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Sustainability
Volume 17
Issue 24
10.3390/su172411195
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This is an early access version, the complete PDF, HTML, and XML versions will be available soon.
Article

End-to-End Modelling as a Non-Invasive Tool for Sustainable Risk Management After the Rupture of the Landslide Dam Along River Courses

by
Massimo Mangifesta
1,*,
Claudia Zito
2,
Mirko Francioni
3,
Luigi Guerriero
4,
Diego Di Martire
4,
Domenico Calcaterra
4,
Corrado Cencetti
5,
Antonio Pasculli
1,
Francisco J. Mendez
6 and
Nicola Sciarra
1
1
Department of Sciences, Gabriele D’Annunzio University of Chieti-Pescara, 66100 Chieti, Italy
2
Department of Engineering and Geology, Gabriele D’Annunzio University of Chieti-Pescara, 66100 Chieti, Italy
3
Department of Pure and Applied Sciences, Carlo Bo University of Urbino, 61029 Urbino, Italy
4
Department of Earth, Environmental and Resource Sciences, Federico II University of Napoli, 80138 Napoli, Italy
5
Department of Physics and Geology, University of Perugia, Via Alessandro Pascoli, 06123 Perugia, Italy
6
Freelance, 64020 Bellante, Italy
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2025, 17(24), 11195; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411195
Submission received: 6 November 2025 / Revised: 4 December 2025 / Accepted: 11 December 2025 / Published: 14 December 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Green and Non-Invasive Technology for Sustainable Development of Groundwater and Geohydrology)
Versions Notes

Abstract

Debris flows represent a significant geohydrological hazard, impacting the surrounding environment and threatening human settlements by altering ecological equilibria. The formation of temporary, often unstable, natural dams that obstruct normal river flow and create secondary flood risks poses a complex and prolonged threat to the sustainable management of water resources. Non-invasive risk assessment and analysis tools are therefore essential for addressing this challenge effectively. In this context, this study uses an end-to-end numerical modelling approach validated on an actual river obstructed in past by a debris flow. The simulation focused on sustainable risk management after the landslide dam rupture. This computational methodology is a non-invasive technology that provides a fundamental alternative to costly and environmentally invasive field techniques for assessing the risk of complex river systems. Two separate numerical simulations were carried out using the HEC-RAS code. The first simulation used the integrated sediment transport module to quantify the dynamics of solid material deposition and dilution. The second simulation modelled secondary flooding scenarios using the dam break simulation module. The aim of integrating these non-invasive simulations is to analyse the interaction between the river and debris accumulation, understand the river’s natural regeneration capacity and determine the hydraulic response to sudden dam failure. These results are essential for geohydrological risk assessment and mitigation, thereby improving the effectiveness of prevention measures and systemic resilience against landslides.
Keywords: non-invasive technology, geohydrological risk; integrated modelling; debris flow; natural damming; fluvial systems sustainability non-invasive technology, geohydrological risk; integrated modelling; debris flow; natural damming; fluvial systems sustainability

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MDPI and ACS Style

Mangifesta, M.; Zito, C.; Francioni, M.; Guerriero, L.; Di Martire, D.; Calcaterra, D.; Cencetti, C.; Pasculli, A.; Mendez, F.J.; Sciarra, N. End-to-End Modelling as a Non-Invasive Tool for Sustainable Risk Management After the Rupture of the Landslide Dam Along River Courses. Sustainability 2025, 17, 11195. https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411195

AMA Style

Mangifesta M, Zito C, Francioni M, Guerriero L, Di Martire D, Calcaterra D, Cencetti C, Pasculli A, Mendez FJ, Sciarra N. End-to-End Modelling as a Non-Invasive Tool for Sustainable Risk Management After the Rupture of the Landslide Dam Along River Courses. Sustainability. 2025; 17(24):11195. https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411195

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mangifesta, Massimo, Claudia Zito, Mirko Francioni, Luigi Guerriero, Diego Di Martire, Domenico Calcaterra, Corrado Cencetti, Antonio Pasculli, Francisco J. Mendez, and Nicola Sciarra. 2025. "End-to-End Modelling as a Non-Invasive Tool for Sustainable Risk Management After the Rupture of the Landslide Dam Along River Courses" Sustainability 17, no. 24: 11195. https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411195

APA Style

Mangifesta, M., Zito, C., Francioni, M., Guerriero, L., Di Martire, D., Calcaterra, D., Cencetti, C., Pasculli, A., Mendez, F. J., & Sciarra, N. (2025). End-to-End Modelling as a Non-Invasive Tool for Sustainable Risk Management After the Rupture of the Landslide Dam Along River Courses. Sustainability, 17(24), 11195. https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411195

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