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Keywords = saving–investment causality

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19 pages, 703 KB  
Article
Can the Energy Rights Trading System Become the New Engine for Corporate Carbon Reduction? Evidence from China’s Heavy-Polluting Industries
by Xue Lei, Jian Xu and Ziyan Zhang
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8226; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188226 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 686
Abstract
As global climate change intensifies with unprecedented urgency, nations worldwide have increasingly adopted market-based environmental regulatory instruments to advance carbon reduction objectives. In 2017, China launched energy rights trading pilots, thereby providing a crucial policy instrument for controlling total energy consumption at its [...] Read more.
As global climate change intensifies with unprecedented urgency, nations worldwide have increasingly adopted market-based environmental regulatory instruments to advance carbon reduction objectives. In 2017, China launched energy rights trading pilots, thereby providing a crucial policy instrument for controlling total energy consumption at its source. However, the specific impacts and transmission pathways through which this system influences corporate carbon reduction behavior remain insufficiently explored through rigorous empirical investigation. Drawing upon panel data from heavy-polluting companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets, this study employs a difference-in-differences methodology to identify the causal effects of energy rights trading systems on corporate carbon reduction. Our findings reveal that energy rights trading systems significantly reduce corporate carbon emission intensity, generating pronounced emission reduction effects. Further mechanism analysis demonstrates that this system operates through two principal pathways: first, by promoting increased green investment among enterprises, whereby short-term emission reductions are achieved through procurement of energy-saving equipment and environmental protection facilities, and second, by stimulating corporate green technological innovation, whereby long-term sustainable emission reductions are realized through the development of energy-saving technologies and clean processes. Additionally, the research reveals that enterprises with lower financing constraints and stronger supply chain bargaining power respond more actively to policy implementation, with policy effects exhibiting significant heterogeneity. This study not only enriches the theoretical understanding of market-based environmental regulatory policy effects but also provides crucial empirical evidence for improving the energy rights trading system design and enhancing policy implementation effectiveness, thereby offering important policy insights for promoting corporate green transformation and achieving “dual carbon” objectives. Full article
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28 pages, 1810 KB  
Article
From Artificial Intelligence to Energy Reduction: How Green Innovation Channels Corporate Sustainability
by Yong Zhou and Wei Bu
Systems 2025, 13(9), 757; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13090757 - 1 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1273
Abstract
While the corporate adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) is accelerating, its environmental consequences remain insufficiently understood, particularly in absolute firm-level energy consumption. The main objective of this study is to empirically determine the causal impact of AI adoption on absolute firm-level energy consumption [...] Read more.
While the corporate adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) is accelerating, its environmental consequences remain insufficiently understood, particularly in absolute firm-level energy consumption. The main objective of this study is to empirically determine the causal impact of AI adoption on absolute firm-level energy consumption in Chinese publicly listed companies, with a particular focus on the mediating role of green innovation and the moderating role of digital capabilities. This study provides the first large-scale micro-level evidence on how AI adoption shapes corporate energy use, drawing on panel data from Chinese non-financial listed firms during 2011–2022. We construct a novel AI adoption index via Word2Vec-based textual analysis of annual reports and estimate its impact using firm fixed effects, instrumental variables, mediation models, and multiple robustness checks. Results show that AI adoption significantly reduces total energy consumption, with a 1% increase in AI intensity associated with an estimated 0.48% decrease in energy use. Green innovation emerges as a key mediating channel, while the energy-saving benefits are amplified in firms with advanced digital transformation and IT-oriented executive teams. Heterogeneity analyses indicate more substantial effects among large firms, private enterprises, non-energy-intensive sectors, and firms in digitally lagging regions, suggesting capability-driven and context-dependent dynamics. This study advances the literature on digital transformation and corporate sustainability by uncovering the mechanisms and boundary conditions of AI’s environmental impact and offers actionable insights for aligning AI investments with carbon reduction targets and industrial upgrading in emerging economies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Systems Practice in Social Science)
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14 pages, 346 KB  
Article
An Empirical Investigation into the Investment–Saving Relationship Through Granger Non-Causality Panel Tests
by Antonio Focacci
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 357; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070357 - 30 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1420
Abstract
The investment–saving relationship has been the subject of much debate. On the one hand, there is the conventional mainstream neoclassical school of thought that advocates for the idea that saving determines investment. On the other hand, heterodox economists (mainly in the post-Keynesian/structuralist tradition) [...] Read more.
