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Article

Measured Effects of Anthropogenic Development on Vertebrate Wildlife Diversity

by
K. Shawn Smallwood
* and
Noriko L. Smallwood
Independent Researcher, 3108 Finch Street, Davis, CA 95616, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Diversity 2023, 15(10), 1037; https://doi.org/10.3390/d15101037
Submission received: 26 July 2023 / Revised: 18 September 2023 / Accepted: 21 September 2023 / Published: 27 September 2023

Abstract

:
A major driver of the declining biodiversity is landcover change leading to loss of habitat. Many studies have estimated large-scale declines in biodiversity, but loss of biodiversity at a local scale due to the immediate effects of development has been poorly studied. California, in particular, is a biodiversity hotspot and has rapidly developed; thus, it is important to understand the effects of development on wildlife in the State. Here, we conducted reconnaissance surveys—a type of survey often used by consulting biologists in support of environmental review of proposed projects—to measure changes in the relative abundance and richness of vertebrate species in response to urban development. We completed 2 reconnaissance surveys at each of 52 control sites that remained undeveloped at the times of both surveys, and at each of 26 impact sites that had been developed by the time of the second survey. We completed the surveys as part of a before–after, control–impact (BACI) experimental design. Our main interest was the interaction effect between the before–after phases and the control–impact treatment levels, or the impact of development. After controlling for survey duration, we also tested for the effects of the number of years intervening the surveys in the before and after phases, project area size, latitude, degree of connectedness to adjacent open space, and whether the site was a redevelopment site, infill, or not infill. After development, the average number of vertebrate wildlife species we detected declined by 48% within the project area, and by 66% within the bounds of the project sites. Further, the average number of vertebrate animals we counted declined by 90% within the project area, and 89% within the bounds of the project sites. Development impacts measured by the mean number of species detected per survey were greatest for amphibians (−100%), followed by mammals (−86%), grassland birds (−75%), raptors (−53%), special-status species (−49%), all birds as a group (−48%), non-native birds (−44%), and synanthropic birds (−28%). Our results indicated that urban development substantially reduced vertebrate species richness and numerical abundance, even after richness and abundance had likely already been depleted by the cumulative effects of loss, fragmentation, and degradation of habitat in the urbanizing environment. Monitoring is needed in and around urbanizing areas to measure the cumulative effects of urbanization, and so are conservation measures to mitigate the effects of urbanization.

1. Introduction

Urbanization has been defined as “the process of human settlement that gradually transforms uninhabited wildlands into lands including some degree of relatively permanent human presence” [1]. Urban growth profoundly affects the availability and condition of natural resources, and within its immediate area it often fragments and degrades habitat and simplifies biological species composition [2], as well as homogenizes species composition of plants [3], arthropods [4,5,6], birds [7,8,9,10,11], and land-cover composition, landscape structure, and ecosystem functions [12]. Urban areas also reduce avian taxonomic diversity [13]. Biodiversity is on the decline [14,15]. A major driver of declining trends in biodiversity within metropolitan areas is the extent of landcover that serves as habitat [11].
In the context of a city or metropolitan area, where habitat is lost to impervious surfaces, and where habitat is degraded by noise, light, and air pollution and by sources of mortality [16], habitat loss is likely exacerbated by habitat fragmentation, which results in a cumulative net loss of species’ productive capacity that exceeds that of habitat loss alone [17]. Since habitat loss and habitat fragmentation have rapidly progressed around the world, the cumulative effects of these processes on wildlife are also rapidly advancing [18]. Already, there have been documented genetic effects [19], and shifts in community composition and in morphologies and behaviors of species remaining within the areas of urbanization [16,20].
Many species of vertebrate wildlife have been in numerical decline across North America [21]. These declines have been attributed to multiple causal factors, but habitat loss and habitat fragmentation have usually been hypothesized as the leading causes of declines [11,22]. Habitat loss is readily believable because we can see and measure the extent to which we have been clearing natural vegetation to make way for agricultural, industrial, commercial, and residential uses and all of their connecting roads and highways, pipelines, and electrical transmission lines. Less measured, however, has been the actual changes in wildlife species composition and numerical abundance on sites where natural or managed vegetation has been removed to accommodate anthropogenic structures [1,22,23].
The effects of habitat loss due to development have more often been assumed or inferred from gradient experiments. To indicate the effects of habitat loss due to urbanization, correlational analysis has been performed on bird species richness with variables intended to measure urbanization and degrees of departure from natural conditions [23,24,25,26,27,28]. Investigators in one study estimated the relative species richness of birds as an indicator of the effects of urbanization by comparing sampled species richness to a specified reference community or to the regional pool of species that should have existed prior to development [29]. The reference community would indicate a baseline ecological integrity, or the biological species assemblage during pristine conditions [30]. This approach, however, directly measured the effects of urbanization only if its pristine reference community was accurately specified. Direct measurements of the effects of habitat loss have been conducted in short-term studies lacking key elements of experimental design, and thus prone to finding equivocal to no effects of development on bird communities [31,32]. Long-term studies or experimental studies including controls to more directly test for the effects of urbanization are rare [1].
Urban development presents opportunities for experiments to measure the effects of urbanization on wildlife [1,31]. Realistically, however, these opportunities must make use of baseline environmental settings that are highly disturbed or consist of habitat fragments in an urbanizing landscape [31,32]. What can be measured in such experiments are only the later-stage, onsite effects of urbanization on biota. We had the opportunity to measure the effects of urbanization on vertebrate wildlife because we often survey for wildlife at sites proposed for development. The California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) requires the characterization of the existing environmental setting. This characterization informs the public and decision-makers of what is at stake, and it serves as the baseline from which to opine on or predict project-caused impacts and to formulate appropriate mitigation measures. To this end, consulting biologists usually perform what are referred to as reconnaissance surveys, otherwise known as general biological surveys. These surveys typically include one or more biologists walking over the project site or scanning the site from vantage points. The surveys vary in duration without any clear stopping rules, but typically last one to several hours. Following the consultants’ surveys, we were often hired by parties other than the project applicants or the permitting agencies to also survey the project sites, and sometimes to survey project sites that had not been surveyed previously.
We managed our surveys of project sites in the framework of a before–after, control–impact experiment to measure average project impacts to wildlife. Our control sites were those project sites that had not been developed prior to our second survey, which represented the after phase of the experiment, and the impact sites were those sites that had been developed by the time of our second survey. Our primary objective was to measure changes in the local vertebrate wildlife community caused by development, based on the following metrics: (1) the number of vertebrate species detected, (2) the number of species uniquely detected at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase, (3) counts of live animals, and (4) the percentage of project sites within each BACI treatment group where we detected each species. Our secondary objective was to explore whether other measured variables might explain the residual variation from the analysis of variance (ANOVA) model used to test the BACI hypotheses for main and interaction effects. We additionally tested for effects of survey duration, years intervening the surveys in the before and after phases, project area, latitude, level of site disturbance, degree of connectedness to adjacent open space, and whether the site was a redevelopment site, infill, or not infill.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Study Area

Our study sites were clustered in the Sacramento and Central Valleys, the San Francisco Bay Area, and the coastal region of southern California (Figure 1). Each of these sites was selected because applications had been submitted for development. We later added follow-up surveys where practical and when we could closely match the date and start time of the initial surveys. Twenty-six of the sites had been developed by the time of our follow-up surveys, whereas fifty-two sites remained undeveloped. Developed sites were those for which the intended structures of the project were completely or nearly completely built, but they did not have to be occupied (some structures remained vacant for extended periods) (Figure 2). Thirty-five of the sites were within or peripheral to existing urban, commercial, or industrial areas, but thirty were located on agricultural or desert landscapes (Table A1). The condition of most of our study sites was poor to moderate at the times of our initial surveys, as most sites had been disturbed by mechanical clearing of vegetation (Figure 3), frequent fires, off-road vehicle use, invasive plant species composition (Figure 4), or by other forms of pollution, e.g., dumping of waste materials and mowing for weed abatement. Only four of the sites were surrounded on all sides by open space. Study sites ranged from 0.526 ha to 1,549 ha (mean = 91.26 ha, SD = 255.44 ha), with the two largest study sites consisting of natural reserves, which we used as control sites.

2.2. Reconnaissance Surveys

We performed what are referred to in California as reconnaissance surveys, also known as general biological surveys. We intentionally implemented the same methodology as used by environmental consultants when they perform reconnaissance surveys. In these surveys, all species are recorded if detected by visual or auditory means or by signs such as burrows, tracks, or scat. Wildlife recorded included birds, mammals, amphibians, and reptiles. We surveyed by walking the perimeter of the site, or by a stationary vantage point, where we scanned for wildlife with the use of binoculars. We recorded those animals that were onsite, i.e., within the boundary of the project site, and which we refer to hereafter as onsite. We also recorded animals in the project area, which included those onsite and those we judged were close enough to the project site to readily make use of it, which was usually ≤100 m from the site. In most surveys, we recorded the time within the survey when a new species was detected, whether the species was on the project site or in the surrounding area, and the approximate abundance of that species. We recorded temperature, wind, and sky conditions at the start and end of most surveys, and we recorded ground conditions at all sites at the time of each survey.
Reconnaissance surveys are unbound by time, but typically last between one and several hours. We stopped our initial survey at each project site once our species detection rate declined to about one new species per 20 or 30 min, similar to the rule advocated by Watson [33]. These lower detection rates typically coincided with the increasing heat of the day or oncoming darkness of the evening. In the cases of our second surveys to represent the after phase of the experiment, we stopped each survey at the time it took to record all of the species that had been recorded in each initial survey.
Beginning in January 2020, we began to resurvey sites of proposed building projects that we had originally surveyed during the same time of year and about the same time of day between 1 and 19 years earlier. In addition to starting the repeat survey as close to the original start time as possible, we surveyed for the same duration and using the same person, or both of us if we had originally surveyed together. Of the sites we resurveyed, 52 had remained undeveloped and 26 had been developed since our initial survey. Upon each repeat survey, we assigned sites that remained undeveloped to the control group, and sites that were since developed to the impact group. We applied the same survey standards between control and impact sites.

