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Volume 14
Issue 6
10.3390/d14060467
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Article

How Will the Distributions of Native and Invasive Species Be Affected by Climate Change? Insights from Giant South American Land Snails

by
Wanderson Siqueira Teles
1,2,
Daniel de Paiva Silva
2,
Bruno Vilela
3,
Dilermando Pereira Lima-Junior
4,
João Carlos Pires-Oliveira
5 and
Marcel Sabino Miranda
6,*
1
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia e Evolução, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiania 74001-970, GO, Brazil
2
Conservation Biogeography and Macroecology Laboratory (COBIMA LAB), Departamento de Ciências Biológicas, Instituto Federal Goiano, Urutai 75790-000, GO, Brazil
3
Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador 40170-115, BA, Brazil
4
Laboratório de Ecologia e Conservação de Ecossistemas Aquáticos, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso, Campus Universitário do Araguaia, Pontal do Araguaia 78698-000, MT, Brazil
5
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia e Conservação, Universidade do Estado do Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina 78690-000, MT, Brazil
6
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Animal, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas 13083-970, SP, Brazil
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Diversity 2022, 14(6), 467; https://doi.org/10.3390/d14060467
Submission received: 22 April 2022 / Revised: 27 May 2022 / Accepted: 8 June 2022 / Published: 11 June 2022
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Continental Mollusca under Global Change)
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Abstract

Climate change and invasive species are critical factors affecting native land snail diversity. In South America, the introduced Giant African Snail (Lissachatina fulica) has spread significantly in recent decades into the habitat of the threatened native giant snails of the genus Megalobulimus. We applied species distribution modeling (SDM), using the maximum entropy method (Maxent) and environmental niche analysis, to understand the ecological relationships between these species in a climate change scenario. We compiled a dataset of occurrences of L. fulica and 10 Megalobulimus species in South America and predicted the distribution of the species in current and future scenarios (2040–2060). We found that L. fulica has a broader environmental niche and potential distribution than the South American Megalobulimus species. The distribution of six Megalobulimus species will have their suitable areas decreased, whereas the distribution of the invasive species L. fulica will not change significantly in the near future. A correlation between the spread of L. fulica and the decline of native Megalobulimus species in South America was found due to habitat alteration from climate change, but this relationship does not seem to be related to a robust competitive interaction between the invasive and native species.
Keywords: biodiversity loss; biological invasion; Lissachatina fulica; Megalobulimus; species distribution modeling biodiversity loss; biological invasion; Lissachatina fulica; Megalobulimus; species distribution modeling

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MDPI and ACS Style

Teles, W.S.; Silva, D.d.P.; Vilela, B.; Lima-Junior, D.P.; Pires-Oliveira, J.C.; Miranda, M.S. How Will the Distributions of Native and Invasive Species Be Affected by Climate Change? Insights from Giant South American Land Snails. Diversity 2022, 14, 467. https://doi.org/10.3390/d14060467

AMA Style

Teles WS, Silva DdP, Vilela B, Lima-Junior DP, Pires-Oliveira JC, Miranda MS. How Will the Distributions of Native and Invasive Species Be Affected by Climate Change? Insights from Giant South American Land Snails. Diversity. 2022; 14(6):467. https://doi.org/10.3390/d14060467

Chicago/Turabian Style

Teles, Wanderson Siqueira, Daniel de Paiva Silva, Bruno Vilela, Dilermando Pereira Lima-Junior, João Carlos Pires-Oliveira, and Marcel Sabino Miranda. 2022. "How Will the Distributions of Native and Invasive Species Be Affected by Climate Change? Insights from Giant South American Land Snails" Diversity 14, no. 6: 467. https://doi.org/10.3390/d14060467

APA Style

Teles, W. S., Silva, D. d. P., Vilela, B., Lima-Junior, D. P., Pires-Oliveira, J. C., & Miranda, M. S. (2022). How Will the Distributions of Native and Invasive Species Be Affected by Climate Change? Insights from Giant South American Land Snails. Diversity, 14(6), 467. https://doi.org/10.3390/d14060467

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