The Role of Climate-Induced Disaster in Multidimensional Poverty: A Systematic Review and the Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Research Design
2.2. Search Strategy
2.3. Inclusion and Exclusion
2.4. Data Extraction and Methodological Quality Assessment
| Author (Year) [Ref] | Study Design and Data Collection | Sample Characteristics | Study Setting | Study Objectives | Types of Climates Induced Disaster | Assessment Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Silva & Kawasaki (2018) [41] | Quantitative cross-sectional household survey, regression analysis | 2000 households across districts | Sri Lanka | Assess socioeconomic vulnerability to floods/droughts using PAR and Access models | Floods, droughts | Medium (JBI Cross-sectional = 6/8) |
| Gentle & Maraseni (2012) [42] | Qualitative participatory: CVCA, FGDs, well-being ranking, key informant interviews | Local households, community groups | Nepal (Himalayan villages) | Explore climate change impacts on livelihoods and community adaptation strategies | Climate variability (multiple hazards) | Medium (JBIQARI = 7/10) |
| Daoud, Halleröd & Guha-Sapir (2016) [43] | Quantitative: cross-national, DHS & MICS data sets, regression | Nationally representative child/household surveys across 83 countries | Global (83 developing countries) | Examine how disasters and governance affect child poverty | Multiple disasters | High (JBI Cross-sectional = 7/8) |
| Hlahla & Hill (2018) [44] | Mixed methods: household questionnaire, perceptions survey, descriptive stats | 378 households | South Africa (urban poor communities) | Investigating household coping with climate variability | Climate variability | Medium (JBI Cross-sectional = 5/8) |
| Ali et al. (2017) [45] | Quantitative econometrics: household survey, probit, and PSM models | 500 smallholder farmers | Pakistan (Punjab and Sindh) | Examine weather shocks and smallholder adaptation | Weather shocks | High (JBI Cross-sectional = 7/8) |
| Hien et al. (2023) [46] | Quantitative panel: household panel data (TVSEP), IV methods | Multiple waves of rural households | Vietnam (rural areas) | Study the impacts of climate variation on poverty and rural livelihoods | Climate variation | High (JBI Cohort = 9/10) |
| Cidade et al. (2020) [47] | Qualitative participatory: FGDs | 79 participants across 7 focus groups | Brazil (Northeast and South) | Explore impacts of climate change on rural poverty and livelihoods | Climate change impacts | Medium (JBIQARI = 7/10) |
| Lee & Tang (2019) [48] | Quantitative time-series: secondary macro data (FAO, WB), Granger causality tests | Macro-level national datasets | Philippines (national level) | Examine climate variability and food security linkages | Climate variability | Medium (JBI Cross-sectional = 6/8) |
| Barua et al. (2014) [49] | Mixed methods: FGDs, household survey, MPI with AHP weighting | 2753 households in Namthang block (purposive sampling) | India (Sikkim, Himalaya) | Assess multidimensional poverty in relation to climate change | Climate variability | Medium (JBIQARI = 7/10) |
| Urama et al. (2019) [50] | Quantitative case study: panel household survey, covariance model | National household survey (2011–2013) | Nigeria (national, 2012 flood context) | Investigating the impacts of the 2012 flood on poverty and inequality | Floods | High (JBI Cohort = 9/10) |
| Hajra et al. (2017) [51] | Quantitative household survey: logistic and multinomial regression | 783 households | India (Sundarban Delta) | Explore poverty traps in hazard-prone areas | Recurrent hazards | Medium (JBI Cross-sectional = 6/8) |
| Dung (2024) [52] | Quantitative household survey | Rural households | Vietnam | Examine the impact of natural disasters on multidimensional poverty | Flood, drought, storm | High (JBI = 9/10) |
| Ahmad & Afzal (2025) [53] | quantitative cross-sectional research design: combining primary and secondary data | Flood-affected rural households | Pakistan | Assess post-flood agricultural and non-agricultural economic losses | Floods | High (JBI = 8/10) |
| Gambo et al. (2023) [54] | Quantitative spatial analysis: flood risk mapping and MPI computation | Rural households in Jigawa State | Nigeria | Model flood risk and multidimensional poverty determinants | Floods | High (JBI = 8/10) |
| Açci et al. (2024) [55] | Quantitative panel: machine-learning (autoencoder) climate index and econometric analysis | Underdeveloped countries (cross-national) | Global | Examine climate change, food prices, and poverty dynamics | Climate variability (temp & rainfall) | High (JBI = 9/10) |
| Asare & Forkuor (2024) [56] | Qualitative case study: interviews + FGDs | Rural farming households and adolescent girls | Ghana (Northern region) | Examine climate-induced poverty and early girl-child marriage as an adaptation | Drought, rainfall variability | Medium (JBIQARI = 7/10) |
| Singh-Peterson et al. (2025) [57] | Qualitative ethnographic: Talanoa discussions and semi-structured interviews | Indigenous iTaukei communities | Fiji | Examine cultural and gendered aspects of climate-induced non-economic loss | Cyclones, floods, landslides | High (JBIQARI = 9/10) |