The investment–saving relationship has been the subject of much debate. On the one hand, there is the conventional mainstream neoclassical school of thought that advocates for the idea that saving determines investment. On the other hand, heterodox economists (mainly in the post-Keynesian/structuralist tradition) posit an inverse relationship between these variables. This article empirically investigates the direction of causality in order to contribute to the existing literature on the topic. To this end, two Granger panel tests are applied to a dataset of 106 countries over the period from 1980 to 2023. The econometric techniques used are effective in accounting for both cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity in the data. In summary, our findings align with the theoretical models that posit bidirectional causality as the most probable explanation of the mechanism driving investment and saving. More specifically, they are consistent with post-Keynesian (demand-led) assumptions describing an open economy operating below its maximum potential growth rate within a current account solvency constraint. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Economics and Finance)
25 pages, 2010 KB  
Article
When ESG Meets Uncertainty: Financing Cost Effects Under Regulatory Fragmentation and Rating Divergence
by Donghui Zhao, Sue Lin Ngan and Ainul Huda Jamil
Systems 2025, 13(6), 465; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13060465 - 13 Jun 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 4843
Abstract
As ESG practices become increasingly embedded in global capital markets, their impact on firm financing costs remains an open question in emerging economies, where regulatory divergence and rating inconsistency complicate investor perceptions, particularly in China’s rapidly evolving financial environment. This study examines the [...] Read more.
As ESG practices become increasingly embedded in global capital markets, their impact on firm financing costs remains an open question in emerging economies, where regulatory divergence and rating inconsistency complicate investor perceptions, particularly in China’s rapidly evolving financial environment. This study examines the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance on financing costs among Chinese non-financial listed firms, with a focus on the moderating roles of financial regulation and ESG rating divergence. Using a panel dataset of 4493 firms across 33,773 firm–year observations from 2011 to 2022, we employ a two-way fixed effects model, along with Propensity Score Matching and Difference-in-Differences (PSM-DID) techniques, to address endogeneity concerns and enhance causal inference. The findings reveal that improvements in ESG performance significantly reduce financing costs, substantially affecting debt relative to equity. Moreover, the cost-saving benefits of ESG are amplified in industries with stronger regulatory oversight, while high ESG rating divergence undermines these benefits by increasing uncertainty. These results highlight the importance of standardizing ESG rating systems and enhancing regulatory consistency. Such efforts can lower capital costs and improve financial access for firms, particularly in capital-intensive and environmentally sensitive sectors, offering actionable guidance for policymakers shaping disclosure frameworks and corporate managers optimizing ESG investment strategies. Full article
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15 pages, 637 KB  
Article
The Causal Relationship between FinTech, Financial Inclusion, and Income Inequality in African Economies
by Abebe Gule Girma and Fariz Huseynov
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(1), 2; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17010002 - 19 Dec 2023
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 10183
Abstract
Income inequality is one of the biggest problems affecting developing economies. Market imperfections and information asymmetry lead to lack of access to the financial system, which will exacerbate income inequality. The growing adoption of FinTech (financial technology) has altered the structure of how [...] Read more.
