Preventing Disasters Before They Happen: Lessons from Successful Disaster Risk Reduction in Southern Africa
Abstract
1. Introduction
Problem Statement
2. Theoretical and Conceptual Framework
2.1. Success Stories in Ancient Time and Space
2.2. Importance of Success Stories in DRRM
3. Theories, Problem Statement, and Research Questions
Supporting the Use of Success Stories in Disaster Risk Reduction
4. Methods and Materials
4.1. Research Design
4.2. Data Sources and Collection
4.3. Data Management and Analysis
4.4. Limitations
5. Findings
5.1. Regional Workshops
5.2. Inspiration and Motivation for Action
Positive Reinforcement
“Seeing what has worked in other communities gives us confidence that we can also make a difference in our areas.” Similarly, a senior participant remarked that “success stories create a roadmap for us; they show that disaster resilience is achievable, not just theoretical.”
5.3. Overcoming Fear and Apathy
5.4. Enhancing Public Awareness and Engagement
Educational Tool
“People need to see real outcomes; statistics alone don’t resonate as much as personal experiences.” Similarly, a junior participant noted, “Hearing firsthand how another village implemented early warning systems and saved lives makes the importance of these measures clear to us.”
“When we hear about another village successfully mitigating flood risks, we realize we are not alone in this struggle.” A senior participant added, “These stories create a sense of collective action and responsibility. Preparedness is not just an individual task but a community-wide effort.”
5.5. Empirical Evidence Supporting DRM Strategies
5.5.1. Funding Through Demonstrated Success
5.5.2. Knowledge Exchange and Cross-Border Replication
5.5.3. Social Capital and Institutional Trust
5.5.4. Technological Integration in DRRM
5.5.5. Adaptive Responses to Climate Change
5.5.6. Sustainability and Long-Term Impact
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions and Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Masson-Delmotte, V.; Zhai, P.; Pirani, A.; Connors, S.L.; Péan, C.; Berger, S.; Caud, N.; Chen, Y.; Goldfarb, L.; Gomis, M.I.; et al. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; New York, NY, USA, 2021; Volume 2, p. 2391. [Google Scholar]
- Van Niekerk, L.; Adams, J.B.; James, N.C.; Lamberth, S.J.; MacKay, C.F.; Turpie, J.K.; Rajkaran, A.; Weerts, S.P.; Whitfield, A.K. An estuary ecosystem classification that encompasses biogeography and a high diversity of types in support of protection and management. Afr. J. Aquat. Sci. 2020, 45, 199–216. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- McGlade, J.; Bankoff, G.; Abrahams, J.; Cooper-Knock, S.J.; Cotecchia, F.; Desanker, P.; Erian, W.; Gencer, E.; Gibson, L.; Girgin, S.; et al. Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2019; UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction: Geneva, Switzerland, 2019. [Google Scholar]
- Kelman, I. Disaster by Choice: How Our Actions Turn Natural Hazards into Catastrophes; Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK, 2020. [Google Scholar]
- United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. 2015. Available online: https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030 (accessed on 6 September 2025).
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Lee, H., Romero, J., Eds.; IPCC: Geneva, Switzerland, 2023; Available online: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_FullVolume.pdf (accessed on 4 February 2025).
- Hassan, F.A. The dynamics of a riverine civilization: A geoarchaeological perspective on the Nile Valley, Egypt. World Archaeol. 1997, 29, 51–74. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Arnold, C. Building configuration: The architecture of seismic design. Bull. New Zealand Soc. Earthq. Eng. 1984, 17, 83–89. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- National Research Council Division on Engineering, Physical Sciences, Board on Infrastructure, the Constructed Environment, & Committee to Develop a Long-Term Research Agenda for the Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES). Preventing Earthquake Disasters: The Grand Challenge in Earthquake Engineering: A Research Agenda for the Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES); The National Academies: Washington, DC, USA, 2003. [Google Scholar]
- Acharya, A.; Silori, R. A probable framework for flood-induced risk evaluation for water supply, sanitation, and hygiene. In Water Sustainability and Hydrological Extremes; Elsevier: Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 2025; pp. 237–253. [Google Scholar]
- Aldrete, G.S. Floods of the Tiber in Ancient Rome; Johns Hopkins University Press: Baltimore, MD, USA, 2007. [Google Scholar]
- Protzen, J.P. Inca Architecture and Construction at Ollantaytambo; Oxford University Press: New York, NY, USA, 1993. [Google Scholar]
- Denevan, W.M. Cultivated Landscapes of Native Amazonia and the Andes; Oxford University Press, New York, NY, USA, 2001.
