1. Introduction
Europe is the World Health Organization (WHO) region most severely affected by non-communicable diseases (NCDs), which, alongside related conditions including overweight and obesity, have significant and growing economic and social costs. It is accepted that obesity is one of the biggest health problems facing the European population; it accounts for 2–8% of WHO European health costs [
1] and is estimated to cause 320,000 deaths annually in Western Europe alone [
2]. In 87% (46) of WHO European countries, over half of adults are overweight or obese (OWOB); in France 47% adults and in the UK 67% men and 58% women are OWOB [
3,
4]. However, despite OWOB rates being lower in France, prevalence has stabilised in the UK and increased in France in the last decade [
5].
Evidence indicates an indirect link between food portion size (FPS) and excess weight via increased energy intake, and suggests that limiting FPS contributes to reduced energy intake and, therefore, reduced weight gain [
6,
7,
8]. Both Ledikwe, et al. [
6] and Bhupathiraju and Hu [
9] link large FPS, particularly of energy-dense foods, with rising adult obesity levels in America via elevated energy intakes. European studies of adults are lacking, although Albar et al. [
10] found positive associations between body mass index (BMI) and FPS of biscuits and cakes in UK adolescents, and Lioret et al. [
11] found similar positive associations in croissants and sweetened pastries in French children. The evidence supports the WHO stance that ‘energy dense, micronutrient poor foods’ high in energy, saturated fats, trans fats, sugar and salt should be limited for a healthy diet [
2]. There is some recognition of FPS as a policy tool to deliver this, forming part of the UK’s ongoing calorie reduction drive. The Public Health Responsibility Deal calorie reduction pledge included FPS reduction in its suite of options and Public Health England highlight it in their recent calorie reduction plans [
12,
13]. However, more policy focus is needed; based on a systematic review Marteau et al. argue that policy does not adequately reflect the importance of consumed portion size in excess weight and that effective interventions could potentially reduce energy intake in UK adults by 12–16% [
14,
15].
The positive association between FPS and food intake is known as the ‘portion size effect’ [
16]. In their meta-analysis of experimental studies, Zlatevska et al. [
17] found that although the association was not linear or uniform across all population groups, overall energy intake increased by 35% when FPS doubled. Kelly et al. [
18] also found that adults consumed higher portions of pre-packed foods when food was presented as larger portion sizes, although this was a pilot study and potentially underpowered.
Evidence suggests that UK commercially available FPS have increased in some energy-dense food categories in the 20 years since government-based FPS guidelines [
19] were released [
20]. Although some varieties of traditional packet items like biscuits and crisps changed little during this time, other food categories have increased, including fast food and confectionary [
21,
22,
23]. Although there is little corresponding literature on changing French FPS over the same 20-year period, the rise in French OWOB levels over the past decade [
5] suggests that increased FPS may be a possibility.
National diet survey (NDS) methodologies are developed primarily to assess the nutritional status of a population [
24], so are a suitable means of investigating overweight and obesity across Europe. In addition to both being developed Western European countries with similarities in food consumption, the French and UK NDS use similar dietary assessment methodology and their data were available for analysis. This makes them a good comparative case, and provides some, if limited, insight into continental Europe. In their review of recent developments regarding portion size mechanisms, interventions and the portion size effect, Steenhuis and Poelman [
20] conclude that there is extensive evidence for the portion size effect on energy intake, but portion size policies and their acceptance by the public is an understudied area. Therefore, more information on consumed FPS, such as reporting by BMI status, and the effects of under-reporting, could add to the body of knowledge needed to fill this gap. These are complex issues that require detailed understanding of food groups and culture; here we present a comparison of two countries—further work could explore others.
