Sex-Based Associations Between Education Level, EAT–Lancet Diet, and 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk: The ATTICA Study (2002–2022)
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Ethical Compliance and Protection of Personal Data
2.2. Design, Setting, and Participant Recruitment
2.3. Data Collection at 2001/2002 Baseline
2.3.1. Ascertainment of Socio-Demographic Factors, Including Educational Attainment
2.3.2. Assessment of Other Explanatory Variables
2.4. Primary Endpoints Measures at the 2006, 2011/2012, and 2022 Follow-Up Examinations
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Crude Analysis of CVD Outcomes by Educational Level
3.2. Differences on Baseline CVD Predisposing Factors by Educational Level
3.3. Moderation and Mediation Analysis of the Role of Education on the 20-Year CVD Risk
3.4. Generalized Structural Equation Model (GSEM)
4. Discussion
4.1. Main Epidemiological Findings
4.2. The Pathways Between Educational Attainment and CVD Outcomes
4.3. The Interplay of Education, Healthy and Sustainable Dietary Habits, and CVD
4.4. Strengths and Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CVD | Cardiovascular diseases | 
| BMI | Body mass index | 
| BMR | Basal metabolic rate | 
| DALYs | Disability-adjusted life years | 
| EAT-LDP | EAT-Lancet diet pattern | 
| FFQ | Food frequency questionnaire | 
| GSEM | Generalized structural equation model | 
| HR | Hazards ratio | 
| hs-CRP | High-sensitivity C-reactive protein | 
| ICD | International Classification of Diseases | 
| OR | Odds ratio | 
| RR | Risk ratio | 
| RRR | Ratio of relative risks | 
| SD | Standard deviation | 
| SDI | Socio-demographic index | 
| WC | Waist circumference | 
| WHO | World Health Organization | 
| WHtR | Waist-to-height ratio | 
| WHR | Waist-to-hip ratio | 
| 95% CI | 95% confidence interval | 
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| Total Sample | Females | Males | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epidemiological Indices | Low (n = 422) | Medium (n = 847) | High (n = 719) | p-Value for Trend | Low (n = 225) | Medium (n = 431) | High (n = 345) | p-Value for Trend | Low (n = 197) | Medium (n = 416) | High (n = 374) | p-Value for Trend | 
| Age at first CVD event, years | 75 (15) | 65 (16) | 61 (14) | <0.001 | 75 (12) | 65 (12) | 59 (24) | <0.001 | 72 (19) | 65 (18) | 61 (13) | <0.001 | 
| 20-year CVD incidence, % | 62.9 | 30.9 | 26.6 | <0.001 | 62.7 | 26.5 | 19.1 | <0.001 | 62.9 | 35.6 | 33.4 | <0.001 | 
| ≤35 years old | 10.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 4.7 | |||
| 35–45 years old | 6.7 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | |||
| 45–55 years old | 51.6 | 53.6 | 52.1 | 40.3 | 55.0 | 41.2 | 64.4 | 52.4 | 59.2 | |||
| 55–65 years old | 97.8 | 95.0 | 96.3 | 96.5 | 90.2 | 91.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||
| >65 years old | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||
| 20-year CVD mortality, % | 11.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | <0.001 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | <0.001 | 18.2 | 5.7 | 3.6 | <0.001 | 
| Lifetime CVD risk, % (95% CI) | ||||||||||||
| 40–50 years old | 72.3 (70.4, 74.2) | 71.0 (69.7, 72.2) | 69.3 (67.9, 70.7) | 0.050 | 66.6 (64.0, 69.3) | 65.7 (64.0, 67.4) | 61.8 (59.6, 63.9) | 0.004 | 79.2 (77.4, 81.1) | 76.9 (75.5, 78.4) | 74.3 (72.8, 75.8) | 0.001 | 