- Pwiti, G.; Soper, R. Aspects of African Archaeology, Proceedings of the 10th Congress of the Pan African Association for Prehistory and Related Studies, Harare, Zimbabwe, June 1995; University of Zimbabwe Press: Harare, Zimbabwe, 1996. [Google Scholar]
- Munro-Hay, S.C. Aksum: An African Civilisation of Late Antiquity; Edinburgh University Press: Edinburgh, UK, 1991. [Google Scholar]
- McIntosh, R.J. The Peoples of the Middle Niger: The Island of Gold; John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 1998. [Google Scholar]
- Nikolaou, G.; Neocleous, D.; Christou, A.; Kitta, E.; Katsoulas, N. Implementing sustainable irrigation in water-scarce regions under the impact of climate change. Agronomy 2020, 10, 1120. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Adelekan, I.; Johnson, C.; Manda, M.; Matyas, D.; Mberu, B.; Parnell, S.; Pelling, M.; Satterthwaite, D.; Vivekananda, J. Disaster risk and its reduction: An agenda for urban Africa. Int. Dev. Plan. Rev. 2015, 37, 33–43. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lordos, A.; Louise, C.; Symeou, M.; Guest, A.; Dagli-Hustings, I. Pathways to Resilient Citizenship: A Cross-National Investigation Based on SCORE Data from Six Conflict-Affected Countries in Africa, Asia, and Europe. In Reconciliation: Experiences in Colombia and the World; Universidad de Los Andes: Bogota, Columbia, 2023; Volume 17. [Google Scholar]
- Simon, D. Uncertain times, contested resources: Discursive practices and lived realities in African urban environments. City 2015, 19, 216–238. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hiwasaki, L. Local Knowledge for Disaster Risk Reduction Including Climate Change Adaptation. In The Routledge Handbook of Disaster Risk Reduction Including Climate Change Adaptation; Routledge: London, UK, 2017; pp. 227–237. [Google Scholar]
- Aitsi-Selmi, A.; Blanchard, K.; Murray, V. Ensuring science is useful, usable, and used in global disaster risk reduction and sustainable development: A view through the Sendai framework lens. Palgrave Commun. 2016, 2, 1–9. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Twigg, J. Sustainability of Early Warning Systems; Discussion Paper; Building Resilience and Adapting to Climate Change (BRACC): Lilongwe, Malawi, 2021. [Google Scholar]
- Juan, C.A.; Blaquier, D.; Sedemund, J. Strengthening Capacity for Climate Action in Developing Countries: Overview and Recommendations; OECD Publishing: Paris, France, 2022. [Google Scholar]
- Igbadun, H.E.; Cofie, O.; Kpakpo Sraha, M.A.; Onwuegbunam, D.O.; Tilahun, S. Effect of water management strategies on two vegetable crops under a Bhungroo irrigation technology in Upper East Region, Ghana. J. Appl. Life Sci. Environ. 2025, 58, 189–214. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fischel de Andrade, J.H.; de Lima Madureira, A. Protection in Natural Disasters: The Response to Cyclone Idai in Mozambique. J. Refug. Stud. 2022, 35, 686–703. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wisner, B.; Wisner, B. At Risk: Natural Hazards, People’s Vulnerability and Disasters; Routledge: London, UK, 2004. [Google Scholar]
- Schilling, R.L. Measures, Integrals, and Martingales; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2017. [Google Scholar]
- Kelman, I. Axioms and actions for preventing disasters. Prog. Disaster Sci. 2019, 2, 100008. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Masinde, E.M. Bridge between African Indigenous Knowledge and Modern Science on Drought Prediction. 2012. Available online: https://km4djournal.org/index.php/km4dj/article/view/455/ (accessed on 21 February 2025).