Using their respective NDS [
25,
26,
27], this paper will identify commonly consumed energy, fat and sugar-dense snack-type foods in French and UK adults, and determine their consumed FPS. Providing estimated consumed FPS for these energy-dense foods could be useful for policymakers regarding decisions around setting on-pack serving sizes, which are not currently regulated or standardised. Consumed FPS of normal weight, feasible reporters may be the most suitable reference when setting on-pack serving sizes, and focusing on frequently consumed energy-dense, high-fat and sugar snack foods may have the greatest impact on population overweight and obesity. The aim of this research is to examine how FPS might vary with BMI, and explore how FPS may be affected by under-reporting. FPS of the two countries will be reported, and associations between consumption frequency and BMI considered.
3. Results
There were 2117 adults aged 19–64 years in the French INCA2 and 3413 in the UK NDNS (excluding those with missing BMI or infeasible BMR:energy intake values). In the BMI analyses, 55% were normal weight and 40% OWOB (
n = 1251; 866 respectively,
n = unweighted) in the French and 37% normal weight and 61% OWOB (
n = 1222; 2191 respectively) in the UK surveys (
Table 1). In the INCA2 4% (
n = 98) and in the NDNS 2% (
n = 46) underweight adults aged 19–64 years were excluded from BMI analyses.
OWOB adults analysed in the INCA2 were significantly older, with a greater proportion of males, 32% higher weight, higher BMI and were less likely to have a degree compared to normal weight individuals. The profile of those analysed in the NDNS was similar; OWOB adults were older, had a greater proportion of males and were 34% heavier. However, French and UK nutritional profiles differed. French OWOB adults had a lower carbohydrate and total sugars consumption (41%Energy intake (%E) and 17%E respectively compared to 43%E and 18%E in normal weight adults), whereas UK OWOB adults only had a slightly lower total sugars consumption (19%E compared to 20%E in normal weight adults). In both countries under-reporters were more likely to be OWOB; in the INCA2 32% and in the NDNS 44% OWOB adults were estimated to be under-reporters of overall energy intake compared to 18% and 23%, respectively, of normal weight adults (
Table 1).
3.1. Food Portion Size (FPS)
There was a large spread of FPS in certain food groups, particularly in France. All three selected French main food groups, but only Biscuits and Chocolate in the UK, had a SD greater than half the mean. In the INCA2 64% (n = 7) of Cakes subgroups had a SD greater than half of the mean FPS for all adults aged 19–64 years; for Biscuits and Crisps this was 100% (n = 12) and for Chocolate 89% (n = 8). In the UK NDNS 27% (n = 4) of Cakes subgroups had a SD greater than half of the mean FPS for all adults aged 19–64 years; for Biscuits this was 50% (n = 5); for Crisps this was 38% (n = 3) and for Chocolate 77% (n = 10).
In the French INCA2 the three food subgroups with the highest mean FPS for normal weight adults 19–64 years in Cakes were ‘fruit pie’ (181 g [SD 76 g]), ‘tart’ (170 g [60 g]) and ‘pastries’ (130 g [93 g]). For OWOB individuals this was ‘tart’ (182 g [SD 58 g]), ‘pastries’ (155 g [85 g]) and ‘fruit pie’ (154 g [44 g]). For Biscuits and Crisps in normal weight individuals this was ‘filled chocolate’ (61 g [40 g]), ‘unfilled coated biscuits with inclusions’ (52 g [51 g]) and ‘filled non-chocolate’ (47 g [32 g]) and for OWOB individuals this was ‘filled chocolate’ (60 g [39 g]), ‘unfilled coated biscuits with inclusions’ (43 g [29 g]) and both ‘cookies’ (42 g [23 g]) and ‘other’ (42 g [26 g]). For the Chocolate group in normal weight individuals this was ‘Mars-type bar’ (52 g [40 g]), ‘wafer bar’ (49 g [22 g]) and ‘chocolate spread’ (41 g [42 g]) and for OWOB individuals this was ‘wafer bar’ (46 g [19 g]), ‘Mars-type bar’ (38 g [15 g]) and ‘chocolate spread’ (31 g [25 g]) (see
Table 2; for information on all adults see
Appendix A).
