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Keywords = random forest regression slip prediction model

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24 pages, 10817 KB  
Article
Pavement Friction Prediction Based Upon Multi-View Fractal and the XGBoost Framework
by Yi Peng, Jialiang Kai, Xinyi Yu, Zhengqi Zhang, Qiang Joshua Li, Guangwei Yang and Lingyun Kong
Lubricants 2025, 13(9), 391; https://doi.org/10.3390/lubricants13090391 - 2 Sep 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1144
Abstract
The anti-slip performance of road surfaces directly affects traffic safety, yet existing evaluation methods based on texture features often suffer from limited interpretability and low accuracy. To overcome these limitations, a portable 3D laser surface analyzer was used to acquire road texture data, [...] Read more.
The anti-slip performance of road surfaces directly affects traffic safety, yet existing evaluation methods based on texture features often suffer from limited interpretability and low accuracy. To overcome these limitations, a portable 3D laser surface analyzer was used to acquire road texture data, while a dynamic friction coefficient tester provided friction measurements. A multi-view fractal dimension index was developed to comprehensively describe the complexity of texture across spatial, cross-sectional, and depth dimensions. Combined with road surface temperature, this index was integrated into an XGBoost-based prediction model to evaluate friction at driving speeds of 10 km/h and 70 km/h. Comparative analysis with linear regression, decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and backpropagation (BP) neural network models confirmed the superior predictive performance of the proposed approach. The model achieved backpropagation (R2) values of 0.80 and 0.82, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 0.05 and 0.04, respectively. Feature importance analysis indicated that fractal characteristics from multiple texture perspectives, together with temperature, significantly influence anti-slip performance. The results demonstrate the feasibility of using non-contact texture-based methods to replace traditional contact-based friction testing. Compared with traditional statistical indices and alternative machine learning algorithms, the proposed model achieved improvements in R2 (up to 0.82) and reduced RMSE (as low as 0.04). This study provides a robust indicator system and predictive model to advance road surface safety assessment technologies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Tire/Road Interface and Road Surface Textures)
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21 pages, 3168 KB  
Article
Prediction on Slip Modulus of Screwed Connection for Timber–Concrete Composite Structures Based on Machine Learning
by Wen-Wu Lu, Yu-Wei Chen, Ji-Gang Xu, Hui-Feng Yang, Hao-Tian Tao, Wei Zheng and Ben-Kai Shi
Buildings 2025, 15(14), 2458; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15142458 - 13 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1600
Abstract
Screwed connections are widely adopted in timber–concrete composite (TCC) structures. Owing to the diverse connection configurations and complex shear mechanisms, existing empirical models or theoretical formulas cannot accurately and efficiently predict the shear modulus of a screwed connection. Therefore, this study develops machine [...] Read more.
Screwed connections are widely adopted in timber–concrete composite (TCC) structures. Owing to the diverse connection configurations and complex shear mechanisms, existing empirical models or theoretical formulas cannot accurately and efficiently predict the shear modulus of a screwed connection. Therefore, this study develops machine learning (ML) algorithms to accurately predict the slip modulus. A data set including 222 sets of testing results was established by collecting the values of the slip modulus and associated ten features. Four ML methods, including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), adaptive boosting machine (AdaBoost), and gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT), are adopted to develop the ML algorithm. The Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) framework was employed to interpret the effects of related features on the slip modulus. GBRT demonstrated the best accuracy compared with the other three ML methods in terms of four popular quantitative metrics. Moreover, all ML methods showed an evident accuracy advantage compared to existing analytical methods. Through a SHAP analysis, it was found that concrete strength, screw inclination, timber density, and timber type have a large impact on the slip modulus of a screwed connection compared to other input features. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Performance Analysis of Timber Composite Structures)
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20 pages, 6970 KB  
Article
Analysis and Prediction of Grouting Reinforcement Performance of Broken Rock Considering Joint Morphology Characteristics
by Guanglin Liang, Linchong Huang and Chengyong Cao
Mathematics 2025, 13(2), 264; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13020264 - 15 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1288
Abstract
In tunnel engineering, joint shear slip caused by external disturbances is a key factor contributing to landslides, instability of surrounding rock masses, and related hazards. Therefore, accurately characterizing the macromechanical properties of joints is essential for ensuring engineering safety. Given the significant influence [...] Read more.
In tunnel engineering, joint shear slip caused by external disturbances is a key factor contributing to landslides, instability of surrounding rock masses, and related hazards. Therefore, accurately characterizing the macromechanical properties of joints is essential for ensuring engineering safety. Given the significant influence of rock joint morphology on mechanical behavior, this study employs the frequency spectrum fractal dimension (D) and the frequency domain amplitude integral (Rq) as quantitative descriptors of joint morphology. Using Fourier transform techniques, a reconstruction method is developed to model joints with arbitrary shape characteristics. The numerical model is calibrated through 3D printing and direct shear tests. Systematic parameter analysis validates the selected quantitative indices as effective descriptors of joint morphology. Furthermore, multiple machine learning algorithms are employed to construct a robust predictive model. Machine learning, recognized as a rapidly advancing field, plays a pivotal role in data-driven engineering applications due to its powerful analytical capabilities. In this study, six algorithms—Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), BP Neural Network, GA-BP Neural Network, Genetic Programming (GP), and ANN-based MCD—are evaluated using 300 samples. The performance of each algorithm is assessed through comparative analysis of their predictive accuracy based on correlation coefficients. The results demonstrate that all six algorithms achieve satisfactory predictive performance. Notably, the Random Forest (RF) algorithm excels in rapid and accurate predictions when handling similar training data, while the ANN-based MCD algorithm consistently delivers stable and precise results across diverse datasets. Full article
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16 pages, 5118 KB  
Article
Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
by Halil İbrahim Solak
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(1), 113; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15010113 - 27 Dec 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2031
Abstract
GNSS technology utilizes satellite signals to determine the position of a point on Earth. Using this location information, the GNSS velocities of the points can be calculated. GNSS velocity accuracies are crucial for studies requiring high precision, as fault slip rates typically range [...] Read more.
