DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Problem Statement and Our Contributions
3. Risk Management
3.1. Classification and Identification of Risks
3.2. Risk Assessment Related Work
3.3. DEMATEL
3.4. Analytic Network Process (ANP)
4. Empirical Study
4.1. Hierarchical Structure of Risk Factors
4.2. Data Collection
4.3. DEMATEL Analysis
4.4. ANP Analysis
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Accenture. Developing Strategies for the Effective Delivery of Capital Projects: Accenture Global Survey of the Utilities Industry; Accenture: Dublin, Ireland, 2012. [Google Scholar]
- Jayaraman, R.; Colapinto, C.; La Torre, D.; Malik, T. Multi-criteria model for sustainable development using goal programming applied to the United Arab Emirates. Energy Policy 2015, 87, 447–454. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Köne, A.Ç.; Büke, T. An Analytical Network Process (ANP) evaluation of alternative fuels for electricity generation in Turkey. Energy Policy 2007, 35, 5220–5228. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yusuf, Y.Y.; Gunasekaran, A.; Musa, A.; Dauda, M.; El-Berishy, N.M.; Cang, S. A relational study of supply chain agility, competitiveness and business performance in the oil and gas industry. Int. J. Prod. Econ. 2014, 147, 531–543. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dehdasht, G.; Rosli Mohamad, Z.; Keyvanfar, A. Risk Classification and Barrier of Implementing Risk Management in OGC Companies. J. Teknol. 2015, 77. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Salas, R. Managing Risks at the Early Phases of Oil and Gas Major Capital Projects. In Proceedings of the SPE E&P Health, Safety, Security and Environmental Conference-Americas, Denver, CO, USA, 16–18 March 2015; Society of Petroleum Engineers: Richardson, TX, USA, 2015. [Google Scholar]
- Van Thuyet, N.; Ogunlana, S.O.; Dey, P.K. Risk management in OGC projects in Vietnam. Int. J. Energy Sect. Manag. 2007, 1, 175–194. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aven, T.; Vinnem, J.E.; Wiencke, H. A decision framework for risk management, with application to the offshore oil and gas industry. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 2007, 92, 433–448. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhao, X.; Luo, D.; Xia, L. Modelling optimal production rate with contract effects for international oil development projects. Energy 2012, 45, 662–668. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- De Maere d’Aertrycke, G.; Ehrenmann, A.; Smeers, Y. Investment with incomplete markets for risk: The need for long-term contracts. Energy Policy 2017, 105, 571–583. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Berends, K. Engineering and construction projects for oil and gas processing facilities: Contracting, uncertainty and the economics of information. Energy Policy 2007, 35, 4260–4270. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hong, J.; Shen, Q.; Xue, F. A multi-regional structural path analysis of the energy supply chain in China’s construction industry. Energy Policy 2016, 92, 56–68. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bacon, R.W.; Besant-Jones, J.E. Estimating construction costs and schedules: Experience with power generation projects in developing countries. Energy Policy 1998, 26, 317–333. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sadeghi, M.; Shavvalpour, S. Energy risk management and value at risk modeling. Energy Policy 2006, 34, 3367–3373. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zou, P.X.; Zhang, G.; Wang, J. Understanding the key risks in construction projects in China. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2007, 25, 601–614. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mani, V.; Delgado, C.; Hazen, B.T.; Patel, P. Mitigating Supply Chain Risk via Sustainability Using Big Data Analytics: Evidence from the Manufacturing Supply Chain. Sustainability 2017, 9, 608. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Walewski, J.; Gibson, G. International Project Risk Assessment: Methods, Procedures, and Critical Factors; Report No. 31; Center for Construction Industry Studies, University of Texas at Austin: Austin, TX, USA, 2003. [Google Scholar]
- Tserng, H.P.; Yin, S.Y.; Dzeng, R.; Wou, B.; Tsai, M.; Chen, W. A study of ontology-based risk management framework of construction projects through project life cycle. Autom. Constr. 2009, 18, 994–1008. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Taylan, O.; Bafail, A.O.; Abdulaal, R.M.; Kabli, M.R. Construction projects selection and risk assessment by fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methodologies. Appl. Soft Comput. 2014, 17, 105–116. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Rasool, M.; Franck, T.; Denys, B.; Halidou, N. Methodology and tools for risk evaluation in construction projects using Risk Breakdown Structure. Eur. J. Environ. Civ. Eng. 2012, 16, s78–s98. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, S.Q.; Dulaimi, M.F.; Aguria, M.Y. Risk management framework for construction projects in developing countries. Constr. Manag. Econ. 2004, 22, 237–252. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hwang, B.-G.; Zhao, X.; Toh, L.P. Risk management in small construction projects in Singapore: Status, barriers and impact. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2014, 32, 116–124. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Taillandier, F.; Taillandier, P.; Tepeli, E.; Breysse, D.; Mehdizadeh, R.; Khartabil, F. A multi-agent model to manage risks in construction project (SMACC). Autom. Constr. 2015, 58, 1–18. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Latham, M., Sr. Constructing the Team: Final Report of the Government/Industry Review of Procurement and Contractual Arrangements in the UK Construction Industry; HMSO: London, UK, 1994. [Google Scholar]
