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Research on Risk Evaluation of Transnational Power Networking Projects Based on the Matter-Element Extension Theory and Granular Computing

by Jinying Li 1, Fan Wu 1,*, Jinchao Li 2 and Yunqi Zhao 3
1
Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
2
School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
3
State Grid Energy Research Institute, Beijing 102206, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Energies 2017, 10(10), 1523; https://doi.org/10.3390/en10101523
Received: 19 August 2017 / Revised: 13 September 2017 / Accepted: 22 September 2017 / Published: 5 October 2017
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Sources)
In project management, risk assessment is crucial for stakeholders to identify the risk factors during the whole life cycle of the project. A risk evaluation index system of a transnational networking project, which provides an effective way for the grid integration of clean electricity and the sustainable development of the power industry, is constructed in this paper. Meanwhile, a combination of granular computing and order relation analysis (G1 method) is applied to determine the weight of each indicator and the matter-element extension evaluation model is also employed to seek the global optimal decision during the risk assessment. Finally, a case study is given to validate the index system and evaluation model established in this paper by assessing two different investment schemes of a transnational high voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission project. The result shows that the comprehensive risk level of Scheme 1 is “Low” and the level of Scheme 2 is “General”, which means Scheme 1 is better for the stakeholders from the angle of risk control. The main practical significance of this paper lies in that it can provide a reference and decision support for the government’s power sectors, investment companies and other stakeholders when carrying out related activities. View Full-Text
Keywords: transnational networking project; risk evaluation; granular computing; G1 method; matter-element extension evaluation model transnational networking project; risk evaluation; granular computing; G1 method; matter-element extension evaluation model
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Li, J.; Wu, F.; Li, J.; Zhao, Y. Research on Risk Evaluation of Transnational Power Networking Projects Based on the Matter-Element Extension Theory and Granular Computing. Energies 2017, 10, 1523.

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