An Integrated Geographical-Disaster Factor Approach for Sustainable Management: Case Study of Traditional Villages in Karst Mountains
Abstract
1. Introduction
- To quantitatively delineate the spatial distribution characteristics of all 757 traditional villages in Guizhou, identifying core clustering areas and directional trends.
- To systematically analyze the driving mechanisms behind this distribution by integrating key geographical factors (altitude, slope, and aspect) with critical disaster factors (flood and landslide susceptibility).
- To construct a robust spatially suitable evaluation model by innovatively coupling the objective statistical power of Geodetector with the structured decision-making framework of the AHP for weight assignment.
- Based on the evaluation results, to propose differentiated sustainable management and spatial governance strategies tailored to the specific suitability and risk profiles of different zones within the province.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Sources
2.3. Research Methodologies
- Data collection and processing: data for 757 villages and key spatial factors were collected and standardized within a GIS platform.
- Spatial distribution characteristics analysis: the spatial distribution pattern was analyzed using kernel density and standard deviational ellipse methods to identify clustering characteristics.
- Evaluation factor selection and classification: five evaluation factors (altitude, slope, aspect, flood, and landslide sensitivity) were selected and classified into different suitability levels.
- Factor driving force analysis: the Geodetector tool was applied to quantify each factor’s explanatory power and its interactive effects on village distribution.
- Integrated spatial suitability evaluation model: an integrated evaluation model was constructed by combining the objective weights from the Geodetector with the AHP to assign final factor weights.
- Suitability evaluation and result: a spatial suitability map was generated through weighted overlay analysis in GIS and classified into four distinct zones for result interpretation and policy formulation.
2.3.1. Data Collection and Processing
2.3.2. Spatial Distribution Characteristics Analysis
2.3.3. Evaluation Factor Selection and Classification
2.3.4. Factor Driving Force Analysis
2.3.5. Integrated Spatial Suitability Evaluation Model
2.3.6. Suitability Evaluation and Result
3. Research Results
3.1. Spatial Distribution Characteristics
3.1.1. Kernel Density Analysis
3.1.2. Standard Deviational Ellipse
3.2. Spatial Suitability Evaluation Model Implementation
3.2.1. Drivers’ Classification
3.2.2. Weight Assignment
3.2.3. Spatial Suitable Evaluation System
3.3. Spatial Suitability Evaluation Result
3.3.1. Evaluation Map Generation
3.3.2. Threshold Determination
3.3.3. Zoning Results and Analysis
4. Discussion
4.1. Interpretation of Key Findings
4.2. Model Innovation and Limitations
4.3. Policy Implications
5. Conclusions
- The spatial distribution of traditional villages in Guizhou Province exhibits a dual-core clustering pattern (Qiandongnan and Anshun), with the largest number of villages and denser distribution in Qiandongnan. The overall distribution trend is centered in Qiandongnan and extends northeast-southwest. This pattern is highly consistent with Guizhou’s karst topography. Kernel density analysis and standard deviational ellipse analysis reveal that the distribution of traditional villages in Guizhou is not only constrained by geographic environment but also influenced by ethnic culture and historical development.
- This study focused on constructing a spatially suitable evaluation model for traditional villages in Guizhou based on geographical and hazard factors. Altitude (A), slope (B), and aspect (C) were selected as the basic geographical factors, and flood susceptibility (D) and landslide susceptibility (E) were selected as hazard factors. Geodetector analysis results showed that the influence of individual factors ranked as A > D > E > B > C, with altitude (q = 0.034685), flood susceptibility (q = 0.026732), and landslide susceptibility (q = 0.025567) having the strongest explanatory power. Interaction detector results showed that the interaction between altitude and landslide susceptibility was the highest (q = 0.151300), followed by the interaction between flood susceptibility and landslide susceptibility (q = 0.135186), both of which significantly outweighed the interaction effects of other factors.
