Search Results (71)

This study investigates how green bond issuance, energy use, renewable energy, and economic growth relate to per capita CO₂ emissions in 17 financially developed countries that are active in green bond markets over the period 2014–2023. We construct an annual panel for Australia, Austria, Canada, Mainland China, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Norway, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States, and apply panel-corrected standard errors (PCSEs) together with Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR). Diagnostic tests based on Pesaran’s CIPS unit root and Westerlund’s cointegration procedures indicate that the variables are I(1) and cointegrated, while Pesaran-type dependence and slope heterogeneity tests justify the use of robust panel methods. The PCSE results show that total energy consumption is the strongest factor associated with higher emissions, renewable energy consumption is consistently associated with lower emissions, economic growth is positively linked to emissions, and green bond issuance is associated with lower emissions, although the magnitude of this relationship is modest. MMQR estimates reveal that these relationships are heterogeneous across the CO₂ distribution. Green bonds are associated with lower emissions only in low-emission country–years, while this association becomes statistically weak at higher quantiles. Renewable energy is linked to lower emissions across all quantiles, with stronger associations in the lower part of the distribution, and the growth–emissions relationship weakens at the top, consistent with an Environmental Kuznets Curve pattern. These findings suggest that expanding renewables and improving the carbon content of energy use remain central for decarbonization, while green bonds may support emission reductions, particularly in cleaner, institutionally advanced economies. Full article

This paper presents the first systematic attempt to quantify higher education dropout rates in Slovenia and to examine their relationship with youth unemployment. Using annual data for the period 2011–2019, dropout rates were estimated based on project V5-2360, while youth unemployment data were obtained from Eurostat. The study applies descriptive analysis, cointegration tests and a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) with Minnesota priors, which is well suited for small samples. Three hypotheses are tested: that dropout and unemployment are inversely related, that higher unemployment reduces dropout, and that unemployment shocks are more persistent than dropout shocks. The empirical results broadly confirm these expectations. Dropout and unemployment move in opposite directions, unemployment shocks reduce dropout, and youth unemployment displays strong hysteresis. While the small sample requires cautious interpretation, the use of Bayesian VAR provides methodologically robust inference under data constraints. Beyond its national contribution, the Slovenian case carries broader implications for small post-socialist and open economies, where structural rigidities in higher education intersect with persistent labour market challenges. The findings underline the potential for higher education to act as a countercyclical buffer and highlight the importance of coordinated education and labour market policies. By linking dropout and unemployment dynamics for the first time in Slovenia, this study contributes new evidence to the international literature and opens avenues for comparative research across European higher education systems. Full article

Background/Objectives: The number of overweight and obese people has significantly increased in the world, and this phenomenon is referred to as globesity. Globally increasing obesity has become one of the major problems to be dealt with for countries, given obesity-related health problems, including nutrition-related noncommunicable diseases and some types of cancer, and the economic and social costs of obesity. Therefore, countries try to combat obesity through diverse strategies related to nutrition, physical activity, and education. In this regard, identifying the factors behind obesity is critical to making progress in the fight against obesity. Methods: This study explores the interplay amongst ICT (information and communication technologies) indicators, including Internet and mobile phone usage, unemployment, and adult obesity in the BRICS states from 1995 to 2022, using recently developed cointegration techniques and causality tests. Results: The outcomes of causality tests uncover an interaction between Internet and mobile phone usage, unemployment, and adult obesity. In addition, the cointegration coefficients reveal that Internet and mobile phone usage positively impact adult obesity, while unemployment has a negative effect on adult obesity. Conclusions: Our outcomes uncover that improper use of the Internet and mobile phones foster adult obesity, but proper utilization of the Internet and mobile phones can be effective instruments in combatting adult obesity through increasing the awareness of healthy lifestyles and online weight loss programs. Full article

The transportation sector plays a pivotal role in economic development but is also a major contributor to environmental degradation due to its reliance on fossil fuels. This study explores the relationship between transport-related CO₂ emissions, economic growth, road and rail freight transport, industry, trade openness, fossil fuel consumption, financial development, and renewable energy in ten landlocked countries from 1990 to 2022. Using panel cointegration tests and PMG-ARDL techniques, the findings reveal a bidirectional causality between CO₂ emissions, road freight, financial development, and industry. Road freight transport significantly boosts economic growth but also intensifies emissions, while renewable energy effectively mitigates transport-related CO₂. The results emphasize the need for policymakers to balance economic advancement with sustainable energy and emission reduction strategies. Achieving economic-energy sustainability is essential for fostering a green and clean environment without compromising growth. Full article

