Education Increases Solar Radiation Modification Literacy but Reinforces Caution: Evidence from a Pre–Post University Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. SRM in the Climate Intervention Landscape: Promise, Limits, and Uncertainty
2.2. Governance, Legitimacy, and Justice as Inseparable Dimensions of SRM Perceptions
2.3. What Shapes Public and Stakeholder Perceptions of SRM?
2.4. From Perceptions to Learning: Why Education Is Not a Simple “Information Deficit” Fix
2.5. Research Gap and Positioning of the Present Study
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Course Context, Sampling, and Study Timeline
3.2. Educational Module Design and Implementation
3.3. Participants, Survey Administration, and Ethics
3.4. Measures and Data Processing
3.5. Quantitative Analysis
3.6. Qualitative Coding of Open-Ended Responses
4. Results
4.1. Sample Characteristics
4.2. Baseline Climate and Policy Attitudes
4.3. Pre–Post Changes in SRM Knowledge and Attitudes
4.4. Post-Lecture Beliefs: Literacy, Benefits vs. Risks, Governance, and Moral Hazard
4.5. Correlates of Post-Lecture Support
4.6. Themes in Open-Ended Responses
5. Discussion
5.1. From Awareness to Caution: Instruction Reshapes SRM Judgments
5.2. “Research Yes, Deployment No”: Distinguishing Epistemic Value from Risk Acceptance
5.3. Preference for Low-Carbon Development and the Salience of Moral Hazard
5.4. Implications for SRM Education and Deliberative Course Design
5.5. Limitations and Future Research
6. Conclusions
- (1)
- Self-rated SRM knowledge increased substantially after the classroom module (dz = 0.67).
- (2)
- Support for SAI deployment declined (dz = −0.33), and students shifted toward prioritizing low-carbon development over climate intervention (dz = −0.45).
- (3)
- Most students continued to view SRM research as valuable, but expressed reluctance to accept SRM-related risks and emphasized governance, moral hazard, and unintended consequences.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| SRM | Solar radiation modification |
| SAI | Stratospheric aerosol injection |
| CDR | Carbon dioxide removal |
| IPCC | Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change |
| CI | Confidence interval |
Appendix A. Details of the Survey Questionnaires Used in This Study
Appendix A.1. Pre-Geoengineering Lecture Survey
Appendix A.2. Post-Geoengineering Lecture Survey
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| Session | Topic | Reading/Materials | Activity (In-Class) | Output |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S 1 | Climate policy foundations; governance; vulnerability, resilience, and inequality | Slides C5: “Climate Mitigation and Adaptation & Fundamentals of Climate Policy” (includes UNFCCC principles; climate governance; vulnerability and structural inequalities; climate justice/equity) | Mini-lecture + guided discussion on governance principles (fairness, CBDR, precaution) and why vulnerability/adaptive capacity differ across regions | Participation notes; short written responses to “questions for thought” (optional) |
| S 2 | Exponential growth; planetary boundaries; emission gaps; social cost of carbon and discounting | Slides C6: “Exponential Growth, Planetary Boundaries and Social Costs of Carbon” (includes SCC, discounting, damage functions; governance framing) | Concept questions + short calculations/discussion on discounting and how normative assumptions change policy conclusions | Completed worksheet/calculation notes; discussion summary |
| S 3 | Mitigation policy instruments and co-benefits; SRM as contingency (Plan B); SRM risks, uncertainties, governance/ethics | Slides C7: “Climate Mitigation: Approaches & Policies” (includes mitigation instruments, co-benefits literature; SRM proposals; regional impacts; governance/ethics; reflective.org simulator; SRM scenario game prompts) | Structured perspective-taking “SRM Scenario Game” in regional groups + plenary comparison of trade-offs and governance conditions | Group decision memo + plenary reflection; administered post-survey (T2) after session |