In the UK NDNS the three food subgroups with the highest mean FPS for normal weight adults 19–64 years in Cakes were ‘pastries’ (93 g [30 g]), ‘fruit pie’ (91 g [38 g]) and ‘éclairs’ (89 g [46 g]) and for OWOB individuals this was ‘pastries’ (110 g [58 g]), ‘fruit pie’ (92 g [46 g]) and ‘doughnut’ (84 g [48 g]). For Biscuits in normal weight individuals this was ‘cookies and flapjack’ (47 g [37 g]), and ‘unfilled coated/inclusions’ (33 g [18 g]), ‘filled non-chocolate’ (33 g [24 g]) and ‘cereal bars’ (33 g [13 g]). For OWOB individuals this was ‘cookies and flapjack’ (43 g [30 g]), ‘jaffa cakes’ (42 g [49 g]) and ‘filled non-chocolate’ (35 g [19 g]). For Crisps in normal weight individuals this was ‘nuts’ (63 g [28 g]), ‘popcorn’ (50 g [31 g]) and ‘tortilla chips’ (44 g [39 g]) and for OWOB individuals this was ‘popcorn’ (123 g [98 g]), was ‘nuts’ (76 g [34 g]) and ‘tortilla chips’ (40 g [32 g]). For Chocolate in normal weight individuals this was ‘coated nuts/fruit’ (81 g [64 g]), ‘Mars-type bar’ (49 g [17 g]) and ‘other’ (48 g [28 g]) and for OWOB individuals this was ‘coated nuts/fruit’ (66 g [69 g]), ‘Mars-type bar’ (47 g [17 g]) and ‘honeycomb/crunch’ (44 g [37 g]) (see
Table 3; for information on all adults see
Appendix B). Food subgroups with the largest FPS were not necessarily the most energy dense (
Appendix C); but there was also little variation in the energy density of the majority of the subgroups within each main food group, particularly in Chocolate.
There was little evidence of statistically significant FPS differences by BMI status (
Table 2 and
Table 3). However, on average the mean FPS of Cakes reported by French OWOB individuals was 44% larger than that reported by normal weight individuals—this was statistically significant. Little difference by BMI status was observed for the main UK Cake group. In contrast, French OWOB individuals reported smaller FPS than normal weight individuals in the majority of Biscuit, Crisps and Chocolate subgroups, although differences were not statistically significant. However, FPS of short biscuits reported by OWOB UK adults were significantly 30% larger than those reported by normal weight adults.
3.2. Adjusted Analyses of the Relationship between FPS and Body Mass Index (BMI)
When adjusting both for sex and age (model 1) and under-reporting, age and sex (model 2) in the regression analyses, there were just two French food subgroups with significant associations between FPS and BMI used as continuous variables, whereas there were none in the unadjusted analyses. Only total Cakes was statistically significant in both the unadjusted and the adjusted analyses and retained the same direction of association. Overall, after adjusting for sex and age (model 1), for every point increase in BMI between individuals, a difference of 3.1 g (99% CI 1.0 to 5.2
p =< 0.001) in their consumed FPS of ‘other cakes’ and 1.0 g (99% CI 0.1 to 1.9
p = 0.004) in ‘dark chocolate’ was observed in the same direction. In addition, the Cakes main food group FPS was significantly associated with BMI, where FPS increased by 1 g (99% CI 0.01 to 2.1
p = 0.01) with every BMI point increase. When adjusting for under-reporting, age and sex (model 2) FPS was positively associated with BMI in the same subgroups (see
Supplementary Material S3 for all associations).
