Next Article in Journal
Variational Assimilation of the Impervious Surfaces Temperature
Previous Article in Journal
Climate Change and the Pattern of the Hot Spots of War in Ancient China
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
Article

Assessment of a Coastal Offshore Wind Climate by Means of Mesoscale Model Simulations Considering High-Resolution Land Use and Sea Surface Temperature Data Sets

1
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan
2
Electric Power Development Co., Ltd., Tokyo 104-8165, Japan
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Atmosphere 2020, 11(4), 379; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040379
Submission received: 28 February 2020 / Revised: 29 March 2020 / Accepted: 11 April 2020 / Published: 13 April 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)

Abstract

:
In this study, offshore wind climate assessments are carried out by using mesoscale model Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) and validated by measurement at a demonstration site located 3.1 km offshore of Choshi. An optimal nudging method is investigated by using offshore and meteorological observations. The land-use datasets are then created from a higher-resolution land-use data by using a maximum area sampling scheme according to the horizontal resolution of the mesoscale model. Finally, the sea surface temperature datasets are corrected by observation data. It is found that the relative error of annual wind speed is reduced from 7.3% to 2.2% and the correlation coefficient between predicted and measured wind speed is improved from 0.80 to 0.84 by considering the effects of land-use and sea surface temperature.

1. Introduction

Offshore wind energy has been rapidly growing as a renewable energy resource worldwide. Offshore wind climate assessment is important to evaluate a prospective offshore wind project. The meteorological masts [1,2,3,4,5] and floating lidar [6,7] have been developed to observe the precise wind profile at the specific place. Meanwhile, mesoscale modeling is broadly used to evaluate the spatially distributed wind profile. The combination of the meteorological mast or floating lidar with mesoscale modeling enables a highly accurate prediction, which is especially important at a non-uniform offshore wind climate such as a coastal region. Various studies have been conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model [8] developed by the National Center for Atmospheric Research. Berge et al. (2009) [9] showed the relative error of annual average wind speed was 1% between the WRF simulation and observations in FINO1 [1] at the height of 100 m above the sea surface. Hahmann et al. (2015) [10] indicated the relative errors of annual average wind speed were about −4% to 3% between WRF simulations with various parameter settings and observations at FINO1 at the height of 90 m and FINO2 [2] at the height of 92 m.
In Japan, the New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization had initiated the national demonstration project for a fixed-bottom offshore wind plant at Choshi, Chiba prefecture facing the Pacific Ocean since 2012 [5]. This offshore wind plant is located 3.1 km far from the coast and the water depth is about 11 m, consisting of one 2.4 MW Mitsubishi Heavy Industry wind turbine and one offshore meteorological mast. At the meteorological mast, wind speed and direction are observed at eight altitudes from the height of 20 m to 90 m to obtain the vertical wind profile. It is important to investigate the effects of land-use and sea surface temperature on the wind climate assessment by using the mesoscale modeling technique for offshore projects in Japan, since the most of the promised areas for fixed-bottom offshore wind farms are located in the coastal regions about 3–5 km far from the coast. Fukushima and Ishihara [11] showed that the relative error was 7% between WRF simulations and the observations with the same option as used by Berge et al. [9] and the observation in the mast at Choshi. The reason for the larger relative error is suggested that Choshi is located in Japan’s coastal region, while FINO 1 and FINO2 are located 45 km and 33 km offshore.
The prediction in the coastal region 3.1 km far from the coast was challenging. The resolution of the innermost domain was set as 2 km based on the previous study by Ishihara et al. [12], where the sensitivity of grid resolution with 2 km, 666 m, and 222 m was conducted at Choshi with the same turbulence model and parameters. They mentioned that the predicted monthly average wind speed was almost the same between 2 km and 222 m resolution, which indicates that the larger relative error does not come from the grid resolution but may come from the land-use and sea surface temperature datasets. The complex land-use around Choshi has a stronger effect on the offshore climate. The presence of the current Kuroshio and the inflow of the Tone River also results in a non-uniform distribution of sea surface temperature (SST) along the coastline of this site.