GNSS technology utilizes satellite signals to determine the position of a point on Earth. Using this location information, the GNSS velocities of the points can be calculated. GNSS velocity accuracies are crucial for studies requiring high precision, as fault slip rates typically range within a few millimeters per year. This study employs machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict GNSS velocity accuracies for fault slip rate estimation and earthquake hazard analysis. GNSS data from four CORS stations collected over 1-, 2-, and 3-year intervals with observation durations of 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 h, were analyzed to generate velocity estimates. Position accuracies, observation intervals, and corresponding velocity accuracies formed two datasets for the East and North components. ML models, including Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Multiple Linear Regression, were used to model the relationship between position and velocity accuracies. The findings reveal that the Random Forest, which makes more accurate and reliable predictions by evaluating many decision trees together, achieved over 90% accuracy for both components. Velocity accuracies of ±1.3 mm/year were obtained for 1-year interval data, while accuracies of ±0.6 mm/year were achieved for the 2- and 3-year intervals. Three campaigns were deemed sufficient for Holocene faults with higher slip rates. However, for Quaternary faults with lower slip rates, longer observation periods or additional campaigns are necessary to ensure reliable velocity estimates. This highlights the need for GNSS observation planning based on fault activity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Earth Sciences)
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23 pages, 7759 KB  
Article
Machine Learning Algorithms for Prediction and Characterization of Cohesive Zone Parameters for Mixed-Mode Fracture
by Arash Ramian and Rani Elhajjar
J. Compos. Sci. 2024, 8(8), 326; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcs8080326 - 17 Aug 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2956
Abstract
Fatigue and fracture prediction in composite materials using cohesive zone models depends on accurately characterizing the core and facesheet interface in advanced composite sandwich structures. This study investigates the use of machine learning algorithms to identify cohesive zone parameters used in the fracture [...] Read more.
Fatigue and fracture prediction in composite materials using cohesive zone models depends on accurately characterizing the core and facesheet interface in advanced composite sandwich structures. This study investigates the use of machine learning algorithms to identify cohesive zone parameters used in the fracture analysis of advanced composite sandwich structures. Experimental results often yield non-unique solutions, complicating the determination of cohesive parameters. Numerical determination can be time-consuming due to fine mesh requirements near the crack tip. This research evaluates the performance of Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) machine learning methods. The study uses features extracted from load–displacement responses during the fracture of the Asymmetric Double-Cantilever Beam (ADCB) specimen. The inputs include the displacement at the maximum load (δ*), the maximum load (Pmax), the total area under the load–displacement curve (At), and the initial slope of the linear region of the load–displacement curve (m). There are two objectives in this research: the first is to investigate which method performs best in identifying the interfacial cohesive parameters between the honeycomb core and carbon-epoxy facesheets, while the second objective is to reduce the dimensionality of the dataset by reducing the number of input features. Reducing the number of inputs can simplify the models and potentially improve the performance and interpretability. The results show that the ANN method produced the best results, with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.9578% and an R-squared (R²) value of 0.7932. These values indicate a high level of accuracy in predicting the four cohesive zone parameters: maximum normal contact stress (σI), critical fracture energy for normal separation (GI), maximum equivalent tangential contact stress (σII), and critical fracture energy for tangential slip (GII). Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Theoretical and Computational Investigation on Composite Materials)
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25 pages, 20853 KB  
Article
Optimising Plate Thickness in Interlocking Inter-Module Connections for Modular Steel Buildings: A Finite Element and Random Forest Approach
by Khaled Elsayed, Azrul A. Mutalib, Mohamed Elsayed and Mohd Reza Azmi
Buildings 2024, 14(5), 1254; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings14051254 - 29 Apr 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2253
Abstract
Interlocking Inter-Module Connections (IMCs) in Modular Steel Buildings (MSBs) have garnered significant interest from researchers. Despite this, the optimisation of plate thicknesses in such structures has yet to be extensively explored in the existing literature. Therefore, this paper focuses on optimising the thickness [...] Read more.
Interlocking Inter-Module Connections (IMCs) in Modular Steel Buildings (MSBs) have garnered significant interest from researchers. Despite this, the optimisation of plate thicknesses in such structures has yet to be extensively explored in the existing literature. Therefore, this paper focuses on optimising the thickness of interlocking IMCs in MSBs by leveraging established experimental and numerical simulation methodologies. The study developed various numerical models for IMCs with plate thicknesses of 4 mm, 6 mm, 10 mm, and 12 mm, all subjected to compression loading conditions. The novelty of this study lies in its comprehensive parametric analysis, which evaluates the slip prediction model. A random forest regression model, trained using the ‘TreeBagger’ function, was also implemented to predict slip values based on applied force. Sensitivity analysis and comparisons with alternative methods underscored the reliability and applicability of the findings. The results indicate that a plate thickness of 11.03 mm is optimal for interlocking IMCs in MSBs, achieving up to 8.08% in material cost reductions while increasing deformation resistance by up to 50.75%. The ‘TreeBagger’ random forest regression significantly enhanced slip prediction accuracy by up to 7% at higher force levels. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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