| Major | N | % |
|---|---|---|
| Natural Sciences | 21 | 20.4 |
| Engineering | 16 | 15.5 |
| Business and Economics | 2 | 1.9 |
| Medicine and Health Sciences | 7 | 6.8 |
| Arts | 2 | 1.9 |
| Computer Science | 1 | 1.0 |
| Environmental Sciences | 24 | 23.3 |
| Law | 6 | 5.8 |
| Agriculture and Forestry | 11 | 10.7 |
| Other | 13 | 12.6 |
| Outcome | Pre Mean (SD) | Pre Median [IQR] | Pre DK% | Post Mean (SD) | Post Median [IQR] | Post DK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Self-rated knowledge (1–3) | 1.86 (0.51) | 2 [0] | — | 2.33 (0.53) | 2 [1] | — |
| Support for SRM research (1–5) | 3.76 (0.88) | 4 [1] | 1.9 | 3.54 (1.05) | 4 [1] | 0.0 |
| Support for SAI deployment (1–5) | 3.42 (0.90) | 3 [1] | 5.8 | 2.95 (0.98) | 3 [2] | 0.0 |
| Support: SRM as temporary bridge (1–5) | 3.43 (1.06) | 4 [1] | 1.0 | 3.12 (1.14) | 3 [2] | 0.0 |
| Priority: Low-carbon (1) to intervention (5) | 3.08 (1.03) | 3 [2] | 2.9 | 2.40 (1.09) | 2 [1] | 0.0 |
| Outcome | N Pairs | Mean Δ | p (Raw) | p (Holm) | Cohen’s dz | r (Wilcoxon) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Self-rated SRM knowledge (1–3) | 103 | 0.47 | 1.93 × 10−8 | 9.64 × 10−8 | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| Support for SRM research (1–5) | 101 | −0.24 | 0.1191 | 0.1191 | −0.16 | −0.16 |
| Support for SAI deployment (1–5) | 97 | −0.46 | 0.0028 | 0.0084 | −0.33 | −0.27 |
| Agreement: SRM as a temporary bridge (1–5) | 102 | −0.30 | 0.0585 | 0.1169 | −0.19 | −0.17 |
| Policy priority: low-carbon (1) → intervention (5) | 100 | −0.68 | 2.50 × 10−5 | 0.0001 | −0.45 | −0.40 |
| Predictor (Standardized) | Post Support: Research | Post Support: SAI Deployment | Post Support: Temporary Bridge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline support | 0.76 [0.50, 1.14] | 0.79 [0.52, 1.20] | 0.72 [0.50, 1.06] |
| Baseline climate concern | 0.93 [0.62, 1.40] | 0.90 [0.60, 1.36] | 1.55 * [1.05, 2.30] |
| Post self-rated SRM knowledge | 1.21 [0.81, 1.81] | 0.70 [0.45, 1.11] | 1.15 [0.76, 1.72] |
| Perceived benefits vs. risks (post) | 1.78 * [1.11, 2.85] | 2.16 ** [1.35, 3.47] | 2.57 *** [1.60, 4.11] |
| Governance confidence (post) | 1.72 * [1.08, 2.74] | 1.44 [0.89, 2.34] | 0.66 [0.43, 1.01] |
| Moral-hazard concern (post) | 1.57 * [1.06, 2.34] | 1.09 [0.71, 1.67] | 1.56 * [1.05, 2.33] |
| Correct SRM definition | 3.23 [0.94, 11.04] | 1.10 [0.34, 3.55] | 1.00 [0.34, 2.99] |
| Theme | N (of 103) | % |
|---|---|---|
| Feasibility/cost/technical readiness | 39 | 37.9 |
| Risks and unintended consequences | 30 | 29.1 |
| Moral hazard and mitigation priority | 23 | 22.3 |
| Governance and accountability | 22 | 21.4 |
| Temporary/emergency use | 13 | 12.6 |
| Ethics/fairness/distribution | 4 | 3.9 |
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Share and Cite
Gao, P.; Sie, A.; Xia, L.; Gao, C. Education Increases Solar Radiation Modification Literacy but Reinforces Caution: Evidence from a Pre–Post University Study. Sustainability 2026, 18, 2689. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062689
Gao P, Sie A, Xia L, Gao C. Education Increases Solar Radiation Modification Literacy but Reinforces Caution: Evidence from a Pre–Post University Study. Sustainability. 2026; 18(6):2689. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062689
Chicago/Turabian StyleGao, Pengyao, Amanda Sie, Lili Xia, and Chaochao Gao. 2026. "Education Increases Solar Radiation Modification Literacy but Reinforces Caution: Evidence from a Pre–Post University Study" Sustainability 18, no. 6: 2689. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062689
APA StyleGao, P., Sie, A., Xia, L., & Gao, C. (2026). Education Increases Solar Radiation Modification Literacy but Reinforces Caution: Evidence from a Pre–Post University Study. Sustainability, 18(6), 2689. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18062689