- Radeny, M.; Desalegn, A.; Mubiru, D.; Kyazze, F.; Mahoo, H.; Recha, J.; Kimeli, P.; Solomon, D. Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa. Clim. Change 2019, 156, 509–526. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sospeter, M.E.; Mtega, W.P.; Malekani, A. Indigenous knowledge for climate change adaptation among Tanzanian smallholder farmers: A systematic review. IFLA J. 2025. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Paton, D.; Johnston, D. Disaster Resilience: An Integrated Approach, 2nd ed.; Charles C. Thomas Publisher: Springfield, IL, USA, 2017. [Google Scholar]
- McEntire, D.A. Disaster Response and Recovery: Strategies and Tactics for Resilience; John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 2021. [Google Scholar]
- Levenson, A. Strategic Analytics: Advancing Strategy Execution and Organizational Effectiveness; Berrett-Koehler Publishers: Oakland, CA, USA, 2015. [Google Scholar]
- Bol, G.K.; van Niekerk, D. Climate Change and the Rising Disaster Risk in Africa. In Geohazards and Disaster Risk Reduction: Multidisciplinary and Integrated Approaches; Springer International Publishing: Cham, Switzerland, 2023; pp. 181–210. [Google Scholar]
- Niboye, E.P.; Farai, N. The need of linking local community and national disaster risk reduction strategies for effective disaster mitigation: Lessons from Zimbabwe. Res. Humanit. Soc. Sci. 2020, 10, 88–99. [Google Scholar]
- Twigg, J. Disaster Risk Reduction: Good Practices and Lessons Learned; Practical Action Publishing: Rugby, UK, 2015. [Google Scholar]
- Twigg, J. Disaster Risk Reduction; Overseas Development Institute (ODI): London, UK, 2015. [Google Scholar]
- Pelling, M. Adaptation to Climate Change: From Resilience to Transformation; Routledge: London, UK, 2010. [Google Scholar]
- Pelling, M. The Vulnerability of Cities: Natural Disasters and Social Resilience; Routledge: London, UK, 2012. [Google Scholar]
- Mileti, D. Disasters by design: A Reassessment of Natural Hazards in the United States; National Academies Press: Washington, DC, USA, 1999. [Google Scholar]
- Cooley, S.; Schoeman, D.; Bopp, L.; Boyd, P.; Donner, S.; Kiessling, W.; Martinetto, P.; Ojea, E.; Racault, M.F.; Rost, B.; et al. Oceans and coastal ecosystems and their services. In Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Benson, C.; Clay, E.J. Understanding the Economic and Financial Impacts of Natural Disasters (No. 4); World Bank Publications: Washington, DC, USA, 2004. [Google Scholar]
- Paul, B.K.; Rahman, M.K. Cyclone Mitigation Perspectives in the Islands of Bangladesh: A Case of Sandwip and Hatia Islands. Coast. Manag. 2006, 34, 199–215. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bandura, A. Social Learning Theory; Prentice-Hall: Englewood Cliffs, NJ, USA, 1977. [Google Scholar]
- Azad, M.A.K.; Uddin, M.S.; Zaman, S.; Ashraf, M.A. Community-based disaster management and its salient features: A policy approach to people-centred risk reduction in Bangladesh. Asia-Pac. J. Rural. Dev. 2019, 29, 135–160. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Habiba, U.; Shaw, R.; Abedin, M.A. Community-based disaster risk reduction approaches in Bangladesh. In Disaster Risk Reduction Approaches in Bangladesh; Springer: Tokyo, Japan, 2013; pp. 259–279. [Google Scholar]
- Rogers, E.M.; Singhal, A.; Quinlan, M.M. Diffusion of innovations. In An Integrated Approach to Communication Theory and Research; Routledge: London, UK, 2014; pp. 432–448. [Google Scholar]
- Ahsan, M.N.; Khatun, A.; Islam, M.S.; Vink, K.; Ohara, M.; Fakhruddin, B.S. Preferences for improved early warning services among coastal communities at risk in cyclone prone south-west region of Bangladesh. Prog. Disaster Sci. 2020, 5, 100065. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sahin, I. ‘Detailed review of Rogers’ diffusion of innovations theory’. Turk. Online J. Educ. Technol. 2006, 5, 14–23. [Google Scholar]
- Piaget, J. Science of Education and the Psychology of the Child; Orion Press: New York, NY, USA, 1970. [Google Scholar]