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between maritime trade and cultural convergence between China and Saudi Arabia, with a particular focus on the roles of creative goods and information and communication technology (ICT) exports as proxies for sociocultural integration. Utilizing quarterly data from 2012 to 2021, the analysis employs the Toda–Yamamoto Granger causality approach within a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. This methodology offers a robust means of testing causality without requiring data stationarity or cointegration, thereby reducing estimation bias and enhancing applicability to real-world economic data. The empirical model examines causal interactions among maritime trade, creative goods exports, ICT exports, and population, the latter serving as a control variable to account for demographic scale effects on trade dynamics. The results indicate statistically significant bidirectional causality between maritime trade and both creative goods and ICT exports, suggesting a reciprocal reinforcement between trade and cultural–technological exchange. In contrast, the relationship between maritime trade and population is found to be unidirectional. These findings underscore the strategic importance of cultural and technological flows in shaping maritime trade patterns. Furthermore, the study contextualizes its results within broader policy initiatives, notably China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, both of which aim to promote mutual economic diversification and regional integration. The study contributes to the literature on international trade and cultural economics by demonstrating how cultural convergence can serve as a catalyst for strengthening bilateral trade relations. Policy implications include the promotion of cultural and technological collaboration, investment in maritime infrastructure, and the incorporation of cultural dimensions into trade policy formulation. Full article

This study investigates the impact of remittances on income inequality in Lebanon using annual time-series data for the years 2000–2023. Applying Johansen’s cointegration test, with financial development (FD), GDP, and household consumption expenditure (HCE) as the control variables, the study examines the long-run and short-run relationship between remittances and inequality. The study also considers the moderating impacts of FD and HCE to account for their indirect role in the remittance–inequality relationship. Dynamic relations are also examined by using impulse response functions (IRFs) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) analyses. The long-run model estimates validate that remittances and income inequality are significantly and negatively related, i.e., increased remittance receipts serve to reduce income inequality in Lebanon. Remittance effects, however, are statistically insignificant in the short run. Interestingly, the results reveal that financial development weakens the remittances’ inequality-reducing effect, dampening their impact. Contrarily, a higher household consumption expenditure slightly strengthens the inequality-reducing effect of remittances. A comparison between the pre- and post-2019 periods reveals that the explanatory strength of remittances weakened during times of economic crisis, since the function of remittances was different during times of economic distress. Based on these findings, this study recommends that Lebanon not only promote financial development but also focus on financial inclusion, improve social safety nets, and provide inclusive economic growth to maximize remittance inflow benefits and efficiently reduce inequality. Full article

The observed increase in demand for transport leads to higher energy consumption, which still predominantly originates from fossil fuels. As a result, the transport sector remains one of the main sources of GHG emissions. At the same time, transport activities bring economic benefits by generating public income and contributing to GDP. This article analyzes the relationship between total final energy consumption in transport, CO₂ emissions from transport, and government revenues, using Poland as a case study. The study applies Johansen’s cointegration method to identify long-term relationships between time series. Unlike many cross-country studies, this research addresses a gap by focusing specifically on Poland—a post-transition economy where the transport sector holds both fiscal and environmental significance. After cointegration test, the Impulse Response Function was used to examine dynamics and identify system shocks. Results indicate that energy consumption in transport significantly affects both CO₂ emissions and government revenues. A rise in energy use leads to higher emissions and also correlates with increased public income. The study contributes to the understanding of how transport-related energy use impacts both fiscal outcomes and emissions in a national context. These findings offer a foundation for shaping future policies that promote economic growth and stable revenue while encouraging more efficient energy use and lower emissions. Full article

