, registers and websites, including any filters and limits used. | Appendix A.1., Table 1; pp. 22–23 |
| Selection process | 8 | Specify the methods used to decide whether a study met the inclusion criteria of the review, including how many reviewers screened each record and each report retrieved, whether they worked independently, and if applicable, details of automation tools used in the process. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.3 and Section 2.4; pp. 5–6 |
| Data collection process | 9 | Specify the methods used to collect data from reports, including how many reviewers collected data from each report, whether they worked independently, any processes for obtaining or confirming data from study investigators, and if applicable, details of automation tools used in the process. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.3 and Section 2.4; pp. 5–6 |
| Data items | 10a | List and define all outcomes for which data were sought. Specify whether all results that were compatible with each outcome domain in each study were sought (e.g., for all measures, time points, analyses), and if not, the methods used to decide which results to collect. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.2 and Section 2.3; p. 5 |
| 10b | List and define all other variables for which data were sought (e.g., participant and intervention characteristics, funding sources). Describe any assumptions made about any missing or unclear information. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.3; p. 5 | |
| Study risk of bias assessment | 11 | Specify the methods used to assess risk of bias in the included studies, including details of the tool(s) used, how many reviewers assessed each study and whether they worked independently, and if applicable, details of automation tools used in the process. | Not applicable (narrative synthesis with qualitative appraisal; see Section 2.4, p. 6) |
| Effect measures | 12 | Specify for each outcome the effect measure(s) (e.g., risk ratio, mean difference) used in the synthesis or presentation of results. | Not applicable (no quantitative synthesis performed) |
| Synthesis methods | 13a | Describe the processes used to decide which studies were eligible for each synthesis (e.g., tabulating the study intervention characteristics and comparing against the planned groups for each synthesis (item #5)). | Materials and Methods, Section 2.5; p. 6 |
| 13b | Describe any methods required to prepare the data for presentation or synthesis, such as handling of missing summary statistics, or data conversions. | Not applicable (no data transformation required) | |
| 13c | Describe any methods used to tabulate or visually display results of individual studies and syntheses. | Table 1, p. 8 and Table 2; p. 11 Narrative synthesis (Results and Discussion), pp. 7–21 | |
| 13d | Describe any methods used to synthesize results and provide a rationale for the choice(s). If meta-analysis was performed, describe the model(s), method(s) to identify the presence and extent of statistical heterogeneity, and software package(s) used. | Materials and Methods, Section 2.5.; p. 6 | |
| 13e | Describe any methods used to explore possible causes of heterogeneity among study results (e.g., subgroup analysis, meta-regression). | Not applicable (no formal heterogeneity analysis) | |
| 13f | Describe any sensitivity analyses conducted to assess robustness of the synthesized results. | Not applicable (no sensitivity analysis performed) | |
| Reporting bias assessment | 14 | Describe any methods used to assess risk of bias due to missing results in a synthesis (arising from reporting biases). | Not applicable |
| Certainty assessment | 15 | Describe any methods used to assess certainty (or confidence) in the body of evidence for an outcome. | Not applicable |
| RESULTS | |||
| Study selection | 16a | Describe the results of the search and selection process, from the number of records identified in the search to the number of studies included in the review, ideally using a flow diagram. | Results, pp. 7–12 Figure 1 (PRISMA diagram), p. 8 |
| 16b | Cite studies that might appear to meet the inclusion criteria but were excluded, and explain why they were excluded. | Results (reasons for exclusion described), pp. 7 | |
| Study characteristics | 17 | Cite each included study and present its characteristics. | Results, pp. 7–12 Table 1, p. 8 and Table 2, p. 11 |
| Risk of bias in studies | 18 | Present assessments of risk of bias for each included study. | Not applicable (qualitative appraisal only; see Section 2.4, p. 6) |
| Results of individual studies | 19 | For all outcomes, present, for each study, (a) summary statistics for each group (where appropriate) and (b) an effect estimate and its precision (e.g., confidence/credible interval), ideally using structured tables or plots. | Narrative synthesis (Results, pp. 7–12) |
| Results of syntheses | 20a | For each synthesis, briefly summarize the characteristics and risk of bias among contributing studies. | Narrative synthesis (Results and Discussion), pp. 7–21 |
| 20b | Present results of all statistical syntheses conducted. If meta-analysis was done, present for each the summary estimate and its precision (e.g., confidence/credible interval) and measures of statistical heterogeneity. If comparing groups, describe the direction of the effect. | Not applicable (no meta-analysis) | |
| 20c | Present results of all investigations of possible causes of heterogeneity among study results. | Narrative discussion of heterogeneity (Results, pp. 7–12) | |
| 20d | Present results of all sensitivity analyses conducted to assess the robustness of the synthesized results. | Not applicable | |