The sensitivity of WRF to land-use datasets has been examined. Lopez-Espinoza et al. [13], Cheng et al. [14], and Li et al. [15] pointed out that the increased urbanization produces increased daytime and nighttime temperatures. Li et al. [15] and Kamal et al. [16] showed that land-use also affects wind speeds and circulation patterns as the roughness length increases. Mallard et al. (2018) [17] investigated the effect of land-use on wind resource prediction in the United States by comparing 1-km standard United States Geological Survey (USGS) data and 30 m resolution National Land Cover Dataset (NLCD). The New European Wind Atlas [18] uses 100 m resolution land-use data instead of the standard USGS data. The effects of land-use data on a coastal offshore wind climate need to be clarified.
Mallard et al. [17] suggested that when finer land-use data is applied to the WRF, the interpolation method for land-use data is worth consideration. For datasets that provide one dominant land-use category per pixel, the nearest neighbor method is preferred and is set as the default, otherwise, the bilinear interpolation or averaging methods are preferred when the source dataset provides fractional values of land-use within each pixel for each category as is the case with USGS and NLCD datasets. Yoshie and Miura [18] proposed the maximum area scheme because the parameter in this method clearly corresponds to each land-use category compared with the bilinear interpolation or averaging methods and the precision increases with the increase of grid resolution.
Shimada et al. (2014) [19] pointed out that the use of accurate SST in the mesoscale model is a key factor. The use of a high-resolution SST from the Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) dataset [20] yields a better accuracy of the simulated winds compared with the use of a low-resolution SST from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Final analysis (FNL) dataset [21]. The New European Wind Atlas (2019) [22] also investigated the effect of SST on wind profiles by using OSTIA. The OSTIA dataset is obtained from satellite observation and an innovative bias correction scheme based on the use of ENVISAT AATSR measurements and in situ SST measurements is a fundamental component of the analysis system. However, OSTIA still does not reflect the local effect such as the river inflow. The correction method of sea surface database with observation to reflect the local phenomena needs to be investigated.
Stauffer et al. [23,24] showed that the four-dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) also known as nudging successfully reduced larger-scale phase and amplitude errors while the model realistically simulated mesoscale features which were either poorly defined or absent in the model simulations without FDDA. Vincent and Hahmann [22,25] investigated the effect of nudging and indicated that nudging an outer domain is an appropriate configuration for wind-resource modeling. Fukushima and Ishihara [11] and Misaki et al. [26] conducted the nudging by applying the grid nudging to full levels in the outer domain, and to the levels above the top of the planetary boundary layer in the inner domain. The nudging needs to be optimized before investigating the effect of land-use and sea surface temperature data. Various studies about the nudging to observations have been examined to obtain the accurate wind resource, but the nudging to the analyses data is required for offshore wind resource assessment without the local observation data.
In this study, wind climate assessment is conducted by using the mesoscale meteorological model WRF and the predicted wind profile is compared with measurements obtained at Choshi met mast. In Section 2, the numerical model and observation data are described in detail. In Section 3, the optimal nudging method is investigated by using offshore and meteorological observations. The land-use datasets are then created from a higher-resolution land-use data by using the maximum area sampling scheme according to the horizontal resolution of the mesoscale model and the effect of land use database is investigated. The correction method of sea surface database with observation is proposed and the effect of sea surface temperature is investigated. Finally, the predicted annual and seasonal average wind speeds are evaluated. The conclusions are summarized in Section 4.

