How Does Moderate Supervision Curb Elite Capture? Lessons from China’s Sustainable Water Governance
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Beyond Capture: How to Partner with Local Elites?
2.1. Three Types of Elites
2.2. From Root Causes to Solutions
2.3. What’s Neglected: The Role of Governments
3. Case Selection, Methodology, and Analytical Framework
- (1)
- Economic efficiency is achieved by meeting project goals at lower costs and avoiding the wasteful sub-optimal equilibrium (−1, 0) from high-cost external firms (quadrant ③) or the LCPs’ unsatisfactorily performing suboptimal scenario of (0, −1) (quadrant ②).
- (2)
- System stability is achieved by avoiding the inactive status of (0, 0) (quadrant ④), where neither party has an incentive to deviate unilaterally—a Nash Equilibrium that allows both parties to be selfish without full communication.
- (3)
- Policy effectiveness is achieved by ensuring the reliable delivery of high-quality public goods of sustainable water management, mainly through the whitelist regime. It imposes reputational penalties for poor performance and offers transparent signals for trustworthy partnerships.
- (4)
- Through balanced payoffs that foster voluntary cooperation, social equity transforms isolated interactions into a repeated game, representing a self-reinforcing governance framework that aligns individual incentives with collective Pareto Optimal, ensuring cost-effective and sustainable production.
4. Case Analysis: Institutions and Effects of “Moderate Supervision”
Although LCPs are constrained and may complain, it’s worthwhile to issue this new monitoring regulation. It could help test which LCPs are more capable, leading them to dedicate themselves to the water diversion cause toward a win-win outcome.—Interviewee No. 24091301, Director Wang, SWDA Office
4.1. Whitelist Indicators: Motivations for Piloting Competition
Once, a machine repair project started bidding. Both Mr. Liu and Sun are LCPs whitelisted. Sun had higher scores. However, Liu provided proof that Sun had used inferior construction materials in the past. SWDA investigated and verified Liu’s complaint. Sun lost credits, and Liu got the project.—Interviewee No. 24091303, Mr. Chen, Office staff member of SWDA
4.2. Three-Tier Mobilization Network: Igniting Monitoring Enthusiasm
If we are put on public notice for everyone to see, we’ll lose face if things go wrong. Let’s do our work well, ensure we don’t mess up, and become a laughingstock for everyone. If the villagers start gossiping about us from one to ten (yi chuan shi), ten to a hundred (shi chuan bai), that’ll be so embarrassing.—Interviewee No. 24122124, Mr. Xu, Farmer and LCP of Village X
Now we know how to monitor these projects. Before, when we wanted to complain, we didn’t know who to talk to. Last time I went to the market, the SWDA staff gave me a bag with the reporting hotline printed on it.—Interviewee No. 25012031, Mr. Tang, Farmer living along SWDA
We strive to ensure the public feels secure when filing reports. As most informants are highly vigilant about reporting LCPs and fear retaliation, providing them with a sense of safety during the voice calls is essential. Only in this way can we encourage them to participate in the monitoring.—Interviewee No. 24091605, Mr. Li, Engineering section staff member, SWDA
4.3. Inter-Agency Coordination with Other Departments
Director Wang of SWDA contacted us, expressing his interest in cooperating with us to supervise the micro-projects. We thought it was fine. LCPs in the village will follow the financial arrangements, so it’s not difficult for us.—Interviewee No. 24112516, Mr. Zhang, Deputy Director,Economic Development Office, Town H
4.4. Effects of the “Moderate Supervision” Mechanism
There are 3 LCPs in our village. In the past, it was complicated to decide which micro-project should be awarded. No matter who is chosen, the other two would complain. Now we have the whitelist, Mr. Gao is obviously the best.—Interviewee No. 24112210, Director Wei, Pump Station G
According to our internal statistics, after using the whitelist, the rework and modification rate of micro-projects has decreased from 17.3% to 4.1%. Public satisfaction scores have risen from 68 to 91, and petition complaints have dropped by 82%. The new method has indeed proven effective.—Interviewee No. 24091301, Director Wang, SWDA Office
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
7. Policy Recommendations
7.1. More Operational Metrics for Optimized Pilot Competition
7.2. Ways to Scale up Mutual Monitoring and Inter-Agency Coordination
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Codes/ Dates | Type | Workplace | Surname | Title/Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24091301 | Water diversion project staff | Shandong Yellow River Water Diversion Irrigation Area (SWDA) | Wang | Office director |
| 24091302 | SWDA | Sun | Office staff member | |
| 24091303 | SWDA | Chen | Office staff member | |