2.3. BACI Tests

We compared our survey outcomes in a BACI experimental design. One metric of the survey outcome was the total number of vertebrate species seen during the survey, including species seen in the project area but off the project site. A second metric was the total number of species seen only on the project site. A third metric was the number of vertebrate species detected solely offsite. A fourth metric was the number of species uniquely detected at a site in one phase relative to the other phase. A fifth metric was the total number of live animals counted during the survey (excluding fossorial mammals indicated by signs of burrow activity). A sixth metric was the number of sites at which a species or group of species was detected. For each metric, we quantified the expected outcome at impact sites (EIA) relative to the before–after change in outcomes at the control site, and the effect of the development on the impact treatment level:
E I A = C A C B × I B
E f f e c t = ( I A E I A ) E I A × 100 % ,
where treatment levels were CB = control-before, CA = control-after, IB = impact-before, and IA = impact-after.
We compared rates of species detections with increasing time into the survey by the following experimental treatment groups: control-before (CB), control-after (CA), impact-before (IB), and impact-after (IA). To arrive at these comparisons, we fit a nonlinear least-squares regression model to the cumulative number of species detected, Y, as a function of the number of minutes, X, into each survey. The form of the model was Y = 1 1 a + b × ( X + 1 ) c , where X represents minutes into the survey, and a, b, and c were best-fit coefficients. Since the surveys varied in duration, this modeling approach was also useful for minimizing the effect of survey duration on the metric, number of species detected. We did this by using each model to predict the number of species that would be detected after one hour. We chose 1 h because it was within the data range of all but 4 of the surveys we completed. We also projected the model to 5 h for comparison.
We used 2-factor analysis of variance with interest mostly in the significance of the interaction effect between the before–after time period (BA) and the control–impact treatment (CI) of each BACI experiment, as implemented by others [34,35]. We performed the tests on data collected from the project areas as well as those strictly from onsite. Except for our model-predicted number of species detected after one hour of surveying, we log10-transformed count variables, such as the number of species detected and number of animals counted. We visually examined normal probability plots, and we performed Hartley’s F-max test for homogeneity of variance to determine whether our tests met the assumptions of ANOVA. The assumptions were met in nearly every test. To further assess the 2-factor ANOVA interaction effects, we calculated their statistical power.

2.4. Effects of Other Factors

From the BACI test of the number of vertebrate species detected, we saved ANOVA model residuals for exploring whether additional variation in the data could be explained by factors represented by other measured variables. We did the same for the BACI test of the model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected at 1 h. We regressed both sets of residuals on survey duration (minutes of survey common to both the before and after phases) to compare the degrees to which the effect of survey duration had been reduced, and hence to decide which set of residuals to use in exploration of the effects of other factors, such as landscape and site attributes. Our objective was to maximally control for the effect of survey duration when testing whether and how the number of vertebrate species detected related to project size (ha), latitude, number of years between the surveys in the before and after phases, the similarity index [36], and as described in the following paragraph, the intensity of pre-survey actions that would have suppressed wildlife, landscape settings such as whether the site was infill, redevelopment, or surrounded by open space, and the site disturbance rating. We note that whereas the similarity index was intended to measure the similarity of community composition of constituent species, its true measurement must also be of species detection probabilities attributable to the surveys.
We categorized an urban setting index for each site as 0 = largely non-urbanized, 1 = urban infill, and 2 = redevelopment. We rated the connectivity of project site borders to adjacent open space (including agriculture) as 0%, 10%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100%. We categorized sites as having undisturbed vegetation; evidence of disturbance over the last 5 years or so; ruderal; mowed; neglected by accumulation of trash, construction debris, waste soil or machine parts; neglected by cessation of irrigation; burned; disked; graded; construction ongoing, or constructed, as well as combinations of the foregoing categories. From these categories, we rated sites for the level of disturbance as: 1 = natural and biologically intact, with no more than small patches of non-native vegetation; 2 = mostly intact, with some native and some non-native vegetation, or all native with some past ground disturbance; 3 = modified (disked or highly disturbed) in the past but with a substantial extent of vegetation, such as patches of shrubs or scattered trees; 4 = landscaped parks or golf courses; 5 = agriculture, including orchards and vineyards; 6 = agriculture, including row crops; 7 = parking lot with mature shrubs or trees, and where buildings do not cover the entire site; 8 = highly modified with little vegetation remaining; 9 = compacted, pervious ground with no vegetation remaining; 10 = impervious ground with no vegetation remaining; 11 = constructed buildings. We further categorized site conditions to represent the intensity of actions that likely would have suppressed wildlife as: 0 = none evident, 1 = low (ruderal, cleared fire break), 2 = routine disturbance, 3 = moderate (mowed, neglected), 4 = earlier intense (near-recent grading, regrowth after disking), 5 = intense (cleared, disked, disked and neglected), and 6 = very intense (converted to crop, graded, constructed).

2.5. Species Characteristics

We compared the species detected among surveys to identify the frequency that each was found in the before and after phases and between the control and impact treatment levels. We further grouped species into classes, including amphibians, reptiles, mammals, birds, grassland birds, raptors, synanthropic birds, non-native species, and special-status species. The latter class was informed by legal protections afforded species by state and federal statutes and by designations assigned to species by state and federal wildlife agencies (species names, species groupings, and special-status species are listed in Table A2). We measured development impacts to these classes by the mean number of species within each that was detected per survey.

3. Results

Impact sites differed from control sites in several ways, including their average smaller size, lower elevation, and 94 km more northerly locations (Table 1). On average, impact sites were half to less than half connected to open space, as compared to control sites. Impact sites also ranked higher on the urban setting index, which meant they were more likely to be infill or redevelopment projects. Furthermore, impact sites rated higher for the level of disturbance, even prior to development, and they ranked higher on the intensity of actions resulting in suppression of wildlife occurrences, even prior to development (Table 1). On average, the survey duration was briefer on impact sites by nearly half an hour, and the time between the first and second surveys was longer by 1.3 years, but the average difference in start times was insubstantial.

3.1. BACI Experiment

As part of our experiment, we completed 78 pairs of before and after surveys, or 156 surveys. Our cumulative number of species detections increased with the increasing survey duration, but the rates of these increases differed between sites in the control and impact treatment levels, and the mean rate was slowest among sites in the impact-after group, i.e., the sites that had been developed (Figure 5a). The model-predicted number of species detected by 1 h into a survey averaged about 10.4 in the IA group, as compared to 20.8 to 21.8 in the CB and CA groups. By 5 h, the disparity increased to 12.7 species detected in the IA group, as compared to 37.6 in the CB and CA groups (Figure 5b). At 1 h, the model-predicted number of species detected was 51% lower in the IA group, but at 5 h it was 66% lower.
We observed large changes in species composition and relative abundance among the project sites that were developed before our second survey. Some of the species we detected in the before phase were relatively abundant, but their abundance sharply declined after development. For example, at the CenterPoint Warehouse Project site in Manteca, our before and after counts changed from 300 to 9 American crows, from 40 to 3 mourning doves, from 400 to 0 western meadowlarks, and from 30 to 0 house finches. On average, we counted 88% fewer vertebrate animals, including 85% fewer animals of special-status species, on impact sites after development, and we detected 44% fewer vertebrate species on impact sites after development, and 62% fewer vertebrate species on the project footprint (Table 2).
We also observed changes in species composition and relative abundance among the project sites that did not undergo development and which we treated as our control sites. For example, at the Operon HKI Project site in Perris, our before and after counts shifted from 10 to 20 savannah sparrows (Figure 6), 0 to 20 western meadowlarks, and 0 to 20 horned larks. On average, we detected about 2–3 additional species in most groups of species during our second surveys among the control sites, and we counted about 26% more birds, but notably we counted 56% fewer species, and 44% fewer animals of special-status species vertebrate wildlife (Table 2).
In the before phase, the number of species detected averaged fewer at the impact sites compared to the controls, whereas the number of animals counted averaged more at the impact sites compared to the controls (Table 2). Consequently, the control–impact main effects were significant for all but one of the metrics consisting of the number of species detected, whereas they were not significant for any of the metrics of the number of animals counted (Table 3). The before–after main effects were significant for the number of vertebrate species detected and the number of birds detected, but not for the numbers of species detected of mammals or reptiles and amphibians. The before–after main effects were significant for all the metrics of the number of animals counted. However, whereas these main effects point towards potential biases, our main interest was in the interaction effect, which informs of the impact of the action (development), and which presumably would have been largely controlled for in the experiment.
After development, the average number of vertebrate wildlife species we detected declined by 48% within the project area, and by 66% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2, Figure 7a,b). These declines were significant (Table 3). At the same time, the number of vertebrate wildlife species we detected solely offsite increased by 334% (Table 2, Figure 7c), which was significant (Table 3).
The average number of bird species declined by 45% within the project area, and by 64% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2). These declines were also significant (Table 3). Although not significant due to insufficient statistical power (Table 3), the average number of mammal species declined by 79% across the entire viewshed and by 92% within the bounds of the project sites, and the average number of amphibians and reptiles (“herps”) declined by 47% in the project area, and by 100% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2).
After development, the average number of vertebrate animals we counted declined by 90% within the project area (Figure 8a), and by 89% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2). These declines were significant (Table 3). The average number of birds we counted declined by 91% within the project area (Table 2, Figure 8b), and by 89% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2), both of which were significant (Table 3).
After development, the average number of special-status species declined by 49% within the project area, and by 58% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2, Figure 9a). The average number of vertebrate animals of special-status species that we counted declined by 70% within the project area, and by 82% within the bounds of the project sites (Table 2, Figure 9b). All of these declines were significant (Table 3).
After development, the average model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected in one hour of surveying declined by 37% within the project area (Table 2, Figure 10a), which was significant (Table 3). The number of vertebrate species uniquely detected at a site in one phase relative to the other phase declined by 74% (Table 2, Figure 10b), which was also significant (Table 3).

3.2. Effects of Other Factors

We found that the ANOVA model residuals significantly increased with the increasing survey duration (Figure 11a), which should have had no effect on our BACI tests, but which would likely confound our tests for the effects of other factors. Therefore, we used the ANOVA residuals from the BACI experiment involving model-predicted numbers of vertebrate species detected after one hour of surveying, assuming the residuals from this test would most effectively minimize any residual variation of survey duration. The model-derived residuals continued to increase with the increasing survey duration (Figure 11b), but with a much smaller r2, a smaller standardized slope coefficient, β, and a slightly larger root-mean squared error (RMSE), all of which indicated a reduced residual effect of survey duration.
Model-adjusted residuals related only weakly with multiple variables, including with the intensity of pre-survey actions that would have suppressed wildlife (F6,125 = 1.14, p = 0.3437), project size (ha), latitude, the number of years between the surveys in the before and after phases, the site disturbance rating, and the similarity index measured between the before and after surveys at the same site. However, they significantly differed among groups of sites located in open space or in an infill setting, or as redevelopment within developed areas such as cities (Figure 12a). Mean residuals were positive within open areas, and negative in areas of infill or redevelopment. Model-adjusted residuals also significantly differed by levels of connectedness to open space (Figure 12b). Mean residuals were positive among sites with >50% connectivity to open space, and negative among sites with <50% connectivity to open space.