2. Numerical Model and Field Measurement

In this section, the numerical model is described in Section 2.1 and the field measurement is explained in Section 2.2.

2.1. Numerical Model

An advanced mesoscale model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) Version 3.4 [8] is used to perform the simulations for a period of one year from 1st February 2013 to 31th January 2014. The simulations are conducted with a spin-up period of one month. The computational domain and the model configuration used in the WRF simulations are shown in Figure 1 and Table 1. Two nested domains are set around the offshore meteorological mast at Choshi. The outer domain has 18 km resolution and the second domain has a 6 km resolution, while the inner domain has a 2 km resolution. The minimum resolution is set as 2 km because Ishihara et al. [12] clarified that a resolution of less than 2 km does not affect the prediction accuracy as shown in Section 1. Forty-five layers are employed in the vertical direction, of which 11 layers are set below 200m at the same heights of the Doppler lidar measurement described in Section 2.2. FiNal operational global analysis data provided by NCEP (NCEP FNL) data [21] are used for the initial and lateral boundary conditions. As a default setting, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) data [27] are used for terrain and land-use data and FNL data is used for SST data.

2.2. Field Measurement

The Choshi offshore meteorological mast has been operational since 2011 in the Pacific Ocean about 3.1 km east of the Chiba prefecture. The mast is located at 35°68′ 16′’ N, 140°82′ 33′’ E in the world geodetic system. The wind turbine is located about 285 m west of the offshore met mast. Figure 2 shows the configuration of the installed measurement equipment at the mast. The maximum height of measurement is 95 m above the lowest astronomical tide. Table 2 summarizes the specification of measurement equipment. Wind speeds are measured by cup anemometers, ultrasonic anemometers and a Doppler lidar and wind directions are measured by vane anemometers. Ultrasonic anemometer data at the direction of 101.25–135.8 degrees and 258.75–281.25 degrees are excluded, which are affected by the wake of the mast and the wind turbine, respectively. Doppler lidar data at the direction of 258.75–281.25 degrees are excluded, which are affected by the wake of the wind turbine. Figure 3 shows the frequency distributions of wind speed and wind rose at the height of 80 m measured by ultrasonic anemometer and Doppler lidar. The frequency distributions of wind speed and direction measured by ultrasonic anemometer and Doppler lidar agree well. The annual average wind speeds of the ultrasonic anemometer and Doppler lidar are both of 7.79 m/s.
Figure 4 shows the comparison of 10 min average wind speeds measured by the ultrasonic anemometer and those by the Doppler lidar. The bias and root mean square error (RMSE) are evaluated by Equations (1) and (2).
b i a s = u l i d a r ¯ u s o n i c ¯
r m s e = 1 N i = 1 N ( u l i d a r u s o n i c ) 2
where u l i d a r and u s o n i c is 10 min average wind speed measured by a Doppler lidar and an ultrasonic anemometer, respectively, the bar indicates the monthly average, and N is the number of samples. The bias of wind speed measured by the ultrasonic anemometer and the Doppler lidar is small with 0.03 m/s and the coefficient of the determination is high with 0.991 at the height of 80 m. In this study, 10 min average wind speed by the Doppler lidar is used for validation of the mesoscale model.

3. The Effect of Nudging Scheme, Land-Use and Sea Surface Temperature on the Wind Prediction

The numerical simulation results are analyzed with respect to different nudging in Section 3.1, land use in Section 3, and sea surface temperature settings in Section 3.3. The simulated wind speed and wind direction are compared with measurement and the effect of each factor is clarified.

3.1. The Effect of Nudging Scheme

Nudging is a method of keeping simulations close to analyses and/or observations over the course of integration as shown in Equation (3) [8].
θ t = F ( θ ) + G θ ( θ 0 ^ θ )
where θ is the prediction variable, F ( θ ) represents the normal tendency terms due to physics, G θ is the time-scale controlling the nudging strength and θ 0 ^ is the time- and space-interpolated analysis field value towards which the nudging relaxes the solution. In this study, G θ is set as 3.0 × 10−4 as a default value and grid nudging is used.
In order to investigate the nudging effect below the planetary boundary layer, observation data is obtained from the Tateno Areological Observatory located at 36°03′ 30′’ N, 140°07′ 30′’ E in the world geodetic system, which is the nearest observatory from the Choshi site. The GPS Sonde observation is performed twice a day at 9:00JST and 21:00JST which corresponds to 0:00UTC and 12:00UTC. Monthly average data is used because one-day data has uncertainty.
The effect of nudging on the wind profile is investigated. Table 3 shows the simulation cases. Case1.1 keeps the nudging option on in all layers, Case 1.2 keeps the nudging option on only above the planetary boundary layer (PBL), and Case 1.3 keeps the nudging option on in domain 1 and off in domain 2 and 3 below the PBL. Figure 5 shows the simulated and observed monthly average wind speed below 1500 m in August when the diurnal variation is the largest in a year. The significant diurnal variation is recognized at 9:00 JST and 21:00 JST (0:00 UTC and 12:00 UTC). The predicted wind profiles in Case 1.1 underestimate the diurnal variation since the local wind climate is suppressed by the nudging, those in Case 1.2 match with the observation at 9:00 JST (0:00 UTC) and on 21:00 JST (12:00 UTC), which reproduce the diurnal variation. It indicates that the nudging above the PBL reproduces the local phenomena with less phase error. Case 1.3 shows the best agreement with observation data. The bias of annual wind speed at hub height is 0.31 m/s in Case 1.2 and Case 1.3, while RMSE reduces from 2.74 in Case 1.2 to 2.56 in Case 1.3. As a conclusion, the nudging only used in the outer domain (Case 1.3) suppresses the phase error and reproduces the local wind.
Finally, the nudging effect on the vertical wind profile in the Choshi site is investigated and shown in Figure 6. The data coverage of the Doppler lidar is 76% in August. In Case 1.1, the predicted wind profile underestimates the observation since the southerly wind over 10 m/s is suppressed. The predicted wind profile in Case 1.2 is improved and in Case 1.3 matches well with the observation. The RMSE in Case 1.3 reduces to 2.56 m/s at the height of 80 m.