- Suddle, S. The risk management of third parties during construction in multifunctional urban locations. Risk Anal. 2009, 29, 1024–1040. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Smith, G.R.; Bohn, C.M. Small to medium contractor contingency and assumption of risk. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 1999, 125, 101–108. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Majid, M.A.; McCaffer, R. Factors of non-excusable delays that influence contractors’ performance. J. Manag. Eng. 1998, 14, 42–49. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Laryea, S. Risk pricing practices in finance, insurance and construction. In Proceedings of the Construction and Building Research Conference of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (COBRA 2008), Dublin, Ireland, 4–5 September 2008. [Google Scholar]
- Taroun, A. Towards a better modelling and assessment of construction risk: Insights from a literature review. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2014, 32, 101–115. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zeng, J.; An, M.; Smith, N.J. Application of a fuzzy based decision making methodology to construction project risk assessment. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2007, 25, 589–600. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ebrat, M.; Ghodsi, R. Risk assessment of construction projects using network based adaptive fuzzy system. Int. J. Acad. Res. 2011, 3, 411–417. [Google Scholar]
- Kuo, Y.-C.; Lu, S.-T. Using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making approach to enhance risk assessment for metropolitan construction projects. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2013, 31, 602–614. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Greening, L.A.; Bernow, S. Design of coordinated energy and environmental policies: Use of multi-criteria decision-making. Energy Policy 2004, 32, 721–735. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nieto-Morote, A.; Ruz-Vila, F. A fuzzy approach to construction project risk assessment. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2011, 29, 220–231. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- El-Shehaby, M.; Nosair, I.; Sanad, A.E.-M. Risk assessment and analysis for the construction of off shore oil & gas projects. Int. J. Sci. Res. Educ. 2014. Available online: http://ijsae.in/ijsaeems/index.php/ijsae/article/view/88 (accessed on 11 August 2017).
- Mubin, S.; Mannan, A. Innovative Approach to Risk Analysis and Management of Oil and Gas Sector EPC Contracts from a Contractor’s Perspective. J. Bus. Econ. 2013, 5, 149. [Google Scholar]
- Fazli, S.; Mavi, R.K.; Vosooghidizaji, M. Crude oil supply chain risk management with DEMATEL-ANP. Oper. Res. 2015, 15, 453–480. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chou, Y.-C.; Yang, C.-H.; Lu, C.-H.; Dang, V.T.; Yang, P.-A. Building Criteria for Evaluating Green Project Management: An Integrated Approach of DEMATEL and ANP. Sustainability 2017, 9, 740. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Uygun, Ö.; Kaçamak, H.; Kahraman, Ü.A. An integrated DEMATEL and Fuzzy ANP techniques for evaluation and selection of outsourcing provider for a telecommunication company. Comput. Ind. Eng. 2015, 86, 137–146. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Haghnevis, M.; Sajedi, H. A model for assessment of project management risk models. In Proceedings of the 4th International Management Conference, Tehran, Iran, 20–21 December 2006. [Google Scholar]
- Gilbert, A.; Sovacool, B.K.; Johnstone, P.; Stirling, A. Cost overruns and financial risk in the construction of nuclear power reactors: A critical appraisal. Energy Policy 2017, 102, 644–649. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barber, R.B. Understanding internally generated risks in projects. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2005, 23, 584–590. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ling, F.Y.Y.; Hoi, L. Risks faced by Singapore firms when undertaking construction projects in India. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2006, 24, 261–270. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Adams, F.K. Risk perception and Bayesian analysis of international construction contract risks: The case of payment delays in a developing economy. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2008, 26, 138–148. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Baccarini, D.; Archer, R. The risk ranking of projects: A methodology. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2001, 19, 139–145. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Serpell, A.; Ferrada, X.; Rubio, L.; Arauzo, S. Evaluating risk management practices in construction organizations. Procedia-Soc. Behav. Sci. 2015, 194, 201–210. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Palomo, J.; Rios Insua, D.; Ruggeri, F. Modeling external risks in project management. Risk Anal. 2007, 27, 961–978. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Uher, T.E.; Toakley, A.R. Risk management in the conceptual phase of a project. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 1999, 17, 161–169. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chapman, R.J. The controlling influences on effective risk identification and assessment for construction design management. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2001, 19, 147–160. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dick, W.; Carey, L.; Carey, J.O. A guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK® Guide). Development 1996, 2, 29–34. [Google Scholar]
- Zwikael, O.; Ahn, M. The effectiveness of risk management: An analysis of project risk planning across industries and countries. Risk Anal. 2011, 31, 25–37. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Elkington, P.; Smallman, C. Managing project risks: A case study from the utilities sector. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2002, 20, 49–57. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Krane, H.P.; Olsson, N.O.; Rolstadås, A. How project manager-project owner interaction can work within and influence project risk management. Proj. Manag. J. 2012, 43, 54–67. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Berkeley, D.; Humphreys, P.; Thomas, R. Project risk action management. Constr. Manag. Econ. 1991, 9, 3–17. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Flanagan, R.; Norman, G. Risk Management and Construction; Wiley-Blackwel: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 1993. [Google Scholar]
- Lee, E.; Park, Y.; Shin, J.G. Large engineering project risk management using a Bayesian belief network. Expert Syst. Appl. 2009, 36, 5880–5887. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Project Management Institute (PMI). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge: PMBOK Guide, 3rd ed.; Project Management Institute Inc.: Newtown Square, PA, USA, 2004. [Google Scholar]
- Althaus, C.; Bridgman, P.; Davis, G. The Australian Policy Handbook; Allen & Unwin: Crows Nest, Australia, 2007. [Google Scholar]
- Hubbard, D.W. The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It; John Wiley & Sons: Chichester, UK, 2009. [Google Scholar]
- Bannerman, P.L. Risk and risk management in software projects: A reassessment. J. Syst. Softw. 2008, 81, 2118–2133. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Project Management Institute (PMI). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge; Project Management Institute: Newton Square, PA, USA, 2008. [Google Scholar]
- El-Sayegh, S.M. Risk assessment and allocation in the UAE construction industry. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2008, 26, 431–438. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sukumaran, P.; Bayraktar, M.E.; Hong, T.; Hastak, M. Model for analysis of factors affecting construction schedule in highway work zones. J. Transp. Eng. 2006, 132, 508–517. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gładysz, B.; Skorupka, D.; Kuchta, D.; Duchaczek, A. Project risk time management—A proposed model and a case study in the construction industry. Procedia Comput. Sci. 2015, 64, 24–31. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cárdenas, I.C.; Al-Jibouri, S.S.; Halman, J.I.; Tol, F.A. Modeling Risk-Related Knowledge in Tunneling Projects. Risk Anal. 2014, 34, 323–339. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Dziadosz, A.; Rejment, M. Risk Analysis in Construction Project-Chosen Methods. Procedia Eng. 2015, 122, 258–265. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zayed, T.; Amer, M.; Pan, J. Assessing risk and uncertainty inherent in Chinese highway projects using AHP. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2008, 26, 408–419. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Baloi, D.; Price, A.D. Modelling global risk factors affecting construction cost performance. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2003, 21, 261–269. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Klemetti, A. Risk Management in Construction Project Networks; Helsinki University of Technology: Espoo, Finland, 2006. [Google Scholar]