| Reporting biases | 21 | Present assessments of risk of bias due to missing results (arising from reporting biases) for each synthesis assessed. | Not applicable (no formal assessment of reporting bias due to missing results was conducted because no quantitative synthesis or meta-analysis was performed) |
| Certainty of evidence | 22 | Present assessments of certainty (or confidence) in the body of evidence for each outcome assessed. | Not applicable (no formal certainty/confidence assessment framework, such as GRADE, was applied due to the narrative design and absence of pooled outcome estimates) |
| DISCUSSION | |||
| Discussion | 23a | Provide a general interpretation of the results in the context of other evidence. | Discussion, pp. 12–21 |
| 23b | Discuss any limitations of the evidence included in the review. | Discussion, Section 4.14; pp. 19–20 | |
| 23c | Discuss any limitations of the review processes used. | Discussion, Section 4.14; pp. 19–20 | |
| 23d | Discuss implications of the results for practice, policy, and future research. | Discussion, Section 4.11, Section 4.12 and Section 4.13; pp. 18–19 | |
| OTHER INFORMATION | |||
| Registration and protocol | 24a | Provide registration information for the review, including register name and registration number, or state that the review was not registered. | Not registered |
| 24b | Indicate where the review protocol can be accessed, or state that a protocol was not prepared. | No protocol prepared | |
| 24c | Describe and explain any amendments to information provided at registration or in the protocol. | Not applicable | |
| Support | 25 | Describe sources of financial or non-financial support for the review, and the role of the funders or sponsors in the review. | This study is financed by the European Union—NextGenerationEU, through the National Recovery and Resilience Plan of the Republic of Bulgaria (project No. BG-RRP-2.004-0007-C01). The funder had no role in the design of the study, data collection, analysis, interpretation of data, or writing of the manuscript. |
| Competing interests | 26 | Declare any competing interests of review authors. | The authors declare no conflicts of interest. |
| Availability of data, code and other materials | 27 | Report which of the following are publicly available and where they can be found: template data collection forms; data extracted from included studies; data used for all analyses; analytic code; any other materials used in the review. | Research data can be obtained upon request. |
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| Diagnostic Modality | Typical Turnaround Time | Economic Evaluation Types | Key Economic Outcomes Reported | Cost-Effectiveness Conclusion | Key Modifiers of Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MALDI-TOF (±ASP) | 30–60 min after BC positivity | CEA, CUA, cost-consequence | Cost per QALY gained; cost per life saved; reduced LOS; avoided ICU days | Cost-effective/cost-saving when combined with ASP; inconsistent value without ASP | ASP integration; laboratory operating hours; LOS reduction magnitude |
| Multiplex PCR panels (e.g., BCID) | 1–4 h | CEA, CUA, BIA | Favorable ICERs; reduced total hospital costs; avoided antimicrobial costs | Cost-effective, often cost-saving despite higher assay costs | Test price; speed of result communication; stewardship response |
| Direct-from-blood molecular assays | 1–4 h (no culture delay) | CEA, modeling studies | Cost per death averted; reduced ICU utilization | Cost-effective in high-severity settings | Disease severity; prevalence of resistance; assay cost |
| Rapid phenotypic AST platforms | 4–8 h after BC positivity | CEA, cost-consequence | Reduced LOS; ICU cost avoidance | Context-dependent; strongest with ASP | Workflow integration; timing vs. standard AST |
| Combined diagnostic workflows (RDT + ASP + communication) | Same-day actionable results | CEA, CUA, BIA | Consistently favorable ICERs; net cost savings | Highest economic value across settings | Stewardship capacity; staffing; real-time reporting |
| Conventional blood culture workflows | 16–72 h | Comparator | Higher LOS; higher mortality-related costs | Reference strategy | — |
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Raycheva, R.; Lengerova, G.; Petrov, M.; Kantardjiev, T. Clinical and Economic Value of Rapid Microbiological Diagnostics in Bloodstream Infections: A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review with Emphasis on PCR and MALDI-TOF. Microorganisms 2026, 14, 994. https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14050994
Raycheva R, Lengerova G, Petrov M, Kantardjiev T. Clinical and Economic Value of Rapid Microbiological Diagnostics in Bloodstream Infections: A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review with Emphasis on PCR and MALDI-TOF. Microorganisms. 2026; 14(5):994. https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14050994
Chicago/Turabian StyleRaycheva, Ralitsa, Gergana Lengerova, Michael Petrov, and Todor Kantardjiev. 2026. "Clinical and Economic Value of Rapid Microbiological Diagnostics in Bloodstream Infections: A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review with Emphasis on PCR and MALDI-TOF" Microorganisms 14, no. 5: 994. https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14050994
APA StyleRaycheva, R., Lengerova, G., Petrov, M., & Kantardjiev, T. (2026). Clinical and Economic Value of Rapid Microbiological Diagnostics in Bloodstream Infections: A State-of-the-Art Evidence Review with Emphasis on PCR and MALDI-TOF. Microorganisms, 14(5), 994. https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14050994