Income inequality is one of the biggest problems affecting developing economies. Market imperfections and information asymmetry lead to lack of access to the financial system, which will exacerbate income inequality. The growing adoption of FinTech (financial technology) has altered the structure of how financial services are delivered and makes these services accessible to underserved groups. This study explores the causal relationship between FinTech development, financial inclusion, and income inequality in a panel study of 29 African countries. We apply pooled OLS regression and structural equation models to samples from the years 2011, 2014, and 2017. The findings indicate that FinTech has a positive and statistically significant effect on financial inclusion and income inequality in African countries. The study results also demonstrate that financial inclusion plays a pivotal mediation role in the negative effect of FinTech on income inequality in African economies. Further, financial inclusion (the ability to create a bank account and borrow money) negatively and significantly affects income inequality in African countries, whereas saving shows a positive and significant impact on income inequality. Overall, our study results suggest that to reduce income inequality and increase the effectiveness of FinTech investments, policymakers in African countries should design proper policies to enhance financial inclusion and offer more accessible and equitable financial services. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Technologies (Fintech) in Finance and Economics)
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20 pages, 694 KB  
Article
FDI or International-Trade-Driven Green Growth of 24 Korean Manufacturing Industries? Evidence from Heterogeneous Panel Based on Non-Causality Test
by Mengzhen Wang, Xingong Ding and Baekryul Choi
Sustainability 2023, 15(7), 5753; https://doi.org/10.3390/su15075753 - 25 Mar 2023
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 3552
Abstract
Manufacturing, as an energy-intensive industry, plays a major role in economic growth. Its green growth is the focus of national planning for sustainable development, especially for a country such as Korea, which has a scarcity of fossil energy of its own. While internationalization [...] Read more.
Manufacturing, as an energy-intensive industry, plays a major role in economic growth. Its green growth is the focus of national planning for sustainable development, especially for a country such as Korea, which has a scarcity of fossil energy of its own. While internationalization has brought Korea scarce energy, serious carbon emissions have become a pressing issue. It is still necessary to explore the relationship between globalization and green growth in manufacturing. Thus, our paper aims to observe their relationship by using 24 manufacturing industries from 2011 to 2019. Through the panel Granger non-causality test and the Dumitrescu–Hurlin test, we find that imports and inward foreign direct investment (FDI) causes green growth at the overall manufacturing level, but their causality relationships exist in different industries. The green-growth causality relationship of inward FDI mainly exists in capital-intensive and internationally competitive manufacturing industries (manufacture industries of basic metals; furniture; food products; coke, briquettes, and refined petroleum products; and chemicals and chemical products, except pharmaceuticals and medicinal chemicals). Furthermore, the green-growth causality relationship of imports primarily exists in the fossil-energy-consumption-intensive manufacturing industry (manufacture industries of motor vehicles, trailers, and semitrailers and coke, briquettes, and refined petroleum products). Furthermore, in our regression analysis, we find that only inward FDI robustly promotes the Korean manufacturing sector’s green growth; the positive effect is in the range from 0.005 to 0.009. Though the parameter estimates are positive and significant for FDI, they are close to zero, suggesting very limited positive effects that are close to almost zero. Conversely, imports have no significant impact, which we speculate is related to the import structure of Korea. Hence, the Korean manufacturing development model suggests that developing countries with similar country characteristics need to develop and guide the formation of capital-intensive and competitive industries. Additionally, it is imperative to decarbonize energy-intensive industries and to work on renewable energy development and diffusion. Finally, it is essential to introduce various green monitoring mechanisms to reduce carbon emissions. The government needs to strengthen its support for research and development of innovative technologies to reduce carbon emissions as well as promote the development of environmental and energy-saving related professional service enterprises. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sustainability and Applications)
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21 pages, 1121 KB  
Article
Improving Early Warning System Indicators for Crisis Manifestations in the Russian Economy
by Alexander Semin, Marina Vasiljeva, Alexander Sokolov, Nikolay Kuznetsov, Maksim Maramygin, Maria Volkova, Angelina Zekiy, Izabella Elyakova and Natalya Nikitina
J. Open Innov. Technol. Mark. Complex. 2020, 6(4), 171; https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc6040171 - 30 Nov 2020
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3592
Abstract
The study is aimed at determining the oscillators of crisis manifestations when the Russian economy tries to make transition to the path for accelerating technological development and forming an innovative economy. Short-term cycles were determined in the development of the Russian economy from [...] Read more.