3.2. The Effect of Land-Use

The digital elevation data with 50 m resolution is provided by the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan (GSI) [28] and land-use data with 100 m resolution is provided by the National Land Information Division (NLID) [29], which are used in this study instead of the standard USGS data. With 100 m resolution land-use data, the one mesoscale grid of 2 km has 400 (20 × 20) land-use data grids. In this case, the nearest neighbor method implemented in the WRF does not extract the representative land-use category, especially in the complex land-use area as shown in Figure 7. The land-use datasets are then created from higher-resolution land- use data by using a maximum area sampling scheme according to the horizontal resolution of the mesoscale model. In order to convert the land-use category of NLID to that of the USGS, the lookup table between the NLID and USGS proposed by Yoshie et al. [30] is used. Figure 8 presents the land-use map of the USGS and NLID on a large and small scale. The reproducibility of the urban area is significantly improved and the shrubland is transferred into the croplands. In Figure 8d, it is clearly found that the reproducibility of the Tone River is improved.
In this study, the effect of land-use on the wind profile is investigated as shown in Table 4. Case 2.1 and Case 2.2 use the USGS and NLID, respectively. Both cases use Case 1.3 as nudging and OSTIA data as SST as explained in Section 3.3. Figure 9 shows the vertical profile of the monthly average wind speed in December 2013. Data coverage of the Doppler lidar is 91% in December. The overestimation of wind speed is solved by using land-use data by the NLID because the terrain roughness increases with the high reproducibility of the urban area. The relative bias of monthly average wind speed at the hub height of 80 m decreases from 5.6% to 4.2% by the improvement of land-use data.

3.3. The Effect of Sea Surface Temperature

Sea surface temperature, OSTIA, is used instead of the FNL data provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction. OSTIA is a high-resolution analysis of the current SST for the global ocean. The resolution of OSTIA is about 0.05 degrees and thus about 6 km. Figure 10 shows the distribution of SST reproduced by FNL and OSTIA. OSTIA data reproduces the berthing of the Kuroshio current to the Peninsula and the inflow of the Oyashio current, while FNL data does not show the temperature variance in this detail. Figure 11 presents the time series of sea surface temperature by each database and observation data from 1st February 2013 to 31th January 2014 obtained at Hasaki Oceanographical Research Station located 18 km from Choshi. The figure indicates that FNL overestimates the sea surface temperature for all seasons, while OSTAI shows better agreement with observation. However, OSTIA also shows the maximum error of five Kelvin in the winter season since the Tone River flows in this region and lowers the sea surface temperature.
In this study, the Cressman function [31] is used for the correction of OSTIA data by the observed sea surface temperature as shown in Equation (4).
W i j = max [ 0 , R 2 d i , j 2 R 2 + d i , j 2 ]
where W i j is a weight function, R is the influence radius, d i , j is the distance between the observation site i and the mesh point j . The influence radius is identified by Equation (5).
Δ T h a s a k i = W i . j Δ T c h o s h i
Here, Δ T c h o s h i and Δ T h a s a k i is the difference in sea surface temperature between OSTIA and observations at Choshi and Hasaki. The influence radius is estimated at 226 km, which is much longer than the distance between these two sites. It indicates that the sea surface temperature pattern is very similar between Choshi and Hasaki. The variation characteristic may be different between nearshore and offshore due to the water depth difference. It needs to be verified whether the correction with the nearshore sea surface temperature can be adapted to the offshore sea surface temperature. The correlation factor between the observation data and OSTIA data with different water depths are shown in Figure 12b. The correlation factors are above 0.9 for all water depths. Therefore, the sea surface temperature database is corrected by using the Cressman function. The time resolution of the correction matches the input data of 6 h.
The effect of SST on offshore wind speed is investigated as shown in Table 5. Case 3.1 uses FNL and Case 3.2 uses OSTIA corrected by Choshi observation data. Figure 13 shows the vertical profiles of the monthly average wind speed. The bias correction of SST suppresses the convection and improves the overestimation of wind speed. As a result, the relative error in monthly average wind speed decreases from 6.3% to 2.2% at the hub height of 80 m.