- Vygotsky, L.S. Mind in Society: The Development of Higher Psychological Processes; Harvard University Press: Cambridge, MA, USA, 1978. [Google Scholar]
- Wamsler, C.; Brink, E.; Rivera, C. Planning for climate change in urban areas: From theory to practice. J. Clean. Prod. 2013, 50, 68–81. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sahana, M.; Patel, P.P.; Rehman, S.; Rahaman, M.H.; Masroor, M.; Imdad, K.; Sajjad, H. Assessing the effectiveness of existing early warning systems and emergency preparedness towards reducing cyclone-induced losses in the Sundarban Biosphere Region, India. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 2023, 90, 103645. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Meyers, D.; Allen, C.E., III.; Dunn, D.; Wennerstrom, A.; Springgate, B.F. Community perspectives on post-Katrina mental health recovery in New Orleans. Ethn. Dis. 2011, 21, 1–8. Available online: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3715308/pdf/nihms-489345.pdf (accessed on 22 March 2025).
- Shaw, R.; Izumi, T. Civil Society Organization and Disaster Risk Reduction; Springer: Tokyo, Japan, 2014. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Izumi, T.; Shaw, R.; Djalante, R.; Ishiwatari, M.; Komino, T. Disaster risk reduction and innovations. Prog. Disaster Sci. 2019, 2, 100033. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Burkett, V.R.; Suarez, A.G.; Bindi, M.; Conde, C.; Mukerji, R.; Prather, M.J.; St Clair, A.L.; Yohe, G.W.; Le Treut, H.; Palutikof, J.; et al. Point of departure. In Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2015; pp. 169–194. [Google Scholar]
- Roy, S. (Ed.) Gender and the Politics of Disaster Recovery: Dealing with the Aftermath; Taylor & Francis: Abingdon, UK, 2022. [Google Scholar]
- Putnam, R.D. Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community; Simon & Schuster: New York, NY, USA, 2000. [Google Scholar]
- Wisner, B.; Gaillard, J.C.; Kelman, I. Handbook of Hazards and Disaster Risk Reduction; Routledge: London, UK, 2012. [Google Scholar]
- Aldrich, D.P. Building Resilience: Social Capital in Post-Disaster Recovery; University of Chicago Press: Chicago, IL, USA, 2012. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- World Bank; Independent Evaluation Group. World Bank Group Impact Evaluations: Relevance and Effectiveness; World Bank Publications: Washington, DC, USA, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Manyena, S.B. The concept of resilience revisited. Disasters 2006, 30, 434–450. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Perera, C.; Jayasooriya, D.; Jayasiri, G.; Randil, C.; Bandara, C.; Siriwardana, C.; Dissanayake, R.; Hippola, S.; Sylva, K.; Kamalrathne, T.; et al. Evaluation of gaps in early warning mechanisms and evacuation procedures for coastal communities in Sri Lanka. Int. J. Disaster Resil. Built Environ. 2020, 11, 415–433. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Simone, A. People as infrastructure: Intersecting fragments in Johannesburg. Public Cult. 2004, 16, 407–429. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Simone, A. Improvised Lives: Rhythms of Endurance in an Urban South; John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 2018. [Google Scholar]
- Yin, R.K. Case Study Research and Applications: Design and Methods, 6th ed.; Sage: Thousand Oaks, CA, USA, 2018. [Google Scholar]
- Creswell, J.W.; Poth, C.N. Qualitative Inquiry and Research Design: Choosing Among Five Approaches, 4th ed.; Sage: Thousand Oaks, CA, USA, 2018. [Google Scholar]
- Baxter, P.; Jack, S. Qualitative case study methodology: Study design and implementation for novice researchers. Qual. Rep. 2008, 13, 544–559. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bazeley, P. Qualitative Data Analysis: Practical Strategies; SAGE Publications: London, UK, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Bryman, A. Social Research Methods, 5th ed.; Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK, 2016. [Google Scholar]