Renewable energy has emerged as a transformative and essential alternative in the global energy sector. Many countries are striving to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) established by the United Nations for 2030, particularly the goal of ensuring that all individuals have access to clean and affordable energy. This paper re-examines the impact of economic growth (EG), trade openness (TO), exchange rates (ER), foreign direct investment (FDI), green finance (GF), and oil prices (OL) on renewable energy consumption (REC) across 14 Southern African countries: South Africa, Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, Tanzania, Madagascar, Mauritius, Kenya, the Comoros, Zambia, Eswatini, Rwanda, Angola, and Mozambique, during the period of 2000 to 2022. This study employed cointegration and unit root tests, as well as the RALS-EG and MMQR models, to estimate the long-run relationships among the variables. The results reveal that renewable energy consumption is positively and directly related to economic growth, trade openness, exchange rates, green finance, and foreign direct investment across all quantiles (q05–q95), with no evidence of asymmetric effects. These findings suggest that economic growth, green finance, and foreign direct investment are crucial for fostering renewable energy innovation in Southern African countries. Policymakers are encouraged to prioritize strategies that enhance these factors as a foundation for achieving sustainable energy solutions. Full article

Climate change manifests itself in rising temperatures across the continent and affects the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by changing sea surface temperatures and atmospheric circulation. This affects precipitation and temperature patterns, with South Africa normally experiencing drier conditions during El Niño events. These weather anomalies influence crop yields and food prices. Spatial price transmission indicates the extent to which prices of agricultural goods are linked across different geographical areas and how quickly price signals from one area are passed on to another. Although numerous studies explore spatial price transmission between various countries, there is a gap in the literature on price transmission between the US and South African maize markets during ENSO events. Therefore, we investigate how ENSO-related events impacted maize price transmission between the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange from 1997 to 2024. The empirical analysis starts with a correlation analysis, followed by tests for cointegration and error correction models. The results confirm the dominating impact of US maize prices on South African prices, but also how this relationship changes based on the nature of the ENSO event. There is some indication of lower levels of integration and higher levels of price diversion during El Niño periods. Full article

The development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysis. The goal of this article is the systematization and development of methodological support for the evaluation of the export–import activity of the national economy, including the development of its technology and a conceptual assessment model, which is presented in a structural–logical–semantic form, and the analysis and forecasting of export–import activity using the proposed model. To achieve the research goal, quantitative methods were used: the method of integral taxonomic indicators of development and efficiency, the method of forecasting based on trend models, multivariate factor analysis, and the modified method of cointegration of time series. A set of indicators for the export–import activity “development–effectiveness” matrix was proposed, and their dichotomies were studied. To ensure the reliability and objectivity of the export–import activity assessment, a methodological basis, which is detailed by structural elements, was formed. The model was constructed and tested based on monthly data on the export–import activity of Ukraine for the years 2021–2023. Full article

The issue of non-performing loans (NPLs) in a bank’s portfolio is important for a bank’s stability and sustainability. Their increased presence indicates a potential worsening of the economy and a lower quality of the bank’s assets. We estimated determinants of non-performing loans in the Eurozone for quarterly data 2015–2020. The results confirmed spatial spillover effects within Eurozone countries, which means that when a shock happens in one country in the Eurozone, it will also affect the other economies of the Eurozone area. Based on the Hausman test, a fixed-effects model was chosen as appropriate and showed that bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants significantly affect NPLs in these economies. In relation to previous studies that dealt with this issue, a co-integration analysis was introduced. A significant impact of return on assets, return on equity, and the loan-to-deposit ratio, as well as the gross domestic product, inflation, and exchange rate on NPLs in the short run and long run, was confirmed using a Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator. Bank management should customize credit policy based on both internal and external conditions to improve their performance, focusing on enhancing profitability and maintaining a lower loan-to-deposit ratio to reduce NPLs. The research suggests that a higher gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate is associated with fewer NPLs, while inflation uncertainty and a volatile exchange rate can increase NPLs, highlighting the importance of adjusting strategies to the macroeconomic landscape. Full article

This paper addresses the controversial issue of the direct and indirect effects of public R&D on growth. We look at six variables of R&D-driven growth jointly for 14 OECD countries using methods of dynamic systems for panel data analysis: GDP, technical change, domestic and foreign businesses and public R&D. Cointegration tests suggest four long-run relations for the six variables. We estimate these relations using group mean versions of fully modified and dynamic OLS. Domestic public R&D has positive long-run regression coefficients for direct effects on productivity and indirect ones via private R&D. Here, we build a panel vector-error-correction model with these long-term relations. Shocks to domestic public R&D enhance domestic private R&D, technical change and the GDP. Permanent changes in foreign public and private R&D have positive growth effects, which are transitional for foreign public R&D. Full article

