Duality Based Risk Mitigation Method for Construction of Joint Hydro-Wind Coordination Short-Run Marginal Cost Curves
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Construction of the Joint Short-Run Marginal Cost Curve
3. Case Study and Results
3.1. Results
3.2. Discussion
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Nomenclature
Symbols | |
A | An event from the family of all events , . |
Short-run marginal cost function (€/MW∙h). | |
Difference between forecasted and actual wind generation (MW). | |
Positive wind difference (MW). | |
Negative wind difference (MW). | |
Natural water inflow (MW). | |
Special function used for risk shaping of CVaR (€). | |
Sigma algebra which defines all possible events in hour . | |
Net outflow of hydro generation (MW) | |
Hourly revenue (€). | |
Maximal capacity of reservoir (MW∙h). | |
Parameter used for risk exposure reduction in risk shaping procedure (€). | |
Hydro turbine maximal capacity (MW). | |
Wind turbine maximal capacity (MW). | |
Minimal capacity of reservoir (MW∙h). | |
Hydro turbine minimal capacity (MW). | |
Wind turbine minimal capacity (MW). | |
Probability of the event and consequently probability of realization of the price | |
Energy stock, amount of water in reservoir in t, (MW∙h). | |
Energy stock at the beginning of planning interval (MW∙h) | |
Energy stock surplus or deficit at the end of planning interval (MWh) | |
Hydro generation (MW). | |
Y | Contracted wind generation (MW). |
Actual wind generation (MW). | |
Greek | |
Percentile used for the CVaR where 1- defines the worst events (%). | |
Shadow prices associated with constraint of CVaR’s helping variable (€). | |
Shadow prices associated with CVaR’s hourly revenue constraint. | |
The decision variable which defines the Value at Risk (€). | |
Variable used for obtainment of the CVaR (€). | |
Shadow price of hydro generation maximum capacity (€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of reservoir maximum capacity (€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of energy stock surplus/deficit at the end of operation(€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of hydro generation minimum capacity (€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of reservoir minimum capacity (€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of risk mitigation capability (dimensionless). | |
Price of electricity (€/MW∙h). | |
Shadow price of water (€/MW∙h). | |
Spaces | |
Planning interval, subspace of the real line . |
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Reservoir | kSt (GWh) | Power Plant | kTu/nTu (m3/s) | kTu/nTu (MW) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lokve | 52 | PSP Fužine | 10/9 | 4.6/4.8 |
Bajer | 1.9 | HP Vinodol | 18.6 | 94.5 |
Lepenica | 5.9 | PSP Lepenica | 6.2/5.3 | 1.14/1.25 |
Reservoir | e (m3/s) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Lokve | 66 | 46 | 0.68 |
Bajer | 64 | 64 | 0.89 |
Lepenica | 58 | 58 | 0.21 |
Revenue with the Proposed Method (€) | Revenue in “Bussines as Usual” Case (€) | (€) |
---|---|---|
98,885 | 89,351 | 0 |
97,995 | 88,461 | 400 |
97,100 | 87,566 | 800 |
96,332 | 86,798 | 1380 |
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Ilak, P.; Rajšl, I.; Đaković, J.; Delimar, M. Duality Based Risk Mitigation Method for Construction of Joint Hydro-Wind Coordination Short-Run Marginal Cost Curves. Energies 2018, 11, 1254. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11051254
Ilak P, Rajšl I, Đaković J, Delimar M. Duality Based Risk Mitigation Method for Construction of Joint Hydro-Wind Coordination Short-Run Marginal Cost Curves. Energies. 2018; 11(5):1254. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11051254
Chicago/Turabian StyleIlak, Perica, Ivan Rajšl, Josip Đaković, and Marko Delimar. 2018. "Duality Based Risk Mitigation Method for Construction of Joint Hydro-Wind Coordination Short-Run Marginal Cost Curves" Energies 11, no. 5: 1254. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11051254
APA StyleIlak, P., Rajšl, I., Đaković, J., & Delimar, M. (2018). Duality Based Risk Mitigation Method for Construction of Joint Hydro-Wind Coordination Short-Run Marginal Cost Curves. Energies, 11(5), 1254. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11051254