- Kartam, N.A.; Kartam, S.A. Risk and its management in the Kuwaiti construction industry: A contractors’ perspective. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2001, 19, 325–335. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, M.-T.; Chou, H.-Y. Risk allocation and risk handling of highway projects in Taiwan. J. Manag. Eng. 2003, 19, 60–68. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Baghdadi, A.; Kishk, M. Saudi Arabian aviation construction projects: Identification of risks and their consequences. Procedia Eng. 2015, 123, 32–40. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aleshin, A. Risk management of international projects in Russia. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2001, 19, 207–222. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Akintoye, A.S.; MacLeod, M.J. Risk analysis and management in construction. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 1997, 15, 31–38. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lyons, T.; Skitmore, M. Project risk management in the Queensland engineering construction industry: A survey. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2004, 22, 51–61. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Perry, J.; Hayes, R. Risk and its management in construction projects. Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. 1985, 78, 499–521. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Abdou, O.A. Managing construction risks. J. Archit. Eng. 1996, 2, 3–10. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kalayjian, W.H. Hidden Risks of Construction in the Third World. In Proceedings of the Construction Congress VI: Building Together for a Better Tomorrow in an Increasingly Complex World, Orlando, FL, USA, 20–22 February 2000; pp. 1126–1135. [Google Scholar]
- Tah, J.; Carr, V. A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic. Constr. Manag. Econ. 2000, 18, 491–500. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Shen, L.; Wu, G.W.; Ng, C.S. Risk assessment for construction joint ventures in China. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 2001, 127, 76–81. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lam, K.C.; Wang, D.; Lee, P.T.; Tsang, Y.T. Modelling risk allocation decision in construction contracts. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2007, 25, 485–493. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tang, W.; Qiang, M.; Duffield, C.F.; Young, D.M.; Lu, Y. Risk management in the Chinese construction industry. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 2007, 133, 944–956. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Karim, N.A.A.; Rahman, I.A.; Memmon, A.H.; Jamil, N.; Azis, A.A.A. Significant risk factors in construction projects: Contractor’s perception. In Proceedings of the 2012 IEEE Colloquium on Humanities, Science and Engineering (CHUSER), Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia, 3–4 December 2012; pp. 347–350. [Google Scholar]
- Tadayon, M.; Jaafar, M.; Nasri, E. An assessment of risk identification in large construction projects in Iran. J. Constr. Dev. Ctries. 2012, 17, 57–69. [Google Scholar]
- El, M.S.B.A.A.; El Nawawy, O.A.M.; Abdel-Alim, A.M. Identification and assessment of risk factors affecting construction projects. HBRC J. 2015. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mubin, S.; Mubin, G. Risk analysis for construction and operation of gas pipeline projects in Pakistan. Pak. J. Eng. Appl. Sci. 2008, 2, 22–37. [Google Scholar]
- Aydogan, G.; Koksal, A. An analysis of international construction risk factors on partner selection by applying ANP approach. In ICCREM 2013: Construction and Operation in the Context of Sustainability, Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Construction and Real Estate Management, Karlsruhe, Germany, 10–11 October 2013; American Society of Civil Engineers: Reston, VA, USA; pp. 658–669.
- Zou, P.X.; Zhang, G.; Wang, J.-Y. Identifying key risks in construction projects: Life cycle and stakeholder perspectives. In Proceedings of the Pacific Rim Real Estate Society Conference, Auckland, New Zealand, 22–25 January 2006. [Google Scholar]
- Asgari, S.; Awwad, R.; Kandil, A.; Odeh, I. Impact of considering need for work and risk on performance of construction contractors: An agent-based approach. Autom. Constr. 2016, 65, 9–20. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zadeh, L.A. Fuzzy sets. Inf. Control 1965, 8, 338–353. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Carr, V.; Tah, J. A fuzzy approach to construction project risk assessment and analysis: Construction project risk management system. Adv. Eng. Softw. 2001, 32, 847–857. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dikmen, I.; Birgonul, M.T.; Han, S. Using fuzzy risk assessment to rate cost overrun risk in international construction projects. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2007, 25, 494–505. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chemweno, P.; Pintelon, L.; Van Horenbeek, A.; Muchiri, P. Development of a risk assessment selection methodology for asset maintenance decision making: An analytic network process (ANP) approach. Int. J. Prod. Econ. 2015, 170, 663–676. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wood, D.A. Gas and oil project time-cost-quality tradeoff: Integrated stochastic and fuzzy multi-objective optimization applying a memetic, nondominated, sorting algorithm. J. Nat. Gas Sci. Eng. 2017, 45, 143–164. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Meidell, A.; Kaarbøe, K. How the enterprise risk management function influences decision-making in the organization—A field study of a large, global oil and gas company. Br. Account. Rev. 2017, 49, 39–55. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Salazar-Aramayo, J.L.; Rodrigues-da-Silveira, R.; Rodrigues-de-Almeida, M.; de Castro-Dantas, T.N. A conceptual model for project management of exploration and production in the oil and gas industry: The case of a Brazilian company. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 2013, 31, 589–601. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gabus, A.; Fontela, E. World Problems, an Invitation to Further Thought within the Framework of DEMATEL; Battelle Geneva Research Center: Geneva, Switzerland, 1972. [Google Scholar]
