In this section, we will first evaluate and compare the accuracy and reliability of TDCP displacement solutions under both open-sky and complex environments, so as to determine the thresholds for the classification of different observational environments and rapid deformation detection. Then, the effectiveness of the proposed method is evaluated with a simulated displacement experiment that is carried out using a customized three-dimensional displacement platform, in aspects of the rapid deformation identification and monitoring accuracy.
4.1. Characteristics of the TDCP Displacements Under Different Scenarios
The thresholds for TDCP quality classification and displacement detection are critical parameters for the application of the proposed approach. However, the GNSS navigation signals are susceptible to being affected by the complex observational environment, which will result in poor observational quality such as frequent gross errors and cycle slips. As a consequence of this, the accuracy and reliability of the obtained TDCP displacement will be decreased, and may result in the misjudgment or missing judgment of the displacements.
In this section, we will evaluate the accuracy and reliability of TDCP displacement solutions under both open-sky and complex monitoring environments, so as to provide a reference for the determination of the thresholds for the classification of different observational environments and identification of the rapid deformation. The involved quality indicators include (1) the number of satellites that involved in the TDCP estimation (NSAT) and the corresponding position dilution of precision (PDOP); (2) the quality indicators of robust estimation with TDCP, including the number of rejected observations whose corresponding posterior residual or normalized posterior residual exceeds the threshold (denoted as Resi-v and Resi-nv), and the number of down-weighted observations (denoted as DW); and (3) the statistics of posterior residuals, including the RMS and maximum of posterior residuals (denoted as RMS-V and MaxResi), and the posterior unit weight variance (Sigma0).
Raw GPS and BDS (including the BeiDou regional navigation satellite system (BDS-2) and BeiDou global navigation satellite system (BDS-3)) data with a 1 s sampling interval from an open-sky and a complex experiment are collected and processed. The open-sky and complex experiments were both carried out on the roof of a building at the campus of Wuhan University, and on 21 December and 20 December 2023 GPS time (GPST), respectively. BDStar M66-Lite receivers and HX-GNSS500 antennas were used in both the two experiments. The observational devices and observational environments are shown in
Figure 2. Detailed information about the two experiments is listed in
Table 1.
The obtained three-dimensional displacement series with TDCP for the open-sky and complex experiments are shown in
Figure 3. The number of satellites and the corresponding PDOP, as well as the quality indicators of robust estimation with TDCP for the two experiments, are shown in
Figure 4. The statistics of the posterior residuals for the two experiments are shown in
Figure 5. The corresponding statistics is listed in
Table 2. It is obviously observed that the TDCP displacement series of the open-sky experiment remains stable, while that of the complex experiment tends to fluctuate over a greater range. For the open-sky experiment, the circular error probabilities of 95% (CEP95) are 2.1, 2.4, and 6.4 mm in the east (E), north (N), and up (U) components, respectively, while they are 3.4, 3.4, and 8.8 mm for the complex experiment. Moreover, compared with the open-sky environment, more frequent changes in the number of satellites and PDOP, more abnormal observations identified by the robust estimation (Resi-v, Resi-nv, and DW), and larger statistics of posterior residuals (sigma0, RMS-V, and MaxResi) are observed for the complex experiment. Specifically, the maximums of sigma0, RMS-V, and MaxResi are 309.9, 10.6, and 48.8 mm for the open-sky experiment, respectively, while they are 651.7, 19.5, and 77.3 mm for the complex experiment, respectively. Additionally, for the complex experiment, the periods of fluctuation in the curve of these quality indicators are basically consistent with those in the TDCP displacement series. These results demonstrate that the observations are susceptible to being affected by the complex observational environment, which will result in poor observational quality, and decrease the accuracy and reliability of the obtained TDCP displacements. Therefore, in order to implement rapid displacement detection with TDCP, it is necessary to first identify the observational environment of the monitoring station and set an appropriate displacement detection threshold according to the accuracy of the obtained TDCP displacement under different scenarios.