- Israel, M. Research Ethics and Integrity for Social Scientists: Beyond Regulatory Compliance, 2nd ed.; SAGE Publications: London, UK, 2015. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nowell, L.S.; Norris, J.M.; White, D.E.; Moules, N.J. Thematic analysis: Striving to meet the trustworthiness criteria. Int. J. Qual. Methods 2017, 16, 1–13. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Braun, V.; Clarke, V. Thematic Analysis: A Practical Guide; SAGE: London, UK, 2021. [Google Scholar]
- Tracy, S.J. Qualitative Research Methods: Collecting Evidence, Crafting Analysis, Communicating Impact; John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 2024. [Google Scholar]
- Mabhaudhi, T.; Taguta, C.; Senzanje, A. From Theory to Practice: Developing a Case Study and Guidelines for Water-Energy-Food (Wef) Nexus Implementation in Southern Africa; Water Research Commission: Pretoria, South Africa, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Frank, A.W. The Wounded Storyteller: Body, Illness & Ethics; University of Chicago Press: Chicago, IL, USA, 2022. [Google Scholar]
- Chakamera, C. Reporting the dynamics of indigenous philanthropic organisations in Malawi, Namibia, and the DRC. Int. Rev. Philanthr. Soc. Invest. 2024, 3, 33–65. [Google Scholar]
- Vambe, B.; Saurombe, A.; Kenny, L.R. Challenges and Opportunities of Implementing the SADC Legal and Institutional Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction During Cyclone Idai: Case of Zimbabwe and South Africa. In Cyclones in Southern Africa: Volume 2: Foundational and Fundamental Topics; Springer: Cham, Switzerland, 2021; pp. 133–150. [Google Scholar]
- Chitondo, L.; Chanda, C.T.; Mpolomoka, D.L.; Ngulube, L. Disaster management and mitigation strategies in Zambia: A systematic review. World J. Adv. Res. Rev. 2024, 21, 2403–2420. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aeby, M. SADC–The Southern Arrested Development Community?: Enduring Challenges to Peace and Security in Southern Africa; Nordiska Afrikainstitutet: Upsala, Sweden, 2019. [Google Scholar]
- Masinde, M. An innovative drought early warning system for sub-Saharan Africa: Integrating modern and indigenous approaches. Afr. J. Sci. Technol. Innov. Dev. 2015, 7, 8–25. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mayoyo, A.; Chapoto, A.; Matchaya, G.; Aheeyar, M.; Chiwunze, G.; Ebrahim, G.; Ajayi, O.C.; Afun-Ogidan, O.; Fakudze, B.; Pele, W.K. Digital Climate Adaptation in Agriculture Profile for Zimbabwe; International Water Management Institute: Colombo, Sri Lanka; Global Centre on Adaptation: Rotterdam, The Netherlands; The African Development Bank: Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Malambo, M.; Tembo, M.C.; Chapoto, A.; Matchaya, G.; Kasoma-Pele, W.; Aheeyar, M.; Ebrahim, G.; Ajayi, O.C.; Afun-Ogidan, O.; Fakudze, B. Digital Adaptation in Agriculture Profile for Zambia; International Water Management Institute: Colombo, Sri Lanka; Global Centre on Adaptation: Rotterdam, The Netherlands; The African Development Bank: Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, 2023. [Google Scholar]
- Nhamo, G.; Agyepong, A.O.; Muchuru, S. Climate change adaptation and local government: Institutional complexities and challenges. Clim. Risk Manag. 2021, 32, 100297. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chanza, N.; Musakwa, W. Indigenous practices of ecosystem management in a changing climate: Prospects for ecosystem-based adaptation. Environ. Sci. Policy 2021, 126, 142–151. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mavhura, E.; Manyangadze, T.; Aryal, K.R. A composite inherent resilience index for Zimbabwe: An adaptation of the disaster resilience of place model. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 2021, 57, 102152. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Macamo, C. After Idai: Insights from Mozambique for Climate Resilient Coastal Infrastructure; South African Institute of International Affairs: Johannesburg, South Africa, 2022. [Google Scholar]
