4.1. Technical Implications
The system is designed to generate electricity using OxyC integrated with CC, an ASU, and a DEA-based gas sweetening system. This integrated approach aims to efficiently convert APG, a fuel typically vented or flared in remote oil fields, into a low-carbon power source. The system’s design was developed by evaluating multiple technologies under various operational conditions (such as pressure and temperature, for details see Complementary Material), always within the ranges documented for industrial plants. Through a series of simulations, the most efficient and feasible configuration was identified.
MCA is a valuable tool for identifying suitable locations for industrial activities. The analysis revealed three blocks—Block 57 (score: 8.15), Block 60 (score: 6.56), and Block 61 (score: 6.29)—that exceeded the cutoff value of 6, making them the most promising candidates for gas valorization. Block 57 emerged as the leader due to its outstanding combination of the highest heating value (10.00) and maximum available volume (10.00), compensating for a slightly lower, yet still favorable, composition score. Block 60 ranked second, primarily because of its excellent heating value (9.25) and substantial daily volume (6.31), despite having a moderate composition score. Block 61 demonstrated a balanced performance across all three criteria, with high scores in composition (6.71) and heating value (8.83), although its volume (3.19) was lower than that of Block 60. In contrast, the remaining blocks scored below six due to significant deficiencies in at least one category. These included low volumes in Blocks 43, 56, and 15; poor heating values in Blocks 12 and 07; and inadequate composition in Block 18. These findings highlight that sustained gas availability and high calorific content are crucial factors for assessing the feasibility of OXC and CO
2 capture applications. Blocks with insufficient volumes or poor gas quality are unsuitable for practical use. This careful selection process ensures a consistent gas supply aligned with energy demand, providing operational flexibility and resilience against disruptions [
73,
74]. Notably, Block 60 (Sacha), situated in Orellana province, represents a strategic site due to its high associated gas production and well-developed hydrocarbon infrastructure. It also boasts advantageous access to the National Interconnected System (SNI) and geological formations suitable for CO
2 storage in saline aquifers and depleted reservoirs.
The gas sweetening process using 35 wt.% DEA was proposed to improve the quality of associated gas by removing H
2S. The process achieved an H
2S removal efficiency of 90.62% [
61,
62,
75] (from 0.0015 to ~0.0001%vol), well within the expected range of 85–95% reported for amine-based absorption systems. Compared to monoethanolamine, DEA has lower corrosivity, which helps extend equipment lifespan and enhances operational sustainability. Additionally, the process showed an outstanding solvent regeneration efficiency of 99.99% [
76], a vital factor for ensuring long-term process viability, energy efficiency, and economic competitiveness in large-scale gas treatment operations.
The developed ASU exhibited excellent performance, achieving an oxygen recovery of 99.79%, a molar purity of 96.67%, and a specific energy consumption of 0.385 kWh/kg O
2. These values demonstrate a highly efficient and competitive operation when compared with benchmark data reported in the literature. It is important to note that increasing oxygen purity beyond 99.5% mol would substantially raise energy consumption due to the additional separation required to remove argon, negatively impacting the system’s net power output, which is currently sustained at 272 MW reported specific energy requirements in the range of 0.400–0.580 kWh/kg O
2 to achieve purities up to 99.99%, underscoring the efficiency of the present system. More recent studies highlight the potential of next-generation ASUs [
77], reporting energy consumptions as low as 0.160 kWh/kg O
2, reflecting the progress in advanced cryogenic and process-integration designs. Oxygen production at 95% mol purity typically requires 0.200–0.240 kWh/kg O
2 under moderate operating pressures (~17 bar). In contrast, natural gas processing plants operating at higher pressures (up to 40 bar) can reach energy consumptions of 0.320 kWh/kg O
2, a value comparable to that observed in the present work. ASU emerged as the most energy-intensive component, accounting for 52.8% of the net input work demand. However, the adoption of next-generation ASU technologies is expected to reduce this energy burden, potentially increasing the net cycle efficiency to around 40%. The value of 272 MW is not sufficient to meet the power demands of Pichincha province, but it is important for increasing Ecuador’s power generation and diversifying the energy mix.