| 50–60 years old | 65.7 (63.9, 66.7) | 65.8 (63.9, 66.7) | 63.5 (61.9, 65.2) | 0.091 | 63.7 (61.3, 66.2) | 63.8 (61.7, 65.9) | 58.6 (56.1, 61.1) | 0.002 | 67.7 (65.2, 70.3) | 66.8 (65.1, 68.6) | 67.0 (65.1, 68.9) | 0.684 | 
| 60–70 years old | 66.5 (64.5, 68.5) | 65.3 (63.2, 67.4) | 62.5 (58.8, 66.1) | 0.186 | 66.2 (63.5, 68.9) | 66.6 (63.7, 69.6) | 64.1 (63.9, 70.0) | 0.808 | 67.0 (63.9, 70.0) | 64.0 (61.0, 66.9) | 61.0 (56.2, 65.9) | 0.070 | 
| CVD burden, DALYs (95% CI) | 10.2 (9.1, 11.4) | 13.4 (12.0, 14.8) | 13.3 (11.7, 14.9) | 0.006 | 9.7 (8.3, 11.1) | 13.8 (12.0, 15.5) | 14.5 (11.4, 17.5) | <0.001 | 11.0 (9.0, 13.0) | 13.1 (11.0, 15.2) | 12.7 (10.8, 14.6) | 0.604 | 
| Total Sample | Females | Males | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Low (n = 422) | Medium (n = 847) | High (n = 719) | p-Value for Trend | Low (n = 225) | Medium (n = 431) | High (n = 345) | p-Value for Trend | Low (n = 197) | Medium (n = 416) | High (n = 374) | p-Value for Trend | 
| Age, years | 54 (19) | 43 (18) | 41 (17) | <0.001 | 56 (19) | 42 (18) | 39 (17) | <0.001 | 52 (20) | 44 (18) | 43 (15) | <0.001 | 
| Financial status, % low income | 77.7 | 62.1 | 33.8 | <0.001 | 88.8 | 68.7 | 48.3 | <0.001 | 66.4 | 55.6 | 21.6 | <0.001 | 
| Socio-economic status, % | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||||||
| Low class | 81.0 | 0 | 0 | 83.2 | 0 | 0 | 78.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Middle class | 19.0 | 94.6 | 13.1 | 16.8 | 95.5 | 18.5 | 21.6 | 93.7 | 8.6 | |||
| High class | 0 | 5.4 | 86.9 | 0 | 4.5 | 81.5 | 0 | 6.3 | 91.4 | |||
| Residential setting, % urban | 79.2 | 77.1 | 77.2 | 0.680 | 79.6 | 77.3 | 78.3 | 0.794 | 78.7 | 76.9 | 76.2 | 0.799 | 
| Hypertension, % | 40.2 | 30.6 | 26.6 | <0.001 | 41.0 | 22.6 | 13.9 | <0.001 | 39.4 | 39.3 | 38.4 | 0.957 | 
| Treated | 48.4 | 27.3 | 21.7 | 53.5 | 33.3 | 24.4 | 42.7 | 23.5 | 20.7 | |||
| Untreated but aware | 51.6 | 72.7 | 78.3 | 46.5 | 66.7 | 75.6 | 57.3 | 76.5 | 79.3 | |||
| Unaware | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Hypercholesterolemia, % | 56.6 | 39.9 | 37.3 | <0.001 | 55.6 | 34.3 | 31.3 | <0.001 | 59.0 | 45.7 | 42.9 | <0.001 | 
| Treated | 16.1 | 9.5 | 10.1 | 16.0 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 11.2 | |||
| Untreated but aware | 83.9 | 90.5 | 89.9 | 84.0 | 90.9 | 81.7 | 83.9 | 87.9 | 88.8 | |||
| Unaware | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Diabetes mellitus, % | 15.6 | 5.8 | 3.8 | <0.001 | 12.0 | 4.9 | 2.3 | <0.001 | 19.8 | 6.7 | 5.1 | <0.001 | 
| Treated | 51.5 | 40.8 | 22.2 | 59.3 | 47.6 | 25.0 | 46.2 | 35.7 | 21.1 | |||
| Untreated but aware | 43.9 | 51.0 | 74.1 | 33.3 | 47.6 | 75.0 | 51.3 | 53.6 | 73.7 | |||
| Unaware | 5.6 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 0 | 2.5 | 10.7 | 5.2 | |||
| Fibrinogen, mg/dL | 328 ± 72 | 305 ± 65 | 306 ± 71 | <0.001 | 340 ± 71 | 316 ± 66 | 307 ± 74 | <0.001 | 312 ± 70 | 293 ± 63 | 305 ± 68 | 0.006 | 
| hs-CRP, mg/L | 1.34 (2.11) | 1.03 (1.85) | 0.88 (1.80) | <0.001 | 1.62 (2.39) | 0.88 (2.06) | 0.75 (1.73) | <0.001 | 1.22 (1.77) | 1.16 (1.66) | 1.04 (179) | 0.472 | 
| Overweight and/or obesity, % | 71.7 | 54.9 | 52.0 | <0.001 | 65.8 | 40.8 | 30.9 | <0.001 | 78.5 | 69.5 | 71.6 | 0.069 | 
| Increased WC, % | 64.0 | 51.5 | 48.6 | <0.001 | 68.9 | 46.9 | 39.1 | <0.001 | 58.4 | 56.3 | 57.4 | 0.876 | 
| BMI, kg/m2 | 27.6 ± 4.6 | 26.1 ± 4.5 | 25.8 ± 4.4 | <0.001 | 27.4 ± 4.9 | 25.0 ± 4.7 | 24.0 ± 4.4 | <0.001 | 27.8 ± 4.2 | 27.2 ± 3.9 | 27.3 ± 3.8 | 0.236 | 