3.4. Evaluation of Predicted Annual and Seasonal Average Wind Speed

The effect of high-resolution land-use data and bias-corrected SST data on the annual average wind speed is quantitatively evaluated by two cases as shown in Table 6.
Figure 14a,b show the frequency distributions of wind speed and wind rose at the hub height. Here, the measured wind speed for all directions are used, which is different from Figure 3a,b. The predicted wind speed using NLID and bias-corrected SST shows better accuracy in the low and high wind speed region since the terrain roughness length increases by using the high-resolution land data and the convection is suppressed by using the bias-corrected SST data.
Figure 14c expresses the vertical profiles of annual average wind speed. The high-resolution land data and the bias-corrected SST data significantly improve the predicted annual average wind speed at the low elevation. The predicted annual average wind speed at the height of 200 m is unaffected by the land-use and sea surface temperature and the relative error for each case is less than 1%. Figure 14d shows the annual average wind speed in each wind direction at the hub height. The predicted annual average wind speed in the north direction is improved by reproducing the Choshi city with high-resolution land-use data. The overestimation of wind speed in the south-west wind direction is also improved.
In comparison between default data used in Case 4.1 and updated data in Case 4.2, the relative error of annual average wind speed at the hub height decreases from 7.3% to 2.2% and the correlation factor of wind speed improves from 0.80 to 0.84 at the hub height of 80 m. Table 7 shows the relative error for each combination of land-use data and SST data. The 1% relative error is reduced by the high-resolution land-use data and 4.1% is reduced by using the bias-corrected SST data. The improvement of prediction accuracy in wind speed is due to the terrain roughness increase and the sea surface temperature decrease which suppresses the convection in the winter season.
Figure 15 presents the monthly average wind speed at the hub height. The predicted monthly average wind speed in Case 4.1 shows a large error in the winter season, while the predicted monthly average wind speed in Case 4.2 using the bias-corrected SST, the relative error of monthly average wind speed reduces from 15.8% to 4.1% in December.
The seasonal variation of atmospheric stability is investigated and categorized with the five levels proposed by Sathe et al. [32] as shown in Table 8. The observation of Monin-Obukhov length is evaluated by using the flux calculated from the ultrasonic anemometer installed at the hub height of 80 m. Figure 16 presents the monthly frequency of atmospheric stability of observation, Case 5.1 and Case 5.2. The predicted occurrence frequency of unstable conditions in Case 5.1 is significantly overestimated by using the USGS and FNL as shown in Figure 16b, while those using the NLID with the bias-corrected SST in Case 5.2 becomes close to the observation as shown in Figure 16c. Figure 17 shows the diurnal variation of hourly average wind speed at the hub height of 80 m. The underestimation of wind speed by using the USGS and FNL in the night time is significantly improved by using the NLID data and the bias-corrected SST.

4. Conclusions

In this study, the annual wind speed and direction are predicted by the mesoscale model WRF in a coastal region considering the nudging scheme, land-use, and sea surface temperature data sets. The predicted wind profile is compared with the observation, and the following conclusions are obtained.
  • When the nudging is applied to full levels in the outer domain and to the levels above the planetary boundary layer in the domains, the local wind is reproduced and the phase error is suppressed at the same time.
  • The land-use datasets are created from a higher-resolution land-use data by using the maximum area sampling scheme according to the horizontal resolution of the mesoscale model. The high-resolution land-use data improves the overestimation of the northerly wind from the Choshi area.
  • The bias-correction method for the sea surface temperature is proposed by using the onsite observation data. The bias-corrected sea surface temperature suppresses the convection in the winter season and improves the overestimation of annual average wind speed in the south-western direction.
  • The relative error of annual average wind speed at the hub height reduces from 7.3% to 2.2% and the correlation factor of wind speed improves from 0.80 to 0.84 by using the high-resolution land-use data and bias-corrected sea surface temperature in the coastal region. The 1% relative error is reduced by using high-resolution land-use data and 4.1% is reduced by using the bias-corrected SST data.

Author Contributions

conceptualization, T.I. and M.F.; methodology, T.I.; software, M.F.; validation, M.F.; investigation, M.F.; data curation, M.F.; writing—original draft preparation, Y.K.; writing—review and editing, Y.K.; visualization, Y.K.; supervision, T.I.; project administration, T.I.; funding acquisition, T.I. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Acknowledgments

The measurement data was obtained from New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO), Japan. Port and Airport Research Institute provided the sea temperature data. The authors wish to express their deepest gratitude to the concerned parties for thesis assistance during this study.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

