1. Introduction
Global warming as a result of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions has become a focal topic of public debate over the past few decades. Around 75% of the global GHG emissions come from energy use [
1]. Among numerous energy-consuming sub-sectors, the building sector is the greatest single contributor to global energy consumption and GHG emissions, accounting for about 40% of primary energy consumption and 33% of GHG emissions [
2]. Thus, buildings have significant potential to achieve energy saving and GHG emission reductions.
To overcome the current environmental and energy challenges, it is important to improve building energy efficiency significantly. In the European Union (EU), the policy makers have realized the importance of building energy performance and published relative regulations, including the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) [
3] and the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED) [
4]. In addition to the requirement to improve the energy efficiency of new buildings, the energy efficiency regulations also require the implementation of energy efficiency measures in connection with major renovations. This encouraged more ambitious renovations in the existing stock of buildings, especially for those built prior to the oil crises and the rise of contemporary concerns about energy security and global warming. The latest proposal of the EPBD specifies that new buildings must be zero-emission buildings by 2030 and sets a target to achieve a zero-emission building stock by 2050 [
5].
However, only 12% of the EU residential stock has been renovated to meet climate change targets, while 9% of the non-residential stock has been renovated to date [
6]. Renovation rates of existing buildings are as low as only 1.2–1.4% per year in Europe, which cannot ensure the transition of the EU building sectors towards climate-neutral levels by 2050 [
7]. Thus, the EU commission published its Renovation Wave Strategy to boost the renovations in 2020. It aims to double the annual energy renovation rates within the next 10 years and ensure that renovations lead to higher energy and resource efficiency, and 35 million buildings could be renovated by 2030. The renovation wave in the EU focuses on tackling energy poverty and the worst-performing buildings and decarbonizing heating and cooling [
8].
Although the building stock is heterogeneous across Europe, one common feature is that residential buildings comprise the majority of the floor area in all the EU countries, the share of which varies from at least 60% to more than 85%. Residential buildings comprise 84%, 81% and 83% of the total floor area in Greece, Portugal and Spain, respectively. Around 38% of the EU residential building stock was built before the 1970s, when the first national thermal regulations were created, which means that a significant part of the EU residential buildings were built without taking thermal insulation performance as a primary consideration. In southern European countries, the proportion of residential buildings constructed before the 1970s in Greece, Portugal and Spain is on par or lower than the EU levels, being 31%, 38% and 31%, respectively [
9].
Regarding the energy consumption levels of residential stocks, the average residential energy consumption is 184 kWh/m
2a in the EU [
9]. Specific to different southern European countries, the average residential energy consumption is 121 kWh/m
2a, 70 kWh/m
2a and 103 kWh/m
2a in Greece, Portugal and Spain, respectively, which is much higher than nearly zero energy building (NZEB) energy performance level for residential buildings in the corresponding countries. To satisfy the NZEB energy performance levels, the existing residential buildings in Greece, Portugal and Spain would have to consume less than 75 kWh/m
2a, 55 kWh/m
2a and 50 kWh/m
2a of non-renewable primary energy [
10].
Thus, the EU residential stock reserves significant energy saving potential. Several studies on the building energy saving potential in southern European countries can be found in the literature. According to a study based on the Greek residential stock, if Greek residential buildings complied with the minimum requirement of the Hellenic Building Energy Performance Regulation (REPB), annual space-heating energy could be reduced by 63% to 70%, depending on the climate zones [
11]. A case study illustrated that the primary energy consumption of a Portuguese stone masonry building could be reduced by around 52% by implementing energy retrofits according to the Passive House Certificate for retrofit (EnerPHit) requirements [
12]. Another study assessed the potential of energy conservation measures for the Spanish building stock, and it showed that applying all energy conservation measures as a package offers a potential technical reduction in the final energy demand of 55% and a 65% reduction in CO
2 emissions [
13].
Building energy is significantly wasted nowadays due to outdated construction practices, the use of inefficient systems or appliances and a lack of effective technical control systems. To limit the energy waste, the renovation of the existing buildings could stem from demand-side management, supply-side management and energy consumption patterns [
14].