The study is aimed at determining the oscillators of crisis manifestations when the Russian economy tries to make transition to the path for accelerating technological development and forming an innovative economy. Short-term cycles were determined in the development of the Russian economy from 1995 to the first half of 2020 through the Fourier spectral analysis. Using the Granger test, causal relationships between the leading indicators of the economic crisis and the real GDP index in Russia were identified and substantiated. They reflect the influence of the key rate dynamics on the volume of lending, savings, investments, the yield on securities and the exchange rate; volumes of bank loans per the share of non-performing and bad loans and innovative development of the economy. Based on the constructed neural models of the oscillator influence on the level of real GDP in Russia, it was determined that the rapid growth of bank and mortgage lending, the devaluation of the ruble, a decreased volume of gross foreign investment and the level of innovative development predetermine crisis manifestations in the national economy. The lags of the influence of changes in the leading indicators of the economic crisis on the development of the economy were calculated. The results obtained can contribute to the effectiveness of the anti-crisis regulation strategy in Russia. They can serve as a basis for increasing the efficiency of long-term innovative development and creating appropriate conditions for increasing the scientific and technological potential of the country. Full article
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15 pages, 1177 KB  
Article
Investment Sustained by Consumption: A Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
by Jose Perez-Montiel and Carles Manera Erbina
Sustainability 2019, 11(16), 4381; https://doi.org/10.3390/su11164381 - 13 Aug 2019
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 3822
Abstract
This paper studies the dynamic relationship between consumption and investment in the United States between 1947 and 2018. Our findings support the postulates of Keynesian economics—while they are contrary to the theoretic background on which the numerous empirical studies on the saving-investment nexus [...] Read more.
This paper studies the dynamic relationship between consumption and investment in the United States between 1947 and 2018. Our findings support the postulates of Keynesian economics—while they are contrary to the theoretic background on which the numerous empirical studies on the saving-investment nexus are based. We find a long-run nexus between consumption and investment, and positive linear Granger-causality running unidirectionally from consumption to investment. Therefore, investment is sustained by consumption. Further, we find that the variables have nonlinear structures and, thus, we apply nonlinear causality tests. We provide evidence of nonlinear causality running unidirectionally from consumption to investment. Nevertheless, after controlling for Government Expenditure, this nonlinear causal relationship disappears, indicating that Government Expenditure drives the nonlinear causal relationship between private consumption and investment. We argue that this finding is consistent with the notion that investment decisions are guided by permanent aggregate demand, because public expenditure allows private consumption to have a sufficiently permanent trajectory to be considered as a guide for investment decisions. Our results do not support the austerity and deflation measures implemented in the last years (especially in the European Union). On the other hand, our findings call for the incentive of final public expenditure, since it favours the long-run link between the private decisions to consume and invest. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Economic and Business Aspects of Sustainability)
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40 pages, 1825 KB  
Article
Structure of a Global Network of Financial Companies Based on Transfer Entropy
by Leonidas Sandoval
Entropy 2014, 16(8), 4443-4482; https://doi.org/10.3390/e16084443 - 7 Aug 2014
Cited by 123 | Viewed by 12174
Abstract
This work uses the stocks of the 197 largest companies in the world, in terms of market capitalization, in the financial area, from 2003 to 2012. We study the causal relationships between them using Transfer Entropy, which is calculated using the stocks of [...] Read more.
This work uses the stocks of the 197 largest companies in the world, in terms of market capitalization, in the financial area, from 2003 to 2012. We study the causal relationships between them using Transfer Entropy, which is calculated using the stocks of those companies and their counterparts lagged by one day. With this, we can assess which companies influence others according to sub-areas of the financial sector, which are banks, diversified financial services, savings and loans, insurance, private equity funds, real estate investment companies, and real estate trust funds. We also analyze the exchange of information between those stocks as seen by Transfer Entropy and the network formed by them based on this measure, verifying that they cluster mainly according to countries of origin, and then by industry and sub-industry. Then we use data on the stocks of companies in the financial sector of some countries that are suffering the most with the current credit crisis, namely Greece, Cyprus, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, and Italy, and assess, also using Transfer Entropy, which companies from the largest 197 are most affected by the stocks of these countries in crisis. The aim is to map a network of influences that may be used in the study of possible contagions originating in those countries in financial crisis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Transfer Entropy)
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