References

  1. FINO1-Research Platform in the North and Baltic Seas No.1. Available online: https://www.fino1.de/en/about-fino1.html (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  2. FINO2-Reseach Platform in the Baltic Sea. Available online: https://www.fino2.de/en/ (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  3. FINO3-Reseach Platform in the North Sea and the Baltic No.3. Available online: https://www.fino3.de/en/ (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  4. Meteomast IJmuiden. Available online: https://www.windopzee.net/en/locations/meteomast-ijmuiden-mmij/ (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  5. New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO), Offshore Observation Facility Open Data. Available online: http://www.nedo.go.jp/fuusha/public/index.html (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  6. Yamaguchi, A.; Ishihara, T. A new motion compensation algorithm of floating lidar system for the assessment of turbulence intensity. J. Phys. Conf. Ser. 2016, 753, 072034. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  7. Kelberlau, F.; Neshaug, V.; Lonseth, L.; Bracchi, T.; Mann, J. Taking the motion out of floating lidar: Turbulence intensity estimates with a continuous-wave wind lidar. Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 898. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  8. Skamarock, W.; Klemp, J.; Dudhia, J.; Gill, D.; Barker, D.; Duda, M.; Huang, X.; Wang, W.; Powers, J. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3; (No. NCAR/TN-475+ STR); University Corporation for Atmospheric Research: Boulder, Colorado, USA, 2008. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  9. Berge, E.; Byrkjedal, Ø.; Ydersbond, O.; Kindler, D. Modeling of offshore wind resources. Comparison of meso-scale model and measurements from FINO-1 and North Sea oil rigs. In Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference 2009, Marseille, France, 16–19 March 2009. [Google Scholar]
  10. Hahmann, A.N.; Vincent, C.L.; Pena, A.; Lange, J.; Hasager, C.B. Wind climate estimation using WRF model output: Method and model sensitivities over the sea. Int. J. Climatol. 2015, 35, 3422–3439. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  11. Fukushima, M.; Yamaguchi, A.; Ishihara, T. Offshore wind speed prediction by using mesoscale model. In Proceedings of the Grand Renewable Energy 2014, Yokohama, Japan, 27 July–1 August 2014. [Google Scholar]
  12. Ishihara, T.; Yamaguchi, A.; Goit, J.; Tanemoto, J. Validation of numerical weather simulation by using 3D scanning lidar. J. Wind Eng. 2017, 42, 87–88. (In Japanese) [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  13. Lopez-Espinoza, E.D.; Zavala-Hidalgo, J.; Gomez-Ramos, O. Weather forecast sensitivity to changes in urban land covers using the WRF Model for central Mexico. Atmósfera 2012, 25, 127–154. [Google Scholar]
  14. Cheng, F.Y.; Hsu, Y.C.; Lin, P.L.; Lin, T.H. Investigation of the effects of different land use and land cover patterns on mesoscale meteorological simulations in the Taiwan area. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 2013, 52, 570–587. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  15. Li, D.; Bou-Zeid, E.; Baeck, M.; Jessup, S.; Smith, J. Modeling land surface processes and heavy rainfall in urban environments: Sensitivity to urban surface representations. J. Hydrometeor. 2013, 14, 1098–1118. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  16. Kamal, S.; Huang, H.-P.; Myint, S.W. The influence of urbanization on the climate of the Las Vegas metropolitan area: A numerical study. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 2015, 54, 2157–2177. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  17. Mallard, M.S.; Spero, T.L.; Taylor, S.M. Examining WRF’s sensitivity to contemporary land-use datasets across the contiguous United States Using Dynamical Downscaling. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 2018, 57, 2561–2583. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  18. Yoshie, R.; Mirura, S. Preparation of standard wind data for assessment of pedestrian wind environment using WRF. J. Wind Eng. 2014, 39, 154–159. (In Japanese) [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  19. Shimada, S.; Osawa, T.; Kogaki, T.; Steinfeld, G.; Heinemann, D. Effects of sea surface temperature accuracy on offshore wind resource assessment using a mesoscale model. Wind Energy 2015, 18, 1839–1854. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  20. Donlon, C.J.; Martin, M.; Stark, J.; Roberts-Jones, J.; Fiedler, E.; Wimmer, W. The operational sea surface temperature and sea ice analysis (OSTIA). Remote Sens. Environ. 2012, 116, 140–148. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  21. NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, NCEP Reanalysis Data Provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA. Available online: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/ (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  22. Witha, B.; Hahmann, A.; Sile, T.; Dorenkamper, M.; Ezber, Y.; Garcia-Bustamante, E.; Gonzalez-Rouco, J.F.; Leroy, G.; Navarro, J. WRF model sensitivity studies and specifications for the NEWA mesoscale wind atlas production runs. New Eur. Wind Atlas Deliv. 2019, 4. [Google Scholar]