In the UK regression analysis (model 1), FPS was significantly associated with BMI in high-fat bar snacks only, which increased in FPS by 3.3 g (99% CI –0.1 to 6.7,
p = 0.01) with every point increase in BMI after adjusting for sex and age. The same was true when adjusting for under-reporting, age and sex (model 2), where ‘high-fat bar snacks’ increased by 3.2 g (99% CI 0.2 to 6.3,
p = 0.01) with every point increase in BMI. Unlike the French analyses, none of the main UK food groups were significantly associated with BMI (see
Supplementary Material S4 for all associations).
3.3. Sensitivity Analysis Excluding Potential Under-Reporters
Of those who reported consuming Cakes in the French INCA2, 16% (n = 489 unweighted) under-reported overall energy intake and were excluded in the sensitivity analysis. In Biscuits and Crisps this was 12% (n = 247) and in Chocolate 15% (n = 211). In the adjusted analyses ‘other cakes’ lost significance after excluding under-reporters, likely due to lower number of individuals consuming foods in this subgroup and loss of power, but ‘dark chocolate’ remained significantly associated with higher FPS in OWOB individuals (data not shown). The Cakes main food group also retained and strengthened its association, with FPS increasing by a greater amount after excluding under-reporters.
In the UK NDNS, sensitivity analysis identified 23% (n = 635 unweighted) Cakes consumers as under-reporters of overall energy intake. In Biscuits consumers this was 31% (n = 1170), in Crisps 30% (n = 661) and in Chocolate 22% (n = 551) of consumers. ‘High fat bar snacks’ retained a higher FPS in OWOB individuals after excluding under-reporters, and like in the French INCA2, there was no change in the direction of association (data not shown).
3.4. Consumption Frequency
Analysis of consumption frequency as the dependent variable and BMI as the predictor was only possible in the UK data, as the INCA2 had no means of identifying how many diary days were completed for each individual from the available data, and therefore consumption frequency per day could not be calculated. When adjusting for age and sex (model 1) for every point increase in BMI, consumption frequency per day of Cakes and Chocolate decreased (Cakes: −0.006 99% CI −0.01 to −0.003
p =< 0.001; Chocolate −0.008 99% CI −0.01 to −0.004
p =< 0.001). When adjusting for age and sex after excluding under-reporters (model 2) Cakes was no longer significant, but for every point increase in BMI, consumption frequency per day still decreased in Chocolate −0.008 99% CI −0.01 to −0.001
p = 0.003) (
Table 4). So although the higher an individual’s BMI, the less often these foods were consumed, in real terms there was negligible association.
4. Discussion
These analyses constitute a detailed examination of FPS and how these might vary with BMI in two large, nationally representative groups in energy, fat and sugar-dense snack foods. Of the main food groups analysed, only Cakes in the French INCA2 had a significant association between FPS and BMI, where FPS increased with each BMI point increase. There were very few significant associations between FPS and BMI in the energy-dense food subgroups analysed from the French and UK national dietary surveys, and these categories differed between the countries. The lack of UK and French similarities between the types of foods with significant associations suggests that French and UK diet preferences of OWOB individuals may differ across the selected main food groups. ‘Pastries’, ‘fruit pie’ and ‘Mars-type’ chocolate bars had the largest FPS for both normal and OWOB adults aged 19–64 years in both the French and UK analyses (
Table 2 and
Table 3). The consumed FPS information generated from these analyses is useful for our aim of adding to the body of knowledge that may help inform investigations into under-studied aspects of portion size, such as portion size policies and their acceptance by the public [
20]. It could also help inform decisions around setting on-pack serving sizes, which have not been updated in the UK in over 20 years [
22]. To set realistic on-pack serving sizes it would be helpful to know how much individuals consume in one sitting as a frame of reference, even if these do not necessarily become the on-pack serving size.