3.3. Species Characteristics

A few species of wildlife increased in the frequency of detection among project sites that were developed, including, in order of increase: Cooper’s hawk, ruby-crowned kinglet, yellow-rumped warbler, California gull, black phoebe, house cat, and Anna’s hummingbird (Table A2). Many more species, however, decreased in the frequency of detection, including, in order of decrease: California ground squirrel, Botta’s pocket gopher, burrowing owl, California quail, California vole, Cassin’s kingbird, cedar waxwing, coyote, great-tailed grackle, killdeer, loggerhead shrike, northern rough-winged swallow, oak titmouse, orange-crowned warbler, Sierran treefrog, white-tailed kite, white-throated swift, and yellow-billed magpie, followed by: western meadowlark, red-winged blackbird, western fence lizard, great egret, American robin, eastern gray squirrel, mallard, American kestrel, red-tailed hawk, white-crowned sparrow, black-tailed jackrabbit, dark-eyed junco, western gull, savannah sparrow, European starling, California towhee, bushtit, lesser goldfinch, Brewer’s blackbird, Canada goose, northern flicker, turkey vulture, Nuttall’s woodpecker, barn swallow, western kingbird, Swainson’s hawk, rock pigeon, mourning dove, red-shouldered hawk, double-crested cormorant, house finch, Eurasian collared-dove, California scrub-jay, cliff swallow, house sparrow, desert cottontail, northern mockingbird, common raven, American goldfinch, Say’s phoebe, and American crow (Table A2).
Groups of wildlife that declined the most following development included, in the following order: amphibians, mammals, grassland birds, raptors, special-status species, all birds as a group, non-native birds, and synanthropic birds (Table 4).

4. Discussion

4.1. Effects of Development on Vertebrate Wildlife

Assuming our sampling design sufficiently controlled for differences in size, condition, and setting between control and impact sites, and for differences in survey duration, our experiment revealed substantial reductions in vertebrate species richness and numerical abundance caused by development. Although our surveys likely failed to detect all the species or to count all the animals available at the times of our surveys, we believe it is unlikely that underlying survey biases could have substantially confounded the magnitudes of development impacts we measured. We suggest, for example, that survey bias cannot explain the 74% decline we measured in the number of vertebrate species that we uniquely detected at a site in one phase relative to the species we detected in the other phase. The magnitude of this effect was too large to be explained by anything other than a profound shift in the species composition of project sites following development. Site-specific project impacts are generally devastating to wildlife.
Immediately offsite, we detected a >3-fold increase in the number of vertebrate species that were solely offsite. This increase likely reflected a spatial shift by a few species in response to development, but the numbers of species we detected solely offsite were small regardless of the treatment group. Many of the species we detected on project sites were also detected offsite, but we did not record which species were both on- and off-site until the last few surveys.
Only seven species of wildlife increased in the frequency of detection among surveys at sites where development preceded our surveys in the after phase of our experiment. Of these seven species, two were generalists—California gull and yellow-rumped warbler—consistent with the finding that generalist species of birds were most often the species that adapt to urbanized landscapes [37]. Black phoebe, house cat, and Anna’s hummingbird were three other species that increased in the frequency of occurrence, but their increases were small. Ruby-crowned kinglet’s increase remains questionable, considering the small sample sizes, but Cooper’s hawk is a specialized forager that appears to capitalize on urbanization. Otherwise, majority of wildlife species with sufficient sample sizes declined in their numbers of detection among our surveys at sites where buildings were constructed in the period between our before and after surveys. We suggest that the categorization of wildlife as urban avoiders, urban adapters, and urban exploiters [38] provides a useful framework for understanding how wildlife respond to urbanization, but we also suggest that most of the urban adapters and urban exploiters can be vulnerable to the final stage of development at a given site.
Whereas invasive and synanthropic species might fare better than native species in urban environments [39], we found that species in both these groups also declined after the development of project sites, similar to the finding of Scott [31]. The declines of species in these groups were not as great as for raptors and grassland bird species, but they were nevertheless substantial. Overall, the development projects reduced the species richness and wildlife abundance.
Terrestrial vertebrate species declined the most in our study, consistent with previous findings [40,41,42], but the declines we measured were not significant due to insufficient statistical power. Though not statistically significant, we suggest that our measured declines ought to be considered biologically significant. In the field, finding fewer or no terrestrial mammals and amphibians where we had seen them before was noticeable, and we assert that these declines resulted directly from development. Some of these terrestrial vertebrate species were ecological keystone species, such as the Botta’s pocket gopher (Figure 13) and California ground squirrel. The California ground squirrel, in particular, has been found to limit the distribution of multiple special-status species, such as the burrowing owl [43] and loggerhead shrike [44]. Indeed, where development preceded our second surveys, California ground squirrels were not observed, and neither were any of the burrowing owls or loggerhead shrikes that we had seen at those sites prior to development (Figure 13).

4.2. Landscape Effects

Andrén [45] predicted that “landscapes with highly fragmented habitat, patch size and isolation will complement the effect of habitat loss and the loss of species or decline in population size will be greater than expected from habitat loss alone”. Our results tended to support this prediction. Our mean ANOVA residuals of the number of vertebrate species detected at one hour of surveying was negative among sites in urban infill and redevelopment settings, and positive among sites surrounded by open space (Figure 12), meaning there were relatively fewer species in urban settings and relatively more in settings of open space. This result resembles that of another study that found that bird species richness in urban settings correlated positively with bird species richness in adjacent landscapes composed of managed or natural vegetation [46].
We note, also, that we detected more species composed of smaller average counts of individuals in the before phase of control sites, as compared to the before phase of impact sites—the sites that were to be developed later during our study; alternatively, we found smaller numbers of species of larger average counts at impact sites even in the before phase, which was a pattern previously noted [31]. By the time we initiated our first surveys at the impact sites, they were already different in species composition. In fact, the impact sites differed from control sites with their average smaller size and lower elevation, but perhaps more importantly, with their lower connectivity to open space, their higher average rank on the urban setting index, their higher average ratings for the level of disturbance, and their average higher intensity of actions resulting in suppression of wildlife occurrences. We also surveyed impact sites more briefly than we surveyed control sites, but our briefer surveys probably reflected the smaller average size of impact sites. Earlier in our study, we could not have predicted which sites would be developed sooner than other sites, but now it appears that smaller infill sites tend to be managed more aggressively to suppress wildlife, tend to support fewer species, and are more likely to be approved for development.
Numerous species of vertebrate wildlife were found only at control sites, further revealing the potential wildlife community difference that already existed by the time of our first surveys at project sites, but which also prevented species-specific measures of development effects. Such species included Allen’s hummingbird and the black-chinned hummingbird, American coot, black-necked stilt, blue-gray gnatcatcher and California gnatcatcher, bobcat, California thrasher, common yellowthroat, great horned owl, hairy woodpecker, hooded oriole, horned lark, marsh wren, mule deer, olive-sided flycatcher, ring-billed gull, song sparrow, striped skunk, western bluebird, white-breasted nuthatch, and Wilson’s warbler. A mitigating factor in our findings of these species only at control sites was the fact that we surveyed twice the number of control sites compared to impact sites.

4.3. Evidence of Ongoing Cumulative Effects of Urbanization

Before- and after-phase surveys at control sites revealed a trend that was likely more indicative of cumulative effects at landscape scales, as these surveys were of equal number and free of onsite development. Despite our average detections of about 2–3 additional species after our second surveys at control sites, and despite our average counts of 26% more birds in the absence of site-specific development, in our follow-up surveys we detected 56% fewer special-status species, and we counted 44% fewer animals of special-status species. During our study, special-status species of vertebrate wildlife appeared to have been on the decline within the regions of our study. These declines indicate that project-specific mitigation measures have been failing to avoid cumulative impacts.

4.4. Potential Biases

We endeavored to design and implement our study to minimize the effects of bias and error by standardizing site-specific survey dates, start times, survey duration, and survey methods. Where we walked a transect along the perimeter of a site during the first survey, we tried to repeat the walk of the same transect during the second survey. We surveyed most sites the second time with the same investigator, or both of us, as we had surveyed the first time. However, there was variation in the survey methods between sites, most notably the survey duration. We attempted to adjust our survey findings for variation in the survey duration by best-fitting a nonlinear model to each survey’s increase in the cumulative number of detected species with the increasing time into the survey. From each model, we predicted the number of species detected after one hour of surveying, which was enough time to predict a substantial number of species but also well within the range of survey durations that we completed among the project sites. Nevertheless, the ANOVA model’s residuals derived from model-predicted numbers of species detected after 1 h continued to weakly increase with the increasing survey duration among project sites (Figure 11b). We did not eliminate the effects of survey duration. We do not believe that the remaining effect of survey duration significantly affected our study results, but we note this effect for designing future studies of the effects of urbanization on wildlife. The effect was stronger without the model-based adjustments, but the model-based adjustments appear to have been sample-dependent. The duration of the survey affects the pattern of the increasing cumulative number of species with the increasing survey duration, and hence affects the nonlinear model fit to the pattern. It might be possible to standardize the pattern in the cumulative number of species detected by standardizing Watson’s [33] results-based stopping rule, or by standardizing the survey duration [47]. If the latter, then we recommend a relatively long survey duration, such as ≥2 h.
Another potential bias is the change in detection rates of wildlife species after the project sites were developed. Our probability of detecting the average bird was likely higher after the available perches transitioned from trees and shrubs to light standards on parking lots and the rooflines of warehouses. The detection likelihood might have increased after opportunities to view flying birds transitioned from views of complex environmental backgrounds to the walls of warehouses, although the environmental backgrounds of most of our project sites were rather simple. At some sites, the landscaping around warehouses and other new structures comprising the project might have been simpler than the pre-construction environments, thus better enabling us to detect an animal on those portions of the project site had the animals been present. Although we acknowledge this potential bias, the amount of survey time we committed to each site gave us ample opportunity to detect the species of wildlife that were truly there at the times of both of our surveys. At developed sites, our rates of detection of wildlife species were much slower (Figure 8) and the total numbers of species detected were fewer (Table 2 and Table 3), but we believe that these differences more likely reflected biological conditions than they did our survey detection rates.
Another potential bias was the differential detection rates among species of wildlife. We likely disproportionately detected the most readily detectable species, while failing to detect those species that are smallest in body size, nocturnal, fossorial, and more cryptic. Furthermore, the numerical abundances we attributed to the species we detected likely often differed from the true numerical abundances, even within the spatial and temporal scopes of our surveys. Whereas our counts of animals might have more often approached the true numbers of the largest-bodied species, such as red-tailed hawks (Buteo jamaicensis) and mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus), they likely under-represented the smaller-bodied species, such as sparrows, warblers, western fence lizards, and Belding’s orange-throated whiptails.
Our baseline settings in the before-phase surveys were far from pristine at most project sites, but they nevertheless served as baselines for measuring changes brought about by construction of buildings to the number of vertebrate species detected and to our counts of live animals, which we intended to indicate, respectively, as species richness and relative abundance. We use the term “indicate” here because we recognize that we did not truly measure species richness nor true abundance, as multiple potential biases and errors prevented such measurement [48]. On the other hand, our surveys were of sufficient duration to detect most of the diurnal bird species that would have been available to us at each site at the times of our surveys [47].