  23. Stauffer, D.R.; Seaman, N.L.; Binkowski, F.S. Use of Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation in a Limited-Area Mesoscale Model Part II: Effects of Data Assimilation within the Planetary Boundary Layer. Mon. Wea. Rev. 1991, 119, 734–754. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  24. Stauffer, D.R.; Seaman, N.L.; Binkowski, F.S. Use of Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation in a Limited-Area Mesoscale Model Part I: Experiments with Synoptic-Scale Data. Mon. Wea. Rev. 1990, 118, 1250–1277. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  25. Vincent, C.L.; Hahmann, A. The impact of grid and spectral nudging on the variance of the near-surface wind speed. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 2015, 54, 1021–1038. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  26. Misaki, T.; Ohsawa, T.; Konagaya, M.; Shimada, S.; Takeyama, Y.; Nakamura, S. Accuracy comparison of coastal wind speeds between WRF simulations using different input datasets in Japan. Energies 2019, 12. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  27. U.S. Geological Survey. Land Use Land Cover Modeling. Available online: https://www.usgs.gov/land-resources/eros/lulc/data-tools (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  28. Geospatial Information Authority of Japan, GSI Web Site. Available online: https://www.gsi.go.jp/ENGLISH/page_e30233.html (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  29. National Spatial Planning and Regional Policy Bureau of Japan, Land Use Tertiary Mesh Data. Available online: http://nlftp.mlit.go.jp/ksj-e/gml/datalist/KsjTmplt-L03-a.html (accessed on 4 April 2020).
  30. Yoshie, R.; Miura, S.; Mochizuki, M. Validation of WRF for preparation of standard wind data for assessment of pedestrian wind environment. J. Wind Eng. 2015, 40, 113–122. (In Japanese) [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  31. Cressman, G.P. An operational objective analysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev. 1959, 87, 367–374. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  32. Sathe, A.; Grying, S.; Pena, A. Comparison of the atmospheric stability and wind profiles at two wind farm sites over a long marine fetch in the North Sea. Wind Energy 2011, 14, 767–780. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Figure 1. Domain configurations for Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations.
Figure 1. Domain configurations for Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g001
Figure 2. Installed measurement equipment.
Figure 2. Installed measurement equipment.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g002
Figure 3. (a) Frequency distributions of wind speed at the hub height and (b) Wind rose at the height of 80 m.
Figure 3. (a) Frequency distributions of wind speed at the hub height and (b) Wind rose at the height of 80 m.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g003
Figure 4. Comparison of 10 min averaged wind speeds observed by Lidar and Sonic at the height of 80 m.
Figure 4. Comparison of 10 min averaged wind speeds observed by Lidar and Sonic at the height of 80 m.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g004
Figure 5. Effect of nudging height on the monthly average wind speed at Tateno: (a) 0:00 UTC (9:00 JST) in August 2013 (b) 12:00 UTC (21:00 JST) in August 2013.
Figure 5. Effect of nudging height on the monthly average wind speed at Tateno: (a) 0:00 UTC (9:00 JST) in August 2013 (b) 12:00 UTC (21:00 JST) in August 2013.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g005
Figure 6. Effect of nudging height on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site.in August 2013.
Figure 6. Effect of nudging height on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site.in August 2013.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g006
Figure 7. Comparison of each interpolation method for changing land-use datasets to mesoscale grids.
Figure 7. Comparison of each interpolation method for changing land-use datasets to mesoscale grids.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g007
Figure 8. The land-use data sets applied in this study in the innermost domain: the wide-area map of (a) USGS (b) NLID and the detailed map of (c) USCS (d) NLID.
Figure 8. The land-use data sets applied in this study in the innermost domain: the wide-area map of (a) USGS (b) NLID and the detailed map of (c) USCS (d) NLID.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g008
Figure 9. Effect of land-use data on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site in December 2013.
Figure 9. Effect of land-use data on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site in December 2013.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g009
Figure 10. Sea surface temperature distribution on 01/02/2013 (a) FNL (b) OSTIA.
Figure 10. Sea surface temperature distribution on 01/02/2013 (a) FNL (b) OSTIA.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g010
Figure 11. Time series of sea surface temperature by FNL, OSTIA, and observations at Choshi and Hasaki.
Figure 11. Time series of sea surface temperature by FNL, OSTIA, and observations at Choshi and Hasaki.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g011
Figure 12. (a) Variation of sea surface temperature differences with the influence radii in the Cressman function. (b) Distribution of correlation coefficients between OSTIA and observations at Choshi.
Figure 12. (a) Variation of sea surface temperature differences with the influence radii in the Cressman function. (b) Distribution of correlation coefficients between OSTIA and observations at Choshi.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g012
Figure 13. Effect of sea surface temperature on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site in December 2013.
Figure 13. Effect of sea surface temperature on the monthly average wind speed at the Choshi site in December 2013.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g013