In terms of demand-side management, the heating and cooling demands can be reduced by renovating the building fabric (e.g., installing thermal insulation panels) and windows (e.g., multiple glazing windows) and using advanced technologies such as window shading systems, etc. Compared with a conventional building, the energy saving potential of a well-insulated building varies from 50% to 90% depending on the type of building, climate conditions, construction year and thermal insulation level before renovation [
15]. A study on the European residential stock showed that the improvement of the building shells of existing and new residential buildings provides a huge energy saving potential, which could amount to roughly 90 Mtoe by 2030 for all EU countries [
16].
Regarding the performance of envelope retrofits in southern European climates, taking the renovation of three Albanian traditional houses in different cities as an example, when their exterior walls, windows and ceilings were well insulated by typical measures, the corresponding annual total energy demand was reduced by 36% to 46% depending on the outdoor temperature level of the buildings’ location [
17]. According to a study based on the modelling of a renovation of a multi-family building in Portugal, if the building was insulated to fulfill the requirement of major renovations (Portaria 297/2019), the annual primary energy demand and CO
2 emissions would be decreased by 33% and 26%, respectively [
18]. Another study analyzing energy conservation potential in the Spanish building stock by modelling showed that insulating the floor, exterior wall, roof and windows to meet the standards of the building code in force could foster a reduction of around 40% in the final energy consumption of the Portuguese residential stock [
13].
In addition, promoting energy-efficient equipment and low-energy technologies can also conserve building energy consumption from the demand side. The common technologies include heat recovery ventilation, energy-efficient lighting and appliances, the smart control of technical systems, thermal storage, etc. As a requirement of the Passivhaus standard [
19], heat recovery ventilation is widely implemented in northern and central European countries. A study showed that ventilation heat recovery can reduce the primary energy consumption by a minimum of 20% in Germany and Sweden [
20].
Due to climate differences, the impact of heat recovery ventilation on building energy consumption in southern European countries is much lower. A study on the Spanish residential building stock stated that the installation of ventilation systems with heat recovery capacities in the residential stock could lead to a 3% reduction in the final energy demand [
13]. Additionally, the study also estimated the residential energy saving potential of the improvement of the efficiency of lighting or appliances, which would result in a 3% or 2% final energy demand reduction, which is lower than the maximum energy reduction potential (7%) offered by single retrofit technologies (e.g., thermal insulation of the floor), while the corresponding CO
2 emissions could be reduced by 10% or 7%. Another study focusing on the case of multi-family buildings constructed from 1961 to 1980 in Portugal showed that replacing an old gas boiler with a more efficient gas-condensing boiler could bring about a 42% reduction of the annual primary energy demand and CO
2 emissions [
18].
Retrofit technologies for supply-side management consist of electric system retrofitting and the use of renewable energy as alternative energy sources to provide buildings with electricity and thermal energy. The common renewable energy sources (RES) applicable to the residential sector include bioenergy, solar, wind and low-enthalpy geothermal energy. To utilize the renewable energy in residential retrofits, the corresponding technologies, such as biomass boilers, solar thermal collectors, photovoltaic panels and wind turbine and ground-source heat pumps, may be taken into account [
21].
The utilization of renewable energy in residential buildings has significant energy saving and carbon emission reduction potential for southern European countries. Mata et al. [
13] analyzed the energy conservation potential of utilizing renewable energy in the Spanish residential stock through building-stock modelling. The study showed that the installation of solar collectors for hot water or the replacement of existing fuel boilers with biomass boilers with an efficiency of 90% could reduce the annual final energy demand of the residential stock by 7% or 5%, which is equal or close to the maximum energy conservation potential (7% reduction) brought about by insulating the floor, the external walls or the roof in the same study. The corresponding CO
2 emissions were reduced by 7% after installing solar collectors and even 40% with more efficient biomass boilers.
In addition, a case study of a typical stand-alone family house in Greece also demonstrated the significant energy saving potential of RES systems in southern European climatic conditions [
22]. In a Greek house, the conventional system consists of water radiators powered by a boiler, a split cooling unit and an electric heater for domestic hot water (DHW). These were replaced by a ground-source heat pump for heating/cooling and a solar thermal system with electric backup heating for DHW. The RES system realized an energy consumption reduction of 54% relative to the conventional systems.
Regarding the passive measures beneficial for heating and cooling demand reductions, bio-aerogel thermal insulation is more environmentally friendly than other thermal insulation materials on the market, while having a relatively good thermal insulation performance [
23]. A PV vacuum window has thermal insulation properties similar to multi-glazing windows, and the integrated PV module can also produce electricity for a building’s internal usage [
24]. The insulating breath membrane panels can not only improve the thermal insulation level of a building envelope, but also reduce heat loss through infiltration if they are installed over the building structure [
25].