- Supeekit, T.; Somboonwiwat, T.; Kritchanchai, D. DEMATEL-modified ANP to evaluate internal hospital supply chain performance. Comput. Ind. Eng. 2016, 102, 318–330. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yang, Y.-P.O.; Shieh, H.-M.; Leu, J.-D.; Tzeng, G.-H. A novel hybrid MCDM model combined with DEMATEL and ANP with applications. Int. J. Oper. Res. 2008, 5, 160–168. [Google Scholar]
- Zheng, X.; Xu, F.; Feng, L. Analysis of Driving Factors for Extended Producer Responsibility by Using Interpretative Structure Modelling (ISM) and Analytic Network Process (ANP). Sustainability 2017, 9, 540. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Saaty, T.L. Theory and Applications of the Analytic Network Process: Decision Making with Benefits, Opportunities, Costs, and Risks; RWS Publications: Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 2005. [Google Scholar]
- Chen, W.-C.; Chang, H.-P.; Lin, K.-M.; Kan, N.-H. An Efficient Model for NPD Performance Evaluation Using DEMATEL and Fuzzy ANP—Applied to the TFT-LCD Touch Panel Industry in Taiwan. Energies 2015, 8, 11973–12003. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hu, H.-Y.; Lee, Y.-C.; Yen, T.-M.; Tsai, C.-H. Using BPNN and DEMATEL to modify importance-performance analysis model—A study of the computer industry. Expert Syst. Appl. 2009, 36, 9969–9979. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lam, K.; Zhao, X. An application of quality function deployment to improve the quality of teaching. Int. J. Qual. Reliab. Manag. 1998, 15, 389–413. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Liang, H.; Ren, J.; Gao, Z.; Gao, S.; Luo, X.; Dong, L.; Scipioni, A. Identification of critical success factors for sustainable development of biofuel industry in China based on grey decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL). J. Clean. Prod. 2016, 131, 500–508. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yang, J.L.; Tzeng, G.-H. An integrated MCDM technique combined with DEMATEL for a novel cluster-weighted with ANP method. Expert Syst. Appl. 2011, 38, 1417–1424. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Project Type | Risk Classification | Author | Number of Risk Factors | Risk Factor Identification Techniques | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Construction Joint Venture | 1. Legal 2. Political 3. Management | 4. Financial 5. Technical 6. Market | Shen et al. [80] | 58 risks | Past experience Interview Questionnaire survey |
Construction Design Management | 1. Environment 2. Industry | 3. Project 4. Client | Chapman [49] | 58 risks | Interview Brain storming Delphi |
Third World Construction Project | 1. Political 2. Financial | 3. Weather 4. Design | Kalayjian [78] | Not specified | Interview |
General Construction Project | 1. Economic related 2. Political-related 3. Design Related 4. Level of cooperation 5. Construction related 6. Estimator related 7. Fraudulent practices related | Baloi and Price [68] | 36 risks | Literature review | |
General Construction Project | 1. Contractor capability 2. Contractual and legal 3. Economic 4. Physical 5. Political and societal | Lam et al. [81] | 16 risks | Literature review Consulting experts Interview Questionnaire | |
General Construction Project | 1. Time 2. Cost 3. Quality | 4. Safety 5. Environment | Zou et al. [15] | 85 risks | Literature review Consulting experts Interview Questionnaire |
Metropolitan Construction Project | 1. Design 2. Construction management 3. Social and economy 4. Safety 5. Natural hazard | Kuo and Lu [32] | 20 risks | Literature review Consulting experts Interview | |
General Construction Project | 1. Cost 2. Time 3.Quality | 4. Environment and Sustainability 5. and Safety | Taylan et al. [19] | 30 risks | Consultant experts Interview Questionnaire |
General Construction Project | 1. Socio-cultural 2. Economic 3. Politic | 4. Industry 5. Project | Aydogan and Koksal [87] | 19 risks | Literature review Consulting experts Interview Questionnaire |
General Construction Project | 1. Project Features 2. Project Parties | 3. Site Condition 4. Resource | El et al. [85] | 70 risks | Literature review Consulting experts Questionnaire |
General Construction Project | 1. Construction, 2. Political, 3. Design, | 4. Financial 5. Environment | Karim et al. [83] | 25 risks | Literature review questioner |
OGC Project | Not specified | Thuyet et al. [7] | 59 risks | Checklist Brainstorming Literature review Consulting experts | |
Gas Pipeline Construction Project | 1. Political, 2. Economic, 3. Organization, 4. Investment, | 5. Technological, 6. Security, 7. Natural Disaster, 8. Ecological | Mubin and Mubin [86] | 40 risks | Information collection Documentation review Assumption analysis Checklist analysis Diagramming techniques |
OGC Project | Not specified | El-Shehaby et al. [35] | 59 risks | Documentation reviews Information gathering Checklist analysis Assumptions analysis Diagramming techniques Risk Register |