| 24091304 | SWDA | Lu | Office staff member | |
| 24091605 | SWDA | Li | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24091606 | SWDA | Wang | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24091607 | SWDA | Zhu | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24091608 | SWDA | Guan | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24091609 | SWDA | Yu | Finance section staff | |
| 24112210 | Pump Station | Wei | Director | |
| 24112211 | Pump Station | Sun | Deputy director | |
| 24112212 | Pump Station | Liu | Office staff member | |
| 24112213 | Pump Station | Li | Office staff member | |
| 24112214 | Pump Station | Tang | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24112215 | Pump Station | Sun | Engineering section staff member | |
| 24112516 | Town Hall staff | Town H | Zhang | Deputy Director, Economic Development Office |
| 24112517 | Town H | Wu | Economic Development Office | |
| 24112518 | Town H | Jiang | Deputy Director | |
| 24112519 | Town G | Sun | Deputy Director, Rule of Law Office | |
| 24112520 | Town G | Wang | Rule of Law Office | |
| 24112521 | Town G | Zhang | Economic Development Office | |
| 24121422 | LCPs (Sub- contractors) | Village Y | Yin | Secretary of the Village Party Branch |
| 24121423 | Village L | Lin | Secretary of the Village Party Branch | |
| 24122124 | Village X | Xu | Farmer | |
| 24122125 | Village X | Xie | Security Officer | |
| 24121426 | Village T | Cheng | Secretary of the Village Party Branch | |
| 24122227 | Village T | Xu | Farmer | |
| 24122228 | Village W | Jiang | Farmer | |
| 24122229 | Village West G | Gao | Farmer | |
| 24122230 | Village North G | Gao | Village Committee Member | |
| 25012031–25012051 | Villagers | Residing along SWDP-YS | / | Farmers |
| LCPs | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| High-Quality Performance | Low-Quality Performance | ||
| Government | Trust | ① (1, 1) | ③ (−1, 0) |
| Distrust | ② (0, −1) | ④ (0, 0) | |
| Capital | Detailed Regulations |
|---|---|
| Economic (19%) | (1) Bank deposits of over 30% of the project budget or credit lines over CNY 500,000. |
| (2) Sub-contractors’ debt ratio is less than 50% of their total property deposits. | |
| (3) Well-planned engineering management, safe production systems, and strict enforcement. | |
| (4) Complete construction equipment variety, sufficient quantity, and good maintenance. | |
| Cultural (33% with 1 Veto Clause) | (5) Professional qualifications (Construction Engineering, Safety Inspector, Electrician, etc.). |
| (6) Technical achievements (patents or construction technology and methods). | |
| (7) Experience of similar engineering projects, passing the evaluation at one go (Top Priority). | |
| (8) Any project failing to pass the evaluation test. | |
| (9) Quality and safety accidents of relatively major level or below within one year. | |
| (10) Quality and safety accidents at major levels and above (Veto Clause). | |
| Social (48% with 1 Veto Clause) | (11) Sub-contractors are supported by over 50% of village representatives in democratic reviews. |
| (12) Sub-contractors get over 600 in the Credit Reference Report of the People’s Bank of China. | |
| (13) Adverse consequences caused by professional negligence or inadequate emergency response. | |
| (14) Environmental hazards (industrial waste, noise, dust, etc.) are incorrectly handled. | |
| (15) Delayed payment of wages to migrant workers. | |
| (16) Sub-contractors receiving administrative penalties or judicial judgments. | |
| (17) Listed as untrustworthy on platforms like https://www.creditchina.gov.cn/ (accessed on 2 September 2025). (Veto Clause). | |
| (18) Disputes with local villagers during the construction processes are improperly handled. | |
| (19) Complaints made through the petition system or via the mayor’s hotline are improperly handled. | |
| (20) Unilaterally changing or exceeding contract scope, budget, period, and other requirements. |
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Li, L.; Li, L.; Li, Q.; Shah, A.A. How Does Moderate Supervision Curb Elite Capture? Lessons from China’s Sustainable Water Governance. Sustainability 2025, 17, 9577. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219577
Li L, Li L, Li Q, Shah AA. How Does Moderate Supervision Curb Elite Capture? Lessons from China’s Sustainable Water Governance. Sustainability. 2025; 17(21):9577. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219577
Chicago/Turabian StyleLi, Li, Linli Li, Qian Li, and Ashfaq Ahmad Shah. 2025. "How Does Moderate Supervision Curb Elite Capture? Lessons from China’s Sustainable Water Governance" Sustainability 17, no. 21: 9577. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219577
APA StyleLi, L., Li, L., Li, Q., & Shah, A. A. (2025). How Does Moderate Supervision Curb Elite Capture? Lessons from China’s Sustainable Water Governance. Sustainability, 17(21), 9577. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219577