- Combining the influence factors constructed using Geodetector with the AHP method, a spatial assessment system for traditional villages in Guizhou was established. The assessment results divided the province into four zones: highly suitable, suitable, moderately suitable, and unsuitable. Highly suitable areas account for 13.82% of the area and include 41.22% of Guizhou’s traditional villages. These areas are primarily located in Qiandongnan and are characterized by low altitudes and low risk. Unsuitable areas account for 22.28% of the area but only include 7.66% of the villages. These areas are primarily located in the high-altitude areas of the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. Suitable and moderately suitable areas are more sparsely distributed, differing from each other in subtle differences in comprehensive assessment. Suitable areas have higher overall scores and generally demonstrate better geographical conditions or disaster resilience. Moderately suitable areas, on the other hand, have shortcomings in one or more of these conditions.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Name | Details | Data Source | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guizhou Traditional Villages [29] | 757 villages were announced by the China Traditional Village Protection and Development Research Centre from 2012 to 2020 through six batches. | Traditional Chinese Villages Digital Museum | http://www.dmctv.cn, accessed on 15 December 2022 |
| DEM [30] | A dataset that uses a set of digital arrays to represent ground elevation information, used to describe the shape and relief of the earth’s surface, in 30 m × 30 m. | Geospatial Data Cloud | http://www.gscloud.cn, accessed on 28 June 2025 |
| Provincial Boundaries [31] | The boundary of Guizhou Province, used to clip DEM and other calculated boundaries in ArcGIS. | National Catalogue Service for Geographic Information | http://www.webmap.cn, accessed on 28 June 2025 |
| River Distribution [32] | DEM can generate river data through hydrological analysis in ArcGIS, and combine it with river distribution information to complete the processing work. | National Earth System Science Data Centre | http://www.geodata.cn, accessed on 10 July 2025 |
| Disasters Data [33] | Data from Guizhou Province were selected from China’s disaster data, which includes data on slope, collapse, and landslide disasters. | Geographic Remote Sensing Ecological Network Platform | https://gisrs.cn/, accessed on 16 July 2025 |
| Batch | Coordinate X (km) | Coordinate Y (km) | Major Axis (km) | Minor Axis (km) | Orientation (°) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 839.09 | 2920.43 | 131.96 | 95.91 | 119.21 |
| 2 | 837.22 | 2943.81 | 75.77 | 107.75 | 163.20 |
| 3 | 764.39 | 2961.75 | 197.03 | 113.90 | 58.34 |
| 4 | 771.50 | 2957.57 | 186.17 | 137.74 | 53.72 |
| 5 | 801.43 | 2919.95 | 141.96 | 117.69 | 106.59 |
| 6 | 727.94 | 2922.82 | 186.71 | 98.05 | 68.90 |
| All | 800.99 | 2939.81 | 150.14 | 125.17 | 73.32 |
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| q value | 0.034685 | 0.023618 | 0.003702 | 0.026732 | 0.025567 |
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 0.034685 | 0.087198 | 0.050285 | 0.083504 | 0.151300 |
| B | 0.087198 | 0.023618 | 0.046250 | 0.069009 | 0.069839 |
| C | 0.050285 | 0.046250 | 0.003702 | 0.055496 | 0.068983 |
| D | 0.083504 | 0.069009 | 0.055496 | 0.026732 | 0.135186 |
| E | 0.151300 | 0.069839 | 0.068983 | 0.135186 | 0.025567 |
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| B | 1/4 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| C | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| D | 1/3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| E | 1/3 | 2 | 5 | 1/2 | 1 |
| Category | Weight (%) | Indicator | Weight (%) | Reference Standards | Level | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geographical Factors | 60.33 | Altitude (m) | 43.59 | <499 | 5 | 9 |
| 499–694 | 4 | 7 | ||||
| 694–878 | 3 | 5 | ||||
| 878–1132 | 2 | 3 | ||||
| 1132–1755 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| Slope (°) | 11.94 | <10 | 5 | 9 | ||
| 10–15 | 4 | 7 | ||||
| 15–20 | 3 | 5 | ||||
| 20–25 | 2 | 3 | ||||
| 25–44 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| Aspect (°) | 4.80 | 0 | 3 | 5 | ||
| 0–22.5, 337.5–360 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 22.5–67.5, 292.5–337.5 | 2 | 3 | ||||
| 67.5–112.5, 247.5–292.5 | 3 | 5 | ||||
| 112.5–157.5, 202.5–247.5 | 4 | 7 | ||||
| 157.5–202.5 | 5 | 9 | ||||
| Disaster Factors | 39.67 | Flood Sensitivity | 22.29 | Extremely High Sensitivity | 5 | 9 |
| High Sensitivity | 4 | 7 | ||||
| Medium Sensitivity | 3 | 5 | ||||
| Low Sensitivity | 2 | 3 | ||||
| Very Low Sensitivity | 1 | 1 | ||||
| Landslide Sensitivity | 17.38 | Extremely High Sensitivity | 5 | 9 | ||
| High Sensitivity | 4 | 7 | ||||
| Medium Sensitivity | 3 | 5 | ||||
| Low Sensitivity | 2 | 3 | ||||
| Very Low Sensitivity | 1 | 1 |
| Range Divisions | Classification |
|---|---|
| 6.0172–9.0000 | Highly Suitable |
| 4.7416–6.0172 | Suitable |
| 3.5956–4.7416 | Moderately Suitable |
| 1.0000–3.5956 | Unsuitable |
| Classification | Percentage of Area | Number of Traditional Villages | Percentage of Traditional Villages |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highly Suitable | 13.82% | 312 | 41.22% |
| Suitable | 27.46% | 254 | 33.55% |
| Moderately Suitable | 36.44% | 133 | 17.57% |
| Unsuitable | 22.28% | 58 | 7.66% |
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Liu, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Genovese, P.V. An Integrated Geographical-Disaster Factor Approach for Sustainable Management: Case Study of Traditional Villages in Karst Mountains. Land 2025, 14, 2219. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112219
Liu Y, Zhang Y, Genovese PV. An Integrated Geographical-Disaster Factor Approach for Sustainable Management: Case Study of Traditional Villages in Karst Mountains. Land. 2025; 14(11):2219. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112219
Chicago/Turabian StyleLiu, Yidan, Yiping Zhang, and Paolo Vincenzo Genovese. 2025. "An Integrated Geographical-Disaster Factor Approach for Sustainable Management: Case Study of Traditional Villages in Karst Mountains" Land 14, no. 11: 2219. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112219
APA StyleLiu, Y., Zhang, Y., & Genovese, P. V. (2025). An Integrated Geographical-Disaster Factor Approach for Sustainable Management: Case Study of Traditional Villages in Karst Mountains. Land, 14(11), 2219. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112219