2.5. Data Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Document Selection
3.2. Overview of the Empirical Studies on Climate-Induced Disasters and Poverty
3.3. Impacts of Climate Events on Different Dimensions of Poverty
3.3.1. Livelihood and Economic Dimensions
3.3.2. Food, Water, and Health Security
3.3.3. Human Capital and Education
3.3.4. Social Vulnerability and Gender Inequality
3.3.5. Environmental Dependence and Resource Degradation
3.3.6. Cultural and Psychological Well-Being
3.3.7. Child and Intergenerational Poverty
3.4. Variation in the Impacts of Floods, Droughts, and Other Climate Stressors on Multidimensional Poverty
3.5. Mediating Factors Conditioning the Relationship Between Climate-Induced Disasters and Multidimensional Poverty
3.6. Coping Mechanisms Under Climate-Driven Disasters
3.7. Reporting Bias and Certainty of Evidence
4. Discussion
4.1. Climate-Induced Disasters, Dimensions of Poverty, and Coping Strategies
4.2. Social Construction of Climate-Induced Poverty
4.3. Theoretical Contribution: Towards a Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework
4.4. Policy Implications
5. Conclusions
5.1. Limitations
5.2. The Future Research Direction
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Mutabazi, K.D.; Amjath-Babu, T.S.; Sieber, S. Influence of Livelihood Resources on Adaptive Strategies to Enhance Climatic Resilience of Farm Households in Morogoro, Tanzania: An Indicator-Based Analysis. Reg. Environ. Change 2015, 15, 1259–1268. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Weerasekara, S.; Wilson, C.; Lee, B.; Hoang, V.-N.; Managi, S.; Rajapaksa, D. The Impacts of Climate Induced Disasters on the Economy: Winners and Losers in Sri Lanka. Ecol. Econ. 2021, 185, 107043. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- UNDRR; CRED. The Human Cost of Disasters: An Overview of the Last 20 Years (2000–2019)|UNDRR. Available online: https://www.undrr.org/publication/human-cost-disasters-overview-last-20-years-2000-2019 (accessed on 26 October 2025).
- Lindsey, R. Climate Change: Global Sea Level|NOAA Climate.Gov. Available online: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-sea-level (accessed on 26 October 2025).
- USGS. How Can Climate Change Affect Natural Disasters?|U.S. Geological Survey. Available online: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/how-can-climate-change-affect-natural-disasters (accessed on 26 October 2025).
- NOAA Hurricanes|National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Available online: https://www.noaa.gov/education/resource-collections/weather-atmosphere/hurricanes (accessed on 26 October 2025).
- Haggag, M.; Siam, A.S.; El-Dakhakhni, W.; Coulibaly, P.; Hassini, E. A Deep Learning Model for Predicting Climate-Induced Disasters. Nat. Hazards 2021, 107, 1009–1034. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hallegatte, S.; Vogt-Schilb, A.; Rozenberg, J.; Bangalore, M.; Beaudet, C. From Poverty to Disaster and Back: A Review of the Literature. Econ. Disasters Clim. Change 2020, 4, 223–247. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hallegatte, S.; Fay, M.; Barbier, E.B. Poverty and Climate Change: Introduction. Environ. Dev. Econ. 2018, 23, 217–233. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- World Bank Group. Overview. Available online: https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview (accessed on 6 November 2025).
- Brouwer, R.; Akter, S.; Brander, L.; Haque, E. Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Adaptation to Environmental Risk: A Case Study of Climate Change and Flooding in Bangladesh. Risk Anal. 2007, 27, 313–326. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Carter, M.R.; Little, P.D.; Mogues, T.; Negatu, W. Poverty Traps and Natural Disasters in Ethiopia and Honduras. World Dev. 2007, 35, 835–856. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jongman, B.; Winsemius, H.C.; Aerts, J.C.J.H.; Coughlan De Perez, E.; Van Aalst, M.K.; Kron, W.; Ward, P.J. Declining Vulnerability to River Floods and the Global Benefits of Adaptation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2015, 112, E2271–E2280. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Highfield, W.E.; Peacock, W.G.; Van Zandt, S. Mitigation Planning: Why Hazard Exposure, Structural Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability Matter. J. Plan. Educ. Res. 2014, 34, 287–300. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Krishna, A. Pathways out of and into Poverty in 36 Villages of Andhra Pradesh, India. World Dev. 2006, 34, 271–288. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cole, S.; Giné, X.; Vickery, J. How Does Risk Management Influence Production Decisions? The World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Hallegatte, S.; Bangalore, M.; Bonzanigo, L.; Kane, T.; Fay, M.; Narloch, U.; Treguer, D.; Rozenberg, J.; Vogt-Schilb, A. Shock Waves: Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty; World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2016; ISBN 978-1-4648-0673-5. [Google Scholar]
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2012; ISBN 978-1-107-02506-6. [Google Scholar]
