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Open AccessArticle

Unexplained Variance in Hydration Study

1
Department of Health Sciences and Nursing, University of Hartford, West Hartford, CT 06117, USA
2
Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Hartford, West Hartford, CT 06117, USA
3
Department of Biostatistics, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA
4
Cooperative Studies Program, Department of Veterans Affairs, West Haven, CT 06516, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Nutrients 2019, 11(8), 1828; https://doi.org/10.3390/nu11081828
Received: 4 June 2019 / Revised: 23 July 2019 / Accepted: 30 July 2019 / Published: 7 August 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Water Intake, Body Water Regulation and Health)
With the collection of water-intake data, the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) is becoming an increasingly popular resource for large-scale inquiry into human hydration. However, are we leveraging this resource properly? We sought to identify the opportunities and limitations inherent in hydration-related inquiry within a commonly studied database of hydration and nutrition. We also sought to critically review models published from this dataset. We reproduced two models published from the NHANES dataset, assessing the goodness of fit through conventional means (proportion of variance, R2). We also assessed model sensitivity to parameter configuration. Models published from the NHANES dataset typically yielded a very low goodness of fit R2 < 0.15. A reconfiguration of variables did not substantially improve model fit, and the goodness of fit of models published from the NHANES dataset may be low. Database-driven inquiry into human hydration requires the complete reporting of model diagnostics in order to fully contextualize findings. There are several emergent opportunities to potentially increase the proportion of explained variance in the NHANES dataset, including novel biomarkers, capturing situational variables (meteorology, for example), and consensus practices for adjustment of co-variates. View Full-Text
Keywords: hydration; water intake; obesity; modeling; database; NHANES; chronic disease; big data hydration; water intake; obesity; modeling; database; NHANES; chronic disease; big data
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Muñoz, C.X.; Wininger, M. Unexplained Variance in Hydration Study. Nutrients 2019, 11, 1828.

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