5. Conclusions

By use of an experiment including control sites, we found that development projects directly and substantially reduced vertebrate wildlife species richness and wildlife abundance. Vertebrate wildlife species most affected by development in California were terrestrial species, as well as grassland birds, raptors, and special-status species. We also found that special-status species declined on control sites even in the absence of site-specific development, which indicates widespread ineffectiveness of project-level mitigation measures, and hence cumulative impacts from regionwide urbanization. More needs to be learned as soon as possible about the impacts of urbanization on wildlife. Experiments need to be designed with the use of control sites to more directly measure project-level effects, and with sampling plots to monitor regional effects of urbanization.
To follow-up on Marzluff’s [18] recommendation, and to take advantage of the opportunities to measure the effects of development projects on wildlife, the California Environmental Quality Act should be amended to require that reconnaissance surveys be repeated in each season of the year preceding the public circulation of an environmental review document. The required mitigation plan should include funding for post-construction reconnaissance surveys of the same methods, number, and seasonal spacing to more robustly represent the wildlife community before and after development. The CEQA should be further amended to require a sufficient funding allocation from each project applicant that would be directed to control sites, which should also be integrated into cumulative effects monitoring. Whereas the CEQA requires a cumulative impacts analysis, data needed to analyze the cumulative impacts to wildlife usually do not exist, and thus consultants’ analyses of cumulative impacts are speculative. Since long-term monitoring is often not required, and thus not performed, the consultants’ conclusions about the cumulative impacts cannot be confirmed nor denied. Long-term monitoring would give all parties involved a better understanding of how to analyze the cumulative impacts, because we would have a better understanding of how development truly affects each species. A cumulative impacts fund should be administered by a trusted party to ensure that unbiased, qualified biologists implement long-term monitoring of wildlife within a spatial area that can meaningfully inform of cumulative effects.
To soften the impacts of urbanization on wildlife, the CEQA should be amended to require the use of native and xeric-adapted plants in landscaping, i.e., chaparral, grassland, and locally appropriate scrub plants, as opposed to landscaping with lawn and exotic shrubs. Native plants offer more structure, cover, food resources, and breeding substrates for wildlife than landscaping with lawn [49,50] and increase the abundance and diversity of birds, especially native birds [51,52,53,54]. Landscaping with native plants is a way to interconnect patches of habitat for wildlife [55,56].
The CEQA should also be amended to require project applicants to contribute funding to wildlife rehabilitation facilities. As projects are built, and wildlife are subsequently injured by the windows of buildings, project-generated traffic, and free-ranging house cats of new residents, wildlife rehabilitation facilities should be provided the resources they need to attempt to rectify these types of project impacts.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, K.S.S.; methodology, K.S.S. and N.L.S.; formal analysis, K.S.S.; investigation, K.S.S. and N.L.S.; writing—original draft, K.S.S. and N.L.S.; writing—review and editing, N.L.S.; supervision, K.S.S. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The research specific to this study received no external funding, but all the surveys in the before phase of the experiment were funded by the authors’ clients who had interests in the outcomes of the proposed projects. All but one of the surveys in the after phase were self-funded.

Data Availability Statement

Data supporting the reported results can be requested from the authors.

Acknowledgments

We thank our clients for funding the initial survey at each site of the proposed development projects. We also thank the two anonymous peer reviewers for their very helpful reviews of earlier drafts of this manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

We declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Project site and survey attributes.
Table A1. Project site and survey attributes.
PairTreatment LevelPhaseSurvey Minutes ComparedProjectLocationProposed UseSurvey DateStart TimeHaConditions on the Ground
1ControlBefore6411th Street DevelopmentUplandWarehouse8 November 20206:401.98Ruderal scrub around old cement pad
1ControlAfter6411th Street DevelopmentUplandWarehouse24 November 20216:431.98Same as above
2ControlBefore1354150 Point Eden Way Industrial Development HaywardWarehouse11 May 20216:404.37Grassland bounded by salt ponds, including those of Eden Landing Reserve, CA Highway 92, and industrial warehouses
2ControlAfter1354150 Point Eden Way Industrial Development HaywardWarehouse10 May 20227:124.37Same as above
3ControlBefore135Airport Business CentreMantecaWarehouse28 April 202116:179.51Mowed hay bordered on the north by warehouses
3ControlAfter135Airport Business CentreMantecaWarehouse28 March 202216:319.51Unmowed hay bordered on the north and west by warehouses
4ImpactBefore50Almond Street WarehouseFontanaWarehouse27 April 20199:254.05Former parking lot with ornamental trees
4ImpactAfter50Almond Street WarehouseFontanaWarehouse25 April 20228:504.05Warehouse
5ControlBefore105Alta CuveeRancho CucamongaResidential4 September 20216:542.55Highly disturbed dirt field with low shrubs and non-native grass
5ControlAfter105Alta CuveeRancho CucamongaResidential30 August 20227:042.55Same as above
6ControlBefore163Amare ApartmentsMartinezResidential4 June 201817:172.45Disked woodland savannah
6ControlAfter163Amare ApartmentsMartinezResidential19 July 202117:072.45Same as above
7ControlBefore130Antonio Mountain RanchPlacer CountyResidential18 November 200214:30359.00Grassland/vernal pool complex with riparian
7ControlAfter130Antonio Mountain RanchPlacer CountyResidential16 November 202114:45359.00Same as above
8ImpactBefore135Brokaw CampusSan JoseCorporate Campus16 November 201812:456.78Disked with ruderal cover
8ImpactAfter135Brokaw CampusSan JoseCorporate Campus30 October 202112:426.78Four tall buildings
9ControlBefore80Casmalia and LindenRialtoWarehouse21 June 20206:102.77Grassland and shrubs
9 aControlAfter80Casmalia and LindenRialtoWarehouse31 July 20216:122.77Grassland and shrubs
10ImpactBefore94CenterPoint MantecaWarehouse31 October 201816:159.12Ruderal vegetation subsequent to grading
10ImpactAfter94CenterPoint MantecaWarehouse11 November 202115:269.12Warehouse with parking lot
11ImpactBefore100Cessna and Aviator WarehouseVacavilleWarehouse12 August 201818:005.21Disked annual grassland
11ImpactAfter100Cessna and Aviator WarehouseVacavilleWarehouse31 August 202218:075.21Warehouse and parking lot
12ControlBefore95Cordelia IndustrialCordeliaWarehouse16 October 201915:5413.11Disked annual grassland with some regrowth next to riparian
12ControlAfter95Cordelia IndustrialCordeliaWarehouse7 October 202112:3813.11Disked annual grassland next to riparian; new houses on west side
13ControlBefore165Davidon HomesPetalumaResidential11 February 20217:4123.74Grassland and riparian oak woodland
13ControlAfter165Davidon HomesPetalumaResidential1 March 20227:3323.74Same as above
14ControlBefore54Aggie Research Campus DavisResidential13 April 202018:3974.90Planted sugarbeets, wheat, almonds
14ControlAfter54Aggie Research Campus DavisResidential2 April 202218:3374.90Wheat, dirt furrows, planted sugarbeets
15ControlBefore93Del Rey Pointe Residential ProjectPlaya Del ReyResidential31 October 201914:071.16Ruderal vegetation bordered by Eucalyptus and 3 concrete-lined streams
15ControlAfter93Del Rey Pointe Residential ProjectPlaya Del ReyResidential18 October 202113:541.16Ruderal vegetation undergoing clearing by tractor; bordered by Eucalyptus and 3 concrete-lined streams
16ImpactBefore122GLP StoreMatherWarehouse12 February 20206:563.76Annual grassland
16ImpactAfter122GLP Store MatherWarehouse18 February 20227:093.76Warehouse
17ImpactBefore90Green Valley IIFairfieldResidential18 November 20199:005.39Disked grassland with 1 oak and bordered by shrubs
17ImpactAfter90Green Valley IIFairfieldResidential7 December 20219:475.39Nearly built warehouse and apartments
18ControlBefore120Hillcrest LRDPBachman CanyonNone9 November 20197:0012.95Diegan coastal sage scrub
18ControlAfter120Hillcrest LRDPBachman CanyonNone11 December 20217:1112.95Same as above
19ControlBefore90IKEA OutletDublinWarehouse retail26 March 201811:1511.11Ruderal and annual grassland
19ControlAfter90IKEA OutletDublinWarehouse retail25 March 20229:5311.11Ruderal and annual grassland; tractors and trucks onsite, and about 15% to 20% is graded
20ControlBefore110Jersey Industrial ComplexRancho CucamongaWarehouse16 June 20216:262.99Ruderal vegetation on disturbed soil, surrounded by warehouses and major roads and railroad tracks
20ControlAfter110Jersey Industrial ComplexRancho CucamongaWarehouse11 July 20226:302.99Previously disked, non-native grass present, surrounded by warehouses and major roads and railroad tracks
21ControlBefore120Johnson Drive Economic ZonePleasantonWarehouse retail, hotel29 July 201917:3816.19Mix of developed structures, vacant lots, and grassland
21ControlAfter120Johnson Drive Economic ZonePleasantonWarehouse retail, hotel26 July 202117:4616.19Same as above
22ControlBefore195KassisRancho CordovaResidential3 December 20207:4716.51Disked grassland and abandoned walnuts
22ControlAfter195KassisRancho CordovaResidential2 November 20217:3916.51Same as above
24ControlBefore70Lake HomeLodiResidential13 March 20198:283.56Abandoned orchard
24ControlAfter70Lake HomeLodiResidential25 March 20227:263.56Same as above
25ImpactBefore92LDK Warehouse VacavilleWarehouse10 November 20187:5027.88Disked annual grassland, riparian
25ImpactAfter92LDK Warehouse VacavilleWarehouse13 November 20217:5327.88Operational warehouse and nearly completed empty warehouse
26ControlBefore127Legacy HighlandsBeaumont, upper Residential4 May 202117:39647.50Sage scrub
26ControlAfter127Legacy HighlandsBeaumont, upper Residential24 April 202217:34647.50Sage scrub
27ControlBefore189Legacy HighlandsBeaumont, lower Residential5 May 20216:02647.50Riparian, grassland, sage scrub
27ControlAfter189Legacy HighlandsBeaumont, lower Residential26 April 20226:02647.50Riparian, grassland, sage scrub
28ImpactBefore90Logisticenter at VacavilleVacavilleWarehouse1 September 20187:505.68Disked annual grassland
28ImpactAfter90Logisticenter at VacavilleVacavilleWarehouse5 September 20217:485.68Warehouse surrounded by warehouses on 3 sides, disked on 4th side
29ControlBefore100Mango AvenueFontanaWarehouse24 January 20217:332.35Ruderal grassland
29ControlAfter100Mango AvenueFontanaWarehouse13 February 20227:252.35Ruderal grassland
30ControlBefore112Vista MarPacificaResidential20 August 20206:590.53Trees, shrubs, grassland
30ControlAfter112Vista MarPacificaResidential15 September 20217:170.53Trees, shrubs, grassland
31ControlBefore75Marriott HotelHarbor Bay Parkway, AlamedaHotel16 November 201815:182.23Ruderal cover on disked field lined by trees
31ControlAfter75Marriott HotelHarbor Bay Parkway, AlamedaHotel30 October 202114:542.23Same as above
32ControlBefore188Mather South MasterplanMatherResidential16 February 20198:02343.17Annual grassland, wetland, riparian
32ControlAfter188Mather South MasterplanMatherResidential6 February 20227:20343.17Same as above
33ImpactBefore145Monte Vista WarehouseVacavilleWarehouse23 June 20196:484.67Disked grassland with volunteer shrubs/trees
33ImpactAfter145Monte Vista WarehouseVacavilleWarehouse16 June 20216:484.67Nearly completely constructed warehouse; field to west under construction wtih pad
34ImpactBefore70Morton Salt PlantNewarkWarehouse8 May 201816:5812.10Abandoned salt ponds
34ImpactAfter70Morton Salt PlantNewarkWarehouse3 June 202116:2012.10Warehouses next to row of Eucalyptus
35ImpactBefore75Natomas CrossingNatomasCommercial30 June 201819:0027.60Feral grassland on disked soil
35ImpactAfter75Natomas CrossingNatomasCommercial9 June 202118:3027.60New buildings and parking lots; field to east was disked
36ControlBefore90Nova Business ParkNapaWarehouse15 July 201818:509.39Annual grassland and riparian forest
36ControlAfter90Nova Business ParkNapaWarehouse14 July 202118:199.39Annual grassland and riparian forest, but early grading for project over past month or two and lots of development in surrounding area
37ImpactBefore70Oakley Logistics CenterOakleyWarehouse22 November 20198:04152.04Marsh, grassland, riparian, disturbed
37ImpactAfter70Oakley Logistics CenterOakleyWarehouse7 December 20217:55152.04Warehouses and parking lots
38ControlBefore90Olympic Holding Inland Center San BernardinoWarehouse1 December 20198:182.12Barren ground and ruderal vegetation lined by trees
38 bControlAfter90Olympic Holding Inland Center San BernardinoWarehouse6 December 20218:242.12Barren ground and ruderal vegetation lined by trees
39ControlBefore75PARS Global StorageMuriettaWarehouse31 October 201910:061.28Shrubs, grass, trees
39ControlAfter75PARS Global StorageMuriettaWarehouse19 October 202110:021.28Shrubs, grass, trees
40ControlBefore177Regional UniversityRosevilleUniversity15 January 2008 a16:10468.42Annual grasslands, vernal pools
40 cControlAfter165Regional UniversityRosevilleUniversity12 January 2022 a15:13468.42Annual grasslands, vernal pools
41ImpactBefore150Rider Warehouse PerrisWarehouse22 July 20196:553.89Disked annual grassland
41 dImpactAfter150Rider WarehousePerrisWarehouse28 March 20216:503.89Warehouse
42ControlBefore138Clover ProjectPetalumaResidential13 July 202017:241.36Grassland with a few mature trees, next to Petaluma River
42ControlAfter138Clover ProjectPetalumaResidential22 July 202117:301.36Grassland with a few mature trees, next to Petaluma River
43ControlBefore135Ruby StreetCastro ValleyMulti-family housing17 October 20207:232.55Grass meadow next to riparian forest of San Lorenzo Creek and otherwise surrounded by residential
43ControlAfter135Ruby StreetCastro ValleyMulti-family housing10 September 20217:402.55Grass meadow next to riparian forest of San Lorenzo Creek and otherwise surrounded by residential
44ControlBefore295San Pedro MountainPacificaResidential3 June 20216:009.45Eucalyptus/Monterey Pine forest and Coyote bush scrub
44ControlAfter295San Pedro MountainPacificaResidential6 June 20226:369.45Eucalyptus/Monterey Pine forest and Coyote bush scrub
45ControlBefore60Santa Maria Airport Business ParkSanta MariaOffice complex9 April 20217:1411.33Strawberries with Eucalyptus woodland border
45ControlAfter60Santa Maria Airport Business ParkSanta MariaOffice complex11 May 20228:0311.33Strawberries with Eucalyptus woodland border
46ImpactBefore60Scheu WarehouseRancho CucamongoWarehouse31 October 20198:025.35Mowed grassland
46ImpactAfter60Scheu WarehouseRancho CucamongaWarehouse19 October 20218:075.35Warehouse with dirt mound on west side
47ImpactBefore61Seefried WarehouseLathropWarehouse20 November 20198:234.65Disked grassland
47ImpactAfter61Seefried WarehouseLathropWarehouse17 November 20219:444.65Warehouse and parking lot
48ImpactBefore100Shoe PalaceMorgan HillWarehouse16 November 20189:4515.40Annual grassland
48ImpactAfter100Shoe PalaceMorgan HillWarehouse30 October 202110:1515.40Warehouse and parking lot with strip of planted shrubs
49ImpactBefore60South HaywardHaywardResidential14 April 201817:0010.42Annual grass either side of water channel