- Odeku, K.O. Climate Induced Poverty: Impediment to Poverty Alleviation in Developing Countries. Mediterr. J. Soc. Sci. 2014, 5, 672–677. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef][Green Version]
- Mearns, R.; Norton, A. New Frontiers of Social Policy; The World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2010. [Google Scholar]
- Fischer, G.; Shah, M.; Tubiello, F.N.; van Velhuizen, H. Socio-Economic and Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture: An Integrated Assessment, 1990–2080. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 2005, 360, 2067–2083. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Alkire, S.; Foster, J. Counting and Multidimensional Poverty Measurement. J. Public Econ. 2011, 95, 476–487. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Alkire, S. Multidimensional Poverty Neasurement and Analysis, 1st ed.; Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK, 2015; ISBN 978-0-19-179374-5. [Google Scholar]
- Crane, T.A.; Delaney, A.; Tamás, P.A.; Chesterman, S.; Ericksen, P. A Systematic Review of Local Vulnerability to Climate Change in Developing Country Agriculture. WIREs Clim. Change 2017, 8, e464. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hallegatte, S.; Rozenberg, J. Climate Change through a Poverty Lens. Nature Clim. Change 2017, 7, 250–256. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Arora, A. The Climate Crisis Is a Child Rights Crisis: Introducing the Children’s Climate Risk Index; Unicef Data: Florence, Italy, 2021. [Google Scholar]
- Lehodey, P.; Chai, F.; Hampton, J. Modelling Climate-related Variability of Tuna Populations from a Coupled Ocean–Biogeochemical-populations Dynamics Model. Fish. Oceanogr. 2003, 12, 483–494. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Calvin, K.; Dasgupta, D.; Krinner, G.; Mukherji, A.; Thorne, P.W.; Trisos, C.; Romero, J.; Aldunce, P.; Barrett, K.; Blanco, G.; et al. IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Core Writing Team, Lee, H., Romero, J., Eds.; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): Geneva, Switzerland, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Khine, M.M.; Langkulsen, U. The Implications of Climate Change on Health among Vulnerable Populations in South Africa: A Systematic Review. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2023, 20, 3425. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ngcamu, B.S. Climate Change Effects on Vulnerable Populations in the Global South: A Systematic Review. Nat. Hazards 2023, 118, 977–991. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Birkmann, J.; Cardona, O.D.; Carreño, M.L.; Barbat, A.H.; Pelling, M.; Schneiderbauer, S.; Kienberger, S.; Keiler, M.; Alexander, D.; Zeil, P.; et al. Framing Vulnerability, Risk and Societal Responses: The MOVE Framework. Nat. Hazards 2013, 67, 193–211. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nagano, T.; Sekiyama, T. Review of Vulnerability Factors Linking Climate Change and Conflict. Climate 2023, 11, 104. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jurgilevich, A.; Räsänen, A.; Groundstroem, F.; Juhola, S. A Systematic Review of Dynamics in Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments. Environ. Res. Lett. 2017, 12, 013002. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tucker, J.; Daoud, M.; Oates, N.; Few, R.; Conway, D.; Mtisi, S.; Matheson, S. Social Vulnerability in Three High-Poverty Climate Change Hot Spots: What Does the Climate Change Literature Tell Us? Reg. Environ. Change 2015, 15, 783–800. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sarker, M.N.I. Livelihood Resilience of Climate-Induced Displaced People in South Asia: Implications for Bangladesh. In Disaster, Displacement and Resilient Livelihoods: Perspectives from South Asia; Islam, M.R., Ed.; Emerald Publishing Limited: Leeds, UK, 2023; pp. 81–98. ISBN 978-1-80455-449-4. [Google Scholar]
- Fink, A. Conducting Research Literature Reviews: From the Internet to Paper; Sage Publications: Thousand Oaks, CA, USA, 2019. [Google Scholar]
- Sierra-Correa, P.C.; Cantera Kintz, J.R. Ecosystem-Based Adaptation for Improving Coastal Planning for Sea-Level Rise: A Systematic Review for Mangrove Coasts. Mar. Policy 2015, 51, 385–393. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aromataris, E.; Lockwood, C.; Porritt, K.; Pilla, B.; Jordan, Z. (Eds.) JBI Manual for Evidence Synthesis, 2024 ed.; JBI: Adelaide, Australia, 2024; ISBN 978-0-6488488-0-6. [Google Scholar]
- Lockwood, C.; Munn, Z.; Porritt, K. Qualitative Research Synthesis: Methodological Guidance for Systematic Reviewers Utilizing Meta-Aggregation. Int. J. Evid.-Based Healthc. 2015, 13, 179–187. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Kamara, J.; Akombi, B.; Agho, K.; Renzaho, A. Resilience to Climate-Induced Disasters and Its Overall Relationship to Well-Being in Southern Africa: A Mixed-Methods Systematic Review. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2018, 15, 2375. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- De Silva, M.M.G.T.; Kawasaki, A. Socioeconomic Vulnerability to Disaster Risk: A Case Study of Flood and Drought Impact in a Rural Sri Lankan Community. Ecol. Econ. 2018, 152, 131–140. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gentle, P.; Maraseni, T.N. Climate Change, Poverty and Livelihoods: Adaptation Practices by Rural Mountain Communities in Nepal. Environ. Sci. Policy 2012, 21, 24–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Daoud, A.; Halleröd, B.; Guha-Sapir, D. What Is the Association between Absolute Child Poverty, Poor Governance, and Natural Disasters? A Global Comparison of Some of the Realities of Climate Change. PLoS ONE 2016, 11, e0153296. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hlahla, S.; Hill, T.R. Responses to Climate Variability in Urban Poor Communities in Pietermaritzburg, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Sage Open 2018, 8, 2158244018800914. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ali, A.; Rahut, D.B.; Mottaleb, K.A.; Erenstein, O. Impacts of Changing Weather Patterns on Smallholder Well-Being: Evidence from the Himalayan Region of Northern Pakistan. Int. J. Clim. Change Strateg. Manag. 2017, 9, 225–240. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hien, N.M.; Kien, N.D.; Koji, K. Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam. Dev. Stud. Res. 2023, 10, 2202823. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cidade, E.C.; Junior, J.F.M.; Ximenes, V.M. Impacts of Climate Change on Rural Poverty in the Brazilian Northeast and South. Community Psychol. Glob. Perspect. 2020, 6, 125–139. [Google Scholar]
- Lee, C.-Y.; Tang, C.F. How Do Natural Disasters Influence the Rate of Poverty? J. Poverty 2019, 23, 478–486. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barua, A.; Katyaini, S.; Mili, B.; Gooch, P. Climate Change and Poverty: Building Resilience of Rural Mountain Communities in South Sikkim, Eastern Himalaya, India. Reg. Environ. Change 2014, 14, 267–280. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Urama, N.E.; Eboh, E.C.; Onyekuru, A. Impact of Extreme Climate Events on Poverty in Nigeria: A Case of the 2012 Flood. Clim. Dev. 2019, 11, 27–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hajra, R.; Szabo, S.; Tessler, Z.; Ghosh, T.; Matthews, Z.; Foufoula-Georgiou, E. Unravelling the Association between the Impact of Natural Hazards and Household Poverty: Evidence from the Indian Sundarban Delta. Sustain. Sci. 2017, 12, 453–464. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dung, N.Q.; Thi Hue, H.; Thanh, T.P. The Impact of Natural Disaster on Multidimensional Poverty of Rural Households in Vietnam: The Regulating Role of Social Assistance. Poverty Public Policy 2024, 16, 213–231. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ahmad, D.; Khurshid, S.; Afzal, M. Climate Change Vulnerability and Multidimensional Poverty in Flood Prone Rural Areas of Punjab, Pakistan: An Application of Multidimensional Poverty Index and Livelihood Vulnerability Index. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 2024, 26, 13325–13352. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gambo, J.; Binti Roslan, S.N.A.; Zulhaidi Mohd Shafri, H.; Che Ya, N.N.; Ahmed Yusuf, Y.; Ang, Y. Unveiling and Modelling the Flood Risk and Multidimensional Poverty Determinants Using Geospatial Multi-Criteria Approach: Evidence from Jigawa, Nigeria. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 2024, 106, 104400. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Açci, Y.; Uçar, E.; Uçar, M.; Açci, R.C. Evaluating the Relationship between Climate Change, Food Prices, and Poverty: Empirical Evidence from Underdeveloped Countries. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 2024, 27, 28061. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Asare, L.A.; Forkuor, J.B. The Social Consequences of Climate Change: A Qualitative Analysis of Early Girl Child Marriage as an Informal Adaptation Strategy among Rural Communities in Northern Ghana. Cogent Soc. Sci. 2024, 10, 2319703. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Singh-Peterson, L.; Iranacolaivalu, M.; Lomavatu, M.F. Accounting for Culture in Evaluations of Climate-Induced Noneconomic Losses and Damages: Case Studies with Three Indigenous Communities from Rural Fiji. Rural. Sociol. 2025, 90, e70023. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Haddaway, N.R.; Page, M.J.; Pritchard, C.C.; McGuinness, L.A. PRISMA2020: An R Package and Shiny App for Producing PRISMA 2020-compliant Flow Diagrams, with Interactivity for Optimised Digital Transparency and Open Synthesis. Campbell Syst. Rev. 2022, 18, e1230. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chandio, A.A.; Jiang, Y.; Amin, A.; Ahmad, M.; Akram, W.; Ahmad, F. Climate Change and Food Security of South Asia: Fresh Evidence from a Policy Perspective Using Novel Empirical Analysis. J. Environ. Plan. Manag. 2023, 66, 169–190. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- De Haen, H.; Hemrich, G. The Economics of Natural Disasters: Implications and Challenges for Food Security. Agric. Econ. 2007, 37, 31–45. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Canedo-Rosso, C.; Hochrainer-Stigler, S.; Pflug, G.; Condori, B.; Berndtsson, R. Drought Impact in the Bolivian Altiplano Agriculture Associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation Using Satellite Imagery Data. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2021, 21, 995–1010. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hansen, J.; Sato, M.; Ruedy, R. Perception of Climate Change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2012, 109, E2415–E2423. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Watts, N.; Adger, W.N.; Agnolucci, P.; Blackstock, J.; Byass, P.; Cai, W.; Chaytor, S.; Colbourn, T.; Collins, M.; Cooper, A.; et al. Health and Climate Change: Policy Responses to Protect Public Health. Lancet 2015, 386, 1861–1914. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hirvonen, K.; Taffesse, A.S.; Worku Hassen, I. Seasonality and Household Diets in Ethiopia. Public Health Nutr. 2016, 19, 1723–1730. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Otorkpa, O.J.; Yusuf, A.M.; Aborode, A.T. Climate and Conflict-Induced Child Nutrition Crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa. Confl. Health 2024, 18, 59. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Springmann, M.; Mason-D’Croz, D.; Robinson, S.; Garnett, T.; Godfray, H.C.J.; Gollin, D.; Rayner, M.; Ballon, P.; Scarborough, P. Global and Regional Health Effects of Future Food Production under Climate Change: A Modelling Study. Lancet 2016, 387, 1937–1946. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- GEM Report UNESCO. Education and Climate Change: Learning to Act for People and Planet; GEM Report UNESCO: Paris, France; MECCE: Saskatoon, SK, Canada; University of Saskatchewan: Saskatoon, SK, Canada, 2024; ISBN 978-92-3-100686-9. [Google Scholar]
- Turquet, L.; Tabbush, C.; Staab, S.; Williams, L.; Howell, B. Feminist Climate Justice: A Framework for Action; United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women): New York, NY, USA, 2023; ISBN 978-92-1-002991-9. [Google Scholar]
- Tschakert, P.; Ellis, N.R.; Anderson, C.; Kelly, A.; Obeng, J. One Thousand Ways to Experience Loss: A Systematic Analysis of Climate-Related Intangible Harm from around the World. Glob. Environ. Change 2019, 55, 58–72. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chambers, R.; Conway, G. Sustainable Rural Livelihoods: Practical Concepts for the 21st Century; Institute of Development Studies: Falmer, UK, 1991. [Google Scholar]
- Noy, I. The Macroeconomic Consequences of Disasters. J. Dev. Econ. 2009, 88, 221–231. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Skidmore, M.; Toya, H. Do Natural Disasters Promote Long-Run Growth? Econ. Inq. 2002, 40, 664–687. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sen, A. Development as Freedom; Alfred A. Knopf, Inc.: New York, NY, USA, 1999; ISBN 978-0-19-829012-4. [Google Scholar]
- Romanello, M.; Napoli, C.D.; Green, C.; Kennard, H.; Lampard, P.; Scamman, D.; Walawender, M.; Ali, Z.; Ameli, N.; Ayeb-Karlsson, S.; et al. The 2023 Report of the Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change: The Imperative for a Health-Centred Response in a World Facing Irreversible Harms. Lancet 2023, 402, 2346–2394. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2022—Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 1st ed.; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2023; ISBN 978-1-009-32584-4. [Google Scholar]
- Gleick, P.H. Water, Drought, Climate Change, and Conflict in Syria. Weather. Clim. Soc. 2014, 6, 331–340. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Warner, K.; Geest, K.V.D. Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Local-Level Evidence from Nine Vulnerable Countries. Int. J. Glob. Warm. 2013, 5, 367. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Norris, F.H.; Stevens, S.P.; Pfefferbaum, B.; Wyche, K.F.; Pfefferbaum, R.L. Community Resilience as a Metaphor, Theory, Set of Capacities, and Strategy for Disaster Readiness. Am. J. Community Psychol. 2008, 41, 127–150. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lowe, S.R.; Rhodes, J.E.; Waters, M.C. Understanding Resilience and Other Trajectories of Psychological Distress: A Mixed-Methods Study of Low-Income Mothers Who Survived Hurricane Katrina. Curr. Psychol. 2015, 34, 537–550. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Schultz, T.W. Investment in Human Capital. Am. Econ. Rev. 1961, 51, 1–17. [Google Scholar]
- Bos, M.S.; Schwartz, L. Education and Climate Change: How to Develop Skills for Climate Action at School Age? Inter-American Development Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Rocheleau, D.; Nirmal, P. Feminist Political Ecologies. In The Oxford Handbook of Transnational Feminist Movements; Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK, 2015. [Google Scholar]
- Barbier, E.B. Poverty, Development, and Environment. Environ. Dev. Econ. 2010, 15, 635–660. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pastor-Escuredo, D.; Torres, Y.; Martínez-Torres, M.; Zufiria, P.J. Rapid Multi-Dimensional Impact Assessment of Floods. Sustainability 2020, 12, 4246. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pastor-Escuredo, D.; Morales-Guzman, A.; Torres-Fernandez, Y.; Bauer, J.-M.; Wadhwa, A.; Castro-Correa, C.; Romanoff, L.; Lee, J.G.; Rutherford, A.; Frias-Martinez, V.; et al. Flooding through the Lens of Mobile Phone Activity. In Proceedings of the IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference (GHTC 2014); IEEE: San Jose, CA, USA, 2014; pp. 279–286. [Google Scholar]