Eskom’s power plants in South Africa face frequent breakdowns due to a lack of maintenance and increasing energy demand. The high dependence of South Africa on coal for power generation, which is a resource that significantly contributes to carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions that impact the environment negatively, could be reduced by considering renewable energy sources. Renewable energy supply, dependent on private sector funding and economic growth, is seen as a solution to energy and environmental problems. The study aimed to examine if financial development and economic growth impact renewable energy supply in South Africa and to discover if co-integration exists between these variables, including the variables defined as the determinants of renewable energy supply, namely: CO₂ emission by coal power generation; secondly, coal electricity supply; thirdly, coal price changes; and lastly, load shedding levels. The research gap identified for the study is twofold. Firstly, there is a lack of research on the relationship between renewable energy supply, financial development, and economic growth, specifically in South Africa. Furthermore, the existing research on these variables in other countries has produced inconclusive results. Secondly, minimal research has been conducted on how economic growth impacts renewable energy supply in emerging markets. Thus, the present study sought to bridge the gap and contribute to the scientific body of knowledge related to the drivers of renewable energy supply. The autoregression distributed lag (ARDL) model was employed to test if economic growth and financial development have a statistically significant impact on renewable energy supply, as well as to test the direction of the relationship, for an observation period from 1990 to 2021. The results proved that financial development and economic growth were reported to have a statistically significant positive impact on renewable energy supply in the long run and the short run. A study on the relationship between financial development, economic growth, and renewable energy supply in South Africa can influence policy reforms and assist the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) and the government in developing and implementing renewable energy policies that encourage the deployment of renewable energy infrastructure to increase renewable energy supply, particularly regarding factors associated with addressing challenges in financial development and economic growth. Full article

The objective of this research paper is to apply a mathematical model to estimate and predict the economic growth of the Caspian countries in the period from 1995 to 2022. We use multiple regression by applying the OLS method to estimate the impact of global oil price, energy resource production per capita, trade, and renewable energy on GDP per capita. The mathematical approach uses fixed and random effects models to assess the overall impact of the independent variables on economic growth in this region and over the period analysed. This study also aims to investigate whether the explanatory variables are cointegrated in the long run; as such, we carry out several mathematical cointegration tests, namely the Pedroni and Johansen tests. The mathematical analysis is completed by the estimation of short- and long-run parameters using the stochastic VAR/VEC models, the impulse response function, and the causality test to assess economic growth in this region. This study’s main finding is that GDP per capita is increasingly influenced by its previous values, which is confirmed by considering lag 1 and lag 2. The results of the Granger causality tests identify several bidirectional relationships between GDP per capita and oil and gas production. These relationships are clearly positive evidence of the growth trend and progress of economic activity in the Caspian region. The practical implications of the study aim to promote and support the use of renewable energy sources. In this sense, policymakers in the Caspian countries should create favourable conditions for the transition to a green economy. An important aspect is the efforts of the government authorities to make their policies more environmentally friendly, as decarbonisation is a good practice in the current context of sustainability and related choices. As the Caspian countries are heavily dependent on conventional energy production, it is essential for them to increase their export earnings from energy resources via diversifying and strengthening new energy opportunities and partnerships. Full article

Sustainable development has become a key factor in decreasing economic and social inequalities and environmental problems in the world. This problem aligns with the crusade of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UNSDGs-8 and 10). To this end, the present study seeks to identify factors underlying sustainable development for vital and optimal policymaking. The primary objective of the present study is to investigate the influence of a market-oriented business environment together with information and communication technologies (ICT) on overall sustainable development in new EU members who experienced a transition to a market economy for annual frequency period ranging from 2000–2020 via novel cointegration and causality tests adequate to the dataset size and characteristics. The study aimed to make a contribution to the related empirical literature, as there is a paucity of documentation in the extant literature on the nexus between the business environment and overall sustainable development. Furthermore, the use of cointegration and causality tests considering heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence increased the robustness of the empirical results. The consequences of causality and cointegration analyses uncovered that the market-oriented business environment and ICT were short- and long-run drivers of sustainable development. However, the impact of ICT on sustainable development was relatively stronger than the impact of the market-oriented business environment in the long run. As a result, policies to improve market-oriented business environments, ICT infrastructure, ICT adoption, and digital literacy can be useful to make progress in overall sustainable development. Full article