In terms of low-energy technologies, a room-specific air handling unit with heat recovery (RAHU) is an energy saving option, as a mechanical ventilation system, since it utilizes the excess heat of exhaust air to heat up the supply air [
26].
As for the generation measures, a photovoltaic/thermal (PV/T) system is a power generation technology that converts solar radiation into usable thermal and electrical energy [
27]. In addition, a solar-assisted heat pump (SAHP) is another option, which contains a heat pump and solar collectors acting as an evaporator in a single integrated system [
28].
Although the studies verified the performances of these novel retrofit technologies individually, to the authors’ best knowledge, there is no research that combines them in different packages to assess their building-level performance.
In addition to renovating buildings through the building envelope or technical systems, changing occupant behaviors, such as a heating schedule, have significant impacts on building energy consumption, which can also be seen as energy renovation methods. Differently from the common continuous heating used in northern European countries, intermittent heating is more commonly used in Southern European countries. Either intermittent heating habits or the absence of heating are common in Portugal due to warm climate conditions, low incomes and expensive energy costs, as well as some cultural contexts and rooted habits [
29]. In Greece as well, to reduce the operational costs, most of the residential building owners use their space-heating systems for only 3–4 h per day [
30]. Correspondingly, the lower limit of acceptable indoor temperatures during the heating season in southern European countries is lower than that in Nordic countries. According to [
31], the lower limit of accepted indoor temperatures is 18 °C in Portugal, which is lower than 20 °C in Finland, according to [
32].
The simulation-based study conducted by Laskari et al. [
33] revealed that heating schedules affect residential energy usage and indoor temperatures effectively. Several studies [
11,
12,
13] proved that energy renovation measures and their packages have significant energy saving potential for the southern European residential stock. However, to the authors’ best knowledge, no scientific paper has discussed the heating schedules as an effective influencing factor in building energy efficiency achieved by renovation. Thus, the impacts of intermittent or continuous heating schedules on the energy conservation potential of different energy renovation technologies are still not fully understood or are oversimplified.
This study aims to analyze and present the impacts of energy renovation technologies and their combinations on building energy consumption, CO2 emissions and indoor climates through dynamic building simulations. Scientific research which evaluates the building-level performances of the novel retrofit technologies is still lacking. Thus, the novelty of this study is its assessment of the performance of several novel technologies and their combinations at the building level. Three typical residential buildings in Greece, Portugal and Spain were chosen as the demo sites to implement building-level simulations of retrofit technologies. The analysis focuses on the retrofit technologies that are not yet in the market. In the pre-study, the selected technologies were estimated to have a payback time less than 12 years. The actual cost efficacy was not included in this analysis. Moreover, the study focused mostly on reducing space-heating and DHW energy consumption, because the summer air room temperatures are still acceptable without mechanical cooling systems according to the test reference years’ weather data. Only one of the demo buildings was equipped with an air conditioning device. Based on these simulations with different heating schedules, this study also evaluated and quantified the impacts of intermittent or continuous heating schedules on the building energy efficiency achieved by energy renovation. In addition, as these demo sites cover three different types of residential buildings in southern Europe, this research can also play a guiding role in methods for choosing the most effective retrofit technologies for residential renovations under these climatic conditions.
4. Discussion
The simulation results of the renovation technologies in the demo buildings reveal the energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction potentials of the novel technologies under southern European climate conditions. They are of great significance to the development of sustainable renovation concepts for southern European residential buildings based on these novel technologies. In addition, the comparison between the simulation results under the intermittent or continuous heating schedules shows how the heating schedule affects the energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction achieved by the renovation technologies.
The residential buildings in northern European countries are commonly continuously heated, while intermittent heating schedules are more commonly used in southern European countries. According to the simulation results, this difference heating schedules has a significant impact on the reduction in the building energy consumption acquired by energy renovations. In the same building, the technologies in the passive or ventilation packages had a higher energy conservation potential when the building was continuously heated than when it was intermittently heated. When the residential buildings were continuously heated, the energy efficiency brought about by the passive or ventilation packages was fully reflected in the altered energy consumption, since the indoor temperature was maintained at a similar level before and after renovation. However, part of the energy efficiency achieved by the passive or ventilation packages was attributed to the increased temperature level when the continuous heating schedule was switched to the intermittent heating schedule.