- Zufiria, P.J.; Pastor-Escuredo, D.; Úbeda-Medina, L.; Hernandez-Medina, M.A.; Barriales-Valbuena, I.; Morales, A.J.; Jacques, D.C.; Nkwambi, W.; Diop, M.B.; Quinn, J.; et al. Identifying Seasonal Mobility Profiles from Anonymized and Aggregated Mobile Phone Data. Application in Food Security. PLoS ONE 2018, 13, e0195714. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tierney, K. The Social Roots of Risk: Producing Disasters, Promoting Resilience; Stanford University Press: Redwood City, CA, USA, 2014; ISBN 978-0-8047-9139-7. [Google Scholar]
- Giddens, A. The Constitution of Society: Outline of the Theory of Structuration. Political Geogr. Q. 1984, 5, 288–289. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Legg, S. IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021—The Physical Science Basis. Interaction 2021, 49, 44–45. [Google Scholar]
- Füssel, H.-M. Vulnerability: A Generally Applicable Conceptual Framework for Climate Change Research. Glob. Environ. Change 2007, 17, 155–167. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bourdieu, P. The Forms of Capital. In Handbook of Theory and Research for the Sociology of Education; Greenwood: Westport, CT, USA, 1986; pp. 241–258. [Google Scholar]
- Cutter, S.L.; Boruff, B.J.; Shirley, W.L. Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards. Soc. Sci. Q. 2003, 84, 242–261. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Adger, W.N.; Brown, I.; Surminski, S. Advances in Risk Assessment for Climate Change Adaptation Policy. Philos. Trans. A Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 2018, 376, 20180106. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- O’Brien, K.; Eriksen, S.; Nygaard, L.P.; Schjolden, A. Why Different Interpretations of Vulnerability Matter in Climate Change Discourses. Clim. Policy 2007, 7, 73–88. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]




| Methods | Asia | Africa | Latin America | Oceania | Global | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantitative | De Silva & Kawasaki (2018) [41] Ali et al. (2017) [45] Hien et al. (2023) [46] Lee and Tang (2019) [48] Hajra et al. (2017) [51] Dung (2024) [52] Ahmad and Afzal (2025) [53] | Urama et al. (2019) [50] | - | - | Daoud et al. (2016) [43] | 9 |
| Qualitative | Gentle and Maraseni (2012) [42] | Asare and Forkuor (2024) [56] | Cidade et al. (2020) [47] | Singh-Peterson et al. (2025) [57] | - | 4 |
| Mixed | Barua et al. (2013) [49] | Hlahla & Hill (2018) [44] | - | - | - | 2 |
| Machine learning/geospatial | - | Gambo et al. (2023) [54] | - | - | Açci et al. (2024) [55] | 2 |
| Total | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
| Thematic Category | Climate Hazard(s) | Country/ Region | Key Findings on Economic and Livelihood Impacts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agricultural Productivity Loss and Income Decline | Droughts, floods | Vietnam | Drought reduced agricultural productivity and income, lowering household consumption and increasing multidimensional poverty [52]. |
| Drought | Vietnam | Rice productivity declined by 8.6%, per capita consumption dropped 12.4%, and poverty probability rose by nearly 19% [46]. | |
| Temperature and rainfall variability | Pakistan (Himalayan region) | Climate variability reduced income by PKR 10,000–15,000 annually and increased reliance on natural resources [45]. | |
| Droughts, rainfall variability | Nepal (Jumla District) | Crop failure and food shortages led to debt cycles and long-term livelihood vulnerability [42]. | |
| Water scarcity, erratic rainfall | India (South Sikkim) | Declining yields and soil erosion undermined subsistence farming, forcing borrowing and food purchase [49]. | |
| Flood-Induced Market and Employment Disruption | Floods | Pakistan (Punjab) | Flooding caused loss of assets and employment, and worsening poverty, especially among low-education households [53]. |
| Floods | Nigeria | 2012 floods reduced per-capita expenditure by ₦5000; agricultural households were most affected [50]. | |
| Floods | Nigeria (Jigawa) | Floods destroyed farmland, disrupted markets, and increased unemployment and food insecurity [54]. | |
| Floods, droughts | Sri Lanka | Poor households lost 27–35% of annual income and took 8–10 months to recover; high agricultural dependency prolonged impacts [41]. | |
| Droughts, floods, heat waves | South Africa (Pietermaritzburg) | Extreme weather damaged crops and reduced informal income sources [44]. | |
| Debt, Asset Depletion | Droughts and floods | Brazil (Northeast and South) | Crop failure and unemployment caused severe indebtedness and water scarcity, leading to distress purchasing and hunger [47]. |
| Drought | Nepal | Resource scarcity forced borrowing at high interest and the selling of assets, deepening rural poverty [42]. | |
| Price Inflation and Macro-Level Economic Slowdown | Climate variability | Global panel (developing countries) | Rising temperatures and rainfall shocks increased food prices, indirectly elevating poverty [55]. |
| Typhoons, floods, earthquakes | Philippines | Natural disasters curtailed financial development and GDP growth, constraining employment and savings [48]. |
| Thematic Category | Country/ Region | Climate Hazard(s) | Key Findings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food Insecurity and Nutritional Deprivation | Vietnam | Droughts, floods | Droughts caused severe food shortages, reduced consumption, and increased illness risk; floods affected local food supply chains [52]. |
| Vietnam | Drought | Drought lowered rice yields and reduced household food consumption by 12.4%, worsening nutrition and welfare [46]. | |
| Nepal (Jumla District) | Droughts, rainfall variability | Crop failures and declining irrigation caused chronic food shortages and undernutrition [42]. | |
| Brazil (Northeast and South) | Droughts and floods | Prolonged droughts led to hunger—households survived on “coffee and flour”; widespread food and emotional stress reported [47]. | |
| Sri Lanka | Floods, droughts | Agricultural loss and income decline caused malnutrition and food insecurity among poor households [41]. | |
| Ghana (Bongo District) | Drought, erratic rainfall | Food scarcity drove early girl-child marriage as a coping mechanism; household nutrition indirectly affected [56]. | |
| Water Scarcity, Contamination, and Access Constraints | India (South Sikkim) | Water scarcity, erratic rainfall | Springs became seasonal, forcing women to walk long distances for water; linked to poor nutrition and health vulnerability [49]. |
| India (Sundarban Delta) | Cyclones, salinization, tidal surges | Salinization of soil and groundwater contaminated drinking water; worsened disease and agricultural productivity decline [51]. | |
| Vietnam | Droughts | Drought reduced water access, heightening disease exposure and sanitation challenges [52]. | |
| Disease Outbreaks and Public Health Crises | Pakistan (Punjab) | Floods | Floods caused stagnant water and displacement, increasing exposure to waterborne diseases and sanitation deprivation [53]. |
| Nigeria (Jigawa) | Floods | Floods isolated health centers and triggered outbreaks of waterborne disease; reduced food availability [54]. | |
| Nigeria | Floods | Flood exposure decreased spending on health and nutrition; increased disease prevalence in rural areas [50]. | |
| South Africa (Pietermaritzburg) | Droughts, floods, heat waves | Climate stress caused crop loss, food insecurity, and health problems (skin rashes, respiratory illness, heat-related symptoms) [44]. | |
| Intergenerational Health Deprivation | 67 LMICs (cross-national) | Natural disasters (aggregate) | Disaster exposure significantly increased child poverty and health deprivation; lack of clean water and nutrition were primary mediators [43]. |
| Thematic Category | Country/Region | Climate Hazard(s) | Key Findings on Education and Human Capital |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income Shock and Reduced Educational Investment | Vietnam | Droughts, floods | Income loss from drought led households to cut spending on schooling and vocational training; floods caused short-term school closures [52]. |
| Vietnam | Drought | Decline in income and consumption constrained educational investment and skill development in rural households [46]. | |
| Sri Lanka | Floods, droughts | Economic losses forced families to redirect resources from education to basic survival needs [41]. | |
| Pakistan (Punjab) | Floods | Flooding increased multidimensional poverty, including educational deprivation among low-income households [53]. | |
| School Disruption and Physical Inaccessibility | Nigeria (Jigawa) | Floods | Floods damaged infrastructure and forced school closures during the 2022 disaster, halting secondary education [54]. |
| Nigeria | Floods | Flood exposure indirectly reduced school continuation through loss of income and child labor dependency [50]. | |
| Child Labor and Household Coping Strategies | Nepal (Jumla District) | Droughts, rainfall variability | Food shortages and livelihood pressures pushed children into agricultural and domestic labor, reducing school attendance [42]. |
| Gendered Educational Deprivation and Early Marriage | India (South Sikkim) | Water scarcity, erratic rainfall | Girls withdrawn from school to assist with household work and water collection during resource stress [49]. |
| Ghana (Bongo District) | Drought, erratic rainfall | Climate-induced poverty encouraged early girl-child marriage as an adaptation, eliminating girls’ access to education [56]. | |
| Cross-National Deprivation and Intergenerational Impact | 67 LMICs (cross-national) | Natural disasters (aggregate) | Disaster exposure increased child deprivation in both education and health, highlighting intergenerational transmission of poverty [43]. |
| Level | Key Elements | References |
|---|---|---|
| Structural Drivers (Macro-Level) |
| [42,50,53] |
| Mediating Gendered Mechanisms (Meso-Level) |
| [41,49,52,56] |
| Immediate Impacts (Micro-Level) |
| [44,47,57] |
| Outcome Loop (Feedback) |
| All reviewed studies collectively reinforce this cycle |
| Country/Region | Climate Hazard(s) | Key Findings on Cultural and Psychological Well-being |
|---|---|---|