On-pack serving sizes are not currently regulated or standardised and, unlike the requirement to state pack-size, providing serving-size information is not currently mandatory in the UK [
42]. Without an on-pack serving-size, consumers may substitute pack-size as a unit of consumption, in a ‘unit bias’ that risks resulting in over-consumption and excess energy intake. This ‘unit bias’ could also result in individuals underestimating their consumed portion size, where they recognise that the whole unit is larger than an appropriate portion, but still eat the whole unit [
43]. This is particularly relevant in snack foods, which are the focus of these analyses, and demonstrates the value of providing information that could help set on-pack serving sizes. Updated guidelines are, therefore, required, but should be realistic and formulated with sensitivity in order to avoid encouraging consumers to further increase consumed portion size. There is a fine balance to be struck in creating realistic, consistent on-pack serving-size guidance without encouraging consumers to eat larger portions or multiple units.
Mean FPS in the high FPS subgroups varied in their proximity to UK government FPS guidance, which was last updated in 1993 [
19]. The three Cakes subgroups, ‘tortilla chips’ and ‘Mars-type bar’ were lower than the average suggested FPS in the guidance, whereas the Biscuits subgroups and remaining Chocolate and Crisps subgroups were higher [
19]. However, with the exception of ‘Mars-type bar’, French mean FPS were higher than the UK guidance. This could be due to genuine differences in dietary patterns, or a function of under-reporting, which was higher in the UK. There was also a large spread of FPS within the food subgroups, particularly in the INCA2, which could be indicative of the lack of up-to-date FPS guidance in Europe [
43,
44] as there are no set guidelines for manufacturers or consumers to follow.
The few significant associations present were positive, showing that adults with higher BMIs reported consuming larger FPS. The extent to which this is a valid finding or one resulting from methodological limitations and misreporting cannot be fully determined. Studies have variously found few associations between FPS and adiposity [
45], concluded that under-reporting masks associations between FPS and measures of adiposity [
46] and found positive associations in certain energy-dense foods in adolescents after excluding misreporters [
10]. Under-reporting masking associations could explain the few associations found in our adjusted analyses. In these associations, only small increases in FPS with each BMI point increase in the few food subgroups were seen; yet even small effect sizes could result in weight gain caused by increased energy intake over time.
Herman et al. [
47] claim evidence is lacking to support excess energy intake via elevated FPS as a causal factor in the obesity epidemic, citing other factors, including consumption frequency, as potentially more significant. Mattes [
48] found evidence that, in addition to FPS, consumption frequency also influences energy intake and, therefore, adiposity. Others have also found consumption frequency and energy intake to be positively associated, though this did not necessarily result in positive associations with BMI [
49,
50,
51,
52,
53], potentially due to under-reporting. Conversely, in our adjusted analyses consumption frequency was negatively associated at negligible levels with BMI in Cakes and Chocolate, and in Chocolate after excluding under-reporters. Whilst unexpected, this highlights the difficulties presented by high under-reporting levels and other limitations with the cross-sectional data generated from NDS. Murakami and Livingstone [
54] support this, citing differences in dietary assessment methodology, consumption frequency definitions, and approaches to under-reporting as explanations for the lack of consensus.
Under-reporting clearly presents a limitation in using NDS to assess FPS, affecting the number and variety of food main and subgroups with associations between FPS and BMI. Using the Goldberg method, under-reporting in the present analysis was estimated to be 1.5 times higher in the UK than in France, at 35% and 23% respectively. This is similar to levels previously reported, at 32% and 22.5% respectively [
41,
55]. This is possibly due to the greater proportion of OWOB individuals in the NDNS, with OWOB being associated with under-reporting in this analysis and elsewhere [
36]. Compared to the overall under-reporting rates for the NDSs, there were lower percentages of under-reporters of energy intake who consumed the main energy-dense food categories analysed, indicating that under-reporters of energy intake are less likely to consume, or report consuming these snack type foods.