Figure 14. Effect of land-use and bias-corrected SST on the offshore wind. (a) Frequency distributions of wind speed at the hub height; (b) Wind rose; (c) Vertical profiles of annual average wind speed; (d) Directional annual average wind speeds.
Figure 14. Effect of land-use and bias-corrected SST on the offshore wind. (a) Frequency distributions of wind speed at the hub height; (b) Wind rose; (c) Vertical profiles of annual average wind speed; (d) Directional annual average wind speeds.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g014
Figure 15. Monthly averaged wind speed at the hub height of 80 m.
Figure 15. Monthly averaged wind speed at the hub height of 80 m.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g015
Figure 16. Seasonal variation of atmospheric stability: (a) Observation, (b) USGS+FNL (Case4.1) and (c) NLID+BIAS Corrected SST (Case4.2).
Figure 16. Seasonal variation of atmospheric stability: (a) Observation, (b) USGS+FNL (Case4.1) and (c) NLID+BIAS Corrected SST (Case4.2).
Atmosphere 11 00379 g016
Figure 17. Diurnal variation of hourly averaged wind speed at the hub height of 80 m.
Figure 17. Diurnal variation of hourly averaged wind speed at the hub height of 80 m.
Atmosphere 11 00379 g017
Table 1. Description of the mesoscale model and computational conditions.
Table 1. Description of the mesoscale model and computational conditions.
Domain 1Domain 2Domain 3
Simulation periodFebruary 2013–January 2014
Domain133o–149o E,
28.0o–44.0o N
138.5o–142.5o E,
33.5o–37.5o N
139.7o–141.3o E,
34.7o–36.3o N
Horizontal resolution18 km
(100 × 100 grids)
6 km
(100 × 100 grids)
2 km
(100 × 100 grids)
Vertical resolution45 levels (Surface to 50 hPa)
Time step72 sec.24 sec.8 sec.
Spin-upOne month
Boundary conditionNCEP-FNL 1o × 1o 6-hourly
Physics optionFerrier (new Eta) microphysics scheme
Rapid radiative transfer model
Dudhia scheme
Monin-Obukhov (Janjic Eta) scheme
Unified Noah land surface model
Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (Eta) TKE level 2.5 scheme
Betts-Miller-Janic scheme (Except for domain 3)
NudgingDescribed in Section 3.1
Land useDescribed in Section 3.2
Sea surface temperatureDescribed in Section 3.3
Table 2. Specification of the observations.
Table 2. Specification of the observations.
EquipmentHeightSampling Rate
Cup anemometer8 heights (20 m–90 m, 10 m interval) 4 Hz
Vane anemometer9 heights (20–90 m, 10 m interval, 95 m)4 Hz
Ultrasonic anemometer3 heights (40, 60, 80 m)20 Hz
Doppler lidar8 heights (60–200 m, 20 m interval)4 Hz
Water temperature meter3 heights (T.P. 0 m, −1 m, −2 m)4 Hz
Barometer1 height (Platform)4 Hz
Thermo-hygrometer2 heights (30 m, 80 m)4 Hz
Differential temperature meter4 heights (30–90 m, 20 m interval)4 Hz
Table 3. Cases used to investigate the effect of nudging height on the vertical wind profile.
Table 3. Cases used to investigate the effect of nudging height on the vertical wind profile.
Case Domain
123
Case 1.1Above PBL
Below PBL
Case 1.2Above PBL
Below PBL×××
Case 1.3Above PBL
Below PBL××
○ indicates that the nudging option is on and × is off.
Table 4. Cases used to investigate the effect of land-use.
Table 4. Cases used to investigate the effect of land-use.
CaseLand-UseSST
Case 2.1USGSOSTIA
Case 2.2NLIDOSTIA
Table 5. Cases used to investigate the effect of sea surface temperature.
Table 5. Cases used to investigate the effect of sea surface temperature.
CaseLand-UseSea Surface TemperatureOnsite Observation Data
Case 3.1NLIDFNLWithout Choshi observation data
Case 3.2NLIDOSTIAWith Choshi observation data
Table 6. Cases used to evaluate the predicted annual average wind speed.
Table 6. Cases used to evaluate the predicted annual average wind speed.
CaseLand-UseSea Surface TemperatureRelative ErrorCorrection Factor
Case 4.1USGSFNL7.3%0.80
Case 4.2NLIDBias corrected OSTIA2.2%0.84
Table 7. Relative error for each case.
Table 7. Relative error for each case.
Land-use DataSea Surface TemperatureRelative ErrorCorrelation
USGSNLIDFNLOSTIABias Correction
7.3%0.80
6.3%
5.6%
4.2%
2.2%0.84
○ and ● express the default land-use data and the land-use data used in this study, respectively. □ and ■ represent the default SST data and SST data used in this study. ▲ denotes the OSTIA data with the bias-correction.
Table 8. Classification of atmospheric stability according to Monin-Obukhov length intervals.
Table 8. Classification of atmospheric stability according to Monin-Obukhov length intervals.
Atmospheric Stability CategoryMonin-Obukhov Length
Very stable10 < L < 50
Stable50 < L < 200
Neutral|L| > 200
Unstable−200 < L < −100
Very unstable−100 < L < −50

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Kikuchi, Y.; Fukushima, M.; Ishihara, T. Assessment of a Coastal Offshore Wind Climate by Means of Mesoscale Model Simulations Considering High-Resolution Land Use and Sea Surface Temperature Data Sets. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 379. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040379

AMA Style

Kikuchi Y, Fukushima M, Ishihara T. Assessment of a Coastal Offshore Wind Climate by Means of Mesoscale Model Simulations Considering High-Resolution Land Use and Sea Surface Temperature Data Sets. Atmosphere. 2020; 11(4):379. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040379

Chicago/Turabian Style

Kikuchi, Yuka, Masato Fukushima, and Takeshi Ishihara. 2020. "Assessment of a Coastal Offshore Wind Climate by Means of Mesoscale Model Simulations Considering High-Resolution Land Use and Sea Surface Temperature Data Sets" Atmosphere 11, no. 4: 379. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11040379

Note that from the first issue of 2016, this journal uses article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop