2. Materials and Methods
During the years 2020–2023, research activities were conducted across 15 selected sampling sites, which belonged to 8 habitats. Two habitats were without management and eight with management, so we evaluated ten habitats. The survey took place in the Dunajské luhy Protected Landscape Area, a valuable floodplain ecosystem located in western Slovakia and designated as a territory of European ecological significance. The protected area covers approximately 122.8 km2 and belongs to the Alpine–Himalayan biogeographical system situated within the Danubian Lowland. In terms of climate, the region is considered relatively warm, with generally moderate winter conditions. During 2020, the average spring temperature was 11 °C, the summer temperature was 21 °C, and the autumn temperature was 11 °C. During 2021, the average spring temperature was 9 °C, the summer temperature was 22 °C, and the autumn temperature was 11 °C. During 2022, the average spring temperature was 11 °C, the summer temperature was 22 °C, and the autumn temperature was 11 °C. During 2023, the average spring temperature was 10 °C, the summer temperature was 22 °C, and the autumn temperature was 14 °C. The geological base is mainly composed of clay-loam soils formed from alluvial sediments deposited by the Danube River.
Across the selected forest habitats (willow–poplar floodplain woodland, ash–alder inundated forest, Pannonian poplar stands, and reed-dominated wetland vegetation), various ecological restoration measures were implemented. These measures involved creating new side branches within the Danube Delta network and artificially inducing flood conditions twice each year, specifically during the spring and summer periods. In non-forest habitats (grazing areas, poplar plantations, floodplain grasslands, and lowland hay meadows), several additional management approaches were carried out. Vegetation between plantation rows was cut twice annually, in spring and summer. Meadow communities were mown once per year (at the end of May every year), selected meadow areas experienced seasonal flooding (in mid-June and late August every year), and extensive cattle grazing was preserved as an important component of habitat management.
Two habitat types, namely willow–poplar floodplain forest and native pasture, where no restoration interventions had been implemented, served as control sites. Willow–poplar floodplain habitat without management was represented in 3 study areas (S1–S3). Pasture habitat without management was represented in 1 study area (S4). Ash–alder floodplain forests with management habitat were represented in 1 study area (S5). Pannonian poplar forest with management habitat was represented in 1 study area (S6). Reed communities of wetlands with management habitat were represented in 1 study area (S7). Willow–poplar floodplain forest with management habitat was represented in 2 study areas (S8 and S14). Pasture habitat was represented in 1 study area (S9). Poplar nursery habitat was represented in 3 study areas (S10, S13, and S15). Lowland hay meadow with management habitat was represented in 1 study area (S11). Alluvial meadow with management habitat was represented in 1 study area (S12). The research was conducted in 15 study areas that belong to 8 habitats, which are listed in
Table 1.
The botanical description of the study areas is as follows:
Study area 1 (SA1) = willow–poplar floodplain forest (reference habitat where no revitalization measures were carried out). The tree layer was formed by the species Salix fragilis Linnaeus (1753) and Salix alba Crawford (1914). The herbaceous layer was represented by species Urtica dioica Linné (1753), Impatiens glandulifera Royle (1834), Solidago gigantea Aiton. (1789), Galium odoratum Fl. Carniol (1771), Parietaria officinalis Linnaeus (1753), Rubus caesius Linnaeus (1753), Stachys sylvatica Linnaeus (1753), and Lamium maculatum Linnaeus (1763).
Study area 2 (SA2) = willow–poplar floodplain forest (reference habitat where no revitalization measures were carried out). The tree layer was formed by the species S. alba, S. fragilis, Populus × canadensis Moench (1785), Acer negundo Linnaeus (1753), Crataegus monogyna Jacquin (1775), and Populus × canescens Smith (1804). The shrub layer consisted of Sambucus nigra Linnaeus (1753), A. negundo, and Swida sanguinea Opiz (1852). The herb layer was represented by the species I. glandulifera, U. dioica, R. caesius, Valeriana officinalis Linnaeus (1753), Arctium nemorosum Lejeune (1833), Impatiens parviflora de Candolle (1824), Roegneria canina Nevski (1933), and Galium aparine Linnaeus (1753).
Study area 3 (SA3) = willow–poplar floodplain forest (reference habitat where no revitalization measures were carried out). The tree layer was composed of S. alba, S. fragilis, Populus alba Linnaeus (1753), P. × canescens, P. nigra, Alnus glutinosa Gaertn (1790), and A. negundo. The shrub layer consisted of S. nigra, Fraxinus excelsior Linnaeus (1753), A. negundo, S. sanguinea, and Corylus avellana Linnaeus (1753). The herb layer was represented by the species U. dioica, Phalaroides arundinacea Rauschert 1963, S. gigantea, Aster lanceolatus Nuttall (1818), R. caesius, and Humulus lupulus Linnaeus (1753).
Study area 4 (SA4) = pasture (original grassland, reference habitat where no revitalization measures were carried out). The tree layer consists of solitary individuals of S. alba. The herb layer was represented by the species U. dioica, Cirsium arvense Scopoli (1771), Eryngium campestre Linnaeus (1753), Achillea millefolium Linnaeus (1753), Crepis biennis Linnaeus (1753), Plantago lanceolatum Linnaeus (1753), P. major, Rumex crispus Linnaeus (1753), Elytrigia repens Nevski (1933), Dactylis glomerata Linnaeus (1753), Arrhenatherum elatius Presl & Presl (1819), Cichorium intybus Linnaeus (1753), Carduus acanthoides Linnaeus (1753), Trifolium repens Linnaeus (1753), Ranunculus repens Linnaeus (1753), Euphorbia palustris Linnaeus (1753), Eryngium planum Linnaeus (1753), Centaurea jacea Linnaeus (1753), and Setaria pumila Roemer & Schultes (1817).
Study area 5 (SA5) = ash–alder floodplain forest (forest habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The tree layer was composed of P. alba, P. × canescens, Acer campestre Linnaeus (1753), and A. negundo. The shrub layer consisted of F. excelsior, S. sanguinea, and Ligustrum vulgare Linnaeus (1753).
Study area 6 (SA6) = Pannonian poplar forest (forest habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The tree layer was formed by Populus nigra Linnaeus (1753), P. alba, and S. alba. The herb layer was represented by the species U. dioica, R. caesius, G. aparine, R. canina, S. gigantea, D. glomerata, E. repens, and Stenactis annua Nees (1832).
Study area 7 (SA7) = willow–poplar floodplain forest (forest habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The tree layer was composed of S. fragilis and S. alba. The herb layer was represented by the species U. dioica, I. glandulifera, S. gigantea, G. odoratum, P. officinalis, R. caesius, S. sylvatica, and L. maculatum.
Study area 8 (SA8) = willow–poplar floodplain forest (forest habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The tree layer was composed of P. × canadensis, P. robusta, S. fragilis, and Viscum album Linnaeus (1753). The shrub layer consisted of S. nigra, Cornus sanguinea Linnaeus (1753), and A. negundo. The herb layer was represented by the species Phragmites australis Steudel (1841), U. dioica, G. aparine, Ficaria bulbifera Holub (1961), Carduus crispus Linnaeus (1753), Symphyotrichum lanceolatum Nesom (1995), R. caesius, I. glandulifera, Sparganium erectum agg. Linnaeus (1753), Arctium sp. Linnaeus (1753), H. lupulus, Galeopsis speciosa Miller (1768), and Cucubalus baccifer Linnaeus (1753).
Study area 9 (SA9) = reed communities of wetlands (the edge of a wetland directly connected to a forest habitat, where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The tree layer was composed of S. alba, P. × canadensis, and A. negundo. The herb layer was represented by the species P. australis, U. dioica, Lythrum salicaria Linnaeus (1753), R. caesius, and S. gigantea.
Study area 10 (SA10) = poplar nursery (planted poplar nursery where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The study area was planted with P. alba and P. × canescens. It was a 2-year-old stand without a tree or shrub layer. The herb layer was represented by the species R. caesius, S. gigantea, P. alba, S. sanguinea agg., A. lanceolatus, U. dioica, Chenopodium album Linnaeus (1753), Symphytum officinale Linnaeus (1753), Stellaria media Villars (1789), Geum urbanum Linnaeus (1753), Erigeron annuus Persoon (1807), and E. repens.
Study area 11 (SA11) = poplar nursery (planted poplar nursery where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The study area was planted with P. alba and P. × canescens. It was a 2-year-old stand without a tree or shrub layer. The herb layer was represented by the species R. caesius, S. gigantea, P. alba, S. sanguinea agg., A. lanceolatus, U. dioica, Ch. album, S. officinale, S. media, G. urbanum, E. annuus, and E. repens.
Study area 12 (SA12) = poplar nursery (planted poplar nursery where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The study area was planted with P. alba and P. × canescens. It is a 2-year-old stand without a tree or shrub layer. The herb layer was represented by the species R. caesius, S. gigantea, P. alba, S. sanguinea agg., A. lanceolatus, U. dioica, Ch. album, S. officinale, S. media, G. urbanum, E. annuus, and E. repens.
Study area 13 (SA13) = alluvial meadow (meadow habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). Solitary individuals of Taraxacum sec. Ruderalia occurred within the study area. The herb layer was represented by the species A. millefolium, C. biennis, P. lanceolatum, P. major, E. repens, D. glomerata, A. elatius, C. intybus, T. repens, C. jacea, S. pumila, R. caesius, S. officinale, R. repens, R. acris, Leontodon autumnalis Oeder (1816), Thlaspi perfoliatum Linnaeus (1753), R. crispus, E. palustris, Iris pseudacorus Linnaeus (1753), and Galium boreale Linnaeus (1753).
Study area 14 (SA14) = lowland hay meadow (meadow habitat where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding). The herb layer on the study area was represented by the species E. annuus, D. glomerata, C. intybus, Plantago media Linnaeus (1753), C. arvense, A. millefolium, E. repens, S. gigantea, Inula britannica Bieberstein (1808), and S. officinale.
Study area 15 (SA15) = pasture (grassland where revitalization measures were carried out = expansion of the branches of the Danube delta on the biotope, simulated flooding, grazing by cattle). Solitary individuals of S. alba occurred within the study area. The herb layer was represented by the species C. arvense, C. acanthoides, A. lanceolatus, Artemisia campestris Linnaeus (1753), U. dioica, R. caesius, Agropyron repens Beauvois (1812), Lactuca serriola Linnaeus (1756), Tanacetum vulgare Linnaeus (1753), Glechoma hederacea Linnaeus (1753), Stenactis annua Nees (1832), A. millefolium, Poa pratensis Linnaeus (1753), P. media, Potentilla reptans Linnaeus (1753), Picris hieracioides Linnaeus (1753), G. parviflora, and Verbena officinalis Linnaeus (1753).
Sampling of soil fauna assemblages was conducted using pitfall traps on a monthly basis from April to October during the years 2020–2023. Each year, pitfall traps were placed for 92 days during spring (March, April, May), 92 days during summer (June, July, August), and 91 days during autumn (September, October, November). We collected soil fauna material at monthly intervals. We subsequently sorted and identified the soil fauna material to the order level in the laboratory. All traps contained a 4% formalin (Central chem, Slovakia) solution as a preservative agent. At each study site, five pitfall traps were positioned in a straight line with 10 m distances between adjacent traps, resulting in a transect measuring 40 m in total length. In total, 75 traps were installed annually across all investigated localities. Pitfall traps were placed at ground level, and the opening was not protected by a canopy. The collection of soil fauna took place at monthly intervals. The volume of pitfall traps was 750 mL with a hole diameter of 6.5 cm.
Statistical Analyses
To examine the relationships between the composition of soil fauna and study areas (1–15) with management, redundancy analysis (RDA) was employed. This ordination approach was chosen according to the length of the first ordination gradient (SD = 1.1), which suggested that soil fauna was related to environmental factors (years, seasons, management). We used logarithmic transformation of the data due to data heterogeneity. The dataset consisted of abundance and occurrence records of soil fauna obtained from both managed habitats and reference habitats without management intervention. We tested the significant influence of environmental variables using the Monte Carlo permutation test. The ordination procedure was applied to determine the principal gradients driving variability in soil fauna composition and to evaluate the relationships between particular species, study areas (1–15), years, seasons, and management types. Interpretation of the results was based on the spatial arrangement of sampling sites and the orientation of species vectors within the ordination diagram. All analyses were conducted using Canoco5 software (Microcomputer Power, Ithaca, NY, USA, 2012) [
16].
The normality of data distribution was assessed using the Shapiro–Wilk test. Differences in the abundance of individuals among study areas (1–15), years (2020–2023), and seasons were first evaluated using the Friedman test. Subsequently, differences in abundance between study areas (1–15), years (2020–2023), and seasons were analysed separately using the Kruskal–Wallis test. Differences in the number of individuals between management types were tested by the Mann–Whitney U test. Statistical significance was determined at the α = 0.05 level. By multiple comparison of samples, pairwise comparisons among study area (1–15), year (2020–2023), and season (spring, summer, autumn) combinations were performed using Dunn’s post hoc multiple comparison test with Holm correction for multiple testing. Future trends in the number of individuals were predicted using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, a type of neural network suitable for time-series analysis. The model was trained on historical abundance data for 250 epochs. Prediction accuracy was evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) metric. All statistical analyses were performed using Python 3.12. (Python Software Foundation, Beaverton, OR, USA, 2023) [
17]. In the PAST 3 program (Hammer, Natural History Museum, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway, 2017) [
18], we calculated the Shannon diversity index (H′).
3. Results
The studied habitats exhibited substantial differences in both the abundance and taxonomic composition of soil fauna. In total, 88,112 individuals belonging to 18 soil fauna were recorded. The highest abundances were observed in Collembola (28.69%), Coleoptera (18.41%), Isopoda (10.77%), Hymenoptera (9.10%), and Araneae (8.93%).
The highest total number of individuals was recorded in the willow–poplar floodplain forest without management interventions (20.89%) and in the willow–poplar floodplain forest with management (18.84%), highlighting the importance of stable and less disturbed habitats for the maintenance of rich soil fauna. In contrast, the lowest abundance was observed in the pasture with management interventions (0.76%) and in the poplar nursery (2.06%), which may be associated with more intensive anthropogenic disturbance and lower ecological stability of these environments (
Table 2).
The Shannon diversity index (H′), calculated at the order level, revealed considerable differences in the diversity of soil fauna communities among the individual study areas. The highest values were recorded at SA8 (H′ = 2.337), SA2 (H′ = 2.309), SA15 (H′ = 2.301), SA10 (H′ = 2.279), and SA14 (H′ = 2.210), indicating high taxonomic diversity and a relatively even distribution of individual orders. In contrast, the lowest values were found at SA9 (H′ = 0.497), SA13 (H′ = 0.881), and SA12 (H′ = 0.993), where the communities were characterized by the dominance of only a few taxonomic groups. Among the unmanaged habitats, willow–poplar floodplain forests showed considerable variation in diversity, with the highest value recorded at SA2 (H′ = 2.309), followed by SA1 (H′ = 2.045), whereas SA3 (H′ = 1.490) exhibited substantially lower diversity. The unmanaged pasture (SA4; H′ = 1.962) reached diversity values comparable to those of several managed forest habitats. Among the managed forest sites, the highest diversity was observed at SA8, while SA5 (H′ = 1.816), SA6 (H′ = 1.990), and SA7 (H′ = 1.971) displayed intermediate values. Marked differences were also found among the poplar nursery sites, where SA10 (H′ = 2.279) and SA11 (H′ = 1.988) exhibited high diversity, whereas SA12 (H′ = 0.993) ranked among the least diverse sites. Overall, the results indicate that forest habitats, particularly floodplain forests, support higher taxonomic diversity of soil fauna, whereas reed communities and some managed open habitats are characterized by lower taxonomic diversity.
We used the redundancy analysis (SD = 1.1 on the first ordinate axis) to analyze the impact of management (with management, without management) on the spatial dispersion of soil fauna in the studied habitats. The values of the explained cumulative variability of taxon data were 72.77% on the first ordinate axis and 78.76% on the second ordinate axis. Due to the impact of land use, the variability on the first ordinate axis increased to 84.34%, and on the second cumulative axis, there was an increase to 91.29%. A significant impact on the spatial distribution of epigeic soil fauna was confirmed in environmental variables autumn (p = 0.002), spring (p = 0.002), summer spring (p = 0.012), year 2020 (p = 0.046), year 2021 (p = 0.002), year 2022 (p = 0.002), year 2023 (p = 0.002), with management (p = 0.032), and without management (p = 0.028).
The RDA analysis revealed a clear differentiation of the study areas according to management practices. The unmanaged sites (SA1–SA4) formed a compact cluster on the left side of the ordination space, indicating a similar structure of soil fauna communities and relatively stable environmental conditions. In contrast, the managed sites (SA5–SA15) were dispersed across a larger portion of the ordination diagram, reflecting greater spatial heterogeneity of the communities resulting from the implemented restoration measures. The most distinct sites were SA8, SA9, SA12, SA13, and SA14, which exhibited a specific taxonomic composition. Site SA7 occupied an intermediate position between the unmanaged and managed areas, suggesting a transitional community structure. In contrast, sites SA6, SA10, SA11, and SA15 formed a separate group in the lower part of the ordination space, distinguished primarily by the composition of the dominant soil fauna.
From a trophic perspective, the RDA analysis indicated that individual trophic groups responded differently to management practices. Predators, represented mainly by Coleoptera, Araneida, Scorpionida, Lithobiomorpha, Geophilomorpha, and Opilionida, were distributed across most study areas. Geophilomorpha showed a stronger association with managed sites, whereas Coleoptera, Lithobiomorpha, and Scorpionida were more closely associated with unmanaged sites. Saprophagous groups (Julida, Glomerida, Polydesmida, and Isopoda) were primarily linked to unmanaged control sites, where a stable litter layer and higher organic matter content provided suitable conditions for their occurrence. Detritivores represented by Collembola exhibited a similar pattern and were also closely associated with unmanaged habitats. In contrast, phytophagous groups (Auchenorrhyncha, Hemiptera, Orthoptera, and Thysanura) were more frequently associated with managed sites, where regular vegetation disturbance promoted the development of the herbaceous layer and created favorable conditions for vegetation-dependent taxa. Overall, the results suggest that management practices contributed to increased trophic diversity and the establishment of a broader range of ecological niches.
The analysis revealed differences in the distribution of the major taxonomic groups among the study areas depending on the implemented management measures. The unmanaged sites (SA1–SA4) were characterized by higher abundances of Coleoptera, Collembola, Isopoda, Julida, Glomerida, Polydesmida, Lithobiomorpha, Scorpionida, and, to a lesser extent, Acarina, reflecting stable environmental conditions with abundant leaf litter and organic matter. In contrast, the managed sites (SA5–SA15) exhibited greater variability in taxonomic composition. Site SA5 was characterized by increased abundances of Geophilomorpha, Auchenorrhyncha, and Thysanura, whereas sites SA6, SA10, SA11, and SA15 were more closely associated with Orthoptera, Dermaptera, and Araneida. Site SA7 occupied an intermediate position between the unmanaged and managed areas and displayed a mixed taxonomic composition. Sites SA8, SA9, SA12, and SA13 were located farther from the majority of taxon vectors, suggesting that their community composition was also influenced by additional local environmental factors. Site SA14 was clearly separated from the remaining study areas, indicating a distinct community structure. Overall, the results demonstrate that management practices increased the spatial variability of the taxonomic composition of soil fauna communities, whereas unmanaged sites maintained more homogeneous and stable assemblages characterized by a greater representation of saprophagous and detritivorous groups (
Figure 1).
The Shapiro–Wilk analysis indicated that the dataset did not follow a normal distribution pattern (p = 1 × 10−5). The difference in the number of individuals between study areas (1–15), years, and seasons was tested by the Friedman test, which confirmed a significant difference (p = 0.016). The Kruskal–Wallis test confirmed significant differences in the number of individuals between study areas (1–15) (p = 0.001), seasonal periods (p = 0.001), and years (p = 0.002). The Mann–Whitney U test confirmed a significant difference (p = 0.018) in the number of individuals between management (without management and with management).