49ImpactAfter60South HaywardHaywardResidential3 June 202118:0610.42Residential development either side of water channel
50ControlBefore165Sun Lakes Village North BanningWarehouse9 November 20207:1519.03Annual grassland with willow patch and buckwheat scrub
50ControlAfter165Sun Lakes Village North BanningWarehouse23 November 20216:5519.03Annual grassland with willow patch and buckwheat scrub
51ImpactBefore90The PromenadeCarmichaelCommercial1 October 20029:254.13Woodland savannah
51ImpactAfter90The PromenadeCarmichaelCommercial13 October 20219:224.13Commercial strip/parking lots
52ControlBefore210UCSF Parnassus Campus and Sutro ParkSan FranciscoUniversity expansion20 August 20208:1767.99Campus; forested
52ControlAfter210UCSF Parnassus Campus and Sutro ParkSan FranciscoUniversity expansion16 July 20219:1467.99Campus; forested
53ControlBefore110Veterans Affairs Clinic BakersfieldVA Clinic20 January 20218:004.07Recently burned annual grassland
53ControlAfter110Veterans Affairs Clinic BakersfieldVA Clinic11 January 20227:214.07Annual grassland
55ImpactBefore150Winter’s Highlands and Callahan EstatesWintersResidential18 May 20049:2060.70Annual grassland
55ImpactAfter150Winter’s Highlands and Callahan EstatesWintersResidential11 June 20219:0460.70Residential
56ControlBefore75Hayward Regional ShorelineHaywardNone31 January 201814:45734.50Coastal scrub and wetlands
56ControlAfter75Hayward Regional ShorelineHaywardNone23 January 202214:50734.50Coastal scrub and wetlands
57ImpactBefore75Winton Ave Industrial ProjectHaywardWarehouse31 January 201814:459.47Vacant lot with old concrete pads surrounded by ruderal vegetation
57ImpactAfter75Winton Ave Industrial ProjectHaywardWarehouse23 January 202216:079.47Warehouse
59ControlBefore107Woodland Research ParkSouth of WoodlandResidential30 June 202118:04156.61Agricultural field crops and woodland/savannah between residential and Highway 113
59ControlAfter107Woodland Research ParkSouth of WoodlandResidential13 July 202217:56156.61Agricultural field crops and woodland/savannah between residential and Highway 113
60ControlBefore155Yuba HighlandsSpenceville WMRAResidential12 November 200613:001174.40Annual grassland, oak woodland, riparian; east of proposed project
60ControlAfter155Yuba HighlandsSpenceville WMRAResidential20 November 202113:551174.40Annual grassland, oak woodland, riparian
61ImpactBefore60Zeiss Innovation CenterDublinOffice commercial8 February 201810:504.60Annual grassland
61ImpactAfter60Zeiss Innovation CenterDublinOffice commercial3 February 202110:384.60Mid-rise buildings and parking lots nearly completed
62ControlBefore133Fairway Business ParkLake ElsinoreWarehouse1 December 20217:123.56Non-native grassland and ruderal shrubs
62ControlAfter133Fairway Business ParkLake ElsinoreWarehouse8 December 20227:153.56Annual grass and shrubs, and mule fat and salt cedar
63ImpactBefore51First Industrial Logistics Center IIMoreno ValleyWarehouse28 February 202013:253.93Ruderal grassland with piles of dirt and debris from neighboring development
63ImpactAfter51First Industrial Logistics Center IIMoreno ValleyWarehouse5 February 202313:253.93Warehouse landscaped with low shrubs and ornamental trees
64ControlBefore118HagemonBakersfieldWarehouse9 January 202215:2031.95Annual grassland that had been disked within last few years
64ControlAfter118HagemonBakersfieldWarehouse4 February 202315:3231.95Annual grassland that had been disked again recently
65ControlBefore98Operon HKIPerrisWarehouse21 November 20217:033.52Mowed grassland surrounded by warehouses
65ControlAfter98Operon HKIPerrisWarehouse9 December 20227:223.52Annual grass and prickly Russian thistle surrounded by warehouses
66ControlBefore162Brawley Solar Energy FacilityBrawleyUtility-scale solar4 February 20226:5291.86Alfalfa, ruderal, Atriplex, Tamarisk, and Sueda along railroad tracks
66 eControlAfter162Brawley Solar Energy FacilityBrawleyUtility-scale solar22 February 20236:2291.86Alfalfa, ruderal, Atriplex, Tamarisk, and Sueda along railroad tracks
67ControlBefore210Rio Del OroRancho CordovaResidential25 May 2008 b19:301549.14Annual grassland, wetland, oak woodland
67 fControlAfter208Rio Del OroRancho CordovaResidential13 June 2021 b18:581549.14Same as above, but bordered by new grading to the west and houses to the east and south
68ImpactBefore93San Bernardino Logistics Center San BernardinoWarehouse25 January 20188:008.22Feral grassland on disked soil
68ImpactAfter93San Bernardino Logistics Center San BernardinoWarehouse8 February 20237:128.22Warehouse
70ControlBefore95The Ranch at EastvaleEastvaleWarehouse9 January 20209:227.08Disked grassland bordered by irrigated, planted native plants, shrubs, trees
70ControlAfter95The Ranch at EastvaleEastvaleWarehouse6 February 20238:587.08Warehouses with landscaped shrubs and trees
71ControlBefore156Alviso HotelAlvisoHotel1 April 20226:442.52Wetland and ruderal vegetation
71ControlAfter156Alviso HotelAlvisoHotel6 April 20237:122.52Wetland and ruderal vegetation
72ControlBefore146Conejo SummitThousand OaksBiotech industrial buildings7 March 202215:1820.17Annual grassland, sage scrub dominated by California buckwheat, California sagebrush, coyote brush, deerweed
72ControlAfter146Conejo SummitThousand OaksBiotech industrial buildings2 April 202315:1820.17Annual grassland, sage scrub dominated by California buckwheat, California sagebrush, coyote brush, deerweed
73ControlBefore147Gillespie FieldEl CajonWarehouse13 March 20216:4812.83Annual grassland, San Diegan sage scrub
73ControlAfter147Gillespie FieldEl CajonWarehouse29 March 20236:5612.83Annual grassland, San Diegan sage scrub
75ControlBefore130GreentreeVacavilleResidential25 May 20225:3176.65Disked abandoned golf course with dead and living trees and dried wetlands
75ControlAfter130GreentreeVacavilleResidential18 May 20235:3776.65Freshly disked abandoned golf course with more dead trees, some removed
76ControlBefore60Amazing 34San BernardinoWarehouse25 April 202210:181.55Demolished buildings and annual grassland and ornamental trees around pads
76ControlAfter60Amazing 34San BernardinoWarehouse22 May 202310:081.55Demolished buildings and annual grassland and ornamental trees around pads
77ControlBefore139Haun and HollandMenifeeWarehouse6 June 20206:0615.00Annual grassland and ruderal vegetation
77ControlAfter139Haun and HollandMenifeeWarehouse22 May 20236:1315.00Annual grassland and ruderal vegetation
78ImpactBefore120Hillcrest LRDPUCSD, Hillcroft CampusCampus redevelopment9 November 20197:0012.95Riparian, Eucalyptus
78ImpactAfter120Hillcrest LRDPUCSD Hillcroft CampusCampus redevelopment11 December 20217:1112.95New buildings and construction underway on campus
79ControlBefore195Diamond Street WarehouseSan MarcosWarehouse25 June 20215:599.31Coastal sage scrub with grown-over disturbed area in central aspect
79ControlAfter195Diamond Street WarehouseSan MarcosWarehouse14 June 20236:359.31Coastal sage scrub with grown-over disturbed area in central aspect
80ImpactBefore80Casmalia and LindenRialtoWarehouse31 July 20216:122.77Grassland and shrubs
80ImpactAfter80Casmalia and LindenRialtoWarehouse8 July 20236:122.77Warehouses with landscaping
81ControlBefore135Fore ApartmentsOxnardResidential26 June 20226:401.71Mowed annual grassland with a few peripheral trees
81ControlAfter135Fore ApartmentsOxnardResidential15 July 20236:541.71Ruderal grassland around graded plots
82Impact 148Scannell PropertiesRichmondWarehouses13 July 202117:5011.90Ruderal grassland around graded plots
82Impact 148Scannell PropertiesRichmondWarehouses16 July 202317:4511.90Operational warehouse and nearly completed empty warehouse
a The site was used twice in the experiment, once as a control site and then as an impact site. N.L.S. surveyed this site twice before it was developed into a warehouse, so the first two surveys represented the control treatment. She completed a third survey after the site was developed, so based on the second and third surveys we also treated the site as an impact treatment. b Whereas both of us surveyed the site in 2019, N.L.S. surveyed it alone in 2021. c The survey in the before phase consisted of two surveys separated by 6 days. Since the species detected were lumped between the two surveys, we could not single out the first survey date for comparison. Therefore, we treated the survey in the after phase the same way by completing a second survey 7 days after the first survey. Shown in the Appendix are only the dates and start times of the first survey in both phases. The second surveys in both phases were completed 6 and 7 days later, respectively, on 21 January 2008 and 12 January 2021, and the combined survey duration between the before and after phases differed by only 12 min. d We did not quantify our defined metrics from the unconstrained viewshed, because our survey extended too far beyond the Rider project footprint and, therefore, included too many animals that were less likely to have been directed affected by the project. We did, however, quantify our metrics for the onsite comparisons, because we had carefully noted which species were onsite. Additionally, one of us (N.L.S.) surveyed the site alone in the after phase, whereas both of us surveyed the site in the before phase. The season of the second survey did not match the season of the first (March instead of July), because the second survey was in response to a client request to survey the adjacent property and had to be completed in March 2021. e Whereas K.S.S. surveyed the site alone in 2022, both of us surveyed it in 2023. f The survey in the before phase consisted of two surveys separated by 3 days. Since the species detected were lumped between the two surveys, we could not single out the first survey date for comparison. Therefore, we treated the survey in the after phase similarly by completing a second survey 20 days after the first survey. Shown in the Appendix are only the dates and start times of the first survey in both phases. The second surveys in both phases were completed 3 and 20 days later, respectively, on 21 January 2008 and 3 July 2021, and the combined survey duration between the before and after phases differed by only 2 min.
Table A2. Frequency of detection of each species among the surveys in the experimental treatment groups of control-before, control-after, impact-before, and impact-after. Measures of the effect of development appear in the right column for those species with sufficient sample sizes or special status.
Table A2. Frequency of detection of each species among the surveys in the experimental treatment groups of control-before, control-after, impact-before, and impact-after. Measures of the effect of development appear in the right column for those species with sufficient sample sizes or special status.
Species Scientific NameType 1Status 2Control (n = 52)Impact (n = 26)Effect (%)
BeforeAfterBeforeAfter
Abert’s towheeMelozone aberti 1100
Acorn woodpeckerMelanerpes formicivorus 61200
Alameda song sparrowMelospiza melodia pusillula BCC, SSC21000
Allen’s hummingbirdSelasphorus sasin BCC91000
American avocetRecurvirostra americanus BCC *0100
American beaverCastor canadensis 0100
American bitternBotaurus lentiginosus 1000
American cootFulica americana 3500
American crowCorvus brachyrhynchosS 41382421−6
American goldfinchSpinus tristis 181084−10
American kestrelFalco sparveriusRBOP2022145−68
American pipitAnthus rubescensG 4910
American robinTurdus migratorius 151251−75
American wigeonMareca americana 1300
Anna’s hummingbirdCalypte annaS 354012159
Ash-throated flycatcherMyiarchus cinerascens 5501
Baja California treefrogPseudacris hypochondriaca 1200
Bald eagleHaliaeetus leucocephalusRCE, BGEPA, CFP1101
Band-tailed pigeonPatagioenas fasciata 1100
Barn swallowHirundo rustica 91354−45
Bat sp. 1000
Belted kingfisherCeryle alcyon 2200
Bewick’s wrenThryomanes bewickii 10710
Black-chinned hummingbirdSayornis nigricans 3100
Black-crowned night-heronNycticorax nycticorax 2011
Black-headed grosbeakArchilochus alexandri 2110
Black-necked stiltNycticorax nycticorax 3400
Black-tailed gnatcatcherPheucticus melanocephalus TWL1100
Black-tailed jackrabbitHimantopus mexicanus 6361−67
Black-throated gray warblerPolioptila melanura 0110
Black phoebeLepus californicusS 302211912
Blue-gray gnatcatcherPasserina caerulea 3400
Blue grosbeakPolioptila caerulea 0120
BobcatFelis rufus 4200
Botta’s pocket gopherThomomys bottae 243180−100
Brewer’s blackbirdEuphagus cyanocephalus 91364−54
Brewer’s sparrowSpizella breweri 0100
Broad-footed moleScapanus latimanus 0200
Brown-headed cowbirdMolothrus ater 93310
Bryant’s Savannah sparrowPasserculus sandwichensis alaudinusGSSC31000
Bryant’s woodratNeotoma bryanti 1200
BuffleheadBucephala albeola 2100
Bullock’s orioleIcterus bullockii BCC3210
Burrowing owlAthene cuniculariaR, GBCC, SSC2, BOP3110−100
BushtitPsaltriparus minimus 192142−55
Cactus wrenCampylorhynchus brunneicapillus 1100
California brown pelicanPelicanus occidentalis californicus CFP1200
California gnatcatcherPolioptila c. californica FT, SSC24100
California ground squirrelOtospermophilus beecheyi 182480−100
California gullLarus californicus BCC, TWL2215111033
California horned larkEremophila alpestris actiaGTWL1300
California quailCallipepla californica 61030−100
California scrub-jayAphelocoma californica 1925109−32
California thrasherToxostoma redivivum BCC4300
California towheeMelozone crissalis 191852−58
California voleMicrotus californicus 5520−100
Calliope hummingbirdStellula calliope 1000
Canada gooseBranta canadensis 121954−50
Cassin’s kingbirdTyrannus vociferans 81020−100
Cattle egretBubulcus ibis 1100
Cedar waxwingBombycilla cedrorum 3430−100
Chestnut-backed chickadeePoecile rufescens 6601
Chipping sparrowSpizella passerina 1110
Cinnamon tealSpatula cyanoptera 1200
Cliff swallowPetrochelidon pyrrhonota 101444−29
Common goldeneyeBucephala clangula 1000
Common ground doveColumbina passerina 1000
Common merganserMergus merganser 1000
Common ravenCorvus coraxS 33341110−12
Common yellowthroatGeothlypis trichas 2500
Cooper’s hawkAccipiter cooperiiRTWL, BOP13103473
Costa’s hummingbirdCalypte costae BCC1000
CoyoteCanis latrans 151120−100
Dark-eyed juncoJunco hyemalis 7731−67
Deer mousePeromyscus maniculatus 0100
Desert cottontailSylvilagus audubonii 12721−14
Domestic dogCanis familiaris 2000
Double-crested cormorantNannopterum auritum TWL131042−35
Downy woodpeckerDryobates pubescens 2510
Eared grebePodiceps nigricollis 0100
Eastern fox squirrelSciurus niger 2300
Eastern gray squirrelSciurus carolinensis 3431−75
Egyptian gooseAlopochen aegyptiacus 0001
Eurasian collared-doveStreptopelia decaoctoS 18231513−32
European starlingSturnus vulgarisS 28352010−60
Evening grosbeakCoccothraustes vespertinus 0110
Ferruginous hawkButeo regalisRTWL, BOP0120
Forster’s ternSterna forstreri 1201
Fox sparrowPasserella iliaca 0010
GadwallAnas strepera 1100
Gambel’s quailCallipepla gambelii 1100
Glaucous-winged gullLarus glaucescens 1110
Golden eagleAquila chrysaetosRBGEPA, CFP, BOP, TWL0200
Golden-crowned sparrowZonotrichia atricapilla 1410
Gopher snakePituophis melanoleucus 1000
Granite spiny lizardSceloporus orcutti 1100
Grasshopper sparrowAmmodramus savannarumGSSC21100
Gray foxUrocyon cinereoargenteus 2100
Great Basin fence lizardSceloporus occidentalis longipes 2200
Great blue heronArdea herodias 9710
Great egretArdea alba 171271−80
Great horned owlBubo virginianusRBOP5300
Greater roadrunnerGeococcyx californianus 1300
Greater white-fronted gooseAnser albifrons 1000
Greater yellowlegsTringa melanoleuca 2100
Great-tailed grackleQuiscalus mexicanus 3230−100
Green heronButorides virescens 1100
Hairy woodpeckerDryobates villosus 3400
Harbor sealPhoca vitulina 1100
Herring gullLarus argentatus 2020
Hooded merganserLophodytes cucullatus 0100
Hooded orioleIcterus cucullatus 3500
Horned grebePodiceps auritus 2000
Horned larkEremophila alpestrisG 4700
House catFelis catus 533211
House finchHaemorphous mexicanusS 45461812−35
House sparrowPasser domesticusS 10975−21
House wrenTroglodytes aedon 1200
Hutton’s vireoVireo huttoni 3110
Kangaroo ratDipodomys sp. 4400
KilldeerCharadrius vociferusG 161390−100
Large-billed savannah sparrowPasserculus sandwichensis rostratus SSC21000
Lark sparrowChondestes grammacus 2301
Lawrence’s goldfinchSpinus lawrencei BCC4200
Lazuli buntingPasserina amoena 1200
Least sandpiperCalidris minutilla 1200
Lesser goldfinchSpinus psaltriaS 223264−54
Lesser nighthawkChordeiles acutipennis 1200
Lesser scaupAythya affinis 1000
Lesser yellowlegsTringa flaviceps 0100
Lincoln’s sparrowMelospiza lincolnii 71010
Loggerhead shrikeLanius ludovicianusGSSC22230−100
Long-billed curlewNumenius americanus TWL, BCC *1000
Long-tailed weaselMustella frenata 1000
MacGillivray’s warblerGeothlypus tolmiei 1200
MallardAnas platyrhynchos 171931−70
Marsh wrenCistothorus palustris 3200
MerlinFalco columbariusRTWL, BOP4110
Merriam’s chipmunkNeotamias merriami 1000
Mew gullLarus canus 1000
Mouse sp. 1000
Mountain bluebirdSialia currucoides 1000
Mountain chickadeeParus gambeli 1100
Mountain lionPuma concolor CCT1100
Mourning doveZenaida macrouraS 43432112−43
Mule deerOdocoileus hemionus 7600
MuskratOndatra zibethicus 1000
Mute swanCygnus olor 1110
Nashville warblerVermivora ruficapilla 1100
Northern flickerColaptes auratus 101364−49
Northern harrierCircus hudsoniusR, GBCC, SSC3, BOP8701
Northern mockingbirdMimus polyglottosS 27251613−12
Northern pintailAnas acuta 1000
Northern rough-winged swallowStelgidopteryx serripennis 15940−100
Nutmeg mannikinLonchura punctulata 2200
Nuttall’s woodpeckerDryobates nuttallii BCC81511−47
Oak titmouseBaeolophus inornatus BCC51110
Olive-sided flycatcherContopus cooperi BCC, SSC23200
Orange-crowned warblerLeiothlypis celata 3610
OspreyPandion haliaetusRTWL, BOP2211
Pacific-slope flycatcherEmpidonax difficilis 1200
Pacific wrenTroglodytes pacificus 1200
Pelagic cormorantPhalacrocorax pelagicus 0100
Peregrine falconFalco peregrinusRCFP, BOP5311
PhainopeplaPhainopepla nitens 2300
Pied-billed grebePodilymbus podiceps 2100
Prairie falconFalco mexicanusR, GTWL, BOP1010
Purple finchHaemorhous purpureus 2210
Pygmy nuthatchSitta pygmaea 1200
RaccoonProcyon lotor 3310
Red-breasted nuthatchSitta canadensis 1300
Red-breasted sapsuckerSphyrapicus ruber 1000
Red-masked parakeetPsittacara erythrogenys 0100
Red-necked phalaropePhalaropus lobatus 0100
Red-shouldered hawkButeo lineatusRBOP7341−42
Red-tailed hawkButeo jamaicensisRBOP3544177−67
Red-winged blackbirdAgelaius phoeniceus 141661−85
Red foxVulpes vulpes 1100
Ring-billed gullLarus delawarensis 4700
Ring-necked pheasantPhasianus colchicus 2000
Rock pigeonColumba liviaSNon-native21311815−44
Rose-ringed parakeetPsittacula krameri 0200
Ruby-crowned kingletRegulus calendula 6121350
Ruddy duckOxyura jamaicensis 0100
Rufous hummingbirdSelasphorus rufus BCC 10
San Diegan tiger whiptailAspidoscelis tigris stejnegeri SSC1000
San Francisco common yellowthroatGeothlypis trichas sinuosa BCC, SSC31100
San Francisco dusky-footed woodratNeotoma fuscipes annectens SSC1100
Savannah sparrowPasserculus sandwichensisG 131452−63
Say’s phoebeSayornis sayaG 211564−7
Sharp-shinned hawkAccipiter striatusRTWL, BOP1201
Short-billed dowitcherLimnodromus griseus BCC1000
Short-eared owlAsio flammeusRBCC, SSC3, BOP2000
Side-blotched lizardUta stansburiana 1000
Sierran treefrogPseudacris sierra 3910−100
Snow gooseChen caerulescens 1100
Snowy egretEgretta thula 3401
Song sparrowMelospiza melodia 131500
SoraPorzana carolina 1000
Southern alligator lizardGerrhonotus multicarinatus 2100
Southern California rufous-crowned sparrowAimophila ruficeps canescens TWL2000
Southern mule deerOdocoileus hemionus fuliginatus 1100
Southern Pacific rattlesnakeCrotalus oreganus helleri 1100
Southern sagebrush lizardSceloporus graciosus vandenburgianus 1000
Spotted sandpiperActitis macularius 1100
Spotted towheePipilo maculatus 101100
Steller’s jayCyanocitta stelleri 4300
Striped skunkMephitis mephitis 3300
Surf scoterMelanitta perspicillata 0100
Swainson’s hawkButeo swainsoniRCT, BOP5331−44
Swainson’s thrushCatharus ustulatus 1100
Townsend’s warblerSetophaga townsendi 1210
Tree swallowTachycineta bicolor 6601
Tricolored blackbirdAgelaius tricolorGCT, BCC, SSC12000
Tundra swanCygnus columbianus 1000
Turkey vultureCathartes auraRBOP1721117−49
Vaux’s swiftChaetura vauxi SSC2, BCC0100
VerdinAuriparus flaviceps BCC1100
Vermilion flycatcherPyrocephalus rubinusGSSC21000
Violet-green swallowTachycineta thalassina 3401
Virginia opossumDidelphis virginianus 2000
Warbling vireoVireo gilvus 2100
Western bluebirdSialia mexicana 91200
Western fence lizardSceloporus occidentalis 2621−83
Western gray squirrelSciurus griseus 3501
Western gullLarus occidentalis BCC2611−67
Western kingbirdTyrannus verticalis 10942−44
Western meadowlarkSturnella neglectaG 1823112−86
Western sandpiperCalidris mauri 0100
Western screech-owlMegascops kennicottiiRBOP1000
Western side-blotched lizardUta stansburiana elegans 4500
Western tanagerPiranga ludoviciana 2200
White-breasted nuthatchSitta carolinensis 4600
White-crowned sparrowZonotrichia leucophrys 172394−67
White-faced ibisPlegadis chihi TWL1310
White-tailed kiteElanus leucurusRCFP, BOP14770−100
White-throated swiftAeronautes saxatalis 5320−100
White-winged doveZenaida asiatica 1000
Wild turkeyMeleagris gallopavo 6720−100
WilletTringa semipalmata BCC3300
Willow flycatcherEmpidonax traillii CE0110
Wilson’s snipeGallinago delicata 0210
Wilsons warblerWilsonia pusilla 3600
Wood duckAix sponsa 1000
WrentitChamaea fasciata BCC5600
Yellow-billed magpieSetophaga petechia BCC2130−100
Yellow-headed blackbirdPica nuttalliGSSC31000
Yellow-rumped warblerXanthocephalus xanthocephalusS 212171043
Yellow warblerSetophaga coronata SSC25602
1 G = grassland bird, R = raptor, S = synanthrope. 2 FT or FE = federal threatened or endangered, FC = federal candidate for listing as threatened or endangered, BGEPA = Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act, BCC = U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s Birds of Conservation Concern, CT or CE = California threatened or endangered, CCT or CCE = candidate California threatened or endangered, CFP = California Fully Protected (California Fish and Game Code 3511), SSC = California Species of Special Concern (not threatened with extinction, but rare, very restricted in range, declining throughout range, peripheral portion of species’ range, associated with habitat that is declining in extent), SSC1, SSC2, and SSC3 = California Bird Species of Special Concern priorities 1, 2, and 3, respectively [57], TWL = California Taxa to Watch List, and BOP = Birds of Prey (California Fish and Game Code 3503.5). * Uncertain of range of BCC status based on 2021 Bird of Conservation Concern list.