- Walshe, R.A. ‘Who could have expected such a disaster?’ How responses to the 1892 cyclone determined institutional trajectories of vulnerability in Mauritius. J. Hist. Geogr. 2022, 75, 55–64. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Vermaak, J.; Van Niekerk, D. Disaster risk reduction initiatives in South Africa. Dev. South. Afr. 2004, 21, 555–574. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Coetzee, C.; Khoza, S.; Nemakonde, L.D.; Shoroma, L.B.; Wentink, G.W.; Nyirenda, M.; Chikuse, S.; Kamanga, T.; Maripe, K.; Rankopo, M.J.; et al. Financing disaster risk reduction: Exploring the opportunities, challenges, and threats within the Southern African Development Community Region. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 2023, 14, 398–412. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Oliver-Smith, A. Anthropology and the political economy of disasters. In The Political Economy of Hazards and Disasters; Sage: London, UK, 2009; pp. 11–28. [Google Scholar]
- Ifejika Speranza, C. Resilient Adaptation to Climate Change in African Agriculture (No. 54); DIE Studies: Bonn, Germany, 2010. [Google Scholar]
- Nyong, A.; Adesina, F.; Osman Elasha, B. The value of indigenous knowledge in climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies in the African Sahel. Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Glob. Change 2007, 12, 787–797. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Berkes, F.; Ross, H. Community resilience: Toward an integrated approach. Soc. Nat. Resour. 2013, 26, 5–20. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Metric/Indicator | Data/Evidence | Implication | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Percentage of African-led DRRM case studies in global policy frameworks | Only 12% of DRRM case studies referenced in UNDRR reports (2015–2023) are from African-led initiatives. | African success stories are underrepresented in global guidance, limiting their adoption. | [32] |
Funding allocation: Local vs. Western-led DRRM programs | <15% of international DRRM funding in Africa supports community-led programs, while >60% goes to Western NGOs/consultants. | Financial bias favours external actors over local expertise, despite proven local solutions. | [3] |
Adoption of indigenous early warning systems | 8 African countries have documented effective indigenous forecasting (e.g., Maasai drought predictors), yet only 2 (Kenya, Ethiopia) formally integrate them into national policies. | Local knowledge is sidelined despite higher cultural relevance and cost-effectiveness. | [33] |
Post-disaster recovery: Local vs. imported solutions | In Mozambique (post-Cyclone Idai), 72% of recovery funds were allocated to foreign contractors, despite the proven success of local mangrove restoration (reduced flood risk by 40% in pilot zones). | Preference for high-cost external solutions over scalable local models. | [34] |
Policy alignment with African Union’s DRRM Strategy | Just 23% of African nations have DRRM policies that prioritize local knowledge (AU audit), while 89% align with UNISDR’s “global standards.” |
Metric | Indicator | Evidence/Data Point | Implication |
---|---|---|---|
1. Visibility of Local DRRM Successes | % of peer-reviewed DRRM publications highlighting African-led DRRM innovations | <5% (Scopus database review) | African successes are rarely documented in global literature or policy discourse. |
2. Policy Reference to Local Solutions | % of National DRRM Strategies in SADC referencing indigenous/local solutions | 14% (SADC DRRM Strategy Review) | Most national plans still adopt top-down, externally guided frameworks. |
3. Aid Allocation Bias | % of DRRM donor funding supporting community-led African DRRM practices | <10% (OECD DAC data) | The majority of DRRM funding prioritizes imported technical solutions. |
4. Uptake of Documented Local Models | No. of locally developed DRRM innovations replicated across regions | <5 out of 50+ known cases (e.g., IFRC, 2021; AU Biennial Reports) | Successful local models are not scaled or adapted beyond their origin communities. |
5. DRRM Training Curricula Content | % of DRRM capacity building programmes in Africa that include African case studies | 12% (AfDB Capacity Audit, 2022) | African learners and practitioners are trained on Eurocentric models. |
