Search Results (6)

The accurate early-stage estimation of environmental load (EL) and construction cost (CC) in road infrastructure projects remains a significant challenge, constrained by limited data and the complexity of construction activities. To address this, our study proposes a machine learning-based predictive framework utilizing artificial neural networks (ANNs) and deep neural networks (DNNs), enhanced by autoencoder-driven feature selection. A structured dataset of 150 completed national road projects in South Korea was compiled, covering both planning and design phases. The database focused on 19 high-impact sub-work types to reduce noise and improve prediction precision. A hybrid imputation approach—combining mean substitution with random forest regression—was applied to handle 4.47% missing data in the design-phase inputs, reducing variance by up to 5% and improving data stability. Dimensionality reduction via autoencoder retained 16 core variables, preserving 97% of explanatory power while minimizing redundancy. ANN models benefited from cross-validation and hyperparameter tuning, achieving consistent performance across training and validation sets without overfitting (MSE = 0.06, RMSE = 0.24). The optimal ANN yielded average error rates of 29.8% for EL and 21.0% for CC at the design stage. DNN models, with their deeper architectures and dropout regularization, further improved performance—achieving 27.1% (EL) and 17.0% (CC) average error rates at the planning stage and 24.0% (EL) and 14.6% (CC) at the design stage. These results met all predefined accuracy thresholds, underscoring the DNN’s advantage in handling complex, high-variance data while the ANN excelled in structured cost prediction. Overall, the synergy between deep learning and autoencoder-based feature selection offers a scalable and data-informed approach for enhancing early-stage environmental and economic assessments in road infrastructure planning—supporting more sustainable and efficient project management. Full article

This research presents an advanced methodology for smart management of energy losses in electrical distribution networks by leveraging deep neural network architectures. The primary objective is to enhance the accuracy of short-term forecasting for nodal loads and corresponding energy losses, enabling more efficient and intelligent grid operation. Two predictive approaches were explored: the first involves separate forecasting of nodal loads followed by loss calculations, while the second directly estimates network-wide energy losses. For model implementation, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and the enhanced Residual Network (eResNet) architecture, developed at the Institute of Electrodynamics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, were utilized. The models were validated using retrospective data from a Ukrainian Distribution System Operator (DSO) covering the period from 2017 to 2019 with 30 min sampling intervals. An adapted CIGRE benchmark medium-voltage network was employed to simulate real-world conditions. Given the presence of anomalies and missing values in the operational data, a two-stage preprocessing algorithm incorporating DBSCAN clustering was applied for data cleansing and imputation. The results indicate a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of just 3.29% for nodal load forecasts, which significantly outperforms conventional methods. These findings affirm the feasibility of integrating such models into Smart Grid infrastructures to improve decision-making, minimize operational losses, and reduce the costs associated with energy loss compensation. This study provides a practical framework for data-driven energy loss management, emphasizing the growing role of artificial intelligence in modern power systems. Full article

With the global objectives of achieving a “carbon peak” and “carbon neutrality” along with the implementation of carbon reduction policies, China’s industrial structure has undergone significant adjustments, resulting in constraints on high-energy consumption and high-emission industries while promoting the rapid growth of green industries. Consequently, these changes have led to an increasingly complex power system structure and presented new challenges for electricity demand forecasting. To address this issue, this study proposes a 24-step multivariate time series short-term load forecasting algorithm model based on KNN data imputation and BiTCN bidirectional temporal convolutional networks combined with BiGRU bidirectional gated recurrent units and attention mechanism. The Kepler adaptive optimization algorithm (KOA) is employed for hyperparameter optimization to effectively enhance prediction accuracy. Furthermore, using real load data from a wind farm in Xinjiang as an example, this paper predicts the electricity load from 1 January to 30 December in 2019. Experimental results demonstrate that our comprehensive short-term load forecasting model exhibits lower prediction errors and superior performance compared to traditional methods, thus holding great value for practical applications. Full article

Amidst the accelerating growth of intelligent power systems, the integrity of vast and complex datasets has become essential to promoting sustainable energy management, ensuring energy security, and supporting green living initiatives. This study introduces a novel hybrid machine learning model to address the critical issue of missing power load data—a problem that, if not managed effectively, can compromise the stability and sustainability of power grids. By integrating meteorological and temporal characteristics, the model enhances the precision of data imputation by combining random forest (RF), Spearman weighted k-nearest neighbors (SW-KNN), and Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation (LM-BP) techniques. Additionally, a variance–covariance weighted method is used to dynamically adjust the model’s parameters to improve predictive accuracy. Tests on five metrics demonstrate that considering various correlated factors reduces errors by approximately 8–38%, and the hybrid modeling approach reduces predictive errors by 12–24% compared to single-model approaches. The proposed model not only ensures the resilience of power grid operations but also contributes to the broader goals of energy efficiency and environmental sustainability. Full article

Accurate load forecasting, especially in the short term, is crucial for the safe and stable operation of power systems and their market participants. However, as modern power systems become increasingly complex, the challenges of short-term load forecasting are also intensifying. To address this challenge, data-driven deep learning techniques and load aggregation technologies have gradually been introduced into the field of load forecasting. However, data quality issues persist due to various factors such as sensor failures, unstable communication, and susceptibility to network attacks, leading to data gaps. Furthermore, in the domain of aggregated load forecasting, considering the potential interactions among aggregated loads can help market participants engage in cross-market transactions. However, aggregated loads often lack clear geographical locations, making it difficult to predefine graph structures. To address the issue of data quality, this study proposes a model named adversarial graph convolutional imputation network (AGCIN), combined with local and global correlations for imputation. To tackle the problem of the difficulty in predefining graph structures for aggregated loads, this study proposes a learnable adjacency matrix, which generates an adaptive adjacency matrix based on the relationships between different sequences without the need for geographical information. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed imputation method outperforms other imputation methods in scenarios with random and continuous missing data. Additionally, the prediction accuracy of the proposed method exceeds that of several baseline methods, affirming the effectiveness of our approach in imputation and prediction, ultimately enhancing the accuracy of aggregated load forecasting. Full article

As the penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) accelerates according to eco-friendly policies, the impact of electric vehicle charging demand on a power distribution network is becoming significant for reliable power system operation. In this regard, accurate power demand or load forecasting is of great help not only for unit commitment problem considering demand response but also for long-term power system operation and planning. In this paper, we present a forecasting model of EV charging station load based on long short-term memory (LSTM). Besides, to improve the forecasting accuracy, we devise an imputation method for handling missing values in EV charging data. For the verification of the forecasting model and our imputation approach, performance comparison with several imputation techniques is conducted. The experimental results show that our imputation approach achieves significant improvements in forecasting accuracy on data with a high missing rate. In particular, compared to a strategy without applying imputation, the proposed imputation method results in reduced forecasting errors of up to 9.8%. Full article