| WC, cm | 94 ± 14 | 90 ± 14 | 89 ± 16 | <0.001 | 89 ± 14 | 82 ± 13 | 79 ± 13 | <0.001 | 99 ± 12 | 97 ± 12 | 98 ± 14 | 0.218 | 
| WHtR | 0.57 ± 0.08 | 0.53 ± 0.08 | 0.52 ± 0.09 | <0.001 | 0.56 (0.11) | 0.49 (0.11) | 0.47 (0.09) | <0.001 | 0.57 (0.09) | 0.55 (0.08) | 0.56 (0.09) | <0.001 | 
| WHR | 0.89 (0.14) | 0.85 (0.14) | 0.86 (0.16) | <0.001 | 0.83 (0.09) | 0.79 (0.08) | 0.78 (0.09) | <0.001 | 0.95 (0.08) | 0.92 (0.09) | 0.93 (0.09) | <0.001 | 
| Energy intake adjusted to ΒMR | 1.62 (0.38) | 1.42 (0.30) | 1.41 (0.24) | <0.001 | 1.66 (0.31) | 1.44 (0.31) | 1.44 (0.24) | <0.001 | 1.58 (0.44) | 1.41 (0.29) | 1.40 (0.24) | <0.001 | 
| EAT-LDP, 0–42 units | 16.5 (13.0) | 18.8 (6.3) | 20.4 (6.3) | <0.001 | 8.6 (11.5) | 19.6 (6.3) | 22.7 (6.3) | <0.001 | 16.5 (14.6) | 18.8 (6.3) | 18.8 (6.3) | <0.001 | 
| Adherence to EAT-LDP, % low | 72.5 | 45.0 | 39.8 | <0.001 | 76.4 | 45.2 | 35.7 | <0.001 | 68.0 | 44.7 | 43.6 | <0.001 | 
| MedDietScore, 0–55 units | 25.7 (3.0) | 26.8 (2.8) | 26.8 (3.0) | <0.001 | 26.3 (3.3) | 28.0 (2.4) | 28.3 (2.1) | <0.001 | 25.1 (2.7) | 25.7 (1.9) | 25.7 (1.9) | <0.001 | 
| Adherence to MDP, % low | 80.3 | 54.9 | 54.1 | <0.001 | 68.9 | 29.5 | 21.2 | <0.001 | 93.4 | 81.3 | 84.5 | <0.001 | 
| Smoking, % ever | 52.1 | 60.1 | 51.8 | 0.001 | 34.7 | 51.3 | 42.3 | <0.001 | 72.1 | 69.2 | 60.6 | 0.007 | 
| Physically inactivity, % | 61.4 | 60.6 | 56.5 | 0.157 | 67.1 | 61.5 | 57.4 | 0.066 | 54.8 | 59.6 | 55.6 | 0.401 | 
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Females | ||||
| Educational level, per 1 year | 0.81 (0.77, 0.84) *** | 0.99 (0.94, 1.06) | 1.02 (0.95, 1.08) | 1.02 (0.95, 1.09) | 
| Age, per 1 year | 1.30 (1.25, 1.35) *** | 1.28 (1.23, 1.34) *** | 1.21 (1.16, 1.27) *** | |
| Hypertension, ref: normal | 1.35 (0.78, 2.33) | 1.37 (0.78, 2.42) | ||
| Hypercholesterolemia, ref: normal | 3.72 (2.30, 6.02) *** | 3.28 (2.00, 5.39) *** | ||
| Diabetes mellitus, ref: normal | 8.41 (1.78, 39.8) ** | 9.89 (2.05, 47.7) ** | ||
| WHtR, per 1 unit | 1.30 (0.07, 25.1) | 0.79 (0.04, 16.7) | ||
| Smoking, ref: never smokers | 0.77 (0.46, 1.27) | |||
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | 0.85 (0.79, 0.92) *** | |||
| Physically inactivity, ref: yes | 1.13 (0.68, 1.90) | |||
| p-value (omnibus test) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 
| p-value (likelihood ratio test) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 
| Males | ||||
| Educational level, per 1 year | 0.89 (0.86, 0.93) *** | 0.97 (0.92, 1.03) | 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) | 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) | 
| Age, per 1 year | 1.29 (1.24, 1.34) *** | 1.27 (1.23, 1.33) *** | 1.21 (1.16, 1.27) *** | |
| Hypertension, ref: normal | 1.35 (0.87, 2.09) | 1.43 (0.91, 2.24) | ||
| Hypercholesterolemia, ref: normal | 1.69 (1.11, 2.57) * | 1.90 (1.23, 2.93) ** | ||
| Diabetes mellitus, ref: normal | 4.27 (1.70, 10.7) ** | 4.78 (1.84, 12.4) ** | ||
| WHtR, per 1 unit | 2.21 (0.10, 47.6) | 2.41 (0.09, 67.1) | ||
| Smoking, ref: never smokers | 1.42 (0.92, 2.19) | |||
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | 0.84 (0.78, 0.90) *** | |||
| Physically inactivity, ref: yes | 0.97 (0.92, 2.19) | |||
| p-value (omnibus test) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 
| p-value (likelihood ratio test) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.002 | <0.001 | 