| Fiji (Indigenous iTaukei communities) | Cyclones, floods, landslides | Displacement fractured kinship networks and sacred landscapes; loss of rituals, totem species, and communal identity led to anxiety, loss of agency, and dependency [57]. |
| Brazil (Northeast and South) | Droughts, floods | Extreme droughts produced hunger, hopelessness, and fatalism—residents said, “we have to wait for God’s will”; emotional exhaustion compounded material poverty [47]. |
| South Africa (Pietermaritzburg) | Droughts, floods, heat waves | Households expressed spiritual and emotional distress, linking disasters to divine punishment; climate stress worsened mental health and community cohesion [44]. |
| Nepal (Jumla District) | Droughts, rainfall variability | Chronic food and resource insecurity caused feelings of helplessness and dependency; social exclusion reinforced psychosocial vulnerability [42]. |
| India (Sundarban Delta) | Cyclones, salinization, erosion | Displacement and livelihood loss generated psychological strain, fear, and uncertainty; migration separated families and eroded social belonging [51]. |
| Hazard Type | Dominant Impact Pathways | Most Affected Poverty Dimensions | References | Duration/Recovery Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | Crop failure, income loss, food insecurity, migration, forest extraction | Income, health, water, education | [42,45,46,47,52] | Long-term, slow recovery; cumulative impacts |
| Flood | Housing and infrastructure damage, school closure, disease outbreak, loss of assets | Housing, education, health, income | [41,50,51,53,54] | Short-term shock; partial recovery with aid |
| Compound/Other Stressors | Cultural displacement, salinization, heat stress, erosion, loss of rituals | Cultural well-being, gender equality, psychosocial health | [44,49,57] | Prolonged, identity-altering, difficult to reverse |
| Mediating Factors | Mechanism of Influence | References |
|---|---|---|
| Institutional Quality and Governance (government effectiveness, control of corruption, rule of law, institutional access, and policy effectiveness) | These factors Determine preparedness, relief efficiency, and policy inclusion. Weak governance amplifies hazard impacts. | [43,53,54] |
| Social Protection and Credit Access | Financial aid, insurance, and remittances buffer income shocks and aid recovery. | [41,50,52] |
| Livelihood Diversification and Resource Dependence | Diverse income sources enhance adaptation; dependence on natural resources heightens vulnerability. | [42,45,47] |
| Education and Human Capital | Knowledge, skills, and awareness improve adaptive capacity and recover potential. | [46,49,52] |
| Gender and Household Dynamics | Gender inequality, care burdens, and patriarchal norms constrain adaptation. | [44,56,57] |
| Social and Cultural Capital | Collective identity, trust, and cultural cohesion buffer psychosocial and material losses | [42,47,57] |
| Coping Type | Examples from Reviewed Studies | Effectiveness/Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Economic Coping | Asset sales, borrowing, reduced food intake [41,47] | Short-term relief; increases debt and insecurity |
| Social and Kinship Support | Labor sharing, remittances, collective rebuilding [42,54,57] | Moderately effective; depends on network strength |
| Environmental and Livelihood Adaptation | Forest extraction, crop switching, wage labor [45,49] | Temporarily stabilizing; risks ecological degradation |
| Gendered/Informal Strategies | Early marriage, female multi-employment [44,56] | Maladaptive; reinforces inequality |
| Psychological and Cultural Coping | Faith, rituals, collective mourning [47,57] | Strengthens emotional resilience; may limit agency |
| Institutional and Policy-Supported | Cash transfers, credit, training [50,52,53] | Most effective; dependent on inclusiveness and continuity |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
Share and Cite
Nurullah, A.B.M.; Ritchie, L.; Islam, S.; Roshid, H.-O.-; Sultana, N. The Role of Climate-Induced Disaster in Multidimensional Poverty: A Systematic Review and the Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework. Sustainability 2026, 18, 1667. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031667
Nurullah ABM, Ritchie L, Islam S, Roshid H-O-, Sultana N. The Role of Climate-Induced Disaster in Multidimensional Poverty: A Systematic Review and the Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework. Sustainability. 2026; 18(3):1667. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031667
Chicago/Turabian StyleNurullah, A B M, Liesel Ritchie, Shammy Islam, Harun-Or- Roshid, and Nahida Sultana. 2026. "The Role of Climate-Induced Disaster in Multidimensional Poverty: A Systematic Review and the Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework" Sustainability 18, no. 3: 1667. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031667
APA StyleNurullah, A. B. M., Ritchie, L., Islam, S., Roshid, H.-O.-, & Sultana, N. (2026). The Role of Climate-Induced Disaster in Multidimensional Poverty: A Systematic Review and the Multidimensional Climate–Poverty Dynamics (MCPD) Framework. Sustainability, 18(3), 1667. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031667

