Research on Precise Control of Decoration Waste Based on GF-2 Remote Sensing Images and a BP Neural Network: A Case Study of Henan Province
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data Collection
2.2. GF-2 Remote Sensing Interpretation
2.3. BP Neural Network Model
2.4. Forecast of Annual Generation of Decoration Waste
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. Interpretation and Analysis of GF-2 Remote Sensing Images
3.2. BP Neural Network Prediction Model
3.3. Forecast Analysis of Annual Generation of Decoration Waste
3.3.1. Error Comparison Analysis
3.3.2. Forecast Trend Analysis
3.3.3. Characterization of Spatial and Temporal Distribution
3.3.4. Analysis of Urban Generation Share
3.3.5. Uncertainty Analysis
4. Conclusions
- (1)
- Using multi-temporal GF-2 remote sensing images and the GIS software ArcGIS, the spatial distribution of construction waste in the study area can be extracted and the statistical footprint can be calculated by combining manual visual interpretation and machine learning recognition. The results show that as of 2021, construction waste piles cover a large area, of which decoration waste accounts for about 10%, which is a non-negligible part of urban environmental quality control.
- (2)
- Based on the trained BP neural network, in-sample prediction of decoration waste generation in 18 cities in Henan Province from 2006 to 2021 was conducted to obtain the predicted generation value of each city from 2022 to 2030. The results show that, based on the training fit goodness-of-fit result R = 0.95463 > 0.9, the model is well trained and the prediction results have high accuracy.
- (3)
- The results of the error comparison analysis show that the prediction error is less than 15%, and the predicted value has high consistency with the actual value. The results of the forecast trend analysis show that by 2030, the amount of decoration waste generated in Henan Province will reach a cumulative total of 49,827,200 tons. Using ArcGIS to visualize the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics, the high production areas of decoration waste are concentrated in the southwest and southeast of Henan Province. The key cities are Zhengzhou City, Zhumadian City, Luoyang City, Zhoukou City, and Xinyang City, with the range of generation share located between 9.46% and 27.03%. They are all cities with large economic volume and relatively dense population distribution, with obvious regional characteristics, which should be paid attention to in the future decoration waste management and government control. It is recommended that provincial-level competent authorities implement differentiated management measures: core cities should focus on categorized collection, transportation, and resource recovery; emerging cities should strengthen dynamic scheduling of temporary disposal sites; and rural areas should prioritize preventing illegal dumping in regulatory blind spots. This approach will enhance the efficiency of policy implementation and the rationality of resource allocation.
- (4)
- An uncertainty analysis indicates that forecasts of construction waste generation are influenced by multiple factors, including fluctuations in the real estate market and macroeconomic policies. The 95% confidence intervals constructed using the Bootstrap resampling method indicate that the uncertainty in the long-term forecast values is approximately ±12%, and the width of the interval increases as the forecast horizon extends, highlighting the inherent risks of medium- to long-term forecasting. Accordingly, it is recommended that local governments incorporate the upper limit of the confidence interval into their planning for waste disposal facilities to ensure adequate capacity, and establish a mechanism for dynamically monitoring and forecasting construction and renovation waste generation, with rolling updates, to enhance the robustness and adaptability of management and control decisions.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Year | Forecast Value | 95% Lower Confidence Limit | 95% Upper Confidence Limit | Interval Width |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 553.58 | 503.76 | 603.40 | 99.64 |
| 2023 | 563.70 | 510.15 | 617.25 | 107.10 |
| 2024 | 561.62 | 505.46 | 617.78 | 112.32 |
| 2025 | 534.88 | 478.72 | 591.04 | 112.32 |
| 2026 | 554.94 | 493.90 | 615.98 | 122.08 |
| 2027 | 545.32 | 482.61 | 608.03 | 125.42 |
| 2028 | 552.86 | 486.52 | 619.20 | 132.68 |
| 2029 | 564.12 | 493.61 | 634.63 | 141.02 |
| 2030 | 551.69 | 479.97 | 623.41 | 143.44 |
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Hu, S.; Ren, F.; Xi, C.; Liu, G. Research on Precise Control of Decoration Waste Based on GF-2 Remote Sensing Images and a BP Neural Network: A Case Study of Henan Province. Sustainability 2026, 18, 5342. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115342
Hu S, Ren F, Xi C, Liu G. Research on Precise Control of Decoration Waste Based on GF-2 Remote Sensing Images and a BP Neural Network: A Case Study of Henan Province. Sustainability. 2026; 18(11):5342. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115342
Chicago/Turabian StyleHu, Shuxin, Fumin Ren, Chenggang Xi, and Guotao Liu. 2026. "Research on Precise Control of Decoration Waste Based on GF-2 Remote Sensing Images and a BP Neural Network: A Case Study of Henan Province" Sustainability 18, no. 11: 5342. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115342
APA StyleHu, S., Ren, F., Xi, C., & Liu, G. (2026). Research on Precise Control of Decoration Waste Based on GF-2 Remote Sensing Images and a BP Neural Network: A Case Study of Henan Province. Sustainability, 18(11), 5342. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115342
