Applying Circuit Theory and Risk Assessment Models to Evaluate High-Temperature Risks for Vulnerable Groups and Identify Control Zones
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Sources and Pre-Processing
2.3. Wind Environment Characteristics
3. Research Methodology
3.1. Research Framework
3.2. The Setup of Air Inlets and Outlets
3.2.1. Primary Inlets and Outlets Site Identification Based on Dominant Summer Wind Direction
3.2.2. Secondary Inlets and Outlets Identification Based on Function Space and Compensation Space
3.3. GIS-Based Ventilation Resistance Surface Construction
3.4. Construction of Urban Ventilation Corridor Based on Circuit Theory
3.5. Heat Risk Assessment Model
4. Results
4.1. Results of Air Inlet and Outlet Settings
4.2. Resistance Surface Construction of Ventilation Corridor Based on ArcGIS Platform
4.2.1. Analysis of Building Form Parameters
4.2.2. Ventilation Resistance Analysis
4.3. Ventilation Corridor Construction
4.4. Spatial Identification of Heat Risk for Vulnerable Groups
4.5. Prioritizing the Control of Heat Risk Zones for Vulnerable Groups Based on a Supply–Demand Perspective
5. Discussion
5.1. Overall Pattern Delineation and Control Strategy of Urban Ventilation Corridor
5.2. Advancing Ventilation Corridor Identification and Equity-Oriented Function Evaluation
5.3. Shortcomings and Prospects
6. Conclusions
- (1)
- The surface temperature in Minhang District exhibits a pattern of being higher on the west side and lower on the east side of the Huangpu River. The urban heat island effect shows localized aggregation, primarily concentrated around transportation hubs, large commercial areas, and industrial zones. The distribution of urban cold islands is uneven, with most located in the east. In contrast, cold islands in the western region are small and scattered. The cold island areas are predominantly composed of blue–green spaces such as cultivated land, woodlands, parks, and rivers. The ventilation resistance in Minhang District decreases from the central area toward the north and south. The central built-up area has taller, denser buildings, creating greater wind obstruction. In comparison, the northern and southern suburbs have a higher green space coverage and lower building density, giving these areas a higher overall ventilation potential.
- (2)
- We set 12 inlets and 12 outlets for the primary ventilation corridor; 7 air inlets and 6 outlets are separately set at the geometric centers of the compensation spaces and the action spaces. Based on circuit theory, 12 primary ventilation corridors aligned with the prevailing summer winds and 9 ecological pinchpoints totaling 0.43 km2 were identified. In total, 42 secondary corridors were constructed using the ventilation resistance coefficient to alleviate the heat island effect, connect urban cold islands, and promote internal air circulation within Minhang District and 6 ecological pinchpoints totaling 0.49 km2 were identified.
- (3)
- A health risk assessment framework for heat, based on the “hazard–accessibility–vulnerability” model, identified five resident districts totaling 1.45 km2 in Minhang District with the highest heat risk. From a supply–demand perspective, a 5.68 km2 area exhibited imbalances. Renewal and renovation strategies were proposed to address these challenges, focusing on the need to introduce ventilation corridors, adjust buildings, enhance ecological benefits, promote energy-efficient cooling, and moderate development. At the urban scale, the land within the ventilation corridors was divided into three zones: ecological control zone, pollution industry prevention and control zone, and built land control zone. Targeted control strategies were developed for each zone. The implementation of these plans requires strong policy support, and it is recommended that local laws and regulations be enacted to protect and regulate the development and use of ventilation corridors. Additionally, integrating the planning management system with a wind corridor assessment system and involving multiple departments in the planning review process will strengthen the enforcement of wind environment control measures.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Data | Resolution | Time | Data Source | Indicator |
---|---|---|---|---|
LANDSAT/LC08/C02/T1_LR | 30 m | 1 June–31 August for four consecutive years, 2019–2022 | https://earthengine.google.com/ (accessed on 26 March 2024) | Land surface temperature, LST |
Meteorological data | / | 2012–2022 | http://sh.cma.gov.cn/ (accessed on 5 April 2024) | Dominant summer winds in Shanghai |
Building data | / | 2020 | https://www.openstreetmap.org/ (accessed on 17 March 2024) | Building footprints, including information on location and number of floors |
Neighborhood demographic data | / | 2023 | Mobile operators (accessed on 28 June 2024) | Age (≤5 and ≥65) |
LST Grade | Grading Criteria |
---|---|
Low temperature | Ti < Tmean − 1 std |
Sub-low temperature | Tmean − 1 std ≤ Ti < Tmean − 0.5 std |
Medium temperature | Tmean − 0.5 std ≤ Ti < Tmean+0.5 std |
Sub-high temperature | Tmean + 0.5 std ≤ Ti < Tmean + 1 std |
High Temperature | Tmean + 1 std ≤ Ti |
Level | VRC | Importance |
---|---|---|
1 | VRC > 1.5 | High |
2 | 1.5 ≥ VRC ≥ 1.0 | Relatively High |
3 | 1.0 > VRC ≥ 0.5 | General |
4 | 0.5 > VRC ≥ 0.1 | Relatively Poor |
5 | VRC < 0.1 | None or Poor |
Value | Significance |
---|---|
10 | Low demand (LD) |
20 | Slightly low demand (SLD) |
30 | Medium demand (MD) |
40 | Slightly high demand (SHD) |
50 | High demand (HD) |
Value | Significance |
---|---|
1 | Low supply (LS) |
2 | Slightly low supply (SLS) |
3 | Medium supply (MS) |
4 | Slightly high supply (SHS) |
5 | High supply (HS) |
Control Priority | Supply–Demand Combinations | Value | Redevelopment Recommendations | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Introduce ventilation corridors | Adjust buildings | Enhance ecological benefits | Promote energy-efficient cooling | Moderate development | |||
I | HD-LS, HD-SLS, HD-MS, SHD-LS, SHD-SLS, SHD-MS, MD-MS, | 51, 52, 53, 41, 42, 43 | ☑ | ☑ | ☑ | ☑ | |
II | MD-MS, MD-LS, MD-SLSLD-LS, LD-SLS, LD-MS, SLD-LS, SLD-SLS, SLD-MS | 31, 32, 33, 21, 22, 23, 11, 12, 13 | ☑ | ☑ | ☑ | ☑ | |
III | SHD-SHS, SHD-HS | 14, 15 | ☑ | ☑ |
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Chen, X.; Zhang, L.; Zhong, Q.; Zhang, G.; Yi, Y.; Wang, D.; Zhang, Q. Applying Circuit Theory and Risk Assessment Models to Evaluate High-Temperature Risks for Vulnerable Groups and Identify Control Zones. Land 2025, 14, 1378. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071378
Chen X, Zhang L, Zhong Q, Zhang G, Yi Y, Wang D, Zhang Q. Applying Circuit Theory and Risk Assessment Models to Evaluate High-Temperature Risks for Vulnerable Groups and Identify Control Zones. Land. 2025; 14(7):1378. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071378
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Xuanying, Lang Zhang, Qicheng Zhong, Guilian Zhang, Yang Yi, Di Wang, and Qingping Zhang. 2025. "Applying Circuit Theory and Risk Assessment Models to Evaluate High-Temperature Risks for Vulnerable Groups and Identify Control Zones" Land 14, no. 7: 1378. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071378
APA StyleChen, X., Zhang, L., Zhong, Q., Zhang, G., Yi, Y., Wang, D., & Zhang, Q. (2025). Applying Circuit Theory and Risk Assessment Models to Evaluate High-Temperature Risks for Vulnerable Groups and Identify Control Zones. Land, 14(7), 1378. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071378