Among the demo buildings analyzed in this study, only the Greek demo building was equipped with air conditioning devices for cooling. The cooling demand was unexpectedly low in this demo. The proportion of the time when the indoor temperatures were higher than 25 °C was 20.7%, 7.1%, and 11.9% in the Greek, Portuguese, and Spanish demo buildings, which were still within the acceptable range according to occupants’ feedback. The analysis in this study was based on the average weather data. It did not consider the exceptionally hot weather conditions, such as heat waves. Cooling is required in exceptionally hot situations. Global warming and heat waves are becoming stronger, longer and more frequent. Thus, thermal comfort and space cooling demand analyses should be carried out during heat waves for the sake of addressing health and comfort in future research.
The retrofit packages had varying degrees of impact on the building energy consumption. The passive package focused on reducing heat loss through the building envelope by installing the thermal insulation and changing windows, thereby reducing the space-heating demand, which accounts for the majority of the total energy consumption. In terms of the ventilation package, the space-heating demand was further reduced, since heat loss through the building envelope declined as a result of the thermal insulation and airtightness improvements, and the poor indoor air quality caused by the airtightness improvement was also resolved by the installation of the RAHU. In terms of the generation packages, the installation of the PV/T system or SAHP resulted in a considerable reduction in the energy consumption and CO2 emissions. To maximize the energy consumption and CO2 emissions reduction in the demo buildings, the renovation of the demo buildings with the final combinations of the retrofit technologies is recommended, as this guaranteed that the primary energy and CO2 emissions were reduced by over 60% when they were continuously heated.
In addition to energy consumption and CO2 emissions reduction, some retrofit technologies also affected the indoor climate significantly. As the indoor climate has a significant impact on the physical and mental health of occupants, it is important to take into account the changes to the indoor climate before and after renovation. When the existing demo buildings were intermittently heated, for a significant portion of the time, the indoor temperature was much lower than the space-heating setpoint. After insulating the external walls and roofs with bio-aerogel thermal insulation material or a breath membrane, the indoor temperature increased significantly. However, the airtightness improvement caused by installing the breath membrane also led to higher CO2 concentrations than the levels before renovation. Thus, it is essential to install the RAHU in order to lower the indoor CO2 concentrations when the breath membrane is used in the retrofitting.
Simulation is an ideal tool for assisting in decision-making when retrofit technologies and their sizing are being selected. However, when these technologies are applied in real projects, it may be impossible to implement all the technologies involved in the final combinations, as they were simulated in the building models in this study due to several reasons, such as budget limitations, historical building protections, etc. Thus, the priority of each technology in the renovation should be determined according to its impact on the energy consumption and indoor climate. The technologies in the passive package can be sorted in terms of priority in the order of bio-aerogel thermal insulation, PV vacuum windows and PCM. For the ventilation package, the insulating breath membrane is highly recommended for renovation due to its significant effect on the space-heating demand. Meanwhile, installing the RAHU is required in order to maintain a good indoor air quality after renovation with the insulating breath membrane. The PV/T system and SAHP are both suitable for residential renovations in the warm region of Europe. However, the best choice of generation measures depends on the on-site conditions of the demo buildings. The PV/T system is recommended for residential buildings heated by electric heating systems, while the SAHP is more suitable for residential buildings equipped with a hydronic heat distribution system (e.g., water radiators).
These renovation suggestions are only based on the simulation results, and it is not known whether the choice of a specified technology and the method for installing it will be affected by many other factors in the actual renovation, such as installation and maintenance costs, local regulations, etc. Since the Portuguese local regulations do not allow for the renovation of the outside of building facades, as in the case of the Portuguese demo house, the insulation panels can only be installed on the inside of the building facades, and the thickness should be reduced in order to reduce the budget and the occupation of living spaces. As these novel technologies will be applied in renovations, it is necessary to implement the investment analysis and life cycle cost calculation. However, the prices of some novel technologies have not yet reached a competitive level (e.g., the bio-aerogel thermal insulation), and the customer price of some novel technologies (e.g., the RAHU, SAHP) has not yet been determined for the studied countries. As the projects on which this study is based are further advanced, more detailed analyses, such as multi-objective optimizations, will be presented in the next relevant paper.