Vanrullen et al. [
41] also found that snacking was associated with lower levels of under-reporting. This could be explained by social desirability bias; research suggests that foods perceived as less healthy, such as energy-dense snack foods, may be less likely to be reported [
36,
56]. Vanrullen et al. [
41] also found that under-reporting was more attributable to consumption frequency than FPS. This suggests that including under-reporters would impact less on the accuracy of analyses because the under-reporting error would be concentrated more in individuals’ reporting of the consumption frequency rather than the FPS. This uncertainty in the extent and effect of under-reporting is problematic, as true consumption cannot be determined, creating challenges for effective policy formation across Europe.
Strengths and Limitations
A limitation of our current study is the low number of consumers in some of the food subgroups, which may mean the analyses are underpowered to find associations at this level. An additional limitation is that it uses cross-sectional survey data, which cannot demonstrate the direction of association and, therefore, a causal relationship [
35]. Nevertheless, our intention was not to imply that a single product could cause an individual to become OWOB, but to explore how reported FPS might vary with BMI. Longitudinal, prospective studies to track weight over time, with physical activity data to more accurately determine under-reporters, are part of the triangulation needed to understand the causal relationship between FPS and BMI. Most previous studies of FPS have focused on, or included short-term intake from a small number of participants in experimental studies, or used commercially available rather than average consumed FPS from large NDS samples [
14,
17,
21,
22,
57,
58].
In terms of strengths, the categorisation of foods by product type broadly matching the UK and French subgroups and examining FPS of similar products as they would be sold in a commercial environment and subsequently consumed by individuals, allows a more meaningful assessment of FPS than previous categorisations. Previous studies tend to use broader or incompatible food groups [
23,
44,
45,
46], where the diversity of foods in each group is higher and, therefore, comparability is lower. Future work could consider other energy-dense food and drinks such as fast food, breakfast cereals, ice cream, sugar-sweetened beverages or alcohol, as foods other than snack foods are related to BMI. Our focus on commercially available products provides information on FPS, split by BMI status, which could provide valuable evidence for policy development targeted at industry. Policies to reduce consumed FPS are needed now, and may have greater, more immediate impact across the population if targeted at popular, commercially available foods [
15].
A further strength is that there are few studies exploring FPS across Europe, and the literature focuses primarily on America. However, as only two Western European countries were investigated, the ability to make Europe-wide assertions is limited; quality raw NDS data (as distinct from summary reports) with the necessary food code variables were not readily available to analyse from other countries. Nevertheless, the French and UK NDS used similar dietary methodologies of consecutive, self-reported food diaries (albeit with a different number of collection days) with estimated FPS, making them good comparative cases to report together.
Energy density and consumption frequency averaged to one day was not available for the French INCA2, so the main food groups selected for analysis were based on those chosen in the UK NDNS, and consumption frequency analysis limited to the UK. This made comparisons easier. Additionally, they are both developed Western European countries with some similarities in foods consumed and with similar dietary methodologies; however, different French and UK dietary patterns may result in differences in the most frequently consumed main food groups. This has implications for future extension of the analyses to other countries if their NDS lack consumption frequency data or methodologies differ. There is a need for better quality, harmonised NDS methodology and implementation across Europe, potentially achievable with new technologies, in order to generate robust data on which policy can be based.
Further methodological limitations include the use of a 1.55 PAL across all individuals rather than being estimated individually, which limits the accuracy with which under-reporters can be identified, although 1.55 is an accepted value for a sedentary lifestyle in the populations used [
39,
40,
41]. The French and UK data collection periods also differ, which limits the ability to make valid comparisons and highlights the need for regular, standardised data collection. In addition, French homemade items were not all demarcated, so could not be fully excluded, which may distort FPS and limit comparisons to the UK. This accentuates the possibility that the consumed FPS data do not necessarily represent commercially available industry-set FPS, thereby potentially losing some policy-making application to create realistic FPS guidance. Future work will explore how closely consumed FPS relate to pack-size and on-pack serving sizes in order to provide evidence to assist obesity-prevention policy decisions on reducing FPS and energy intake.