According to the above-mentioned experimental results, the observational environment of the monitoring station can be identified by using the quality indicators of robust estimation and the statistics of posterior residuals. Meanwhile, the corresponding rapid displacement detection threshold can be set according to the achievable accuracy of the TDCP displacement under different monitoring scenarios. The proposed TDCP-based rapid deformation identification can be successfully implemented with these critical thresholds. In this contribution, the monitoring station is considered to be under a complex environment if the following conditions are satisfied: (1) Sigma0 > 300 mm, (2) RMS-V > 10 mm, (3) MaxResi > 50 mm, and (4) Resi-v, Resi-nv, and DW > 1. Additionally, according to the three CEP95 criterion and the empirical experiences, the corresponding rapid displacement detection thresholds are set as 6/6/8 mm and 12/12/24 mm for the open-sky and complex observational environments, respectively, which have been introduced previously in
Section 3.3.
4.2. Performance of the Proposed Method
The performance of the proposed method is evaluated with a raw dataset that was carried out in a simulation experiment with a three-dimensional displacement platform under complex observational environment. Similarly, the experiment was also carried out on the roof of a building at the campus of Wuhan University, but on 15 January 2024 GPST. The location of this experiment is very close to that of the complex experiment in
Section 4.1. The same BDStar M66-Lite receiver and HX-GNSS500 antenna as the complex experiment in
Section 4.1 were used for the monitoring station. A Trimble Alloy receiver and a HX-GNSS500 antenna was used for the reference station. The reference and monitoring stations were separated by approximately 26.0 m. Detailed information about the experiment is listed in
Table 3. The observational devices and environments of the monitoring station is shown in
Figure 6.
Moreover, a three-dimensional displacement platform as shown in
Figure 7 was used in the experiment. The GNSS antenna of the monitoring station was installed on the three-dimensional displacement platform. As shown in
Figure 6 and
Figure 7, the GNSS antenna mounted on the platform can be moved in three orthogonal directions independently by operating the three micrometer screws that are equipped on it. The measurement ranges of the two micrometer screws (or the displacement of the platform) are 10 cm and 4.5 cm in the horizontal and vertical axes, respectively. The resolutions of the three micrometer screws are all 1 mm. The three-dimensional displacement platform was placed on a tripod with leveling and centering. Moreover, one of the horizontal axes was manually placed facing the north, so that the platform can independently move in the east (E), north (N), and up (U) directions, respectively.
Our attempt to carry out this experiment is to simulate the landslide that is in the accelerated deformation stage or the stage before collapsing, in which stage the landslide will experience rapid and significant deformation. Therefore, during the observation of the experiment, five instances of simulated displacement on each direction were carried out by operating the micrometer screws.
Table 4 lists the detailed information of the simulated rapid displacements in the experiment. Note that the durations of operations are short enough to ensure that all displacements occur within one epoch (or 1 s) to simulate the occurrence of rapid deformation.
Three different processing schemes (i.e., KF-EMP, KF-NONE, and KF-TDCP) as listed in
Table 5 are adopted and compared to show the benefits of the proposed TDCP-based rapid deformation identification and adaptive Kalman filtering method. The three schemes differ in the prediction strategy of the estimated positions in the time update step. In the scheme KF-EMP (Kalman filter with empirical process noise of the position), the three-dimensional position state is updated with their counterparts in the previous epoch. A relatively small empirical system process noise (
) is adopted to suppress the impact of the observational noise. This strategy is effective when no deformation occurs throughout the entire observation time span. However, it is inappropriate when large deformation occurs. In Scheme KF-NONE (Kalman filter with no constraint of the position), the three-dimensional position as well as its VC matrix is epoch-wise initialized with the single-point positioning (SPP) solution, which means that no constraint is imposed on the position estimate in the time update step. In Scheme KF-TDCP (adaptive Kalman filtering with a constraint from TDCP), the proposed TDCP-based rapid deformation identification and adaptive Kalman filtering approach is adopted.
In the data processing of the three schemes, GPS L1/L2 and BDS (including BDS-2 and BDS-3) B1I/B3I observations are used. The elevation cutoff angle is set to 10° and the sampling interval is set to 1 s. The signal to noise ratio (SNR) cutoff is set to 25 dBHz, which means that the observations with a corresponding SNR below 25 dBHz are rejected in the preprocessing stage. The ambiguities are resolved with the popular least-squares ambiguity decorrelation adjustment (LAMBDA) method [
35], and the ratio test is adopted for ambiguity validation [
36]. Details about the fundamental processing strategies are listed in
Table 6.