The results revealed pronounced spatial and temporal variability in the abundance of the monitored communities, with the implemented management measures playing a significant role. Study sites S1 and S4 served as control sites without management interventions, whereas restoration and management measures were implemented at S5–S15 throughout the entire monitoring period. Comparison of these two groups indicated that the managed sites generally exhibited greater variability in individual abundance, wider interquartile ranges, and a more frequent occurrence of extreme values. In contrast, the unmanaged control sites showed a more stable pattern of abundance, although consistently high abundance values were also recorded at site S4. From the perspective of seasonal dynamics, the lowest abundances were generally recorded in spring throughout all monitored years, whereas summer represented the period of the highest abundance at most study sites. During autumn, abundance generally declined again; however, at several managed sites, it remained higher than at the control sites, suggesting that favorable habitat conditions persisted beyond the main growing season. This trend was particularly evident at sites S6, S8, S14, and S15, where higher median abundances and greater variability were observed compared with the unmanaged control sites. Differences in the abundance of soil fauna were also evident among the monitored years. In 2020, abundance was relatively evenly distributed across the study sites, although elevated values were recorded particularly at S4 and S5. In 2021, a marked increase in abundance occurred at S4 during the summer season, whereas most other sites exhibited comparatively lower values. The highest interannual variability was observed in 2022, when several managed sites, especially S8 and S14, reached substantially higher abundance values and displayed broader variability. In 2023, high abundance was again confirmed at the unmanaged site S4; however, several managed sites (S6, S7, S14, and S15) also exhibited increased abundance, indicating that the effects of the implemented management measures persisted over time and contributed to maintaining abundant populations of soil fauna. Overall, the results indicate that management significantly influenced not only the mean abundance of individuals but also the spatial and temporal variability of soil fauna. While the unmanaged control sites (S1 and S4) provided relatively stable conditions with consistently high abundances, the managed sites (S5–S15) exhibited a more dynamic community structure and, in many cases, achieved higher abundance values, particularly during the summer season and in the final years of monitoring. These findings suggest that the implemented management measures promoted habitat restoration and created more favorable conditions for the development and persistence of soil fauna communities (
Figure 2).
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) had the resulting MAPE value reach only 6.51%, demonstrating high predictive accuracy and excellent model performance.
The development of individual abundance in the forest habitats where management interventions were implemented showed considerable temporal fluctuations during the study period (
Figure 3). Data from 2020–2023 indicate variations in abundance without a clear long-term increasing or decreasing trend. Throughout the monitoring period, phases of higher and lower abundance alternated, with the highest values recorded in 2022 and in the middle of 2023. In contrast, substantial declines in the number of individuals were also observed toward the end of the monitoring period. These decreases may be related to the natural dynamics of populations, seasonal changes in environmental conditions, or the ecosystem’s response to the implemented management interventions.
The predictive model suggests that the number of individuals will continue to exhibit considerable variability until the end of 2025. Predicted values range widely, from very low to high abundances, with recurring peaks exceeding 5000 individuals. This pattern indicates that the population is likely to maintain its dynamic character in the coming years. At the same time, the model does not predict a long-term decline in abundance but rather the continuation of cyclical fluctuations accompanied by the repeated occurrence of high abundance values. Therefore, the predicted results suggest that the implemented management measures create conditions that support the maintenance of relatively high individual abundance in forest habitats, although population dynamics remain highly variable over time.
The primary objective of the LSTM analysis was not merely to generate abundance forecasts but to evaluate whether management interventions contribute to maintaining long-term community stability. The predicted cyclic fluctuations without a persistent declining trend indicate that managed habitats retain suitable environmental conditions capable of supporting stable arthropod populations. Therefore, LSTM complements conventional statistical analyses by providing insight into the potential future trajectory of community development under current management practices.
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) obtained an MAPE value of 12.6%, which indicates a high level of prediction accuracy and confirms the reliability of the developed model.
The development of individual abundance in open-area habitats where management interventions were implemented exhibited considerable interannual and seasonal variability during the monitoring period (
Figure 4). Data from 2020–2023 indicate fluctuations in the abundance of individuals. The highest values were recorded during 2022 and 2023, whereas substantial declines in abundance occurred during certain periods. This pattern may reflect natural changes in species population dynamics, differences in habitat quality throughout the growing season, as well as the gradual effects of the implemented management interventions.
In the prediction until the end of 2025, despite the persistent variability, most predicted values are at levels comparable to or higher than the historical average, indicating the maintenance of suitable conditions for the occurrence of soil fauna. The modeling results further suggest that the management measures implemented in open habitats may contribute to maintaining a stable population, although individual abundance is expected to continue being influenced by the natural fluctuations characteristic of these dynamic ecosystems.
Measures such as mowing, controlled flooding, grazing, or restoration of hydrological connectivity modify vegetation complexity, litter accumulation, soil moisture, and microclimatic conditions. These environmental changes directly influence food availability, shelter, and breeding sites for ground-dwelling arthropods, thereby affecting both their abundance and community composition. Consequently, the temporal dynamics predicted by the LSTM model probably reflect not only natural population fluctuations but also the ecological response of arthropod communities to habitat management.