| Outcome Variables | Manifest Variables | Path OR (95% CI) | 
|---|---|---|
| 20-year CVD incidence, ref.: no | ||
| Age at baseline, per 1 year | 0.29 (0.24, 0.33) *** | |
| Hypertension, ref.: no | 0.83 (0.38, 1.29) *** | |
| Hypercholesterolemia, ref.: no | 1.06 (0.56, 1.56) *** | |
| Diabetes mellitus, ref.: no | 1.43 (0.84, 2.01) *** | |
| BMI, per 1 kg/m2 | −0.02 (−0.07, 0.03) | |
| Educational level, per 1 year | −0.02 (−0.08, 0.05) | |
| Hypertension, ref.: no | ||
| Age at baseline, per 1 year | 0.012 (0.010, 0.015) *** | |
| Smoking, ref.: never smokers | 0.02 (−0.02, 0.07) | |
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | −0.007 (−0.012, −0.002) * | |
| Physically inactivity, ref.: yes | −0.04 (−0.085, −0.001) * | |
| Hypercholesterolemia, ref.: no | ||
| Age at baseline, per 1 year | 0.005 (0.003, 0.007) *** | |
| Smoking, ref: never smokers | 0.048 (0.006, 0.090) * | |
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | −0.012 (−0.017, −0.007) *** | |
| Physically inactivity, ref.: yes | −0.03 (−0.07, 0.02) | |
| Diabetes mellitus, ref.: no | ||
| Age at baseline, per 1 year | 0.007 (0.005, 0.009) *** | |
| Smoking, ref.: never smokers | −0.009 (−0.050, 0.032) | |
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | −0.012 (−0.016, −0.007) *** | |
| Physically inactivity, ref.: yes | −0.06 (−0.10, −0.01) ** | |
| BMI, per 1 kg/m2 | ||
| Age at baseline, per 1 year | 0.005 (−0.019, 0.030) | |
| Smoking, ref.: never smokers | 0.40 (−0.02, 0.82) | |
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | −0.027 (−0.079, 0.026) | |
| Physically inactivity, ref.: yes | 0.003 (−0.441, 0.447) | |
| EAT-LDP, per 1/42 unit | ||
| Educational level, per 1 year | 0.45 (0.40, 0.50) *** | |
| Smoking, ref.: never smokers | ||
| Educational level, per 1 year | 0.001 (−0.004, 0.006) | |
| Physically inactivity, ref.: yes | ||
| Educational level, per 1 year | 0.009 (0.004, 0.013) *** | 
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Sigala, E.G.; Pitsavos, C.; Barkas, F.; Liberopoulos, E.; Sfikakis, P.P.; Tsioufis, C.; Panagiotakos, D. Sex-Based Associations Between Education Level, EAT–Lancet Diet, and 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk: The ATTICA Study (2002–2022). Nutrients 2025, 17, 2827. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17172827
Sigala EG, Pitsavos C, Barkas F, Liberopoulos E, Sfikakis PP, Tsioufis C, Panagiotakos D. Sex-Based Associations Between Education Level, EAT–Lancet Diet, and 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk: The ATTICA Study (2002–2022). Nutrients. 2025; 17(17):2827. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17172827
Chicago/Turabian StyleSigala, Evangelia G., Christos Pitsavos, Fotios Barkas, Evangelos Liberopoulos, Petros P. Sfikakis, Costas Tsioufis, and Demosthenes Panagiotakos. 2025. "Sex-Based Associations Between Education Level, EAT–Lancet Diet, and 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk: The ATTICA Study (2002–2022)" Nutrients 17, no. 17: 2827. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17172827
APA StyleSigala, E. G., Pitsavos, C., Barkas, F., Liberopoulos, E., Sfikakis, P. P., Tsioufis, C., & Panagiotakos, D. (2025). Sex-Based Associations Between Education Level, EAT–Lancet Diet, and 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk: The ATTICA Study (2002–2022). Nutrients, 17(17), 2827. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17172827
 
        



 
       