6. Community Perception | % of community DRRM leaders who feel their knowledge informs national plans | 19% (Afrobarometer & UNDP Local Voices Study) | Widespread sense of exclusion of local voices in decision-making. |
7. Institutional Learning | % of post-disaster evaluations that incorporate traditional/local lessons | 8% (ALNAP Lessons Paper Review) | Lost learning opportunities; reactive cycles persist. |
8. Example Case: Mozambique Cyclone Response | Recognition of successful community early warning via local radio (2019) in the national strategy | Not adopted in the National Contingency Plan | Local innovation is disregarded despite proven impact. |
Theory | Impact on the Use of Success Stories in DRRM | Applications in DRRM | Key Outcomes | Dominant Period |
---|---|---|---|---|
Social Learning Theory | Success stories serve as models for learning through observation. They promote the imitation of effective disaster risk management practices observed in successful communities. | Demonstrating adaptive behaviours and effective practices in disaster risk management. | Encourages replication of successful strategies by other communities. Promotes observational learning and adoption of best practices. | 970s-present |
Diffusion of Innovations Theory | Success stories serve as persuasive examples that motivate the adoption of new technologies, practices, or ideas related to disaster management. | Spreading innovative disaster risk management practices (e.g., early warning systems, flood control techniques). | Accelerates the diffusion and adoption of new practices across communities. Shows practical benefits of new strategies. | 1960s-present |
Constructivist Learning Theory | Success stories help individuals and communities construct knowledge about disaster risks and solutions based on shared experiences. | Collaborative knowledge construction and the contextualization of risk reduction practices. | Builds shared understanding and supports community-led learning in disaster risk management. | 1980s-present |
Resilience Theory | Success stories highlight how communities have built resilience by adapting to and recovering from disaster events. | Showcasing adaptive capacities and community responses to natural hazards. | Reinforces the importance of adaptive capacity and resilience-building practices. | 2000s-present |
Narrative Theory | Success stories provide emotional and engaging narratives that help individuals connect with disaster risk reduction efforts on a personal and communal level. | Framing successful disaster management as compelling stories to engage and persuade communities. | Increases emotional buy-in and fosters empathy, motivating action toward disaster preparedness and response. | 1990s-present |
Social Capital Theory | Success stories demonstrate the importance of strong community networks and collaborative actions in achieving disaster resilience. | Promoting the development of local networks, collective action, and community cohesion in disaster management. | Builds trust and social cohesion, empowering communities to act together in disaster risk management. | 2000s-present |
Theory of Change | Success stories illustrate the causal link between specific disaster risk reduction actions and positive outcomes, supporting evidence-based decision-making and policy development. | Tracking the impact of disaster risk reduction initiatives and illustrating clear pathways to successful outcomes. | Strengthens evidence-based decision-making, showing how specific actions lead to successful disaster risk management. | 2010s-present |
People as infrastructure theory | Success stories showcase how collective action and mutual support within communities have been effective for DDR strategies | Encourages residents to be key role players and actors in the decision-making and development of strategies. It also allows for residents to share their experiences and practices | This strengthens the adoption of DDR strategies, making them more sustainable as they are context-specific | 2000s-present |