Years of Experience in Construction | Job Position | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Description | Under 10 years | Above 10 and under 20 | Above 20 | Consultant | Project manager | Site manager | Head of technical department | Contractor | Head of Programming and planning department |
Number | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Percentage | 22% | 33% | 45% | 22% | 22% | 11% | 22% | 11% | 11% |
Dimension | Technical | Financial | Environmental | Design and Construction | Contractual | Policy and Political |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Technical | 1.5279 | 1.7903 | 1.1076 | 1.6530 | 1.6450 | 1.4070 |
Financial | 1.7883 | 1.6852 | 1.1732 | 1.7056 | 1.7229 | 1.4976 |
Environmental | 1.5211 | 1.5679 | 0.9069 | 1.4660 | 1.4738 | 1.2480 |
Design and construction | 1.6108 | 1.6778 | 1.0392 | 1.3642 | 1.5026 | 1.3004 |
Contractual | 1.5745 | 1.6849 | 1.0289 | 1.5205 | 1.3780 | 1.3424 |
Policy and political | 1.5424 | 1.6585 | 0.9956 | 1.4612 | 1.5206 | 1.1643 |
Dimension | Code | r | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Technical | C1 | 9.1307 | 7.6029 | 18.6957 | −0.4343 |
Financial | C2 | 9.5729 | 7.7846 | 19.6374 | −0.4917 |
Environmental | C3 | 8.1837 | 6.6625 | 14.4350 | 1.9323 |
Design and construction | C4 | 8.4949 | 6.8842 | 17.6654 | −0.6755 |
Contractual | C5 | 8.5291 | 6.9546 | 17.7721 | −0.7138 |
Policy and political | C6 | 8.3426 | 6.8001 | 16.3023 | 0.3828 |
With Respect to the Goal | Technical | Financial | Environmental | Design and Construction | Contractual | Policy and Political | Weight Factor |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Technical | 1 | 0.26 | |||||
Financial | 1.4 | 1 | 0.29 | ||||
Environmental | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.11 | |||
Design and construction | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.15 | ||
Contractual | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.09 | |
Policy and political | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.10 |
C R = 0.04758 (acceptable value to be less than 0.1) |
Technical | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H1 | H2 | H3 | H4 | H5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H1 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H2 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H3 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | Financial | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
H4 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H5 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | H6 | H7 | H8 | H9 | H10 | ||||||||||||||||||||
H6 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H7 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H8 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | Environment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
H9 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H10 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | H11 | H12 | H13 | H14 | H15 | ||||||||||||||||||||
H11 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H12 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H13 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | Design | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
H14 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H15 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | H16 | H17 | H18 | H19 | H20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
H16 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H17 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H18 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | Contractual | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
H19 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H20 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | H21 | H22 | H23 | H24 | |||||||||||||||||||||
H21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H22 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | Policy and Political | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H23 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H24 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | H25 | H26 | H27 | H28 | H29 | |||||||||||||||||||||
H25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H26 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H27 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H28 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
H29 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
© 2017 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Dehdasht, G.; Mohamad Zin, R.; Ferwati, M.S.; Mohammed Abdullahi, M.; Keyvanfar, A.; McCaffer, R. DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects. Sustainability 2017, 9, 1420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9081420
Dehdasht G, Mohamad Zin R, Ferwati MS, Mohammed Abdullahi M, Keyvanfar A, McCaffer R. DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects. Sustainability. 2017; 9(8):1420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9081420
Chicago/Turabian StyleDehdasht, Gholamreza, Rosli Mohamad Zin, M. Salim Ferwati, Mu’azu Mohammed Abdullahi, Ali Keyvanfar, and Ronald McCaffer. 2017. "DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects" Sustainability 9, no. 8: 1420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9081420