Due to the distinct clinical and demographic features of HPV+ HNC as compared to HPV− HNC, HPV status has now been established as a reliable prognostic biomarker for this disease [
36]. As such, patients with HPV+ HNC would likely benefit from unique disease management approaches [
11,
58]. Factors related to the inherent biological differences between HPV+ and HPV− tumours may influence the radiosensitive phenotype of HPV+ tumours. Studies have demonstrated that HPV+ tumour cells are intrinsically more radiosensitive than HPV− tumour cells, due to radiation-induced sustained cell cycle arrest [
62,
63]. This finding may be attributed to multiple factors, including decreased degradation of p53 by E6, resulting in re-activation of canonical p53 mediated cell cycle arrest and increased apoptosis [
62], as well as impaired p16-mediated homologous recombination repair of double-stranded breaks [
63]. Moreover, HPV+ tumours appear to be generally less hypoxic than HPV− tumours [
64], resulting in a more radiosensitive phenotype, although there is conflicting evidence in this domain [
65,
66].
Smoking is well-implicated as a causative agent in HPV− HNC, and a history of heavy tobacco use is correlated with poor prognosis [
28]. Smoking is also an important risk factor in HPV+ HNC [
67]. Patients with HPV+ OPC with a history of smoking for more than 20 pack-years (PY) had a 2-year OS rate of 80%, as compared with an OS rate of 95% for HPV+ patients with a history of fewer than 20 PYs, though survival rates were still superior to HPV− OPC with over 20 PYs, with an OS rate of 63% [
31]. Thus, tobacco exposure is a key prognostic indicator in both HPV+ and HPV− disease, and it is important to include smoking history within the criteria for disease risk stratification.
Immune modulation also appears to play a significant role in HPV+ HNC, which exhibit higher levels of immune infiltration than HPV− tumours [
68]; these increased levels of immune infiltration in HPV+ tumours correlate with a significantly better outcome [
69]. Furthermore, HPV16+ HNC patients have significantly higher levels of circulating T cells specific for HPV16 E7 protein, highlighting the essential role of immune modulation in HNC biology, as well as identifying a potential novel biomarker [
70,
71].
Current treatment regimens for HNC are aggressive and have significant treatment-associated toxicities, as a result of surgery, chemotherapy, and/or radiation treatment. These include both acute toxicities, such as mucositis, nausea, pain, hematologic changes, and stomatitis, among numerous other acute side effects, and late toxicities, such as chronic xerostomia, fibrosis, edema, trismus, and dysphagia [
67]. Low risk HPV+ patients that are known to have significantly better survival rates would benefit from treatment de-intensification in order to minimize short and long-term treatment sequelae [
72], while maintaining high rates of loco-regional control [
73]. As such, a recent publication by our group described the need to refine the current recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) based TMN stage and prognostic groups for classification of HPV+ OPC, as defined by the AJCC/UICC classification system. The proposed criteria include patient age and smoking PY as well as the current RPA stage into four prognostic groups, yielding a significantly better prognostic performance than the current RPA classification [
36]. Refining these disease risk classifications to identify low, medium, and high risk patients will undoubtedly improve HPV-associated OPC management, and allow for informed clinical trial design and appropriate selection of patients for treatment de-intensification trials. Chera et al. reported results of a Phase II chemoradiation therapy de-escalation trial for 43 patients with favourable risk, HPV+, and non-smoking associated OPC, with the primary endpoint of improved pathologic complete response (pCR). Encouragingly, patients experienced improved rates of pCR and decreased toxicity compared to standard therapies (NCT01530997, [
74]). However, this study did not assess longer-term progression free survival (PFS), DFS rates, or late toxicities. The ECOG 1308 (NCT01084083) Phase II de-intensification trial examined PFS and OS of 62 HPV+ OPC patients who received low dose intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) with cetuximab following complete response to induction chemotherapy, as compared with 15 patients with partial response or stable disease who received standard dose IMRT with cetuximab. Preliminary findings of this trial report 1-year PFS rates of 91% and 87% for low dose and standard-dose groups, respectively [
75]. Importantly, sub-group analysis of patients treated with low dose IMRT that had high risk features, including advanced tumour stage, nodal stage, and smoking history of over 10 PY, identified promising efficacy, with 1-year PFS rates of 86%, 88%, and 84%, respectively. Once long-term follow-up data is available for this trial, conclusions may be drawn regarding the effect of reduced IMRT dose on OS and late toxicities in HPV+ OPC patients. Another de-escalation trial was recently established by NRG Oncology and the National Cancer Institute (NCI)-US for patients with p16 positive, non-smoking associated OPC, to examine whether reduced IMRT doses with or without cisplatin treatment maintain PFS rates observed in patients treated at higher doses, while reducing treatment-associated toxicities (NCT02254278). Results from treatment de-escalation trials such as these will be essential to establish whether the current DFS and OS rates will be maintained following de-intensification of treatment for low risk HPV+ OPC.