The developed system includes a CO
2 liquefaction unit for geological storage, achieving a specific energy consumption of 0.4148 kWh/kg CO
2 and a recovery efficiency of 99.99%. These results are in close agreement with the previous findings [
78], that reported specific consumptions ranging from 0.378 kWh/kg CO
2 at 80% capture rates up to 0.48 kWh/kg CO
2 for capture rates above 97.5%, similarly, semi-closed OXC cycles (SCOC-CC), which employ high-purity oxygen, can demand up to 0.467 kWh/kg CO
2 when targeting capture efficiencies near 100%, primarily influenced by the oxygen purity in the combustion process.
Moreover, the high capture efficiency aligns the system with stringent climate policy requirements, positioning Ecuador to move beyond passive compliance toward active leadership in emissions reduction. By deploying such technologies, the country can not only meet its commitments under the Paris Agreement and the World Bank’s “Zero Routine Flaring by 2030” initiative but also strengthen its regulatory credibility. Rather than being a subject of international concern due to persistent flaring, Ecuador could leverage this technology to demonstrate tangible progress in decarbonizing its oil and gas sector. This would enhance its capacity to advocate for stronger global climate governance and access to climate finance mechanisms, such as carbon credits or Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs), while setting a precedent for sustainable hydrocarbon development in ecologically sensitive regions like the Amazon.
The OXC efficiency accounts for a combined Brayton–Rankine cycle (
Tables S14–S30). It corresponds to 53.79%, excluding the energy demand of the ASU, the CCS unit, and the gas sweetening process. This figure aligns well with literature reports for combined OXC cycles [
63], typically ranging between 50% and 55%. When accounting for the integrated energy demands of all units, the system’s thermal efficiency decreased to 33.10%, a decline consistent with the expected energy penalties of 6–12% reported for OXC systems with CCS. From an exergy perspective, the developed system achieved an exergetic efficiency of 40% [
79], which is competitive compared to conventional technologies such as IGCC (27%) and Rankine cycles (32%). Nevertheless, it remains below more advanced technologies, including SOFCs (56%) and electrolysis systems (78%) [
79,
80]. Despite this, the system demonstrates a favorable balance between sustainability and energy utilization by transforming associated gas—traditionally flared—into an efficient source of electricity with integrated carbon capture. A particularly relevant reference is the pilot oxycombustion plant in Schwarze Pumpe [
81,
82] in Germany, which has provided a performance benchmark for these technologies. In that installation, CO
2 capture rates near 90% were achieved, and energy penalties remained within the margins expected for contemporary systems—yielding a cycle efficiency of approximately 33% when accounting for the energy demands of the ASU and the CCS unit [
83,
84].
The use of OXC offers significant benefits over traditional cycles by removing nitrogen from the combustion process, which reduces irreversibilities and allows for more effective CO
2 capture. These features align the system with Ecuador’s NDCs, emphasizing reductions in GHG emissions, especially in the energy sector, which is responsible for 46.63% of the country’s emissions [
45]. By supporting both associated gas utilization and carbon capture, the project directly aids Ecuador’s climate targets, contributing to the unconditional 9% and conditional 20.9% emission reductions by 2025. Moreover, the system supports international efforts such as the Paris Agreement and the World Bank’s “Zero Routine Flaring by 2030” initiative.
Finally, the use of geospatial tools such as QGIS and Google Earth was critical for identifying the most suitable plant locations, minimizing risks from natural hazards, and ensuring geological stability. The integration of geospatial data into decision-making reflects best practices in large-scale energy projects, ensuring that the proposed system is both geologically and logistically robust.