Cases Example | Mitigation/DRRM Strategies | Outcomes | Lessons Learned | |
---|---|---|---|---|
South Africa (Cape Town) | Climate Change Action Plan | -Early warning systems for flooding -Infrastructure reinforcement (stormwater systems, critical infrastructure) -Community engagement and awareness campaigns | -Enhanced flood preparedness -Improved infrastructure resilience -Stronger community resilience to floods | -Proactive planning is crucial for urban resilience -Investing in infrastructure reduces disaster impacts -Community involvement boosts disaster preparedness effectiveness |
Mozambique | Cyclone Idai (2019) | -Improved early warning systems (meteorological services, accurate forecasting) -Relocation strategies for high-risk areas -Community-based communication (radios, megaphones) | -Better cyclone preparedness -Reduced vulnerability through relocation -Timely evacuation in high-risk areas | -Timely communication is critical for safety -Community-based approaches enhance early warning system effectiveness |
Rwanda | Community-Based Landslide Mitigation Projects | -Slope stabilization (terracing, afforestation, drainage) -Community training in sustainable land management | -Reduced landslide risk in vulnerable areas -Empowered communities with sustainable land management skills | -Community education and training lead to effective disaster mitigation -Integrating environmental conservation with disaster risk reduction is essential |
Namibia | Drought Mitigation and Water Conservation (2020) | -Hydroponic fodder production -Rainwater harvesting -Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) -Soil and water conservation (LDN measures) | -Increased livestock feed availability -Improved water access during dry periods -Enhanced agricultural productivity | -Water-saving technologies are essential for drought-prone areas -Integrated water resources management ensures sustainable water use -Effective community engagement strengthens resilience |
Malawi | Flood Mitigation and Early Warning Systems | -Improved early warning systems (weather forecasting, communication tools) -Flood-resistant infrastructure -Community flood preparedness programs | -Reduced flood damages -Increased community participation in preparedness -Better early warning communication | -Early warning systems save lives and property -Community training and preparedness enhance disaster resilience |
Zimbabwe | Drought and Water Conservation Strategies | -Water-harvesting techniques (tanks, rainwater collection) -Drought-resistant crops -Community-based water management | -Increased access to water during dry periods -Improved crop yields despite droughts -Enhanced community management of water resources | -Drought-resistant agriculture reduces vulnerability -Community-led water management ensures sustainability |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Lunga, W.; Kaifa, J.; Musarurwa, C.; Malandela, G.; Tshabalala, S.; Baloyi, C.; Magampa, M. Preventing Disasters Before They Happen: Lessons from Successful Disaster Risk Reduction in Southern Africa. Sustainability 2025, 17, 9131. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209131
Lunga W, Kaifa J, Musarurwa C, Malandela G, Tshabalala S, Baloyi C, Magampa M. Preventing Disasters Before They Happen: Lessons from Successful Disaster Risk Reduction in Southern Africa. Sustainability. 2025; 17(20):9131. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209131
Chicago/Turabian StyleLunga, Wilfred, Jane Kaifa, Charles Musarurwa, Gcina Malandela, Samantha Tshabalala, Caiphus Baloyi, and Mmakotsedi Magampa. 2025. "Preventing Disasters Before They Happen: Lessons from Successful Disaster Risk Reduction in Southern Africa" Sustainability 17, no. 20: 9131. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209131
APA StyleLunga, W., Kaifa, J., Musarurwa, C., Malandela, G., Tshabalala, S., Baloyi, C., & Magampa, M. (2025). Preventing Disasters Before They Happen: Lessons from Successful Disaster Risk Reduction in Southern Africa. Sustainability, 17(20), 9131. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209131