There are some limitations to the building-level simulations of retrofit technologies. The selected demo buildings are only examples of the existing residential building stock in South Europe. They cannot describe all the residential building stock’s possible features, such as heat transfer coefficients of building envelopes, implemented technical systems, renovation statuses, local weather conditions and microenvironments, usage and maintenance situations, etc. For the reference cases, not all input data of the demo building models were defined according to the existing demo buildings. Parts of the input data were specified based on assumptions, while some other data came from the literature. In terms of the retrofit package simulations, the parameters of several novel technologies came from the limited laboratory tests, which may differ from the values when they are applied in the renovations. The unavailable parameters of some components in the novel technologies, such as the parameters of the solar thermal collectors integrated into the SAHP, were defined according to similar products on the market or the built-in models in IDA ICE.
5. Conclusions
The main objective of this paper was to analyze and examine energy renovations with novel technologies in three representative residential buildings in the southern European countries. Additionally, it also revealed the impact of the heating schedule on the energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction potentials of novel technologies. In the building-level simulations, the novel renovation technologies were divided into the passive, ventilation and generation retrofit packages, then simulated separately under the intermittent or continuous heating schedule in the modelling software IDA ICE. Finally, two different combination scenarios of the retrofit packages were also simulated to calculate the maximum energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction potentials of all the demo buildings.
The dynamic simulation results show that all the retrofit technologies analyzed in this study have different effects on the building energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Among the technologies included in the passive package, insulating the external walls and roofs with bio-aerogel thermal insulation materials had the greatest impact on the primary energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the demo buildings, while the PV vacuum windows and PCM had a much smaller impact. In terms of the ventilation package, the insulating breath membrane had a similar impact on the primary energy and CO2 emissions to the bio-aerogel thermal insulation material in the demo buildings. In regard to the lowering of the indoor CO2 concentrations after installing the insulating breath membrane, the installation of the RAHU resulted in slightly increased primary energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Regarding the generation package, the PV/T system led to a considerable energy and CO2 emissions reduction in all the demo buildings. The impact of the SAHP on the primary energy and CO2 emissions in the Greek and Portuguese demo buildings was minor compared to that in the Spanish demo building.
Thus, to achieve a greater energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction, the bio-aerogel thermal insulation and insulating breath membrane are the most recommendable renovation measures. If the insulating breath membrane is used, it is necessary to install the RAHU to ensure good indoor air quality. In contrast, the PV vacuum window and PCM are less recommendable due to their minor effects on the energy consumption and CO2 emissions. The choice of generation technologies depends on the actual conditions of the buildings, such as the type of existing heating system.
As for the maximum primary energy and CO2 emissions reduction in the demo buildings, the final combination including the PV/T system brought about a 66% and 74% reduction in the primary energy and a 65% and 75% reduction in the CO2 emissions in the Greek and Portuguese demo buildings. The final combination including the SAHP reduced the primary energy by 65% and the CO2 emissions by 74% in the Spanish demo building.
The energy and CO2 emissions conservation potential of the retrofit technologies was significantly affected by the heating schedules applied to the demo buildings. The energy conservation potential of the thermal insulating measures, such as the bio-aerogel thermal insulation and insulating breath membrane, was enhanced when the intermittent heating schedule was switched to the continuous heating schedule in the demo buildings. Most of the time, the indoor temperature was maintained at the heating setpoint in the continuously heated demo buildings. Nevertheless, when the buildings were intermittently heated, for a considerable portion of the time, the indoor temperature was lower than the heating setpoint due to the shortened heating period. Even during the heating period, the indoor temperature may not reach the heating setpoint. Therefore, although the thermal insulation was improved significantly after renovation, the space heating system still worked at a relatively high power to approach the heating setpoint. The space heating demand did not reduce as much as that in the continuously heated building. The thermal insulation improvement resulted in an indoor temperature increase in the intermittently heated demo buildings.
However, the relative energy and CO2 emissions reduction achieved by the generation technologies decreased when the intermittent heating schedule was switched to the continuous heating schedule. As the heating time extended, the space-heating demand increased significantly. The higher the space-heating demand was, the lower the proportion of the demand covered by the generation measures was and the higher the proportion of the back-up heating demand was. The energy and CO2 emissions conservation potential of the generation measures decreased following a higher share of the heating demand covered by the back-up heater.
The results and conclusions of this study can be generalized to similar climates and buildings when deep renovations are conducted in the existing residential buildings.