4.3. Global Implications APG
The World Bank’s 2024 report reveals a troubling reversal in the trend of flaring reductions. In 2023, global gas flaring at upstream oil and gas facilities increased by 7%, reaching 148 bcm, the highest level in five years. This increase occurred despite a 1% rise in global oil production, which pushed flaring intensity up by 5% to 5.0 m3 per barrel of oil produced. The flared gas represents a lost market value of $9–48 billion, resulting in 381 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent emissions annually, including 45 million tonnes from unburned methane. Nine countries —Russia, Iran, Iraq, the U.S., Venezuela, Algeria, Libya, Nigeria, and Mexico—accounted for 75% of global flaring but only 46% of oil production. Russia remains the top flaring country, with a 2.9 bcm increase in 2023 despite declining oil output, suggesting systemic infrastructure deterioration. Iran and Libya experienced a rise in flaring intensities to 15.4 and 15.2 m3/bbl, respectively, driven by increased oil production without corresponding investment in gas recovery. The U.S. experienced a 21% increase in flaring, primarily concentrated in the Permian and Eagle Ford basins, which was attributed mainly to grid stress and midstream infrastructure failures during extreme heat events. Conversely, Algeria and Venezuela achieved modest reductions in flaring volumes and intensity, reflecting targeted efforts to recover. However, Venezuela still ranks among the highest in flaring intensity globally. The Imported Flare Gas Index highlights how crude oil imports expose countries—especially in Europe—to embedded flaring emissions. This metric is becoming increasingly relevant in the context of emerging carbon border adjustment mechanisms (CBAM) and methane regulations, such as those adopted by the EU. Technically, satellite-based VIIRS Nightfire data and methane detection systems (Carbon Mapper, UNEP IMEO) quantify flaring and identify unlit flares. A novel methodology is presented to attribute methane emissions to these events, offering early warning capabilities and enhancing transparency. The findings underscore the urgent need for integrated flaring reduction strategies, especially as the 2030 Zero Routine Flaring target approaches. The World Bank’s Global Flaring and Methane Reduction (GFMR) Partnership expands support across the oil and gas value chain, aiming to help countries monetize associated gas, reduce emissions, and improve energy access. In this sense, let us walk through the numbers: if a module produces 272 MW and reduces emissions by 0.4 Mt of CO2 per year, we can use global flaring data. With 148 bcm yielding 381 Mt CO2, the system could capture 99.99% of that, translating to 520 TWh of energy, worth approximately $52 billion annually. However, deploying these modules would avoid roughly 381 million tons of CO2eq emissions annually, nearly 10% of global power sector emissions, which is significant. We will also acknowledge that engineering cannot work in isolation, so we propose policies like feed-in tariffs, mandatory flaring reduction laws, tax credits for MWh, and even international standards.
Deploying modular oxy-combustion and CCS units, like the one we modeled in Ecuador, could transform global flaring into a dispatchable clean-energy resource. In 2023, upstream operators flared 148 billion m3 of associated gas—equivalent to about 1570 TWh of gross thermal energy, or 520 TWh of electricity at our cycle’s 33.1% thermal efficiency. Each 272 MW module, running 8760 h per year, can generate ~2.38 TWh, so roughly 220 such units could valorize the entire global flared volume. At a CO2 capture rate of 99.99% and an energy penalty of 0.41 kWh/kg CO2, the system would sequester ~381 million tons of CO2—eliminating a significant source of emissions while delivering clean power. Scaling this concept globally hinges on three enablers. First, financial incentives: feed-in tariffs or auctions that award premium prices for electricity from captured-gas modules, paired with carbon credits for each tonne of CO2 sequestered. Second, regulation: updating oil-field permits to mandate zero routine flaring, with exemptions only when modular recovery units are deployed within a defined timeline. Third, international climate finance: channeling World Bank GFMR and Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) funds toward capital-cost subsidies for containerized APG valorization in frontier basins (e.g., Nigeria, Venezuela, Kazakhstan). Three policy measures could catalyze adoption: 1. Mandatory Flaring Intensity Caps. Require operators to reduce flaring intensity below 1 m3/barrel by 2027 or face escalating penalties. This drives uptake of modular gas-to-power systems in fields where pipeline build-out is uneconomic. 2. Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms (CBAM). Tie crude-import levies to embedded flaring emissions (the report’s Imported Flare Gas Index). Nations that supply “low-flaring” barrels—verified by satellite and module telemetry—could access lower CBAM rates, incentivizing upstream investment in APG recovery. 3. Gas Monetization Credits. Under Article 6, carbon markets or national carbon taxes award credits for each MWh generated and each t CO2 captured from associated gas. At $50–100/t CO2, capturing 381 Mt/year yields $19–38 billion in potential credits—enough to underwrite multiple module rollouts.
By reframing flaring as a resource rather than a disposal problem, these policies align operator economics with climate goals. They can spur decentralized, off-grid power for local communities, reduce black-carbon and methane hazards, and leverage existing petroleum infrastructure. When combined with rigorous MRV—using satellite Nightfire data alongside plant SCADA streams—this framework would ensure transparency and accelerate progress toward the “Zero Routine Flaring by 2030” target. Ultimately, modular APG valorization could become a global standard, cutting CO
2 emissions by hundreds of millions of tonnes and unlocking over half a petawatt-hour of clean energy annually (
Figure 3).