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Open AccessArticle

Health Impact of Air Pollution from Shipping in the Baltic Sea: Effects of Different Spatial Resolutions in Sweden

1
School of Health Systems and Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0002, South Africa
2
Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Box 100, 405 30 Gothenburg, Sweden
3
Division for Climate Modelling and Air Pollution, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, NO 0313 Oslo, Norway
4
The Environmental Department, City of Gothenburg, PO Box 7012, 402 31 Gothenburg, Sweden
5
Air Quality Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, PL 503, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland
6
Department of Infection Diseases, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, SE-405 30 Goteborg, Sweden
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2020, 17(21), 7963; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17217963
Received: 7 September 2020 / Revised: 23 October 2020 / Accepted: 27 October 2020 / Published: 29 October 2020
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Health Impact Assessment)
In 2015, stricter regulations to reduce sulfur dioxide emissions and particulate air pollution from shipping were implemented in the Baltic Sea. We investigated the effects on population exposure to particles <2.5 µm (PM2.5) from shipping and estimated related morbidity and mortality in Sweden’s 21 counties at different spatial resolutions. We used a regional model to estimate exposure in Sweden and a city-scale model for Gothenburg. Effects of PM2.5 exposure on total mortality, ischemic heart disease, and stroke were estimated using exposure–response functions from the literature and combining them into disability-adjusted life years (DALYS). PM2.5 exposure from shipping in Gothenburg decreased by 7% (1.6 to 1.5 µg/m3) using the city-scale model, and 35% (0.5 to 0.3 µg/m3) using the regional model. Different population resolutions had no effects on population exposures. In the city-scale model, annual premature deaths due to shipping PM2.5 dropped from 97 with the high-sulfur scenario to 90 in the low-sulfur scenario, and in the regional model from 32 to 21. In Sweden, DALYs lost due to PM2.5 from Baltic Sea shipping decreased from approximately 5700 to 4200. In conclusion, sulfur emission restrictions for shipping had positive effects on health, but the model resolution affects estimations. View Full-Text
Keywords: PM2.5; SECA; EMEP model; population exposure; health effects; myocardial infarction; heart attack; stroke; air pollutants PM2.5; SECA; EMEP model; population exposure; health effects; myocardial infarction; heart attack; stroke; air pollutants
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    Link: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4017720
    Description: Table S1: Summary of Baltic Sea ship and for the smaller domain around Gothenburg area emissions during 2014 and 2016. Figure S1: Emissions of SOx from Baltic Sea shipping in 2016. The unit of emissions is kg per grid cell area. Total SOx emissions during 2016 were 9727 tonnes, down from 75148 tonnes during 2014. This reduction was because of 0.1%S required in the Baltic Sea SECA. Figure S2: Difference plot of SOx emissions in 2014-2016. Note, that reduction of emissions because of policy changes happens outside the Gothenburg harbor area. In the harbor area, no major difference is found, because the requirement to use 0.1%S fuel in harbor areas has been in place since 2010. The domain indicated by this image refers to Gothenburg area referred in the above table. Image courtesy of Landsat-8 and US Geological Survey. Figure S3: Comparison of differences in the contributions from Baltic Sea shipping between the high- and low-Sulfur on PM2.5 (µg/m3) to Gothenburg; (a) regional model, (b) city-scale model. Figure S4: Population density in Sweden per km2.
MDPI and ACS Style

Mwase, N.S.; Ekström, A.; Jonson, J.E.; Svensson, E.; Jalkanen, J.-P.; Wichmann, J.; Molnár, P.; Stockfelt, L. Health Impact of Air Pollution from Shipping in the Baltic Sea: Effects of Different Spatial Resolutions in Sweden. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2020, 17, 7963.

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