The obtained displacement series of the monitoring station with the TDCP algorithm are shown in
Figure 8. As shown, the TDCP-based observational scenario recognition procedure identifies that the monitoring station is located under a complex environment, and the displacement detection thresholds corresponding to the complex environments are therefore adopted, i.e., 12, 12, and 24 mm for the E, N, and U components, respectively (represented by the pink and black dashed lines). The five simulated rapid displacements in the experiment are accurately detected (represented by the gray longitudinal stripes). When the displacement platform moves in a certain direction, the obtained TDCP displacement in the same direction will be larger than the threshold. These results indicate that the TDCP-based rapid displacement detection method can promptly and accurately identify the significant between-epoch deformation of the monitoring station under complex environment, thus providing effective displacement information for the adaptive adjustment of the process noise for the position in the Kalman filtering.
The displacement series in E, N, and U components for the displacement platform using Schemes KF-TDCP, KF-EMP, and KF-NONE are shown in
Figure 9 and
Figure 10. As shown in
Figure 9, the filtering solution series of Scheme KF-EMP exhibit smaller between-epoch fluctuations and smoother curve. However, the rapid displacement is not identified with Scheme KF-EMP. As a consequence of this, the inappropriate process noise of the position is not adjusted when large deformation occurs. The displacement series therefore reconverges after a long time (about 1000 to 2000 s) before it tends to be consistent with the actual situation. As shown in
Figure 10, the filtering solution series of Scheme KF-NONE can reflect the actual deformation trend of the monitoring object when rapid displacement occurs. However, the solutions are significantly affected by the observational noise, and significant fluctuations therefore appear in the displacement curve. Outliers larger than 1.0 cm even appear for some epochs, which is not consistent with the actual state of the monitoring object, and may lead to misjudgment and false alarms in the early warning of the landslides.
For Scheme KF-TDCP, which adopts our proposed TDCP-based rapid displacement identification and adaptive filtering approach, since no significant displacement is detected in the period without simulated displacement, the relatively tight between-epoch constraints for the position remain unchanged; the impact of observational noise and other residual errors on the solutions is therefore effectively reduced, and the displacement curve remain smooth. When rapid displacement occurs, Scheme KF-TDCP accurately identifies the significant displacement, and then adaptively adjusts the process noise of the position in the Kalman filter to keep the predicted state consistent with the actual state. The filtering solutions can therefore promptly and accurately reflect the simulated displacement. It should be noted that there exist small trends and discrepancies in the displacement series in the N and U components for the three schemes. This may be caused by the following two reasons: (1) The experiment is carried out with a three-dimensional displacement platform, which might not be very precise. The three axes of the displacement platform may deviate from the true E, N, and U directions, and the manual operation may also be inaccurate; (2) the experiment was carried out in a complex environment, which may lead to severe multipath errors and thus contaminate the achieved RTK positioning results.
The discrepancies between the obtained displacement series from the KF-EMP, KF-NONE, and KF-TDCP schemes with respect to the simulated true displacements are shown in
Figure 11, and the corresponding statistics are listed in
Table 7. It is observed that the displacement errors of the proposed method fluctuate within a smaller range than that of the KF-EMP and KF-NONE methods. Compared with the KF-EMP and KF-NONE methods, the proposed KF-TDCP method can remarkably reduce the RMS errors of the obtained displacement solutions. The RMS errors of obtained displacements for KF-EMP and KF-NONE are 5.7 mm/5.6 mm/21.5 mm and 5.5 mm/3.2 mm/19.1 mm, respectively. When the proposed KF-TDCP method is adopted, they are reduced to 4.8 mm/2.6 mm/15.2 mm. It should be noted that the benefits of the proposed KF-TDCP method over the KF-EMP and KF-NONE methods may be more obvious if the experiment can be carried out more accurately.
In conclusion, during the entire observational period, the proposed approach can accurately and promptly identify the rapid displacement of the monitoring body, and thus reduce the probability of missing alarm. Meanwhile, it can effectively suppress the observational noise, and thus retain the monitoring accuracy and reduce the risk of false alarm. The proposed approach can provide high-precision and reliable three-dimensional deformation information for GNSS landslide monitoring and early warning under complex environments.