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Figure 1. Locations of 78 project sites in (a) northern California and (b) southern California where we completed reconnaissance surveys used in a before–after, control–impact (BACI) experiment of the effects of development (habitat loss) on species of vertebrate wildlife. Numbers refer to before and after pairs of surveys, which are described in Table A1.
Figure 1. Locations of 78 project sites in (a) northern California and (b) southern California where we completed reconnaissance surveys used in a before–after, control–impact (BACI) experiment of the effects of development (habitat loss) on species of vertebrate wildlife. Numbers refer to before and after pairs of surveys, which are described in Table A1.
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Figure 2. (a) GLP Warehouse project site on 12 February 2020 (a, top) and 18 February 2022 (a, bottom). (b) First Industrial Warehouse project site on 28 February 2020 (b, top) and 5 February 2023 (b, bottom). (c) Winters Highlands residential project site on 18 May 2004 (c, top) and 11 June 2021 (c, bottom). A pair of burrowing owls are visible in the foreground, center-left aspect of the top photo.
Figure 2. (a) GLP Warehouse project site on 12 February 2020 (a, top) and 18 February 2022 (a, bottom). (b) First Industrial Warehouse project site on 28 February 2020 (b, top) and 5 February 2023 (b, bottom). (c) Winters Highlands residential project site on 18 May 2004 (c, top) and 11 June 2021 (c, bottom). A pair of burrowing owls are visible in the foreground, center-left aspect of the top photo.
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Figure 3. Western meadowlark on the Mango Avenue Warehouse project site in Fontana, despite the ground disturbance caused by human activities.
Figure 3. Western meadowlark on the Mango Avenue Warehouse project site in Fontana, despite the ground disturbance caused by human activities.
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Figure 4. Despite the dominant tree cover of non-native blue gum eucalyptus (Eucalyptus globulus) on Mount Sutro Open Space Reserve, which was one of our control sites, Pacific wren continued to thrive onsite, along with numerous other species of vertebrate wildlife.
Figure 4. Despite the dominant tree cover of non-native blue gum eucalyptus (Eucalyptus globulus) on Mount Sutro Open Space Reserve, which was one of our control sites, Pacific wren continued to thrive onsite, along with numerous other species of vertebrate wildlife.
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Figure 5. Mean and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the model-predicted number of vertebrate wildlife species detected by minute into the reconnaissance survey, and extended to 5 h (a) and only 1 h (b), where for each survey the model fit to the cumulative number of species detected, Y, was of the form: Y = 1 1 a + b × ( X + 1 ) c , where X represents minutes into the survey, and a, b, and c are the best-fit coefficients. The coefficient of determination, r2, averaged among the models fit to the data.
Figure 5. Mean and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the model-predicted number of vertebrate wildlife species detected by minute into the reconnaissance survey, and extended to 5 h (a) and only 1 h (b), where for each survey the model fit to the cumulative number of species detected, Y, was of the form: Y = 1 1 a + b × ( X + 1 ) c , where X represents minutes into the survey, and a, b, and c are the best-fit coefficients. The coefficient of determination, r2, averaged among the models fit to the data.
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Figure 6. A savannah sparrow at the Operon HKI project site in Perris on 21 November 2021, which was the date of the first survey in the before phase. Twice as many savannah sparrows were counted in the second survey at this site, which was not developed. Where projects were developed, development impacts reduced savannah sparrow counts by 63% on average.
Figure 6. A savannah sparrow at the Operon HKI project site in Perris on 21 November 2021, which was the date of the first survey in the before phase. Twice as many savannah sparrows were counted in the second survey at this site, which was not developed. Where projects were developed, development impacts reduced savannah sparrow counts by 63% on average.
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Figure 7. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the number of species detected by 48% (a) and the number of species detected within the bounds of the study site by 66% (b) and increased the number of species detected solely offsite by 334% (c). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
Figure 7. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the number of species detected by 48% (a) and the number of species detected within the bounds of the study site by 66% (b) and increased the number of species detected solely offsite by 334% (c). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
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Figure 8. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the counts of observed animals by 90% (a) and the counts of birds by 91% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
Figure 8. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the counts of observed animals by 90% (a) and the counts of birds by 91% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
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Figure 9. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the number of special-status species detected by 49% (a) and the number of special-status species detected within the bounds of the study site by 58% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
Figure 9. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the number of special-status species detected by 49% (a) and the number of special-status species detected within the bounds of the study site by 58% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
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Figure 10. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the mean model-predicted number of species detected after one hour of surveying by 37% (a), and the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase declined by 74% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
Figure 10. BACI tests revealed that development reduced the mean model-predicted number of species detected after one hour of surveying by 37% (a), and the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase declined by 74% (b). The red dashed arrow points to the expected value had no development impact occurred.
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Figure 11. ANOVA residuals of: (a) number of vertebrate species detected and (b) model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected at one hour regressed on survey duration (minutes).
Figure 11. ANOVA residuals of: (a) number of vertebrate species detected and (b) model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected at one hour regressed on survey duration (minutes).
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Figure 12. ANOVA residuals of model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected at one hour, compared by (a) whether the project site was situated in open space or as infill or redevelopment within developed areas, and by (b) the percentage of the project boundary adjacent to open space.
Figure 12. ANOVA residuals of model-predicted number of vertebrate species detected at one hour, compared by (a) whether the project site was situated in open space or as infill or redevelopment within developed areas, and by (b) the percentage of the project boundary adjacent to open space.
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Figure 13. A Botta’s pocket gopher (left) peers from its burrow system on the Brokaw Campus project site in San Jose on 16 November 2018. This and any other pocket gopher stood no chance of survival following the development of the project, and no evidence of this species was seen during the second survey of 30 October 2021. Although the loggerhead shrike (right) was detected on 23 June 2019 at the Monte Vista Warehouse project site in Vacaville, it was not detected in the follow-up survey on 16 June 2021 after the project was built.
Figure 13. A Botta’s pocket gopher (left) peers from its burrow system on the Brokaw Campus project site in San Jose on 16 November 2018. This and any other pocket gopher stood no chance of survival following the development of the project, and no evidence of this species was seen during the second survey of 30 October 2021. Although the loggerhead shrike (right) was detected on 23 June 2019 at the Monte Vista Warehouse project site in Vacaville, it was not detected in the follow-up survey on 16 June 2021 after the project was built.
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Table 1. Summary of survey, site, and landscape attributes of the 78 project sites we surveyed in California, in 2002–2023, where the treatment levels were: CB = control-before, CA = control-after, IB = impact-before, and IA = impact-after.
Table 1. Summary of survey, site, and landscape attributes of the 78 project sites we surveyed in California, in 2002–2023, where the treatment levels were: CB = control-before, CA = control-after, IB = impact-before, and IA = impact-after.
MetricCB (n = 52)CA (n = 52)IB (n = 26)IA (n = 26)
X ¯ SD X ¯ SD X ¯ SD X ¯ SD
Size of project site (Hectares)131310 16.2530.22
Elevation (m)175214 138243
Northing (m)3,994,623241,749 4,088,256213,973
Urban setting0.550.61 0.770.51
Connectivity (%)35.030.835.030.817.319.715.417.4
Project site disturbance4.122.704.132.705.202.6910.581.65
Rating of suppressive actions1.241.921.512.242.582.475.501.63
Survey duration (minutes)128471254696389638
Years since first survey 2.73.9 4.04.2
Start time difference (minutes) −3.638.0 −2.934.4
Table 2. Mean and standard deviation of the number of species detected and the number of animals counted in the reconnaissance surveys, and the number of sites (N) within the BACI experimental treatment levels: control-before (CB), control-after (CA), impact-before (IB), and impact-after (IA), where impact sites were those at which a proposed project had been developed prior to the survey that was completed in the after phase of the study. All project sites were in California. Unique species per survey refers to the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase.
Table 2. Mean and standard deviation of the number of species detected and the number of animals counted in the reconnaissance surveys, and the number of sites (N) within the BACI experimental treatment levels: control-before (CB), control-after (CA), impact-before (IB), and impact-after (IA), where impact sites were those at which a proposed project had been developed prior to the survey that was completed in the after phase of the study. All project sites were in California. Unique species per survey refers to the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase.
MetricCBCAIBIAEffect
X ¯ SDN X ¯ SDN X ¯ SDN X ¯ SDN
Number of species
All vertebrates26.411.15128.210.75119.15.92610.73.726−48
Onsite vertebrates22.812.93025.512.63017.46.6206.63.320−66
Offsite vertebrates5.08.85303.553.50301.251.58203.852.8920334
All birds23.59.65125.29.45117.65.92610.33.626−45
Onsite birds19.911.33022.511.13016.06.4206.53.320−64
All mammals2.52.3512.41.9511.30.9260.30.626−79
Onsite mammals2.52.4302.32.0301.31.0200.10.320−92
All herps0.40.7510.50.8510.20.4260.10.326−47
Onsite herps0.50.9270.60.7270.10.3200.00.020−100
All non-birds2.92.6513.02.1511.51.0260.40.826−75
Onsite non-birds2.92.9302.82.3301.41.0200.10.220−96
All special-status species5.22.8514.92.3513.72.1261.81.025−49
Onsite special-status species4.33.1304.32.5303.01.8201.31.319−58
Model-predicted at 1 h20.06.44221.35.25116.94.51411.34.825−37
Unique species per survey9.95.25111.64.95112.64.8273.92.227−74
Animals counted
All vertebrates155.4117.019187.2157.419358.7259.01542.923.715−90
Onsite vertebrates107.7144.31499.080.914335.4284.41434.918.214−89
All birds135.6102.619183.3154.319354.0255.31542.523.515−91
Onsite birds98.6130.41496.780.414330.5280.31434.818.114−89
All special-status species30.967.51917.322.21931.851.0155.46.614−70
Onsite special-status species11.816.0149.912.51435.154.1135.37.412−82
Table 3. Before–after, control–impact (BACI) comparisons of log10 number of vertebrate species detected and log10 number of animals counted in the reconnaissance surveys at sites of proposed projects in California, where the CI × BA interaction effect is the principal effect of interest, but tests for main effects are also reported. Also reported are determinations of whether the data were normally distributed based on visual examination of normal probability plots, the p-value of Hartley’s F-max test for homogeneity of variance, and statistical power (1 − β, where β is the probability of a Type II error), estimated for the interaction effect. Unique species per survey refers to the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase.
Table 3. Before–after, control–impact (BACI) comparisons of log10 number of vertebrate species detected and log10 number of animals counted in the reconnaissance surveys at sites of proposed projects in California, where the CI × BA interaction effect is the principal effect of interest, but tests for main effects are also reported. Also reported are determinations of whether the data were normally distributed based on visual examination of normal probability plots, the p-value of Hartley’s F-max test for homogeneity of variance, and statistical power (1 − β, where β is the probability of a Type II error), estimated for the interaction effect. Unique species per survey refers to the number of uniquely detected species at a site in one phase relative to the species detected in the other phase.
MetricNormally
Distributed?
Hartley’s F-Max
p-Value
Control–Impact
Main Effect
Before–After
Main Effect
CI × BA
Interaction Effect
FpFpFp1 − β
Number of species
All vertebratesYes0.616199.340.000016.310.000128.230.00001.00
Onsite vertebratesYes0.722865.440.000021.310.000030.540.00001.00
Offsite vertebratesYes0.00025.980.016316.710.000119.720.00000.99
All birdsYes0.774784.000.000012.520.000523.900.00001.00
Onsite birdsYes0.620549.670.000015.930.000126.420.00001.00
All mammalsYes0.06008.520.00430.600.44080.030.85600.05
Onsite mammalsYes0.18275.780.01921.200.27830.600.44020.12
All herpsYes1.00003.070.08880.010.91040.010.91040.05
Onsite herps
All non-birdsYes0.062214.500.00021.190.27700.560.45760.11
Onsite non-birdsYes0.08374.240.04360.710.40290.470.49470.10
All special-status speciesYes0.623046.000.000012.180.000612.180.00060.93
Onsite special-status speciesYes0.280612.050.00085.260.02424.710.03270.57
Model-predicted at 1 hYes0.233637.040.00004.060.045910.320.00170.89
Unique species per surveyYes0.791024.050.000036.010.000071.500.00001.00
Animals counted
All vertebratesYes0.28902.440.123517.800.000132.110.00001.00
Onsite vertebratesYes0.00350.020.88427.400.008811.770.00120.92
All birdsYes0.29161.620.207615.630.000234.790.00001.00
Onsite birdsYes0.00400.000.99646.680.012611.860.00110.92
All special-status speciesYes0.89451.960.167210.110.00234.760.03310.57
Onsite special-status speciesYes0.86290.840.36479.870.00306.150.01710.68
Table 4. Mean number of species detected per survey in each identified species’ group among the surveys in the experimental treatment groups of control-before, control-after, impact-before, and impact-after. Measures of the percentage effect of development appear in the right column.
Table 4. Mean number of species detected per survey in each identified species’ group among the surveys in the experimental treatment groups of control-before, control-after, impact-before, and impact-after. Measures of the percentage effect of development appear in the right column.
GroupControl (n = 52)Impact (n = 26)Effect (%)
BeforeAfterBeforeAfter
Birds23.125.7317.7310.19−48
Mammals2.522.421.380.19−86
Reptiles0.330.330.080.080
Amphibians0.060.40.040−100
Special-status species5.114.883.691.81−49
Non-native birds1.982.372.691.81−44
Synanthropic birds7.197.677.425.73−28
Raptors2.772.612.581.15−53
Grassland birds1.91.811.50.36−75
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Smallwood, K.S.; Smallwood, N.L. Measured Effects of Anthropogenic Development on Vertebrate Wildlife Diversity. Diversity 2023, 15, 1037. https://doi.org/10.3390/d15101037

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Smallwood KS, Smallwood NL. Measured Effects of Anthropogenic Development on Vertebrate Wildlife Diversity. Diversity. 2023; 15(10):1037. https://doi.org/10.3390/d15101037

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Smallwood, K. Shawn, and Noriko L. Smallwood. 2023. "Measured Effects of Anthropogenic Development on Vertebrate Wildlife Diversity" Diversity 15, no. 10: 1037. https://doi.org/10.3390/d15101037

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